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At least 1,765 records · Page 98

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DOE OSTI2020

"BAAE" instabilities observed without fast ion drive

The instability that was previously identified as a fast-ion driven beta-induced Alfv´en-acoustic eigenmode (BAAE) in DIII-D was misidentified. In a dedicated experiment, low frequency modes (LFM) with characteristic “Christmas light” patterns of brief instability linked to the safety factor evolution occur in plasmas with electron temperature T e ≳ 2.1 keV but modest beta. To isolate the importance of different driving gradients on these modes, the electron cyclotron heating power and 80 keV, sub-Alfv´enic neutral beams are altered for 50-100 ms durations in reproducible discharges. Although beta-induced Alfv´en eigenmodes and reversed-shear Alfv´en eigenmodes stabilize when beam injection ceases (as expected for a fast-ion driven instability), the low frequency modes that were called BAAEs persist. Data mining reveals that characteristic LFM instabilities can occur in discharges with no beam heating but strong electron cyclotron heating. A large database of over 1000 discharges shows that LFMs are only unstable in plasmas with hot electrons but modest overall beta. The experimental LFMs have low frequencies (comparable to diamagnetic drift frequencies) in the plasma frame, occur near the minimum of the safety factor q min , and appear when q min is close to rational values. In conclusion, theoretical analysis suggests that the LFMs are a low frequency reactive instability of predominately Alfv´enic polarization.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Simple, low-cost and accurate data-driven geophysical forecasting with learned kernels

Modelling geophysical processes as low-dimensional dynamical systems and regressing their vector field from data is a promising approach for learning emulators of such systems. We show that when the kernel of these emulators is also learned from data (using kernel flows, a variant of cross-validation), then the resulting data-driven models are not only faster than equation-based models but are easier to train than neural networks such as the long short-term memory neural network. In addition, they are also more accurate and predictive than the latter. When trained on geophysical observational data, for example the weekly averaged global sea-surface temperature, considerable gains are also observed by the proposed technique in comparison with classical partial differential equation-based models in terms of forecast computational cost and accuracy. When trained on publicly available re-analysis data for the daily temperature of the North American continent, we observe significant improvements over classical baselines such as climatology and persistence-based forecast techniques. Although our experiments concern specific examples, the proposed approach is general, and our results support the viability of kernel methods (with learned kernels) for interpretable and computationally efficient geophysical forecasting for a large diversity of processes.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

NASA NTRS1981

International market assessment of stand-alone photovoltaic power systems for cottage industry applications

The final result of an international assessment of the market for stand-alone photovoltaic systems in cottage industry applications is reported. Nonindustrialized countries without centrally planned economies were considered. Cottage industries were defined as small rural manufacturers, employing less than 50 people, producing consumer and simple products. The data to support this analysis were obtained from secondary and expert sources in the U.S. and in-country field investigations of the Philippines and Mexico. The near-term market for photovoltaics for rural cottage industry applications appears to be limited to demonstration projects and pilot programs, based on an in-depth study of the nature of cottage industry, its role in the rural economy, the electric energy requirements of cottage industry, and a financial analysis of stand-alone photovoltaic systems as compared to their most viable competitor, diesel driven generators. Photovoltaics are shown to be a better long-term option only for very low power requirements. Some of these uses would include clay mixers, grinders, centrifuges, lathes, power saws and lighting of a workshop.

Philippi, T. M.↗

DOE OSTI2016

The Liquid Argon Software Toolkit (LArSoft): Goals, Status and Plan

LArSoft is a toolkit that provides a software infrastructure and algorithms for the simulation, reconstruction and analysis of events in Liquid Argon Time Projection Chambers (LArTPCs). It is used by the ArgoNeuT, LArIAT, MicroBooNE, DUNE (including 35ton prototype and ProtoDUNE) and SBND experiments. The LArSoft collaboration provides an environment for the development, use, and sharing of code across experiments. The ultimate goal is to develop fully automatic processes for reconstruction and analysis of LArTPC events. The toolkit is based on the art framework and has a well-defined architecture to interface to other packages, including to GEANT4 and GENIE simulation software and the Pandora software development kit for pattern recognition. It is designed to facilitate and support the evolution of algorithms including their transition to new computing platforms. The development of the toolkit is driven by the scientific stakeholders involved. The core infrastructure includes standard definitions of types and constants, means to input experiment geometries as well as meta and event- data in several formats, and relevant general utilities. Examples of algorithms experiments have contributed to date are: photon-propagation; particle identification; hit finding, track finding and fitting; electromagnetic shower identification and reconstruction. We report on the status of the toolkit and plans for future work.

Pordes, Rush↗

DOE OSTI2017

Cross-instrument Analysis Correlation Software

This program has been designed to assist with the tracking of a sample from one analytical instrument to another such as SEM, microscopes, micro x-ray diffraction and other instruments where particular positions/locations on the sample are examined, photographed, etc. The software is designed to easily enter the position of fiducials and locations of interest such that in a future session in the same of different instrument the positions of interest can be re-found through using the known location fiducials in the current and reference session to transform the point into the current sessions coordinate system. The software is dialog box driven guiding the user through the necessary data entry and program choices. Information is stored in a series of text based extensible markup language (XML) files.

McJunkin, TimothyR.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Analysis of RNA viral function from metatranscriptomic reads in drought simulated soils

Soil viruses have received increased interest in recent years because of their abundance and unelucidated potential as drivers for organic carbon derived from fungal and bacterial necromass. With decreasing levels of rainfall and climbing instances of unseasonal conditions, it becomes crucial to our goals for negative carbon emissions to understand how soil carbon flux is affected. Here we leveraged metatranscriptomic data from a section of research plot of Hopland Research and Extension in northern California with a suite of viral detection tools: VirSorter, DRAMv, and VContact2. We aimed to cross analyze moisture regiments with viral populations. We find that viral diversity is driven by site, like bacteria. We found that viral diversity at face value showed some differentiation but did not significantly differ by legacy moisture content. Additionally, there was detection of auxiliary metabolic genes in a viral sequence which may further support virus’s direct input into the soil carbon pool.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2017

Cross-instrument Analysis Correlation Software

McJunkin, Timothy R.↗

DOE OSTI2021

A temperature profile diagnostic for radiation waves on OMEGA-60

Predicting and matching radiation wave propagation with computational models has proven difficult. Information provided by experiments studying radiation flow has been limited when only radiation breakout is measured. We have developed the COAX (co-axial) diagnostic platform to provide spatial temperature profiles of a radiation wave through low density foams as a more detailed constraint for simulations. COAX uses a standard, laser-driven OMEGA-60 halfraum to drive radiation down a titanium-laden silicon oxide foam. Point-projection X-ray absorption spectroscopy perpendicular to the radiation flow measures the spatial profile of titanium ionization. The spectroscopic measurement utilizes a broadband capsule backlighter. Imaging and streak spectroscopy are used to characterize the size and spectrum of this source. Radiography provides an additional constraint by capturing the developing shock as the radiation flow becomes subsonic. The DANTE diagnostic is used to measure the halfraum temperature. Here, we provide a spectroscopic analysis of COAX data to determine temperature, and we describe experimental sources of uncertainty. The temperature is obtained by comparison to multi-temperature synthetic spectra post-processed from radiation-hydrodynamics simulations. Quantitative comparison between data and synthetic spectra generated from temperature profiles at relevant simulation times enable determination of a peak temperature of 114 ± 8 eV at 265 ± 22.4 μm from the halfraum. This represents an improvement over the temperature uncertainties of previous radiation flow experiments. Further refinements to the spectroscopic analysis could achieve ±4 eV. The combination between space-resolved spectroscopy and radiography enables us to determine the distance from the halfraum of both the radiation front and the shock front at the time of measurement. For the example shown in this paper the radiation front position is 600–630 μm at 3.43 ± 0.16 ns and the shock front position is 633 μm at 3.3 ± 0.24 ns.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2013

Alternating lags of QPO harmonics: A generic model and its application to the 67 mHz QPO of GRS 1915+105

A generic model for alternating lags in quasi-periodic oscillation (QPO) harmonics is presented where variations in the photon spectrum are caused by oscillations in two parameters that characterize the spectrum. It is further assumed that variations in one of the parameters are linearly driven by variations in the other after a time delay t{sub d} . It is shown that alternating lags will be observed for a range of t{sub d} values. A phenomenological model based on this generic one is developed that can explain the amplitude and phase lag variation with energy of the fundamental and the next three harmonics of the 67 mHz QPO observed in GRS 1915+105. The phenomenological model also predicts the variation of the Bicoherence phase with energy, which can be checked by further analysis of the observational data.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2020

TOI-1235 b: A Keystone Super-Earth for Testing Radius Valley Emergence Models around Early M Dwarfs

Small planets on close-in orbits tend to exhibit envelope mass fractions of either effectively zero or up to a few percent depending on their size and orbital period. Models of thermally driven atmospheric mass loss and of terrestrial planet formation in a gas-poor environment make distinct predictions regarding the location of this rocky/nonrocky transition in period–radius space. Here we present the confirmation of TOI-1235 b (P = 3.44 days, r{sub p}=1.738{sub −0.076}{sup +0.087} R{sub ⊕}), a planet whose size and period are intermediate between the competing model predictions, thus making the system an important test case for emergence models of the rocky/nonrocky transition around early M dwarfs (R {sub s} = 0.630 ± 0.015 R{sub ⊙}, M {sub s} = 0.640 ± 0.016 M{sub ⊙}). We confirm the TESS planet discovery using reconnaissance spectroscopy, ground-based photometry, high-resolution imaging, and a set of 38 precise radial velocities (RVs) from HARPS-N and HIRES. We measure a planet mass of 6.91{sub −0.85}{sup +0.75} M{sub ⊕}, which implies an iron core mass fraction of 20{sub −12}{sup +15}% in the absence of a gaseous envelope. The bulk composition of TOI-1235 b is therefore consistent with being Earth-like, and we constrain an H/He envelope mass fraction to be <0.5% at 90% confidence. Our results are consistent with model predictions from thermally driven atmospheric mass loss but not with gas-poor formation, suggesting that the former class of processes remains efficient at sculpting close-in planets around early M dwarfs. Our RV analysis also reveals a strong periodicity close to the first harmonic of the photometrically determined stellar rotation period that we treat as stellar activity, despite other lines of evidence favoring a planetary origin (P=21.8{sub −0.8}{sup +0.9} days, m{sub p}sin i=13.0{sub −5.3}{sup +3.8} M{sub ⊕}) that cannot be firmly ruled out by our data.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Progress Towards a Predictive Eagle Behavior and Risk Modeling Framework: Overview and Recent Validation Efforts

This presentation summarizes progress to date of the U.S. Department of Energy project, "Development of a computational framework for modeling golden eagles (Aquila chrysaetos) near wind farms," which focuses on stochastic behavioral modeling of soaring raptors across landscape, facility, and turbine spatiotemporal scales. This publicly available, open-source modeling framework includes behavioral models based on three different underlying principles: energy minimization at landscape scale, behavioral heuristics at landscape-facility scale, and data-driven behaviors at the facility-micro-scale. We will briefly overview the key advancements in the behavioral modeling state of the art, which leverages multiple high-resolution telemetry data sources combined with high-fidelity atmospheric flow modeling insights. We then present preliminary results from a validation study in Altamont, California. This new study involves a novel application of the Stochastic Soaring Raptor Simulator (SSRS), in a new geographic locale, to understand facility scale eagle movement patterns over time scales representative of a wind project's lifetime. For this desktop analysis (that does not depend on any high-performance computing resources), SSRS simultaneously considers a variety of wind conditions and eagle approach vectors toward a project site of interest. This work demonstrates the integration of publicly available landscape-scale atmospheric datasets, our recently improved engineering updraft models (see presentation from Thedin et al.), and our energy minimization behavioral models within the SSRS framework. While we only present results from a single behavioral model, the integration of these three modeling components forms the foundation for our more sophisticated behavioral models (see presentations from Brandes et al., Sandhu et al.) that are under active development. Results are presented in the form of presence maps, which may be applied to estimate risk to wildlife, augment ground survey data, inform wind-plant operations, or incorporated into wind-plant designs.

agent-based modeling↗

DOE OSTI2016

Life Extension of Nuclear Plant Facilities through Monitoring and Detailed Analysis - 16175

The UK has accumulated a substantial legacy of radioactive waste from various civil nuclear and defence programmes. Presently, however most of the UK radioactive waste is generated from nine power stations which generate approximately one sixth of the of the country's electricity. Irradiated fuel is removed from these reactors and safe management of the radioactive solid and liquid effluents is required. The safe management of these effluents is essential. Sellafield, in West Cumbria UK, contains two reprocessing plants, one designed to process nuclear fuel from Magnox reactors (CO{sub 2} cooled with Uranium bar fuel) and the other to process nuclear fuel from Advanced Gas cooled Reactors and Pressurized Water Reactors. The reprocessing stage enables extraction of fissile material for recycling. This leaves a volume of dilute but high-level waste. The high-level radioactive liquid waste is concentrated to reduce its volume and then incorporated into borosilicate glass, using a process called vitrification. The glass is then poured into stainless steel containers and placed in long term storage. This required concentration of HLW liquor is achieved using a suite of aging evaporators. All evaporators are of similar design constructed from corrosion resistant stainless steel having dimensions height ∼11 m, internal diameter 3.05 m and capable of holding 13.7 m{sup 3} of liquor. The basic principle of operation is to heat the dilute liquor under partial vacuum, at constant volume, until the target concentration is achieved. Heating of the liquor is achieved using steam heated coils within the evaporator, and steam in the jacket which surrounds the lower half of the evaporator vessel. The evaporator is then brought to atmospheric pressure and the concentrated liquor is ejected whilst hot. The evaporator is then cooled with water cooled coils and a water filled jacket. New dilute liquor is then added for a new batch. The process is then repeated. As the evaporators reach the end of their original design life accurate prediction of the current condition of nuclear plant facilities is essential to safely justify continued plant operation by ensuring structural integrity. This poses a significant challenge as many aging UK nuclear facilities were not inherently built with inspection in mind. The potential life limiting components of the HA evaporators at Sellafield are the surfaces that contact the product liquor at elevated temperatures i.e. the steam heated surfaces of the coils within the evaporator vessel and the vessel base and wall surrounded by the steam jacket. Each heating component is critical to the operational life of the evaporator - the removal from service of a coil heating component significantly reduces the operational flexibility and remnant life of this plant. Over the last decade a variety of cutting-edge expertise and methodologies have been utilised to accurately measure and then predict the current condition of the plant and also to predict its remnant life. This paper provides an overview of the development of several techniques deployed, namely non-destructive testing/inspection, in-house software development and finite element modelling. These methods have been validated by lab-scale or full-scale experiments along with historical plant data. These techniques have been evolved and refined for over a decade, providing vital insights into the physical behaviour of this complex reprocessing system. This enables not only accurate assessment of the current condition of the plant equipment but also allows scientifically underpinned predictions to be made of how it will behave into the future. This is critical for Sellafield as this knowledge feeds into their safety case to the Office of Nuclear Regulation to justify continued operation. It is concluded that this integrated approach provides a robust analysis tool which has driven change and optimisation of plant procedures ensuring continued safe operation whilst extending the life of the facility. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2025

Origin of Stabilization of Ligand-Centered Mixed Valence Ruthenium Azopyridine Complexes: DFT Insights for Neuromorphic Applications

Redox-driven conductance changes are critical processes in molecular- and coordination-complex-based memristive thin films and devices that are envisioned for neuromorphic technologies, but fundamental mechanisms of conductance switching are not fully understood. Here, we explore charge disproportionation (CD) processes in [Ru II L 2 ](PF 6 ) 2 molecular systems that intrinsically involve interfragment charge transfer (IFCT). Using a combination of ab initio molecular dynamics simulation (AIMD), time-dependent density functional theory (TD-DFT), and density functional theory (DFT) calculations, we investigate the electron transfer mechanisms and the roles of temperature and cell volumetric expansion in facilitating the counterion movements and electronic transitions required for low-cost IFCT and charge redistribution. A detailed analysis of the density of states and TD-DFT calculations highlights that unpaired electrons play a crucial role in low-energy transitions, with the azo (N=N) groups of the ligand serving as the primary sites for electronic transport between molecular fragments, further stabilizing the asymmetric state. Localization of added electrons on azo ligands occurs with negligible change at the Ru centers, supported by atomic volume expansions up to +4.74 bohr 3 , and goes along with a progressive reduction of the HOMO−LUMO gap across redox states, suggesting enhanced conductivity. The TD-DFT analysis reveals a dominant IFCT excitation at 2082.76 nm in the doubly reduced (22) state, while a stabilization energy of 1.20 eV of the asymmetric (13) state relative to the symmetric (22) state is predicted by constrained DFT. Periodic DFT and AIMD simulations emulating a molecular film show that the stabilization of the asymmetric state, relative to a symmetric one, translates in net charge separation values (order of ∼0.33 e) that are strongly linked to increased counterion mobility (average counterion displacements exceeding 0.7 Å per atom during CD events) and the involvement of azo groups in electron redistribution. These findings, which align with previously reported experimental and computational data, provide key insights into the IFCT mechanisms and electronic transport facilitated by azo groups, with important implications for redox-driven memristive and neuromorphic technologies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Simulating Impacts of Extreme Events on Grids with High Penetrations of Wind Power Resources

As extreme weather events become more frequent and intense, the demand for connecting grid operation and infrastructure planning with extreme event models will increase as well. We present a methodology for creating damage contingencies and scenarios for electric transmission grids during a hurricane strike. Using WIND Toolkit meteorological data in conjunction with fragility curves for various electric grid elements, we generate stochastic damage scenarios that can be used for short- and long-term planning problems, e.g., emergency asset management. Included is an example case study: Hurricane Dolly damaging a synthetic 2000-bus test system during its landing in Southern Texas. We perform statistical analysis of damages and discuss topological effects on the example synthetic grid. Also, we include a cursory evaluation of impacts using simplified operational models. Finally, we discuss how our method can be extended to use even higher-fidelity meteorological data sets and suggest directions for future work.

contingencies↗

DOE OSTI2022

Simulating Impacts of Extreme Events on Grids with High Penetrations of Wind Power Resources

As extreme weather events become more frequent and intense, the demand for connecting grid operation and infrastructure planning with extreme event models will increase as well. We present a methodology for creating damage contingencies and scenarios for electric transmission grids during a hurricane strike. Included is an example case study: Hurricane Dolly damaging a synthetic 2000 bus test system during its landing in Southern Texas. Using WIND Toolkit meteorological data in conjunction with fragility curves for various electric grid elements, we generate stochastic damage scenarios that can be used for short- and long-term planning problems including emergency asset management. We perform statistical analysis of damages and quantify topological effects on example synthetic grid. Also, we investigate loss-of-load events during two-day economic dispatch experiment. Finally, we point out various shortcomings of our method and suggest how it can be improved.

data-driven forecasting↗

DOE OSTI2022

Process mining for healthcare: Characteristics and challenges

Process mining techniques can be used to analyse business processes using the data logged during their execution. These techniques are leveraged in a wide range of domains, including healthcare, where it focuses mainly on the analysis of diagnostic, treatment, and organisational processes. Despite the huge amount of data generated in hospitals by staff and machinery involved in healthcare processes, there is no evidence of a systematic uptake of process mining beyond targeted case studies in a research context. When developing and using process mining in healthcare, distinguishing characteristics of healthcare processes such as their variability and patient-centred focus require targeted attention. Against this background, the Process-Oriented Data Science in Healthcare Alliance has been established to propagate the research and application of techniques targeting the data-driven improvement of healthcare processes. This paper, an initiative of the alliance, presents the distinguishing characteristics of the healthcare domain that need to be considered to successfully use process mining, as well as open challenges that need to be addressed by the community in the future.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Techno-Economic Evaluation of Electrified Vehicle Options in Drayage Fleets

The electrification of drayage fleets offers potential economic and operational benefits, but the financial viability of electrified vehicles remains sensitive to battery cost, energy price, and fleet usage patterns. While total cost of ownership (TCO) is a useful benchmark, fleet operators and investors are equally concerned with investment performance metrics such as payback period (PB) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR), which better reflect financial risks and investment return timelines. This study develops a unified techno-economic framework that jointly evaluates TCO, PB, and IRR to determine when electrified trucks become cost-effective alternatives to diesel trucks. Building on a previously developed cost modeling tool and using real-world telematics data from a Class 8 drayage fleet at the Port of Savannah, the analysis incorporates projected battery cost trajectories, electricity and diesel price trends, vehicle efficiency improvements, and multiple battery capacities. Parameter ranges reflect widely cited projections and observed drayage-duty-cycle variability. A surrogate-modeling method approximates economic performance across thousands of battery cost–electricity price combinations, enabling high-resolution identification of conditions that achieve TCO parity, acceptable PB thresholds, and target IRR levels. Additionally, the study estimates the evolving share of the fleet that can feasibly electrify over time under multiple economic metrics. This integrated framework offers a novel, data-driven approach to inform risk-aware decision-making for fleet electrification and supports investment planning under evolving cost and operational conditions.

Sun, Ruixiao [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000341768676)↗

NASA NTRS2011

Probabilistic Analysis of a Composite Crew Module

An approach for conducting reliability-based analysis (RBA) of a Composite Crew Module (CCM) is presented. The goal is to identify and quantify the benefits of probabilistic design methods for the CCM and future space vehicles. The coarse finite element model from a previous NASA Engineering and Safety Center (NESC) project is used as the baseline deterministic analysis model to evaluate the performance of the CCM using a strength-based failure index. The first step in the probabilistic analysis process is the determination of the uncertainty distributions for key parameters in the model. Analytical data from water landing simulations are used to develop an uncertainty distribution, but such data were unavailable for other load cases. The uncertainty distributions for the other load scale factors and the strength allowables are generated based on assumed coefficients of variation. Probability of first-ply failure is estimated using three methods: the first order reliability method (FORM), Monte Carlo simulation, and conditional sampling. Results for the three methods were consistent. The reliability is shown to be driven by first ply failure in one region of the CCM at the high altitude abort load set. The final predicted probability of failure is on the order of 10-11 due to the conservative nature of the factors of safety on the deterministic loads.

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