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DOE OSTI2025

Recovery of postconsumer mechanically recycled polymers

Mechanical recycling plays a key role in reducing landfill bound plastics that pollute our environment. This process converts plastic waste into marketable pellets by sorting, cleaning, grinding into flakes, compounding in the molten state, and ultimately pelletizing. A primary restriction for the widescale usage of mechanical recycling is the highly variable quality and mechanical properties of the plastic waste feedstock. Degradation can occur during the plastic life cycle with the consumer, during the mechanical processing itself, or during the complex sorting process required to produce the feedstock. This study explores how rheological characterization can mitigate the batch-to-batch variability and identify a potential application for each batch. Shear and extensional rheology of “application-specific” virgin high-density polyethylene (HDPE) and virgin polypropylene (PP) was used as the control for this categorization process. Recycled HDPE and PP from three different streams were then measured and compared to the results from the control study. Rheological measurements proved to be very effective at providing sufficient differentiation to categorize the recycled polymer as suitable for different applications such as injection molding, blow molding, or thermoforming. Finally, the usage of an additional step to sort the recycled polymers by their initial use application was found to achieve a remarkably consistent recovery of application-specific material properties. Furthermore, this secondary sorting could provide significant added value for mechanically recycled polymers.

Differential scanning calorimetry↗

DOE OSTI2025

Meshfree simulation and prediction of recrystallized grain size in friction stir processed 316L stainless steel

Friction stir processing (FSP) is a promising solid-phase microstructural modification technique that can repair and enhance damaged stainless steel surfaces exposed to harsh environments. The quality of the repaired material is closely correlated to the recrystallized grain size in the stir zone (SZ), which is influenced by the thermomechanical conditions dictated by FSP process parameters. Thus, establishing a reliable relationship between these parameters and recrystallized grain size in the SZ is crucial for optimizing repair quality. However, existing experimental approaches often rely on indirect temperatures measured far from the SZ, along with rough strain rate estimations, which are imprecise and time-consuming. Meanwhile, existing mesh-based modeling methods usually face numerical challenges when dealing with the large material deformations inherent in FSP. Here, to address these issues, this study introduces a meshfree process model for FSP based on the smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH) method, aimed at predicting process conditions under different parameters. The model is validated using experimental data from 11 combinations of tool traverse and rotation speeds on 316 L stainless steel. Correlations between process parameters, material flow, temperature, strain, strain rate, and recrystallized grain size are revealed through SPH simulations and electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) imaging. The results show that in situ SZ temperatures range from 1071 to 1322°C, which exceed the tool temperature by over 300°C. Furthermore, SZ temperature, strain rate, and grain size increase monotonically with higher tool temperature and faster traverse speed. A relationship is then established between the model-predicted Zener-Hollomon parameter and the recrystallized grain size based on EBSD data, expressed as ln(d) = -0.364 ln(Z) + 14.673. Finally, this relationship exhibits satisfactory accuracy with errors of less than 26.9% in predicting grain sizes at various SZ locations, which offers valuable insights for optimizing FSP repair processes for 316 L stainless steel.

316L stainless steel↗

DOE OSTI2026

Refining a Novel Process Monitoring Method to Safeguard Continuously Cycling Designs Using Isotopic Ratios

In advanced reactor (AR) designs, a common feature is continuous chemical processing and circulation of the nuclear material. This work bridges a significant measurement gap in safeguarding reactors with circulating fuel or continuous refueling by leveraging and building on the isotope ratio method first developed by our team under an FY21 Advanced Reactors International Safeguards Engagement (ARISE) project (Uribe et al. 2021). In circulating fuel designs, the radioisotope inventory changes from traditional effects (e.g., radioactive decay, fission) but also includes material transport due to pressure and temperature gradients. Such designs may also require regular or continuous additions or removals during operation, which significantly increases the rate of inventory change compared to traditional pressurized water reactor (PWR)s. Thus, directly tracking the nuclear inventory is ineffective since the isotopes are continuously added and removed. The isotope ratio method instead focuses on detecting changes to the input and output flows of radioisotopes. Previous work showed that for well-chosen pairs of isotopes, the isotopic ratio provides a sensitive and lasting indicator of deviation from normal conditions (e.g., startup, shutdown, diversion). The isotope ratio method is a process monitoring method with potential for application in for forward-looking approaches to International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards. The original process monitoring method was developed for a specific case—the decay tank of a thorium-fueled molten salt breeder reactor. In this expanded work, we explored other types of reactors and processes with nonstationary (e.g., flowing) nuclear material, which are difficult to safeguard with traditional methods because of the transient nature of the systems. The goal of the present work is to generalize the isotope ratio method for use in processes with continuously flowing nuclear material. All continuous processes have an average time for isotopes to be replaced in the system. The isotope ratio method works by choosing radioisotopes with half-lives both above and below the processing time. The present work seeks to explore which isotopes are suitable for the method by simulating the nuclear inventory, radioisotope emissions, and detector responses for several classes of advanced reactors. While the method can in principle be applied to other processes (e.g., enrichment or reprocessing facilities), the present work limits scope to ARs with continuously flowing fuel. Section 2 details the mathematics supporting the isotope ratio method, and Section 3 introduces the representative ARs selected for this work. Section 4 discusses how each reactor was analyzed, and Section 5 showcases the results for each representative reactor. Finally, Section 6 provides concluding remarks and suggests pathways for further analysis.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

DOE OSTI2025

Autonomous Synthesis of Metastable Materials Using a Modular Mixed-Flow Reactor

Understanding and controlling atomic-level processes at solid-liquid interfaces is key to advancing technologies in energy storage, carbon capture, critical element recovery, and materials synthesis. Many of these processes are dominated by the formation of short-lived intermediate precipitates that determine the final properties of synthesized materials. However, studying these intermediates is challenging due to their sensitivity and the reliance on trial-and-error methods. To address this, we developed an automated variable-volume mixed-flow reactor (MFR) to optimize metastable material synthesis and investigate rapid kinetic processes. This state-of-the-art MFR system, paired with an automated modeling framework, enables efficient synthesis and real-time analysis of transient phases. Benchmarking with advanced capabilities, such as wide-/small-angle X-ray scattering, allows us to resolve fast nucleation and growth dynamics that were previously inaccessible. By combining automation, ML-guided optimization, and tailored kinetic modeling, this approach provides a robust platform for improving material design and achieving precise control over solid-liquid reactions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Processing behavior evolution of recycled polypropylene: An integrated experimental and Computer-Aided engineering simulation study

Polypropylene (PP) comprises 21% of global plastics production and 18% of plastics waste, yet less than 1% of solid-waste PP is recycled in the United States (U.S.), representing significant environmental and economic challenges. Mechanical recycling, the most prevalent recycling method, subject's materials to thermomechanical stresses, which typically degrade polymer properties, affecting the quality of polymer products. This study replicates the impact of mechanical recycling through multiple extrusion cycles to examine the effects on PP's processing behavior. Dynamic scanning calorimetry (DSC) measurements showed stable melting behavior across all processing conditions, while crystallization analysis exhibited consistent shifts in kinetic parameters. Rheological characterization demonstrated progressive viscosity reductions through successive cycles, particularly pronounced at elevated reprocessing temperatures. Here, the integration of this experimental data into injection molding simulations showed that recycled PP maintains viable processing characteristics. Our findings establish quantitative correlations between processing history and material behavior, enabling optimization of processing parameters directly rather than relying on trial-and-error approaches. While these results reflect idealized recycling conditions with minimal contamination, they provide a framework for understanding fundamental property evolution during mechanical recycling.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Multiscale Approach to Simulate Non‐Isothermal Multiphase Flow in Deformable Porous Materials

Coupled thermal, hydraulic, and mechanical processes in porous materials play important roles in several energy and environmental technologies. The Darcy-Brinkman-Biot (DBB) framework has proven effective in modeling multiphase fluid flow in deformable porous solids across both pore and Darcy scales, including in systems where fractures coexist with a porous matrix. In this study, we extend the DBB framework, originally designed for isothermal conditions, to address non-isothermal problems by incorporating an energy conservation equation. The resulting solver, hybridBiotThermalInterFoam, enables simulations of coupled multiphase fluid flow, heat transfer, and solid deformation in hybrid-scale systems containing both solid-free regions and ductile porous domains. The new solver is validated through comparisons with analytical solutions and, also, against established heat transfer solvers chtMultiRegionFoam and compressibleInterFoam. Further, a series of 2D and 3D case studies, including two-phase heat transfer in solid-free, static, or deformable porous media, highlights the solver's capacity to simulate complex flow dynamics and heat transport in systems involving high mobility ratios, viscous fingering, and fracture propagation. Our results establish the feasibility of incorporating thermal effects in simulations of a wide variety of energy geotechnics and environmental applications, including enhanced hydrocarbon recovery, soil remediation, and enhanced geothermal energy systems.

04 OIL SHALES AND TAR SANDS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Exploring anomalous electron decay in nanosecond repetitively pulsed discharges

Nanosecond pulsed discharges (typical pulse duration of about 10 nanoseconds) have attracted widespread attention due to their wide range of applications in plasma-assisted combustion and aerodynamic flow control, biomedicine, nanotechnology, and materials processing. This project investigated the plasma dynamics of nanosecond discharges in a pin-to-pin configuration using a combined experimental and theoretical modeling approach, leveraging the expertise and resources of Purdue University and the Princeton Collaborative Research Facility (PCRF).

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Are the U.S. Biorefineries Over the Hurdle of 2000 Ton Daily Throughput Yet?

The efficient utilization of lignocellulosic biomass for biofuel and biochemical production is hindered by material handling issues such as clogging and segregation among other challenges. Preprocessing methods such as drying, screening, and milling have improved conversion yield but have not sufficiently enhanced flowability, especially herbaceous biomass. The poor flowability of herbaceous biomass is rooted in some particle attributes that remain less altered by those methods, e.g., irregular particle shape, high roughness, and high compressibility, making it hard to scale up throughput to a key benchmark for a biorefinery – 2000 ton per day. Applying additional preprocessing methods like pelletization and torrefaction to drastically change those particle attributes can improve flow and handling but has not been comprehensively verified through test. The flowability of herbaceous biomass feedstock formats generated by three different preprocessing methods was recently assessed at Idaho National Laboratory’s Biomass Feedstock National User Facility: first, loose particles size reduced from as-received materials; second, pellets produced from an efficient densification process; and third, powders milled from torrefied pellets. Benchmarking tests including static angle of repose, basic flow energy measured in a powder rheometer, and discharge flow in an adjustable hopper, were conducted to evaluate those feedstock formats. Beyond the capacity of existing experimental apparatuses, a digital engineering approach involving flow simulations and AI models were used to identity the material attributes and processing parameters that have dominant influences on flow throughput. Techno-economic analysis focusing on hopper flow as a typical material handling operation was conducted for those feedstock formats. Perspectives will be discussed on whether the 2000-ton daily throughput for a biorefinery is achievable at an acceptable cost by using any of the tested preprocessing methods.

09 - BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Heat transfer coefficients of moving particle beds from flow-dependent thermal conductivity and near-wall resistance

Accurate determination of heat transfer coefficients for flowing packed particle beds is essential to the design of particle heat exchangers and other thermal and thermochemical equipment. While such dense granular flows mostly fall into the well-known plug-flow regime, the discrete nature of granular materials alters the thermal transport processes in both the near-wall and bulk regions of flowing particle beds from their stationary counterparts. As a result, heat transfer correlations based on the stationary particle bed thermal conductivity could be inadequate for flowing particles in a heat exchanger. Most earlier works have achieved a reasonable agreement with experiments by treating granular heat transfer media as a plug-flow continuum with a near-wall thermal resistance in series. However, the thermal conductivity values of the continuum were often obtained from measurements on stationary beds owing to the difficulty of flowing bed measurements. In this work, it was found that the properties of a stationary bed are highly sensitive to the method of particle packing and there is a decrease in the particle bed thermal conductivity and increase in the near-wall thermal resistance, measured as an effective air gap thickness, on the onset of particle flow. These variations in thermal conductivity of stationary and flowing particle beds can lead to errors in heat transfer coefficient calculations. Therefore, the heat transfer coefficients for granular flows were calculated using experimentally determined flowing particle bed thermal conductivity and near-wall air gap for ceramic particles – CARBO CP 40/100 (mean diameter = 275 µm), HSP 40/70 (404 µm) and HSP 16/30 (956 µm); at velocities of 5–15 mm·s –1 ; and temperatures of 300–650 °C. The thermal conductivity and air gap values for CP 40/100 and HSP 40/70 were further used to calculate heat transfer coefficients across different particle bed temperatures and velocities for different parallel-plate heat exchanger dimensions. Furthermore, these calculations, which show good agreement with measured HTC values reported in literature, can be used as a guide for heat exchanger designs. Graphical abstract

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Interparticle Characterization of Mechanical Biomass Particle-Particle and Particle-Wall Interactions

The biomass materials industry faces significant challenges in managing material variability and its impact on storage and handling systems. Physical properties such as moisture content, particle size, and density fluctuate considerably, leading to operational issues like bridging and ratholing that disrupt material flow. These variations create a complex cascade effect throughout the process chain, affecting transportation, storage, and conversion processes. The economic consequences of this variability manifest in increased operational costs, maintenance requirements, and system downtime. Environmental factors further complicate the situation, as weather conditions and seasonal availability influence material properties and system performance. Engineers employ specialized equipment design, material characterization protocols, and pre-processing steps like size reduction and homogenization to address these challenges. A critical knowledge gap exists between continuous-level constitutive models and particle-scale behavior. This project developed a novel device to quantify interparticle mechanics between biomass particles, measuring friction and adhesion forces between particles and wall materials. The research focused on corn stover and southern pine forest residue, creating a comprehensive database of particle interactions. This breakthrough enables direct application in particle-based computational modeling, advancing the field's understanding of biomass handling characteristics and supporting the development of more reliable and efficient storage and handling systems. The project's outcomes contribute significantly to understanding biomass's mechanical and flow characteristics, particularly how variability at the particle level affects larger-scale handling operations. This knowledge is crucial for engineering feedstock supply systems that consistently meet quality and cost specifications for various conversion processes. The innovative experimental setup developed through this research represents a significant advancement in biomass characterization methodology. Providing precise measurements of particle-level interactions establishes a foundation for more accurate predictive modeling of bulk material behavior. This enhanced understanding of fundamental particle mechanics enables engineers to anticipate better and address handling challenges before they manifest in full-scale operations. This research opens new avenues for optimizing biomass handling systems through data-driven design approaches. The comprehensive database of particle interactions serves as a valuable resource for future research and development efforts, potentially leading to more efficient and cost-effective biomass processing solutions. This advancement in particle-level mechanics could revolutionize how biomass handling systems are designed and operated, contributing to more sustainable and reliable renewable energy production.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Direct Processing of Lithium Chloride Based Waste Salt in a Ceramic Waste Form

Ceramic waste form materials were fabricated with a LiCl based salt mixture to demonstrate the suitability of direct processing of waste salt from an all LiCl pyroprocessing flow sheet on the formation, microstructure, and durability of ceramic waste forms. Materials were successfully synthesized by using the simplified direct processing technique with salt loadings of 5, 7.5, and 10 wt% at the laboratory scale. Materials fabricated with LiCl based salt indicated full conversion of zeolite to sodalite occurred to form products with low open porosity. This indicates that the Na 2 O content of NBS4 glass is suitable for processing salt chemistries which do not contain NaCl. Generated sodalite was microencapsulated by the glass binder, halite occlusions were detected within sodalite domains at all salt loadings, and a Cs-rich phase believed to be Cs-pollucite was detected in the material made with the lowest salt loading (5 wt%). Salt inclusions were encapsulated within the binder glass at all loadings, and found to consist primarily of NaCl with Cs present. A small amount of salt was found at the surface of the wasteform made with the highest salt loading of 10 wt%, which may indicate an upper limit to the amount of salt that can be accommodated or incomplete mechanical mixing of the reagents. Durability testing by using the ASTM C1308 method indicated that initial rapid dissolution of exposed halite inclusion phases was directly correlated to salt loading. Wasteform degradation during all tests occurred primarily due to dissolution of the sodalite phase. Durability of the binder glass was found to increase as the waste salt loading increased. Results for the release of cations from the salt indicate the changes in wasteform durability and halite inclusion chemistry are strongly influenced by ion exchange phenomena between the salt and the glass. This appears to be the result of the relatively stronger affinity for the glass phase of Li, compared to that of other cations such as Na and Cs. The effects from cation exchange were diminished at lower salt loadings.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2024

Hydrogen embrittlement of Zircaloy-4 fabricated by ultrasonic additive manufacturing

Ultrasonic additive manufacturing (UAM) was successfully applied to the zirconium material system to create a planar geometry. Following fabrication, SS-J3 type tensile specimens of the UAM and wrought Zircaloy-4 with a nominal gage section of 5×1.2×0.75 mm were machined for hydriding studies and mechanical testing. The SS-J3 type tensile specimens were gas-charged with hydrogen using a custom system that precisely controls hydrogen gas flow rate, hydrogen partial pressure, and temperature. To avoid altering the UAM material, the maximum process temperature was limited to 550°C. Using different initial hydrogen gas pressures and flow rates, various hydrogen contents (70–1755 wppm) were achieved for Zircaloy-4 specimens. Tensile testing shows that, regardless of hydrogen content, all UAM specimens measured yield strengths in the range of 557±16 MPa and ultimate tensile strengths of 660±4MPa. However, total elongation clearly decreased as a function of increasing hydrogen content. Further, at the lowest hydrogen content, the total plastic elongation measured 21.5%, and this value decreased to less than 2% when the hydrogen content was increased to 1000 wppm. Cross-sectional optical microscopy images revealed that the hydride distributions are randomly oriented. For the low hydrogen content specimen, these randomly distributed hydrides are isolated from each other. A sandwiched structure, consisting of high-density and low-density layers, was also observed for the specimens with hydrogen content between 200 and 400 wppm. As the hydrogen content increases, the hydrides diffuse into the low-density hydride layers to form a network across the whole specimen. Although the tensile properties of UAM and wrought Zircaloy-4 exhibit the same behavior with increasing hydrogen content, the distinctions in grain orientations led to differences in the hydride orientations at low and intermediate hydrogen concentrations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Simulation Tools for Characterizing Stress Distribution in Laser Welded Dissimilar Joints

This project focuses on developing a thermo-metallurgical-mechanical modeling method to accurately predict the microstructural evolution and residual stress in laser welding between dissimilar metals, such as HSLA steel and high carbon equivalent (CE) gear steel. The method leverages a comprehensive material database to model the temperature and rate dependent phase transformations, along with their associated effects on material properties, such as thermal expansion and flow stress, throughout the welding process. A key innovation is the incorporation of phase transformation and phase-specific properties, which enhances the accuracy of residual stress predictions. The mixture material in the fusion zone due to the dissimilar metals will also be addressed in the numerical model. This is especially critical in scenarios involving phase transformations in the fusion zone and heat-affected zone (HAZ), where the phase changes can induce substantial residual stress variations. The material database has been generated using JMatPro. The modeling approach is implemented through a custom User Material (UMAT) subroutine, executed with the commercial finite element software Abaqus.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Simulation Tools for Characterizing Stress Distribution in Laser Welded Dissimilar Joints

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Minimum GHG emissions and energy consumption of U.S. PET and polyolefin packaging supply chains in a circular economy

There is a wide agreement on the urgency of transforming linear management of plastics towards a circular economy model. However, no clear pathways exist as to required recycling technologies involved and system-wide environmental impacts. This study explores such pathways in the U.S. for the most commonly used packaging plastics through a combination of mechanical and emerging advanced recycling technologies. A system optimization model aimed at minimizing environmental impacts was developed to determine optimal end-of-life (EOL) management and locations of existing and emerging U.S. recycling infrastructures. Our study includes material flows from virgin resin production through semi-manufacturing processes to existing EOL disposal and recycling processes. An optimized circular plastics packaging system achieved greenhouse gas (GHG) emission savings of up to 28% and cumulative energy demand (CED) savings of up to 46%, compared to the linear economy. Moreover, these savings of GHG emissions and CED impacts represent a reduction of 0.16% and 0.49% compared to annual U.S. GHG emissions and energy consumption in 2022, respectively. The optimal recycling rates and systems-level circularity ranged from 78–99% and 57–75%, respectively. Increased energy savings led to increased GHG emissions showing a potential trade-off between GHG emissions and energy. Analysis of 40 scenarios showed the importance of material collection distances, blend limit of mechanically recycled resins, process yields, and mandated recycling rates for achieving a sustainable circular economy of plastics.

09 - BIOMASS FUELS↗

DOE OSTI2024

A Simulated Evaluation of Powder Flowability Through a Partially Obstructed Consumable in Blown Powder Directed Energy Deposition Systems

Abstract In the interest of continued industrialization of metal additive manufacturing in modern production environments, cost is often referenced as a primary deterrent to new adopters. Conventional economic models for additive systems, processes, and supply chains often focus on specific process applications with little generalizability, or they neglect significant costs associated with production such as machine maintenance and consumable part replacement. Compounding the latter issue are substantial knowledge gaps in consumable part wear characterization for additive and other convergent manufacturing systems. In coaxial blown powder directed energy deposition systems, gas atomized metal powder is wasted during material deposition at a rate that is partly dependent on present wear phenomena in a consumable nozzle housed in the cladding head assembly. The price and lead time required to replace the nozzle incentivizes its reuse even when visibly worn. Often this initiates a process quality decline in the form of underbuilt geometry and internal defects due to losses in powder catchment efficiency. While depositing H13 steel using a hybrid manufacturing machine tool equipped with such a deposition system, a unique partial clog with a bridge-like structure formed at the consumable nozzle exit when supporting argon gas flows failed mid-process. To further understand coaxial multi-phase powder flow in the event of support gas failure, a computational fluid dynamics simulation is tailored to relevant process parameters, H13 powder material profile, and machine operator observations collected after the incident. The resulting differences in powder flow compared to control gas flow parameters is presented and discussed. The powder flowability and performance of the clogged nozzle is then assessed by using an optical profilometer to extract the profile of the clog and recreate the clog geometry within the simulation environment. In past work this simulation has been experimentally validated for a 316L steel powder material profile and used specifically for analyzing powder stream geometry and catchment efficiency. After the initial powder flow characterization, the clog is removed, and the nozzle is reprofiled. After removing the obstructing clog, the newly unobstructed nozzle geometry, the original off the shelf nozzle geometry, and additional nozzle profiles exploring different consumable refurbishment strategies are reevaluated in the simulation. Powder catchment efficiency for all variant nozzle geometries and relevant flow variables are compared and discussed, along with potential mitigation strategies for optimizing powder flowability with worn consumables. This work expands on the known morphology of blown powder obstructions and wear defects present in consumable coaxial nozzles while discussing pragmatic simulation driven responses to unanticipated subsystem failure in hybrid manufacturing machining platforms.

DeWitte, Lisa↗

DOE OSTI2024

Dynamic Reactivity of Mafic Materials Due to CO2 Acidified Brines

Description of efforts to examine the rapid mineralization of east coast mafic materials. Core characterization, batch experiments and building up dynamic flow processes.

Crandall, Dustin↗

DOE OSTI2026

Circular economy pathways for decarbonizing aluminum and steel automotive body sheet components in the United States

Decarbonizing vehicle production is essential to reducing automotive sector emissions. This study quantifies greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from aluminum and steel auto-body sheet components produced in the US. It evaluates the effectiveness of circular economy (CE) strategies (greater closed-loop recycling of pre-consumer scrap, post-consumer scrap, and increased manufacturing yields) to reduce supply chain emissions across different process technology and electricity grid decarbonization pathways. We combine dynamic material flow analysis (2025–2050) with cradle-to-gate life-cycle modeling to assess production emissions and the potential reductions associated with the CE strategies under frozen, moderate, and aggressive technology and grid decarbonization scenarios. Current emissions intensities are estimated at approximately 12.3 kg.CO₂eq/kg of aluminum and 4.3 kg.CO₂eq/kg of steel sheet embedded in the vehicle. Under the frozen decarbonization scenario and current levels of circularity, annual emissions attributable to US aluminum and steel auto-body sheet supply chains could rise by 54 % and 18 % respectively by 2050. Rapid deployment of the CE strategies can cut these annual emissions in 2050 by 52 % for aluminum and 44 % for steel. However, scrap quality constraints lead to saturation points, limiting these benefits unless addressed. Aggressive deployment of low-carbon production technologies and a low-carbon grid reduces the relative benefit of implementing the CE strategies; however, even under the aggressive technology and grid decarbonization scenario, the CE strategies reduce annual emissions by a further 23 %-54 % by 2050. These findings highlight the urgent need to integrate CE strategies into the sheet metal supply chain to support decarbonization efforts and help meet climate targets.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗