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Can artificial intelligence and data-driven machine learning models match or even replace process-driven hydrologic models for streamflow simulation?: A case study of four watersheds with different hydro-climatic regions across the CONUS

With recent developments in computational techniques, Data-driven Machine Learning Models (DMLs) have shown great potential in simulating streamflow and capturing the rainfall-runoff relationship in given watersheds, which are traditionally fulfilled by Process-based Hydrologic Models (PHMs). There are debates on whether the DMLs can outperform and possibly replace the classical PHMs for streamflow simulation and river forecasting, but no clear conclusions have been made. This study aims to investigate whether the newer DMLs have any potential in further improving the simulation accuracy of classical PHMs, and vice versa. To do this, we compared a few popular PHMs and DMLs over four watersheds across the Continental US (CONUS) that are associated with different input, climate, and regional conditions. A total of five hydrologic models were chosen, including (1) two classical lumped models, i.e., the Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting (SAC-SMA) and Xinanjiang (XAJ); (2) one modern distributed model, termed Coupled Routing and Excess Storage (CREST); (3) and two DMLs including an Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and a deep learning model, termed Long Short Term Memory (LSTM). Our results demonstrated that the DMLs still significantly biased when using the baseline input scenario with the PHMs. However, the DMLs fed with delayed input scenarios had great potential and can reach high simulation accuracy. The DMLs, especially the ANN, outperformed other employed models under the rainfall-runoff relationship in which rainfall dominantly drives. Furthermore, the DMLs also showed better performance in the high-flow regime, while the PHMs had a better performance for the low-flow regime, implying both PHMs and DMLs have their own merits and are worthy of joint development. In general, our study indicated a great potential of using DMLs to simulate streamflow, but further studies are still needed to verify the transferability and scalability of DMLs in large-scale experiments, such as the Distributed Model Intercomparison Projects 1&2 conducted by National Weather Services but to compare modern DMLs and PHMs.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Experimental Investigation of Innovative Cooling Schemes on an Additively Manufactured Engine Scale Turbine Nozzle Guide Vane

This study includes the design, validation, and fabrication via direct metal laser sintering (DMLS) of a gas turbine nozzle guide vanes (NGV) that incorporates three innovative cooling schemes specifically enabled by additive manufacturing. The novel NGV design is the culmination of an extensive research and development effort over a period of 4 years that included low- and high-speed cascade testing coupled with unsteady computational fluid dynamics for numerous candidate innovative cooling architectures. The final vane design (SJ-vane) consists of sweeping jet (SJ) film cooling holes on the suction surface (SS), sweeping jet impingement holes at the leading edge and double-wall partial length triangular pin-fin with impinging jet at the trailing edge. For comparison purposes, a second DMLS enabled vane (777-vane) was designed and fabricated with prototypical cooling circuits to serve as a baseline. This vane consists of a shaped film cooling holes on the suction surface, circular impingement holes at the leading edge, and full-length cylindrical pin-fins at the trailing edge. Experiments with the two DMLS enabled vanes were performed at the Ohio State University Turbine Reacting Flow Rig (TuRFR) at engine-relevant temperature (1375 K) and Mach number conditions. Infrared (IR) thermography was utilized to measure the wall temperature of the pressure and suction surface at several coolant mass flowrates to estimate the overall cooling effectiveness (ϕ). Results showed improved cooling performance for the advanced cooling schemes (sweeping jet film cooling, impingement cooling, and triangular pin-fin cooling) compared with the baseline cooling schemes.

Engineering↗

Revolutionizing Turbine Cooling with Micro-Architectures Enabled by Direct Metal Laser Sintering

The objective of this research effort was to explore innovative cooling architectures enabled by additive manufacturing techniques for improved turbine cooling performance. The ability to create complex internal geometries was leveraged to better distribute coolant as well as to integrate inherently unstable flow devices to enhance internal and external heat transfer. This was accomplished with a multi-faceted approach including analytical, experimental, and computational components. This final report documents progress during the total 4.25 year effort that was extended (at no additional cost) from the original 3-year cooperative agreement. Prior to starting the project, significant effort was invested in investigating innovative cooling designs from the open literature. When the project started, we quickly down-selected to 4 configurations: impingement jet fluidic oscillators (for internal leading edge cooling), reverse film cooling (for pressure surface), sweeping film cooling jets (for suction surface), and trailing edge slot cooling with microchannels. During the 2nd year, the reverse film cooling design was shown to be sub-optimal and work on that topic was halted. The three remaining technologies were integrated into a large scale nozzle guide vane and installed into a low-speed linear cascade facility for further interrogation. Initial results showed the sweeping film cooling jets (on the suction surface) to be the most promising technology compared to a baseline diffusion shaped film hole (777 design). The benefit was particularly evident at high blowing ratios (>1.5) when the 777 coolant film separated from the downstream surface. Benefits were also evident at elevated freestream turbulence levels. The leading edge cooling with unsteady jets was less effective in terms of peak or average cooling – however it was superior to round hole impingement cooling in terms of spatial uniformity. Finally, the trailing edge cooling design with micro-channels was scrapped in favor of a pinned arrangement with centerbody. During the 3rd year, the same three technologies were integrated into a transonic linear cascade for an assessment of compressibility effects. Again, the sweeping film cooling jets proved superior at high blowing ratios while the unsteady leading edge impingement and trailing edge pin-fins with centerbody designs yielded mixed results. Finally, during the 4th and final year, these 3 technologies were integrated into a direct metal laser sintered (DMLS) nozzle guide vane for testing in a high temperature, transonic annular vane cascade. The facility matches the flow temperature, Mach number, and coolant pressure ratios of an actual gas turbine. Before doing this, an additional series of tests were completed to validate a redesigned trailing edge cooling architecture. This final design included a centerbody with triangular pins between the centerbody and the vane external skin. The majority of these triangular pins are fabricated with a 30% gap to the centerbody – reducing their pressure drop considerably while still providing excellent heat transfer augmentation. This additional test campaign required an additional 3-month extension request to complete testing in the high temperature NGV test facility (Turbine Reacting Flow Rig – TuRFR). Testing of the DMLS vane in TuRFR pitted the 3 innovative cooling technologies against more traditional technologies (shaped 777 film hole, round impingement jet, and full pin arrangement in the trailing edge. The sweeping film cooling jets (on the suction surface) showed approximately 15% improvement in overall effectiveness compared to the 777 film hole while the trailing edge showed up to 20% improvement. The leading edge impingement was disappointing with a substantially lower effectiveness than traditional direct impingement. In summary, the study was successful in demonstrating that DMLS-enabled cooling technologies can yield significant gains in cooling performance.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Manufacturing Supply Chain Development for Modular Solar-Thermochemical Conversion Platform - CRADA 387 (Final Report)

Modular chemical process intensification (MCPI) is an emerging field where chemical processing is performed using small-scale modular equipment instead of conventional large centralized chemical plants. Conventional chemical plants benefit from economies of scale that encourage scale-up to ever larger plants. A goal of MCPI is to develop technology that intensifies processing so that equipment can be dramatically smaller and integrated into modular systems. Scale-up occurs by adding more modules in parallel rather than making the equipment larger. A key concept is that equipment and modules can ultimately be cheaper by leveraging economies of mass production, analogous to the automotive industry, in manufacturing the equipment. This project made significant progress toward this outcome by meeting the RAPID institute metric to reduce equipment cost by 20% for each doubling in manufacturing volume. The MCPI application was thermochemical technology that is being commercialized by STARS Technology Corporation, one of the CRADA partners. The technology converts solar and renewable power to chemical energy to produce renewable hydrogen, fuels, and chemicals. The benefit to the public is reduction in greenhouse gases that are contributing to climate change. The project transitioned the steam methane reforming (SMR) reactor from conventional fabrication methods to additive manufacturing (AM) direct metal laser sintering (DMLS) process. This is projected to reduce the cost of making a reactor by 58% when producing 100 reactors per year. Innovations in the DMLS process produced a patented design that reduces reactor weight by 60%. Reductions in material costs and processing time extend the DMLS advantage to higher production volumes. The new design promises to be 38% cheaper than the conventional processes at 1000 units per year. The resulting 87% reduction in the steam methane reforming (SMR) module cost in scaling from current costs meets the RAPID metric. The project was successful in producing and testing the first ever additively manufactured SMR reactors. A reactor achieved over 82% efficiency in converting electric power to chemical energy, which is a world record for an inductively heated SMR. The project has contributed to the design and assembly of a first demonstration plant that is headed to a hydrogen bus filling station in Thousand Palms, CA.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Convection in Scaled Turbine Internal Cooling Passages With Additive Manufacturing Roughness

Abstract Additive manufacturing processes, such as direct metal laser sintering (DMLS), enable the creation of novel turbine cooling internal passages and systems. However, the DMLS method produces a significant and unique surface roughness. Previous work in scaled passages analyzed pressure losses and friction factors associated with the rough surfaces, as well as investigated the velocity profiles and turbulent flow characteristics within the passage. In this study, the heat transfer characteristics of scaled additively manufactured surfaces were measured using infrared (IR) thermography. Roughness panels were CNC machined from plates of aluminum 6061 to create near isothermal roughness elements when heated. Fluid resistance differences between the aluminum roughness panels and roughness panels constructed from ABS plastic using the same roughness patterns from McClain et al. (2020, “Flow in a Simulated Turbine Blade Cooling Channel With Spatially Varying Roughness Caused by Additive Manufacturing Orientation,” ASME Turbo Expo 2020, Turbomachinery Technical Conference and Exposition, Virtual Conference, Sept. 21–25, GT2020-16069) were investigated. Finally, the overall thermal performance enhancements and friction losses were assessed through the calculation of surface averaged “global thermal performance” ratios. The global thermal performance characterizations indicate results in-line with those found for traditional commercial roughness and slightly below traditional internal passage convection enhancement methods such as swirl chambers, dimples, and ribs. The passages investigated in this study do not include compressibility effects or the long-wavelength artifacts and channel geometric deviations observed by Wildgoose et al. (2020, “Impact of Additive Manufacturing on Internal Cooling Channels with Varying Diameters and Build Directions,” ASME Turbo Expo 2020, Turbomachinery Technical Conference and Exposition, Virtual Conference, Sept. 21–25, GT2020-15049). However, the results of this study indicate that, based on the roughness augmentation alone, artificial convective cooling enhancers such as turbulators or dimples may still be required for additively manufactured turbine component cooling.

Engineering↗

Effects of Surface Treatments on the Outgassing of 3D-Printed 316L Stainless Steel.

Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory (Fermilab) is a world leader in designing and operating particle accelerators for nuclear and particle physics research. These accelerators rely on electric fields to propel particle beams, which are then directed and focused using magnetic fields. To ensure these beams travel without interference, they must move through an ultra-high vacuum environment, typically around 10⁻⁹ torr. Maintaining such a vacuum requires materials with exceptionally low outgassing rates. 316L stainless steel is a common material choice for vacuum systems due to its low outgassing rates, excellent corrosion resistance, non-magnetic properties, and high mechanical strength. When manufactured using traditional methods like machining, extrusion, and casting, the vacuum properties of 316L stainless steel are well understood. However, the behavior of 316L stainless steel produced through additive manufacturing, such as Direct Metal Laser Sintering (DMLS), is not as well documented. This study aims to determine the outgassing rate of 316L stainless steel fabricated using DMLS. The investigation focuses on measuring the outgassing rates of 1.5 2 vacuum reducers and evaluating the effects of surface preparation techniques, such as mechanical polishing and electropolishing, on the outgassing performance. Understanding the outgassing performance of 3D-printed 316L stainless steel could enable Fermilab engineers to adopt this fabrication method for producing complex parts designed for ultra-high vacuum environments. These advancements have the potential to benefit projects, such as the Long-Baseline Neutrino Facility (LBNF) and the Proton Improvement Plan-II (PIP-II), by improving design flexibility and fostering innovation in accelerator development.

Cloud, Jaiden [Central State University]↗

Experimental investigation of heat treatments on the mechanical performance of grade 300 maraging steel strut-based lattices

Lightweight and strong components are essential for reducing energy consumption and enhancing efficiency. Lattice structures are one such geometry utilized to achieve weight reduction. This study investigates the mechanical properties of various lattice structures fabricated from Maraging Steel (EOS MS1) using the Direct Metal Laser Sintering (DMLS) method. The samples include three distinct cellular geometries: body-centered cubic (BCC), face-centered cubic (FCC), and octet truss configurations, which are subjected to tensile and compressive tests. The primary goal of this research is to evaluate the impact of heat treatment on the mechanical properties of cellular architecture under tensile and compressive loading conditions. Destructive, nondestructive testing, and simulation results were also obtained from different heat treatment processes. It was found that the age-hardened specimens performed the best overall in terms of ultimate tensile/compressive strength and elongation. The top-performing topologies in compression and tension were found to be the octet structure, as they were able to withstand the most loading and straining when compared to the other specimens.

Engineering↗

Microstructurally-Inspired Strategies to Print Tantalum and Tantalum-Tungsten Alloys

The goal of this project is to investigate strategies to print tantalum and tantalumtungsten alloys, which are notoriously difficult to print with consistent results because of the sensitivity of the properties to small concentrations of interstitial impurities (particularly oxygen) and microstructure, and hence to processing conditions. In direct metal laser sintering (DMLS) Ta, a strong dependence of porosity, grain morphology and texture on processing conditions was found.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Microstructurally-Inspired Strategies to Print Tantalum and Tantalum-Tungsten Alloys

The goal of this project is to investigate strategies to print tantalum and tantalum- tungsten alloys, which are notoriously difficult to print with consistent results because of the sensitivity of the properties to small concentrations of interstitial impurities (particularly oxygen) and microstructure, and hence to processing conditions. The ultimate tensile stress (UTS) for non-additively manufactured Ta as a function of temperature shows a stunning variation. In direct metal laser sintering (DMLS) Ta, a strong dependence of porosity, grain morphology and texture on processing conditions was found.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Thermal Frequency Drift of 3D Printed Microwave Components

Fabrication of microwave slot array antennas and waveguide bandpass and notch filters using 3D printing has significant advantages in terms of speed and cost even for parts with high mechanical complexity. One disadvantage of Stereolithography (SLA) 3D printed, copper plated microwave components is that some SLA resins have a high Coefficient of Thermal Expansion (CTE), quoted in micrometers per meter per degree or 10 -6 per degree. Compared to typically used metals such as aluminum (CTE 24 × 10 -6 ·K -1 ) and copper (CTE 17 × 10 -6 ·K -1 ), SLA resin can have CTE above 100 × 10 -6 ·K -1 . Resonant structures experience significant frequency drift with temperature changes on the order of 10–50 °C. The issue of 3D printed microwave structures changing frequency characteristics significantly with temperature shift has not been addressed or reviewed in current literature. We measured and simulated the effect of temperature change on a slot array, cavity notch filters, and post loaded waveguide bandpass filters. We tested several types of SLA resin, different plating techniques, and also Direct Metal Laser Sintering (DMLS) and Binder Infusion metal 3D printing. Performance as a function of temperature is presented for these alternatives.

three-dimensional printing↗

Process optimization of complex geometries using feed forward control for laser powder bed fusion additive manufacturing

Additive manufacturing (AM) enables the fabrication of complex designs that are difficult to create by other means. Metal parts manufactured by laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) can incorporate intricate design features and demonstrate desirable mechanical properties. However, printing a part that is qualified for its intended application often involves reprinting and discarding many parts to eliminate defects, improve dimensional accuracy, and increase repeatability. The process of iteratively converging on the appropriate build parameters increases the time and cost of creating functional LPBF manufactured parts. This work describes a fast, scalable method for part-scale process optimization of arbitrary geometries. Additionally, the computational approach uses feature extraction to identify scan vectors in need of parameter adaptation and applies results from simulation-based feed forward control models. This method provides a framework to quickly optimize complex parts through the targeted application of models with a range of fidelity and by automating the transfer of optimization strategies to new part designs. The computational approach and algorithmic framework are described, a software package is implemented, the method is applied to parts with complex features, and parts are printed on a customized open architecture LPBF machine.

3D printing↗

Effect of nitriding on mechanical and microstructural properties of Direct Metal Laser Sintered 17-4PH stainless steel

In this work, the effect of the nitriding process on microstructure and mechanical properties of additively manufactured (AM) 17-4PH stainless steel is investigated. The nitriding was performed at 530 °C, 560 °C, and 580 °C for 2 h. The nitriding process improves the hardness and surface roughness of the AM 17-4PH steel. Detailed microstructural characterizations of both as-built and nitride samples are performed using an optical microscope, scanning electron microscope (SEM) equipped with energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (EDS), and X-ray diffraction technique. It reveals that the nitride layer thickness increases with nitriding temperature. A distinct transition layer between the substrate and nitride layer is observed in the 560 °C and 580 °C nitride samples. The nitriding process develops almost equiaxed grain microstructure with new secondary phase precipitates, whereas in the as-built material, the grains are primarily columnar along the AM process build direction. Specifically, the nitriding process introduces γ-Fe4N, ε-Fe3N, CrN, and Ni3N precipitates. The increase in Ni- and Cu-rich precipitates with the nitriding temperature explains the observed improvement in the hardness and surface roughness. Furthermore, the nitriding process does not alter the substrate's initial weak crystallographic texture.

17-4PH steel↗

Radio Frequency Properties of a 3D Printed Klystron Circuit

The manufacturing of active RF devices like klystrons is dominated by expensive and time-consuming cycles of machining and brazing. In this article, we characterize the RF properties of X-band klystron cavities and an integrated circuit manufactured with a novel additive manufacturing process. Parts are 3D printed in 316 L stainless steel with direct metal laser sintering, electroplated in copper, and brazed in one simple braze cycle. Stand-alone test cavities and integrated circuit cavities were measured throughout the manufacturing process. The un-tuned cavity frequency varies by less than 5% of the intended frequency, and Q factors reach above 1200. A tuning study was performed, and unoptimized tuning pins achieved a tuning range of 138 MHz without compromising Q. Klystron system performance was simulated with as-built cavity parameters and realistic tuning. Together, these results show promise that this process can be used to cheaply and quickly manufacture a new generation of highly integrated high power vacuum devices.

3D printing↗