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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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pvplr-python: Python package implementation of PVplr for Performance Loss Rate (PLR) analysis

Due to software fragmentation, PV system modeling teams can be limited to language specific packages, preventing cross-sectional analysis of different modeling techniques and workflows. To this end, PVplr, a popular PV performance modeling R software package, has been ported to the Python programming language. To verify and test the robustness of the port, NSRDB data has been used to simulated PV installations at native resolution (~2 million Sites), with a variety of degradation rates, degradation patterns, and modules. Performance Ratios were calculated using the ported functions from pvplr-python and compared against Rdtools YoY values. Due to the complicated nature of degradation, a new metric has been proposed to quantify the performance loss of a system. The cumulative production loss, is the total amount of energy lost due to the degrading performance of the system. Cumulative production loss alleviates the problems with fitting linear functions to non-linear degradation. Cumulative Production loss was shown to better estimate the total lost revenue for non-linear degradation patterns. $XbX + UTC$ was found to most accurately predict the total lost revenue in simulated systems.

Kumar, Suraj

Spatial control of perilacunar canalicular remodeling during lactation

Abstract Osteocytes locally remodel their surrounding tissue through perilacunar canalicular remodeling (PLR). During lactation, osteocytes remove minerals to satisfy the metabolic demand, resulting in increased lacunar volume, quantifiable with synchrotron X-ray radiation micro-tomography (SRµCT). Although the effects of lactation on PLR are well-studied, it remains unclear whether PLR occurs uniformly throughout the bone and what mechanisms prevent PLR from undermining bone quality. We used SRµCT imaging to conduct an in-depth spatial analysis of the impact of lactation and osteocyte-intrinsic MMP13 deletion on PLR in murine bone. We found larger lacunae undergoing PLR are located near canals in the mid-cortex or endosteum. We show lactation-induced hypomineralization occurs 14 µm away from lacunar edges, past a hypermineralized barrier. Our findings reveal that osteocyte-intrinsic MMP13 is crucial for lactation-induced PLR near lacunae in the mid-cortex but not for whole-bone resorption. This research highlights the spatial control of PLR on mineral distribution during lactation.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

Molecular basis and biological relevance of bacterial and plant pinoresinol/lariciresinol reductase specificities

A bacterial pinoresinol/lariciresinol reductase (PLR) homolog named NrPinZ was obtained from a Novosphingobium rhizosphaerae sp. LY bacterial strain, with NrPinZ being part of its 5-step biochemical system catabolizing pinoresinol into coniferyl aldehyde and vanillin. Recombinant NrPinZ reduces racemic 8–8′ furanofuran lignans [(±)-pinoresinols, medioresinols, and syringaresinols] with similar overall catalytic efficiencies. In those reductions, only one of the two furan ring systems is reduced. Two other bacterial PLR homologs, NaPinZ and SlPinZ, from N. aromaticivorans F199 and Sphingobium lignivorans SYK-6, respectively, had comparable substrate versatilities and catalytic efficacies. Plant PLR homologs, by comparison, are either enantiospecific, enantioselective, or variants thereof, being able to reduce either one or both furan rings. For example, a recombinant enantioselective PLR (PLR_Tp2) from western red cedar (Thuja plicata) preferentially reduces both (+)-pinoresinol furan rings to afford (−)-secoisolariciresinol. BoltZ-2 modeling of NrPinZ and PLR_Tp2, together with substrate docking of (+)- and (−)-pinoresinols, medioresinols, and syringaresinols, was very instructive. The NrPinZ active site P1/P2 sub-pockets allow for both racemic forms to be catabolized. Conversely, the smaller P1 pocket in PLR_Tp2 preferentially positions (+)-pinoresinol for downstream metabolism into (−)-secoisolariciresinol, thereby providing a biochemical explanation for the different stereochemical outcomes. NrPinZ, NaPinZ, and SlPinZ, catalyzing substrate versatile catabolism of both racemic forms, may have important ramifications for gymnosperm and angiosperm lignin and lignan biodegradation, including its evolutionary significance and potential in enzyme engineering.

Boltz-2 molecular modeling

Energy characteristics of multi-chiller load distribution algorithms in a large office building

Here, this study evaluates the energy efficiency of multi-chiller systems in large office buildings, focusing on their optimization across various climate zones as defined by ASHRAE. Using EnergyPlus for simulations, the research examines five different load distribution algorithms in multi-chiller systems that range from one to ten chillers, aiming to understand their effectiveness in 15 distinct climate zones. The primary objectives of the study include identifying the energy efficiency of multi-chiller systems in each climate zone, determining the appropriate number of chillers for each zone, and evaluating the performance of the load distribution algorithms. Based on the U.S. Department of Energy’s commercial building model, the results suggest that multi-chiller systems can significantly reduce cooling energy consumption in various climates. Among the algorithms evaluated, the Sequential Uniform Part Load Ratio (SUPLR) algorithm demonstrates notable efficiency, especially in the 4A climate zone (Baltimore), where it achieves substantial energy savings. Applying the SUPLR algorithm in a multi-chiller setup with four chillers in this zone leads to an estimated 24.5 % reduction in energy usage, equivalent to 183 MW annually. The research indicates that a range of 3 to 5 chillers is typically optimal for most climate zones. In-depth analysis in the 4A climate zone highlights the importance of minimizing operation hours at low Part Load Ratios (PLR) to ensure that chillers operate at a high Coefficient of Performance (COP). This strategy underscores the potential of well-designed multi-chiller systems to reduce cooling energy demand, particularly in climates with transitional seasons. This study provides an overview of the energy-saving potential of multi-chiller systems, applicable across a variety of climatic scenarios.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI

A practical control strategy for demand flexibility with ensured occupant comfort in grid-interactive efficient buildings

This study proposes a practical and simplified demand response (DR) control strategy from the perspective of grid-interactive efficient buildings (GEBs), aiming to secure demand flexibility while ensuring occupant thermal comfort. Focusing on summer on-peak periods, a linear demand response (LDR) strategy that integrates cooling setpoint adjustment and lighting dimming was designed, and its performance was quantitatively evaluated. A case study was conducted using EnergyPlus-based simulations for a U.S. DOE small office prototype building under summer on-peak weather conditions. Compared with a conventional rapid demand response (RDR) strategy, the proposed LDR approach gradually reduced electrical loads while maintaining occupant thermal comfort indices, including predicted mean vote (PMV) and predicted percentage of dissatisfied (PPD), within acceptable comfort ranges. Quantitative analysis of demand flexibility using the grid-interactive impact index (GII) and the flexibility strength index (FSI) showed that the LDR strategy provided approximately 12.5% demand flexibility during DR periods and achieved an electricity cost reduction of about 8.8%. In addition, the results of the part-load ratio (PLR)-based cooling system performance analysis showed that, in the on-peak period, the LDR strategy exhibited improved cooling performance compared with the baseline. Overall, this study shows the potential of a practical DR control strategy that can simultaneously achieve occupant comfort and demand flexibility without relying on complex advanced control technologies.

Jung, Dong Eun

Advanced Signal Decomposition Analysis and Anomaly Detection in Photovoltaic Systems

With the rapid expansion of large-scale photovoltaic (PV) plants, it is paramount for solar stakeholders to understand the reliability and efficiency of their plants to inform maintenance decisions, increase production, and understand the design factors that impact performance. Diagnosing underperformance in PV plants is challenging due to the relatively few monitoring points with respect to the large geographic footprint of the plant. This work introduces a cutting-edge method that transforms the analysis and management of key factors influencing PV plant performance, including performance loss rate (PLR), recoverable soiling, and major system changes. Identifying these factors is critical for deriving actionable insights. Leveraging advanced analytical techniques such as wavelet transformation, robust regression, and extreme point analysis, this approach provides a nuanced understanding of these factors. This method has been tested across two synthetic datasets and one real dataset, consistently surpassing existing benchmarks by achieving a lower median mean absolute error and reduced error variability across all comparable components.

14 SOLAR ENERGY

Machine Learning Framework for Conotoxin Class and Molecular Target Prediction

Conotoxins are small and highly potent neurotoxic peptides derived from the venom of marine cone snails which have captured the interest of the scientific community due to their pharmacological potential. These toxins display significant sequence and structure diversity, which results in a wide range of specificities for several different ion channels and receptors. Despite the recognized importance of these compounds, our ability to determine their binding targets and toxicities remains a significant challenge. Predicting the target receptors of conotoxins, based solely on their amino acid sequence, remains a challenge due to the intricate relationships between structure, function, target specificity, and the significant conformational heterogeneity observed in conotoxins with the same primary sequence. We have previously demonstrated that the inclusion of post-translational modifications, collisional cross sections values, and other structural features, when added to the standard primary sequence features, improves the prediction accuracy of conotoxins against non-toxic and other toxic peptides across varied datasets and several different commonly used machine learning classifiers. Here, we present the effects of these features on conotoxin class and molecular target predictions, in particular, predicting conotoxins that bind to nicotinic acetylcholine receptors (nAChRs). We also demonstrate the use of the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE)-Tomek in balancing the datasets while simultaneously making the different classes more distinct by reducing the number of ambiguous samples which nearly overlap between the classes. In predicting the alpha, mu, and omega conotoxin classes, the SMOTE-Tomek PCA PLR model, using the combination of the SS and P feature sets establishes the best performance with an overall accuracy (OA) of 95.95%, with an average accuracy (AA) of 93.04%, and an f1 score of 0.959. Using this model, we obtained sensitivities of 98.98%, 89.66%, and 90.48% when predicting alpha, mu, and omega conotoxin classes, respectively. Similarly, in predicting conotoxins that bind to nAChRs, the SMOTE-Tomek PCA SVM model, which used the collisional cross sections (CCSs) and the P feature sets, demonstrated the highest performance with 91.3% OA, 91.32% AA, and an f1 score of 0.9131. The sensitivity when predicting conotoxins that bind to nAChRs is 91.46% with a 91.18% sensitivity when predicting conotoxins that do not bind to nAChRs.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES

PV Lifetime Project - 2025 NLR Annual Report

DOE's PV Lifetime project was initiated in 2016 with the goal of accurately characterizing the early-life evolution of photovoltaic (PV) field performance. Different PV cell and module technologies result in different initial degradation rates due to effects like light-induced degradation (LID) and light and elevated temperature-induced degradation (LeTID). To accurately characterize the initial field degradation of maximum power (Pmp) requires the use of high-accuracy indoor IV curve measurements at standard test conditions. Therefore, PV modules involved in this study are removed from the field once or twice per year and brought indoors for measurement under constant temperature and irradiance conditions. Overall annual degradation rates are as follows: our first modules to be deployed (Jinko, Trina, QCells) have annual median degradation rate between -0.4%/yr and -0.5%/yr mainly concentrated in the first year. Mission Solar, LG and Panasonic modules are all displaying modest degradation, better than -0.3% / year. Indeed, Mission Solar fielded modules degraded less than their control modules which remain indoors and un-exposed. This is also true for the LONGi monofacial modules, which had some field degradation, but not as much as the degradation of the indoor control modules. The LONGi bifacial modules on the other hand have degraded more in the field than their monofacial counterparts, although still a modest amount (-0.4 %/yr). Of the four newest module types in the study, only one has had better than average degradation. REC360NP2 (N-type TOPCon) had a slight performance increase over the first year and a half of field deployment. For the other three new module types (plus one older module type), degradation was more rapid. In our study of 16 module types, four have demonstrated degradation faster than -1%/yr: two N-type Heterojunction, one PERC bifacial and one PERC shingled module. The two heterojunction modules in our study are degrading the most rapidly. Sunpreme n-HIT bifacial modules are showing a loss rate around -1.5%/yr, for over -10% total to date. This is largely attributed to loss in front-side Isc. This is distinct from the REC 405AA-Pure modules which have degraded -6.8% in only a year and a half, for an annualized decline of -3.9 %/yr. For this module type, the decline is roughly half in Voc, with the remaining split between FF and Isc. Of the remaining two module types, Prism Solar PERC bifacial has declined -5% total since 2019, although this loss appears to have stabilized in the most recent measurement. The Solaria PowerX-400R Shingled module type has also lost around -3.2% in the first 1.5 years of field deployment. It remains to be seen if these losses will continue with time.

14 SOLAR ENERGY

PV Fleet Performance Data Initiative 2026 Update

We provide an update on the PV Fleet Performance Data Initiative at the 2026 PV Reliability Workshop. Our latest runs incorporate additional data sources and an integrated analysis pipeline run on our Kestrel HPC cluster. Initial degradation findings suggest that single-axis tracked PV systems exhibit higher performance loss rates than fixed-tilt systems, an increase of 0.5 %/yr, almost double. We discuss multiple methods for identifying stuck tracker rows, which are suspected to be a contributor to the enhanced degradation. Through satellite image detection and data-driven approaches we address the topic of identifying when stuck trackers are occuring and to what extent the problem exists. Preliminary results suggest that the increased performance loss detected for the tracked systems would be consistent with stuck tracker rows affecting on the order of 5% - 10% of the system.

14 SOLAR ENERGY

Automating Detection and Diagnosis of Faults, Failures, and Underperformance in PV Plants

The project developed hybrid physics-based and machine-learning methods for near-real-time detection of balance-of-system faults (e.g., string, combiner, and tracker outages) in utility-scale Photovoltaic plants, achieving over 50% true positive rates with under 10% false positives and significantly reducing engineering setup time. In the extended phase, the scope expanded to plant-level underperformance analysis and industry benchmarking through the SUPER.epri.com platform. SUPER standardizes data processing and performance metrics across more than 9 GWac and 120+ plants, enabling robust comparisons and insights into loss rates, inverter downtime, and capacity degradation.

14 SOLAR ENERGY