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At least 19 records

ROP model for PDC bits in Geothermal drilling

Geothermal energy is a renewable source of energy, where heat extraction is preferentially balanced with the reservoir's natural heat recharge rate. The objective of this paper is to present and validate a novel rate of penetration (ROP) model for drilling hard and abrasive formations including granite formations for polycrystalline diamond compact (PDC) bits. The ROP model was developed based on a derived relationship of a threshold weight on cutter (WOC) and its corresponding depth of cut (DOC) for a single cutter. Laboratory data was used to scale the derived single cutter relationship to a full-hole ROP model for PDC bits. The ROP model includes a non-linear correlation for Phase I (inefficient drilling due to low WOB values) and a linear Phase II (efficient drilling) ROP response to WOB. The ROP model was verified using measured drilling parameter data from Utah FORGE well# 58-32 and data from Chocolate Mountains well # 17-8 in Southern California. When compared to oil and gas well drilling, geothermal drilling in granitic formations can be more difficult and complicated due to rock hardness and high temperatures. PDC bits can increase ROP and optimize drilling for these types of hard formations. This paper provides novel insight into the ROP response of PDC bits to drilling operational parameters.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Toward Drilling the Perfect Geothermal Well: An International Research Coordination Network for Geothermal Drilling Optimization Supported by Deep Machine Learning and Cloud Based Data Aggregation

The EDGE project, supported by the U.S. Department of Energy Geothermal Technologies Office under award DE-EE0008793, established a data-driven framework for improving the efficiency, cost-effectiveness, and reliability of geothermal well drilling. The project focused on developing scalable data infrastructure, advanced machine learning and probabilistic models, and integrated analytics tools to support continuous drilling optimization. A central objective was to reduce geothermal drilling costs by up to seventy percent while minimizing the risk of well failure through predictive diagnostics and adaptive planning. Over the project period, a comprehensive data repository was designed and deployed, incorporating records from over one hundred geothermal wells across varied geological settings. This repository supported both structured and unstructured data and adhered to FAIR data principles, enabling provenance tracking, quality control, and standardized metadata. The project introduced automated ingestion pipelines and a cloud-hosted platform that facilitated access to raw, processed, and derived datasets. This infrastructure served as the foundation for model development and analysis. Machine learning workflows were developed to predict key drilling metrics including rate of penetration, non-productive time, and total drilling costs. Self-organizing maps and dimensionality reduction methods were used to uncover operational patterns and outliers, while supervised learning algorithms such as random forests and deep neural networks were applied to forecast performance outcomes. The models were validated on heterogeneous datasets from both U.S. and Icelandic fields, demonstrating variable but significant predictive accuracy. The results indicated that finer temporal resolution, inclusion of lithological data, and consistency in operational annotations could substantially improve model performance. The project also implemented process mining techniques to reconstruct state-transition models from drilling event logs. These models enabled the identification of deviations from optimal workflows and provided insights into recurring failure modes. Analysis of non-productive time highlighted the impact of equipment failures, geological challenges, and human factors, offering opportunities for targeted mitigation strategies. The EDGE Dashboard was developed as a web-based expert system integrating data visualization, model outputs, and user-driven queries. It provided an accessible interface for operators to explore historical data, evaluate predicted outcomes, and compare drilling scenarios. Initial feedback from project partners suggested that the dashboard could serve as a foundation for more advanced advisory and optimization tools. Overall, the EDGE project demonstrated the feasibility and value of applying modern data science techniques to geothermal drilling. It delivered a set of interoperable tools and models that can support more efficient, lower-risk well development. The findings point toward a viable path for transitioning from advisory analytics to semi-autonomous drilling systems, contingent on continued collaboration, expanded datasets, and field validation. The project results have immediate relevance for drilling operations, data management practices, and future geothermal R&D efforts aimed at achieving reliable, cost-competitive geothermal energy at scale.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Establishing a Baseline for Global Geothermal Drilling Rates

Geothermal is a promising source of renewable energy with almost zero emissions. However, there remains untapped geothermal potential around the world. This is largely because geothermal projects have high development costs and high resource-value uncertainty, and returns on initial investments can be slow to materialize. Increasing drilling efficiency of geothermal wells is one way to decrease development costs, as drilling accounts for up to 50% of the upfront costs of a geothermal power project. Currently, little quantitative information exists about how fast geothermal drilling occurs on a global scale. This paper was originally intended to be an extension of Frone and Boyd's 2018 report on geothermal drilling rates in California and Nevada. Our project includes global data and considers additional measures, such as flat time. Data for the project was limited to published papers and drilling reports that are publicly available online. The goal of our project was to establish a baseline geothermal drilling rate that is representative of current global geothermal drilling practices can be used to gauge the impact of future improvements in geothermal drilling technology. We recorded the number of days from beginning to end of a project, the number of days spent drilling, and the number of days considered to be flat time. We found the average global rate at which a drilling project is completed (including non-drilling activities) to be 160 ft/day, and the average drilling rate (including only time during which active drilling occurred) to be 360 ft/day. Our data shows no clear trend in rate change from 2000 to 2017 and significant variability in drilling rates between countries and within countries.

baseline↗

Significance and complications of drilling fluid rheology in geothermal drilling: A review

The harsh downhole conditions of high pressure and high temperature (HPHT) encountered in geothermal wells make the drilling operation challenging. Drilling in such environments requires a special drilling mud formulation with high thermal stability and good rheological properties to fulfill the drilling fluid functions. Therefore, great efforts should be put into selecting the suitable drilling fluid, optimize and monitor the drilling fluid properties throughout drilling operations, and predicting its performance under downhole conditions. Rheological properties significantly impact many drilling parameters such as hole cleaning, fluid and wellbore stability, wellbore hydraulics, torque and drag, and other drilling issues. This paper discusses water-based drilling fluids' flow behavior under HPHT conditions and highlights the significance of fluid rheology in geothermal drilling. The common challenges and complications related to fluid rheology encountered in geothermal drilling are addressed in this paper, such as hole cleaning, wellbore hydraulics, and drilling fluid stability. This article also reviews the recent advances in drilling mud systems, rheology enhancement, and rheological properties measurements at surface and subsurface conditions. Furthermore, the rheology models of drilling fluid at elevated temperatures are reviewed to fully understand their flow behavior and establish a method for drilling engineers to optimize fluid formulations for geothermal drilling.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

RePED 250: A Revolutionary, High Drilling Rate, High-T Geothermal Drilling System and Companion Power Electronics

Geothermal drilling in the United States is drastically slower and more costly than Oil and Gas (O&G) drilling, primarily due to the additional challenges in geothermal wells: hard rock types and high temperatures. The Repetitive Pulsed Electric Drill (250°C) (RePED-250), developed by Tetra Corporation has the potential to change this with a novel electro-crushing technology. RePED-250 releases pulses of electricity through the rock, which causes it to break in tension, instead of compression like conventional rotary drilling. The tensile strength of hard rocks like granite is only ~5% of their compressive strength, requiring less energy, time, and wear on the bit compared to conventional drilling. The RePED drill bit has no moving parts, uses drilling mud to remove rock fragments, and uses standard drill pipe, enabling a direct transition from conventional drilling systems. The objective of this project is to move RePED technology towards commercial readiness for high-temperature geothermal applications. This involves: 1) Creating high-temperature, high power electronic components for the RePED drill capable of operating at the high temperatures of a geothermal well. The target is a 250°C ambient environment. Specifically, capacitors, high voltage switches, and a downhole generator capable of generating the necessary power. 2) Demonstrating RePED’s effectiveness drilling through hard rock (granite) and examining its pathway to commercialization and effect on the US geothermal market. Work on this project has led to significant improvement over the state-of-the-art for all the examined electronics, through design, modeling, and testing of these novel components, though some additional development is still needed to deploy these high-temperature parts in a geothermal well. Besides their use in RePED-250, each component has applications in other industries where the stability of electronics at high-temperature is needed. To address the second barrier to commercialization, a 9” hole was drilled through a sample block of granite, demonstrating the tool’s effectiveness in hard rock. The team investigated RePED-250’s effect on well cost and the geothermal industry, through various techno-economic models described in the report.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

RePED 250: A Revolutionary, High Drilling Rate, High-T Geothermal Drilling System and Companion Power Electronics (Final Report)

Geothermal drilling in the United States is drastically slower and more costly than Oil and Gas drilling, primarily due to the additional challenges in geothermal wells: hard rock types and high temperatures. The Repetitive Pulsed Electric Drill (250 degrees C) (RePED-250), developed by Tetra Corporation has the potential to change this with a novel electro-crushing technology. RePED-250 releases pulses of electricity through the rock, which causes it to break in tension, instead of compression like conventional rotary drilling. The tensile strength of hard rocks like granite is only ~5% of their compressive strength, requiring less energy, time, and wear on the bit than conventional drilling. The RePED drill bit has no moving parts, uses drilling mud to remove rock fragments, and standard drill pipe, enabling a direct transition from conventional drilling systems. The objective of this project is to move RePED technology towards commercial readiness for high-temperature geothermal applications. This involves: 1) Creating high-temperature, high power electronic components for the RePED drill capable of operating at the high temperatures of a geothermal well. The target is a 250 degrees C ambient environment. Specifically, capacitors, high voltage switches, and a downhole generator capable of generating the necessary power. 2) Demonstrating RePED's effectiveness drilling through hard rock (granite) and examining its pathway to commercialization and effect on the US geothermal market. Work on this project has led to significant improvement over the state-of-the-art for all the examined electronics, through design, modeling, and testing of these novel components, though some additional development is still needed to deploy these high-temperature parts in a geothermal well. Besides their use in RePED-250, each component has applications in other industries where the stability of electronics at high-temperature is needed. To address the second barrier to commercialization, a 9" hole was drilled through a sample block of granite, demonstrating the tool's effectiveness in hard rock. The team investigated RePED-250's effect on well cost, and the geothermal industry, through various models described in the report.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Real-Time Drilling Optimization System for Improved Overall Rate of Penetration and Reduced Cost Per Foot in Geothermal Drilling

The key to success in geothermal drilling is economic feasibility, and a major cost in the development of geothermal resources is the actual drilling of the wells. In this project, a real-time drilling optimization system for geothermal drilling was developed. The system couples three individual components while drilling. The first component is a drill stem vibration analysis model, the second is Mechanical Specific Energy (MSE) analyses, and the third is a detailed PDC Rate of Penetration (ROP) drill bit model for optimum RPM and WOB combinations. The benefit of the coupled system is that the range of WOB and RPM could be selected to avoid drill stem vibrations. Secondly, MSE is used as an efficiency measure and the detailed PDC drill bit model ensures the drill bit does not endure temperatures that exceed the temperature at which the PDC cutters experience accelerated wear. The new detailed PDC bit model is based on rock/bit interaction that physically tracks the PDC cutter wear flats as the bit drills ahead giving the capability to calculate the temperature being generated underneath the worn cutters to better advise on operational parameters to avoid accelerated cutter wear and failure and to ensure that operational parameters are applied so that overall ROP is maximized. By combining the drill stem vibrations and the detailed PDC bit cutter wear and “safe” non-accelerated cutter wear temperature and optimum ranges of operating parameters, it results in higher ROP and lower cost drilling. Single cutter PDC testing performed in different lithologies at Sandia was utilized to verify the PDC cutter forces and depth of cut for new and worn cutters. Based on single cutter PDC temperature modeling, verification using single cutter data from the testing done by National Oilwell Varco (NOV) was performed. Sandia’s Hard-Rock Drilling Facility (HRDF) was utilized to test different drill bit configurations with different cutter designs and wear status with different induced modes of vibration to obtain the critical bit RPM/WOB ranges resulting in ineffective drilling and low ROP. The collected test data were further used to verify and calibrate the full hole PDC ROP model that was developed based on single cutter interaction data. A full coupled drill stem vibration model was formulated and verified with geothermal field data from the Chocolate Mountain Aerial Gunnery Range (CMAGR). A graphical user interface (GUI) was developed using Tkinter library in the computer programming language Python, which integrates all the developed models in one system. The developed system consists mainly of the PDC ROP model, PDC bit wear model, PDC cutter temperature model, Mechanical Specific Energy (MSE) model, and drillstring vibration model integrated into one system. The developed system can be used for both, post well analysis and real-time optimization using different criteria such as ROP maximization or MSE minimization. The software uses Differential Evolution Algorithm (DEA) to find optimum values for operational parameters based on last foot drilled while avoiding the drillstring vibration and cutter temperature critical operating parameters.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

RePED 250: A Revolutionary, High-Drilling Rate, High-T Geothermal Drilling System and Companion Power Electronics

Project partner, Tetra has demonstrated developed an electro-crushing technology, a repetitive, pulsed electric drill (RePED), capable of crushing hard rock in tension and at high speeds. In this project, NREL, TPL, and Tetra are upgrading the RePED drilling system for operation in 250 degree C environments, and demonstrating its effectiveness drilling hard rock. The RePED drilling system is being designed to function with most of the elements of a conventional drilling system (e.g., drill pipe, steering tools, measurement-while-drilling (MWD) systems, mud systems), so no specialized rigs or drill pipe are required.

geothermal↗

Optimizing Rate of Penetration and Tripping Decision-Making using Real-Time Bit Wear Monitoring While Drilling Geothermal Wells

Understanding bit wear while drilling is critical to minimizing non-productive time (NPT) and optimizing rate of penetration (ROP). Lengthening drilling runs with damaged bits does not only lower the ROP, but also elevates the risk of inducing severe bit damage, which could potentially lead to time-consuming fishing operations. When drillers believe the bit has worn off substantially, the bit is tripped out to be replaced. On geothermal wells, tripping can take up to 20% of the overall well construction time, and this is generally acknowledged as an opportunity for improvement. Ideally, a bit run should be terminated before the bit is damaged beyond repair. At the same time, premature bit pulls are to be avoided as well. This study aims to leverage bit and tooth wear metrics that can be obtained in real time to characterize bit condition in order to optimize ROP and determine the optimal time to pull the bit. Two metrics were explored in this study: a bit wear metric that incorporated depth-of-cut, and a tooth wear metric developed by Bourgoyne & Young characterizing the state of bit teeth dull. Both metrics were computed using recorded data from 12¼ inches roller cone insert bit runs in five geothermal wells targeting a granodiorite formation in the western United States. Together with the actual dull grades, determined after the bits were pulled to surface, the metric trends were interpreted to characterize the downhole bit condition and identify the point at which the bit should have optimally been tripped out. The insights from studying the actual dull grades and how they relate to the two metrics were used to establish a reliable bit pull criterion. The bit wear metric trend correctly showed a noticeable departure from baseline for bits experiencing major dulling behavior. Additionally, the tooth wear model predicted the cutter dull within two dull grades for most runs, with better performance in predicting the inner teeth dull. Moreover, the combination of the bit wear and tooth wear metrics was effective in revealing the cause of the bit performance impairment. Proactive tracking of these two metrics in real-time can facilitate geothermal drilling ROP optimization and better-informed tripping decision-making, thereby avoiding wasted time and cost.

Ashari, Rahmat↗

Rheological investigation of effect of high temperature on geothermal drilling fluids additives and lost circulation materials

High temperatures (HT) and the corrosive environment make the design of a geothermal drilling fluid a highly complex task. The presence of HT exacerbates the problems due to thermal degradation. Geothermal aquifers usually combine high-temperature and complex chemistry, making them highly corrosive. Although geothermal drilling fluids are exposed to thermal degradation, research of the effect on mud rheological properties in temperatures near or above 149°C (300°F) is limited. In this study, a High Pressure-High Temperature (HPHT) rheology setup was used to measure drilling fluids' properties up to 204.4°C (400°F). Rheological behavior of viscosity, density, lost circulation, and alkalinity control additives were analyzed at HT. It was found experimentally that Bentonite alone is thermally stable at HT. In contrast, Caustic Soda showed a tendency to gelate at temperatures above 93.3°C (200°F), adversely affecting mud rheology. Alkalinity control materials to replace Caustic Soda were evaluated. Among them, Lime presented the best thermal stability at 204.4°C with a range of variation of 0.0024 Pa.s (2.4 cP) on apparent viscosity after three consecutive tests. Besides, it was tested 11 different lost circulation materials (LCM) for understanding their rheological behavior at HT. Further, it was found that HT has less impact on fine granular materials rheological behavior with an average increase of 17.7% compared with the baseline. In contrast, flaky, fibrous, and coarse granular materials presented a more apparent impact in WBM rheology with a deviation of 166% compared with the baseline.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Evaluating sealability of blended smart polymer and fiber additive for geothermal drilling with the effect of fracture opening size

Geothermal formations often contain extensive fracture networks. These fracture networks contribute to the significant loss of drilling fluids during geothermal drilling. Multiple loss circulation materials (LCM) such as fiber, granules, and pills have been proposed to tackle this problem but with only limited success. Recent advances in materials science have led to the development of thermoset shape memory polymers (SMP) to address the lost circulation problem. In this paper, we evaluate a thermoset SMP performance in sealing near wellbore fractures of different sizes in geothermal wells. The SMP performance was assessed using granite disks and cylindrical granite cores having fracture sizes of 1000 μm and 3000 μm. A static filtration test was performed using cedar fiber, CaCO 3 , and SMP. Results showed cedar fiber performed better than the CaCO 3 ., reducing fluid loss by 89% and improving sealing pressure by 200 psi. A novel dynamic testing unit that allows for high-temperature testing under flowing conditions was used in this study. The analysis showed that 3% by weight SMP and fiber blends could bridge and plug the 1000 μm fracture. For a larger fracture of 3000 μm width, there was a need to increase the weight concentration of the SMP to 6% to plug the fracture opening effectively. We showed the influence of key parameters such as the type of LCM, concentration, and particle size distribution in optimizing the performance of drilling fluid loss treatment.

02 PETROLEUM↗

2022 GETEM Geothermal Drilling Cost Curve Update

The Geothermal Electricity Technology Evaluation Model (GETEM) is an essential tool for the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) Geothermal Technologies Office (GTO) to understand the performance and cost of technologies it is seeking to improve. This detailed model is used for supply curve analyses, assessing the current economic feasibility and levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of hydrothermal geothermal systems and enhanced geothermal systems (EGS), and evaluating the potential impact of advanced geothermal technologies. GETEM can be used to estimate the performance and costs of currently available U.S. geothermal power systems. It is also used to estimate the costs of technologies 5 to 20 years in the future, given the direction of potential research, development, and demonstration (RD&D) projects. The model is intended to help GTO determine which proposed RD&D programs and projects might offer the most efficient improvement when using taxpayer funding. The model requires annual updates as well as revisions to reflect the current state of the art. Drilling costs are a significant portion of total geothermal development costs. The current GETEM drilling cost inputs rely on drilling data from 2009 and require an updated analysis of more recent data to ensure they remain representative of current technologies. An updated, more accurate understanding of costs could help the geothermal industry secure project development financing and investment funding and better allow the oil and gas (O&G) industry (both operators and service companies) to weigh potential geothermal market participation and customization. This report details recent drilling improvements from the Utah Frontier Observatory for Research in Geothermal Energy (FORGE) and the O&G sector, comparing drilling performance and costs with values in GETEM, particularly the baseline drilling cost curves. Although drilling performance at FORGE has improved significantly, we did not find associated cost decreases that would justify lowering the GETEM baseline cost curves at this time.

API↗

Lost Circulation Materials in Geothermal Drilling: Thermal Degradation, Viscosity, Compression, and Flow Loop Tests

This dataset provides a set of experimental data on the performance of lost circulation materials (LCMs) used in geothermal drilling operations. It includes results from four distinct tests: thermal degradation, viscosity measurements, compression tests, and high-temperature flow loop experiments. The materials tested, such as cedar fiber, cotton seed hulls, magma fiber, microcellulose, and sawdust, were analyzed under a range of conditions to assess their effectiveness in mitigating fluid losses in geothermal wells. Data on thermal degradation explores mass loss, water loss, and gas release for each material when subjected to temperatures between 90C and 250C. Viscosity measurements capture the behavior of LCM mixtures under different temperatures, while compression tests investigate the structural integrity of both undegraded and thermally degraded materials. The high-temperature flow loop experiments simulate geothermal well conditions, analyzing how different materials and mixtures affect fluid flow and sealing performance in a fractured reservoir environment. In addition to the experimental data, the dataset includes photos documenting the materials, schematics of test setups, and several published manuscripts that provide detailed insights into the experimental methods and findings.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

2022 GETEM Geothermal Drilling Cost Curve Update: Preprint

The Geothermal Electricity Technology Evaluation Model (GETEM) is an essential tool for the Department of Energy's (DOE) Geothermal Technology Office (GTO) to understand the performance and cost of technologies it is seeking to improve. This detailed model is used for supply curve analyses, assessing the current economic feasibility and Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) of hydrothermal geothermal systems and EGS, and evaluating the potential impact of advanced geothermal technologies. GETEM can be used to estimate the performance and costs of currently available U.S. geothermal power systems. It is also used to estimate the costs of technologies 5 to 20 years in the future, given the direction of potential research, development, and demonstration (RD&D) projects. The model is intended to help GTO determine which proposed RD&D programs and projects might offer the most efficient improvement when using taxpayer funding. The model requires annual updates as well as revisions to reflect the current state of the art. Drilling costs are a significant portion of total geothermal development costs. The current GETEM drilling cost inputs rely on drilling data from 2009 and require an updated analysis of more recent data to ensure they remain representative of current technologies. An updated, more accurate understanding of costs could help the geothermal industry secure project development financing and investment funding and better allow the oil and gas (O&G) industry (both operators and service companies) weigh potential geothermal market participation and customization. This report details recent drilling improvements from the Utah Frontier Observatory for Research in Geothermal Energy (FORGE) and O&G, comparing drilling performance and costs with values in GETEM, particularly the baseline drilling cost curves. Though drilling performance at FORGE has improved significantly, we did not find associated cost decreases that would justify lowering the GETEM baseline cost curves as of now.

API↗

A Novel High-Temperature Generator/Motor Design: With Applications in Geothermal Drilling and Other Industries

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), in partnership with Tetra Corporation and TPL Inc, has an ongoing ARPA-E project related to an advanced high-temperature geothermal drilling system, and the power electronics necessary for this system. As part of this work, NREL designed, built and tested a high-temperature generator for power generation in a 250 degrees Celsius downhole drilling environment. This design exceeded initial performance targets at elevated temperature. NREL is investigating alternative applications for this design, as either a generator or motor capable of efficient performance at high temperature.

alternator↗

Evaluation of Lost Circulation Material Sealing for Geothermal Drilling

Lost circulation is a pervasive problem in geothermal wells that can create prohibitive costs during drilling. The main issue with treatment is that the mechanism of plug formation is poorly understood. Here we applied two experimental approaches to characterize the clogging effectiveness of different materials. Fracture flow tests with different geometries were conducted with various individual materials and mixtures at relevant conditions. A high-temperature flow loop system was also developed to inject single- and mixed-material plugs into a gravel pack with a non-uniform geometry to compare with the fracture tests. The fracture tests revealed that single materials tended to form no plug or an unstable plug, while mixtures of materials were uniformly better at sealing fractures. Gravel pack tests at high temperatures show most of the materials are intact but degraded. The fibrous materials can create partial or unstable plugs in the gravel pack, but mixed-material plugs are far more effective at clogging. Both test types suggest that (1) mixed materials are more effective at blocking fluid flow and (2) fibrous materials seal fracture openings better, while granular materials seal inside fractures or pore throats better. Further research is needed to study the long-term stability of different plug configurations.

clogging tests↗

Context and mitigation of lost circulation during geothermal drilling in diverse geologic settings

Lost circulation is one of the most common and expensive problems facing geothermal energy development, representing up to 30% of drilling costs. We examined drilling records from four geothermal fields—McGinness Hills in central Nevada, Don A. Campbell and Steamboat Hills in western Nevada, and Puna Geothermal Venture on the Big Island of Hawai'i— to identify geologies most prone to lost circulation, as well as common mitigation strategies. Depths of lost circulation events varied, but their frequency often increased in the production interval. Lost circulation commonly occurred near fault intersections, and heavily faulted fields like McGinness Hills and Don A. Campbell showed secondary mineralization within approximately 100 m (328 ft) or less of where circulation was lost. Lost circulation mitigation strategies included using locally available materials (e.g., cotton seed hulls) as well as more expensive proprietary lost circulation materials, cement plugs above the reservoir, and drilling blind with aerated, polymer-based mud in the production zone. Addressing lost circulation using a well thought out decision-making approach and materials above the reservoir will save time and cost, and provide needed well integrity. Mitigation often requires a series of steps, typically applied from perceived least expensive to most, and are dependent on the severity and location in the well where circulation was lost and availability of materials. Placing cement plugs can cure lost circulation events, however these plugs are often expensive, time-consuming, and may not be successful.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

2025 Geothermal Drilling Cost Curves Update: Preprint

Drilling activities account for 30% to 57% of the cost to develop and install a geothermal plant. Therefore, an accurate representation of the cost to drill a well is paramount in techno-economic analysis to determine the feasibility of a geothermal power project. In 2022, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) endeavored to revise the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) GeoVision baseline drilling cost curves due to extensive improvement in drilling rates at the Utah Frontier Observatory Research in Geothermal Energy (FORGE) demonstration site. That effort did not culminate in the recommendation of new curves because the actual project costs did not match the reported performance improvements and were at or above the GeoVision baseline. The need for another iteration of this analysis has arisen from industry record drilling performance reported by recent commercial field-scale and demonstration projects, including Fervo Energy’s Cape Station, the Utah FORGE 16B(78)-32 demonstration and the Geysers Power Company’s GDC-36 demonstration. Therefore, in this work, we have estimated the resulting industry average rate of penetration (ROP) and bit life and applied these parameters as inputs to the Well Cost Simplified model used in the GeoVision analysis. The resulting revised cost curves show a significant decline from the GeoVision baseline. For vertical wells, the magnitude of cost decline ranges between 12% and 24% while for deviated wells, cost reductions between 18% and 26% are estimated. The revised cost curves are in good agreement with actual cost data and therefore, quantify the economic impact of the utilization of (and advances in) polycrystalline diamond compact (PDC) bit technology and the application of physics-based methodologies that optimize mechanical specific energy.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗