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Preliminary Results from an Assimilation of TOMS Aerosol Observations Into the GOCART Model

At NASA Goddard we are developing a global aerosol data assimilation system that combines advances in remote sensing and modeling of atmospheric aerosols. The goal is to provide high resolution, 3-D aerosol distributions to the research community. Our first step is to develop a simple assimilation system for Saharan mineral aerosol. The Goddard Chemistry and Aerosol Radiation model (GOCART) provides accurate 3-D mineral aerosol size distributions that compare well with TOMS satellite observations. Surface, mobilization, wet and dry deposition, convective and long-range transport are all driven by assimilated fields from the Goddard Earth Observing System Data Assimilation System, GEOS-DAS. Our version of GOCART transports sizes from.08-10 microns and only simulates Saharan dust. TOMS radiance observations in the ultra violet provide information on the mineral and carbonaceous aerosol fields. We use two main observables in this study: the TOMS aerosol index (AI) which is directly related to the ratio of the 340 and 380 radiances and the 380 radiance. These are sensitive to the aerosol optical thickness, the single scattering albedo and the height of the aerosol layer. The Goddard Aerosol Assimilation System (GAAS) uses the Data Assimilation Office's Physical-space Statistical Analysis System (PSAS) to combine TOMS observations and GOCART model first guess fields. At this initial phase we only assimilate observations into the the GOCART model over regions of Africa and the Atlantic where mineral aerosols dominant and carbonaceous aerosols are minimal, Our preliminary results during summer show that the assimilation with TOMS data modifies both the aerosol mass loading and the single scattering albedo. Assimilated aerosol fields will be compared with assimilated aerosol fields from GOCART and AERONET observations over Cape Verde.

daSilva, Arlindo

Preliminary Results from an Assimilation of Saharan Dust Using TOMS Radiances and the GOCART Model

At NASA Goddard we are developing a global aerosol data assimilation system that combines advances in remote sensing and modeling of atmospheric aerosols. The goal is to provide high resolution, 3-D aerosol distributions to the research community. Our first step is to develop a simple assimilation system for Saharan mineral aerosol. The Goddard Chemistry and Aerosol Radiation model (GOCART) provides accurate 3-D mineral aerosol size distributions. Surface mobilization, wet and dry deposition, convective and long-range transport are all driven by assimilated fields from the Goddard Earth Observing System Data Assimilation System, GEOS-DAS. Our version of GOCART transports sizes from .08-10 microns and only simulates Saharan dust. We draw the assimilation to two observables in this study: the TOMS aerosol index (Al) which is directly related to the ratio of the 340 and 380 radiances and the 380 radiance alone. The forward model that simulates the observables requires the aerosol optical thickness, the single scattering albedo and the height of the aerosol layer from the GOCART fields. The forward model also requires a refractive index for the dust. We test three index values to see which best fits the TOMS observables. These are 1) for Saharan dust reported by Patterson, 2) for a mixture of Saharan dust and a highly reflective material (sea salt or sulfate) and 3) for pure illite. The assimilation works best assuming either pure illite or the dust mixture. Our assimilation cycle first determines values of the aerosol index (Al) and the radiance at 380 nm based on the GOCART aerosol fields. Differences between the observed and GOCART model calculated Al and 380 nm radiance are first analyzed horizontally using the Physical-space Statistical Analysis System (PSAS). A quasi-Newton iteration is then performed to produce analyzed 3D aerosol fields according to parameterized background and observation error covariances. We only assimilate observations into the the GOCART model over regions of Africa and the Atlantic where mineral aerosols are dominant and carbonaceous aerosols are minimal.

Weaver, C. J.

GOCART Model Simulated Tropospheric Aerosols and Comparison with Satellite, Sun Photometer, and Field Measurement Data

We present the results of tropospheric sulfate, dust, carbonaceous, and sea salt aerosols simulated in the Goddard Ozone Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport (GOCART) model. Because it is a global model and uses assimilated meteorological data produced by the Goddard Data Assimilation Office, the GOCART model is an ideal tool for global aerosol analysis combining the satellite and in-situ field measurement data. The aerosol optical depth for total aerosols are compared with that retrieved from TOMS and AVHRR remote sensing instruments and from ground-based sun photometer measurements. Individual aerosol concentrations are compared with field measurements at different geographical locations. The distributions of different aerosol types to total aerosol optical depth will be discussed.

Chin, Mian

Long-Term Simulation of Dust Distribution with the GOCART Model: Correlation with the North Atlantic Oscillation

Global distribution of aeolian dust is simulated from 1981 to 1996 with the Goddard Ozone Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport (GOCART) model. The results are assessed with in-situ measurements and the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) aerosol products. The annual budget over the different continents and oceans are analyzed. It is found that there is a maximum of 25% difference of global annual emission from the minimum in 1996 to the maximum in 1988. There is a downward trend of dust emission over Africa and East Asia, of 6 and 2 Tg/yr, respectively. The inter-annual variability of dust distribution is analyzed over the North Atlantic and Africa. It is found that in winter most of the North Atlantic and Africa dust loading is correlated with the North Atlantic Oscillation. The GOCART model indicates that a controlling factor of such correlation can be attributed to dust emission from the Sahel. The Bodele depression is the major dust source in winter and its inter-annual variability is highly correlated with the NAO. However, it is not possible to conclude without further analysis that the North Atlantic Oscillation is forcing the inter-annual variability of dust emission and in-turn dust concentration over the North Atlantic.

Ginoux, P.

The Distribution of Carbon Monoxide in the GOCART Model

Carbon monoxide (CO) is an important trace gas because it is a significant source of tropospheric Ozone (O3) as well as a major sink for atmospheric hydroxyl radical (OH). The distribution of CO is set by a balance between the emissions, transport, and chemical processes in the atmosphere. The Georgia Tech/Goddard Global Ozone Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport (GOCART) model is used to simulate the atmospheric distribution of CO. The GOCART model is driven by the assimilated meteorological data from the Goddard Earth Observing System Data Assimilation System (GEOS DAS) in an off-line mode. We study the distribution of CO on three time scales: (1) day to day fluctuation produced by the synoptic waves; (2) seasonal changes due to the annual cycle of CO sources and sinks; and (3) interannual variability induced by dynamics. Comparison of model results with ground based and remote sensing measurements will also be presented.

Fan, Xiaobiao

Creating Seasonal Climatologies of Aerosol Lidar Ratios Over Ocean Using MODIS AOD Constrained Retrievals and GOCART Model Simulations

The current CALIPSO algorithms assign one lidar ratio (i.e., extinction-to-backscatter ratio; LR) value globally for each of the seven tropospheric aerosol types. In a future data products release, the CALIPSO project aims to improve these algorithms through the development of regional and seasonal LR climatologies. In this work, aerosol LRs are inferred through CALIOP backscatter profiles constrained by collocated aerosol optical depth (AOD) from Aqua Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data. This analysis is subsampled for those profiles that are cloud-free and contain only one CALIOP-classified aerosol type (e.g., marine). The CALIOP profiles are then collocated with aerosol volume fractions obtained through Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport (GOCART) model simulations. In this poster, we show twelve-year (June 2006-August 2018) mean spatial distributions of inferred aerosol LRs for CALIOP-classified marine aerosols and how they correspond inversely with patterns of GOCART sea salt volume fraction (SSVF). Near land masses, smaller SSVFs and larger LRs are found (due to the influence of over-land aerosols). In the remote ocean regions (likely less impacted by over-land aerosols), larger SSVFs and smaller LRs are found. The developed relationship between the GOCART model SSVFs and MODIS AOD constrained LRs is used to create model-assisted seasonal LR maps. Additionally, we show maps of inferred LRs from constrained retrievals using the CALIPSO Ocean Derived Column Optical Depth (ODCOD) product and comparisons with those from the MODIS analyses. The technique demonstrated here benefits CALIPSO in the near-term, but similar methods can also be applied to the next generation space-based elastic backscatter lidars with collocated passive sensors, such as those of the upcoming NASA Atmosphere Observing System (AOS).

Travis Toth

Update on GOCART Model Development and Applications

Recent results from the GOCART and GMI models are reported. They include: Updated emission inventories for anthropogenic and volcano sources, satellite-derived vegetation index for seasonal variations of dust emission, MODIS-derived smoke AOT for assessing uncertainties of biomass-burning emissions, long-range transport of aerosol across the Pacific Ocean, and model studies on the multi-decadal trend of regional and global aerosol distributions from 1980 to 2010, volcanic aerosols, and nitrate aerosols. The document was presented at the 2013 AEROCENTER Annual Meeting held at the GSFC Visitors Center, May 31, 2013. The Organizers of the meeting are posting the talks to the public Aerocentr website, after the meeting.

emission inventories

The GOCART Model Study of Aerosol Composition and Radiative Forcing: Present and Future

The Georgia Tech/Goddard Global Ozone Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport (GOCART) model is used to simulate sulfate, dust, carbonaceous, and sea salt aerosols. The simulations are conducted using the present and future emission scenarios based on the IPCC projection. Distributions of individual aerosol components for the present day are compared with observations from field experiments, ground-based sun photometer networks, and remote sensing. Aerosol radiative forcing for the present day and the projected future will also be discussed.

Chin, Mian

Variable Lidar Ratios for Marine and Dusty Marine Using MODIS AOD Constrained Retrievals and GOCART Model Simulations and their Impact on Level 2 CALIPSO Data Products in Version 5

The Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) onboard CALIPSO provided global measurements of attenuated backscatter profiles of various tropospheric aerosol species from June 2006 through June 2023. Extinction profiles are retrieved from these backscatter measurements by assuming a value for the extinction-to-backscatter or lidar ratio (LR). Up until version V4.51 of the data products, only a constant global value for each of the species has been used, spatially and temporally. However, it has been well known from various ground-based measurements that LRs of each aerosol species can potentially vary spatially as well seasonally. For the forthcoming Version 5 of the CALIPSO products, the CALIPSO team will implement variable lidar ratios at 532 nm for the species classified as “marine” and “dusty marine”. Here we present the essential elements of this scheme, which involves estimating lidar ratios by constraining Fernald solutions for the CALIOP particulate backscatter profiles using aerosol optical depths (AOD) from collocated MODIS retrievals. To account for the lack of measurements in various regions and seasons (e.g., Arctic winters), we leverage collocated model sea-salt volume fractions (SSVF) simulated by the Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport (GOCART) model and use an empirical relationship between the SSVF and LR to build hybrid climatological maps for the entire globe, i.e., using the modelled values when reliable values of the constrained LRs are not available. Initial evaluation of the resulting extinction profiles and corresponding AODs, both globally and in specific regions are presented using a limited amount of data. The primary improvement in AOD occurs in the coastal areas, like the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal. The estimated marine LR values in these regions are significantly higher than the constant value of 23 sr used in previous data releases, likely due to mixing with offshore pollution which results in higher AODs. Initial validation results using the CALIPSO Ocean Derived Column Optical Depth (ODCOD) retrievals and ground-based AERONET AOD measurements are presented.

CALIPSO

The Use of Satellite-Measured Aerosol Optical Depth to Constrain Biomass Burning Emissions Source Strength in a Global Model GOCART

Small particles in the atmosphere, called "atmospheric aerosol" have a direct effect on Earth climate through scattering and absorbing sunlight, and also an indirect effect by changing the properties of clouds, as they interact with solar radiation as well. Aerosol typically stays in the atmosphere for several days, and can be transported long distances, affecting air quality, visibility, and human health not only near the source, but also far downwind. Smoke from vegetation fires is one of the main sources of atmospheric aerosol; other sources include anthropogenic pollution, dust, and sea salt. Chemistry transport models (CTMs) are among the major tools for studying the atmospheric and climate effects of aerosol. Due to the considerable variation of aerosol concentrations and properties on many temporal and spatial scales, and the complexity of the processes involved, the uncertainties in aerosol effects on climate are large, as is featured in the latest report of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 2007. Reducing this uncertainty in the models is very important both for predicting future climate scenarios and for regional air quality forecasting and mitigation. During vegetation fires, also called biomass burning (BB) events, complex mixture of gases and particles is emitted. The amount of BB emissions is usually estimated taking into account the intensity and size of the fire and the properties of burning vegetation. These estimates are input into CTMs to simulate BB aerosol. Unfortunately, due to large variability of fire and vegetation properties, the quantity of BB emissions is very difficult to estimate and BB emission inventories provide numbers that can differ by up to the order of magnitude in some regions. Larger uncertainties in data input make uncertainties in model output larger as well. A powerful way to narrow the range of possible model estimates is to compare model output to observations. We use satellite observations of aerosol properties, specifically aerosol optical depth, which is directly proportional to the amount of aerosol in the atmosphere, and compare it to the model output. Assuming the model represents aerosol transport and particle properties correctly, the amount of BB emissions determines the simulated aerosol optical depth. In this study, we explore the regional performance of 13 commonly used emission estimates. These are each input to global Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport (GOCART) model. We then evaluate how well each emission estimate reproduces the smoke aerosol optical depth measured by the MODIS instrument. We compared GOCART-simulate aerosol optical depth with that measured from the satellite for 124 fire cases around the world during 2006 and 2007. We summarize the regional performance of each emission inventory and discuss reasons for their differences by considering the assumptions made during their development. We also show that because stronger wind disperses smoke plumes more readily, in cases with stronger wind, a larger increase in emission amount is needed to increase aerosol optical depth. In quiet, low-wind-speed environments, BB emissions produce a more significant increase in aerosol optical depth, other things being equal. Using the region-specific, quantitative relationships derived in our paper, together with the wind speed obtained from another source for a given fire case, we can constrain the amount of emission required in the model to reproduce the observations. The results of this paper are useful to the developers of BB emission inventories, as they show the strengths and weaknesses of individual emission inventories in different regions of the globe, and also for modelers who use these inventories and wish to improve their model results.

Petrenko, Mariya

Mapping Aerosol Lidar Ratios Over Ocean using MODIS AOD Constrained Retrievals and GOCART Model Simulations

After 17 years, the NASA Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations (CALIPSO) mission ceased science operations in August 2023. For the final CALIPSO data products release (Version 5), the CALIPSO project seeks to improve the accuracy of its aerosol extinction by advancing knowledge of aerosol lidar ratios (i.e., extinction-to-backscatter ratios; LRs) for various aerosol types. The current algorithm assigns one LR value globally for each of the seven tropospheric aerosol types. The CALIPSO team aims to improve the retrieval algorithm through the development of regional and seasonal LR climatologies for the same aerosol types. In this study, aerosol LRs are inferred through Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) backscatter profiles constrained by collocated aerosol optical depth (AOD) from Aqua Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data over oceans during daytime. This analysis is subsampled for those profiles that are cloud-free and contain only one CALIOP-classified aerosol type. The CALIOP profiles are then collocated with aerosol volume fractions obtained through Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport (GOCART) model simulations. This presentation will reveal findings that the 12-year (June 2006-August 2018) mean spatial distributions of inferred aerosol LRs for CALIOP-classified marine and dusty marine aerosols correspond inversely with patterns of GOCART sea salt volume fraction (SSVF). For example, smaller SSVFs (< 65%) and larger LRs (> 55 sr), are found near land masses (Fig. 1). This indicates the influence of advected anthropogenic aerosols (e.g., pollution and biomass burning smoke). In the remote oceans (i.e., regions likely less impacted by non-sea salt aerosols), the SSVFs are larger (> 95%) and the LRs are smaller (< 25 sr) (Fig. 1). A polynomial fit of the MODIS AOD constrained LRs to the corresponding GOCART SSVFs (intersect values of ~58 sr for SSVF of 0% and ~21 sr for SSVF of 100%) is further used to produce model-assisted climatological LR maps on seasonal scales. Additionally, we will show results of a LR validation analysis for which we compare the revised CALIPSO AODs obtained by applying the seasonal/regional constrained LRs against CALIPSO Version 4.51 Ocean Derived Column Optical Depth (ODCOD). While the majority of the presentation will focus on LRs for CALIOP-classified marine and dusty marine aerosols, an overview of LR results will show preliminary results for other aerosol types over ocean, such as dust and elevated smoke. The technique demon-strated in this study highlights the benefits not only to the final planned CALIPSO data release in 2025, but similar methods can be applied to future spaceborne elastic backscatter lidars with collocated passive sensors (e.g., such as those associated with NASA’s proposed Atmosphere Observing System).

Travis D Toth

Refined Use of Satellite Aerosol Optical Depth Snapshots to Constrain Biomass Burning Emissions in the GOCART Model

Simulations of biomass burning (BB) emissions in global chemistry and aerosol transport models depend on external inventories, which provide location and strength of burning aerosol sources. Our previous work (Petrenko et al., 2012) shows that satellite snapshots of aerosol optical depth (AOD) near the emitted smoke plume can be used to constrain model-simulated AOD, and effectively, the assumed source strength. We now refine the satellite-snapshot method and investigate applying simple multiplicative emission correction factors for the widely used Global Fire Emission Database version 3 (GFEDv3) emission inventory can achieve regional-scale consistency between MODIS AOD snapshots and the Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport (GOCART) model. The model and satellite AOD are compared over a set of more than 900 BB cases observed by the MODIS instrument during the 2004, and 2006-2008 biomass burning seasons. The AOD comparison presented here shows that regional discrepancies between the model and satellite are diverse around the globe yet quite consistent within most ecosystems. Additional analysis of including small fire emission correction shows the complimentary nature of correcting for source strength and adding missing sources, and also indicates that in some regions other factors may be significant in explaining model-satellite discrepancies. This work sets the stage for a larger intercomparison within the Aerosol Inter-comparisons between Observations and Models (AeroCom) multi-model biomass burning experiment. We discuss here some of the other possible factors affecting the remaining discrepancies between model simulations and observations, but await comparisons with other AeroCom models to draw further conclusions.

aerosol optical depth

MODIS Satellite Data and GOCART Model Characterization of the Global Aerosol

Recently produced daily MODIS aerosol data for the whole year of 2001 are used to show the concentration and dynamics of aerosol over ocean and large parts of the continents. The data were validated against the Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) measurements over land and ocean. Monthly averages and a movie based on the daily data are produced and used to demonstrate the spatial and temporal evolution of aerosol. The MODIS wide spectral range is used to distinguish fine smoke and pollution aerosol from coarse dust and salt. The aerosol is observed above ocean and land. The movie produced from the MODIS data provides a new dimension to aerosol observations by showing the dynamics of the system. For example in February smoke and dust emitted from the Sahel and West Africa is shown to travel to the North-East Atlantic. In April heavy dust and pollution from East Asia is shown to travel to North America. In May-June pollution and dust play a dynamical dance in the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal. In Aug-September smoke from South Africa and South America is shown to pulsate in tandem and to periodically to be transported to the otherwise pristine Southern part of the Southern Hemisphere. The MODIS data are compared with the GOCART model and used to estimate the first observation based direct anthropogenic radiative forcing of climate by aerosol.

Kaufman, Yoram

Dynamics and Properties of Global Aerosol using MODIS, AERONET and GOCART Model

Recently produced daily Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) aerosol data for the whole year of 2001 are used to show the concentration and dynamics of aerosol over ocean and large parts of the continents. The data were validated against the Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) measurements over land and ocean in a special issue in GRL now in press. Monthly averages and a movie based on the daily data are produced and used to demonstrate the spatial and temporal evolution of aerosol. The MODIS wide spectral range is used to distinguish fine smoke and pollution aerosol from coarse dust and salt. The aerosol is observed above ocean and land. The movie produced from the MODIS data provides a new dimension to aerosol observations by showing the dynamics of the system. For example in February smoke and dust emitted from the Sahel and West Africa is shown to travel to the North-East Atlantic. In April heavy dust and pollution from East Asia is shown to travel to North America. In May-June pollution and dust play a dynamical dance in the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal. In Aug-September smoke from South Africa and South America is shown to pulsate in tandem and to periodically to be transported to the otherwise pristine Southern part of the Southern Hemisphere. The MODIS data are compared with the Georgia Tech/Goddard Global Ozone Chemistry Aerosol Radiation Transport (GOCART) model to test and adjust source and sink strengths in the model and to study the effect of clouds on the representation of the satellite data.

Kaufman, Yoram

Improving Public Health DSSs by Including Saharan Dust Forecasts Through Incorporation of NASA's GOCART Model Results

Approximately 2-3 billion metric tons of soil dust are estimated to be transported in the Earth's atmosphere each year. Global transport of desert dust is believed to play an important role in many geochemical, climatological, and environmental processes. This dust carries minerals and nutrients, but it has also been shown to carry pollutants and viable microorganisms capable of harming human, animal, plant, and ecosystem health. Saharan dust, which impacts the eastern United States (especially Florida and the southeast) and U.S. Territories in the Caribbean primarily during the summer months, has been linked to increases in respiratory illnesses in this region and has been shown to carry other human, animal, and plant pathogens. For these reasons, this candidate solution recommends integrating Saharan dust distribution and concentration forecasts from the NASA GOCART global dust cycle model into a public health DSS (decision support system), such as the CDC's (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's) EPHTN (Environmental Public Health Tracking Network), for the eastern United States and Caribbean for early warning purposes regarding potential increases in respiratory illnesses or asthma attacks, potential disease outbreaks, or bioterrorism. This candidate solution pertains to the Public Health National Application but also has direct connections to Air Quality and Homeland Security. In addition, the GOCART model currently uses the NASA MODIS aerosol product as an input and uses meteorological forecasts from the NASA GEOS-DAS (Goddard Earth Observing System Data Assimilation System) GEOS-4 AGCM. In the future, VIIRS aerosol products and perhaps CALIOP aerosol products could be assimilated into the GOCART model to improve the results.

Berglund, Judith

Creating Regional and Seasonal Climatologies of Marine and Dusty Marine Aerosol Lidar Ratios using MODIS AOD Constrained Retrievals and GOCART Model Simulations

The CALIPSO aerosol algorithms currently assign one lidar ratio (LR) value globally for each of the seven tropospheric aerosol types. In this study, MODIS total column aerosol optical depths (AODs) are used to constrain collocated CALIOP backscatter profiles in a Fernald inversion that infers aerosol LRs for CALIOP-classified marine and dusty marine aerosols. The GOCART aerosol model is leveraged to estimate the sea salt volume fractions (SSVFs) that are collocated with the CALIOP+MODIS LR retrievals. An inverse empirical relationship is found between the SSVFs and LRs (i.e., smaller SSVFs and larger LRs near coastlines, but the opposite in the remote oceans). This SSVF/LR relationship is applied to create regional and seasonal hybrid (i.e., retrieval & model-assisted) climatological LR maps so as to develop more robust LR selections for marine and dusty marine aerosols in the CALIPSO algorithms. These analyses also provide critical LR information for the next generation of spaceborne elastic backscatter lidars.

Travis D. Toth

Creating Regional and Seasonal Climatologies of Marine and Dusty Marine Aerosol Lidar Ratios using MODIS AOD Constrained Retrievals and GOCART Model Simulations

The CALIPSO aerosol algorithms currently assign one lidar ratio (LR) value globally for each of the seven tropospheric aerosol types. In this study, MODIS total column aerosol optical depths (AODs) are used to constrain collocated CALIOP backscatter profiles in a Fernald inversion that infers aerosol LRs for CALIOP-classified marine and dusty marine aerosols. The GOCART aerosol model is leveraged to estimate the sea salt volume fractions (SSVFs) that are collocated with the CALIOP+MODIS LR retrievals. An inverse empirical relationship is found between the SSVFs and LRs (i.e., smaller SSVFs and larger LRs near coastlines, but the opposite in the remote oceans). This SSVF/LR relationship is applied to create regional and seasonal hybrid (i.e., retrieval & model-assisted) climatological LR maps so as to develop more robust LR selections for marine and dusty marine aerosols in the CALIPSO algorithms. These analyses also provide critical LR information for the next generation of spaceborne elastic backscatter lidars.

Travis D. Toth