Results for “Awards” — Page 99

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Process Development and Testing for Lunar Habitats

Non-metallic composites are appealing for Lunar habitats due to their low specific weight and contribution to passive radiation shielding. This application of composite materials presents notable challenges, however: flammability risks are higher due to elevated oxygen levels expected in habitat structures and absorbed radiation can cause damage long-term. The Materials and Processes Laboratory at Marshall Space Flight Center awarded funding for an internal research and development study which included fabrication and testing of composite materials for Lunar habitats. Composite layups used carbon fiber or ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene reinforcement and a variety of polymer matrices. Pre-impregnated fabric was autoclave cured; however, novel coatings were incorporated during select layups. Samples from each panel were used for screening-level flammability testing (ASTM D 2863) and combined vacuum ultraviolet and electron irradiation followed by tension testing (ASTM D5766). Two of the tested composite materials exceeded a 37% limiting oxygen index. Material property degradation for a 10 year simulated radiation dose was minimal in most cases.

manufacturing↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

NASA's Small Spacecraft and Distributed Systems: Development and Demonstration of Technologies Enabling Swarms and New Spacecraft Platforms with AI and Edge Computing

NASA’s Small Spacecraft & Distributed Systems (SSDS) within the Research and Technology Mission Directorate (RTMD) expands U.S. capability to execute unique missions through targeted investment, rapid development, and flight demonstration of small spacecraft technologies applicable to exploration, science and the commercial space sector. SSDS strategically invests in technology development and on-orbit demonstrations executed across NASA, other government agencies, industry, and academia. The program’s University SmallSat Technology Partnerships initiative awards academic researchers with the opportunity to collaborate with NASA to mature innovative technology. Capabilities aligned with RTMD’s technology shortfalls and interests - power, processing, propulsion, sensors, communications, autonomous navigation, architectures, and advanced applications like artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, and edge computing - are prioritized in SSDS investments. These investments enable distributed, autonomous, and cooperative small spacecraft systems that support swarm missions extending beyond low Earth orbit into cislunar and deep space. This paper highlights representative SSDS flight demonstrations that mature these capabilities to enable a future operational infrastructure needed to support sustained exploration of the Moon and beyond. SSDS’s investment strategy emphasizes rapid development and on-orbit demonstration to validate spacecraft technologies required for swarms and distributed mission architectures. The Starling swarm technology demonstration mission exemplifies this approach by advancing distributed spacecraft autonomy, cooperative operations, and space situational awareness. Extended flight testing and ongoing studies of next generation swarm configurations and on-orbit space traffic monitoring and management continue to inform future swarm designs. DiskSat’s four-spacecraft demonstration mission represents SSDS’s strategic vision to expand the design space for future small spacecraft through its commitment to advance novel platform concepts that can impact how science is performed on orbit. Continuing to invest in future platforms, the notional PY12 concept is a 12-spacecraft swarm hosting neuromorphic processors and is envisioned as an on-orbit testbed for AI, edge computing, and positioning, navigation and timing technologies. SSDS also invests in single-spacecraft technology demonstrations that underpin the success of future swarm missions and accelerate the availability of validated technologies across the small spacecraft ecosystem. Examples of such demonstrations include Pathfinder Technology Demonstrator-3 (PTD-3), which performed high-rate optical communications; PTD-R, which demonstrated a camera capable of simultaneous ultraviolet and short-wave infrared optical sensing; and CAPSTONE, the Cislunar Autonomous Positioning System Technology and Operations Navigation Experiment, which validated autonomous navigation in cislunar space. Collectively, SSDS-funded demonstrations advance capabilities across swarms and illustrate a coordinated investment strategy to mature high-impact technologies required for autonomous, distributed, and cooperative small spacecraft systems for low Earth orbit, cislunar, and deep space applications. Technology demonstrations strengthen SSDS partnerships with industry, academia, and other government agencies, and promote small spacecraft community adoption of capabilities required to close technical gaps for swarm missions.

Jan Stupl↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

STABLE Study for the Habitable Worlds Observatory

We report on progress on the STABLE study, which was awarded on the NASA 2023 ROSES D.19 opportunity. In the study, we are developing technologies for the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO) in four areas: Micrometeoroid Impact Mitigation, Telescope Temperature Control, Ultra-Stable Telescope Structure Materials and Modeling, and Improvement of Thermal Expansion Test Capability. This study is a collaboration between Northrop Grumman, Kratos, NeXolve, JPL, STScI, NASA’s White Sands Test Facility, and NASA Goddard’s Ultra-Stable Test Facility. We will also discuss our plans for our follow-on study as part of NASA’s 2024 ROSES D.19. In this study, we will address additional technologies as well as perform analysis of HWO architecture options.

Habitable Worlds Observatory↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

NASA's Small Spacecraft and Distributed Systems: Development and Demonstration of Technologies Enabling Swarms and New Spacecraft Platforms with AI and Edge Computing

NASA’s Small Spacecraft & Distributed Systems (SSDS) within the Research and Technology Mission Directorate (RTMD) expands U.S. capability to execute unique missions through targeted investment, rapid development, and flight demonstration of small spacecraft technologies applicable to exploration, science and the commercial space sector. SSDS strategically invests in technology development and on-orbit demonstrations executed across NASA, other government agencies, industry, and academia. The program’s University SmallSat Technology Partnerships initiative awards academic researchers with the opportunity to collaborate with NASA to mature innovative technology. Capabilities aligned with RTMD’s technology shortfalls and interests - power, processing, propulsion, sensors, communications, autonomous navigation, architectures, and advanced applications like artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, and edge computing - are prioritized in SSDS investments. These investments enable distributed, autonomous, and cooperative small spacecraft systems that support swarm missions extending beyond low Earth orbit into cislunar and deep space. This paper highlights representative SSDS flight demonstrations that mature these capabilities to enable a future operational infrastructure needed to support sustained exploration of the Moon and beyond. SSDS’s investment strategy emphasizes rapid development and on-orbit demonstration to validate spacecraft technologies required for swarms and distributed mission architectures. The Starling swarm technology demonstration mission exemplifies this approach by advancing distributed spacecraft autonomy, cooperative operations, and space situational awareness. Extended flight testing and ongoing studies of next generation swarm configurations and on-orbit space traffic monitoring and management continue to inform future swarm designs. DiskSat’s four-spacecraft demonstration mission represents SSDS’s strategic vision to expand the design space for future small spacecraft through its commitment to advance novel platform concepts that can impact how science is performed on orbit. Continuing to invest in future platforms, the notional PY12 concept is a 12-spacecraft swarm hosting neuromorphic processors and is envisioned as an on-orbit testbed for AI, edge computing, and positioning, navigation and timing technologies. SSDS also invests in single-spacecraft technology demonstrations that underpin the success of future swarm missions and accelerate the availability of validated technologies across the small spacecraft ecosystem. Examples of such demonstrations include Pathfinder Technology Demonstrator-3 (PTD-3), which performed high-rate optical communications; PTD-R, which demonstrated a camera capable of simultaneous ultraviolet and short-wave infrared optical sensing; and CAPSTONE, the Cislunar Autonomous Positioning System Technology and Operations Navigation Experiment, which validated autonomous navigation in cislunar space. Collectively, SSDS-funded demonstrations advance capabilities across swarms and illustrate a coordinated investment strategy to mature high-impact technologies required for autonomous, distributed, and cooperative small spacecraft systems for low Earth orbit, cislunar, and deep space applications. Technology demonstrations strengthen SSDS partnerships with industry, academia, and other government agencies, and promote small spacecraft community adoption of capabilities required to close technical gaps for swarm missions.

Jan Stupl↗

DOE OSTI2020

Update on the United States Advanced Ultra-Supercritical Program with Full Scale Component Fabrication to Develop Utility Scale Power Plants with 760°C Steam Temperature

Following the successful completion of a 15-year effort to develop and test materials that would allow coal-fired power plants to be operated at advanced ultra-supercritical (A-USC) steam conditions, a United States-based consortium is presently engaged in Phase 2 of a project which includes an advanced manufacturing effort to complete US-based supply chain development for full commercial scale (800-850 MWe) A-USC components made of nickel-based alloys, components operating at up to 760°C. The project, funded under U.S. Department of Energy Award No. DE-FE0025064, falls under the US DOE overall goal to Develop cost-effective, reliable technologies to improve the efficiency of new and existing coal-fired power plants. A-USC steam cycles have the potential to improve cycle efficiency, reduce fuel costs, and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Current development and demonstration efforts are focused on enabling the construction of A-USC plants, operating with steam temperatures as high as 1400°F (760°C) and steam pressures up to 5000 psi (35 MPa), which can potentially increase cycle efficiencies to 47% HHV (higher heating value), or approximately 50% LHV (lower heating value), and reduce CO 2 emissions by roughly 25%, compared to today’s U.S. fleet. A-USC technology provides a lower-cost method to reduce CO 2 emissions, compared to CO 2 capture technologies, while retaining a viable coal option for owners of coal generation assets. Among the specific goals of Phase 2 of the ComTest Project are to: validate that components made from advanced nickel-based alloys can operate and perform under A-USC conditions accelerate the development of a U.S.-based supply chain for the full complement of A-USC components close the remaining gaps and reduce the risks for manufacturing components from advanced materials for commercial demonstration fabricate full-scale versions of selected key components made of nickel-based alloys validate a qualified U.S. supply chain, to provide greater cost certainty for components obtain American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) code approval for new materials, components and processes Additional benefit: Manufacturing technology will be applicable to other advanced fossil energy high temperature cycles, and can support increased flexibility of existing power plants The ComTest project is managed by Energy Industries of Ohio, and technically directed by the Electric Power Research Institute, Inc., with General Electric designing the A-USC components. As stated earlier, the current phase of the effort is primarily funded by the U.S. Department of Energy, through the National Energy Technology Laboratory. This presentation outlines the motivation for the project, explains the project’s structure and schedule, and provides some of the technical details on the design of the ComTest components.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

DOE OSTI2020

Update on the United States Advanced Ultra-Supercritical Program with Full Scale Component Fabrication to Develop Utility Scale Power Plants with 760°C Steam Temperature

Following the successful completion of a 15-year effort to develop and test materials that would allow coal-fired power plants to be operated at advanced ultra-supercritical (A-USC) steam conditions, a United States-based consortium is presently engaged in Phase 2 of a project which includes an advanced manufacturing effort to complete US-based supply chain development for full commercial scale (800-850 MWe) A-USC components made of nickel-based alloys, components operating at up to 760°C. The project, funded under U.S. Department of Energy Award No. DE-FE0025064, falls under the US DOE overall goal to Develop cost-effective, reliable technologies to improve the efficiency of new and existing coal-fired power plants. A-USC steam cycles have the potential to improve cycle efficiency, reduce fuel costs, and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Current development and demonstration efforts are focused on enabling the construction of A-USC plants, operating with steam temperatures as high as 1400°F (760°C) and steam pressures up to 5000 psi (35 MPa), which can potentially increase cycle efficiencies to 47% HHV (higher heating value), or approximately 50% LHV (lower heating value), and reduce CO 2 emissions by roughly 25%, compared to today’s U.S. fleet. A-USC technology provides a lower-cost method to reduce CO 2 emissions, compared to CO 2 capture technologies, while retaining a viable coal option for owners of coal generation assets. Among the specific goals of Phase 2 of the ComTest Project are to: validate that components made from advanced nickel-based alloys can operate and perform under A-USC conditions accelerate the development of a U.S.-based supply chain for the full complement of A-USC components close the remaining gaps and reduce the risks for manufacturing components from advanced materials for commercial demonstration fabricate full-scale versions of selected key components made of nickel-based alloys validate a qualified U.S. supply chain, to provide greater cost certainty for components obtain American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) code approval for new materials, components and processes Additional benefit: Manufacturing technology will be applicable to other advanced fossil energy high temperature cycles, and can support increased flexibility of existing power plants The ComTest project is managed by Energy Industries of Ohio, and technically directed by the Electric Power Research Institute, Inc., with General Electric designing the A-USC components. As stated earlier, the current phase of the effort is primarily funded by the U.S. Department of Energy, through the National Energy Technology Laboratory. This presentation outlines the motivation for the project, explains the project’s structure and schedule, and provides some of the technical details on the design of the ComTest components.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗

DOE OSTI2020

Competitiveness Improvement Project Informational Workshop

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) is hosted an in-person workshop and webinar for the distributed wind Competitiveness Improvement Project (CIP) on Tuesday, December 17, 2019, at NREL's Flatirons Campus. The CIP is a periodic solicitation issued by NREL on behalf of the U.S. Department of Energy's Wind Energy Technologies Office. Through a competitive process, component suppliers and manufacturers of small- to medium-sized wind turbine technology are awarded cost-shared subcontracts to optimize their designs, develop advanced manufacturing processes, and perform turbine testing. The CIP aims to make wind energy cost competitive with other distributed generation technologies and increase the number of wind turbine designs certified to national performance and safety standards.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Final Technical Report for the SciDAC Center for the Study of Plasma Microturbulence

This final technical report for the SciDAC Center for the Study of Plasma Microturbulence documents contributions from MIT to the project over the period of the award (February 15, 2011 to February 14, 2020). This project focused on the development of neoclassical and gyrokinetic simulation capabilities relevant for the description of particle, momentum and energy transport in tokamak fusion plasmas. Extensive validation against experimental results from Alcator C-Mod and DIII-D experiments was performed. Overall areas of emphasis included gyrokinetic simulations, experiments, and observation of density gradient driven Trapped Electron Mode (TEM) turbulence relevant to burning plasmas; theory and gyrokinetic simulations of the parametric variation of the nonlinear upshift of the TEM critical density gradient; identification of a new mechanism for the isotope effect due to density gradient driven TEM turbulence; new synthetic diagnostics based on full-wave simulations which enabled unprecedented agreement between gyrokinetic simulations and measured fluctuation spectra with and without strong electron heating; development of new continuum pedestal neoclassical and turbulence codes; formulation and implementation of the first gyrokinetic exact Fokker-Planck collision operator in gyrokinetic turbulence simulations; development of new spectral approaches in velocity space for highly efficient treatments of collisions; new model collision operators implemented in the discontinuous Galerkin gyrokinetic edge turbulence code GKEYLL; and a new model and spectral code to study the interaction of ion- and electron-scale turbulence, which will serve as an efficient test-bed for multi-rate and multi-scale methods. These fundamental advances contribute to the development of a validated, predictive capability for turbulent and collisional particle, momentum and energy transport in both the core and edge of magnetically confined fusion plasmas.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Mentor Protégé Program Brochure

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Mentor Protégé Program is designed to help small businesses obtain mentoring from DOE prime contractors. The program is meant to foster long-term business relationships between small businesses and DOE prime contractors while increasing the overall number of small business entities that receive DOE contract and subcontract awards.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

HTGR Simulation Methods & International Collaborations

ART-GCR “Methods” activity is split between Experimental Validation data from the ANL NSTF and OSU HTTF (next three presentations). HTGR core simulation (this presentation). International collaboration within OECD Generation-IV (Gen-IV) and USA/Japan bi-lateral agreements (this presentation) HTGR Simulation Methods No new NE-52 funding for HTGR Methods support in FY20; ~$200K FY19 carry-over funds only. Consists of international code-to-code benchmarks (IAEA CRP on HTGR UAM and OECD/NEA MHTGR-350) and refinement of a few-group Pebble Bed Reactor (PBR) cross section (XS) generation methodology. Funding will be requested in FY21 to produce the final reports for the two benchmarks and continue the development of the PBR XS generation methodology. Additional (non-ART) HTGR-related support work at INL NEAMS: HTR-Application work package at INL Create a benchmark for the pebble shuffling and depletion algorithms being developed for NEAMS Griffin code. iFOA award with X-Energy: Develop independent Monte Carlo model of Xe-100 design. Independent design confirmatory analysis of Xe-100 design using NEAMS tools Griffin and Pronghorn. Support X-Energy design team to use their own legacy design tools (VSOP99 and MGT). Support NEAMS Griffin and Pronghorn development team for the iFOA needs (received $50K additional funding for required development).

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2021

Alvin Tollestrup (1924-2020): A Life in Science

Alvin Tollestrup was a physicist and engineer of uncommon insight, intuition, and ingenuity who was revered in life for his essential leadership in the development of superconducting magnets for high-energy accelerators. He exhibited a matchless mastery of what he called freshman physics — though his mastery hardly ended there — and an uncanny gift for joining careful measurements with transparent calculations to reveal the essence of a subject. To watch Alvin at work was to learn how a true scientist formulates and solves a problem. He had other gifts: a nose for significant problems in both science and technology, the ability to draw talented people to an important cause, and a mentor's instinct for spotting gifted junior colleagues and helping them to mature as engineers and scientists. He was also good company! Alvin brought his keen vision about what constitutes important science, along with powerful ambition for the institution and for fundamental science, to considerat ions about Fermilab's future. His questions were uniformly probing, his opinions unfailingly interesting, and his appetite for work consistently inspiring. Among Alvin's many contributions to experimental particle physics — in a career that spanned seven decades — the rich achievements of the Collider Detector at Fermilab Collaboration, of which he was a founder and an enduring leader, stand out. The discovery of the top quark in 1995 earned worldwide acclaim. He reaped individual accolades as well, including election to the National Academy of Sciences. The National Medal of Technology, conferred in 1989, recognized Alvin’s leading role in developing superconducting magnets for Fermilab's Tevatron. Universities Research Association created the Tollestrup Award for Postdoctoral Research, commemorating Alvin's avuncular support for young scientists. This volume celebrates Alvin Tollestrup’s career and the rich, fulfilling life he led beyond the laboratory. Contributions from colleagues and family illuminate many facets of this remarka! ble figure. May old friends savor the memory of the Alvin they knew, while discovering less-familiar parts of his history; and may readers who did not have the opportunity to know Alvin firsthand find inspiration in his exemplary life in science.

Palmer, Mark↗

DOE OSTI2021

PRECISE™ PREconfiguring and Controlling Inverter SEt-points: A Solution for Easy Solar Integration

PRECISE™ is a software solution for preconfiguring solar inverter settings. It can be used by utilities and system operators to efficiently process new inverter applications at much less the time and effort, and with greater precision for settings that optimize stability and energy savings. PRECISE has received an R&D 100 award, and has been used to dramatically cut wait times and labor costs for new residential solar installations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Working with small businesses

Fermilab is committed to purchase goods and services from small businesses. In fiscal year 2020, Fermilab awarded almost $56 million in contracts to small businesses.

Fermilab↗

DOE OSTI2021

BETO 2021 Peer Review - Catalytic Upgrading of Biochemical Intermediates (CUBI) 2.3.1.101-104

The Catalytic Upgrading of Biochemical Intermediates (CUBI) project is a multi-lab effort within ChemCatBio (CCB) that is focused on improving the catalytic upgrading of intermediates from biochemical deconstruction and/or biological conversion (i.e. fermentation) to fuels and chemical co-products. This is accomplished by developing catalysts with improved performance and durability, mitigating the impact of biogenically-derived inhibitors (including water), and evaluating intensified processes to reduce separations requirements and improve carbon utilization. Specific catalytic upgrading routes being developed are: 1) fermentation-derived 2,3-butanediol (BDO); 2) fermentation-derived carboxylic acids; and 3) lignocellulosic sugar-derived furfurals. These routes represent key technology pathways being investigated within BETO's biochemical conversion portfolio. By utilizing experimental and characterization capabilities and modeling tools across the 4 CUBI labs and collaborations with CCB Enabling Projects, the CUBI project is advancing catalytic upgrading process performance and robustness. Its impact is already well-established by several high-impact journal articles and patent publications, along with industrial engagement in related, competitively-awarded collaborations. The CUBI project will result in >25% MFSP cost reduction in the catalytic upgrading section of integrated biochemical conversion routes, as quantified by ongoing TEA modeling.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Impact of sub-core scale heterogeneity on CO2/brine multiphase flow for geological carbon storage in the Minnelusa sandstone

CO2 geological storage in deep saline aquifers is a mitigation option for CO2 emissions due to its large storage capacity and immediate accessibility. Accurately determining the CO2-brine relative permeability curves is key to the evaluation of CO2 injectivity and sweep efficiency in reservoir simulation as well as the CO2 injection in the field. This study highlights the remarkable effects of sub-core scale heterogeneity on the CO2-brine multiphase flow properties of the Minnelusa Sandstone in Wyoming. Two unsteady state CO2-brine drainage experiments were performed on the two samples. The first sample exhibits slanted laminated structure, while the second one represents a more homogeneous sandstone system. The CO2 saturation distributions during drainage reveals that the main variation in multiphase flow properties of two core samples were attributed to the porosity distribution that leads to the capillary pressure heterogeneity. Assisted history matching was used to obtain the respective relative permeability curves, which suggests heterogeneity-dependent behavior. In addition, sensitive and uncertainty analyses indicate that physical and petro-physical properties of low-porosity and low-permeability bedding layers exert marked effects on CO2 front breakthrough time and brine production. The results presented in this study help to gain insight into the CO2-brine multiphase flow properties in heterogeneous sandstones and can pave the way for the upscaling of CO2 migration and field-scale simulation accurately. This work is funded under the Department of Energy CarbonSAFE program (awards DE-FE0031624 DE0031891).

Kou, Zuhao↗

DOE OSTI2021

Sustainable Campus with PEV and Microgrid

Market penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) is gaining momentum, as is the move towards increasingly distributed, clean and renewable electricity sources. EV charging shifts a significant portion of transportation energy use onto building electricity meters. Hence, integration strategies for energy-efficiency in buildings and transport sectors are of increasing importance. This paper focuses on a portion of that integration: the analysis of an optimal interaction of EVs with a building-serving transformer, and coupling it to a microgrid that includes PV, a fuel cell and a natural gas micro-turbine. The test-case is the Nanyang Technological University (NTU), Singapore campus. The system under study is the Laboratory of Clean Energy Research (LaCER) Lab that houses the award winning Microgrid Energy Management System (MG-EMS) project. The paper analyses three different case scenarios to estimate the number of EVs that can be supported by the building transformer serving LaCER. An approximation of the actual load data collected for the building into different time intervals is performed for a transformer loss of life (LOL) calculation. The additional EV loads that can be supported by the transformer with and without the microgrid are analyzed. The numbers of possible EVs that can be charged at any given time under the three scenarios are also determined. The possibility of using EV fleet at NTU campus to achieve demand response capability and intermittent PV output leveling through vehicle to grid (V2G) technology and building energy management systems is also explored.

Singh, Reshma↗

DOE OSTI2021

ESPC ESA Training Series: Site-Specific/Stand-Alone Contract Vehicle

This webinar provides instructions and resources for financing distributed energy projects (e.g., on–site renewable energy, storage, and combined heat and power) using an energy savings performance contract (ESPC) energy sales agreement (ESA) through the site–specific/stand–alone contract vehicle. The site–specific/stand–alone contract vehicle is a procurement process using a request for proposal (RFP). Topics covered during the webinar include forming a strong project team, validating the feasibility of the distributed energy project at a site, acquisition planning, RFP development, procurement, proposal evaluation and contract award, and the construction and performance period. This webinar also provides an overview of the resources available in the ESPC ESA Toolkit, such as checklists and templates.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

BETO 2021 Peer Review - WBS 4.1.2.32: Bioeconomy Scenario Analysis

The Bioeconomy Scenario Analysis project uses systems thinking and analysis to assess current and/or prospective techno-economics, research and development, deployment strategies, policy, and market conditions and their impact on the potential development trajectories of the bioenergy industry over time. Results from this project include identification of opportunities and constraints to industrial development, quantification of multiple metrics (energy, economic, environmental) and informing researchers, decision makers, and industry of the steps needed for a sustainable, nationwide biofuels industry. Analyses from this project enable the creation of a bioenergy industry by (1) inciting policy-makers to explore scenarios for nationwide biofuels production, identifying policy actions consistent with pathways for growth; (2) improving industry’s understanding of industry growth potential under different technology and investment conditions, better targeting their development efforts; and (3) providing universities and other interested stakeholders with tools and analyses that can be adapted to meet research and teaching objectives, connecting students with careers that build the industry. One of the many modeling tools used in this project, the Biomass Scenario Model (BSM) is a publicly-available, unique, validated, state-of-the-art, award-winning, fourth-generation model of the domestic biofuels supply chain which explicitly focuses on how and under what conditions biofuel technologies might be deployed to contribute to the U.S. transportation energy sector. We use models like the BSM to examine the implications of policies and incentives as well as their potential side-effects. The BSM uses a system-dynamics simulation to model dynamic interactions and transitions across the supply chain; it tracks the deployment of biofuels given industrial learning and the reaction of the investment community in the context of land availability, projected oil markets, consumer demand for biofuels, and government policies over time. Under expected market conditions, analyses using the BSM suggest that the biofuels industry may require significant external actions in the early years to thrive. Interventions that accelerate the industrial learning process (e.g. operation of pre-commercial and commercial facilities) have been identified as having strong influence in starting the growth of a commercial biofuel industry. Policies which are coordinated across the whole supply chain in BSM foster the growth of the biofuels industry and production of tens of billions of gallons of biofuels may occur under sufficiently favorable conditions.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗