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Rocket engine system reliability analyses using probabilistic and fuzzy logic techniques

The reliability of rocket engine systems was analyzed by using probabilistic and fuzzy logic techniques. Fault trees were developed for integrated modular engine (IME) and discrete engine systems, and then were used with the two techniques to quantify reliability. The IRRAS (Integrated Reliability and Risk Analysis System) computer code, developed for the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, was used for the probabilistic analyses, and FUZZYFTA (Fuzzy Fault Tree Analysis), a code developed at NASA Lewis Research Center, was used for the fuzzy logic analyses. Although both techniques provided estimates of the reliability of the IME and discrete systems, probabilistic techniques emphasized uncertainty resulting from randomness in the system whereas fuzzy logic techniques emphasized uncertainty resulting from vagueness in the system. Because uncertainty can have both random and vague components, both techniques were found to be useful tools in the analysis of rocket engine system reliability.

Hardy, Terry L.↗

Sulfur and Oxygen Isotopic Analysis of a Cosmic Symplectite from a Comet Wild 2 Stardust Terminal Particle

Introduction: Analyses of comet 81P/Wild 2 samples re-turned from the Stardust mission have uncovered surprising simi-larities to meteoritic material, including the identification of inner solar system grains [1-3]. The TEM characterization of terminal particle (TP) 4 from Stardust track #147 revealed an assemblage consisting of symplectically intergrown pentlandite and nanocrys-talline maghemite coexisting with high-Ca pyroxene [4]. Mineral-ogically similar cosmic symplectites (COS) containing pentlandite and magnetite in the primitive Acfer 094 meteorite are highly de-pleted in 16O (17O, 18O ~ 180 per mille) [5-7]. This isotopic signature is proposed to record alteration with primordial solar nebula water. Conversely, the normal O isotopic composition of the Stardust COS indicates alteration by a different aqueous reservoir, perhaps on the comet [8]. In this study, we analyzed the Wild 2 COS for S isotopes to further constrain its origin. Experimental: Thin sections of TP4 (12 m) were produced and their mineralogy was thoroughly characterized by TEM. Two of the sections were analyzed for O isotopes by isotopic imaging in the JSC NanoSIMS 50L. The sample in one of the slices was completely consumed. The remaining material in the adjacent slice was analyzed simultaneously for 16O, 32S, 33S, 34S, and 56Fe16O in electron multipliers using a Cs+ primary ion beam. Quasi-simulta-neous arrival (QSA) can have a significant effect on S isotopic ra-tios when using electron multipliers, resulting in undercounting of 32S [9]. Canyon Diablo troilite (CDT) was measured numerous times to deduce a correction factor for QSA and ensure measure-ment reproducibility. Isotopic ratios are reported relative to CDT. Results and Discussion: The Wild 2 COS is enriched in the heavy S isotopes relative to CDT (33S = 6.5 +/- 1.6 per mille; 34S = 5.1 +/- 0.7 per mille; 1). The degree of 33S enrichment indicates mass-inde-pendent fractionation (MIF) with 33S = 3.9 +/- 1.7 per mille. MIF of S has been observed in some chondrules (33S up to 0.11per mille) [10], but this effect has not been identified in sulfides from carbonaceous chondrites [11] or IDPs [12]. S isotopic analysis of Stardust impact craters also did not reveal MIF or anomalies, save for one potential 32S-rich presolar sulfide [13]. Measurement errors on these impact craters were much larger than those in this study, however. MIF of S has been proposed to result from heterogeneities in the solar neb-ula from nucleosynthetic components [14] or photochemical irra-diation of solar nebula gas [10]. Presolar SiC grains are observed to have 32S enrichments [15, 16] contrary to the S isotopic compo-sition of the cometary COS. The S isotopic composition more likely reflects irradiation of nebular gas.

Nguyen, A. N.↗