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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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Predicting cutoff L-shells of solar protons using the GPPSn particle dataset

Solar energetic protons (SEPs) arriving at the Earth trigger severe radiation storms in the near-Earth space, directly impacting space missions operating at various altitudes. Therefore, monitoring SEP events and predicting the penetration depths of solar protons are critical for aerospace sectors. Building on previous efforts, here we demonstrate the feasibility of using proton measurements from the Global Prompt Proton Sensor network (GPPSn), enabled by Los Alamos National Laboratory developed combined X-ray dosimeters aboard GPS satellites, to characterize and predict the penetration of solar protons into the geomagnetic field. The inclined medium-Earth-orbits (MEOs) of the global GPS constellation offer a unique advantage of allowing simultaneous measurements of penetrating solar protons inside both open- and closed-field line regions. Therefore, the L-profiles of ∼10s–100 MeV solar protons and their associated cutoff L-shells can be determined from the GPPSn dataset, using predefined threshold proton flux values rather than traditional flux ratios. After examining a list of SEP event intervals across solar cycles 23, 24 and 25—including the 2024 Mother’s Day superstorm, we showcase how the latest GPPSn proton dataset (release v1.10), reprocessed and calibrated, can not only be used to monitor solar proton distributions inside the dynamic geomagnetic field for individual events, but also to derive a new empirical model linking cutoff L-shells with several key space weather parameters. This newly developed SEPCL-MEO model demonstrates high predictive performance; for example, predictions for > 30 MeV solar protons yield a correlation coefficient of 0.85 and performance efficiency of 0.67 when validated against GPPSn observations. Results from this pilot study underscores the scientific and operational value of the GPPSn dataset, and this dataset—when paired with machine-learning techniques—can play a critical role in observing and predicting the effects of future incoming SEP events, including extreme ones.

58 GEOSCIENCES

Density pedestal prediction model for tokamak plasmas

Abstract A model for the pedestal density prediction based on neutral penetration combined with pedestal transport is presented. The model is tested against a pedestal database of JET-ILW Type I ELMy H-modes showing good agreement over a wide range of parameters both in standalone modelling (using the experimental temperature profile) and in full Europed modelling that predicts both density and temperature pedestals simultaneously. The model is further tested for ASDEX Upgrade and MAST-U Type I ELMy H-modes and both are found to agree with the same model parameters as for JET-ILW. The JET-ILW experiment where the isotope of the main ion is varied in a D/T scan at constant gas rate and constant β N is successfully modelled as long as the separatrix density ( n e,sep ) and pedestal transport coefficient ratio ( D / χ ) are varied in accordance with the experimentally observed variation of n e,sep and the isotope dependence of D / χ found in gyrokinetic simulations. The predictions are found to be sensitive to n e,sep which is why the model is combined with an n e,sep model to predict the pedestal for the STEP fusion reactor.

Physics

Predicting core transport in ITER baseline discharges with neon injections

Achieving self-consistent performance predictions for ITER requires integrated modeling of core transport and divertor power exhaust under realistic impurity conditions. We present results from a systematic power-flow and impurity-content study for the ITER 15 MA baseline scenario constrained directly by existing SOLPS-ITER neon-seeded divertor solutions. Using the OMFIT STEP workflow, stationary temperature and density profiles are predicted with TGYRO for $1.5 \unicode{x2A7D} Z_\textrm{eff} \unicode{x2A7D} 2.5$, and the corresponding power crossing the separatrix $P_\textrm{sep}$ is evaluated. We find that $P_\textrm{sep}$ varies by more than a factor of 1.7 across this scan and matches the ${\sim}100$ MW SOLPS-ITER prediction when $Z_\textrm{eff} \simeq 1.6$ or when auxiliary heating is reduced to ${\sim}75\%$ of nominal. Rotation-sensitivity studies show that plausible variations in toroidal flow magnitude modify $P_\textrm{sep}$ by $\lesssim 20\%$, while AURORA modeling confirms that charge-exchange radiation inside the separatrix is dynamically negligible under predicted ITER neutral densities. These results identify a restricted compatibility window, $Z_\textrm{eff} \approx 1.6$ –1.75 and $0.75 \lesssim f_{P_\textrm{aux}} \unicode{x2A7D} 1.0$, in which core transport predictions remain aligned with neon-seeded divertor protection targets. This self-consistent, model-constrained framework provides actionable guidance for impurity control and auxiliary-heating scheduling in early ITER operation and supports future whole-device scenario optimization.

ITER

Super-X and conventional divertor configurations in MAST-U ohmic L-mode; a comparison facilitated by interpretative modelling

Measurements are presented, alongside corresponding interpretative SOLPS-ITER simulations, of the first MAST-U experiments comparing ohmically heated L-mode fuelling scans in Conventional divertor (CD) and Super-X divertor (SXD) configurations. In experiment, at comparable outer mid-plane separatrix electron density, $n_{e,\textrm{sep,OMP}}$, the maximum lower outer target heat load was found to be a factor 16 $\,\pm\,7$ lower in SXD compared to CD. In simulation, a factor 26.8 reduction was found (slightly higher than the experimental range), suggesting an additional reduction in SXD compared to the factor 9.3 expected from geometric considerations alone. According to the simulations, this additional reduction in the SXD is due to a net radial transport of the energy remaining downstream of the $T_e = 5$ eV location. This energy is carried out of the critical (highest heat load) flux tube by deuterium atoms, demonstrating the importance of a longer legged divertor which provides space for this to occur. Importantly, in both simulation and experiment, the SXD has minimal impact on the upstream n e and T e profiles. Spectral inferences of detachment front movement in SXD compare well between simulation and experiment. In regions of high magnetic field gradient, the parallel movement of the front towards the X-point becomes less sensitive to increasing $n_{e,\textrm{sep,OMP}}$, in qualitative agreement with simplified models and previous predictive simulations. Additional aspects, regarding the target ion flux rollover, upstream separatrix temperature and drift effects, are also presented and discussed.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY

Variations in lithium vapor cave performance predictions due to radial transport and recycling assumptions

The lithium vapor cave is a detached divertor design that uses a single private flux region baffle to contain a dense cloud of lithium vapor to dissipate heat flux. Plasma flows are created via fuel gas puffing in order to minimize lithium contamination of the main plasma. Significant modeling using the 2D edge code SOLPS-ITER has already been performed, predicting that sufficient target heat flux reductions (q$^{max}_{Target}$ MW m −2 ) with ( $n$ Li /$n$ e ) LCFS < 0.05 is possible in a case with 90 MW m −2 unmitigated heat flux in NSTX-U. Low heat flux and low upstream concentration was found with a variety of combinations of divertor geometries, target recycling coefficients, upstream plasma parameters, lithium evaporation locations and deuterium fueling locations, with variations in performance found for each design choice. However, the most universal uncertainty of SOLPS-ITER simulations has until now remained unaddressed systematically, namely the cross-field anomalous particle and heat diffusivities. This article aims to bound the uncertainty in lithium concentration prediction as a result of the assumed deuterium cross-field transport and recycling. For the simulations presented here, a factor of 2.1 increase in the upstream lithium density prediction across a factor of four decrease to the assumed deuterium radial particle diffusivity is found. This result is compared across different assumed deuterium recycling coefficients, known to reduce with lithium injection. Upstream lithium density is found to vary by a factor of 2.4 across a feasible range of recycling coefficients at similar $n$$^{OMP,sep}_{e}$.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY

Simulation of Divertor Performance in ST40 Under Dynamic Double-Null Plasmas

A power fraction model was implemented for the simultaneous prediction of 3-D surface temperature evolution at all four divertor targets in near-double-null (DN) tokamak configurations, which is especially important for compact high-field devices that may not have the ability to dissipate large amounts of power on the high-field side. Evaluating the power-sharing between the four divertor strike points in a disconnected DN configuration is important for understanding the overall power balance, as well as for optimizing the power exhaust performance and prolonging the survivability of the plasma facing components (PFCs). This power-sharing is typically evaluated in terms of the separation between the primary and secondary separatrices at the outboard midplane, $\textit {dR}_{\text {sep}}$. The Heat flux Engineering Analysis Toolkit (HEAT) is coupled with Brunner’s power fraction model to simulate the deposited heat flux and resultant temperature change on 3-D divertor targets in a dynamic DN (DDN) pulse operation in ST40, a high-field spherical tokamak. The simulation results showed that with DDN operation, the operation time has significantly increased compared with single-null geometry configurations.

ST40

Regulatory Testing of RPP-WTP HLW Glasses to Support Delisting Compliance, VSL-04R4780-1, Rev. 0 (Sep 2004)

The primary goal of the testing described in this report was to collect data to demonstrate compliance of the immobilized high-level waste (IHLW) glasses with delisting requirements. The collected data will be used to support a petition to delist the IHLW glasses destined for the national disposal facility. The Delisting Data Quality Objectives (DQO) (Cook and Blumenkranz 2003) identified a list of (16) inorganic constituents of potential concern (COPCs) and their associated limits for delisting. These COPCs can be divided into three groups, Cases 1, 2, and 3, based on their Toxicity Characteristic Leaching Procedure (TCLP) responses versus their respective delisting limits. To briefly summarize, Case 1 COPCs are those that, when loaded at their highest expected concentration in Waste Treatment Plant (WTP) glasses, are not expected to leach at their respective delisting limits when the glasses are exposed to the TCLP. Case 2 COPCs may reach the delisting limits in TCLP leachates of WTP glasses if loaded to concentrations near their maximum expected concentrations in glass. Finally, Case 3 COPCs are components that are likely to be present in concentrations sufficient to exceed their respective delisting limits in TCLP leachates of some possible glasses. The test objective was to show that, for (i) the expected range of inorganic contents in the waste feed to the Hanford WTP high level waste (HLW) vitrification facility, (ii) the expected range of glass product compositions, and (iii) the Case 1 and Case 2 COPCs identified by the DQO, the IHLW glasses meet all the relevant requirements for delisting. For Case 3 COPCs (i.e., Cd), the testing was to demonstrate the relationship between glass composition and TCLP cadmium (Cd) release, and then employ the results to develop TCLP-composition response models. During WTP operations, TCLP-composition models can be used to predict, within the required statistical uncertainties, TCLP responses of IHLW production glasses that are within the compositional region used to develop the model.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W