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DOE OSTI2021

Dynamic Earthquake Triggering in Southern California in High Resolution: Intensity, Time Decay, and Regional Variability

Abstract Earthquake triggering by seismic waves has been recognized as a phenomenon for nearly 30 years. However, our ability to study dynamic triggering has been limited by our ability to capture the triggering stresses accurately and record the resultant earthquakes. Here we use full waveforms from a dense seismic network and a modern, high‐resolution seismic catalog to measure triggering in Southern California from 2008 to 2017 based on interevent time ratios. We find that the fractional seismicity rate change, which we term triggering intensity or triggerability, as a function of peak strain change for the period of ∼20 s due to distant earthquakes is monotonically increasing and compatible with earlier measurements made with a disjoint data set from 1984 to 2008. A triggering strain of 1 microstrain is equivalent to the local productivity generated by an M 1.8 earthquakes. This result implies that a prediction of seismicity rate changes can be made based on recorded ground shaking using the same formalism as currently used for aftershock prediction. For a teleseismic event, this small level of triggering occurs throughout the region and thus aggregates to a regional effect. We find that the triggering rate decays after the triggerer follows an Omori‐Utsu law, but at a much slower rate than a typical aftershock sequence. The slow decay rate suggests that an ancillary process such as creep or fluid flow must be part of dynamic triggering. The prevalence of triggering in areas of creep or fluid involvement reinforces this inference. A triggering cascade of secondary earthquakes is insufficient to explain the data.

Miyazawa, Masatoshi↗

DOE OSTI2020

Accelerating Radiation Computations for Dynamical Models With Targeted Machine Learning and Code Optimization

Abstract Atmospheric radiation is the main driver of weather and climate, yet due to a complicated absorption spectrum, the precise treatment of radiative transfer in numerical weather and climate models is computationally unfeasible. Radiation parameterizations need to maximize computational efficiency as well as accuracy, and for predicting the future climate many greenhouse gases need to be included. In this work, neural networks (NNs) were developed to replace the gas optics computations in a modern radiation scheme (RTE+RRTMGP) by using carefully constructed models and training data. The NNs, implemented in Fortran and utilizing BLAS for batched inference, are faster by a factor of 1–6, depending on the software and hardware platforms. We combined the accelerated gas optics with a refactored radiative transfer solver, resulting in clear‐sky longwave (shortwave) fluxes being 3.5 (1.8) faster to compute on an Intel platform. The accuracy, evaluated with benchmark line‐by‐line computations across a large range of atmospheric conditions, is very similar to the original scheme with errors in heating rates and top‐of‐atmosphere radiative forcings typically below 0.1 K day −1 and 0.5 W m −2 , respectively. These results show that targeted machine learning, code restructuring techniques, and the use of numerical libraries can yield material gains in efficiency while retaining accuracy.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2020

A neutron recoil-spectrometer for measuring yield and determining liner areal densities at the Z facility

For this study, a proof-of-principle CR-39 based neutron-recoil-spectrometer was built and fielded on the Z facility. Data from this experiment match indium activation yields within a factor of 2 using simplified instrument response function (IRF) models. The data also demonstrates the need for neutron shielding in order to infer liner areal densities. A new shielded design has been developed. The spectrometer is expected to achieve signal-to-background greater than 2 for the down-scattered neutron signal and greater than 30 for the primary signal.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2021

The cosmology dependence of galaxy clustering and lensing from a hybrid N -body–perturbation theory model

ABSTRACT We implement a model for the two-point statistics of biased tracers that combines dark matter dynamics from N-body simulations with an analytic Lagrangian bias expansion. Using Aemulus, a suite of N-body simulations built for emulation of cosmological observables, we emulate the cosmology dependence of these non-linear spectra from redshifts z = 0 to z = 2. We quantify the accuracy of our emulation procedure, which is sub-per cent at $k=1\, h \,{\rm Mpc}^{-1}$ for the redshifts probed by upcoming surveys and improves at higher redshifts. We demonstrate its ability to describe the statistics of complex tracer samples, including those with assembly bias and baryonic effects, reliably fitting the clustering and lensing statistics of such samples at redshift z ≃ 0.4 to scales of $k_{\rm max} \approx 0.6\, h\,\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$. We show that the emulator can be used for unbiased cosmological parameter inference in simulated joint clustering and galaxy–galaxy lensing analyses with data drawn from an independent N-body simulation. These results indicate that our emulator is a promising tool that can be readily applied to the analysis of current and upcoming data sets from galaxy surveys.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Accelerated Probabilistic Marching Cubes by Deep Learning for Time-Varying Scalar Ensembles

Visualizing the uncertainty of ensemble simulations is challenging due to the large size and multivariate and temporal features of en-semble data sets. One popular approach to studying the uncertainty of ensembles is analyzing the positional uncertainty of the level sets. Probabilistic marching cubes is a technique that performs Monte Carlo sampling of multivariate Gaussian noise distributions for positional uncertainty visualization of level sets. However, the technique suffers from high computational time, making interactive visualization and analysis impossible to achieve. This paper introduces a deep-learning-based approach to learning the level-set uncertainty for two-dimensional ensemble data with a multivariate Gaussian noise assumption. We train the model using the first few time steps from time-varying ensemble data in our workflow. We demonstrate that our trained model accurately infers uncertainty in level sets for new time steps and is up to 170X faster than that of the original probabilistic model with serial computation and 10X faster than that of the original parallel computation.

Han, Mengjiao↗

DOE OSTI2024

(U) The Effect of ENDF/B-VIII.1 on Jezebel

The 239 Pu Jezebel critical assembly of 1954-55 was modeled in great detail and reevaluated using ENDF/B-VII.1 cross sections, and a new simplified (homogeneous one-dimensional spherical) benchmark was derived. The new simplified model was similar to that derived by Hansen and Paxton in 1969, but its radius was modified so that its k eff was the average of the C/E’s (where C is the calculated k eff and E is the inferred experimental k eff ) of the four detailed models. When ENDF/B-VIII.0 data were released, a mismatch between the detailed and simplified models was introduced due to changes in the nickel cross sections, because the detailed models contain nickel but the simplified model does not. A revision of the simplified model realigned the detailed and simplified models. ENDF/B-VIII.1 data have now been released. The simplified and detailed Jezebel models have been run using preliminary ENDF/B-VIII.1 ACE files. In Sec. II, it is shown that the detailed and simplified models are still aligned. No revision of the simplified model is called for. These results were computed using MCNP6.3.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

Position Papers for Inverse Methods for Complex Systems under Uncertainty Workshop

The ability to solve inverse problems – inferring unknown parameters, structures, or states of a system from observed data – is essential for advancing scientific discovery and innovation capabilities for the DOE mission. Basic research needs and challenges are particularly acute in emerging areas such as the interactive, data-driven, modeling and simulation of digital twins; decision support for experiments at DOE scientific user facilities; and for other complex systems and workflows. Inverse problems are at the heart of understanding and controlling complex systems due to factors such as observational data with varying modalities and fidelities, inherent uncertainties in physical measurements and numerical models, and the computational demands of rapid and high-fidelity simulations. The convergence of recent scientific computing trends – scientific machine learning, artificial intelligence, and computing advances such as exascale computing – is creating unprecedented opportunities. These advancements offer the potential to revolutionize how we approach inverse problems to extract actionable insights with the required level of accuracy and computational efficiency. This workshop and the Call for Position Papers are vital steps in bringing together experts to collectively explore and identify the new computational and mathematical directions needed in inverse methods for complex systems under uncertainty.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Data for The utility of transfer learning to improve the performance of deep learning in axon segmentation

The utility of transfer learning to improve the performance of deep learning in axon segmentation Data Data: All the input and labeled volumes tf-logs: Tensorflow logs, view with command "tensorboard --logdir [name of folder]" Model Weights: model_weights: the argument list under variable combo indicate 1) no oversampling, 2) no rotation, 3) no learn scheduler, and 4) flipping on all three dimensions, and the additional values indicate 5) elastic deformation percentage, 6) rotate deformation percentage, 7) layer setting , 8) learning rate, and 9) training/validation/test data division suffix (leave '' if not using suffix). Results: Output from inference segment_total_results_validation_final: All validation results and calculations segment_total_results: All test results and calculations Authors The modified code was created for a paper by: Marjolein Oostrom, Michael A. Muniak, Rogene Eichler West, Sarah Akers, Paritosh Pande, Moses Obiri, Wei Wang, Kasey Bowyer, Zhuhao Wu, Lisa Bramer, Tianyi Mao, Bobbie Jo Webb-Robertson The work is adapted from Github TrailMap, which was created by Albert Pun and Drew Friedmann Acknowledgments MO, RMEW, SA, MO, LB, BJWR were supported by the Laboratory Directed Research and Development at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), a Department of Energy facility operated by Battelle under contract DE-AC05-76RLO01830. WW, KB, and ZW were supported in part by a NIH/BRAIN Initiative Grant RF1MH128969. MAM and TM were supported by two NIH/BRAIN Initiative Grants R01NS104944, RF1MH120119 and NIH R01NS081071. This research is affiliated with the Pacific northwest bioMedical Innovation Co-laboratory (PMedIC) collaboration between OHSU and PNNL.

Oostrom, Marjolein T↗

DOE OSTI2021

Gravitational Lensing Formalism in a Curved Arc Basis: A Continuous Description of Observables and Degeneracies from the Weak to the Strong Lensing Regime

Gravitationally lensed curved arcs provide a wealth of information about the underlying lensing distortions. Extracting precise lensing information from extended sources is a key component in many studies aiming to answer fundamental questions about the universe. To maintain accuracy with increased precision, it is of vital importance to characterize and understand the impact of degeneracies inherent in lensing observables. In this work, we present a formalism to describe the gravitational lensing distortion effects resulting in curved extended arcs based on the eigenvectors and eigenvalues of the local lensing Jacobian and their directional differentials. We identify a nonlocal and nonlinear extended deflector basis that inherits these local properties. Our parameterization is tightly linked to observable features in extended sources and allows one to accurately extract the lensing information of extended images without imposing an explicit global deflector model. We quantify what degeneracies can be broken based on specific assumptions about the local lensing nature and assumed intrinsic source shape. Our formalism is applicable from the weak linear regime to the semi-linear regime and all the way up to the highly nonlinear regime of highly magnified arcs of multiple images. Furthermore, the methodology and implementation presented in this work provides a framework to assessing systematics, to guide inference efforts in the right choices in complexity based on the data at hand, and to quantify the lensing information extracted in a model-independent way

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Deep, High-angular-resolution 3D Dust Map of the Southern Galactic Plane

We present a deep, high-angular-resolution 3D dust map of the southern Galactic plane over 239° < l < 6° and ∣ b∣ < 10° built on photometry from the DECaPS2 survey, in combination with photometry from VISTA Variables in the Via Lactea, the Two Micron All Sky Survey, and “Unofficial” Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer and parallaxes from Gaia Data Release 3 where available. To construct the map, we first infer the distance, extinction, and stellar types of over 700 million stars using the brutus stellar inference framework with a set of theoretical MESA Isochrone and Stellar Tracks (MIST) stellar models. Our resultant 3D dust map has an angular resolution of 1′ , roughly an order of magnitude finer than existing 3D dust maps and comparable to the angular resolution of the Herschel 2D dust emission maps. We detect complexes at the range of distances associated with the Sagittarius-Carina and Scutum-Centaurus arms in the fourth quadrant, as well as more distant structures out to a maximum reliable distance of d ≈ 10 kpc from the Sun. The map is sensitive up to a maximum extinction of roughly A V ≈ 12 mag. We publicly release both the stellar catalog and the 3D dust map, the latter of which can easily be queried via the Python package dustmaps. When combined with the existing Bayestar19 3D dust map of the northern sky, the DECaPS 3D dust map fills in the missing piece of the Galactic plane, enabling extinction corrections over the entire disk ∣b∣ < 10°. Our map serves as a pathfinder for the future of 3D dust mapping in the era of LSST and Roman, targeting regimes accessible with deep optical and near-infrared photometry but often inaccessible with Gaia.

Milky Way galaxy↗

NASA NTRS1978

World helicopter market study

The extent of the threat to the US helicopter industry posed by a determined effort by foreign manufacturers, European companies in particular, to supply their own domestic markets and also to penetrate export markets, including the USA is assessed. Available data on US and world markets for civil and military uses are collated and presented in both graphic and tabular form showing the past history of production and markets and, where forecasts are available, anticipated future trends. The data are discussed on an item-by-item basis and inferences are drawn in as much depth as appears justified.

Cleary, B.↗

NASA NTRS1982

High velocity gas outflow from the nova-like variable LSI 55 deg -8

Low and high dispersion International Ultraviolet Explorer observations and measurements of the optical brightness of LSI 55-8 taken on 5 December, 1981 are analyzed. The presence of the C IV resonance doublet showing a variable P Cygni type of profile with a blue shifted absorption component along with the blue shifted absorption features of the high temperature ions indicate the existence of outflowing hot plasma (i.e., a wind). An upper limit of the mass outflow rate was established from the shot wavelength edge of the C IV absorption. The normalized C IV profile is shown o be variable with the largest changes occurring in the relative strength and shape of the emission component. These changes appear to be systematic, and may be associated with the changing projection of the outflowing hot plasma against the disk as a function of orbital motion. LSI 55-8 demonstrates most of the spectral and photometric characteristics exhibited by the nova like, UX UMa type variables, as well as with the dwarf novae in outburst or standstill. The high accretion rate inferred from fitting the Williams theoretical disk model fluxes to IUE data support the hypothesis that LSI 55-8 and related nova like systems are in a state of prolonged outburst.

Guinan, E. F.↗

NASA NTRS1985

Patchy reconnection and magnetic ropes in astrophysical plasmas

The formation of flux ropes in the magnetosphere of Venus due to velocity shear is examined in order to infer the properties of flux ropes in the earth magnetosphere. Observational data obtained by the International Sun-Earth Explorer (ISEE) spacecraft for the geometry of directed flows in the earth magnetosheath are compared with magnetometer measurements carried out on board Pioneer Venus Orbiter, and the results are discussed in detail. It is shown that the velocity shear is the dominant element shaping the magnetic structure of the magnetosheaths.

Russell, C. T.↗

NASA NTRS1986

Observations on the structure of an edge-tone flowfield

The unsteady flowfield in the region in which a rectangular jet interacts with the leading edge of a 20-deg wedge is investigated experimentally. Edge-tone flowfields at Mach 0.8 in the blowdown facility at Stanford University are recorded by phase-locked Schlieren photography using the apparatus and techniques described by Krothapalli and Horne (1984); detailed surface-pressure and velocity measurements are obtained at Mach 0.23 in the NASA Ames anechoic-chamber facility and presented graphically. It is shown that the jet-edge interaction produces a secondary vortex at the leading edge when an established shear layer or primary vortex is present, and that the primary and secondary vortices then evolve from a counterrotating vortex pair to a large single vortex which migrates along the wedge surface (in agreement with the observations of Rockwell et al., 1986). From a comparison with data on airfoil-trailing-edge flows (Satyanarayana, 1977) it is inferred that an instantaneous zero pressure differential is present at the leading edge of the wedge.

Krothapalli, A.↗

NASA NTRS1988

Iodine-xenon dating

The most readily and widely studied of the extinct radionuclides in meteorites is I-129, and there is an extensive data base for meteorite chronology based on this isotope, but also significant uncertainty about how to interpret many of the data. If the data are interpreted as a straightforward chronology, a time span is inferred for most meteorite classes that appears too long for the events being dated to have taken place in the nebula.

Swindle, T. D.↗

NASA NTRS1989

Thematic Mapper and field investigations at the intersection of the Death Valley and Garlock fault zones, California

Analysis of processed images and detailed field investigations have provided significant information concerning the late-Pliocene and Quaternary evolution of the intersection of the Garlock and Death Valley fault zones. The imagery was used to determine patterns of sedimentation and age relationships on alluvial fans and to determine the geometry, styles of deformation, and relative ages of movements on major and minor faults in the study area. The field investigation often confirmed the inferences drawn from the images and provided additional tectonic and geomorphologic data about the Quaternary deformation of the region. All the data gathered in the course of this project support the contention that the Garlock fault zone terminates in the Avawatz Mountains and that the Death Valley fault zone continues south of the intersection for at least 50 km, forming the eastern boundary of the Mojave province.

Brady, Roland H., III↗

NASA NTRS1990

Bulk properties and velocity distributions of water group ions at Comet Halley - Giotto measurements

In the region upstream of Comet Halley, pickup heavy ions of cometary origin were directly observed by the implanted ion spectrometer on Giotto. Diffusion of this population in pitch angle and in energy, during the approach to the comet and on the outbound leg is discussed. The two data sets are compared and qualitative ideas on scattering timescales are inferred. In addition the bulk parameters of these distributions have been computed and a comparison of the observed speed in the solar wind frame and the observed density with expectations is presented. Pitch angle scattering occurs more slowly than expected with filled shells appearing at 2,500,000 km, and significant energy diffusion does not occur until the bow shock region. Also the shell distributions downstream of the shock flow at the bispherical bulk speed (related to the Alfven speed) along the magnetic field with respect to the solar wind in accordance with conservation of energy between the pickup ions and the wave turbulence.

Coates, A. J.↗

NASA NTRS1990

Dynamics and configurations of galaxy triplets

The purpose is to infer the probable dynamical states of galaxy triplets by the observed data on their configurations. Two methods are proposed for describing the distributions of the triplet configuration parameters characterizing a tendency to alignment and hierarchy: (1) obtaining a representative sample of configurations and determining its statistical parameters (moments and percentages); and (2) dividing the region of possible configurations of triple systems (Agekian and Anosova, 1967) into a set of segments and finding the probabilities for the configurations to find themselves in each of them. Both these methods allow representation of the data by numerical simulations as well as observations. The effect of projection was studied. It rather overestimates the alignment and hierarchy of the triple systems. Among the parameters of interest there are found some parameters that are least sensitive to projection effects. The samples consist of simulated galaxy triplets (with hidden mass) as well as of 46 probably physical triple galaxies (Karachentseva et al., 1979). The observed triples as well as numerical models show a tendency to alignment. The triple galaxies do not show any tendency to hierarchy (formation of the temporary binaries), but this tendency may be present for simulated triplets without significant dark matter. The significant hidden mass (of order ten times the total mass of a triplet) decreases the probability of forming a binary and so weakens the hierarchy. Small galaxy groups consisting of 3 to 7 members are probably the most prevalent types of galaxy aggregate (Gorbatsky, 1987). Galaxy triplets are the simplest groups, but dynamically nontrivial ones.

Anosova, Joanna P.↗