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At least 1,783 records · Page 99

A multi-dimensional parametric study of variability in multi-phase flow dynamics during geologic CO 2 sequestration accelerated with machine learning

Successful geologic CO 2 storage projects depend on numerical simulations to predict reservoir performance during site selection, injection verification, and post-injection monitoring phases of the project. These numerical simulations solve non-linear sets of coupled partial differential equations, while accounting for multi-phase fluid dynamics on the basis of constitutive equations that are embedded into the solution scheme. As a consequence, individual simulations often require tens to hundreds of hours to complete on high-performance computing clusters. Moreover, laboratory experiments reveal that parametric functions for capillary pressure and relative permeability exhibit substantial variability, even within the same rock type. This combination of computational expense and wide-ranging parametric variability means that there remains substantial uncertainty in the behavior of multi-phase CO 2 -water systems, particularly in the context of feedbacks between relative permeability and capillary pressure. To bridge this knowledge gap, here we develop a novel workflow that utilizes physics-based numerical simulation to train an artificial neural network (ANN) emulator for interrogating the multivariate parameter space that governs both capillary pressure and relative permeability. With this approach, the ANN is trained to emulate both fluid pressure distribution and CO 2 saturation, which are then interrogated quantitatively to generate parametric response surface mappings with high-fidelity resolution. Results from this study initially show that capillary entry pressure is the dominant control on both CO 2 plume geometry and fluid pressure propagation when considering the combined effects of capillary pressure and relative permeability, particularly when phase interference is low and residual CO 2 saturation is high. Moreover, the ANN emulator provides tremendous computational speed-up by computing 2691 individual simulations in several minutes; whereas, the same simulation ensemble would have required ~3 years of simulation time using only physics-based simulation methods (25,000 times speed up).

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

High Flux Isotope Reactor Low Enriched Uranium U-10Mo Fuel Design Parameters

Activities to convert the HFIR from HEU to LEU are ongoing as part of the US Department of Energy (DOE) National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA) nuclear nonproliferation mission. Design activities to study the conversion of HFIR from HEU to LEU fuel explored different fuel design features and shapes with a uranium-molybdenum (U-10Mo) monolithic alloy fuel. This high-density alloy contains 90 wt % uranium and 10 wt % molybdenum and has a uranium density of 15.318gU/cm 3 . The goal of these studies is to generate several candidate HFIR LEU fuel designs of varying fuel fabrication complexity that meet the current HEU performance metrics and safety requirements. Recent advancements in modeling and simulation tools and design methods enabled a thorough analysis of the available design space with U-10Mo fuel. A surrogate model used this analysis as training data to quickly determine the performance of a design given specific design parameters. An optimization module used this surrogate model to quickly search this multidimensional search space given specific desired performance characteristics. This approach was made possible by the large available design space with U-10Mo fuel. Shift, a Monte Carlo tool optimized for high-performance computing (HPC) architectures, was used for faster calculation and better data management for reactor physics simulations. Once most of these design studies were complete, a new suite called the Python HFIR Analysis and Measurement Engine (PHAME) was developed to connect all fuel design analysis steps, making design studies more efficient and reproducible. The post-processing capabilities of these new tools are leveraged for the information provided herein. Leveraging these tools, several candidate fuel designs were selected with varying levels of feature complexity and reactor performance. This report provides design feature details for four selected HFIR LEU U-10Mo fuel designs and their corresponding performance and safety metrics. Nominal best-estimate design parameters and irradiation conditions, including fission rate densities, power densities, heat fluxes, and cumulative fission densities, are provided. Simulations show that the high uranium density of U-10Mo fuel provides a large potential design space that enables various LEU designs to meet HEU core performance metrics and safety requirements with a power increase from 85 MW (HEU) to 95 MW or 100 MW (LEU).

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Planck intermediate results

We present the NPIPE processing pipeline, which produces calibrated frequency maps in temperature and polarization from data from the Planck Low Frequency Instrument (LFI) and High Frequency Instrument (HFI) using high-performance computers. NPIPE represents a natural evolution of previous Planck analysis efforts, and combines some of the most powerful features of the separate LFI and HFI analysis pipelines. For example, following the LFI 2018 processing procedure, NPIPE uses foreground polarization priors during the calibration stage in order to break scanning-induced degeneracies. Similarly, NPIPE employs the HFI 2018 time-domain processing methodology to correct for bandpass mismatch at all frequencies. In addition, NPIPE introduces several improvements, including, but not limited to: inclusion of the 8% of data collected during repointing manoeuvres; smoothing of the LFI reference load data streams; in-flight estimation of detector polarization parameters; and construction of maximally independent detector-set split maps. For component-separation purposes, important improvements include: maps that retain the CMB Solar dipole, allowing for high-precision relative calibration in higher-level analyses; well-defined single-detector maps, allowing for robust CO extraction; and HFI temperature maps between 217 and 857 GHz that are binned into 0'.9 pixels (Nside = 4096), ensuring that the full angular information in the data is represented in the maps even at the highest Planck resolutions. The net effect of these improvements is lower levels of noise and systematics in both frequency and component maps at essentially all angular scales, as well as notably improved internal consistency between the various frequency channels. Based on the NPIPE maps, we present the first estimate of the Solar dipole determined through component separation across all nine Planck frequencies. The amplitude is (3366.6 ± 2.7) μK, consistent with, albeit slightly higher than, earlier estimates. From the large-scale polarization data, we derive an updated estimate of the optical depth of reionization of τ = 0.051 ± 0.006, which appears robust with respect to data and sky cuts. There are 600 complete signal, noise and systematics simulations of the full-frequency and detector-set maps. As a Planck first, these simulations include full time-domain processing of the beam-convolved CMB anisotropies. The release of NPIPE maps and simulations is accompanied with a complete suite of raw and processed time-ordered data and the software, scripts, auxiliary data, and parameter files needed to improve further on the analysis and to run matching simulations.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

IGMS: An Integrated ISO-to-Appliance Scale Grid Modeling System

This paper describes the Integrated Grid Modeling System (IGMS), a novel electric power system modeling platform for integrated transmission-distribution analysis that co-simulates off-the-shelf tools on high performance computing (HPC) platforms to offer unprecedented resolution from ISO markets down to appliances and other end uses. Specifically, the system simultaneously models hundreds or thousands of distribution systems in co-simulation with detailed Independent System Operator (ISO) markets and AGC-level reserve deployment. IGMS uses a new MPI-based hierarchical co-simulation framework to connect existing sub-domain models. Our initial efforts integrate opensource tools for wholesale markets (FESTIV), bulk AC power flow (MATPOWER), and full-featured distribution systems including physics-based end-use and distributed generation models (many instances of GridLAB-D[TM]). The modular IGMS framework enables tool substitution and additions for multi-domain analyses. This paper describes the IGMS tool, characterizes its performance, and demonstrates the impacts of the coupled simulations for analyzing high-penetration solar PV and price responsive load scenarios.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Fault Tolerance Assistant (FTA): An Exception Handling Programming Model for MPI Applications

Future high-performance computing systems may face frequent failures with their rapid increase in scale and complexity. Resilience to faults has become a major challenge for large-scale applications running on supercomputers, which demands fault tolerance support for prevalent MPI applications. Among failure scenarios, process failures are one of the most severe issues as they usually lead to termination of applications. However, the widely used MPI implementations do not provide mechanisms for fault tolerance. We propose FTA-MPI (Fault Tolerance Assistant MPI), a programming model that provides support for failure detection, failure notification and recovery. Specifically, FTA-MPI exploits a try/catch model that enables failure localization and transparent recovery of process failures in MPI applications. We demonstrate FTA-MPI with synthetic applications and a molecular dynamics code CoMD, and show that FTA-MPI provides high programmability for users and enables convenient and flexible recovery of process failures.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Workshop Report on Additive Manufacturing for Large-Scale Metal Components - Development and Deployment of Metal Big-Area-Additive-Manufacturing (Large-Scale Metals AM) System

Additive manufacturing (AM) is considered an emerging technology that is expected to transform the way industry can make low-volume, high value complex structures. This disruptive technology promises to replace legacy manufacturing methods for the fabrication of existing components in addition to bringing new innovation for new components with increased functional and mechanical properties. This report outlines the outcome of a workshop on large-scale metal additive manufacturing held at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) on March 11, 2016. The charter for the workshop was outlined by the Department of Energy (DOE) Advanced Manufacturing Office program manager. The status and impact of the Big Area Additive Manufacturing (BAAM) for polymer matrix composites was presented as the background motivation for the workshop. Following, the extension of underlying technology to low-cost metals was proposed with the following goals: (i) High deposition rates (approaching 100 lbs/h); (ii) Low cost (<$10/lbs) for steel, iron, aluminum, nickel, as well as, higher cost titanium, (iii) large components (major axis greater than 6 ft) and (iv) compliance of property requirements. The above concept was discussed in depth by representatives from different industrial sectors including welding, metal fabrication machinery, energy, construction, aerospace and heavy manufacturing. In addition, DOE’s newly launched High Performance Computing for Manufacturing (HPC4MFG) program was reviewed. This program will apply thermo-mechanical models to elucidate deeper understanding of the interactions between design, process, and materials during additive manufacturing. Following these presentations, all the attendees took part in a brainstorming session where everyone identified the top 10 challenges in large-scale metal AM from their own perspective. The feedback was analyzed and grouped in different categories including, (i) CAD to PART software, (ii) selection of energy source, (iii) systems development, (iv) material feedstock, (v) process planning, (vi) residual stress & distortion, (vii) post-processing, (viii) qualification of parts, (ix) supply chain and (x) business case. Furthermore, an open innovation network methodology was proposed to accelerate the development and deployment of new large-scale metal additive manufacturing technology with the goal of creating a new generation of high deposition rate equipment, affordable feed stocks, and large metallic components to enhance America’s economic competitiveness.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Development and Experimental Optimization of High-Temperature Modeling Tools and Methods for Concentrated Solar Power Particle - Systems

A novel, open-source radiative modeling toolset was developed to extend the functionality of particle-based modeling software (e.g. discrete element method (DEM)) to environmental conditions relevant to concentrated solar power applications. This toolset was optimized for deployment on desktop workstations instead of high-performance computing systems, to render such tools more accessible to the research community. Both particle-based modeling and radiative exchange modeling are computationally expensive and often require specialized programming expertise, making these methods cumbersome to use. Recent developments in DEM software by DCS Computing have greatly reduced these challenges, providing a graphical-user-interface based platform and modeling optimization for desktop workstations, HPCs, and cloud computing. The University of Dayton leveraged the experience of DCS Computing in developing a user-friendly, open-source radiative heat transfer expansion for DEM modeling. The University of Dayton DEM+ radiative modeling toolset was developed using a combination of fundamental experimental measurements, modeling, and simplified flow experiments over a range of temperatures and flow conditions. The toolset provides researchers with access to multiple radiative models including an accelerated Monte-Carlo Ray Tracing (application agnostic, highly computationally expensive), an expanded database of distance-based approximations (application limited, computationally light), and a weighted blending of the two methods capable of achieving over 90% reduction in computation time with equivalent accuracy compared to Monte-Carlo Ray Tracing. Through a graphical user interface, users can customize the radiative models to match their desired accuracy and available computational resources, improving access to particle based modeling for the research community. Ceramic sintered bauxite proppants were used in modeling and experimentally as a baseline. Both the radiative heat transfer and flow properties for particulate systems were investigated at elevated temperatures up to 800 °C. The major accomplishments for this work include a verified, open-source radiative modeling toolset to be distributed amongst the research community and the fabrication of three small-scale test facilities to investigate particle behavior and tune DEM flow properties for operation up to 800 °C. The findings have been shared with the research community via conference modeling workshops, deployment of the tools in DCS Computing Aspherix®, and open-source access to the developed radiative modeling tool. The development of next-generation CSP facilities and thermal energy storage systems based on ceramic particles requires providing access to computationally efficient and accurate modeling tools. Particles will experience a wide range of environments (20-800 °C) and handling conditions (dilute curtains or dense packing), requiring specially designed and optimized equipment. Optimizing solid particle physics models and establishing best-practices for particle modeling in CSP environments will assist researchers with designing optimized equipment, accelerating the deployment of more economically-competitive CSP facilities.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

BWR Full Fuel Assembly Testing and Validation

This report describes the Consortium for Advanced Simulation of Light Water Reactors (CASL) work conducted for completion of the Thermal Hydraulics Methods (THM) Level 3 milestone THM.CLS.P15.10: BWR Full Fuel Assembly Testing and Validation. The extension of existing boiling closure designed for Pressurized Water Reactors (PWRs) to the high void fraction condition of Boiling Water Reactors (BWRs) is one of the challenges for Multiphase Computational Fluid Dynamics (M-CFD) applications. In the efforts aimed at developing the advanced boiling closure for BWRs, the baseline closure model, so-called ‘Zero’ closure, has been developed based on the GEN-I closure for PWRs which was used as a starting point. Since this simplest closure model is robust but does not contain any explicit description of the complex high void fraction mechanisms, the applicability of M-CFD needs to be evaluated before developing advanced closures for BWRs. To support this need, the high fidelity M-CFD simulation with Zero closure has been conducted for the BWR full fuel assembly. The capabilities of M-CFD with Zero closure were evaluated against the international OECD/NRC BFBT benchmark data. The scalability of the M-CFD application to the nuclear fuel assembly was demonstrated with the INL High Performance Computing (HPC) system. This report presents the recent view of the best practices on M-CFD for BWRs to provide a useful reference to identify and overcome common challenges in the M-CFD applications.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

MFIX-DEM Phi: Performance and Capability Improvements Towards Industrial Grade Open-source DEM Framework with Integrated Uncertainty Quantification

Two major challenges hinder the effective use and adoption of multiphase computational fluid dynamics tools by the industry. The first is the need for significant computational resources, which is inversely proportional to the accuracy of solutions due to computational intensity of the algorithms. The second barrier is assessing the prediction credibility and confidence in the simulation results. In this project, a multi-tiered approach has been proposed under four broad activities to overcome these challenges while addressing all of the objectives outlined in FOA-0001238 through Phases 1 and 2 of the project. The present report consists of the results for only Phase 1, which was the funded performance period. From the start the project, all of the objectives outlined in FOA were addressed through four major activity tasks in an integrated and balanced fashion to improve adoption of MFIX suite of solvers for industrial use. The first task aimed to improve the performance of MFIX-DEM specifically targeting to acquire the peak performance on Intel Xeon and Xeon Phi based systems, which are expected to be one of the primary high-performance computing platforms both affordable and available for the industrial users in the next two to five years. However, due to a number of changes in course of the project, the scope of the performance improvements related task was significantly reduced to avoid duplicate work. Hence, more emphasis was placed on the other three tasks as discussed below. The second task aimed at physical modeling enhancements through implementation of polydispersity capability and validation of heat transfer models in MFIX. An extended verification and validation (V&V) study was performed for the new polydispersity feature implemented in MFIX-DEM both for granular and coupled gas-solid flows. The features of the polydispersity capability and results for an industrially relevant problem were disseminated through journal papers (one published and one under review at the time of writing of the final technical report). As part of the validation efforts, another industrially relevant problem of interest based on rotary drums was studied for several modes of heat transfer and results were presented in conferences. Third task was aimed towards an important and unique contribution of the project, which was to develop a unified uncertainty quantification framework by integrating MFIX-DEM with a graphical user interface (GUI) driven uncertainty quantification (UQ) engine, i.e., MFIX-GUI and PSUADE. The goal was to enable a user with only modest knowledge of statistics to effectively utilize the UQ framework offered with MFIX-DEM Phi to perform UQ analysis routinely. For Phase 1, a proof-of-concept demonstration of the proposed framework was completed and shared. Direct industry involvement was one of the key virtues of this project, which was performed through forth task. For this purpose, even at the proposal stage, the project team received strong interest in the proposed capabilities from two major corporations, which were further expanded throughout Phase 1 and a new collaboration with another major corporation from chemical industry was also initiated. The level of interest received and continued collaboration for the project during Phase 1 clearly shows the relevance and potential impact of the project for the industrial users.

42 ENGINEERING↗

NERSC & JGI Seek Elusive Proteins for Gene Editing

A video just released by the Supercomputing 2017 (SC17) conference shows how biologists at UC Berkeley and the Joint Genome Institute (JGI) – a Department of Energy Office of Science User Facility – are using NERSC, the Office of Science’s primary supercomputing center, to identify a class of enzymes capable of editing out genes responsible for disease. This revolutionary work requires petaflops of computing power to sift through billions of DNA sequences in the JGI data portals to identify proteins like Cas9 that, combined with the Clustered Regularly Interspaced Short Palindromic Repeats (CRISPR), can “edit” a genome. First discovered by researchers at UC Berkeley, the CRISPR-Cas9 system has the power to permanently correct disease-causing mutations in cells, animal models, and eventually human patients to cure certain types of cancer, cardiovascular disease, sickle cell disease, and retinal degeneration. Since the CRISPR system was first identified in the early 2000s, it has become the most promising technology for treating genetic disease in humans and enabling plants to survive stress caused by pests and the environment. The annual SC17 conference will take place November 12-17 in Denver, Colorado. The over 12,000 attendees from academia, government and industry are leaders in researching and delivering high performance computing, networking, data storage and analysis in support of scientific discovery. http://sc17.supercomputing.org

Berkeley Lab, LBNL↗

NERSC & JGI Seek Elusive Proteins for Gene Editing

A video just released by the Supercomputing 2017 (SC17) conference shows how biologists at UC Berkeley and the Joint Genome Institute (JGI) – a Department of Energy Office of Science User Facility – are using NERSC, the Office of Science’s primary supercomputing center, to identify a class of enzymes capable of editing out genes responsible for disease. This revolutionary work requires petaflops of computing power to sift through billions of DNA sequences in the JGI data portals to identify proteins like Cas9 that, combined with the Clustered Regularly Interspaced Short Palindromic Repeats (CRISPR), can “edit” a genome. First discovered by researchers at UC Berkeley, the CRISPR-Cas9 system has the power to permanently correct disease-causing mutations in cells, animal models, and eventually human patients to cure certain types of cancer, cardiovascular disease, sickle cell disease, and retinal degeneration. Since the CRISPR system was first identified in the early 2000s, it has become the most promising technology for treating genetic disease in humans and enabling plants to survive stress caused by pests and the environment. The annual SC17 conference will take place November 12-17 in Denver, Colorado. The over 12,000 attendees from academia, government and industry are leaders in researching and delivering high performance computing, networking, data storage and analysis in support of scientific discovery. http://sc17.supercomputing.org Producer: Jennifer Boyd, Boyd Productions DP: Damon Hennessey Audio: Richard K. Pooler Score: Michael Bacon Music

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Kinetic Monte Carlo Simulations of Chemical Reactions on Surfaces

Lattice based kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) simulations are a powerful tool for micro-kinetic modeling. The kinetic Monte Carlo technique stochastically simulates chemical reaction processes (e.g. adsorption, desorption, diffusion), where the probability of a given reaction process being selected is weighted by its rate constant. The open source software package, KMOS1, allows fast construction of kMC simulations by automatically implementing a computationally efficient kMC framework, thus allowing the researcher to focus on accurate parameterization and formulation of the kinetic model. From this, the spatiotemporal evolution (e.g. concentration, surface configuration, turnover frequencies) of crystal surfaces or bulk crystalline structures is obtained. KMOS uses the variable step-size method implementation of kMC. At each step, the VSSM updates available events, calculates the corresponding transition rates and simulation time, and selects one of the available events. The lattice based kMC technique has many potential applications within SRNL where chemical kinetics are of interest. By transitioning through time along a trajectory of configuration space, fundamental insights to a system's dominant reactions and parameters can be gained, leading to improved materials and process design. In this work, we have established capabilities for fast implementation of kMC simulations through the installation and testing of the KMOS software on SRNL high performance computing resources. The parameterization of kMC simulations is often performed from first-principles energetic calculations. For the purposes of this work, the test cases use arbitrary species and thus, have arbitrary parameterization. In order to demonstrate the use of KMOS, two primary test cases are shown. Case 1 involves simple adsorption and desorption. Case 2 involves a slightly more complex mechanism. The evolution of the surface concentration and the final surface configuration for simulation Case 2 is shown. Rate-limiting processes and rate-limiting configurations are not always known or understood, but kMC provides information pertaining to both. The capability to implement efficient micro-kinetic models using the kinetic Monte Carlo technique has been established through the testing and installation of KMOS on SRNL HPC resources.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Machine learning based job status prediction in scientific clusters

Large high-performance computing systems are built with increasing number of components with more CPU cores, more memory, and more storage space. At the same time, scientific applications have been growing in complexity. Together, they are leading to more frequent unsuccessful job statuses on HPC systems. From measured job statuses, 23.4% of CPU time was spent to the unsuccessful jobs. Here, we set out to study whether these unsuccessful job statuses could be anticipated from known job characteristics. To explore this possibility, we have developed a job status prediction method for the execution of jobs on scientific clusters. The Random Forests algorithm was applied to extract and characterize the patterns of unsuccessful job statuses. Experimental results show that our method can predict the unsuccessful job statuses from the monitored ongoing job executions in 99.8% the cases with 83.6% recall and 94.8% precision. Lastly, this prediction accuracy can be sufficiently high that it can be used to mitigation procedures of predicted failures.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

CAHS: Context-Aware Homology Search

Protein homology search is foundational to bioinformatics: it supports annotation transfer, structure/function inference, and evolutionary analysis over rapidly expanding sequence repositories (e.g., UniProtKB). Profile hidden Markov models (pHMMs), as implemented in HMMER, remain the most widely trusted approach because they provide statistically calibrated E-values; however, their gap behavior is fixed once a profile is trained, despite biological evidence that insertion/deletion tolerance varies across flexible loops and intrinsically disordered regions. We present CAHS (Context-Aware Homology Search), a lightweight query-time adapter for pHMM search that incorporates learned and biologically motivated signals without changing HMMER's downstream search pipeline or its calibrated E-value reporting. Given a query sequence, CAHS computes per-residue representations from a protein language model and a disorder predictor, maps these to profile coordinates, and modulates only match-state transition rows (gap-open and gap-extension probabilities) while preserving Plan7 constraints. We comprehensively evaluate CAHS across six structurally diverse protein families and multi-domain architectures against a 570k-sequence target corpus. CAHS expands detection capability, retrieving thousands of additional remote homologs at relaxed thresholds by maintaining alignment quality through flexible regions. For multi-domain proteins, context-aware modulation resolves 94% of fragmented alignments. Crucially, CAHS preserves hit-set invariance at stringent operating points (E<10-10), demonstrating increased statistical confidence without inflating false positives. Furthermore, sharper statistical distinction between homologs and background noise during early filter stages yields up to a 3.87× acceleration in end-to-end wall-clock time on high-performance computing clusters. Overall, CAHS illustrates a practical AI-for-science design pattern: augmenting a trusted probabilistic model with query-specific learned signals to improve interpretable, reproducible inference in data-rich biology.

Bhattaram, Swethasree [Georgia Institute of Techno↗

Sub-Second Parallel State Estimation

This report describes the performance of Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) sub-second parallel state estimation (PSE) tool using the utility data from the Bonneville Power Administrative (BPA) and discusses the benefits of the fast computational speed for power system applications. The test data were provided by BPA. They are two-days’ worth of hourly snapshots that include power system data and measurement sets in a commercial tool format. These data are extracted out from the commercial tool box and fed into the PSE tool. With the help of advanced solvers, the PSE tool is able to solve each BPA hourly state estimation problem within one second, which is more than 10 times faster than today’s commercial tool. This improved computational performance can help increase the reliability value of state estimation in many aspects: (1) the shorter the time required for execution of state estimation, the more time remains for operators to take appropriate actions, and/or to apply automatic or manual corrective control actions. This increases the chances of arresting or mitigating the impact of cascading failures; (2) the SE can be executed multiple times within time allowance. Therefore, the robustness of SE can be enhanced by repeating the execution of the SE with adaptive adjustments, including removing bad data and/or adjusting different initial conditions to compute a better estimate within the same time as a traditional state estimator’s single estimate. There are other benefits with the sub-second SE, such as that the PSE results can potentially be used in local and/or wide-area automatic corrective control actions that are currently dependent on raw measurements to minimize the impact of bad measurements, and provides opportunities to enhance the power grid reliability and efficiency. PSE also can enable other advanced tools that rely on SE outputs and could be used to further improve operators’ actions and automated controls to mitigate effects of severe events on the grid. The power grid continues to grow and the number of measurements is increasing at an accelerated rate due to the variety of smart grid devices being introduced. A parallel state estimation implementation will have better performance than traditional, sequential state estimation by utilizing the power of high performance computing (HPC). This increased performance positions parallel state estimators as valuable tools for operating the increasingly more complex power grid.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Map Applications to Target Exascale Architecture with Machine-Specific Performance Analysis, Including Challenges and Projections

This Exascale Computing Project (ECP) milestone report summarizes the status of all 30 ECP Applications Development (AD) subprojects at the end of FY20. In October and November of 2020, a comprehensive assessment of AD projects was conducted by the ECP leadership. Reviews occurred virtually between October 27, 2020 and November 12, 2020. The review committee—consisting of the AD lead, deputy, and L3—was tasked with evaluating each subproject’s progress in porting their codes to early exascale architectures considered precursors to the planned exascale machines. This includes characterizing which modules have been ported to multi-accelerator nodes, initial performance analyses, the status of software integration, and a current vision of successes, obstacles, and next steps. As such, this report contains not only an accurate snapshot of each subproject’s current status but also represents an unprecedentedly broad account of experiences in porting large scientific applications to next-generation high-performance computing architectures.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

NSRD-06. Computational Capability to Substantiate DOE-HDBK-3010 Data

Safety basis analysts throughout the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) complex rely heavily on the information provided in the DOE Hand book, DOE-HDBK-3010, Airborne Release Fractions/Rates and Resp irable Fractions for Nonreactor Nuclear Facilities , to determine source terms. In calcula ting source terms, analysts tend to use the DOE Handbook's bounding values on airbor ne release fractions (ARFs) and respirable fractions (RFs) for various cat egories of insults (representing potential accident release categories). This is typica lly due to both time constraints and the avoidance of regulatory critique. Unfort unately, these bounding ARFs/RFs represent extremely conservative values. Moreover, th ey were derived from very limited small- scale table-top and bench/labo ratory experiments and/or fr om engineered judgment. Thus the basis for the data may not be re presentative to the actual unique accident conditions and configura tions being evaluated. The goal of this res earch is to develop a more ac curate method to identify bounding values for the DOE Handbook using the st ate-of-art multi-physics-based high performance computer codes. This enable s us to better understand the fundamental physics and phenomena associated with the ty pes of accidents for the data described in it. This research has examined two of the DOE Handbook's liquid fire experiments to substantiate the airborne release frac tion data. We found th at additional physical phenomena (i.e., resuspension) need to be included to derive bounding values. For the specific cases of solid powder under pre ssurized condition and mechanical insult conditions the codes demonstrated that we can simulate the phenomena. This work thus provides a low-cost method to establis h physics-justified sa fety bounds by taking into account specific geometri es and conditions that may not have been previously measured and/or are too costly to do so.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗