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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Robustness of inertial fusion energy relevant implosions to low-mode asymmetries

Inertial confinement fusion implosions for power production need to be robust. Degradation sources need to be understood and considered for an economic power plant. In this work, the impact of low-mode asymmetries on yield is studied using 2D radiation hydrodynamics simulations for inertial fusion energy relevant implosions. First, a high-gain indirectly driven capsule design is developed. This design is subsequently degraded with low-mode drive asymmetries. The results show that yield is constant with increasing amounts of asymmetry until a cliff is reached where the yield quickly drops below ignition. Robustness arises because the degraded hotspot still has enough time to get to ignition before capsule decompression. This robustness occurs even though the asymmetry couples less energy to the hotspot and causes decompression to occur sooner. The robustness is linked to the generalized Lawson parameter, χ⁠. The value of χ steadily decreases with increasing asymmetry. Once χ is close to one, the hotspot is no longer able to ignite before the capsule decompresses. A simple piston model is used to predict where the robustness cliff is for any design. The trade-off between yield and robustness is also demonstrated.

Physics - Plasma physics↗
DOE OSTI2025

The Effects of Compounded Model Size Reductions on Adversarial Robustness

Recent advances in Edge AI and Tiny Machine Learning (TinyML) have enabled the deployment of machine learning models on resource-constrained environments. However, deploying these models on edge devices, such as micro-controllers, requires significant model footprint reduction through a variety of techniques such as quantization, pruning, and clustering. While these optimization methods offer considerable advantages, they potentially introduce AI-related security vulnerabilities, particularly concerning model robustness with respect to adversarial AI attacks. Prior research has extensively examined the impact of quantization on adversarial robustness; however, the effects of alternative reduction techniques and their combinations remain understudied. This paper investigates the impact of model size reduction techniques on adversarial robustness, when applied individually and combined. We utilized Fast Gradient Sign Method (FGSM) and Projected Gradient Descent (PGD) attacks to generate adversarial perturbations for both training and testing data, and then evaluated the models' accuracy under adversarial training conditions. Our findings revealed that reduction techniques generally diminished robustness; although, combining techniques was not found to make robustness any worse than when applied individually. Moreover, specific techniques can potentially enhance resistance to small size perturbations. This research provides insights into the trade-offs between model size reduction and security, establishing a foundation for future investigations into improving adversarial training techniques and methodologies for maintaining robustness while preserving memory footprint benefits.

Austria, Phillipe [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000236223973)↗
DOE OSTI2025

Framework to select robust energy retrofit measures for residential communities

Residential building energy retrofits are essential for enhancing environmental sustainability and reducing energy costs. The selection of retrofit measures is influenced by factors such as building systems, occupant behavior, government policy, weather variability, and climate change, all of which can significantly impact energy performance. Compared to retrofitting individual homes, evaluating and selecting optimal retrofit solutions for an entire community is challenging due to diverse residential compositions and variability present. Therefore, engineering robustness is crucial for ensuring consistent energy performance and resilience across different conditions. In this context, robustness refers to the ability of a retrofit measure to maintain its functionality and remain an optimal choice despite external disturbances or changes in inputs and conditions. This study presents a framework for evaluating the robustness of multiple retrofit measures across various building systems, occupant behaviors, and environmental scenarios at the community level. The framework comprises five key steps: scenario model development, integration of the National Residential Efficiency Measures database, energy performance simulation, cost-benefit aggregation, and retrofit solution selection. Each step enhances the framework’s robustness by incorporating the diversity of building characteristics, occupant behaviors, environmental conditions, retrofit options, and evaluation criteria. The framework’s effectiveness is demonstrated through a case study in southern Michigan in the United States, which includes 63 one-story single-family houses, 121 two-story single-family houses, and 8 townhouses. The study identifies furnace retrofits as the most robust solution for the entire community, consistently achieving source energy reductions of 4.7 %–8.0 % and payback period of 10–20 years across various scenarios. These findings are consistent with previous research, indicating the framework’s potential for broader applications in optimizing community-scale residential energy retrofits.

Shu, Lei↗
DOE OSTI2025

Robust Solution Verification Experiments on Nonuniform Meshes

The activities of verification, validation, and uncertainty quantification (VVUQ) provide a comprehensive means to assess the credibility of computational models. Within VVUQ, solution verification assesses numerical errors and evaluates whether the simulation is sufficiently accurate for its intended applications. As computational modeling gains traction in the development of complex, high-consequence systems, the need for robust solution verification intensifies, particularly because experimental data for these systems are often limited. This work examines improvements in the robustness of Richardson extrapolation (RE), a method commonly used in solution verification to study the discretization error of computational models using a power law. Nonuniform mesh refinement is discussed alongside other pollutants that affect the robustness of the power law model. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is proposed as a robust strategy to address the uncertainty generated by nonuniform mesh refinement. An exploratory computational fluid dynamics (CFD) study of a 2D planar Poiseuille flow is conducted to determine if nonuniform mesh noise can be modeled with this MLE approach for more robust RE.

Weinmeister, Justin [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000160090237↗
DOE OSTI2025

Designing robust energy policy packages under deep uncertainty: A multi-metric decision support framework

The complexity of transitioning to sustainable energy systems requires policy frameworks capable of balancing multiple objectives while addressing deep uncertainty. However, existing approaches often lack systematic methods to identify combinations of policy levers that remain effective across a wide range of uncertain futures. This paper presents a novel decision support framework that guides the selection of robust policy packages based on their performance across multiple objectives under uncertainty. Our method leverages a large ensemble of scenarios and applies scenario discovery techniques to identify influential policy levers. Here, we introduce new indicators to assess the robustness of policies by evaluating their ability to mitigate adverse outcomes across metrics. These indicators support an iterative process to build a robust policy package. Finally, we map the technological and energy pathways associated with the robust policy package by leveraging an energy system optimization model. We illustrate the application of this framework to the Spanish energy system, providing insights into how specific combinations of policy levers shape decarbonization pathways under uncertainty.

Decision-support method↗
DOE OSTI2025

Robustness of quasi-symmetry along parametric boundary variation

Quasi-symmetry is a guiding principle to modern stellarator optimization for improved plasma confinement. However, the robustness of optimized configurations, which can be crucial for maintaining performance under diverse engineering constraints and practical limitations, has received relatively little attention. Here, in this work, we present various case studies on this robustness, by investigating variations in 1/ v neoclassical transport when plasma configurations are smoothly altered across distinct optimized targets. These targets, optimized from different families—quasi-axisymmetric, quasi-helical, and quasi-isodynamic—are approximately matched in major radius as part of a flexible stellarator design. Our study shows that an optimized target does not always represent a local minimum in transport and that the robustness of a local minimum when present can vary significantly. Furthermore, there are configurations which belong to no established families but have transport levels as low as those of optimized targets. These results highlight the importance of conducting extended searches with key parametric variations around optimized configurations, to ensure its robustness as well as flexibility if desired.

neoclassical transport↗
DOE OSTI2024

Photocathode characterisation for robust PICOSEC Micromegas precise-timing detectors

The PICOSEC Micromegas detector is a precise-timing gaseous detector based on a Cherenkov radiator coupled with a semi-transparent photocathode and a Micromegas amplifying structure, targeting a time resolution of tens of picoseconds for minimum ionising particles. Initial single-pad prototypes have demonstrated a time resolution below σ = 25 ps, prompting ongoing developments to adapt the concept for High Energy Physics applications, where sub-nanosecond precision is essential for event separation, improved track reconstruction and particle identification. The achieved performance is being transferred to robust multi-channel detector modules suitable for large-area detection systems requiring excellent timing precision. To enhance the robustness and stability of the PICOSEC Micromegas detector, research on robust carbon-based photocathodes, including Diamond-Like Carbon (DLC) and Boron Carbide (B 4 C), is pursued. Results from prototypes equipped with DLC and B 4 C photocathodes exhibited a time resolution of σ ≈ 32 ps and σ ≈ 34.5 ps, respectively. Efforts dedicated to improve detector robustness and stability enhance the feasibility of the PICOSEC Micromegas concept for large experiments, ensuring sustained performance while maintaining excellent timing precision.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2025

Robust error calibration for serial crystallography

Serial crystallography is an important technique with unique abilities to resolve enzymatic transition states, minimize radiation damage to sensitive metalloenzymes and perform de novo structure determination from micrometre-sized crystals. This technique requires the merging of data from thousands of crystals, making manual identification of errant crystals unfeasible. cctbx.xfel.merge uses filtering to remove problematic data. However, this process is imperfect, and data reduction must be robust to outliers. We add robustness to cctbx.xfel.merge at the step of uncertainty determination for reflection intensities. This step is a critical point for robustness because it is the first step where the data sets are considered as a whole, as opposed to individual lattices. Robustness is conferred by reformulating the error-calibration procedure to have fewer and less stringent statistical assumptions and incorporating the ability to down-weight low-quality lattices. We then apply this method to five macromolecular XFEL data sets and observe the improvements to each. The appropriateness of the intensity uncertainties is demonstrated through internal consistency. This is performed through theoretical CC 1/2 and I /σ relationships and by weighted second moments, which use Wilson's prior to connect intensity uncertainties with their expected distribution. This work presents new mathematical tools to analyze intensity statistics and demonstrates their effectiveness through the often underappreciated process of uncertainty analysis.

Mittan-Moreau, David W.↗
DOE OSTI2024

Robust Data-Driven Predictive Run-to-Run Control for Automated Serial Sectioning

This letter presents a one-step predictive run-to-run controller (R2R-MPC) for the automation of mechanical serial sectioning (MSS), a destructive material analysis process. To address the inherent uncertainty and disturbances in the MSS process, a robust closed-loop approach is presented. Here, the robust R2R-MPC models the uncertainty of the MSS process using a linear differential inclusion. As an analytical model of the MSS process is unavailable, the differential inclusion is identified from historical data. The R2R-MPC is posed as an optimization problem that computes incremental changes to the control input which minimize the worst-case material removal errors. This optimization-based controller is combined with a run-to-run controller to provide integral action that rejects constant disturbances and tracks constant reference removal rates. To demonstrate the efficacy of our robust R2R-MPC, we present simulation results which compare the presented controller with a conventional non-robust R2R.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Robustness: The Missing Ingredient in Generation Scheduling

This article highlights robustness as an essential factor to cope with the ever-increasing levels of uncertainty in generation scheduling under significant renewable energy penetration, as is the case in Brazil and Spain. To that end, robust generation scheduling is framed within the different optimization-based approaches that are available for uncertainty handling. In addition, the suitability of robust optimization to accommodate practical security criteria in generation scheduling is also emphasized. Interestingly, this article points out the existence of an effective algorithm allowing the discovery of critical or so-called umbrella scenarios, which paves the way for the implementation of robust generation scheduling in industry practice.

Street, Alexandre↗
DOE OSTI2024

“Understanding Robustness Lottery”: A Geometric Visual Comparative Analysis of Neural Network Pruning Approaches

Deep learning approaches have provided state-of-the-art performance in many applications by relying on large and overparameterized neural networks. However, such networks are very brittle and are difficult to deploy on resource-limited platforms. Model pruning, i.e., reducing the size of the network, is a widely adopted strategy that can lead to a more robust and compact model. Many heuristics exist for model pruning, but our understanding of the pruning process remains limited due to the black-box nature of a neural network model. Empirical studies show that some heuristics improve performance whereas others can make models more brittle. Here, this work aims to shed light on how different pruning methods alter the network’s internal feature representation and the corresponding impact on model performance. To facilitate a comprehensive comparison and characterization of the high-dimensional model feature space, we introduce a visual geometric analysis of feature representations. We evaluated a set of critical geometric concepts decomposed from the commonly adopted classification loss and used them to design a visualization system to compare and highlight the impact of pruning on model performance and feature representation. The proposed tool provides an environment for an in-depth comparison of pruning methods and a comprehensive understanding of how the model responds to common data corruption. By leveraging the proposed visualization, machine learning researchers can reveal the similarities between pruning methods and redundancy in robustness evaluation benchmarks, obtain geometric insights about the differences between pruned models that achieve superior robustness performance, and identify samples that are robust or fragile to model pruning and common data corruption.

Li, Zhimin [Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT (Uni↗
DOE OSTI2026

Robust Containment Queries over Collections of Trimmed NURBS Surfaces via Generalized Winding Numbers

Here, we propose a containment query that is robust to the watertightness of regions bound by trimmed NURBS surfaces, as this property is difficult to guarantee for in-the-wild CAD models. Containment is determined through the generalized winding number (GWN), a mathematical construction that is indifferent to the arrangement of surfaces in the shape. Applying contemporary techniques for the 3D GWN to trimmed NURBS surfaces requires some form of geometric discretization, introducing computational inefficiency to the algorithm and even risking containment misclassifications near the surface. In contrast, our proposed method leverages properties of the 3D solid angle to solve the relevant surface integral using a boundary formulation with rapidly converging adaptive quadrature. Batches of queries are further accelerated by memoizing (i.e., caching and reusing) quadrature node positions and tangents as they are evaluated. We demonstrate that our GWN method is robust to complex trimming geometry in a CAD model, and is accurate up to arbitrary precision at arbitrary distances from the surface. The derived containment query is therefore robust to model non-watertightness while respecting all curved features of the input shape.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Understanding and Harnessing the Robustness of Undomesticated Yarrowia lipolytica Strains for Biosynthesis of Designer Bioesters (Final Report)

This project seeks to elucidate and harness the exceptional robustness of novel and undomesticated Y. lipolytica isolates, which were identified from a genetic diversity screening for compatibility with bioenergy development. Bioenergy-relevant isolates were further developed as microbial platforms for efficient conversion of undetoxified biomass hydrolysates into designer bio-esters continuously recovered by solvent extraction. The project has three major goals. Goal 1. Elucidate and enhance the endogenous metabolism of Y. lipolytica for superior growth, sugar utilization, and lipid accumulation in undetoxified biomass hydrolysates under hypoxic conditions. Goal 2. Understand and enhance the underlying mechanism of exceptional tolerance of Y. lipolytica to organic solvents. Goal 3. Elucidate and rewire endogenous metabolism of the most robust Y. lipolytica strains for effective conversion of accumulating lipids to designer bio-esters. Significant progress has been made toward completing all research goals. We elucidated and optimized the robustness of Y. lipolytica by utilizing mixed C5 and C6 sugars in switchgrass hydrolysates (SGH) for lipid production (Aim 1). We conducted extensive omics analysis to investigate how genetic diversity among Yarrowia strains, derived from natural isolates or developed through adaptive laboratory evolution, influences lipid production when utilizing SGH. In Aim 2, novel mechanisms and underlying genetics were discovered that enabled Yarrowia strains to thrive in cultures containing high ionic liquid (IL) concentrations. Amongst other novel findings, it was found that sterols strengthened cell membranes to confer IL toxicity resistance, specifically via increased ergosterol content upon exposure to IL. In Aim 3, mechanistic studies elucidated how Y. lipolytica utilized intracellular lipids and alkanes/alkenes, leading to our discovery of novel enzymes and pathways for making short-chain esters. Most notably, thermostable chloramphenicol transferases were repurposed to function as alcohol acetyltransferases in Y. lipolytica, as well as the Gram-negative and Gram-positive bacteria Escherichia coli and thermophile Clostridium thermocellum, respectively.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Robustness of Deep Learning Classification to Adversarial Input on GPUs: Asynchronous Parallel Accumulation Is a Source of Vulnerability

The ability of machine learning (ML) classification models to resist small, targeted input perturbations—known as adversarial attacks—is a key measure of their safety and reliability. We show that floating-point non associativity (FPNA) coupled with asynchronous parallel programming on GPUs is sufficient to result in misclassification, without any perturbation to the input. Additionally, we show that this misclassification is particularly significant for inputs close to the decision boundary and that standard adversarial robustness results may be overestimated up to 4.6 when not considering machine-level details. We first study a linear classifier, before focusing on standard Graph Neural Network (GNN) architectures and datasets used in robustness assessments. We develop a novel black-box attack using Bayesian optimization to discover external workloads that can change the instruction scheduling which bias the output of reductions on GPUs and reliably lead to misclassification. Motivated by these results, we present a new learnable permutation (LP) gradient-based approach to learning floating-point operation orderings that lead to misclassifications. The LP approach provides a worst-case estimate in a computationally efficient manner, avoiding the need to run identical experiments tens of thousands of times over a potentially large set of possible GPU states or architectures. Finally, using instrumentation-based testing, we investigate parallel reduction ordering across different GPU architectures under external background workloads, when utilizing multi-GPU virtualization, and when applying power capping. Our results demonstrate that parallel reduction ordering varies significantly across architectures under the first two conditions, substantially increasing the search space required to fully test the effects of this parallel scheduler-based vulnerability. These results and the methods developed here can help to include machine-level considerations into adversarial robustness assessments, which can make a difference in safety and mission critical applications.

Shanmugavelu, Sanjif [Maxeler Technologies, a Groq↗
DOE OSTI2026

scPlantAnnotate: an accurate and robust transformer-based model for plant cell type annotation

Accurate cell type annotation remains a major bottleneck in plant single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq), where existing tools are often adapted from animal studies and perform sub-optimally on plant data. The lack of plant-specific computational frameworks limits the construction of plant cell atlases and downstream biological discovery. We develop and evaluate scPlantAnnotate, a Transformer-based reference annotation framework tailored for plant scRNA-seq data, and benchmark it against state-of-the-art deep learning and conventional methods across multiple plant species. Species-specific scPlantAnnotate models were trained using curated datasets from Arabidopsis thaliana, Zea mays, Oryza sativa, and Glycine max. We compared scPlantAnnotate with leading baselines under both standard random-split evaluation and a more stringent leave-one-dataset-out setting, which tests robustness to completely unseen datasets and tissue types. scPlantAnnotate consistently outperforms existing approaches across all four species under random-split evaluation. In the leave-one-dataset-out setting for A. thaliana, where performance drops markedly for all methods due to strong batch effects and dataset heterogeneity, scPlantAnnotate nonetheless achieves the highest Accuracy, Macro-F1, Balanced Accuracy, and Macro-AUROC on average and ranks first on most held-out datasets. These results demonstrate improved robustness to dataset shifts, a critical yet underexplored challenge in plant scRNA-seq analysis. A freely accessible web server enables users to annotate their own datasets using pretrained models. scPlantAnnotate provides a plant-specific, Transformer-based framework for single-cell annotation that delivers state-of-the-art performance and enhanced robustness to unseen datasets. By addressing limitations of existing tools and enabling scalable reference-based annotation, scPlantAnnotate supports the development of comprehensive plant cell atlases and facilitates broader use of single-cell genomics in plant biology.

Bioinformatics↗
DOE OSTI2026

Efficient and Robust p-Type Transistor Based on Ultrawide-Bandgap Semiconductor

The p-type transistor is an indispensable component of semiconductor technology, enabling a complementary operation with n-channel transistors for computation, storage, and communication. Achieving both high robustness and high efficiency is highly desirable but challenging for p-type transistors due to the limited semiconductors with reliable hole transport and their high activation energies. Here, in this study, we achieved a robust yet efficient p-type transistor by heterogeneously integrating an ultrawide-bandgap semiconductor and a high-κ dielectric layer through van der Waals integration. The p-type transistor employs a two-dimensional hole channel on hydrogenated diamond (bandgap 5.6 eV) combined with a high-κ (30.5) SrTiO 3 perovskite membrane. At room temperature, the transistor exhibits stable operation with a high on-current (∼200 mA/mm), low subthreshold swing (70 mV/dec), high hole mobility (566 cm 2 /(V·s) to 572 cm 2 /(V·s)), and high on–off ratio (∼10 9 ). Furthermore, tuning the annealing temperature allows operation in either enhancement or depletion mode. The robust p-type transistor with high efficiency holds great potential for future power electronics, ultraviolet (UV) optoelectronics, and harsh-environment electronic applications.

high-κ membrane↗
DOE OSTI2025

Visual‐Analytics Bridge Complexity and Accessibility for Robust Urban Water Planning

Urban water resources planning is complicated by unprecedented uncertainty in supply and demand. Real‐world planning often simplifies the full range of uncertainty faced by a system into a limited set of deterministic scenarios to enhance accessibility for decision‐makers and the public. However, overlooking uncertainty can expose the system to failures. On the other end of the spectrum, academically developed tools for scenario analysis rigorously quantify the combined effects of multiple sources of uncertainty, but the practical application of these models is limited by the challenges of information visualization and communication of results. In short, municipal water supply planners lack access to planning frameworks that effectively integrate a rigorous treatment of uncertainty with accessible, user‐friendly visual and interactive tools to enhance user accessibility. In this work, we fill this gap by proposing Visual‐Robust Decision Making, and demonstrate an application for the city of Santa Barbara (SB), CA. Santa Barbara faces multiple uncertainties from pending state and federal regulations to changing hydrology and water demand. The city seeks to increase its water portfolio robustness by expanding its seawater desalination plant, but must decide how much capacity to add. We introduce computational tools that assess uncertainty across nine uncertain drivers identified with the help of water planners in SB. To allow public participation in the desalination expansion decision, we develop interactive visual‐analytics to aid decision‐makers and stakeholders in navigating complex scenario analysis outcomes. Our results quantify the tradeoffs between increased capacity and system robustness and aim to enhance participation and uncertainty characterization of urban water planning efforts.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Improved robustness of sequentially deposited potassium cesium antimonide photocathodes achieved by increasing the potassium content towards theoretical stoichiometry

Alkali antimonide semiconductor photocathodes are promising candidates for high-brightness electron sources for advanced accelerators, including free-electron lasers (FEL), due to their high quantum efficiency (QE), low emittance, and high temporal resolution. Two challenges with these photocathodes are (1) the lack of a universal deposition recipe to achieve crystal stoichiometries and (2) their high susceptibility to vacuum contamination, which restricts their operation pressure to ultrahigh vacuums and leads to a short lifetime and low extraction charge. To resolve these issues, it is essential to understand the elemental compositions of deposited photocathodes and correlate them to robustness. Here, we report depth profiles for potassium cesium antimonide photocathodes, which were investigated using synchrotron radiation x-ray photoelectron spectroscopy, and the robustness of those photocathodes. We prepared two types of photocathodes with different potassium contents via sequential thermal evaporation. Depth profiles revealed that the photocathodes with a potassium deficit had excess cesium at the surface, while the ratio of potassium and cesium to antimony decreased rapidly within the film. In contrast, the photocathodes with sufficient potassium had close to the theoretical stoichiometry of K 2 CsSb at the surface and maintained that stoichiometry for over half the entire film thickness. Both photocathode types had a similar maximum QE at 532 nm; however, exposure to oxygen revealed that the photocathode with a crystalline stoichiometry of K 2 CsSb maintained QE at one order of magnitude higher pressure compared to its potassium-deficit counterpart. These results highlight the importance of synthesizing potassium cesium antimonide photocathodes with sufficient potassium to achieve the theoretical crystalline stoichiometry for both high QE and improved robustness.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗