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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Data and code from: Multivariate bayesian regression model for predicting disposed ash composition at U.S. coal fired power stations

This dataset contains the code and data files needed for implementation of a Multivariate Bayesian Regression model, described in Jin et al. (2025), for the historical prediction of the chemical composition of disposed coal ash at U.S. coal fired power plants as a function of annualized coal purchase data. The integrated coal supply data file (CoalSupplyDataset.csv) represents a compilation of monthly fuel purchase records for the period 1973-2022 at major U.S. power stations. These records were obtained from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. The CSV file also contains, for each coal purchase record, the coal region of the mine as defined by the U.S. Geological Survey. Data entry errors and data gaps in the EIA records were corrected as described in Jin et al. This CSV file represents the integrated coal supply data after corrections were made. The model structure and fitting parameters are encoded in pickle file format (Bayesian.pkl). The model was developed with the coal supply data and coal ash composition data, apportioned according to the Stratified Shuffle Split for training and testing subsets. The model was built using Python and the PyMC library. Reference Publication: Jin, Z.; Huang, J.; Hower, J.C.; Hsu-Kim, H.(2025). Predictive Assessment of the Chemical Composition of Coal Ash in Reserve at U.S. Disposal Sites. Environmental Science & Technology.

Coal ash composition↗
DOE OSTI2025

Predictive Assessment of the Chemical Composition of Coal Ash in Reserve at U.S. Disposal Sites

In the United States, more than 2 Gt of coal combustion residuals (i.e., coal ash) are stored in hundreds of disposal units. Recent federal regulations mandate the closure or retrofitting of most coal ash impoundments, presenting significant challenges for waste management. These regulatory pressures also present opportunities to reuse coal ash. However, the quality and quantity of discarded coal ash across the U.S. are not well known, even though this information is crucial for spurring its reuse for conventional and new material applications. This study describes a predictive model for the major element composition of coal ash in reserve at disposal sites of major U.S. coal-fired power plants. This model was constructed from coal purchase records of 705 power stations from 1973 to 2022 and was trained on coal ash composition data, showing that coal ash elemental composition is strongly associated with the source of feedstock coal. The model showed regional shifts in the major element contents of ash produced by power plants in the last 50 years, particularly for calcium and iron (expressed as %CaO and %Fe2O3), as power stations changed their source of coal over this time frame. Our approach enables an estimation of chemical composition for ash stored in waste impoundments at individual power stations. Such information can help to delineate the regional market resource potential of supplementary cements for concrete and other material innovations that would utilize coal ash harvested from disposal sites across the U.S.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2025

Characterization of Arsenic and Selenium in Coal Fly Ash to Improve Evaluations for Disposal and Reuse Potential (Final Technical Report)

Coal fly ash is a high volume waste material that is discarded in landfills and surface water impoundments across the U.S. and is also widely recycled for a variety of applications. The leaching of potential of contaminants of concern, such as arsenic (As) and selenium (Se), is often the driver of risk assessments for coal ash disposal and reuse. The extent of leachable As and Se depends on several factors related to environmental conditions and fly ash characteristics. Previous studies employed various methods to delineate the concentration, chemical form, and distribution of As and Se in fly ash materials. However, few studies have attempted to directly correlate these properties to mobilization parameters relevant to disposal and reuse. Instead, the coal residuals industries often rely upon standardized leaching protocols that can be laborious or involve hazardous chemicals. The goals of the project were to: 1) Develop and evaluate a characterization protocol that can be used to screen fly ash samples for leachability of As and Se; 2) Characterize As, Se, and associated constituents of fly ash particles at multiple length scales (nanometer to micrometer) to determine if elemental associations differ as a function of the resolution of characterization; and 3) Establish a predictive model for the chemical composition of coal ash produced annually at major U.S. coal fired power facilities on 50-year national coal supply records. For the first objective, we performed leaching experiments with 52 fly ash samples collected from 15 different U.S. power plants and representing coal feedstocks from the three major domestic coal regions. For this work, we assessed the mobilization potential of As and Se in fly ash based on standardized leaching protocols and performed multivariate and lasso regression analyses to explore correlations of leachable As and Se contents with characteristics such as major element contents, loss on ignition (LOI) and pH. The results of regression models indicated that major elements (Fe, Ca, Al) for a wide range of fly ashes can serve as predictor variables for the leaching potential of As, but not for Se. LOI and pH were not important predictive variables in the models. Both regression approaches resulted in relatively strong fits for leachable As (correlation coefficient R 2 = 0.78 for both models) compared to models for leachable Se (R 2 = 0.49). Overall, these results suggest that correlation models combined with on-site elemental analysis with portable analyzers may enable a screening method for leachable As in coal ash. For the second objective, we utilized nanoscale 2-D imaging (30-50 nm spot size) with the Hard X-ray Nanoprobe (HXN) in combination with microprobe X-ray capabilities (~5 µm resolution) to determine As and Se elemental associations in fly ash particles. Speciation of As and Se was also measured at the nano- to microscale with X-ray absorption spectroscopy. The enhanced resolution of HXN showed As and Se that were diffusely located around or comingled with Ca- and Fe-rich particles. The results also showed nanoparticles of Se attached to the surface of fly ash grains. Overall, a comparison of As and Se species across scales highlights the heterogeneity and complexity of chemical associations for these trace elements of concern in coal fly ash. For the final objective, we developed a predictive model for major element composition of coal ash in reserve at disposal sites of major U.S. coal fired power plants. This model was constructed from coal purchase records of 705 power stations from 1973-2022 and was trained on coal ash composition data showing that coal ash elemental composition is strongly associated with the source of feedstock coal. The model showed regional shifts in the major element contents of ash produced by power plants in the last 50 years, particularly for calcium and iron (expressed as %CaO and %Fe 2 O 3 ), as coal-fired power stations changed their source of coal over this time frame. Our approach enables an estimation of coal ash chemical composition that is stored in waste impoundments at individual power stations. Such information can help delineate the regional market potential for material applications that would utilize coal ash harvested from disposal sites across the U.S.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2025

Thermochemical conversion of waste plastics with coal and biomass to generate value-added products

Co-gasification of waste plastic and waste coal/biomass in steam was investigated to evaluate the effects of operating conditions and low-cost catalyst compositions of coal ash on syngas production and tar mitigation. The results demonstrate the benefits of waste plastic conversion with coal or biomass. A better understanding of these processes will facilitate the development of more accurate kinetic models for industrial-scale chemical recycling.

co-gasification↗
DOE OSTI2024

Coal Ash Beneficial Use at Savannah River Site

The Savannah River Site (SRS) has over 1.4 million cubic meters of coal ash and coal fines left over from coal-burning power plants that operated on site. Currently, the coal ash must be disposed of in an approved landfill or the coal ash-containing basins must be closed in place (i.e. consolidation, appropriate cover and liner system). Potential beneficial uses of the coal ash include geotechnical fill, such as backfill needed in the closure cap of the Z-area Saltstone Disposal Units (SDU), and use in cementitious material applications like thermal beneficiation or cement kiln feed, thereby reducing the environmental footprint of SRS. In this study, samples of coal ash from SRS were obtained and characterized for chemical and physical properties. Coal ash samples did not leach sulfates or heavy metals, so the coal ash is a candidate for geotechnical fill use. The samples also did not increase the acidity of the leachate during leaching tests, so it would not be detrimental to use as geotechnical fill near cementitious materials. The composition and energy potential of the coal ash makes it favorable for use as feed for external/off-site cement kilns or thermal beneficiation plants

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2025

Coal-Waste-Enhanced Filaments for Additive Manufacturing of High-Temperature Plastics and Ceramic Composites

In the United States, coal waste from over a century of mining and burning coal for heat and electricity has accumulated as mountains of coal fly ash and bottom ash and acre-size ponds, coal fines and gob. These materials can be a problem for local communities and water systems. A cost-effective process to utilize high volumes of these coal wastes in a high-value product would be beneficial to those communities by reducing the amount of waste and providing jobs, manufacturing components, and materials from the waste. Many coal-to-products technologies (e.g., carbon fibers, graphene, carbon foam) rely on carefully choosing the starting material and then altering it chemically or thermally to make the products work. Due to the wide variability of composition and coal content in typical coal waste streams, many high-volume coal waste streams are likely to be unsuitable for use in those technologies. Semplastics’ technology has been shown to utilize most types of coal waste successfully without any pre-selection or pre-processing requirements other than a nominal particle-size reduction for wastes like bottom ash. This characteristic of Semplastics’ solution may enable the use of much larger volumes of a wider range of coal wastes than other coal-to-products technologies. In this project, Semplastics leveraged its unique experience with both coal waste (fly ash or coal combustion residuals), resin materials, and 3D printing to develop 3D printer filaments using common coal wastes – bituminous coal fines and fly ash – and researched the feasibility of using other forms of coal waste as fillers. Simple 3D-printed parts were successfully produced from the coal waste enhanced filaments, which were found to have improved strength and stiffness.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2026

Online LIBS–ML Framework for Dynamic Characterization of Heterogeneous Waste-Derived Gasification Feedstocks

LIBS−ML framework for real time feedstock characterization during continuous conveyor transport Heterogeneous waste derived feedstocks (e.g., waste coal, biomass and blends) introduce rapid variability in heating value and ash chemistry that affect gasifier operation, yet conventional laboratory characterization techniques are too slow to support proactive control. To address this gap, this study reports on an online, in situ, dynamic characterization framework that couple’s laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS) with leakage safe machine learning (ML) regression to deliver real time, decision quality predictions of gasifier relevant properties. A controlled sample matrix spanning two different waste coals, two different biomasses, and engineered blends under two particle size conditions were constructed and benchmarked using standardized laboratory analyses for proximate/ultimate properties and ash composition. LIBS spectra were acquired dynamically as material flowed on a conveyor belt, using high energy 1064 nm laser ablation and shot averaging to improve repeatability and precision. Supervised regression models (multi layer perceptron (MLP) /artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (RF), and support vector regression (SVR)) and an optimized weighted ensemble were trained on emission line feature sets using nested cross validation with Bayesian hyperparameter tuning and validated against an independent hold out set. The proposed LIBS−ML workflow achieves near laboratory predictive fidelity across parametric targets (including higher heating value (HHV), ash content, fixed carbon, sulfur, major ash forming oxides, and initial deformation temperature (IDT)), with the weighted ensemble providing a robust default predictor under dynamic measurement conditions. These results demonstrate a practical pathway for real time feedstock characterization that can enable feedforward adjustments and more resilient gasifier operation for variable quality waste derived fuels.

Biomass↗
DOE OSTI2026

Electrochemical Recovery of Rare-Earth Elements from Coal Fly Ash Using Ionic Liquids as both Extractant and Electrolyte

Rare-earth elements (REEs) are critical for medical technologies, electronics, and clean energy. Coal fly ash (CFA), a byproduct of coal combustion, offers a promising alternative REE source. However, efficient extraction and separation of REEs from CFA remain challenging due to the complex composition of CFA. This study introduces a sustainable method for REE recovery using a recyclable ionic liquid, betainium bis(trifluoromethylsulfonyl)imide ([Hbet]- [Tf 2 N]), which serves both as the extractant from CFA and as the electrolyte in electrodeposition. In the first stage, [Hbet][Tf 2 N] preferentially extracts REEs from CFA through leaching. In the second stage, the REE-enriched ionic liquid undergoes electrochemical deposition using amperometry techniques, where REEs are reduced and deposited onto the electrode. The deposition experiments were conducted from −0.5 to −2.0 V vs a Pt quasireference electrode in a three-electrode setup comprising titanium as the working electrode and platinum as both the reference and counter electrodes. Varying the applied potential enabled potential-dependent preferential REE deposition. At −0.5 V, neodymium (Nd) showed preferential recovery, reaching 25% with a separation factor of 37 over other REEs. In contrast, applying a more negative potential increased overall deposition, yielding ∼50% Nd recovery and 10−20% recovery for the remaining REEs. After recovery, the ionic liquid was regenerated and reused for a subsequent electrochemical recovery cycle. Overall, this study demonstrates a feasible approach for REE recovery from CFA waste, with potential to enhance resource utilization within the REE supply chain.

coal fly ash↗
DOE OSTI2025

Calculating the Effects of Solids Input and Removal as a Temperature Control in the Advanced Scale Up Reactor Experiment (ASURE) Facility at NETL Using Aspen

The Advanced Scale Up Reactor Experiment (ASURE) facility at NETL is being designed to be a fuel-flexible multi-purpose reactor that can be used for pyrolysis/gasification or evaluation of other high pressure “circulating fluidized bed” (CFB) chemical processes. The initial system design calculations for pyrolysis/gasification are presented in this work showing the expected performance of the ASURE facility when used as a biomass conversion reactor. Several other areas of application include gasification of any carbonaceous fuel including biomass, coal, plastics, and other waste materials. The reactor can therefore be used to produce SYNGAS of various compositions and hydrogen as well as other high value chemicals resulting from a typical tuned gasification process. This paper discusses an ASPEN model of the facility, focusing on the riser of the CFB reactor and the solids recirculation loop. The ASPEN model divides the riser into two sections. A bottom section which receives ash, char and sand which have been recirculated from a return loop. In this section an inert fluidization gas, (N2 or CO2), is introduced which acts as the primary mover of the solids through the system. The bottom section is equipped with a restricted air feed so that the recirculated char can be partially oxidized. This oxidation process along with the inventory of recirculating sand are used to effectively control the temperature in the following two chemical conversion sections of the reactor which are the pyrolysis zone followed by a tar cracking zone. Fresh fuel is added to the pyrolysis zone and undergoes drying and devolatilization. The products ash, char, volatile matter, and water vapor exit the pyrolysis zone and enter the reaction block for tar cracking. Steam and CO2 gasification reactions will be incorporated into the tar cracking zone, however at the design operating temperature, conversion from these reactions is expected to be essentially zero. The unit when completed in 2026 will test mixtures of biomass, plastics, and waste coal. This presentation discusses the basic ASPEN engineering design model for this project and provides preliminary sensitivity studies to determine how the various parts of the reactor will perform.

ASSURE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Calculating the Effects of Solids Input and Removal as a Temperature Control in the Advanced Scale Up Reactor Experiment (ASURE) Facility at NETL Using Aspen

The Advanced Scale Up Reactor Experiment (ASURE) facility at NETL is being designed to be a fuel-flexible multi-purpose reactor that can be used for pyrolysis/gasification or evaluation of other high pressure “circulating fluidized bed” (CFB) chemical processes. The initial system design calculations for pyrolysis/gasification are presented in this work showing the expected performance of the ASURE facility when used as a biomass conversion reactor. Several other areas of application include gasification of any carbonaceous fuel including biomass, coal, plastics, and other waste materials. The reactor can therefore be used to produce SYNGAS of various compositions and hydrogen as well as other high value chemicals resulting from a typical tuned gasification process. This paper discusses an ASPEN model of the facility, focusing on the riser of the CFB reactor and the solids recirculation loop. The ASPEN model divides the riser into two sections. A bottom section which receives ash, char and sand which have been recirculated from a return loop. In this section an inert fluidization gas, (N2 or CO2), is introduced which acts as the primary mover of the solids through the system. The bottom section is equipped with a restricted air feed so that the recirculated char can be partially oxidized. This oxidation process along with the inventory of recirculating sand are used to effectively control the temperature in the following two chemical conversion sections of the reactor which are the pyrolysis zone followed by a tar cracking zone. Fresh fuel is added to the pyrolysis zone and undergoes drying and devolatilization. The products ash, char, volatile matter, and water vapor exit the pyrolysis zone and enter the reaction block for tar cracking. Steam and CO2 gasification reactions will be incorporated into the tar cracking zone, however at the design operating temperature, conversion from these reactions is expected to be essentially zero. The unit when completed in 2026 will test mixtures of biomass, plastics, and waste coal. This paper presents the basic ASPEN engineering design model for this project and provides preliminary sensitivity studies to determine how the various parts of the reactor will perform.

ASSURE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Hydrogen-rich syngas production from the steam co-gasification of low-density polyethylene and coal refuse

Gasification provides a promising pathway for transforming waste materials into valuable products, such as fuels and chemicals. Here, this study investigates the steam co-gasification of low-density polyethylene (LDPE) and compressed thickener underflow, representative of coal refuse (CR), in a drop tube reactor. The effects of feed blend ratio (0–100 wt% LDPE) and temperature (800–1000 °C) on syngas composition, tar formation, and process efficiency are examined. The high volatility of LDPE makes it more reactive than CR but also promotes the formation of 2–7 ring aromatic tars. Increasing temperature improves carbon conversion efficiency (CCE), cold gas efficiency (CGE), and syngas yield, although the lower heating value (LHV) of syngas decreases. Hydrogen is the dominant gas product, reaching 59 vol% with the H 2 /CO molar ratio ranging from 2.27 to 4.74. Synergistic effects from alkali and alkali earth metals (AAEMs), particularly K and Ca, in CR ash enhance syngas yield by catalyzing char gasification and tar cracking. Hematite (Fe 2 O 3 ) and ash from sub-bituminous/bituminous coals are explored as tar reforming catalysts. Fe 2 O 3 achieves 100 % tar reforming efficiency, while coal ash, with a lower Fe 2 O 3 content (15 wt%), is less effective at cracking polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, particularly naphthalene. These findings demonstrate the flexibility of co-gasification, allowing precise tuning of syngas characteristics for specific downstream applications. Further optimization of waste-derived catalysts could enhance the economic viability of gasification in waste-to-energy processes.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2025

Integration of LIBS with Machine Learning for Real-Time Monitoring of Feedstock in H 2 Gasification Applications

This project, funded by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) – Office of Fossil Energy under Award Number DE-FE0032177, aimed to assess the feasibility of an integrated Laser-Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy (LIBS) system with advanced machine learning (ML) models for real-time characterization and potential control of hydrogen gasifiers running on waste materials as feedstocks. This was a multidisciplinary effort that encompassed the acquisition and standardized analysis of individual and blended feedstocks—comprising biomass, coal waste, and plastic waste, followed by the development of a dynamic LIBS bench system for material sample analysis and development of predictive ML models. Comprehensive laboratory testing enabled the creation of a robust elemental dataset that served as the foundation for ML model training. Techniques such as Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, Support Vector Regression, and Neural Networks were employed to predict key feedstock properties, including higher heating value (HHV), moisture content, thermal conductivity, and ash composition with high accuracy. The results were validated against experimental data and demonstrated strong potential for real-time application in gasifier control systems. The project concluded with a study on the integration of the LIBS+ML approach for gasifier control and a techno-economic analysis of the implementation of the approach into hydrogen (H 2 ) gasification systems. Dissemination of results was carried out at a DOE meeting. This work establishes a scalable framework for automated, in-line feedstock quality assessment, offering significant implications for process optimization and emissions reduction in hydrogen production.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2025

Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL) – Illinois Rare Earth Novel Extraction and Supply (IRENES)

This report presents the physical and chemical characterization of breaker and sorter reject materials sourced from the Prairie State Generation facility, as part of the Illinois Rare Earth Novel Extraction and Supply (IRENES) project. Key analyses include particle size distribution, density, angle of repose, proximate and ultimate composition, mineralogy, and elemental content. Breaker reject material was found to be coarser and higher in ash content (~80%) with lower calorific value, while sorter reject showed finer distribution, lower ash (~68%), and higher carbon and energy content. XRD and XRF analyses confirmed the presence of REE-bearing minerals and relevant oxides, supporting process design and beneficiation strategy development for critical mineral recovery.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2024

Analysis of Waste Material Feedstocks Using Laser-Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy and Machine Learning

Predicting properties such as heating value, ash fusion temperature, and mineral ash composition from Laser-Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy (LIBS) data can make gasifiers more flexible to different feedstocks. Understanding these feedstock properties in-situ improves feedstock conversion modelling methods that allow for consistent operation, higher carbon conversion, and reduced fouling and erosion rates. The purpose of this study is to demonstrate methods for model creation that take LIBS data as predictor features and estimate higher order material properties as a function of feedstock material properties. Six samples were chosen to represent a mixture of abundant and carbon rich waste materials. LIBS measurements were performed on these samples for elemental wavelengths and intensity values. Laboratory analytical results were obtained for each sample’s heating value, proximate and ultimate analysis, mineral ash composition, ash fusion temperatures, and viscosity temperatures. Thermal conductivity was measured using a HotDisk TPS 2500S. LIBS measurements were processed and used as predictor features for machine learning (ML) models to predict the sample’s material properties. Predictor feature selection algorithms, particularly minimum redundancy maximum relevance (mRMR), reduced the dimensionality of ML models. Many modelling methods such as Gaussian process regression (GPR), regression tree, neural networks (NN), and support vector machines (SVM) were demonstrated to be effective at predicting higher order properties; however, mRMR with GPR stood out as a clear winning combination.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗