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DOE OSTI2026

3D Cloud Aerosol Precipitation Experiment at kennaook Cape Grim (3D-CAPE-k) Field Campaign Report

The objective of this campaign was to complement the U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) User Facility’s Cloud And Precipitation Experiment at kennaook (CAPE-k) in northwest Tasmania by deploying scanning, fixed pointing angle, and in situ aerosol, cloud, and precipitation remote-sensing instruments during the last six months of the experiment. These instruments provided a three-dimensional (3D) context to the second ARM Mobile Facility (AMF2) vertically pointing observations collected at the kennaook Cape Grim (KCG) site and captured a portion of the life cycle of the clouds before and after the passage over the AMF2 vertical column. These 3D cloud measurements will be used in the near future to 1) investigate how the vertical profiles of aerosol and cloud properties are representative of the broader area and how these properties evolve during the portion of the cloud life cycle captured by the scanning instruments, 2) quantify how accurate the cloud fraction derived with assumptions from vertically pointing observations are compared with direct 3D cloud fraction measurements, 3) evaluate cloud fraction and liquid water path in the Australian Community Climate and Earth-System Simulator–Convective-scale (ACCESS-C) forecast model, and 4) evaluate aerosol and cloud products from the European Space Agency/Japanese Aerospace Exploration Agency (ESA/JAXA) Earth Cloud Aerosol Radiation Explorer (EarthCARE) mission using the scanning measurements, offering more chances of exact collocation, thereby complementing the statistical approach we are planning to employ with AMF2 observations for that same purpose.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

CAPE Threshold for Lightning Over the Tropical Ocean

Here, we investigate the relationship between convective available potential energy (CAPE), precipitation, the number and size of storms and overshooting tops, and lightning stroke density ($\mathcal{f}$) over the Central America region. While $\mathcal{f}$ increases almost linearly with CAPE 1/2 over land, $\mathcal{f}$ is nearly muted over the ocean when CAPE is small. In the high-CAPE regime, on the contrary, oceanic storms produce as many lightning flashes as land storms. We show that individual oceanic storms are smaller and contain fewer overshooting tops compared to land storms, although the difference exists across low- and high-CAPE regimes. While $\mathcal{f}$ increases as individual storm size increases, the storm size required to produce lightning appears to be disproportionately high in the low-CAPE regime, likely due to the stronger entrainment effect. The entrainment effect on $\mathcal{f}$ in the low-CAPE regime appears to be much weaker over land. Applying the CAPE threshold for lightning over the ocean to the CAPE-based lightning parameterization scheme of Romps et al. (2014), https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1259100 improves its performance, in particular, at representing the land-sea contrast in $\mathcal{f}$.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Cumulonimbus Clouds Convert a Smaller Fraction of CAPE into Kinetic Energy in a Warmer Atmosphere

Abstract This study investigates how entrainment’s diluting effect on cumulonimbus updraft buoyancy is affected by the temperature of the troposphere, which is expected to increase by the end of the century. A parcel model framework is constructed that allows for independent variations in the temperature ( T ), the entrainment rate ε , the free-tropospheric relative humidity (RH), and the convective available potential energy (CAPE). Using this framework, dilution of buoyancy is evaluated with T and RH independently varied and with CAPE either held constant or increased with temperature. When CAPE is held constant, buoyancy decreases as T increases, with parcels in warmer environments realizing substantially smaller fractions of their CAPE as kinetic energy (KE). This occurs because the increased moisture difference between an updraft and its surroundings at warmer temperatures drives greater updraft dilution. Similar results are found in midlatitude and tropical conditions when CAPE is increased with temperature. With the expected 6%–7% increase in CAPE per kelvin of warming, KE only increases at 2%–4% K −1 in narrow updrafts but tracks more closely with CAPE at 4%–6% in wider updrafts. Interestingly, the rate of increase in the KE with T becomes larger than that of CAPE when the later quantity increases at more than 10% K −1 . These findings emphasize the importance of considering entrainment in studies of moist convection’s response to climate change, as the entrainment-driven dilution of buoyancy may partially counteract the influence of increases in CAPE on updraft intensity. Significance Statement Cumulonimbus clouds mix air with their surrounding environment through a process called entrainment, which controls how efficiently environmental energy is converted into upward speed in thunderstorm updrafts. Our research shows that warmer temperatures will exacerbate the moisture difference between cumulonimbus updrafts and their surroundings, leading to greater mixing and less efficient conversion of environmental energy into updraft speeds. This effect should be considered in future research that investigates how climate change will affect cumulonimbus clouds.

Peters, John M.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Should We Conserve Entropy or Energy when Computing CAPE with Mixed-Phase Precipitation Physics?

Abstract The rapidly increasing resolution of global atmospheric reanalysis and climate model datasets necessitates finding methods for computing convective available potential energy (CAPE) both efficiently and accurately. To this end, this article compares two common methods for computing CAPE which conserve either energy or entropy. Inaccuracies in these computations arise from both physical and numerical errors. For instance, computing CAPE with entropy conserved results in physical errors from nonequilibrium phase transitions but minimizes numerical errors because solutions are analytic at each height. In contrast, computing CAPE with energy conserved avoids these physical errors, but accumulates numerical errors that are grid-resolution-dependent because the numerical integration of a differential equation is required. Analysis of CAPE computed with large databases of soundings from the tropical Amazon and midlatitude storm environments shows that physical errors from the entropy method are typically 1%–3% as large as CAPE, which is comparable to the numerical errors from conserving energy with grid spacing of 25 and 250 m using explicit first-order and second-order integration schemes, respectively. Errors in entropy-based CAPE calculations are also insensitive to vertical grid spacing, in contrast to energy-based calculations whose error strongly scales with the grid spacing. It is shown that entropy-based methods are advantageous when intercomparing datasets with differing vertical resolution because they produce accurate and reasonably fast results that are insensitive to grid resolution, whereas a second-order energy-based method is advantageous when analyzing data with a consistent vertical resolution because of its superior computational efficiency. Significance Statement Convective available potential energy (CAPE) is a measure of instability in the atmosphere that helps forecasters and researchers understand when and where thunderstorms will form. The purpose of this article is to identify the most efficient and accurate methods for computing CAPE. Two methods are considered here, one that relates to the entropy (a measure of thermodynamic disorder) of an air parcel and one that relates to the energy of an air parcel. Results indicate that the entropy method is most accurate and insensitive to the resolution of the data used for the calculation (which can vary considerably), whereas the energy method uses the least computation time.

Peters, John M.↗

DOE OSTI2024

A Case Study Investigating the Low Summertime CAPE Behavior in the Global Forecast System

Convective available potential energy (CAPE) is an important index for storm forecasting. Recent versions (v15.2 and v16) of the Global Forecast System (GFS) predict lower values of CAPE during summertime in the continental United States than analysis and observation. We conducted an evaluation of the GFS in simulating summertime CAPE using an example from the Unified Forecast System Case Study collection to investigate the factors that lead to the low CAPE bias in GFS. Specifically, we investigated the surface energy budget, soil properties, and near-surface and upper-level meteorological fields. Results show that the GFS simulates smaller surface latent heat flux and larger surface sensible heat flux than the observations. This can be attributed to the slightly drier-than-observed soil moisture in the GFS that comes from an offline global land data assimilation system. The lower simulated CAPE in GFS v16 is related to the early drop of surface net radiation with excessive boundary layer cloud after midday when compared with GFS v15.2. A moisture-budget analysis indicates that errors in the large-scale advection of water vapor does not contribute to the dry bias in the GFS at low levels. Common Community Physics Package single-column model (SCM) experiments suggest that with realistic initial vertical profiles, SCM simulations generate a larger CAPE than runs with GFS IC. SCM runs with an active LSM tend to produce smaller CAPE than that with prescribed surface fluxes. Note that the findings are only applicable to this case study. Including more warm-season cases would enhance the generalizability of our findings.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Cloud and Precipitation Experiment at Kennaook (Cape-K) Science Plan

The Cloud and Precipitation Experiment at Kennaook (CAPE-K) will augment ongoing measurements at the Kennaook/Cape Grim Baseline Air Pollution Station (KCG) with components of the U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility’s second Mobile Facility (AMF2) in a deployment that is scheduled to extend from April 2024 through September 2025. Located at Kennaook/Cape Grim on the northwestern tip of Tasmania (40.68° S, 144.69° E), KCG has produced the longest and most consequential record of Southern Hemisphere aerosol and gas-phase chemistry; however, extensive cloud and precipitation measurements have not been collected at this site. CAPE-K is motivated by the fact that model uncertainty in the surface radiation budget due to clouds and precipitation remain significant in this region, where strong latitudinal gradients in cloud feedbacks are found and there are strong and well-documented seasonal variations in marine aerosol properties. Satellite data suggest that cloud properties co-vary with the seasonal cycle in aerosol in the Southern Ocean (SO), yet detailed vertically resolved measurements of cloud and precipitation in the marine boundary layer are sparse. CAPE-K will provide the first such seasonal cycle of measurements in this important latitude band. CAPE-K will provide detailed cloud and precipitation observations over two winter seasons and align with complementary high-value-add activities planned by Australian colleagues, including a voyage of the Research Vessel Investigator (RVI) in May 2025 that will conduct measurements just offshore of KCG.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Crustal and uppermost mantle structure of Cape Verde from ambient noise tomography

SUMMARY We present a seismic ambient noise tomography of the Cape Verde archipelago, located in the Atlantic Ocean, approximately 600 km west of Senegal. We used 38 seismic broad-band stations that continuously recorded for 10 months, in order to construct the first 3-D model of Sv-wave velocities for the crust and uppermost mantle beneath the Cape Verde region. We started by computing phase cross-correlations for vertical component recordings using all possible inter-island station pairs. Next, a time–frequency phase-weighted stack was applied to obtain robust Rayleigh-wave group-velocity dispersion curves in the period band between 10 and 24 s. Group-velocity maps at different periods are obtained by inverting the dispersion curves. We then inverted the group-velocity maps to obtain the 3-D shear wave velocity structure of the crust and uppermost mantle beneath Cape Verde. The final 3-D model extends from 8 km down to 23 km and has a lateral resolution of about 50 km. The crust in the southwestern sector, encompassing Fogo, presents lower S-wave velocities that may be caused by the presence of melt pockets and/or hydrothermal fluids circulation. The uppermost mantle beneath the northwestern sector is characterized by higher S-wave velocities in agreement with previous results obtained from Ps and Sp receiver functions. Those high-velocity anomalies can reflect non-altered crust or remnants of magma chambers or solidified basaltic intrusions, which fed the volcanism in these islands. Our maps revealed the presence of crustal underplating across the entire archipelago, yet stronger beneath the groups Santo Antão—São Vicente—São Nicolau and Fogo—Santiago—Maio.

Carvalho, J. (ORCID:0000000310778994)↗

DOE OSTI2024

Satellite-Based Assessment of Rocket Launch and Coastal Change Impacts on Cape Canaveral Barrier Island, Florida, USA

The Cape Canaveral Barrier Island, home to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)’s Kennedy Space Center and the United States (U.S.) Space Force’s Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, is situated in a unique ecological transition zone that supports diverse wildlife. This study evaluates the recent changes in vegetation cover (2016–2023) and dune elevation (2007–2017) within the Cape Canaveral Barrier Island using high-resolution optical satellite and light detection and ranging (LiDAR) data. The study period was chosen to depict the time period of a recent increase in rocket launches. The study objectives include assessing changes in vegetation communities, identifying detectable impacts of liquid propellant launches on nearby vegetation, and evaluating dune elevation and tide level shifts near launchpads. The results indicate vegetation cover changes, including mangrove expansion in wetland areas and the conversion of coastal strands to denser scrubs and hardwood forests, which were likely influenced by mild winters and fire management. While detectable impacts of rocket launches on nearby vegetation were observed, they were less severe than those caused by solid rocket motors. Compounding challenges, such as rising tide levels, beach erosion, and wetland loss, potentially threaten the resilience of launch operations and the surrounding habitats. The volume and scale of launches continue to increase, and a balance between space exploration and ecological conservation is required in this biodiverse region. This study focuses on the assessment of barrier islands’ shorelines.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Cloud Condensation Nuclei Particle Counter from Kennaook Cape Grim

When utilizing these data from Kennaook Cape Grim please acknowledge the Australian Bureau of Meteorology and the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) for their long-term and continued support of the Kennaook Cape Grim Baseline Air Pollution Monitoring Station. In addition, please contact the Lead Scientists responsible for the collection of these data sets (melita.keywood@csiro.au, ruhi.humphries@csiro.au and Erin.dunne@csiro.au) to discuss collaboration and authorship opportunities.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Aerosol Chemical Speciation Monitor (ACSM) Time-of-Flight (ToF) from Kennaook Cape Grim

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Baseline status of BOM instruments at Kennaook Cape Grim

When utilizing these data from Kennaook Cape Grim please acknowledge the Australian Bureau of Meteorology and the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) for their long-term and continued support of the Kennaook Cape Grim Baseline Air Pollution Monitoring Station. In addition, please contact the Lead Scientists responsible for the collection of these data sets (stuart.baly@bom.gov.au, melita.keywood@csiro.au, ruhi.humphries@csiro.au and Erin.dunne@csiro.au) to discuss collaboration and authorship opportunities.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Ultrafine Condensation Particle Counter from Kennaook Cape Grim (a1-level)

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

An Analytic Formula for Entraining CAPE in Midlatitude Storm Environments

Abstract This article introduces an analytic formula for entraining convective available potential energy (ECAPE) with an entrainment rate that is determined directly from an environmental sounding, rather than prescribed by the formula user. Entrainment is connected to the background environment using an eddy diffusivity approximation for lateral mixing, updraft geometry assumptions, and mass continuity. These approximations result in a direct correspondence between the storm-relative flow and the updraft radius and an inverse scaling between the updraft radius squared and entrainment rate. The aforementioned concepts, combined with the assumption of adiabatic conservation of moist static energy, yield an explicit analytic equation for ECAPE that depends entirely on state variables in an atmospheric profile and a few constant parameters with values that are established in past literature. Using a simplified Bernoulli-like equation, the ECAPE formula is modified to account for updraft enhancement via kinetic energy extracted from the cloud’s background environment. CAPE and ECAPE can be viewed as predictors of the maximum vertical velocity w max in an updraft. Hence, these formulas are evaluated using w max from past numerical modeling studies. Both of the new formulas improve predictions of w max substantially over commonly used diagnostic parameters, including undiluted CAPE and ECAPE with a constant prescribed entrainment rate. The formula that incorporates environmental kinetic energy contribution to the updraft correctly predicts instances of exceedance of by w max , and provides a conceptual explanation for why such exceedance is rare among past simulations. These formulas are potentially useful in nowcasting and forecasting thunderstorms and as thunderstorm proxies in climate change studies. Significance Statement Substantial mixing occurs between the upward-moving air currents in thunderstorms (updrafts) and the surrounding comparatively dry environmental air, through a process called entrainment. Entrainment controls thunderstorm intensity via its diluting effect on the buoyancy of air within updrafts. A challenge to representing entrainment in forecasting and predictions of the intensity of updrafts in future climates is to determine how much entrainment will occur in a given thunderstorm environment without a computationally expensive high-resolution simulation. To address this gap, this article derives a new formula that computes entrainment from the properties of a single environmental profile. This formula is shown to predict updraft vertical velocity more accurately than past diagnostics, and can be used in forecasting and climate prediction to improve predictions of thunderstorm behavior and impacts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Software Contribution to the L-CAPE project

The L-CAPE project utilizes asynchronous data from thousands of Linear Accelerator devices and applies data science techniques to detect anomaly of accelerator failure before the incident, as well as automatic labels of accelerator outages. The author describes her contribution progress for the L-CAPE project this summer, as well as suggestions for future interns working on the project.

Tang, Jasmine↗

DOE OSTI2026

Water Vapor Isotopic Measurements during CAPE-K Field Campaign Report

CAPE-K_ISO deployed a Picarro L-2130 water vapor isotope analyzer to the Kennaook/Cape Grim Baseline Air Pollution Station in northwest Tasmania as a guest instrument within the U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) User Facility’s Cloud and Precipitation Experiment at Kennaook (CAPE-K). The project was led by Joseph Galewsky at the University of New Mexico and supported the second ARM Mobile Facility (AMF2) deployment by adding continuous measurements of water vapor mixing ratio, delta-18O, delta-D, and deuterium excess in marine boundary-layer air.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

CAPE-K_ISO: Water vapor isotopic measurements from Western Tasmania

This dataset provides processed 1-minute water vapor isotope observations from the Water Vapor Isotopic Measurements During CAPE-K project at the Kennaook/Cape Grim Baseline Air Pollution Station in northwestern Tasmania. Measurements were made with a Picarro L-2130 cavity ring-down spectroscopy analyzer during the CAPE-K deployment. The dataset includes water vapor mixing ratio, d18O, dD, deuterium excess, and propagated 1-sigma uncertainties. Isotope ratios are calibrated to the VSMOW/SLAP scale. Calibration intervals, transition periods, and obvious isotope outliers have been removed. The processed record spans 11 June 2024 to 15 October 2025 and is intended for studies of Southern Ocean marine boundary-layer moisture, isotope variability, air-sea exchange, and cloud and precipitation processes.

Water Vapor Isotopic Composition↗

DOE OSTI2021

Resilience Assessment: Cape Cod National Seashore

The NPS partnered with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) in 2019 to develop resilience plans at specific high-risk parks as well as a resilience planning guide to inform resilience planning decisions by NPS and other federal land management agencies. The purpose of this project is to further examine the vulnerability of coastal park infrastructure specific to energy, communications, transportation, and water systems, for future operational resilience across the NPS portfolio. Leveraging previously compiled vulnerability assessments and renewable energy analyses, NREL has completed resilience plans at specific high-risk pilot parks to serve as a foundation for more comprehensive assessments and resilience planning activities. This report is a summary of the efforts at Cape Cod National Seashore (CACO), which outlines the methodology used and the results of the analysis, with the intention of serving as a case study for other parks interested in replicating the process.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2023

Characterization and biofouling potential analysis of two cyanobacterial strains isolated from Cape Verde and Morocco

Abstract Cyanobacteria are new sources of value-added compounds but also ubiquitous and harmful microfoulers on marine biofouling. In this work, the isolation and identification of two cyanobacterial strains isolated from Cape Verde and Morocco, as well as their biofilm-forming ability on glass and Perspex under controlled hydrodynamic conditions, were performed. Phylogenetic analysis revealed that cyanobacterial strains isolated belong to Leptothoe and Jaaginema genera (Leptothoe sp. LEGE 181153 and Jaaginema sp. LEGE 191154). From quantitative and qualitative data of wet weight, chlorophyll a content and biofilm thickness obtained by optical coherence tomography, no significant differences were found in biofilms developed by the same cyanobacterial strain on different surfaces (glass and Perspex). However, the biofilm-forming potential of Leptothoe sp. LEGE 181153 proved to be higher compared with Jaaginema sp. LEGE 191154, particularly at the maturation stage of biofilm development. Three-dimensional biofilm images obtained from confocal laser scanning microscopy showed different patterns between both cyanobacterial strains and also among the two surfaces. Because standard methodologies to evaluate cyanobacterial biofilm formation, as well as two different optical imaging techniques, were used, this work also highlights the possibility of integrating different techniques to evaluate a complex phenomenon like cyanobacterial biofilm development.

Romeu, Maria J. (ORCID:0000000210945425)↗