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A study of examiner accuracy in cartridge case comparisons. Part 2: Examiner use of the AFTE range of conclusions

Here, this report describes an analysis of how examiners used the Association of Firearm and Toolmark Examiners (AFTE) Range of Conclusions in a controlled study undertaken to estimate examiner error rates in comparing cartridge cases. Results of the error rate analysis are reported in [1]; this paper focuses on a broader analysis of how the entire collection of classification categories, especially those in the Inconclusive range, were used by the participating examiners. Volunteer active examiners with AFTE membership or working in laboratories that participate in Association of Crime Laboratory Directors (ASCLD) were provided with 15 sets of three known and one questioned cartridge cases fired from a collection of 25 new Ruger SR9 handguns. Remington 9-mm Luger (manufacturer designation L9MM3) ammunition was used and comparison sets were made up of cartridge cases fired within 100 cartridges of each other for each gun. Examiners were provided with a background survey, an answer sheet allowing for the AFTE Range of Conclusions, and return shipping materials. The participating examiners were provided with both same-source and different-source comparison sets allowing the study to assess both error rates. Responses were received from 218 participating examiners. The overall rate of false-negatives was estimated as 0.367 % from comparisons known to be from the same firearm but reported as eliminations. The overall rate of false-positives was estimated as 1.01 % from comparisons known to be from different firearms but reported as identifications. In the case of true different-source examinations, it is clear that the three Inconclusive categories and the Elimination category are not used consistently by all examiners. We identify five different apparent patterns of use of the AFTE Range of Conclusions scale, and discuss possible reasons for and implications of these differences.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

A study of examiner accuracy in cartridge case comparisons. Part 1: Examiner error rates

This report describes a study undertaken to estimate examiner (not laboratory) error rates for false Identifications and false Eliminations when comparing an unknown to a collection of three known cartridge cases. Volunteer active examiners with Association of Firearm and Toolmark Examiners (AFTE) membership or working in laboratories that participate in the Association of Crime Laboratory Directors (ASCLD) were provided with 15 sets of three known and one questioned cartridge cases fired from a collection of 25 new Ruger SR9 handguns. Remington 9-mm Luger (manufacturer designation L9MM3) ammunition was used and comparison sets were made up of cartridge cases fired within 100 cartridges of each other for each gun. Examiners were provided with a background survey, an answer sheet allowing for the AFTE Range of Conclusions, and return shipping materials. In addition to determining whether the known and questioned cartridge cases were fired with the same handgun, examiners were also asked to assess how many of the three knowns in each set were suitable for comparison, providing an estimated rate of how often each firearm used in the study produces useable, quality marks. The participating examiners were provided with both same-source and different-source comparison sets allowing the study to assess both error rates. Responses were received from 218 participating examiners. The overall rate of false Eliminations was estimated as 0.367% from comparisons known to be from the same firearm but reported as Eliminations. The overall rate of false Identifications was estimated as 1.01% from comparisons known to be from different firearms but reported as Identifications. The rates are not uniform across the sample population with a few examiners providing most of the false Identification responses. Rates of poor-quality mark production varied across the 25 sample handguns; those rates were 2.3% (±1.4%). Both false Elimination and false Identification rates are comparable to or lower than the rate of production of poor-quality marks by the firearms used in this study.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Examination of How Well Long-Range-Corrected Density Functionals Satisfy the Ionization Energy Theorem

For this work, we calculated the vertical ionization energies (VIE) of 99 species in two ways to examine the accuracy of several long-range-corrected (LC) hybrid meta functionals in comparison with a gradient approximation (GA), global hybrids, and doubly hybrids. In the category of LC functionals, we examined both those with meta ingredients (i.e., that depend on the kinetic energy density) and those without them. The LC-hybrid meta functionals examined are M11, revM11, M11plus, and ωB97M-V. The reference data used to assess accuracy consist of 95 molecules and 4 atoms in the GW100 set. The two methods studied are the ΔSCF method (involving the difference of neutral and cation self-consistent field (SCF) energies) and the ionization energy theorem (involving the orbital energy of the highest occupied molecular orbital, HOMO). We calculated linear correlation coefficients (r 2 ) and mean absolute deviations (MADs) between each approach and the reference VIE value from the CCSD(T)/def2-TZVPP level of theory. We compared the new LC-hybrid meta calculations to calculations with the 10 functionals in a previous VIE study by Brémond et al. and to the calculations with LC-BLYP (LC-Becke, Lee–Yang–Parr), CAM-B3LYP (Coulomb-attenuating-method Becke-3-parameter Lee–Yang–Parr), LC-ωHPBE, and ωB97X-D. The results show that Minnesota LC-hybrid meta functionals have the smallest mean absolute deviation of ionization energy theorem VIEs with the reference data; the LC-ωHPBE functional also does quite well in this test. This is very encouraging and indicates that LC-hybrid meta functionals would be the best starting points for the tuning strategy that has been shown to be a very good procedure for improving time-dependent density functional calculations, and it also helps explain the good success of LC-hybrid meta functionals for molecular excitation energies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Examination of the cerium α-ε phase transition under dynamic loading with x-ray diffraction

Recent examination of the cerium Hugoniot with pyrometry and x-ray diffraction (XRD) has revealed a narrow solid-liquid two-phase region. It has been suggested that nonequilibrium melting may be occurring along the Ce Hugoniot, with either melt kinetics or a sluggish α-ε transition impeding the transition. In particular, the kinetics of the α-ε is unknown and the location of the phase boundary is in dispute. Static measurements suggest a nearly vertical phase boundary that intersects the Hugoniot at 6–7 GPa. This lies in direct conflict with dynamic measurements along the Hugoniot observing α-Ce through incipient melt. This work presents dynamic experiments using XRD to examine the behavior of the α-ε phase transition. The results show that the α-ε phase transition occurs through a tetragonal distortion, with the transition beginning at temperatures below the solid Hugoniot. Following the initial deviation from an ideal fcc structure, the c/a ratio is found to gradually increase with no steady value observed in the ε phase within the range of these experiments (below 17 GPa). Multiple diffraction patterns captured during the peak stress state show no significant change in c/a ratio prior to uniaxial release, upon which Ce reverts to an fcc structure. Furthermore, the results indicate that the α-ε transition occurs rapidly, both on loading and release. An examination of the c/a ratio with increasing temperatures suggests 11.5 GPa as a lower bound for the location of the α-ε-liquid triple point.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Examining Tropical Convection Features at Storm-Resolving Scales Over the Maritime Continent Region

Global Storm Resolving Models (GSRMs) provide a way to understand weather and climate events across scales for better-informed climate impacts. In this work, we apply the recently developed and validated CAM (Community Atmosphere Model)—MPAS (Model for Prediction Across Scales) modeling framework, based on the open-source Community Earth System Model (CESM2), to examine the tropical convection features at the storm resolving scale over the Maritime Continent region at 3 km horizontal spacing. We target two global numerical experiments during the winter season of 2018 for comparison with observation in the region. Here we focus on the investigation of the representations of the convective systems, precipitation statistics, and tropical cyclone behaviors. We found that regional-refined experiments show more accurate precipitation distributions, diurnal cycles, and better agreement with observations for tropical cyclone features in terms of intensity and strength statistics. We expect the exploration of this work will further advance the development and use of the storm-resolving model in precipitation predictions across scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Sobering Examination of the Feasibility of Aqueous Aluminum Batteries

Recent reports on aqueous aluminum (Al) batteries boast encouraging metrics including high energy density, nonflammability, and low raw material cost. However, the poorly understood solvation environment around the trivalent aluminum ions (Al3+) raises uncertainty regarding their feasibility. Furthermore, the corrosiveness of the acidic solutions and degree of hydration of aluminum trifluoromethanesulfonate (Al(OTf)3) salt is routinely mischaracterized. This study provides a rigorous examination of aqueous Al electrolytes, with the first compelling evidence for a dynamic octahedral solvation structure around Al3+ dominated by labile water and OH-, without Al-OTf contact ion pairs, at high concentrations. This solvation behavior and the concomitant electrostatic hydrolysis differs greatly from previously reported water-in-salt electrolytes, and occurs due to the high charge density of the Lewis acidic Al3+. Nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy and other physicochemical measurements quantitatively reveal how species activity evolves with concentration. The high proton activity observed in transport and electrochemical measurements constitutes a prohibitive barrier to the feasibility of rechargeable aluminum batteries with aqueous electrolyte.

Pastel, Glenn R.↗

Examination of Molten Salt Reactor Relevant Elements Using Hydrothermal Synthesis

The structural chemistry of elements relevant to the FLiBe molten salt reactor, Th, U, Np, and Zr, including Ce andNd (as analogues for Pu and Am, respectively), have been examined using hydrothermal synthesis at 200 °C. These reactions serve to model the reaction of molten salts under hydrolysis conditions. The results show that U and Np formed LiAnF 5 , while Ce formed Li 4 CeF 8 . The source of U also controlled the crystal quality, where UO 2 gave small crystals, while UO 3 ·2H 2 O gave very large crystals. It is likely that Be incorporation was not observed because of the high solubility of [BeF 4 ] 2– in water. Zr formed a third product, Li 6 BeF 4 ZrF 8 , which features isolated [BeF 4 ] 2– and [ZrF 8 ] 4– units bridged by Li + . Additionally, Li 2 BeF 4 was regularly isolated. As a result, when little to no alkali metal was included in the reaction, M 3 F 12 (H 2 O) was isolated for Np, U, and Ce.

Anions↗

Experimental and theoretical examination of shock-compressed copper through the fcc to bcc to melt phase transitions

Recent studies show a face-centered cubic (fcc) to body-centered cubic (bcc) transformation along the shock Hugoniot for several metals (i.e., Cu, Au, and Ag). Here, we combine laser-shock compression of Cu foils on nanosecond timescales with in situ x-ray diffraction (XRD) to examine the microstructural changes with stress. We study the fcc phase and the phase transition from fcc to bcc (pressures greater than 180 GPa). Textural analysis of the azimuthal intensities from the XRD images is consistent with transformation into the bcc phase through the Pitsch-distortion mechanism. We use embedded atom model molecular dynamics simulations to determine the stability of the bcc phase in pressure–temperature space. Finally, our results indicate that the bcc phase is stabilized only at high temperatures and remains stable at pressures greater than 500 GPa.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Examining Ohmic Losses in Fuel-Cell Catalyst Layers with Different Pt/C Ratios

A model of a fuel-cell cathode with distinct proton conductivities at the agglomerate and electrode scales was used to simulate polarization curves under conditions with facile oxygen transport. Here, the model was applied to electrodes containing agglomerates with different ratios of platinum to carbon in order to examine the hypothesis that intra-agglomerate proton conductivity is substantially lower than ionomer conductivity. The model predicts decreasing performance and increasing sensitivity to Pt/C ratio as intra-agglomerate conductivity declines relative to a constant through-electrode conductivity. Experiments on catalyst layers with Vulcan supports do not show the predicted trend indicating that mesoscale intra-agglomerate conductivity is not orders of magnitude lower than bulk ionomer conductivity.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Synthesis of Parent Acetylide and Dicarbide Complexes of Thorium and Uranium and an Examination of Their Electronic Structures

The reaction of [AnCl(NR 2 ) 3 ] (An = U or Th; R = SiMe 3 ) with NaCCH and tetramethylethylenediamine (TMEDA) results in the formation of [An(C≡CH)(NR 2 ) 3 ] (1, An = U; 2, An = Th), which can be isolated in good yields after workup. Similarly, the reaction of 3 equiv of NaCCH and TMEDA with [AnCl(NR 2 ) 3 ] results in the formation of [Na(TMEDA)][An(C≡CH) 2 (NR 2 ) 3 ] (4, An = U; 5, An = Th), which can be isolated in fair yields after workup. The reaction of 1 with 2 equiv of KC 8 and 1 equiv of 2.2.2-cryptand in tetrahydrofuran results in formation of the uranium(III) acetylide complex [K(2.2.2-cryptand)][U(C≡CH)(NR 2 ) 3 ] (3). Thermolysis of 1 or 2 results in formation of the bimetallic dicarbide complexes [{An(NR 2 ) 3 } 2 (μ,η 1 :η 1 -C 2 )] (6, An = U; 7, An = Th), whereas the reaction of 1 with [Th{N(R)(SiMe 2 CH 2 )}(NR 2 ) 2 ] results in the formation of [U(NR 2 ) 3 (μ,η 1 :η 1 -C 2 )Th(NR 2 ) 3 ] (8). The 13 C NMR chemical shifts of the α-acetylide carbon atoms in 2, 5, and 7 exhibit a characteristic spin–orbit-induced downfield shift, due to participation of the 5f orbitals in the Th–C bonds. Furthermore, magnetism measurements demonstrate that 6 displays weak ferromagnetic coupling between the uranium(IV) centers (J = 1.78 cm –1 ).

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Examining normal modes as fundamental heat carriers in amorphous solids: The case of amorphous silicon

Normal mode decomposition of atomic vibrations has been used to provide microscopic understanding of thermal transport in amorphous solids for decades. In normal mode methods, it is naturally assumed that atoms vibrate around their equilibrium positions, and that individual normal modes are the fundamental vibrational excitations transporting heat. With the abundance of predictions from normal mode methods and experimental measurements now available, we carefully analyze these calculations in amorphous silicon, a model amorphous solid. We find a number of discrepancies, suggesting that treating individual normal modes as fundamental heat carriers may not be accurate in amorphous solids. Furthermore, our classical and ab initio molecular dynamics simulations of amorphous silicon demonstrate a large degree of atomic diffusion, especially at high temperatures, leading to the conclusion that thermal transport in amorphous solids could be better described starting from the perspectives of liquid physics rather than from crystalline solids.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Examining astrophysical gas cloud collapse using an optical depth-scaled, x-ray-irradiated, carbon-foam sphere

When stellar radiation interacts with a molecular cloud, the cloud's fate depends on the strength of the incident radiation and the radiation's mean-free-path within the cloud [F. Bertoldi, Astrophys. J. 346, 735–755 (1989)]. Under the right conditions, the radiation compresses the cloud and a star formation may occur. Where and when the stellar formation occurs in the cloud's collapse are open questions. Direct observation of the complete star–cloud lifecycle is nearly impossible due to the immense timescales and distances over which the interaction occurs. Laboratory astrophysics offers a way to investigate such a system by scaling the important astrophysical parameters to the laboratory. This work describes laboratory experiments to study the radiation-driven implosion of clouds, using x rays from a laser-irradiated, thin, gold foil as a surrogate star and a carbon-foam sphere as a surrogate cloud. An optically thick system, theoretically corresponding to a star-forming regime, was selected by choice of the foam density. Gold foil and sphere motions were imaged by x-ray radiography. Radiographic images show the formation of an interface between rarefied gold and carbon plasmas, a shock moving into the sphere, and a blunting of the initial sphere's shape. Measurements show that the shock moved linearly around 64 μm/ns into the sphere, and the gold–carbon interface formed by 2 ns at the sphere edge remained stationary. The deformation of the sphere was driven by the incident radiation and not by mechanical pressures applied by gold plasma. The blunting of the sphere was likely due to the geometric reduction of flux near the sphere's poles. Higher x-ray flux near the sphere's equator caused high compression and a faster shock, which flattened the sphere. We will discuss the results and implications of our observations.

VanDervort, R. W. [University of Michigan 1 , Ann ↗