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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 19 records
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

A physics-based ensemble machine-learning approach to identifying a relationship between lightning indices and binary lightning hazard

To convert lightning indices generated by numerical weather prediction experiments into binary lightning hazard, a machine-learning tool was developed. This tool, consisting of parallel multilayer perceptron classifiers, was trained on an ensemble of planetary boundary layer schemes and microphysics parameterizations that generated four different lightning indices over 1 week. In a subsequent week, the multi-physics ensemble was applied and the machine-learning tool was used to evaluate the accuracy. Unintuitively, the machine-learning tool performed better on the testing dataset than the training dataset. Much of the error may be attributed to mischaracterizing the convection. The combination of the machine learning model and simulations could not differentiate between cloud-to-cloud lightning and cloud-to-ground lightning, despite being trained on cloud-to-ground lightning. It was found that the simulation most representative of the local operational model was the most accurate simulation tested.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Differences in Lightning—Storm Microphysical Relationships in Subtropical South America Versus the Continental U.S. and Their Impact on Model Lightning Parameterizations

Satellite studies have shown that some of the deepest convection with high lightning flash rates occurs downstream of the Andes in subtropical South America (SSA). Using high resolution ground‐based observations in SSA, we explore the relationship between lightning and radar‐inferred storm microphysics. Results show these storms have significantly larger 35‐dBZ volumes and more graupel per lightning flash compared to storms in the U.S. We then test microphysics‐based lightning parameterizations for storms in SSA on a 1‐km convection‐permitting simulation of a mesoscale convective system. Results from the simulation match well with observed flash rates. If parameterizations based on U.S. storms had been applied, flash rates would have been overestimated by a factor of eight. These results suggest that storms in SSA are fundamentally different compared to storms in the U.S., and caution should be exercised when applying microphysics‐based lightning parameterizations in different regions of the world.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Lightning Climatology Derived from World Wide Lightning Location Network (WWLLN) for US East Coast and European North Sea

This dataset contains gridded (1x1 km) data of lightning stroke observations during 2020, 2021, and 2022 over the US East Coast and European North Sea. Data processing involved intersecting each of the ~26 million lightning strokes over the US East Coast and ~365 thousand strokes over the North Sea within a corresponding 1x1 km grid, resulting in each grid reporting a 'strokes per square kilometer' and 'energy per square kilometer'. For the US, these results are presented as annual averages for 2020, 2021, and 2022, while for the North Sea results are presented as a 3-year annual average.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Lightning Climatology Derived from World Wide Lightning Location Network (WWLLN) for US East Coast and European North Sea

This dataset contains gridded (1x1 km) data of lightning stroke observations during 2020, 2021, and 2022 over the US East Coast and European North Sea. Data processing involved intersecting each of the ~26 million lightning strokes over the US East Coast and ~365 thousand strokes over the North Sea within a corresponding 1x1 km grid, resulting in each grid reporting a 'strokes per square kilometer' and 'energy per square kilometer'. For the US, these results are presented as annual averages for 2020, 2021, and 2022, while for the North Sea results are presented as a 3-year annual average.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Offshore lightning more active and intense in U.S. East Coast wind areas than in North Sea

Fast winds over open areas off the U.S. East Coast resulted in many offshore areas being opened for wind power deployment. Yet lightning is active in this same general area. Lightning damage has been noted as the leading cause of unplanned downtime of wind farms. Here we use lightning observations from 2020–2022 to quantify lightning activity—U.S. East Coast Wind Lease and Wind Planning areas received about 14-times the lightning strokes and about 18-times the energy transfer compared to the operational wind farms in the North Sea. A strong north-south U.S. gradient of lightning exists : low off the coast of Maine, growing higher off Chesapeake Bay, and high south of Virginia. Very high lightning activity also occurs about 250 km from the U.S. coastline, which is 50–100 km outside currently designated Wind Areas but likely relevant to planning floating wind farms further from shore. International lightning protection standards, such as IEC 614200-24, use lightning stroke density and turbine top-height to estimate damage to wind turbines, but it remains unclear if such standards could protect U.S. offshore wind turbines in active lightning areas where the turbine top-height can be 100 m taller than the next tallest object for tens to hundreds of kilometers. This analysis suggests U.S. East Coast offshore wind farms will be subjected to much higher lightning stroke and lightning energy densities than the North Sea counterparts. Preparing the turbine designs in anticipation of these more active U.S. lightning risks will help foster wind’s growing contribution to a reliable and resilient low-carbon energy future.

lightning↗
DOE OSTI2026

Report on Lightning Simulation Standards and Facilities

Lightning strikes pose a significant threat to various forms of infrastructure and electrical equipment. Aircraft and high explosives are of particular interest due to the massive ramifications of the device being compromised due to exposure to lightning damage. However, due to lightning being a varying weather phenomenon, testing a device’s vulnerability to lightning is generally not as simple as simply exposing it to real world lightning. To consistently test a device’s ability to survive the worst-case scenario of lightning exposure, the effects of the most severe lightning strikes must be able to be reproduced consistently and measurably. One such facility for this purpose is the Sandia Lightning Simulator (SLS), which is designed to simulate the current waveform of a severe lightning flash. However, the SLS’s design and age lead to difficulties in its operation and inconsistencies in its output. The methodology used in other lightning simulation facilities may offer information on how to improve the SLS’s operation, or at the very least, expose the SLS’s hidden strengths. This report explores lightning simulation, lightning testing standards, and lightning simulation facilities.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Roadmap for a Lightning Modeling Grand Challenge

This document is a roadmap for building an interconnected model of the physical processes that produce a lightning discharge, and its observable optical and radio signals. We call this a Lightning Modeling Grand Challenge, recognizing that significant effort and coordination of human and financial resources is required to realize the capability. The roadmap serves to outline the coordination of resources necessary to enable stitching together existing knowledge and model components to make a lightning prediction, and to test these predictions with observations. Such a capability does not currently exist. The roadmap is motivated not only by a spirit of scientific inquiry, but by practical challenges faced by US Federal and societal stakeholders. Advancements in lightning observations have outpaced our tests of integrated understanding, leaving many stakeholders unsure how to design their missions to properly detect and discriminate lightning, and unsure how to apply the sometimes-disagreeing lightning signals from diverse instruments. The time is right to connect existing theories and models to support stakeholders in understanding the signals they observe, for needs as diverse as climate monitoring, national security, weather forecasting, public safety, and protection of natural and built environments. The roadmap’s two main technical sections describe the components of a linked physical model, followed by a description of models of lightning signals and sensors that are driven by outputs from the physical model. The goal is to predict the time-varying physical properties of lightning that are self-consistent with the thunderstorm’s structure and dynamics. These lightning signals then propagate through the storm, with realistic dispersion and attenuation, to receivers on the ground or in space. At a high level, the model begins with weather (cloud) model output, including explicit prediction of the electrification of cloud particles. The cloud’s electrical structure drives a model of lightning physics, from initiation, through channel development, and discharges along those channels. Key lightning parameters, such as the temperature and currents in the channel, and their space and time distribution, are then used to produce optical and electromagnetic signal sources that propagate to modeled receivers. This architecture therefore generates a dataset suitable for comparison to existing and envisioned observing systems. The need for additional measurements and field campaigns to support model development is described. In each model sub-component, inputs, outputs, uncertainties, evaluation methods, and next steps are summarized, interleaved with references to the scientific literature. Identifying boundaries between the model sub-components aids in segmenting an integrated, complex model into practical work packages and system sub-components, allowing a diverse team to contribute and maintain the system. We estimate that at least five years of effort and a $\$$10M initial investment is necessary to make a significant step forward. Mechanisms to facilitate community coordination, including annual workshops and open-source code repositories, are described.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

How some tropical trees benefit from being struck by lightning: evidence for Dipteryx oleifera and other large‐statured trees

Lightning strikes kill hundreds of millions of trees annually, but their role in shaping tree life history and diversity is largely unknown. Here, in this study, we use data from a unique lightning location system to show that some individual trees counterintuitively benefit from being struck by lightning. Lightning killed 56% of 93 directly struck trees and caused an average of 41% crown dieback among the survivors. However, among these struck trees, 10 direct strikes caused negligible damage to Dipteryx oleifera trees while killing 78% of their lianas and 2.1 Mg of competitor tree biomass. Nine trees of other long-lived taxa survived lightning with similar benefits. On average, a D. oleifera tree > 60 cm in diameter is struck by lightning at least five times during its lifetime, conferring these benefits repeatedly. We estimate that the ability to survive lightning increases lifetime fecundity 14-fold, largely because of reduced competition from lianas and neighboring trees. Moreover, the unusual heights and wide crowns of D. oleifera increase the probability of a direct strike by 49–68% relative to trees of the same diameter with average allometries. These patterns suggest that lightning plays an underappreciated role in tree competition, life history strategies, and species coexistence.

competition↗
DOE OSTI2025

Exploring the Early Lightning Notification of an Electric Field Mill at the Savannah River Site

At the Savannah River Site (SRS), employees receive automated broadcast notification about lightning only after three strikes have already occurred near the site boundary. To increase employee safety, it is preferential to give employees lead time before lightning strikes occur. We compared measurements from an on-site electric field mill to lightning detection data from the National Lightning Detection Network and the Geostationary Lightning Mapper. Using a difference threshold, we determined that the electric field mill provided a lead time greater than 6 minutes for 95% of lightning events from 2009-2020, with an average lead time of 56 minutes. Detection of events were limited to a 7-mile radius around the field mill. We also identified that the field mill threshold generated many false detections not clearly identified. False detections and detections from only precipitation can be reduced by using a second threshold without creating too many missed detections (Type II errors). The two thresholds used together provide the best information about rapidly changing electric fields and aid in advanced detection necessary to improve the lightning warning system used at SRS.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Lightning and Radar Measures of Mixed-Phase Updraft Variability in Tracked Storms during the TRACER Field Campaign in Houston, Texas

Properties of 7488 thunderstorms are summarized for June–September 2022 during the Tracking Aerosol Convection Interactions Experiment (TRACER) field campaign Houston, Texas, using polarimetric weather radar and VHF 3D Lightning Mapping Array data. Automated tracking of storms linked each instrument’s measurements to a data-defined, time-evolving storm footprint. Within each storm, the depth and magnitude of episodic columns of radar differential reflectivity and specific differential phase quantified the prevalence of updrafts that activated mixed-phase precipitation pathways. Lightning measurements further distinguished the degree of rimed precipitation formation: the fraction of tracks with lightning varied from day to day and cells with lightning had stronger polarimetric columns. Track-level correlation of the lightning flash rate with radar polarimetric measures had substantial spread, showing that lightning provides an additional signal of mixed-phase precipitation processes that can complement future studies of thermodynamic and aerosol controls on cloud microphysics in the Houston region.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Analyzing LF/VLF Lightning Waveforms to Estimate D-region Electron Density Profiles

Lightning waveforms in the low frequency (LF; 30-300 kHz) and the very low frequency (VLF; 3-30 kHz) bands can be exploited to produce data-driven ionospheric D-region electron density profile (EDP) estimates with significantly higher spatial and temporal coverage than previously available. The lightning waveforms used in this paper are signals detected in the LF/VLF of negative cloud-to-ground lightning by the Earth Networks Total Lightning Detection Network. Each waveform contains a ground wave and a time-delayed ionospheric reflection. The time delay between the ground wave and ionospheric reflection has previously been used to estimate a single specular reflection altitude, where LF/VLF emissions are reflected by the ionosphere. Here, we expand upon previous methods to include filtering and spectral analysis, and account for oblique propagation to produce higher-order estimates for reflection altitudes and corresponding electron densities. Once estimated, reflection altitudes and corresponding electron densities can be used to derive parameters β and h’, which define an EDP for the D-region. In this study, the lightning waveform (LW) analysis is demonstrated using a single representative 24-hour dataset over the Southeast United States, and then extended to a total of 10 separate datasets with varying locations and ionospheric conditions. The LW-derived D-region EDPs are in agreement with predictions made by the Faraday International Reference Ionosphere model, and the LW EDPs β and h’ values are consistent with previous LF/VLF-derived estimates.

D-region ionosphere↗
DOE OSTI2026

Developing a Lightning All-Clear Signal for the Savannah River Site

Lightning safety is a major concern at the Savannah River Site (SRS). Notifications are provided when 3-strikes occur onsite within a 15-minute period. It is generally left up to individual contractors at SRS to determine when it is safe for workers to return to outside work, generally following a 3-hour period of no lightning, after the last lightning strike occurs. This work tries to improve safe return to work decisions by developing a reliable all-clear signal using an electric field mill. The best signal used thresholds from multiple electric field values to provide an average delay for return to work of 2 hours and 13 minutes. This average was heavily influenced by lingering storms in the area or missing data from power or network outages. One event out of 98 signaled the all-clear prior to another event occurring less than 60 minutes later. Regardless, 62% of the all clear signals had delay times less than the mean and 72% had delay times less than the current 3-hour delay after the last strike. This provides better worker safety for returning to work than 30 minutes after the last lightning strike (e.g. OSHA Lightning Safety) and improves the delay time from the current 3-hour delay.

Noble, Stephen [Savannah River National Laboratory↗
DOE OSTI2024

Vertical z-axis discontinuous carbon fibers for improved lightning strike performance of continuous fiber-reinforced polymer composites

Effective lightning strike protection for critical aerospace and wind applications requires high electrical conductivity to dissipate current efficiently. However, polymer matrix composites face a challenge due to their inherently insulating nature. While conventional carbon fiber-reinforced composites (CFRP) exhibit electrical conductivity in the planar direction, achieving through-thickness conductivity remains an ongoing challenge. In this work, we have undertaken the fabrication of CFRP interleaved with vertically oriented carbon fibers (Z-fiber) to impart higher electrical conductivity along the thickness direction. Two Z-fiber composite variations are prepared: Z-1 with a single layer of Z-fiber and Z-5 with five interleaved layers and compared with no Z-fiber layer (Z-0) composite. The composite panels were subjected to lab-scale lightning strike tests with a current magnitude of 100 kA. To emulate real-world service conditions, an aerospace-grade paint coating was applied to the composite laminates. Comparative analysis shows Z-1 reduces damage diameter to ∼22 mm compared to Z-0 (∼26 mm), while Z-5 exhibits the least damage (∼16.7 mm), confirmed by optical microscopy. Z-5 demonstrates nine times higher through-thickness electrical conductivity than Z-0, reducing electrical anisotropy substantially. Thermal-electric finite element damage modeling predicts surface damage within 6% of experimental values for both Z-0 and Z-5 composites. Flexural tests post-lightning reveal Z-5 retains 66% flexural strength and 86% modulus, significantly better than Z-0, which retains less than 40% for both properties. This study highlights the efficacy of Z-fiber composites in lightning strike protection, offering improved through-thickness conductivity and mechanical property retention.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Impact of Urbanization on Convection, Lightning, and Precipitation Over the Houston Metropolitan Area: Case Study Simulation From the TRACER Campaign

This study investigates the effects of urbanization, specifically land use change and anthropogenic emissions (AE), on convection, lightning, and surface precipitation for a case of summertime sea‐breeze convection observed over the Houston metropolitan area. The unique capabilities of the NASA‐Unified Weather Research and Forecasting model allows us to conduct a series of sensitivity experiments with complex configurations, in particular including multi‐year land model spin‐up simulations, treatment of aerosols and their precursors, and explicit cloud charging and lightning. The simulation results show that urban land use primarily alters the temporal evolution of convection, lightning, and surface precipitation, leading to late afternoon thunderstorm development. The decrease in latent heat flux from the land surface caused by urbanization weakens convection in the early afternoon, while a condition suitable for convection development is maintained in the late afternoon due to less stabilization of the lower troposphere by the weaker convection development and high sensible heat flux from the surface. On the other hand, anthropogenic aerosols directly enhance convection, lightning, and surface precipitation by increasing convective updrafts due to the aerosol‐induced convective invigoration. The combined effects of urban land use and AE lead to even stronger thunderstorms in the late afternoon, mostly consistent with observations. These results indicate that urbanization increases the probability of late afternoon thunderstorms over the Houston area during the summer season. Advanced weather forecasting models that incorporate these urbanization effects might support sustainable urban planning to better mitigate the impacts of urbanization on local weather and public safety.

Iguchi, T. [Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD (U↗
DOE OSTI2024

Probing the D-region ionosphere globally with Earth Networks Total Lightning Network data

An existing technique to use broadband lightning waveforms to probe the D-region ionosphere (60–90 km altitude) is shown to be extendable to a global scale using the Earth Networks Total Lightning Network (ENTLN). This paper demonstrates the technique in detail on a region of the Southeastern United States. This demonstration shows that diurnal D-region height variation and smaller time-scale variations on the order of tens of minutes to hours are evident in the measurement. The technique is then extended to three additional global regions on this same day: Northeastern U.S., India, and Japan. The diurnal behavior between these different regions is compared to a D-region model from the International Reference Ionosphere.

D-region ionosphere↗