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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Demonstrate Capability of NEAMS Tools to Generate Reactor Kinetics Parameters for Pebble-Bed HTGRs Transient Modeling

The system analysis of anticipated operating occurrences and design basis accident for pebblebed reactor systems requires knowledge of the neutron kinetic parameters. These parameters take into account various types of feedback from the pebble-bed core and are typically integrated into system analysis tools such as the System Analysis Module (SAM) in the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) tool package. These parameters are typically generated by a higher fidelity full-core coupled neutronics/thermal fluids analysis, such as using Griffin and Pronghorn, in 2D or 3D. The delayed neutron fractions (beta) and the neutron lifetimes (lambda) are typically generated by applying the adjoint solution of the neutron flux. Temperature reactivity coefficients are the most important feedback for all anticipated operating occurrences and design basis accident, then depending on the transient other effects might be important as rector control system worth, s-curves, and Xenon generation. This work package will establish a methodology and process for calculating the reactor kinetics parameters for high-temperature gas-cooled reactor and provide them in a suitable form for system level analyses of typical anticipated operating occurrences and design basis accident.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2021

High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors: Core Design

General Attributes of Modular Prismatic and Pebble Bed HTGRs Common features and physics Neutronics Thermal-Fluidics Plant Systems and Power Conversion Instrumentation and Control Normal Operation and Power Maneuvers

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2026

HTGR Multiphysics Application Drivers FY26 Updates

This report summarizes FY26 progress under the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program's high-temperature gas-cooled reactor (HTGR) application driver work, covering a wide range of activities such as code validation and multi-physics code assessment. 1) A detailed SAM model of the High-Temperature Engineering Test Reactor (HTTR) was developed using a unique-block grouping approach, with an extended parallel thermal network method to capture block-to-block conduction and radiation heat transfer, and applied to steady-state simulations of the HTTR 30~MW and 9~MW cases. 2) In another activity, SAM's newly implemented multi-component gas flow model was validated against the Natural convection Shutdown heat removal Test Facility (NSTF) argon ingress experiment, correctly capturing the density-driven suppression and thermal recovery of natural circulation observed when argon is introduced into the air-cooled Reactor Cavity Cooling System (RCCS) loop. 3) For the OECD/NEA High Temperature Test Facility (HTTF) benchmark, we co-led the international benchmark activities as well as the OECD/NEA final benchmark report to be released at the end of this year. 4) Finally, the coupled Griffin-SAM modeling capability for pebble-bed HTGRs was advanced by verifying the Griffin neutronics solution against Serpent Monte Carlo for a realistic non-uniform temperature distribution, resolving several deficiencies in the SAM-to-Griffin temperature transfer scheme, and enabling distinct fuel kernel, moderator, and coolant temperatures for cross section feedback. These new features were demonstrated in a PBR load-following transient.

Lee, Alvin↗
DOE OSTI2024

SCALE 6.3 Modeling Strategies for Reactivity, Nuclide Inventory, and Decay Heat of Non-LWRs

To assess modeling and simulation capabilities for thermal hydraulics, accident progression, source term, and consequence analysis for non–light-water reactor (LWR) technologies, the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) initiated a collaborative project between Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) in FY20, which is detailed in “Volume 3: Computer Code Development Plans for Severe Accident Progression, Source Term, and Consequence Analysis.” This project demonstrated the capabilities of the MELCOR and SCALE codes to calculate accident scenarios during operation of relevant non-LWRs. The following five non-LWR concepts were selected for capability demonstration based on recently renewed industry interest in the United States to develop and deploy such reactor technologies: pebble-bed high temperature gas-cooled reactors (HTGRs), pebble-bed fluoride salt-cooled reactors (FHRs), molten salt–fueled reactors (MSRs), heat pipe reactors (HPRs), and sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs).

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Equilibrium core modeling of a pebble bed reactor similar to the Xe-100 with SCALE

As the nuclear industry moves towards licensing and constructing advanced reactors, new attention has been focused on the advanced reactor designs that have past operational experience, such as pebble-bed high-temperature gas-cooled reactors (PB-HTGRs). Pebble-bed reactor designs have many advantages, such as their higher operating temperatures and online refueling capabilities. However, high-fidelity computational modeling of pebble-bed reactor designs, from reactor startup to operation at equilibrium, is more challenging compared to conventionally fueled reactors due to the continuous movement of the fuel pebbles through the reactor during operation. In previous work at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), the SCALE Leap-In method for Cores at Equilibrium (SLICE) was developed around tools within the SCALE code system. This iterative method can effectively generate pebble-bed reactor zone-wise fuel inventories at equilibrium core operation within a reasonable computational time. The objective of this work was to further verify the ORNL SLICE method and to investigate the impact of considering temperature profiles during the application of the method. The SLICE method was applied to a modular high-temperature gas-cooled reactor design based upon publicly available design specifications of the Xe-100 pebble-bed reactor. Upon comparing the results from the SLICE method to published literature, the differences in the eigenvalue k effective were on the order of several hundred pcm (percent millirho). To investigate one possible cause of these differences, a study looking at the sensitivity of the full-core equilibrium k effective and discharge nuclide inventory to temperature was performed by developing equilibrium cores of two additional temperature profiles. From this temperature study, differences on the order of hundreds of pcm for the full-core equilibrium k effective , and up to 15% difference for the discharge inventories were found. In conclusion, these results indicated the strong dependence on temperature that needs to be considered for future work in equilibrium modeling of PB-HTGRs.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Generating An Advanced Cross-section Library For HTGR Pebble Bed Depletion Calculations Using Reduced-Order Model Generation Techniques

For code development, Advanced Reactor Technologies - Gas Cooled Reactors Program (ART-GCR) rely on a collaboration with the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program, but the cross sections generation and the methodology definition is part of this program area goals. Based on previous studies in FY23, the size of microscopic cross section libraries increases rapidly with the number of tabulations, requiring significant amount of memory and drastically slowing down the Griffin calculations when evaluating cross sections via the multivariate linear interpolation approach. Rising to these challenges, this work investigates constructing Reduced-order Models (ROMs) for the multi-group microscopic cross sections to accelerate the cross section evaluation in Griffin. A database of multigroup cross sections is first collected considering all possible parameters that a designer could change for optimization. Down-selection of the ROM techniques afterward shows Deep Neural Network (DNN) as the best candidate when jointly consider memory efficiency, predictive accuracy, computational cost, scalability, flexibility and ease of implementation of the algorithms in comparison to the multidimensional interpolation. This work develops a specific interface that enables the cross section predictions using pre-trained DNN models into Griffin leveraging the existing ROM capabilities. DNNs have been trained for all isotopes for use in Griffin. Preliminary Griffin testing shows that DNNs exhibit exceptional predictive accuracy and the use of DNNs provides orders of magnitude improvement in memory efficiency compared to conventional interpolation techniques. With such ROM techniques, it holds great promise to further increase the fidelity of the Pebble Bed Reactor (PBR) simulation by increasing the number of tabulations/state variables during cross section evaluation, while maintaining the computational cost affordable in Griffin.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

A White Paper: Disposition Options for a High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactor

The high-temperature gas-cooled reactor (HTGR) is a uranium-fueled, graphite-moderated, gas-cooled nuclear reactor design concept capable of producing very high core outlet temperatures. Both types of HTGR have the tristructural isotropic (TRISO) fuel kernel at the heart of the fuel design. For the prismatic block-type HTGR, the TRISO particles are overcoated with a resinated graphitic matrix and pressed into fuel compacts, which are then heat treated and placed in the fuel channels of the prismatic-block-shaped fuel assemblies. For the pebble-bed-type HTGR, the TRISO particles are dispersed in a graphitic-matrix sphere, which is the basic unit for the reactor core. Despite having very different fuel designs, both types of HTGR are graphite-moderated, gas-cooled, thermal reactors using many of the same materials. As a result, both prismatic-block-type and pebble-bed-type HTGRs have similar radioactive waste streams, all of which require safe and secure storage and eventual disposition. Modern HTGR designs are based on a long and rich operating history of several different graphite-moderated, gas-cooled, thermal reactors. Several of these reactors have been shut down, the fuel has been placed in safe storage, and they have undergone some degree of decommissioning. As such, there is significant experience in the management of the spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and radioactive wastes associated with operating these reactors. This white paper will, (1) identify the definitions and regulations that apply to the safe and secure management, storage, and disposal of radioactive waste; and (2) identify the key radioactive waste streams from HTGRs and their characteristics. Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has significant experience in the management of SNF from HTGR predecessors. This experience should form the basis for the management and disposition efforts of the radioactive waste from any new HTGR-type small modular reactor, or microreactor intended for deployment at the INL site.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Measurement of Helium and Xenon Knudsen permeability in graphite IG-11

Here, understanding the flow and diffusion (transport) of gases through nuclear graphite is of interest in both the prismatic and pebble bed high-temperature gas reactors (HTGRs), for normal operation and under accident conditions, for example, as related to graphite oxidation. Both the laminar and turbulent gaseous transport are of interest. It has also been noted that nuclear graphite can have pore sizes that can possibly lead to non-continuum transport, as the pore size can be comparable to the gaseous mean free path. We report measurements and analyzes of experiments performed with IG-11 graphite in the pressure range of 10 Pa to 14,700 Pa, 293 K, using Helium, and research grade xenon (99.999%), respectively. These values are in fair agreement with those reported for different graphites and gases by other investigators, but are also higher by six orders of magnitude than those reported for Kr permeability in a developmental very low permeability graphite-HXT-90. Our measured ratio of the Helium and Xenon permeabilities is about 4, different from $\sqrt{\frac{m_{Xe}}{m_{He}}}$ ≈ 5.72 that corresponds to diffuse reflection at the graphite surface for both gases. Simple analysis indicates that the two gases have slightly different accommodation coefficients (about 25%) with the graphite surface. However, there could also be other reasons, such as experimental uncertainties or the need for a more detailed analysis.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Modeling The DLOFC Accident Scenario of HTR-PM Equilibrium Core Using NEAMS Tools

High-Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors (HTGRs) have excellent characteristics in terms of safety and high thermal efficiency, and they are gaining a large interest from the industry as a candidate of Gen-IV reactors for a wide range of applications. The High Temperature gas-cooled Reactor Pebble-bed Module project (HTR-PM) is one of these designs and where helium gas is used to cool the pebble-bed region that consists of spherical fuel elements moderated with graphite. The HTR-PM design is based on the combined experience from the German pebble-bed reactor program from the 1960s through the 1990s and the HTR-10 experience in China during the 2000s. Idaho National Laboratory has a long experience in modeling of HTGRs working in developing neutronics and thermal hydraulics tools for the proper modeling of these reactors. The neutronics code Griffin has the capability to model pebble depletion . While the thermal hydraulics code Pronghorn was developed mainly to model the pebble bed reactors with the porous media assumption. In this work, an equilibrium core Multiphysics model was developed for the HTR-PM reactor to analyze the depressurized loss of forced cooling accident scenario (DLOFC). This paper is organized as follows: First, a brief description of the reactor and model specifications are provided. Then, the developed Multiphysics model is discussed. Finally, verification results of the steady-state equilibrium core and DLOFC accident are presented followed by a summary of the conclusions.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Temperature sensitivity of the equilibrium neutronics and accident analysis of the HTR-10

Pebble-Bed High-Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors (PB-HTGR) are moderated by the graphite in the fuel pebbles and the graphite reflector surrounding the pebble-bed. Because graphite is by far the most abundant material in PB-HTGRs and the primary moderator, accurate modeling of the graphite material, including density, impurities, and temperatures, is crucial for accurate computational modeling and simulation of these reactors. While main characteristics of the graphite components are often known, the local temperature is less well known and often averaged over all components. Here, this work studies the impact of considering accurate temperature profiles in the graphite material on the generation of a small PB-HTGR model at the state of equilibrium operation and on short-term accident progression. The fuel compositions for the PB-HTGR were determined using a jump-in equilibrium modeling method, the Axial Radial Zone Equilibrium Modeling (AR-ZEM) method. In contrast to previous work, the AR-ZEM method was used considering thermal-hydraulic feedback from the MELCOR code to determine temperatures of the fuel pebbles and the surrounding graphite reflector. The consideration of an axial and radial temperature profile in the core and reflector, as opposed to uniform material temperatures, had an impact of almost 1,300 pcm on the equilibrium core eigenvalue and caused significant differences in the discharged plutonium fuel inventory with up to 4.9% and 11.0% for Pu-239 and Pu-242, respectively. To assess the impact on short-term accident progression, two Anticipated Transient Without SCRAM (ATWS) events, a Pressurized Loss of Forced Coolant (PLOFC) and a Control Rod Withdrawal (CRW) with loss of flow, were simulated with MELCOR. The use of temperature profiles in the equilibrium core models did not reveal a significant impact on the temperature, power, or reactivity responses during the transients. In conclusion, a need for consideration of accurate temperature profiles, in particular for the graphite reflector, was found for the generation of equilibrium PB-HTGRs core models using jump-in methods, but detailed temperature profiles may not be necessary when performing conservative transient analysis.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Reduced Order Models Generation for HTGRs Pebble Shuffling Procedure Optimization Studies

This report provides an initial study for producing reduced-order models (ROMs) of pebble-bed high temperature gas reactor (HTGR) models for the purposes of design optimization. As an initial study, this work is meant to be exploratory---identifying useful workflows and methods for ROM generation---and not meant to be a catch-all analysis of HTGR ROM generation and usage for optimization. This report summarizes three tasks performed in Fiscal Year 2022: 1) the creation of HTGR model, 2) the sensitivity analysis of model design parameters, and 3) an introduction to ROM generation techniques. The representative HTGR model created in this work is a multiphysics equilibrium-core using the BlueCRAB (comprehensive reactor analysis bundle) reactor analysis application, coupling four physical phenomena: neutronics, streamline depletion, porous flow thermal hydraulics, and pebble heat conduction. Part of the model creation was identifying some design parameters and quantities of interest that are relevant in an optimization analysis and adjustable in the model. The sensitivity analysis utilized a polynomial chaos expansion methodology to compute global sensitivity metrics. This analysis showed that thermal hydraulics parameters and quantities of interest had a relatively small impact on simulation results. Finally, the ROM generation work involved exploring three different ROM methodologies: polynomial regression, a Gaussian process, and artificial neural networks. Using a cross-validation technique to characterize ROM performance, the Gaussian process and single-layer artificial neural networks showed the most promising results. Overall, this study was insightful and the lessons learned will be invaluable for the eventual development of an HTGR design optimization workflow.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Projecting the Thermal Response in a HTGR-Type System during Conduction Cooldown Using Graph-Laplacian Based Machine Learning

Accurate prediction of an off-normal event in a nuclear reactor is dependent upon the availability of sensory data, reactor core physical condition, and understanding of the underlying phenomenon. This work presents a method to project the data from some discrete sensory locations to the overall reactor domain during conduction cooldown scenarios similar to High Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors (HTGRs). The existing models for conductive cooldown in a heterogeneous multi-body system, such as an assembly of prismatic blocks or pebble beds relies on knowledge of the thermal contact conductance, requiring significant knowledge of local thermal contacts and heat transport possibilities across those contacts. With a priori knowledge of bulk geometry features and some discrete sensors, a machine learning approach was devised. The presented work uses an experimental facility to mimic conduction cooldown with an assembly of 68 cylindrical rods initially heated to 1200 K. High-fidelity temperature data were collected using an infrared (IR) camera to provide training data to the model and validate the predicted temperature data. The machine learning approach used here first converts the macroscopic bulk geometry information into Graph-Laplacian, and then uses the eigenvectors of the Graph-Laplacian to develop Kernel functions. Support vector regression (SVR) was implemented on the obtained Kernels and used to predict the thermal response in a packed rod assembly during a conduction cooldown experiment. The usage of SVR modeling differs from most models today because of its representation of thermal coupling between rods in the core. When trained with thermographic data, the average normalized error is less than 2% over 400 s, during which temperatures of the assembly have dropped by more than 500 K. The rod temperature prediction performance was significantly better for rods in the interior of the assembly compared to those near the exterior, likely due to the model simplification of the surroundings.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2021

U.S. Domestic Pebble Bed Reactor: Security-by-Design

U.S. nuclear power facilities face increasing challenges in meeting dynamic security requirements caused by evolving and expanding threats while keeping cost reasonable to make nuclear energy competitive. The past approach has often included implementing security features after a facility has been designed and without attention to optimization, which can lead to cost overruns. Incorporating security in the design process can provide robust, cost effective, and sufficient physical protection systems. The purpose of this work is both to develop a framework for the integration of security into the design phase of High Temperature Gas Reactors (HTGRs) that utilize pebble-based fuels and increase the use of modeling and simulation tools to optimize the design of physical protection systems. Specifically, this effort focuses on integrating security into the design phase of a model HTGR that meets current Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) physical protection requirements and providing advanced solutions to improve physical protection and decrease costs. A suite of tools, including SCRIBE3D©, PATHTRACE© and Blender© were used to model a hypothetical, generic domestic HTGR facility. Physical protection elements such as sensors, cameras, barriers, and guard forces were added to the model based on best practices for physical protection systems. Multiple outsider sabotage scenarios were examined with four-to eight adversaries to determine security metrics. The results of this work will influence physical protection system designs and facility designs for U.S. domestic HTGRs. This work will also demonstrate how a series of experimental and modeling capabilities across the Department of Energy (DOE) Complex can impact the design of and complete Safeguards and Security by Design (SSBD) for SMRs. The conclusions and recommendations in this document may be applicable to all SMR designs.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Summary Report of the FY24 DOE Contributions to the GIF VHTR CMVB

The Generation-IV Forum (GIF) Very-High-Temperature Reactor-Computational Methods Validation and Benchmark (VHTR-CMVB) initiative, involving organizations from Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI) (South Korea), Institute of Nuclear and New Energy Technology of Tsinghua University (INET) (China), U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) (U.S.), Joint Research Centre (JRC) (Europe), and Japan Atomic Energy Agency (JAEA) (Japan), is dedicated to the verification and validation of tools for High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactors (HTGRs) analysis, using data shared by Computational Methods Validation and Benchmark (CMVB) signatories. For FY24, the US DOE CMVB has committed to several critical activities. Under WP1, led by the US, the integration of the High Temperature Gas Cooled Reactor - Pebble-Bed Module (HTR-PM) Phenomena Identification and Ranking Table (PIRT) into the comparative PIRT is progressing, with a new draft of the comparison tables issued earlier this year and currently being utilized by INET for their contribution. Neutronic validation efforts under WP3 include the preparation of the burnup analysis benchmark, preliminary calculations, and the development of reference models and results. In WP2, a validation exercise for hot gas mixing in the lower plenum of HTR-PM is in progress, using experimental data from INET (China) to validate modeling approaches. A model of the experimental facility has been developed using StarCCM+, with initial calculations slated for presentation at the GIF CMVB meeting this fall. Another WP2 activity focuses on validating numerical models for air-cooled Reactor Cavity Cooling System (RCCS) with experimental data from the Wisconsin Madison RCCS facility. A high-fidelity model, developed using NEK-RS, is currently being validated with available data from a low power forced convection test. These efforts are aimed at enhancing and confirming the accuracy of HTGR analysis tools, ensuring their alignment with experimental data and regulatory requirements.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Scoping Analysis of Pebble-Bed Reactors for the Destruction of the Transuranic Inventory of LWR Spent Nuclear Fuel

With the forecasted increase in the construction and operation of nuclear reactors, there will be a corresponding increase in the quantity of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) that requires long-term storage. In SNF, transuranic isotopes contribute the most to the long-term radiotoxicity of the fuel and pose a proliferation risk. One option that has been explored to address these issues is the removal of the transuranic isotopes from SNF and the conversion of these isotopes into transuranic fuel (TRU fuel). Here, this work sought to determine how effective a micro-modular Pebble-Bed High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactor (PB-HTGR); the 10-MW High Temperature Gas-cooled Test Reactor (HTR-10); and a salt-cooled small-modular pebble-bed reactor (PBR), i.e. the generic Fluoride-cooled High-temperature Reactor (gFHR), are at reducing the inventory of transuranic isotopes while still maintaining the intrinsic safety features of the PBR designs, such as negative temperature coefficients of reactivity. Optimized pebble designs utilizing TRU fuel were found for both reactors through the adjustment for the packing fraction of fuel in each pebble. The Axial Zone Equilibrium Modeling (A-ZEM) method was used in this work to help select the optimized pebble design. Once an optimized pebble design was selected and an equilibrium model was produced, the results from the deep burn (DB) HTR-10 and gFHR designs were compared to the results of two models from the literature. While both the DB gFHR and the DB HTR-10 were able to reduce the weapons-usable transuranic inventory, the performance of these reactors did not match that of the small-modular PB-HTGRs in the literature. Therefore, a need was identified for further refinement of the gFHR design using TRU fuel, as the results for this model were more promising than those of the DB HTR-10, which was strongly limited by the high leakage intrinsic to micro-modular PB-HTGRs.

Transuranic fuel↗
DOE OSTI2025

CFD Simulations of Lower Plenum Mixing

Review of model development and validation performed in the Advanced Reactor Technologies (ART) program for thermal mixing at the outlet of High Temperature Gas Reactors (HTGRs). Understanding the mixing that occurs in the lower plenum in an HTGR is necessary to facilitate design improvements and to perform reactor safety analysis. Numerical models are one possible approach to gain a better understanding of mixing in the lower plenum. Given the complexity of the geometry and the intense mixing present, it is important to perform validation of numerical models. Three models have been developed during FY2025: a porous media with Pronghorn, a Reynolds Averaged Navier Stokes (RANS) with STAR-CCM+, and a Large Eddy Simulation (LES) with NekRS. The reference facility is a scaled-down version of the lower plenum of the High Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactor - Pebble-bed Module (HTR-PM) demonstration reactor. Preliminary results of the porous media and the RANS shows general good agreement against experimental benchmark data. Future work will leverage high-fidelity results obtained through LES to guide model selection and improvements to the lower-fidelity models, with particular attention to the Pronghorn porous media.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

First-Principles Cost Analysis of Advanced High-Temperature Nuclear Plants

Due to the vast number of recent nuclear reactor innovations, particularly those pertaining to generation IV reactor types like high-temperature gas cooled reactors (HTGRs) and sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs), and the newer deployment strategies envisioned, such as use of small modular reactors (SMRs) or even microreactors, reliable, detailed, and complete costs of these nuclear innovations are needed in wide availability. The types of models that generally achieve these objectives are those incorporating the fundamental nature of the real-world systems they aspire to predict, such as first-principles models. Furthermore, first principles models typically offer predictiveness that is not attained by most other types of individual-models. However, detailed, first-principles cost modeling of nuclear reactors and entire nuclear plants is relatively limited. To address this limitation in the availability of detailed, predictive models based on fundamentals, we recently developed a range of cost models, mostly based on first-principles methodologies, to project full lifecycle costs (LCCs) of nuclear power plants (NPPs) based on multiple parallel SM-HTG-pebble bed reactors (PBRs) and SM-SFRs.

Prosser, Jacob H. [Strategic Analysis, Inc., Arlin↗
DOE OSTI2025

First-Principles Cost Analysis of Advanced High-Temperature Nuclear Plants

Due to the vast number of recent nuclear reactor innovations, particularly those pertaining to generation IV reactor types like high-temperature gas cooled reactors (HTGRs) and sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs), and the newer deployment strategies envisioned, such as use of small modular reactors (SMRs) or even microreactors, reliable, detailed, and complete costs of these nuclear innovations are needed in wide availability. The types of models that generally achieve these objectives are those incorporating the fundamental nature of the real-world systems they aspire to predict, such as first-principles models. Furthermore, first principles models typically offer predictiveness that is not attained by most other types of individual-models. However, detailed, first-principles cost modeling of nuclear reactors and entire nuclear plants is relatively limited. To address this limitation in the availability of detailed, predictive models based on fundamentals, we recently developed a range of cost models, mostly based on first-principles methodologies, to project full lifecycle costs (LCCs) of nuclear power plants (NPPs) based on multiple parallel SM-HTG-pebble bed reactors (PBRs) and SM-SFRs.

Prosser, Jacob H. [Strategic Analysis, Inc., Arlin↗