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At least 1,765 records · Page 98

Temporal ensemble learning of univariate methods for short term load forecasting

Short term load forecasting (STLF) is a fundamental component of demand response programs in smart grids. Recent literature has focused on complex neural networks and deep learning models for solving STLF. While these models work well for load forecasting with complex non-linear relationships, they have been shown to be less effective than simpler univariate models for STLF problems with under a 6 hours horizon. Given the lack of multivariate data (such as temperature) in many practical datasets, we need better univariate prediction models for STLF. By partitioning the dataset by temporal features, we develop a novel ensemble learning method that exploits daily seasonality in electricity consumption data to improve accuracy of popular univariate models. We train an ensemble of models from the dataset partitions. We develop a variety of methods, including Ridge Regression, to increase the robustness of the ensemble prediction. To show the effectiveness of our approach, we perform detailed evaluation using an aggregated user electricity consumption dataset collected by the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP). We select four popular prediction algorithms in literature for our experiments, including Kernel Regression (KR), Support Vector Regression (SVR) and neural network approaches. We compare the performance of these algorithms applying our ensemble approach to training only one single model. Our approach leads to an 11.2% decrease in mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and 21.3% decrease in root mean squared error (RMSE) over the single model approach for KR, and a 30% and 32.4% decrease in MAPE and RMSE respectively for SVR. These ensemble models also outperform the neural network approaches.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Hawthorne Nevada Deep Direct-Use Feasibility Study - 3D Seismic

The objective of this project is to use a multi-disciplinary, three-tiered approach to assess the geothermal resource and determine the feasibility of implementing a large-scale, direct-use facility for the Hawthorne Army Depot (HAD) and the various town and county facilities in Hawthorne, Nevada. This assessment directly targets a geothermal resource recently characterized by the Navy Geothermal Program Office (GPO) as part of a focused exploration and development campaign. This data includes but is not limited to: OD Data, Map of Hawthorne Area 3D Seismic Survey, HAW 3D Seismic interpretation report, Zip folder containing DBF files pertaining to the Spring Well Seismic Survey Zone, Zip file containing one shapefile of 3D seismic data.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Hawthorne Nevada Deep Direct-Use Feasibility Study - References, Reports, Literature

The objective of this project is to use a multi-disciplinary, three-tiered approach to assess the geothermal resource and determine the feasibility of implementing a large-scale, direct-use facility for the Hawthorne Army Depot (HAD) and the various town and county facilities in Hawthorne, Nevada. This assessment directly targets a geothermal resource recently characterized by the Navy Geothermal Program Office (GPO) as part of a focused exploration and development campaign. Data includes: Zip folder containing information from Bjornstad. Includes isotope, temperature, water, well, and reports from 2002; Zip folder contains PDF and power point files of references for the Hawthorne Geothermal project; Zip folder containing PDF files of the literature cited in the proposal.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Hawthorne Nevada Deep Direct-Use Feasibility Study - Geology

The objective of this project is to use a multi-disciplinary, three-tiered approach to assess the geothermal resource and determine the feasibility of implementing a large-scale, direct-use facility for the Hawthorne Army Depot (HAD) and the various town and county facilities in Hawthorne, Nevada. This assessment directly targets a geothermal resource recently characterized by the Navy Geothermal Program Office (GPO) as part of a focused exploration and development campaign. This data includes: Zip file containing geologic map and related data of the Hawthorne area, Zip file containing the report and Maps produced by John Oldow, Zip file containing GIS mapping done by UNR in 2009, Low Sun Angle Photos Quaternary Fault Study report, Hawthorne well cuttings descriptions report.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Hawthorne Nevada Deep Direct-Use Feasibility Study - Geophysics GIS Data

The objective of this project is to use a multi-disciplinary, three-tiered approach to assess the geothermal resource and determine the feasibility of implementing a large-scale, direct-use facility for the Hawthorne Army Depot (HAD) and the various town and county facilities in Hawthorne, Nevada. This assessment directly targets a geothermal resource recently characterized by the Navy Geothermal Program Office (GPO) as part of a focused exploration and development campaign. This dataset includes the GIS data related to geophysics.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Hawthorne Nevada Deep Direct-Use Feasibility Study - LiDAR

The objective of this project is to use a multi-disciplinary, three-tiered approach to assess the geothermal resource and determine the feasibility of implementing a large-scale, direct-use facility for the Hawthorne Army Depot (HAD) and the various town and county facilities in Hawthorne, Nevada. This assessment directly targets a geothermal resource recently characterized by the Navy Geothermal Program Office (GPO) as part of a focused exploration and development campaign. Contains LiDAR and LiDAR related files for the Hawthorne Geothermal area.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Hawthorne Nevada Deep Direct-Use Feasibility Study - Navy Geothermal Program Office General Data

The objective of this project is to use a multi-disciplinary, three-tiered approach to assess the geothermal resource and determine the feasibility of implementing a large-scale, direct-use facility for the Hawthorne Army Depot (HAD) and the various town and county facilities in Hawthorne, Nevada. This assessment directly targets a geothermal resource recently characterized by the Navy Geothermal Program Office (GPO) as part of a focused exploration and development campaign. This data set contains: Excel file of the temperature at depth logs; Zip file containing shapefiles of gravity magnitude and base data for the Hawthorne Geothermal area; Word doc files containing HWAD geothermal report, figures and local stratigraphy; Zip folder containing PDF files of relevant HWAD document; Zip folder containing JPEGs of the John Oldow maps; Zip folder containing MXDs, xls, and dbf files of the Hawthorne Geothermal area and figures; Zip folder containing Hawthorne Geothermal data from Epsilon

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Hawthorne Nevada Deep Direct-Use Feasibility Study - Shallow Temperature Survey

The objective of this project is to use a multi-disciplinary, three-tiered approach to assess the geothermal resource and determine the feasibility of implementing a large-scale, direct-use facility for the Hawthorne Army Depot (HAD) and the various town and county facilities in Hawthorne, Nevada. This assessment directly targets a geothermal resource recently characterized by the Navy Geothermal Program Office (GPO) as part of a focused exploration and development campaign. Zip folder containing shallow temp survey data for the Hawthorne Geothermal area.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Hawthorne Nevada Deep Direct-Use Feasibility Study - Temperature and Geochemistry Well Data

The objective of this project is to use a multi-disciplinary, three-tiered approach to assess the geothermal resource and determine the feasibility of implementing a large-scale, direct-use facility for the Hawthorne Army Depot (HAD) and the various town and county facilities in Hawthorne, Nevada. This assessment directly targets a geothermal resource recently characterized by the Navy Geothermal Program Office (GPO) as part of a focused exploration and development campaign. This data batch contains: Zip file containing well and water data from 2002, including reports, isotope analysis, shallow well data, and data by well; Zip folder containing 2009 GPO well data including well logs, geochemistry, and mud logs; Compiled data from 2010 in excel and word format; 2010 Final data from TG, well HAD-1; Zip file containing PDFs and Excel files for wells Haw1, HAD1, HWADD2-3, HWAD4-5; Zip folder containing Word docs and images pertaining to final well reports and discussion.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Hawthorne Nevada Deep Direct-Use Feasibility Study - Peer Review Presentation

The objective of this project is to use a multi-disciplinary, three-tiered approach to assess the geothermal resource and determine the feasibility of implementing a large-scale, direct-use facility for the Hawthorne Army Depot (HAD) and the various town and county facilities in Hawthorne, Nevada. This assessment directly targets a geothermal resource recently characterized by the Navy Geothermal Program Office (GPO) as part of a focused exploration and development campaign.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Depth-resolved soil data from DOE-LM Riverton Wyoming site, April-September 2017

Averaged (from 3 to 5 replicates) and QA/QC:d data for soil cores taken roughly every month in the period April 5 to September 13 in 2017 at a location close to DOE Legacy Management well 855 at the Riverton, Wyoming floodplain site. The groundwater at this site exhibits persistent U, Mo, and sulfate plumes and is one of the field sites in focus for the SLAC Groundwater Quality SFA program. Cores were separated into 5-20 cm segments based on soil horizonation and each segment was subsampled for microbial analyses (data available at the NCBI Single Read Archive (SRA) Database, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sra/, BioProject ID# PRJNA626616) in addition to the soil analyses included in this dataset. The soil analyses dataset includes aerobic and anaerobic respiration rate estimates (MicroResp method), water content estimates (on collected samples, not in situ), total C, N, S, Ca, K, Mg, Na, Fe, As, Mo, U, and organic-C concentrations, water extractable concentrations of the same elements, and HCl-extractable Fe(II) concentrations.There are four files included in this data package: metadataFile.csv, avgDataFile.csv, methodFile.csv, and RVT2017soilData.xlsx. The excel file contains the same information as the individual csv-files (in separate tabs).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Metagenome-assembled genomes from Wind River Basin floodplain sediments Riverton, Wyoming site (August 2015)

Microorganisms play a key role in cycling nutrients and contaminants in the terrestrial environment depending on their genetic potential. Here we present metagenome-assembled genomes (MAGs) for the bacterial and archaeal community in floodplain sediment samples taken August 29, 2015 at a location (KB1) close to DOE Legacy Management well 855 at the Riverton, Wyoming floodplain site in the Wind River Basin (WRB). The groundwater at this site exhibits persistent U, Mo, and sulfate plumes and is one of the field sites in focus for the SLAC Groundwater Quality SFA program. Sediment samples from a deep soil pit were collected from 0 to 234 cm depth below surface at discrete depths every ~10-20 cm for microbial analyses. 13 metagenomes were sequenced through JGI and can be found under Gold sequencing project: Gs0131241. Metagenomes were assembled, binned, and refined using metawrap to generate MAGs (>50% complete and < 10% contamination based on checkM scores).This dataset includes a zip file of 2216 MAG fasta files and a csv file with quality, taxonomic classification (GTDB RS220), and metagenome accessions for MAGs. This dataset also includes a file-level metadata (flmd.csv) file that lists each file contained in the dataset with associated metadata and a data dictionary (dd.csv) file that contains column/row headers used throughout the files along with a definition, units, and data type

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Metagenome-assembled genomes from Wind River Basin floodplain sediments Riverton, Wyoming site (June to October 2019)

Microorganisms play a key role in cycling nutrients and contaminants in the terrestrial environment depending on their genetic potential. Here we present metagenome-assembled genomes (MAGs) for the bacterial and archaeal community in floodplain sediment samples taken at three time points from June 12, 2019 to October 23,2019 at a location (PTT1) close to DOE Legacy Management well 855 at the Riverton, Wyoming floodplain site in the Wind River Basin (WRB). The groundwater at this site exhibits persistent U, Mo, and sulfate plumes and is one of the field sites in focus for the SLAC Groundwater Quality SFA program. Sediment samples were collected from 60 to 180 cm below surface every 30cm for microbial analyses through metagenomic sequencing. 15 metagenomes were sequenced through JGI and can be found under Gold sequencing project: Gs0131241. Metagenomes were assembled, binned, and refined using metawrap to generate MAGs (>50% complete and < 10% contamination based on checkM scores). This dataset includes a zip file of 780 MAG fasta files and a csv file with quality, taxonomic classification (GTDB RS220), and metagenome accessions for MAGs. This dataset also includes a file-level metadata (flmd.csv) file that lists each file contained in the dataset with associated metadata and a data dictionary (dd.csv) file that contains column/row headers used throughout the files along with a definition, units, and data type. A sample metadata file (samples.csv) that contains site information has also been included.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Metagenome-assembled genomes from Wind River Basin floodplain sediments Riverton, Wyoming site (May to September 2017)

Microorganisms play a key role in cycling nutrients and contaminants in the terrestrial environment depending on their genetic potential. Here we present metagenome-assembled genomes (MAGs) for the bacterial and archaeal community in floodplain sediment samples taken roughly every month in the period May 18 to September 13 in 2017 at a location (Pit2) close to DOE Legacy Management well 855 at the Riverton, Wyoming floodplain site in the Wind River Basin (WRB). The groundwater at this site exhibits persistent U, Mo, and sulfate plumes and is one of the field sites in focus for the SLAC Groundwater Quality SFA program. Cores were taken with a hand-auger and separated into 5-20 cm segments based on soil horizonation down to 150 cm depth below surface. Each segment was subsampled for microbial analyses. Corresponding 16S rRNA gene amplicon data is available at the NCBI Single Read Archive (SRA) Database BioProject ID PRJNA626616, and soil geochemistry data at doi:10.15485/1631972. 40 metagenomes were sequenced through JGI and can be found under Gold sequencing project: Gs0142591. Metagenomes were assembled, binned, and refined using metawrap to generate MAGs (>50% complete and < 10% contamination based on checkM scores). This dataset includes a zip file of 6993 MAG fasta files and a csv file with quality, taxonomic classification (GTDB RS220), and metagenome accessions for MAGs generated from the Wind River Basin (WRB). This dataset also includes a file-level metadata (flmd.csv) file that lists each file contained in the dataset with associated metadata and a data dictionary (dd.csv) file that contains column/row headers used throughout the files along with a definition, units, and data type.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Development and Benchmarking of a Hybrid PIC Code For Dense Plasmas and Fast Ignition (Final Report)

Radiation processes play an important role in the study of both fast ignition and other inertial confinement schemes, such as plasma jet driven magneto-inertial fusion, both in their effect on energy balance, and in generating diagnostic signals. In the latter case, warm and hot dense matter may be produced by the convergence of a plasma shell formed by the merging of an assembly of high Mach number plasma jets. This innovative approach has the potential advantage of creating matter of high energy densities in voluminous amount compared with high power lasers or particle beams. An important application of this technology is as a plasma liner for the flux compression of magnetized plasma to create ultra-high magnetic fields and burning plasmas. HyperV Technologies Corp. has been developing plasma jet accelerator technology in both coaxial and linear railgun geometries to produce plasma jets of sufficient mass, density, and velocity to create such imploding plasma liners. An enabling tool for the development of this technology is the ability to model the plasma dynamics, not only in the accelerators themselves, but also in the resulting magnetized target plasma and within the merging/interacting plasma jets during transport to the target. Welch pioneered numerical modeling of such plasmas (including for fast ignition) using the LSP simulation code. Lsp is an electromagnetic, parallelized, plasma simulation code under development since 1995. It has a number of innovative features making it uniquely suitable for modeling high energy density plasmas including a hybrid fluid model for electrons that allows electrons in dense plasmas to be modeled with a kinetic or fluid treatment as appropriate. In addition to in-house use at Voss Scientific, several groups carrying out research in Fast Ignition (LLNL, SNL, UCSD, AWE (UK), and Imperial College (UK)) also use LSP. A collaborative team consisting of HyperV Technologies Corp., Voss Scientific LLC, FAR-TECH, Inc., Prism Computational Sciences, Inc. and Advanced Energy Systems Inc. joined efforts to develop new physics and numerical models for LSP in several key areas to enhance the ability of LSP to model high energy density plasmas (HEDP). This final report details those efforts. Areas addressed in this research effort include: adding radiation transport to LSP, first in 2D and then fully 3D, extending the EMHD model to 3D, implementing more advanced radiation and electrode plasma boundary conditions, and installing more efficient implicit numerical algorithms to speed complex 2-D and 3-D computations. The new capabilities allow modeling of the dominant processes in high energy density plasmas, and further assist the development and optimization of plasma jet accelerators, with particular attention to MHD instabilities and plasma/wall interaction (based on physical models for ion drag friction and ablation/erosion of the electrodes). In the first funding cycle we implemented a solver for the radiation diffusion equation. To solve this equation in 2-D, we used finite-differencing and applied the parallelized sparse-matrix solvers in the PETSc library (Argonne National Laboratory) to the resulting system of equations. A database of the necessary coefficients for materials of interest was assembled using the PROPACEOS and ATBASE codes from Prism. The model was benchmarked against Prism's 1-D radiation hydrodynamics code HELIOS, and against experimental data obtained from HyperV's separately funded plasma jet accelerator development program. Work in the second funding cycle focused on extending the radiation diffusion model to full 3-D, continued development of the EMHD model, optimizing the direct-implicit model to speed up calculations, add in multiply ionized atoms, and improved the way boundary conditions are handled in LSP. These new LSP capabilities were then used, along with analytic calculations and Mach2 runs, to investigate plasma jet merging, plasma detachment and transport, restrike and advanced jet accelerator design. In addition, a strong linkage to diagnostic measurements was made by modeling plasma jet experiments on PLX to support benchmarking of the code. A large number of upgrades and improvements advancing hybrid PIC algorithms were implemented in LSP during the second funding cycle. These include development of fully 3D radiation transport algorithms, new boundary conditions for plasma-electrode interactions, and a charge conserving equation of state that permits multiply ionized high-Z ions. The final funding cycle focused on 1) mitigating the effects of a slow-growing grid instability which is most pronounced in plasma jet frame expansion problems using the two-fluid Eulerian remap algorithm, 2) extension of the Eulerian Smoothing Algorithm to allow EOS/Radiation modeling, 3) simulations of collisionless shocks formed by jet merging, 4) simulations of merging jets using high-Z gases, 5) generation of PROPACEOS EOS/Opacity databases, 6) simulations of plasma jet transport experiments, 7) simulations of plasma jet penetration through transverse magnetic fields, and 8) GPU PIC code development. The tools developed during this project are applicable not only to the study of plasma jets, but also to a wide variety of HEDP plasmas of interest to DOE, including plasmas created in short-pulse laser experiments performed to study fast ignition concepts for inertial confinement fusion.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Advanced probabilistic risk analysis using RAVEN and RELAP-7

RAVEN, under the support of the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program [1], is advancing its capability to perform statistical analyses of stochastic dynamic systems. This is aligned with its mission to provide the tools needed by the Risk Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC) path-lead [2] under the Department Of Energy (DOE) Light Water Reactor Sustainability program [3]. In particular this task is focused on the synergetic development with the RELAP-7 [4] code to advance the state of the art on the safety analysis of nuclear power plants (NPP). The investigation of the probabilistic evolution of accident scenarios for a complex system such as a nuclear power plant is not a trivial challenge. The complexity of the system to be modeled leads to demanding computational requirements even to simulate one of the many possible evolutions of an accident scenario (tens of CPU/hour). At the same time, the probabilistic analysis requires thousands of runs to investigate outcomes characterized by low probability and severe consequence (tail problem). The milestone reported in June of 2013 [5] described the capability of RAVEN to implement complex control logic and provide an adequate support for the exploration of the probabilistic space using a Monte Carlo sampling strategy. Unfortunately the Monte Carlo approach is ineffective with a problem of this complexity. In the following year of development, the RAVEN code has been extended with more sophisticated sampling strategies (grids, Latin Hypercube, and adaptive sampling). This milestone report illustrates the effectiveness of those methodologies in performing the assessment of the probability of core damage following the onset of a Station Black Out (SBO) situation in a boiling water reactor (BWR). The first part of the report provides an overview of the available probabilistic analysis capabilities, ranging from the different types of distributions available, possible sampling strategies, and post processing analysis capabilities. The first part of the report provides an extensive description of two major developments introduced this year: adaptive sampling for limit surface sampling and multi variate distributions. The document concludes with a description of the demo case (BWR-SBO) and a discussion of the results obtained.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

FY2013 Lightweight Materials R&D Annual Progress Report

As part of the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Vehicle Technologies Program (VTO), the Lightweight Materials (LM) activity focuses on the development and validation of advanced materials and manufacturing technologies to significantly reduce light and heavy duty vehicle weight without compromising other attributes such as safety, performance, recyclability, and cost.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗