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At least 1,765 records · Page 98

Space market model development project

The objectives of the research program, Space Market Model Development Project, (Phase 1) were: (1) to study the need for business information in the commercial development of space; and (2) to propose a design for an information system to meet the identified needs. Three simultaneous research strategies were used in proceeding toward this goal: (1) to describe the space business information which currently exists; (2) to survey government and business representatives on the information they would like to have; and (3) to investigate the feasibility of generating new economical information about the space industry.

Bishop, Peter C.↗

A parallel hub-and-spoke system for large-scale scenario-based optimization under uncertainty

Practical solution of stochastic programming problems generally requires the use of parallel computing resources. Here, we describe the open source package mpi-sppy, in which efficient and scalable parallelization is a central feature. We report computational experiments that demonstrate the ability to solve very large stochastic programming problems - including mixed-integer variants - in minutes of wall clock time, efficiently leveraging significant parallel computing resources. We report results for the largest publicly available instances of stochastic mixed-integer unit commitment problems, solving to provably tight optimality gaps. In addition, we introduce a novel software architecture that facilitates combinations of methods for accelerating convergence that can be combined in plug-and-play manner. Finally, the mpi-sppy package is written in Python, leverages the widely used Pyomo (http://www.pyomo.org) library for modeling mathematical programs, builds on existing MPI implementations to ensure efficiency and scalability, and is available via http://github.com/Pyomo/mpi-sppy.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Clouds, Aerosol, and Precipitation in the Marine Boundary Layer (CAP-MBL) Final Campaign Report

The extensive coverage of low clouds over the subtropical eastern oceans greatly impacts the current climate. In addition, the response of low clouds to changes in atmospheric greenhouse gases and aerosols is a major source of uncertainty, which thwarts accurate prediction of future climate change. Low clouds are poorly simulated in climate models, partly due to inadequate long-term simultaneous observations of their macrophysical and microphysical structure, radiative effects, and associated aerosol distribution in regions where their impact is greatest. The thickness and extent of subtropical low clouds is dependent on tight couplings between surface fluxes of heat and moisture, radiative cooling, boundary layer turbulence, and precipitation (much of which evaporates before reaching the ocean surface and is closely connected to the abundance of cloud condensation nuclei). These couplings have been documented as a result of past field programs and model studies. However, extensive research is still required to achieve a quantitative understanding sufficient for developing parameterizations, which adequately predict aerosol indirect effects and low cloud response to climate perturbations. This is especially true of the interactions between clouds, aerosol, and precipitation. These processes take place in an ever-changing synoptic environment that can confound interpretation of short time period observations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Design of Multi-Stage Solvent Extraction Process for Separation of Rare Earth Elements

Flowsheet design and stage determination for the separation of rare earth elements (REEs) using solvent extraction (SX) is a challenging task because of the chemical similarity of the REEs. Low separation factors between the elements and complex equilibrium chemistry provide unique challenges to designing an efficient flowsheet for the separation of elements. The multi-stage nature of the SX process adds further complexity, making the assessment of products for a proposed design and stage combination difficult. Therefore, to develop a SX flowsheet, it is essential to quantify the performance for various design and separation conditions. This paper attempts to address the challenge by utilizing an equilibrium and process modeling approach. Results from a bench-scale study performed on a 10 g/L rare earth salt mixture were used in studying the extraction/stripping behavior and developing equilibrium models. DEHPA with TBP as a phase modifier was used as an extractant, while hydrochloric acid was utilized as a stripping agent. The results obtained were used in developing extraction/stripping models, which were integrated into a process framework of a SX train in a Matlab/Simulink environment. The models were programmed as a function block routine and used for developing a flowsheet, which was simulated for differing separation and design conditions. To identify optimum stage combinations, a particle swarm optimization (PSO) routine was developed and implemented for each SX train. Recovery and purity of elements of interest were used as objective function criteria. The stage combination leading to the minimization of the objective function was used to identify the optimum stage combination for a series of SX trains to attempt a balance of purity and recovery. The models and optimization method were implemented to separate a feed mixture containing REEs, which indicated that 99.52 and 85.41 percent purity is achievable for Yttrium and Lanthanum separation using 8-12-3 and 10-3-5 stage combination for loading, scrubbing, and striping. The model also indicated difficult separability between neodymium, praseodymium, and cerium.

Srivastava, Vaibhav (ORCID:0000000212645987)↗

GRO: Black hole models for gamma-ray bursts

The Burst and Transient Source Experiment (BATSE) on board the Compton Gamma Ray Observatory (CGRO) has established that the distribution of gamma-ray bursts (GRB's) is isotropic but is bound radially. This finding suggests that the bursts are either cosmological or they originate from an extended Galactic halo. The implied luminosities and the observed variability of the GRB's on time scales as short as one millisecond suggest that they originate from compact objects. We are presently studying black hole models for GRB's. Any such model must produce a non-thermal photon spectrum to agree with the observed properties. For a wide range of burst parameters the assumed bursting source consists of a non-thermal electron-positron-photon plasma of very high density. It seems possible to produce such a plasma in accretion onto black holes. In our on-going work, we are developing the kinetic theory for a non-equilibrium pair plasma. The main new features of our work are as follows: (1) We do not assume the presence of a thermal electron bath. (2) Non-thermal, high-energy pairs are allowed to have an arbitrary concentration and energy distribution. (3) There is no soft photon source in our model; initially all the photons in the plasma are either energetic X-rays or gamma-rays. (4) The initial energy distribution of the pairs as well as photons is arbitrary. (5) We collect the analytical expressions for the kinetic kernels for all relevant processes. And (6) we present a different approach to finding the time-evolution of pair and photon spectra, which is a combination of the kinetic-theory and the non-linear Monte-Carlo schemes. We have developed many Monte-Carlo programs to model various process, to take into account the time evolution, and to incorporate various physical effects which are unique to non-thermal plasmas. The hydrodynamics of fireballs in GRB's was studied before. Applying results from kinetic theory will improve our understanding of these systems.

Ruderman, Malvin↗

Geochemical Modeling of F Area Seepage Basin Composition and Variability

From the 1950s through 1989, the F Area Seepage Basins at the Savannah River Site (SRS) received low level radioactive wastes resulting from processing nuclear materials. Discharges of process wastes to the F Area Seepage Basins followed by subsequent mixing processes within the basins and eventual infiltration into the subsurface resulted in contamination of the underlying vadose zone and downgradient groundwater. For simulating contaminant behavior and subsurface transport, a quantitative understanding of the interrelated discharge-mixing-infiltration system along with the resulting chemistry of fluids entering the subsurface is needed. An example of this need emerged as the F Area Seepage Basins was selected as a key case study demonstration site for the Advanced Simulation Capability for Environmental Management (ASCEM) Program. This modeling evaluation explored the importance of the wide variability in bulk wastewater chemistry as it propagated through the basins. The results are intended to generally improve and refine the conceptualization of infiltration of chemical wastes from seepage basins receiving variable waste streams and to specifically support the ASCEM case study model for the F Area Seepage Basins. Specific goals of this work included: (1) develop a technically-based 'charge-balanced' nominal source term chemistry for water infiltrating into the subsurface during basin operations, (2) estimate the nature of short term and long term variability in infiltrating water to support scenario development for uncertainty quantification (i.e., UQ analysis), (3) identify key geochemical factors that control overall basin water chemistry and the projected variability/stability, and (4) link wastewater chemistry to the subsurface based on monitoring well data. Results from this study provide data and understanding that can be used in further modeling efforts of the F Area groundwater plume. As identified in this study, key geochemical factors affecting basin chemistry and variability included: (1) the nature or chemistry of the waste streams, (2) the open system of the basins, and (3) duration of discharge of the waste stream types. Mixing models of the archetype waste streams indicated that the overall basin system would likely remain acidic much of the time. Only an extended periods of predominantly alkaline waste discharge (e.g., >70% alkaline waste) would dramatically alter the average pH of wastewater entering the basins. Short term and long term variability were evaluated by performing multiple stepwise modeling runs to calculate the oscillation of bulk chemistry in the basins in response to short term variations in waste stream chemistry. Short term (1/2 month and 1 month) oscillations in the waste stream types only affected the chemistry in Basin 1; little variation was observed in Basin 2 and 3. As the largest basin, Basin 3 is considered the primary source to the groundwater. Modeling showed that the fluctuation in chemistry of the waste streams is not directly representative of the source term to the groundwater (i.e. Basin 3). The sequence of receiving basins and the large volume of water in Basin 3 'smooth' or nullify the short term variability in waste stream composition. As part of this study, a technically-based 'charge-balanced' nominal source term chemistry was developed for Basin 3 for a narrow range of pH (2.7 to 3.4). An example is also provided of how these data could be used to quantify uncertainty over the long term variations in waste stream chemistry and hence, Basin 3 chemistry.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

A Pareto analysis approach to assess relevant marginal CO{sub 2} footprint for petroleum products

Recently, linear programing (LP) models have been extended to track the marginal CO{sub 2} intensity of automotive fuels at the refinery gate. The obtained CO{sub 2} data are recommended for policy making because they capture the economic and environmental tensions as well as the processing effects related to oil products. However, they are proven to be extremely sensitive to small perturbations and therefore useless in practice. In this paper, we first investigate the theoretical reasons of this drawback. Then, we develop a multiple objective LP framework to assess relevant marginal CO{sub 2} footprints that preserve both defensibility and stability at a satisfactory level of acceptance. A case study illustrates this new methodology. - Highlights: • Refining LP models have limitations to provide useful marginal CO{sub 2} footprints. • A multi objective optimization framework is developed to assess relevant CO{sub 2} data. • Within a European Refinig industry, diesel is more CO{sub 2} intensive than gasoline.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Multi-Time Step Service Restoration for Advanced Distribution Systems and Microgrids

Modern power systems are facing increased risk of disasters that can cause extended outages. The presence of remote control switches (RCSs), distributed generators (DGs), and energy storage systems (ESS) provides both challenges and opportunities for developing post-fault service restoration methodologies. Inter-temporal constraints of DGs, ESS, and loads under cold load pickup (CLPU) conditions impose extra complexity on problem formulation and solution. In this paper, a multi-time step service restoration methodology is proposed to optimally generate a sequence of control actions for controllable switches, ESSs, and dispatchable DGs to assist the system operator with decision making. The restoration sequence is determined to minimize the unserved customers by energizing the system step by step without violating operational constraints at each time step. The proposed methodology is formulated as a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model and can adapt to various operation conditions. Furthermore, the proposed method is validated through several case studies that are performed on modified IEEE 13-node and IEEE 123-node test feeders.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Experiments with program locality.

Attempt to validate experimentally several intrinsic models for the concept of program locality. The models considered are a two-parameter simple locality model, a simple least recently used stack model, and an independent reference model. The first two models appear to produce good approximations to real world behavior, while the independent reference model, because of its static concept of locality, does very poorly. The working set is shown to be a good estimator of the simple two-parameters model's locality, provided that the locality does not change too rapidly. The working set exactly measures the locality in the case of the least recently used stack model and is thus nearly optimal for programs whose behavior can be closely approximated by this model.

Spirn, J. R.↗

Methodology for analysis and simulation of large multidisciplinary problems

The Integrated Structural Modeling (ISM) program is being developed for the Air Force Weapons Laboratory and will be available for Air Force work. Its goal is to provide a design, analysis, and simulation tool intended primarily for directed energy weapons (DEW), kinetic energy weapons (KEW), and surveillance applications. The code is designed to run on DEC (VMS and UNIX), IRIS, Alliant, and Cray hosts. Several technical disciplines are included in ISM, namely structures, controls, optics, thermal, and dynamics. Four topics from the broad ISM goal are discussed. The first is project configuration management and includes two major areas: the software and database arrangement and the system model control. The second is interdisciplinary data transfer and refers to exchange of data between various disciplines such as structures and thermal. Third is a discussion of the integration of component models into one system model, i.e., multiple discipline model synthesis. Last is a presentation of work on a distributed processing computing environment.

Russell, William C.↗

Nek5000 developments in support of industry and the NRC

This year, the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling Simulation program (NEAMS) thermal-hydraulics verification and validation (V&V) work has focused in three areas of Nek5000 V&V-driven development. First, in a close collaborative effort with the U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) staff, we have continued V&V efforts for the HYMERES-2 project using the OECD/NEA sponsored testing in the PSI PANDA facility. This year’s focus of ANL-NRC collaboration involves Nek5000 setups and validation for a range of problems relevant to and including the HYMERES-2 benchmark from PSI. The primary outcome of this year efforts is a more efficient geometry and inlet modeling simplification after a careful sensitivity study of the inlet profiles and pipe geometries. The resulting modeling choice of a short recycling/fully-developed turbulent inlet is within the experimental uncertainty estimate. This finding simplifies the next step of the cross-V&V HYMERES-2 project. In addition, the ANL team continue to provide assistance to the NRC staff in the form of Nek5000 application support in general and on the use of the HPC platforms of ALCF and INL in particular. This supports the NRC’s assessment of Nek5000 for use with the NRC Blue CRAB code suite. Second, we have implemented and tested more robust model of URANS, namely the k – τ model, a variant of the k-ω model, along with other improvements to RANS Nek5000 modeling in general. Because of its demonstrated robustness and stability, the k – τ model is the only RANS model that has been implemented in the new GPU version of the Nek5000 code, nekRS. Lastly, we report the initial implementation of Jacobian-free Newton Krylov approach to the direct Newton method for steady fluid solvers aimed at acceleration of RANS modeling and at IC improvement for LES campaigns. Also leveraging the Exascale Computing Project (ECP) ANL/CEED & SMR team’s software development effort to support NEAMS problems at large scale of the advanced computing architectures, NekRS, a GPU variant of Nek5000, built on top of kernels from libParanumal using OCCA for portability, has been successfully run on the full system of Summit (4608 nodes, 27648 GPUs).

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Execution environment for intelligent real-time control systems

Modern telerobot control technology requires the integration of symbolic and non-symbolic programming techniques, different models of parallel computations, and various programming paradigms. The Multigraph Architecture, which has been developed for the implementation of intelligent real-time control systems is described. The layered architecture includes specific computational models, integrated execution environment and various high-level tools. A special feature of the architecture is the tight coupling between the symbolic and non-symbolic computations. It supports not only a data interface, but also the integration of the control structures in a parallel computing environment.

Sztipanovits, Janos↗

Model of Collaborative Trajectory Options Program Performance

Adoption of Collaborative Trajectory Options Programs (CTOP) in airspace has been hampered by a lack of willingness of a majority of airlines to participate in CTOP as there is a lack of information about benefits of CTOP. At present, there are only selected airlines that are considering participating in CTOP. One open research question is how much benefit an airline get by making a decision to participate in CTOP. Another question is identifying situations in which CTOP is a better alternative to traditional TMIs. For effective use of CTOP, it would be useful to understand how different factors such as capacity and TOS participation influence CTOP performance. Therefore, it would be helpful to develop a model of CTOP performance in terms of these factors.

CTOP↗

Software package for modeling spin–orbit motion in storage rings

A software package providing a graphical user interface for computer experiments on the motion of charged particle beams in accelerators, as well as analysis of obtained data, is presented. The software package was tested in the framework of the international project on electric dipole moment measurement JEDI (Jülich Electric Dipole moment Investigations). The specific features of particle spin motion imply the requirement to use a cyclic accelerator (storage ring) consisting of electrostatic elements, which makes it possible to preserve horizontal polarization for a long time. Computer experiments study the dynamics of 10{sup 6}–10{sup 9} particles in a beam during 10{sup 9} turns in an accelerator (about 10{sup 12}–10{sup 15} integration steps for the equations of motion). For designing an optimal accelerator structure, a large number of computer experiments on polarized beam dynamics are required. The numerical core of the package is COSY Infinity, a program for modeling spin–orbit dynamics.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

A Life Cycle Analysis of Refinery Fuel Products Air Emissions Using Refinery Emissions Inventory Data

With the transportation sector being a major source of air pollutant emissions, this study seeks to evaluate criteria pollutant emissions associated with the use of petroleum fuels in vehicles using the GREET® (Greenhouse gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy use in Transportation) well-to-wheel model. The life cycle of petroleum fuels includes the major stages of crude recovery, crude transportation, crude refining, fuel distribution and fuel combustion (vehicle operation). This study focuses on quantifying refinery emissions, in terms of both refinery throughput and various refinery fuel products, by matching a refinery emissions inventory dataset with refinery operation information, at various levels (national, regional, facility, and process unit). The refinery emissions in terms refinery throughput (per refinery crude input, in g/mmbtu crude) are developed at a regional level for various Petroleum Administration for Defense Districts (PADD), and also aggregated at the national level. To allocate refinery emissions to refinery products, a methodology is developed using a refinery operation optimization Linear Programming (LP) model for individual refineries. The results from individual refinery facilities are then aggregated to obtain statistical national average (capacity weighted) emissions for each product. Because refineries vary by complexity of operation, configuration, crude quality, and product slate, the derived emissions demonstrate large variation for each product and per unit of crude input. Relative to previous estimates used in the GREET model, the present research shows reductions in refinery (and life cycle) emissions for most criteria pollutants. The reduction is especially significant for sulfur dioxide (SOx) emissions.

Allocation↗

Nuclear Nonproliferation Ontology Assessment Team (Final Report)

The Ontology Assessment Team began in May 2009 and concluded in September 2011. During this two-year time frame, the Ontology Assessment team had two objectives: (1) Assessing the utility of knowledge representation and semantic technologies for addressing nuclear nonproliferation challenges; and (2) Developing ontological support tools that would provide a framework for integrating across the Simulation, Algorithm and Modeling (SAM) program. The SAM Program was going through a large assessment and strategic planning effort during this time and as a result, the relative importance of these two objectives changed, altering the focus of the Ontology Assessment Team. In the end, the team conducted an assessment of the state of art, created an annotated bibliography, and developed a series of ontological support tools, demonstrations and presentations. A total of more than 35 individuals from 12 different research institutions participated in the Ontology Assessment Team. These included subject matter experts in several nuclear nonproliferation-related domains as well as experts in semantic technologies. Despite the diverse backgrounds and perspectives, the Ontology Assessment team functioned very well together and aspects could serve as a model for future inter-laboratory collaborations and working groups. While the team encountered several challenges and learned many lessons along the way, the Ontology Assessment effort was ultimately a success that led to several multi-lab research projects and opened up a new area of scientific exploration within the Office of Nuclear Nonproliferation and Verification.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Self-diagnosis of model suitability for continuous measurements of stream-dissolved organic carbon derived from in situ UV–visible spectroscopy

Application of high-frequency monitoring of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) is difficult in instances where training datasets are challenging to develop (e.g., remote locations) and the relationship between optical features and DOC concentration changes due to environmental or landscape shifts (e.g., climate or land-use change). We developed and compared three partial least squares (PLS) models using in situ water level measurements, conductivity, and UV–Vis spectral attenuation to predict DOC. Two site-specific models were developed using data from a hillslope-dominated forest or a low-relief wetland-pond-dominated stream catchment. The third model, using data from both sites, exhibited the best performance (DOC range = 4–15.5 mg C L −1 , mean = 8.38 mg C L −1 , training RMSE = 0.34 mg C L −1 , internal validation RMSE = 0.50 mg C L −1 , external validation RMSE = 2.43 mg C L −1 ). We further demonstrate using PLS model statistics to monitor performance and elucidate when and how models should be updated. These statistics, Hotelling's T 2 and squared prediction errors, are useful consistency checks for the predictions made and detect underlying inconsistencies that, if undetected, can reduce the robustness of DOC prediction. For example, via the T 2 statistic, we identified the summer–autumn transition as a period when DOC composition differed from what was represented in the training dataset. We also determined that elevated SUVA 254 values contributed to the overall bias observed in predictions made during the subsequent year as part of the external validation. This enabled the application of a bias correction that reduced the RMSE from 2.43 to 0.89 mg C L −1 . The method presented here could be applied to future monitoring programs enabling model updates to monitor DOC fluxes accurately from optical datasets (e.g., attenuance or fluorescence) in the face of developing datasets in remote locations or environmental change. In conclusion, implementation of this approach may also identify possible regime shifts or landscape and hydrologic change associated with climate and other environmental changes relevant to terrestrial to aquatic fluxes.

UV-VIS spectroscopy↗

Systematic Process Intensification involving Zeotropic Distillation

Distillation is commonly used for separating homogeneous fluid mixtures. While it is based on a simple thermally driven vapor-liquid equilibrium phenomenon at the two-phase region, different variants of distillation systems exist. These include simple distillation, dividing wall columns, pressure swing distillation, thermally coupled distillation and reactive distillation. Complex separation may also involve multiple distillation in a sequence to achieve the desired products. These sequences can be constructed as direct sequence, indirect sequence or thermally coupled columns. Even when a sequence is fixed, each column in the sequence can have a plethora of design alternatives to consider. All these make the design and intensification of distillation systems a challenging task. The large number of plausible design alternatives increases the combinatorial complexity for screening. Although significant efforts have been made in the past, we still lack a method for systematic identification of novel pathways for process intensification of distillation system. This is due to the lack of a generalized representation of all plausible alternatives in a single modeling and optimization framework. In this work, we first present a general representation of thermally driven vapor-equilibrium phenomenon using abstract building blocks. Specifically, each tray in a distillation column is represented by a liquid block and a vapor block with a shared semi-restricted boundary representing the interface. The arrangement of these building blocks in a two-dimensional grid gives rise to all plausible variants of distillation systems. These systems range from simple distillation, dividing wall columns to task-integrated columns. This enables us to systematically identify both classic and out-of-the-box intensified designs at the column and flowsheet levels. The overall distillation-based separation process synthesis problem is formulated as a single mixed-integer nonlinear programming (MINLP) model. In conclusion, the proposed approach is applied to multi-component zeotropic systems to show the capability of identifying promising intensified alternatives.

42 ENGINEERING↗