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At least 19 records

Updated Eastern Interconnect Wind Power Output and Forecasts for ERGIS: July 2012

AWS Truepower, LLC (AWST) was retained by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) to update wind resource, plant output, and wind power forecasts originally produced by the Eastern Wind Integration and Transmission Study (EWITS). The new data set was to incorporate AWST's updated 200-m wind speed map, additional tall towers that were not included in the original study, and new turbine power curves. Additionally, a primary objective of this new study was to employ new data synthesis techniques developed for the PJM Renewable Integration Study (PRIS) to eliminate diurnal discontinuities resulting from the assimilation of observations into mesoscale model runs. The updated data set covers the same geographic area, 10-minute time resolution, and 2004?2006 study period for the same onshore and offshore (Great Lakes and Atlantic coast) sites as the original EWITS data set.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Eastern Renewable Generation Integration Study

The Eastern Interconnection (EI) is one of the largest power systems in the world, and its size and complexity have historically made it difficult to study in high levels of detail in a modeling environment. In order to understand how this system might be impacted by high penetrations (30% of total annual generation) of wind and solar photovoltaic (PV) during steady state operations, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) conducted the Eastern Renewable Generation Integration Study (ERGIS). This study investigates certain aspects of the reliability and economic efficiency problem faced by power system operators and planners. Specifically, the study models the ability to meet electricity demand at a 5-minute time interval by scheduling resources for known ramping events, while maintaining adequate reserves to meet random variation in supply and demand, and contingency events. To measure the ability to meet these requirements, a unit commitment and economic dispatch (UC&ED) model is employed to simulate power system operations. The economic costs of managing this system are presented using production costs, a traditional UC&ED metric that does not include any consideration of long-term fixed costs. ERGIS simulated one year of power system operations to understand regional and sub-hourly impacts of wind and PV by developing a comprehensive UC&ED model of the EI. In the analysis, it is shown that, under the study assumptions, generation from approximately 400 GW of combined wind and PV capacity can be balanced on the transmission system at a 5-minute level. In order to address the significant computational burdens associated with a model of this detail we apply novel computing techniques to dramatically reduce simulation solve time while simultaneously increasing the resolution and fidelity of the analysis. Our results also indicate that high penetrations of wind and PV (collectively variable generation (VG)), significantly impact the operation of traditional generating resources and cause these resources to be used less frequently and operate across a broader output range because wind and PV have lower operating costs and variable output levels.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Eastern Renewable Generation Integration Study: Redefining What’s Possible for Renewable Energy

NREL project manager Aaron Bloom introduces NREL’s Eastern Renewable Generation Integration Study (ERGIS) and high-performance computing capabilities and new methodologies that allowed NREL to model operations of the Eastern Interconnection at unprecedented fidelity. ERGIS shows that the Eastern Interconnection can balance the variability and uncertainty of wind and solar photovoltaics at a 5-minute level, for one simulated year.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Eastern Renewable Generation Integration Study Solar Dataset (Presentation)

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory produced solar power production data for the Eastern Renewable Generation Integration Study (ERGIS) including "real time" 5-minute interval data, "four hour ahead forecast" 60-minute interval data, and "day-ahead forecast" 60-minute interval data for the year 2006. This presentation provides a brief overview of the three solar power datasets.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Visualization of the Eastern Renewable Generation Integration Study: Preprint

The Eastern Renewable Generation Integration Study (ERGIS), explores the operational impacts of the wide spread adoption of wind and solar photovoltaics (PV) resources in the U.S. Eastern Interconnection and Quebec Interconnection (collectively, EI). In order to understand some of the economic and reliability challenges of managing hundreds of gigawatts of wind and PV generation, we developed state of the art tools, data, and models for simulating power system operations using hourly unit commitment and 5-minute economic dispatch over an entire year. Using NREL's high-performance computing capabilities and new methodologies to model operations, we found that the EI, as simulated with evolutionary change in 2026, could balance the variability and uncertainty of wind and PV at a 5-minute level under a variety of conditions. A large-scale display and a combination of multiple coordinated views and small multiples were used to visually analyze the four large highly multivariate scenarios with high spatial and temporal resolutions. state of the art tools, data, and models for simulating power system operations using hourly unit commitment and 5-minute economic dispatch over an entire year. Using NRELs high-performance computing capabilities and new methodologies to model operations, we found that the EI, as simulated with evolutionary change in 2026, could balance the variability and uncertainty of wind and PV at a 5-minute level under a variety of conditions. A large-scale display and a combination of multiple coordinated views and small multiples were used to visually analyze the four large highly multivariate scenarios with high spatial and temporal resolutions.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

The Eastern Renewable Generation Integration Study: Insights on System Stress: Preprint

The Eastern Renewable Generation Integration Study (ERGIS) explores the operational impacts of the wide spread adoption of wind and solar photovoltaics (PV) resources in North America's Eastern and Quebec Interconnections. We explore the impact of large scale adoption of wind and solar generation on the unit commitment and economic dispatch of the largest coordinated power system in the world by simulating hourly and five-minute operations. Using NREL's high-performance computing capabilities and new methodologies to model operations, we found that the modeled system, as simulated with evolutionary change in 2026, could balance the variability and uncertainty of wind and solar PV at a five-minute level under a variety of conditions. Our simulations achieve instantaneous penetrations that exceed 50% of load while meeting an annual penetration of 30% on an energy basis. The system meets balanced load and supply in all intervals, with modest curtailment, using technologies and practices that are widely available today. However, a variety of the conditions present in these simulations deviate substantially from historical practice. In this work, we analyze potentially stressful system conditions that occur in the simulations and identify opportunities for innovation, regulatory reform, and changes in operating practices that require further analysis to enable the transition to a system with more wind and solar PV.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Building a Diverse and Inclusive STEM Workforce: The JUMP into STEM Program: Preprint

The JUMP into STEM program is a DOE-funded initiative jointly run by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory and Oak Ridge National La-boratory. Through this program, students from historically underrepresented backgrounds are engaged in the science of building energy-efficient infrastruc-ture. Through program stages, students have opportunity to compete in chal-lenges, competitions, and internship opportunities. We have conducted a study of past participants in the program. We find that 1) the program has been effec-tive at engaging a diverse array of participants from a variety of backgrounds, including historically underrepresented backgrounds, and 2) the program has been effective at promoting career paths in STEM, and more specifically, in en-ergy efficiency.

DEI↗

Sockeye Validation Support Using the SPHERE Facility

The engineering-scale heat pipe application Sockeye, being developed through the Nuclear En- ergy Advanced Modeling and Simulation program is concurrently undergoing code development and verification and validation activities. The Single Primary Heat Extraction and Removal Emu- lator (SPHERE) facility at Idaho National Laboratory has performed numerous sodium heat pipe experiments, one of which is modeled in this work to support Sockeye validation. Heat pipe data produced by the SPHERE facility was found to be very useful not only for Sockeye validation but also as a useful resource for model development. A Sockeye simulation performed using Sockeye’s conduction model modeled an experimental run at SPHERE and was found to be able to accurately reproduce the steady temperature distribution but revealed discrepancies in transient behavior after shutoff of the power. This effort also revealed a number of challenges of modeling an experimental setup such as SPHERE, for example, the importance of details in the setup such as possible gaps in insulation. Also, continuous collaboration between Sockeye developers and SPHERE experimentalists has been established, which allows future experiments to be refined in response to questions and challenges found by simulating earlier experiments.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

The hypernuclear physics program at Jefferson Lab

Missing mass spectroscopy of Λ hypernuclei using the (e, e' K⁺) re action has been performed in the past at the Thomas Jefferson National Accelerator Facility (Jefferson Lab) by several experiments in Halls A and C. A new experimen tal campaign is expected to start running in 2026 in Hall C and to provide the first study of the isospin dependence in medium-mass hyperisotopes by populating $^{40}_Λ{K}$ and $^{48}_Λ{K}$ using isotopically enriched calcium targets [E12-15-008]. During this cam paign, it will be possible to study Λ interactions in nuclear matter using a lead target [E12-20-013]. Solid-state targets made of lithium, beryllium, boron [LOI12-23-013], and aluminum [LOI12-23-016] are considered to be included in the campaign. The use of the HKS and HES spectrometers together with thin target foils and high beam currents leads to a sub-MeV energy resolution, significantly better than in hadron beam experiments. Valuable information on few-body hyperon systems would be gained if helium targets were used [E12-19-002]. Using an additional spectrometer for measuring the decay-pion spectra could give access to the binding energies of light hyperfragments [LOI12-23-011]. The measurement of precise and accurate en ergy spectra of different hyperisotopes probes the Λ-N interaction in nuclei including the Λ-N-N interaction. The latter is assumed to play a key role for the stiffness of the nuclear equation of state relevant for the stability of neutron stars.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

SINGLE BUNCH TRACKING ON THE TEN-PASS ER@CEBAF ENERGY RECOVERY BEAMLINE

The proposed ten-pass energy recovery linac (ERL) demonstration (five accelerating, five decelerating) at the CEBAF accelerator, ER@CEBAF, involves a multi-GeV en- ergy range of a continuous electron beam. New CEBAF transverse optics were designed for this ERL demonstration. This redesign incorporates additional components in Arc A, including a path length chicane and new quadrupoles to ensure proper dispersion localization. The new five energy recovery passes with a shared arc transport scheme chal- lenge the overall beamline optics design, including large beta functions in the CEBAF spreaders and recombiners. Here we discuss results of bunch tracking performed using the elegant tracking code for the full ER@CEBAF beamline

Neththikumara, I.↗

Methods and Results for Standard Model Event Generation at $\sqrt{s}$ = 14 TeV, 33 TeV and 100 TeV Proton Colliders (A Snowmass Whitepaper)

This document describes the novel techniques used to simulate the common Snowmass 2013 En- ergy Frontier Standard Model backgrounds for future hadron colliders. The purpose of many Energy Frontier studies is to explore the reach of high luminosity data sets at a variety of high energy collid- ers. The generation of high statistics samples which accurately model large integrated luminosities for multiple center-of-mass energies and pile-up environments is not possible using an unweighted event generation strategy | an approach which relies on event weighting was necessary. Even with these improvements in e ciency, extensive computing resources were required. This document de- scribes the speci c approach to event generation using Madgraph5 to produce parton-level processes, followed by parton showering and hadronization with Pythia6, and pile-up and detector simulation with Delphes3. The majority of Standard Model processes for pp interactions at √s = 14, 33, and 100 TeV with 0, 50, and 140 additional pile-up interactions are publicly available.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Motion measurement for synthetic aperture radar

Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) measures radar soundings from a set of locations typically along the flight path of a radar platform vehicle. Optimal focusing requires precise knowledge of the sounding source locations in 3-D space with respect to the target scene. Even data driven focusing techniques (i.e. autofocus) requires some degree of initial fidelity in the measurements of the motion of the radar. These requirements may be quite stringent especially for fine resolution, long ranges, and low velocities. The principal instrument for measuring motion is typically an Inertial Measurement Unit (IMU), but these instruments have inherent limi ted precision and accuracy. The question is %22How good does an IMU need to be for a SAR across its performance space?%22 This report analytically relates IMU specifications to parametric requirements for SAR. - 4 - Acknowledgements Th e preparation of this report is the result of a n unfunded research and development activity . Although this report is an independent effort, it draws heavily from limited - release documentation generated under a CRADA with General Atomics - Aeronautical System, Inc. (GA - ASI), and under the Joint DoD/DOE Munitions Program Memorandum of Understanding. Sandia National Laboratories is a multi - program laboratory managed and operated by Sandia Corporation, a wholly owned subsidiary of Lockheed Martin Corporation, for the U.S. Department of En ergy's National Nuclear Security Administration under contract AC04-94AL85000.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

SIND Operational Analysis and Tools Improvement (Final Technical Report)

The goal of the SIND Toolkit project is to create a new national solar database with higher temporal and spatial resolution to reduce the costs and risks of integrating solar power systems into the electric power grid. Previous versions of this dataset from the WWSIS2 study and the ERGIS study have already been widely utilized by academics, utilities, and others after having been made publically available. This dataset, along with its companion WIND Toolkit dataset (Draxl, Clifton, Hodge, & McCaa, 2015), will be utilized for the next 5 – 10 years as the foundation for the vast majority of new grid integration studies.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Same sign dimuon search for heavy majorana mass neutrinos at the CMS experiment at CERN and design studies of a quartz plate calorimeter prototype

This paper consists of two studies: the results of a search for heavy Majorana neutrinos (N) using an event signature defined by two like-sign charged muons and two jets, and the results from studies of a prototype quartz plate calorimeter. The data in the Majorana search correspond to an integrated luminosity of 5.0 fb$^{−1}$ of pp collisions at a centre-of-mass energy of 7 TeV collected with the CMS detector at the Large Hadron Collider. No excess of events are observed beyond the expected standard model background and therefore upper limits are set on the square of the mixing element, $|V_{\mu N} |$as a function of Majorana neutrino mass. These are the first direct upper limits on the heavy Majorana-neutrino mixing for m$_N$ > 90 GeV . The second part of this thesis is the results of performance tests of a 20-layer quartz plate calorimeter prototype. The calorimeter prototype was tested at the CERN H2 area in hadronic and electromagnetic configurations, at various en ergies of pion and electron beams. The beam test and simulation results of this prototype are reported.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Exploration of Spatial Chaotic Orbits Using Isolating Neighborhoods

Isolating blocks and isolating neighborhoods have previously been used to compute periodic and quasiperiodic orbits around the collinear libration points in the circular restricted three-body problem. Isolating neighborhoods may be used to further explore the boundary between the Lissajous and quasihalo orbits at en- ergies where the halo orbits have bifurcated from the Lyapunov orbits. A method to compute trajectories that are forward and backward asymptotic to the libration point invariant set using very small velocity corrections is developed here. The method is then used to compute representative trajectories within this region and characterize their behavior.

Lo, Martin W.↗

Supercomputer Assisted Generation of Machine Learning Agents for the Calibration of Building Energy Models

Building Energy Modeling (BEM) is an approach to model the energy usage in buildings for design and retrot pur- poses. EnergyPlus is the agship Department of Energy software that performs BEM for dierent types of buildings. The input to EnergyPlus can often extend in the order of a few thousand parameters which have to be calibrated manu- ally by an expert for realistic energy modeling. This makes it challenging and expensive thereby making building en- ergy modeling unfeasible for smaller projects. In this paper, we describe the \Autotune" research which employs machine learning algorithms to generate agents for the dierent kinds of standard reference buildings in the U.S. building stock. The parametric space and the variety of building locations and types make this a challenging computational problem necessitating the use of supercomputers. Millions of En- ergyPlus simulations are run on supercomputers which are subsequently used to train machine learning algorithms to generate agents. These agents, once created, can then run in a fraction of the time thereby allowing cost-eective cali- bration of building models.

autotune↗

Installation Progress at the PIP-II Injector Test at Fermilab

A CW-compatible, pulsed H- superconducting linac “PIP-II” is being planned to upgrade Fermilab's injection complex. To validate the front-end concept, a test acceler-ator (The PIP-II Injector Test, formerly known as "PXIE") is under construction. The warm part of this accelerator comprises a 10 mA DC, 30 keV H- ion source, a 2 m-long Low Energy Beam Transport (LEBT), a 2.1 MeV Radio Frequency Quadrupole (RFQ) capable of operation in Con-tinuous Wave (CW) mode, and a 10 m-long Medium En-ergy Beam Transport (MEBT). The paper will report on the installation of the RFQ and the first sections of the MEBT and related mechanical design considerations.

Baffes, C.↗

Delivery Ring Lattice Modifications for Transitionless Deceleration

A portion of the remnant Tevatron program infrastruc- ture at Fermilab is being reconfigured to be used for the generation and delivery of proton and muon beams for new high-precision particle physics experiments. With the 8 GeV Booster as its primary source, the Mu2e exper- iment will receive 8.9 GeV/c bunched beam on target, after being stored and slow spilled from the Delivery Ring (DR) -- a refurbished debuncher ring from Tevatron anti- proton production. For the Muon g-2 experiment, the DR will be tuned for 3.1 GeV/c to capture muons off of a target before sending them to this experiment's Storage Ring. The apertures in the beam transport systems are optimized for the large muon beams of this lower-energy experiment. In order to provide further flexibility in the operation of the DR for future possible low-energy, high- intensity particle physics experiments (REDTOP[1], for example) and detector development, investigations are underway into the feasibility of decelerating beams from its maximum kinetic energy of 8 GeV level to lower en- ergies, down to 1-2 GeV. In this paper we look at possi- ble lattice modifications to the DR to avoid a transition crossing during the deceleration process. Hardware re- quirements and other operational implications of this scheme will also be discussed.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗