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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,783 records · Page 99
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Generation and representation of synthetic smart meter data

Advanced energy algorithms running at big-data scale will be necessary to identify, realize, and verify energy savings to meet government and utility goals of building energy efficiency. Any algorithm must be well characterized and validated before it is trusted to run at these scales. Smart meter data from real buildings will ultimately be required for the development, testing, and validation of these energy algorithms and processes. However, for initial development and testing, smart meter data are difficult to work with due to privacy restrictions, noise from unknown sources, data accessibility, and other concerns which can complicate algorithm development and validation. This paper describes a new methodology to generate synthetic smart meter data of electricity use in buildings using detailed building energy modeling, which aims to capture the variability and stochastics of real energy use in buildings. The methodology can create datasets tailored to represent specific scenarios with known truth and controllable amounts of synthetic noise. Knowledge of ground truth also allows the development and validation of enhanced processes which leverage building metadata, such as building type or size (floor area), in addition to smart meter data. The methodology described in this paper includes the key influencing factors of real-world building energy use including weather data, occupant-driven loads, building operation and maintenance practices, and special events. Data formats to support workflows leveraging both synthetic meter data and associated metadata are proposed and discussed. Finally, example use cases of the synthetic meter data are described to illustrate potential applications.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2022

Analysis of overlapping count data

Counts of a specific characteristic were obtained within regions defined on an object that was manufactured in a proprietary setting. The count regions were altered during production and resulted in misaligned or overlapping count data. A closed-formula maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the new region means is derived using all of the available count data and an independent Poisson model. The MLE is shown to be preferable to estimators constructed using generalized linear models for the overlapping data setting. This closed-form estimator extends to over-dispersed overlapping count data as the quasi-MLE and also performs well with correlated overlapping count data. Standard errors for the estimator are approximated and are validated with a simulation study. Additionally, the methods are extended to overlapping multinomial data. Illustrative examples of the methods are provided throughout the paper and are reproducible with the supplemental R code. Additionally, proofs of the paper’s results are also included in the supplemental material.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Comparison of the Gaussian Wind Farm Model with Historical Data of Three Offshore Wind Farms

A recent expert elicitation showed that model validation remains one of the largest barriers for commercial wind farm control deployment. The Gaussian-shaped wake deficit model has grown in popularity in wind farm field experiments, yet its validation for larger farms and throughout annual operation remains limited. This article addresses this scientific gap, providing a model comparison of the Gaussian wind farm model with historical data of three offshore wind farms. The energy ratio is used to quantify the model’s accuracy. We assume a fixed turbulence intensity of $I_∞$ = 6% and a standard deviation on the inflow wind direction of $σ_{wd}$ = 3° in our Gaussian model. First, we demonstrate the non-uniqueness issue of $I_∞$ and $σ_{wd}$, which display a waterbed effect when considering the energy ratios. Second, we show excellent agreement between the Gaussian model and historical data for most wind directions in the Offshore Windpark Egmond aan Zee (OWEZ) and Westermost Rough wind farms (36 and 35 wind turbines, respectively) and wind turbines on the outer edges of the Anholt wind farm (110 turbines). Turbines centrally positioned in the Anholt wind farm show larger model discrepancies, likely due to deep-array effects that are not captured in the model. A second source of discrepancy is hypothesized to be inflow heterogeneity. In future work, the Gaussian wind farm model will be adapted to address those weaknesses.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Physics-Based Data-Driven Approach for Modeling of Environmental Degradation in Elastomers

Abstract Elastomers are now commonly used in a number of industries, including aerospace, structure, transportation, shipbuilding, and automotive, due to their excellent workability, formability, and flexibility. During their activity, elastomers are subjected to harsh environmental conditions, which decreases their resilience. False predictions made early in their lives can have major financial and environmental implications. Elastomers’ performance and properties, such as strength, durability, and density, are influenced by chemical changes in these materials, known as degradation, which occurs over time. This process can alter the morphology of a polymer matrix as well as cause chain scission and cross-linking, resulting in different behaviors than that of the unaged material. To demonstrate the effect of thermaloxidative aging on the mechanical behavior of elastomers, several experimental and theoretical models have been proposed. In view of the large volume of experimental data available on micro-structural evolution in the course of aging, we propose a physics-based data-driven approach to overcome the shortcomings of both phenomenological and micro-mechanical models. This work presents a novel thermodynamically consistent, multiagent machine-learned model for predicting the constitutive behavior of cross-linked elastomers during environmental aging, such as thermo-oxidative and hydrolytic aging for various states of deformation. Single mechanism degradation changes the polymer matrix over time where it is causing chain scission, reduction of cross-links, and morphology change. To capture the idealized Mullins effect and permanent set due to the effect of single aging mechanisms on nonlinear mechanical responses of elastomers, we propose a data-driven model for simulating inelastic elements in a polymer matrix. By using a sequential order reduction, we were able to reduce the 3D stress-strain tensor mapping problem to a small number of super-constrained 1D mapping problems. To systematically classify such mapping problems into a few categories, an assembly of multiple replicated conditional neural network learning agents (L-agents) is used based on our recent work. Each category is represented by a different type of agent. The effect of deformation history, aging time, and aging temperature is captured by this model. The model is validated using a broad collection of data, ranging from our experimental results to data from the literature. In addition, thermodynamic consistency and frame independence are investigated. The most significant achievements of this model are its precision, simplicity, and prediction of inelasticity under various states of deformation. The model’s accuracy and simplicity make it a good option for commercial and industrial applications. Conveniently, due to the model modular nature, it can be expanded in the future to include viscoelasticity and non-isotropic formation for better precision.

Ghaderi, Aref↗
DOE OSTI2021

Estimating Surface Solar Irradiance Using Meteosat-8 Satellite for India and Surrounding Regions (2017-2019)

Using the Physical Solar Model, Version 3 (PSM V3), the National Renewable Energy Laboratory—in collaboration with the University of Wisconsin, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and Solar Consulting Services—produced modeled surface solar irradiance based on Meteosat-8 satellite cloud information. PSM V3 implements a physics-based radiative transfer approach to model surface solar irradiance using cloud properties processed from raw satellite data and ancillary data such as aerosol optical depth and precipitable water vapor from the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2). Further, the modeled surface solar irradiance was validated using 10 high-quality ground measurement data from the Baseline Surface Radiation Network. The modeled data showed good correlation with the ground measurement, and the overall uncertainty is less than 35% for all validation locations. Because of the satellite viewing geometry, the Indian and European locations demonstrated higher uncertainties than the African locations, where the Meteosat-8 satellite has a more nadir viewing geometry. Further, instruction on how to access the data is provided.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Detection of the Metabolic Response to Drought Stress Using Hyperspectral Reflectance

Drought is the most important limitation on crop yield. Understanding and detecting drought stress in crops is vital for improving water use efficiency through effective breeding and management. Leaf reflectance spectroscopy offers a rapid, non-destructive alternative to traditional techniques for measuring plant traits involved in a drought response. We measured drought stress in six glasshouse-grown agronomic species using physiological, biochemical and spectral data. In contrast to physiological traits, leaf metabolite concentrations revealed drought stress before it was visible to the naked eye. We used full-spectrum leaf reflectance data to predict metabolite concentrations using partial least-squares regression, with validation R2 values of 0.49 to 0.87. We show for the first time that spectroscopy may be used for the quantitative estimation of proline and abscisic acid, demonstrating the first use of hyperspectral data to detect a phytohormone. We used linear discriminant analysis and partial least squares discriminant analysis to differentiate between droughted and watered plants based on measured traits (accuracy: 71%) and raw spectral data (66%). Finally, we validated our glasshouse-developed models in an independent field trial. We demonstrate that spectroscopy can detect drought stress via underlying biochemical changes, before visual differences occur, representing a powerful advance for measuring limitations on yield.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

OC6 Project Phase IV: Validation of Numerical Models for Novel Floating Offshore Wind Support Structures

The fourth phase of the Offshore Code Comparison, Collaboration, Continued, with Correlation and unCertainty (OC6) aims to assess the ability of the tools to model a novel floating wind design. The design that was selected for this project is the TetraSpar designed by Stiesdal Offshore Technologies. The platform is a unique design that features a spar like stability with a very low center of gravity, but does not require deep-water ports. This combination is achieved with a system made of two separate steel structures, a hull at the water’s surface that supports the wind turbine tower, and a keel that is suspended below the main body. This lower keel has a very high density and drives the total platform’s low center of gravity. Scaled model tests of the TetraSpar design were performed in 2018-2019 by the University of Maine. The tests were performed with 1:43 Froude scaling. The data collected in the model tests provide a detailed description of the response of the platform in various controlled and relatively well understood conditions. Comparison with these data provides a good opportunity for validation of numerical models. The OC6 Phase IV work will focus on the specific parameters used in these scaled model tests. The load cases (LC) considered in this project are as follows: LC 1.X - Equilibrium and Static Offset Tests LC 2.X - Platform Free Decays LC 3.X - Turbine Thrust (Wind Only) LC 4.X - Regular and Irregular Waves (Wave only) LC 5.X - Combined Wind and Wave Loading

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Black and gray box learning of amplitude equations: Application to phase field systems

Here, we present a data-driven approach to learning surrogate models for amplitude equations and illustrate its application to interfacial dynamics of phase field systems. In particular, we demonstrate learning effective partial differential equations describing the evolution of phase field interfaces from full phase field data. We illustrate this on a model phase field system, where analytical approximate equations for the dynamics of the phase field interface (a higher-order eikonal equation and its approximation, the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang equation) are known. For this system, we discuss data-driven approaches for the identification of equations that accurately describe the front interface dynamics. When the analytical approximate models mentioned above become inaccurate, as we move beyond the region of validity of the underlying assumptions, the data-driven equations outperform them. In these regimes, going beyond black box identification, we explore different approaches to learning data-driven corrections to the analytically approximate models, leading to effective gray box partial differential equations.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Machine-learning predictions of the shale wells’ performance

The ultra-low permeability nature of shale reservoirs leads to an extended linear flow and necessitates horizontal wells with multi-stage engineered fractures to efficiently extract hydrocarbons resources. These artificially-generated and naturally-occurring fractures form complex networks that create complex flow regimes which control oil production. These fractures are neither identical nor equally-spaced, which leads to a production profile with a masked onset of the boundary-dominated flow. The combination of the extended linear flow with the indeterminate onset of the boundary-dominated flow challenges the current deterministic analytic approaches to forecast the estimated ultimate recovery (EUR). In this work, we propose a novel machine-learning approach which overcomes these challenges and provides reliable EUR estimates based on field-wide analyses. We implement a novel unsupervised machine learning (ML) methodology, which allows for automatic identification of the optimal number of features (signals) present in the data based on non-negative matrix/tensor factorization coupled with k-means clustering incorporating regularization and physics constraints. In the presented analyses, the input data to the ML algorithm is the available (public) production history from the field collected at existing unconventional reservoirs. We validate our approach through hindcasting of the production data, where we achieved an excellent agreement. In addition, our approach is able to identify the poorly-performing wells, which could benefit from early refracing. Our approach provides fast and accurate estimations of the well performance without presumptions about the state of the well or the flow regime.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Development of Data Reporting Standards for High-Temperature Gas-cooled Reactor (HTGR) Nuclear Energy University Program (NEUP) Thermal-Fluid Experiments

Since 2009, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy's Nuclear Energy University Program (NEUP) has been at the forefront of nuclear research, specifically concentrating on advancing high-temperature gas-cooled reactor (HTGR) technologies. By Fiscal Year 2023, NEUP has authorized 35 projects dedicated to HTGR research, each contributing significantly to the enhancement of our understanding of this technology. The outcomes of these diverse projects have been disseminated through final NEUP reports, peer-reviewed journal articles, and presentations at academic conferences, forming a comprehensive tapestry of knowledge. Despite the substantial value of these findings, their dissemination has been fragmented, posing challenges for accessibility to researchers and policymakers and leading to underutilization of DOE investments. Recognizing this critical gap and its potential consequences for the future of nuclear research, the Advanced Reactor Technologies (ART) Gas-Cooled Reactor (GCR) program conducted an extensive survey of completed and ongoing HTGR NEUP projects. This survey enabled the compilation of crucial data, resulting in the development of a specialized public-access database tailored for computational fluid dynamics and system code validation, specifically designed for HTGR applications. However, the data collection process revealed a significant challenge in central data organization due to individual researchers from different institutes employing varying logics and preferences for recording and documenting experimental data. Consequently, an urgent need has been identified to establish a standardized reporting format for HTGR experimental projects. Addressing this issue is essential for enhancing collaboration, maximizing the impact of DOE investments, and ensuring the seamless advancement of HTGR technologies in nuclear research.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Molecular subtyping reveals immune alterations in IDH wild‐type lower‐grade diffuse glioma

Abstract Isocitrate dehydrogenase ( IDH ) wild‐type diffuse lower‐grade glioma (LGG) is usually associated with poor outcome, but there have been disputes over its clinical outcome and classification. We present here a robust gene expression‐based molecular classification of IDH wild‐type diffuse LGG into two subtypes with distinct biological and clinical features. A discovery cohort of 49 IDH wild‐type diffuse LGGs from the Chinese Glioma Genome Atlas (CGGA) was subjected to clustering and function analysis. Seventy‐three tumors from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) were used to validate our findings. Consensus clustering of transcriptional data uncovered concordant classification of two robust and prognostically significant subtypes of IDH wild‐type LGG. Subtype 1, associated with poorer outcomes, was characterized by significantly higher immune and cytolytic scores, M2 macrophages, and up‐regulation of immune exhaustion markers, while Subtype 2, which had elevated lymphocytes and plasma cells, showed relatively favorable survival. Somatic alteration analysis revealed that Subtype 1 showed more frequently deleted regions, such as the locus of CDKN2A / CDKN2B , DMRTA1 , C9orf53 , and MTAP . Furthermore, we developed and validated a five‐gene signature for better application of this acquired stratification. Our data demonstrate the biological and prognostic heterogeneity within IDH wild‐type diffuse LGGs and deepen our molecular understandi‐g of this tumor entity. © 2020 Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Wu, Fan↗
DOE OSTI2020

Extracting a mixing parameter from 2D radiographic imaging of variable-density turbulent flow

We extract a suitably averaged fluctuating density from the two-dimensional radiographic image of a flow. The X-ray attenuation is given by the Beer–Lambert law which exponentially damps the incident beam intensity by a factor proportional to the density, opacity and thickness of the target. By making reasonable assumptions for the mean density, opacity and effective thickness of the target flow, we estimate the density fluctuation contribution to the attenuation. The extracted density fluctuations averaged across the thickness of the flow in the direction of the beam may be used to form the density–specific-volume correlation $b$. In a statistical description of variable-density turbulence, $b$ quantifies the degree of mixedness. The ability to extract a measure of mixedness from experimental data would be a powerful tool that could be used in the validation of mix models. The scheme proposed is tested for DNS data computed for variable density buoyancy-driven mixing. We quantify the deficits in the extracted value of $b$ due to target thickness, Atwood number and modeled signal noise. This analysis justifies using the proposed scheme to infer the mix parameter from thin targets at moderate to low Atwood numbers. Furthermore, to illustrate how the scheme might be used in a practical problem, we demonstrate its application to a radiographic image of counter-shear flow obtained from experiments at the National Ignition Facility.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2024

MODAQ (Modular Offshore Data Acquisition System) [SWR-24-58]

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) has developed a data acquisition system to support laboratory (component) and in-water validation and testing of Marine Renewable Energy (MRE) technologies. The Modular Ocean Data AcQuisition System (MODAQ) is a robust system built on industrial grade hardware that can acquire high-quality and summary data from many sensor and instrument types. MODAQ includes modules to perform real-time QC screening, system health monitoring, and send alerts. MODAQ is also part of a larger data management, processing, visualization, and archiving system.

Raye, Robert↗
DOE OSTI2024

A First Search for Argon-Bound Neutron-Antineutron Oscillation using the MicroBooNE LArTPC

The use of Liquid Argon Time Projection Chambers (LArTPCs) as a detector technology in neutrino experiments has grown considerably over the past two decades. The excellent spatial and calorimetric resolution offered by LArTPCs enable precise neutrino oscillation measurements as well as beyond-Standard Model searches. One such search, which is the focus of this note, is the search for nucleus-bound neutron-antineutron (n ₋ n̄) oscillation. The n ₋ n̄ oscillation process is a baryon number violating process that produces a unique, star-like topology as a result of multiple final state pions. This unique signature is a key feature that may be used to search for this signal process. This note describes a machine learning-based analysis of MicroBooNE data, making use of a sparse convolutional neural network to search for n ₋ n̄ oscillation-like signals in MicroBooNE. While the future DUNE LArTPC can search for this signature with high sensitivity, existing MicroBooNE data can be used to demonstrate and validate methodologies that can be used as part of the DUNE search. This document presents the first-ever search for n ₋ n̄ oscillation in a LArTPC, using MicroBooNE off-beam data (data collected when the neutrino beam was not running).

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2024

A first search for argon-bound neutron-antineutron oscillation using the MicroBooNE LArTPC

The use of Liquid Argon Time Projection Chambers (LArTPCs) as a detector technology in neutrino experiments has grown considerably over the past two decades. The excellent spatial and calorimetric resolution offered by LArTPCs enable precise neutrino oscillation measurements as well as beyond-Standard Model searches. One such search, which is the focus of this note, is the search for nucleus-bound neutron-antineutron (n – n̄) oscillation. The n – n̄ oscillation process is a baryon number violating process that produces a unique, star-like topology as a result of multiple final state pions. This unique signature is a key feature that may be used to search for this signal process. This note describes a machine learning-based analysis of MicroBooNE data, making use of a sparse convolutional neural network to search for n – n̄ oscillation-like signals in MicroBooNE. While the future DUNE LArTPC can search for this signature with high sensitivity, existing MicroBooNE data can be used to demonstrate and validate methodologies that can be used as part of the DUNE search. This document presents the first-ever search for n – n̄ oscillation in a LArTPC, using MicroBooNE off-beam data (data collected when the neutrino beam was not running).

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Ibis Networks/WattIQ (IN2 Final Report)

Ibis Networks is a full-stack cleantech company that provides plug-level energy monitoring and control to solve energy and asset management problems for the enterprise. During DATES – DATES, an NREL research team worked with the Ibis team to validate their product, the InteliSocket. The Ibis InteliSocket is a pass-through plug-load energy monitor and controller that is designed to reduce energy wasted by common 120 V plug-in devices in commercial office buildings, such as computer peripherals, conference room AV equipment, and break-room appliances. The system can shut off supply power to these end uses via remote control, manual switches, pre-set schedules, or automated control algorithms. The scope of this IN2 project was the development and refinement of “smart” learning behavior algorithms (LBAs), which could help installation processes and dramatically expand the sockets’ capabilities and energy-saving potential by suggesting suitable control schedules that are based on monitored use patterns. While Ibis has the analytical and software expertise for algorithm development, the lack of test data, both in a controlled laboratory setting and in real-life deployment scenarios, represented a key barrier toward commercialization of the product. Assistance through the IN2 program provided an opportunity to conduct the needed “trial and error” algorithm development. The project included baseline field-data collection, laboratory testing, and field validation components, all of which were conducted at the NREL campus between April 2017 and July 2019.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2024

Efficient learning of accurate surrogates for simulations of complex systems

Machine learning methods are increasingly deployed to construct surrogate models for complex physical systems at a reduced computational cost. However, the predictive capability of these surrogates degrades in the presence of noisy, sparse or dynamic data. Here, we introduce an online learning method empowered by optimizer-driven sampling that has two advantages over current approaches: it ensures that all local extrema (including endpoints) of the model response surface are included in the training data, and it employs a continuous validation and update process in which surrogates undergo retraining when their performance falls below a validity threshold. We find, using benchmark functions, that optimizer-directed sampling generally outperforms traditional sampling methods in terms of accuracy around local extrema even when the scoring metric is biased towards assessing overall accuracy. Finally, the application to dense nuclear matter demonstrates that highly accurate surrogates for a nuclear equation-of-state model can be reliably autogenerated from expensive calculations using few model evaluations.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Genetic algorithm optimization of nuclear criticality experiment for reduction of intermediate-energy 239 Pu nuclear data uncertainties

Nuclear criticality experiments are conducted to investigate specific nuclear data important for safe handling and storage of fissile materials, reactor design and operation, and the validation of radiation transport codes. Incorrect or uncertain nuclear data can prohibitively impact operational safety limits, reactor licensing, and predictive simulation capability; therefore, integral measurements from criticality experiments are necessary and should be performed frequently. To maximize the impact of the integral measurements, it is important to consider experiment geometry, material selection, and component dimensions. When taking these considerations into account, the experiment design process becomes iterative and very time intensive. This work utilizes a genetic algorithm to efficiently explore potential nuclear criticality experiment designs for the Laboratory Directed Research & Development project PARADIGM (PARallel Approach of Differential and InteGral Measurements) at Los Alamos National Laboratory. In this paper, the building blocks of the genetic algorithm are discussed in detail, the genetic algorithm methodology is verified, and the genetic algorithm is used to produce three candidate experiment models for the final PARADIGM design. The three candidate models produced by the genetic algorithm consist of copper-reflected assemblies containing 14 repeating units of alumina, graphite, boron, and plutonium plates. Furthermore, in addition to the optimization results, final design considerations are also discussed for designs with a height and/or weight very close to or slightly above assembly machine operational limits.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗