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At least 1,783 records · Page 99

Locating Surface Explosions by Combining Seismic and Infrasound Data

An outline of a Bayesian source location framework for using seismic and acoustic observations is developed and tested on synthetic and real data. Seismic and acoustic phenomena are both commonly used in detection and location of a variety of natural or man–made events, such as volcanic eruptions, quarry blasts, and military exercises. Typically, seismic and acoustic observations have been utilized independently of each other. Here, we outline a Bayesian formulation for combining the two observations in a single estimate of the location and origin time. Using realistic estimates of uncertainty, we subsequently explore how combining the different observation types can benefit event location at local to near–regional distances. We apply the method to synthetic data and to real observations from a mining blast in Bingham Mine in Utah. Our findings suggest that, for relatively sparse or azimuthally limited observations, the relative strengths of the two different phenomenologies enable more precise joint–event localization than either seismic or infrasonic measurements alone.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Core-Collapse Supernova Explosion Mechanism Studies on NIF

The first quarter work in the project was focused on developing a basis for in-depth analysis to be conducted later on. Initial work consisted of semi-analytic investigation of the Euler equations. In particular, we analyzed the one-dimensional, steady Euler equations in spherical geometry with no source terms. We found that in order to maintain physically admissible flow structures, the aspect ratio of the domain (i.e. relative thickness of the post-shock region) must be constrained to be relatively narrow (rshock/rinner < 2). In addition to the semi-analytic studies, the work on adapting the FLASH code for time-dependent numerical studies has started. Specifically, we designed and implemented the necessary boundary conditions. We also started code modifications required for investigating stability properties of the quasi-steady-state configurations.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Receiver Operating Characteristic Analysis for Detecting Explosives-related Threats

The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) and the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) are interested in developing a standardized testing procedure for determining the performance of candidate detection systems. This document outlines a potential method for judging detection system performance as well as determining if combining the information from a legacy system with a new system can significantly improve performance. In this document, performance corresponds to the Neyman-Pearson criterion applied to the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves of the detection systems in question. A simulation was developed to investigate how the amount of data provided by the vendor in the form of the ROC curve effects the performance of the combined detection system. Furthermore, the simulation also takes into account the potential effects of correlation and how this information can also impact the performance of the combined system.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Constituent properties, process, and formulation effects contributing to functional characteristics in pharmaceutical and explosive composites [Slides]

Crystal properties and defects contribute substantially to basic properties. Dip-coated films display a number of properties which are expected to be present in wet agglomeration / real formulation. Nanoindentation provides more detailed information about static dislocations and a useful simulation of real deformation processes during formulation of pressed composites. Continuum measurements are limited in what can be mechanistically determined, but we are on the verge of breakthroughs in dynamic in situ experiments!

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

EDS V26 Containment Vessel Explosive Qualification Test Report

The objective of the test was to qualify the vessel for its intended use by subjecting it to a 1.25 times overtest. The criteria for success are that the measured strains do not exceed the calculated strains from the vessel analysis, there is no significant additional plastic strain on subsequent tests at the rated design load (shakedown), and there is no significant damage to the vessel and attached hardware that affect form, fit, or function. Testing of the V25 Vessel in 2011 established a precedent for testing V26 [2]. As with V25, two tests were performed to satisfy this objective. The first test used 9 pounds of Composition C-4 (11.25 lbs. TNT-equivalent), which is 125 percent of the design basis load. The second test used 7.2 pounds of Composition C-4 (9 lbs. TNT-equivalent) which is 100 percent of the design basis load. The first test provided the required overtest while the second test served to demonstrate shakedown and the absence of additional plastic deformation. Unlike the V25 vessel, which was mounted in a shipping cradle during testing, the V26 vessel was mounted on the EDS P2U3 trailer prior to testing. Visual inspections of the EDS vessel, surroundings, and diagnostics were completed before and after each test event. This visual inspection included analyzing the seals, fittings, and interior surfaces of the EDS vessel and documenting any abnormalities or damages. Photographs were used to visually document vessel conditions and findings before and after each test event.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Ranchero Armature Test LA-43-CT-2: PBXN-110 Explosive with no smoothing layer. Lower Slobovia, 6/13/13

This test, documented as LA-43-CT-2, was performed to verify calculations which indicate that the smoothing layer employed for Ranchero Armatures is not required when the slapper point spacing is 18 mm (“On the efficacy of an acrylic layer in the Ranchero armature,” Bob Watt, published in “Ranchero Status Report” LA-14463). [Naming this test –CT-2 acknowledges the previous test performed during 1/11 as the initial test in the series, and we will refer to that test as LA-43-CT-1 in the future.] In addition, higher velocity is achieved when the volume occupied by the smoother is replaced by HE. Two framing cameras were used on the shot, and a 20 point PDV array was fielded to ascertain armature performance in specific conditions. The conclusions are that the armature is smooth enough, and the terminal velocity is increased from ~3.1 mm/μs to ~3.3 mm/μs. The armature tested had casting voids in the HE that were observed in pre-test inspections, and were expected to cause ruptures. (See Appendix 3 of the Ranchero Status Report.) Such “blowouts” were observed in all three locations identified in pre-shot inspection. In addition, ruptures occurred in locations having no pre-shot indication of a problem. These unpredicted blowouts have a difference in appearance from those typically seen. Further visual examination of the inspection radiographs do not reveal the cause, and that is a serious concern for future efforts with such castings. A path forward will include attempting to digitize the inspection x-rays for the charge tested, to see if the cause of the “new” ruptures can be found via computer enhancement. In addition, there are two additional armatures from the same casting lot, and these might also be tested to see if there is some problem with the HE or the armature material in this batch. For now, this plan is on hold, pending the outcome of tests and cost estimates related to using PBX-9501 in place of the PBXN-110. Casting issues would be eliminated in such configurations.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Explosive Products EOS: Adjustment for detonation speed and energy release

Propagating detonation waves exhibit a curvature effect in which the detonation speed decreases with increasing front curvature. The curvature effect is due to the width of the wave profile. Numerically, the wave profile depends on resolution. With coarse resolution, the wave width is too large and results in a curvature effect that is too large. Consequently, the detonation speed decreases as the cell size is increased. We propose a modification to the products equation of state (EOS) to compensate for the effect of numerical resolution; i.e., to increase the CJ pressure in order that a simulation propagates a detonation wave with a speed that is on average correct. The EOS modification also adjusts the release isentrope to correct the energy release.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗