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On the characterization of biases arising from methods and approximations used for sensitivity analyses

The preliminary assessment of the performance and safety of advanced reactors, as well as the identification of research and development needs, rely on computer simulations due to the lack of operational experience. Those simulations should be based on verified and validated computational tools, calculation schemes, and nuclear data libraries, and should be accompanied of a proper characterization of the involved uncertainties, providing confidence in the computational-based predictions. Thus, sensitivity and uncertainty studies, together with integral experiments, play an essential role in that process. Sensitivities are then a critical element and guidelines about how to produce accurate enough sensitivities depending on the subsequent analyses to be performed are of interest. The present study addresses the sensitivities biases arising from the use of different nuclear data libraries, computational methods and the assumption of modelling simplifications. Not only sensitivities for multiplication factor but also for safety-relevant reactivity responses have been analyzed. In the study, propagated uncertainties are also included for the considered parameters to illustrate the impact of the sensitivity profiles obtained for each case on the final uncertainty. Then, relevant recommendations are given for sensitivity analyses of highly complex systems. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Accelerating Thermochemical Equilibrium Calculations for Nuclear Reactor Applications

Thermochemical properties play a key role in modeling and simulation of several key phenomena in nuclear reactors. There has been an increasing interest in incorporating CALPHAD-based formulations in multiphysics simulations including for Molten Salt Reactors where knowledge of phase evolution of the salt and the chemical potentials of various elements are of utmost importance in source term analyses and redox control. However, the size of such simulations is often limited by the high computational cost of full thermodynamic equilibrium calculations. This work discusses the current efforts aimed at accelerating thermochemical equilibrium calculations for multiphysics simulations performed using the open-source finite element / finite volume code Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) [1]. While several methods have been proposed for accelerating phase equilibrium calculations [2], most focus on relatively small systems and often rely on a- priori knowledge of the state-space of the system. Nuclear materials, however, are often multi-component systems owing to the evolution of composition under irradiation and an approach based on a-priori mapping of phase diagram is often not enough. This work is aimed at demonstrating an on-the-fly surrogate modeling framework that uses active learning to reduce the number of full equilibrium calculations that must be performed. By combining with efficient coupling approaches, the surrogate framework helps in reducing the computational cost of thermodynamic equilibrium informed multiphysics simulations of nuclear materials. The performance is benchmarked against full coupling with the thermochemistry library Thermochimica [3]. This work uses a machine learning based approach for constructing surrogate models to predict the stable phases in a multicomponent system. The surrogates were constructed using neural networks and Gaussian process classification. In this work, we compare the relative performance of the two methods. We also demonstrate the use of caching previous calculations by interpolating the values from nearest neighbors. References [1] Lindsay, A.D., et al. "2.0 – MOOSE: Enabling massively parallel multiphysics simulation", SoftwareX, 20 (2022): 101202. [2] Roos, W.A. and Zietsman J.H. "Accelerating complex chemical equilibrium calculations – A Review", Calphad, 77 (2022): 102380. [3] Piro, M.H.A., et al. "The thermochemistry library Thermochimica", Computational Materials Science, 67 (2013): 266-272.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Mu2e experiment: Simulation of the Production Target

The Mu2e experiment will search for coherent, neutrinoless conversion of muons to elections in an aluminum stopping target. A simulation program is used to experiment and design the production target of the Mu2e experiment. The module uses programing languages and libraries to work. The program called the Offline uses C++ as the programing language in the module. To construct the simulation, the Geant4 library constructs shapes and uses them in the simulation program, ROOT. The offline program simplifies the creation of the tube by organizing them into parameter objects and nesting them with other variables required to construct the tube-like center point, material, or if it is allowed to conflict with other solids. The parameter varies for every solid tube. The geometry file uploads the parameters by declaring and organizing the parameters in C++ using the configuration tools. The author describes the development and the future of this project.

Szewczyk, Albert↗

Multiphysics Time-Integration for Turbulent Combustion at the Exascale

Turbulent reacting flow systems are often modeled with coupled time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs). Solving such equations can easily tax the world's largest supercomputers. One pragmatic strategy for attacking such problems is to split the PDEs into components that can more easily be solved in isolation. This generic operator-splitting strategy leads to a set of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) that need to be solved as part of an "outer-loop" time-stepping approach. In many combustion applications, the ODEs to be solved can be very stiff, exhibiting timescales that span many orders of magnitude. The SUNDIALS library provides a plethora of robust time integration algorithms for solving these ODEs on exascale-capable computing hardware, yet for many complex applications (such multicomponent fuels or emissions predictions), the chemical models remain too complex to solve using reasonable resources. The Quasi-Steady State Approximation (QSSA) can be an effective tool for reducing the size and stiffness of the simulations. In this talk, I will discuss the use of the SUDIALS library of ODE solvers together with automatic code generation tools to solve complex turbulent reacting flow problems using QSSA models.

chemistry↗

Modeling and Validation of a Residential Multi-Functional Variable Refrigerant Flow Heat Pump System with Heat Recovery

To bridge the existing gap in modeling the variable refrigerant flow heat pump systems with heat recovery (VRFHR), we developed a suite of dynamic VRFHR system models in Modelica. These models are specifically tailored for residential multi-functional VRFHR (MF-VRFHR) applications, including space conditioning and domestic hot water (DHW) heating, utilizing both the TIL library for HVAC equipment and the Buildings library for thermal load calculations. The development comprises essential component models, including the newly developed heat recovery unit (HRU), along with system models that integrate the heat pump system and building envelope. These system models accommodate various operational modes such as heating-only, cooling-only, and heating-recovery (including heating-dominant and cooling-dominant) modes. Furthermore, we propose an efficient optimization-based model calibration method that identifies critical model parameters while utilizing a small amount of data obtained from either real systems or manufacturer's specifications. We demonstrate the effectiveness of these models and the proposed calibration method for a MF-VRFHR system installed in Richland, WA. The developed models are calibrated and validated using data collected under different operational modes during both heating and cooling seasons. The results show that the models capture the system dynamics and achieve high accuracy, with the coefficient of the variation of the root-mean-square-error less than 15% for variables such as outdoor unit power consumption, compressor speed, space temperature and DHW temperature. The validated models serve as a reliable representation of the MF-VRFHR system, facilitating the development and validation of optimized controls needed to realize the full benefits of integrated heat pump systems. Future research will utilize these models to develop advanced controls and optimize system performance for improved energy efficiency and demand flexibility.

Modeling, Variable refrigerant flow (VRF) systems,↗

Developing a Nuclear Quality Assurance Compliant Design Methodology for Neutronic Analysis of Xe-100 Design

The primary objective of this work is to develop a design methodology compliant with nuclear quality assurance standards for the Xe-100 neutronic design verification studies. To achieve this, a Monte Carlo model of the Xe-100 reactor was constructed using the exclusion principle, transformation technique, and universe-based level specification following Idaho National Laboratory (INL) NQA level-1 compliant standards and an NQA-1 compliant version of MCNP6. The model encompasses the entire reactor core structures, including the upper plenum, core region, and lower plenum sections, along with all sub-components. The active core section was represented using the spectral regions, each comprising a particular fuel composition and temperature averaged over the considered zone, calculated by X-energy using Very Superior Old Programs (VSOP). Additionally, a component-wise temperature map was implemented into the model, not only for the core region but also for the structural components. Temperature-dependent cross-section libraries, along with thermal scattering law libraries, generated using INL NQA-1 compliant version of NJOY21, were utilized for each isotope in the burnt fuel and the structural materials. Furthermore, the volume of each modeled component was estimated using a stochastic approach with the ray tracing method in MCNP and criticality calculations were performed.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Decarbonizing Industrial Heat and Electricity Applications Using Advanced Nuclear Energy

Idaho National Laboratory (INL) is investigating the technical pathways to assist industrial heat and electricity users to meet their decarbonization goals through integration with advanced nuclear power plants (NPPs). This project will deliver a library of process models and accompanying documents that guide specific industries in choosing potential nuclear technologies based on their needs. Considerations in providing this guidance include specific hazards from the industrial facility, heat transport requirements and associated technologies, and feasibility with site-specific demand profiles. The library of facility process models will be based on real data from industrial facilities in the United States. The industrial processes will be identified in this project based on the following: (1) operational heat characteristics that nuclear systems can provide, (2) sufficient energy requirements to merit the capital investment for nuclear plant construction, and (3) environmental benefits of replacing existing energy production with carbon-free nuclear power. Other decarbonization opportunities considered are the addition of nuclear-powered electrolysis processes or high-temperature electric heating where the thermal requirements exceed nuclear generation conditions. In addition to assessing the technical feasibility, INL is evaluating the impact of hazards introduced by the industrial facilities on the siting requirements of advanced NPPs. Site characterization of an industrial plant is essential to determine the feasibility and suitable integration methods for each industry. The assessment of siting and technical data will reveal opportunities for a single-use nuclear integration as well as integration of multiple industrial facilities with a single NPP.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Unsupervised Clustering and Supervised Regression Learning to Select High Temperature Oxidation-Resistant Materials

High temperature oxidation and corrosion degradation mechanisms dictate the lifetime of materials critical to energy production. The combination of modeling and experimental approaches such as machine learning (ML) and data analytics, with sufficient experimental data, can accelerate the development of new materials while limiting its cost. In the present work, ML will be applied to two high temperature oxidation data libraries (Oak Ridge National Laboratory and National Air and Space Administration) that comprised of about 5000 mass change sample datasheets for a variety of materials and temperatures in dry air and air + 10 % H2O. A python code was developed to prepare the data for machine learning by collecting and formatting oxidation rate constants, alloy compositions and environment of exposure into a single data frame. Scikit-learn library and Statistics and Machine Learning Toolbox within MathWorks were then used to perform unsupervised clustering and supervised regression learning. The impact of dataset distribution on the performance of the developed ML models was evaluated. Potential strategies to improve the predictions and enhance extrapolative capability of the previously trained model were investigated.

Romedenne, Marie [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000317936561)↗

$\mathcal{R}$ -matrix analysis of η + nat Cl reactions relevant to molten-salt reactor designs [Abstract]

Performed with support from the U.S. Nuclear Criticality Safety Program in an effort to provide improved chlorine cross section and corresponding covariance data, the R-matrix analysis of neutron induced reactions for two stable chlorine isotopes, 35,37 Cl, was performed in the energy range of thermal up to 1.2 MeV. Starting from the repository of the ENDF/B-VIII.0 library and following recent measurement campaigns, this work represents a significant improvement in the evaluation of the ( η , p ) reaction channel. The evaluation methodology uses the $\mathcal{R}$ -matrix code SAMMY to generate a set of Reich-Moore resonance parameters. As predicted by recently measured 35 Cl( η , p ) data, the presented evaluation features a dramatic increase in the magnitude of the ( η , p ) reaction channel over the ENDF/B-VIII.0 and previous nuclear data ENDF/B released libraries. Together with details of the evaluation procedure, the impact of the updates in the outgoing proton emissions on reactivity coefficients for different molten-salt reactor designs is presented and discussed.

charged-particle↗

Reduce-Order Modeling of Multigroup Neutron Cross Sections for High-Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors

Deterministic neutronics calculations rely on multigroup neutron cross section libraries, which usually consists of a database of tabulated values, used to calculate the cross sections through multivariate linear interpolation. However, interpolation of the multidimensional cross section data becomes memory inefficient and time consuming as the number of tabulations increases, significantly slowing down the neutronics calculation, especially in the case of micro cross section libraries where every isotope (on the order of hundreds) has its own set of specific reactions and cross sections. To address this challenge, this work constructs efficient and robust reduced-order models (ROMs) of the multi-group cross sections to support the Griffin simulation of high-temperature gas-cooled reactors (HTGRs). The first part of the study investigates the linearity of the multi-group cross section data across isotopes, reaction types and energy groups on pre-generated datasets for the purpose of dimensionality reduction. Secondly, a down-selection of ROM techniques is presented on representative classical machine learning (ML) techniques, including variants of linear regression, kernel-based methods, tree-based algorithms, and artificial neural networks. The selection criteria jointly consider the memory efficiency, predictive accuracy, prediction speed, and scalability in comparison to the multidimensional interpolation. Among all the ML techniques, deep neural networks (DNNs) have proven to be the best selection with sufficient accuracy, high robustness, good memory efficiency, great scalability, and superior flexibility. DNNs for have been trained for all isotopes in this work and systematic Griffin testing is ongoing at this moment to ensure the feasibility of this ROM technique for cross section predictions.

42 - ENGINEERING↗

Reduced-Order Modeling of Multigroup Neutron Cross Sections for High-Temperature Gas-cooled Reactors

Abstract – Deterministic neutronics calculations rely on multigroup neutron cross section libraries, which consist of databases of tabulated values, used to calculate the neutron cross sections through multivariate linear interpolation. However, interpolation of the multidimensional cross section data becomes memory inefficient and time consuming as the number of tabulations increases, significantly slowing down the neutronics calculation, especially in the case of microscopic cross section libraries where every isotope (on the order of hundreds) has its own set of specific reactions and cross sections. In order to address this challenge, this work constructs efficient and robust reduced-order models (ROMs) of the multi-group cross sections to support the Griffin simulation of high-temperature gas-cooled reactors (HTGRs). The first part of the study investigates the linearity of the multigroup cross section data across isotopes, reaction types, and energy groups on pre-generated datasets for the purpose of dimensionality reduction. Secondly, a down-selection of ROM techniques is presented on representative classical machine learning (ML) techniques, including variants of linear regression, kernel-based methods, tree-based algorithms, and artificial neural networks. The selection criteria jointly consider the memory efficiency, predictive accuracy, prediction speed, and scalability in comparison to the multidimensional interpolation. Among all the ML techniques, deep neural networks (DNNs) have proven to be the best selection with sufficient accuracy, high robustness, good memory efficiency, great scalability, and superior flexibility. DNNs have been trained for all isotopes in this work and systematic Griffin testing is ongoing to ensure the feasibility of this ROM technique for predicting cross section and reducing memory requirements without a significant sacrifice in computational performance.

42 - ENGINEERING↗

Surrogate-driven Variance-based Sensitivity Analysis of Thermal Storage Tanks in Integrated Energy Systems

Sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification are essential steps for enhancing the accuracy of computational models by identifying and mitigating uncertainties. This study focuses on these steps for the Thermal Energy Delivery System at Idaho National Laboratory, specifically targeting the thermocline tank. Using a Modelica/Dymola simulation model, the study perturbed various design parameters and boundary conditions, including shape factor, porosity, outlet temperature, inlet mass flow rate, and system pressure, to predict and quantify uncertainty in the tank’s ax- ial temperature. A dataset of over 1,000 simulations was generated, and surrogate models were developed using the pyMAISE (Michigan Artificial Intelligence Standard Environment) library, which is an Automatic Machine Learning library for nuclear engineering applications. The optimal model, a feedforward neural network with two hidden layers, achieved an R2 score above 0.99 and a mean absolute error below 1 Kelvin. Sensitivity analyses using Sobol indices and Fourier amplitude sensitivity testing methods on this surrogate model revealed that the inlet mass flow rate at initial timestamps and porosity significantly impacts predicted temperatures across all sensors and time steps.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Huntsman

SAND2021-15137 O The Huntsman library includes two main components: WebComms, which enhances Apache's HTTP Client by providing commonly needed capabilities in this domain to simplify web access as well as TwitterComms, which provides enhancements to the Twitter4J library for Twitter access. Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525.

Ridgway, Elliott↗

Next-generation yeast-two-hybrid analysis with Y2H-SCORES identifies novel interactors of the MLA immune receptor

Protein-protein interaction networks are one of the most effective representations of cellular behavior. In order to build these models, high-throughput techniques are required. Next-generation interaction screening (NGIS) protocols that combine yeast two-hybrid (Y2H) with deep sequencing are promising approaches to generate interactome networks in any organism. However, challenges remain to mining reliable information from these screens and thus, limit its broader implementation. Here, we present a computational framework, designated Y2H-SCORES, for analyzing high-throughput Y2H screens. Y2H-SCORES considers key aspects of NGIS experimental design and important characteristics of the resulting data that distinguish it from RNA-seq expression datasets. Three quantitative ranking scores were implemented to identify interacting partners, comprising: 1) significant enrichment under selection for positive interactions, 2) degree of interaction specificity among multi-bait comparisons, and 3) selection of in-frame interactors. Using simulation and an empirical dataset, we provide a quantitative assessment to predict interacting partners under a wide range of experimental scenarios, facilitating independent confirmation by one-to-one bait-prey tests. Simulation of Y2H-NGIS enabled us to identify conditions that maximize detection of true interactors, which can be achieved with protocols such as prey library normalization, maintenance of larger culture volumes and replication of experimental treatments. Y2H-SCORES can be implemented in different yeast-based interaction screenings, with an equivalent or superior performance than existing methods. Proof-of-concept was demonstrated by discovery and validation of novel interactions between the barley nucleotide-binding leucine-rich repeat (NLR) immune receptor MLA6, and fourteen proteins, including those that function in signaling, transcriptional regulation, and intracellular trafficking.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Results from the fifth galaxy serpent exercise

Galaxy Serpent is an ongoing series of virtual, web-based international tabletop exercises designed to advance the application of National Nuclear Forensics Libraries (NNFLs) in investigations involving nuclear and other radioactive material found out of regulatory control. Here, this iteration emphasized interactions between scientific teams and mock investigative entities. Participants utilized their provided NNFLs to assess material consistency with a provided database of holdings, assign confidence levels, and identify key characteristics relevant to investigative queries. The exercise highlighted both challenges encountered and lessons learned, and advanced best practices for integrating a NNFL into nuclear forensics as part of an investigation.

Database↗

Cumulative fission yields of short-lived fission products from 235 U and 239 Pu measured by HPGe gamma-ray spectroscopy

In this study, we present a preliminary investigation focused on determining cumulative fission yields for short-lived fission products. Our analysis involves examining gamma spectra from the irradiated samples of 235 U and 239 Pu using the High Flux Isotope Reactor. The motivation stems from the observed discrepancy in the antineutrino energy spectrum within the range of 5 to 7 MeV. While several hypotheses have been proposed, a thorough analysis of fission yields provides an additional way of gaining insight into this unexplained phenomenon. Our study suggests that the measured gamma rays from 100 Nb, 140 Cs and 95 Sr are consistent with the expected values. However, 93 Rb, 96 Y, 97 Y and 142 Cs cannot be quantified due to insufficient statistics, interference from other gamma rays and the Compton scattering background. Additionally, the calculated cumulative fission yields based on the measured 140 Cs and 95 Sr are found to be consistent with the JEFF3.3 fission yield library. In conclusion, the present work shows that the potential of improving gamma-ray spectroscopy in the fission yields as a means to improve our understanding of the antineutrino spectrum.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Active Learning Guided Computational Discovery of Plant-Based Redoxmers for Organic Nonaqueous Redox Flow Batteries

Organic nonaqueous redox flow batteries (ONRFBs) are promising energy storage devices due to their scalability and reliance on sourceable materials. However, finding suitable redox-active organic molecules (redoxmers) for these batteries remains a challenge. Using plant-based compounds as precursors for these redoxmers can decrease their costs and environmental toxicity. In this computational study, flavonoid molecules have been examined as potential redoxmers for ONRFBs. Flavone and isoflavone derivatives were selected as catholyte (positive charge carrier) and anolyte (negative charge carrier) molecules, respectively. To drive their redox potentials to the opposite extremes, in silico derivatization was performed using a novel algorithm to generate a library of > 40000 candidate molecules that penalizes overly complex structures. A multiobjective Bayesian optimization based active learning algorithm was then used to identify best redoxmer candidates in these search spaces. Furthermore, our study provides methodologies for molecular design and optimization of natural scaffolds and highlights the need of incorporating expert chemistry awareness of the natural products and the basic rules of synthetic chemistry in machine learning.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗