Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “discrimination”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 1,747 records · Page 97

Systematic quark/gluon identification with ratios of likelihoods

Discriminating between quark- and gluon-initiated jets has long been a central focus of jet substructure, leading to the introduction of numerous observables and calculations to high perturbative accuracy. At the same time, there have been many attempts to fully exploit the jet radiation pattern using tools from statistics and machine learning. We propose a new approach that combines a deep analytic understanding of jet substructure with the optimality promised by machine learning and statistics. After specifying an approximation to the full emission phase space, we show how to construct the optimal observable for a given classification task. This procedure is demonstrated for the case of quark and gluons jets, where we show how to systematically capture sub-eikonal corrections in the splitting functions, and prove that linear combinations of weighted multiplicity is the optimal observable. In addition to providing a new and powerful framework for systematically improving jet substructure observables, we demonstrate the performance of several quark versus gluon jet tagging observables in parton-level Monte Carlo simulations, and find that they perform at or near the level of a deep neural network classifier. Combined with the rapid recent progress in the development of higher order parton showers, we believe that our approach provides a basis for systematically exploiting subleading effects in jet substructure analyses at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) and beyond.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Caffeine improves reaction time, vigilance and logical reasoning during extended periods with restricted opportunities for sleep

Rationale Various occupational groups are required to maintain optimal physical and cognitive function during overnight periods of wakefulness, often with less than optimal sleep. Strategies are required to help mitigate the impairments in cognitive function to help sustain workplace safety and productivity. Objectives To test the effectiveness of repeated 200 mg doses of caffeine on cognitive function and live-fire marksmanship with soldiers during three successive nights of sustained wakefulness followed by 4-h afternoon sleep periods. Methods Twenty Special Forces personnel (28.6±4.7 years, 177.6±7.5 cm and 81.2±8.0 kg) were randomly assigned to receive four 200-mg doses of caffeine (n=10) or placebo (n= 10) during the late evening and early morning hours during three successive days. An afternoon 4-h sleep period followed. The psychomotor (PVT) and field (FVT) vigilance, logical reasoning (LRT) tests and a vigilance monitor assessed cognitive function throughout the study. Live-fire marksmanship requiring friend–foe discrimination was assessed. Results Caffeine maintained speed on the PVT (p<0.02), improved detection of events during FVT (p<0.001), increased number of correct responses to stimuli as assessed by the vigilance monitor (p<0.001) and increased response speed during the LRT (p<0.001) throughout the three overnight testing periods. Live-fire marksmanship was not altered by caffeine. Conclusions A total daily dose of 800 mg caffeine during successive overnight periods of wakefulness is an effective strategy to maintain cognitive function when optimal sleep periods during the day are not available.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

High-resolution time-of-flight mass spectrometry fingerprinting of metabolites from cecum and distal colon contents of rats fed resistant starch

Time-of-flight mass spectrometry along with statistical analysis was utilized to study metabolic profiles among rats fed resistant starch (RS) diets. Fischer 344 rats were fed four starch diets consisting of 55 % (w/w, dbs) starch. A control starch diet consisting of corn starch was compared against three RS diets. The RS diets were high-amylose corn starch (HA7), HA7 chemically modified with octenyl succinic anhydride, and stearic-acid-complexed HA7 starch. A subgroup received antibiotic treatment to determine if perturbations in the gut microbiome were long lasting. A second subgroup was treated with azoxymethane (AOM), a carcinogen. At the end of the 8-week study, cecal and distal colon content samples were collected from the sacrificed rats. Metabolites were extracted from cecal and distal colon samples into acetonitrile. The extracts were then analyzed on an accurate-mass time-of-flight mass spectrometer to obtain their metabolic profile. The data were analyzed using partial least-squares discriminant analysis (PLS-DA). The PLS-DA analysis utilized a training set and verification set to classify samples within diet and treatment groups. PLS-DA could reliably differentiate the diet treatments for both cecal and distal colon samples. The PLS-DA analyses of the antibiotic and no antibiotic-treated subgroups were well classified for cecal samples and modestly separated for distal colon samples. PLS-DA analysis had limited success separating distal colon samples for rats given AOM from those not treated; the cecal samples from AOM had very poor classification. Mass spectrometry profiling coupled with PLS-DA can readily classify metabolite differences among rats given RS diets.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Chemical tagging of chlorinated phenols for their facile detection and analysis by NMR spectroscopy

A derivatization method that employs diethyl (bromodifluoromethyl) phosphonate (DBDFP) to efficiently tag the endocrine disruptor pentachlorophenol (PCP) and other chlorinated phenols (CPs) along with their reliable detection and analysis by NMR is presented. The method accomplishes the efficient alkylation of the hydroxyl group in CPs with the difluoromethyl (CF 2 H) moiety in extremely rapid fashion (5 min), at room temperature and in an environmentally benign manner. The approach proved successful in difluoromethylating a panel of 18 chlorinated phenols, yielding derivatives that displayed unique 1 H, 19 F NMR spectra allowing for the clear discrimination between isomerically related CPs. Due to its biphasic nature, the derivatization can be applied to both aqueous and organic mixtures where the analysis of CPs is required. Furthermore, the methodology demonstrates that PCP along with other CPs can be selectively derivatized in the presence of other various aliphatic alcohols, underscoring the superiority of the approach over other general derivatization methods that indiscriminately modify all analytes in a given sample. The present work demonstrates the first application of NMR on the qualitative analysis of these highly toxic and environmentally persistent species.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Examining the Effects of Chronic Selenium Exposure on Traditionally Used Stress Parameters in Juvenile American Alligators ( Alligator mississippiensis )

Environmental contaminants, such as the trace element selenium (Se), are a continuing concern to species worldwide due to their potential pathophysiological effects, including their influence on the stress response mediated through glucocorticoids (GCs; stress hormones). Environmental concentrations of Se are increasing due to anthropogenic activities, including the incomplete combustion of coal and subsequent disposal of coal combustion wastes. However, most studies examining how Se affects GCs have been focused on lower trophic organisms. The objectives of this study were to investigate the effects of long-term Se exposure on traditionally used stress parameters and to identify which of these parameters best indicate Se accumulation in liver and kidney of the American alligator (Alligator mississippiensis), a top trophic carnivore found in the southeastern United States and known to inhabit Se-containing areas. Alligators were divided into three dietary treatments and fed prey spiked with 1000 or 2000 ppm selenomethionine (SeMet) or deionized water (control treatment) for 7 weeks. Following the 7-week treatment protocol, blood and tissue samples were obtained to measure plasma corticosterone (CORT; the main crocodilian GC), tail scute CORT, the ratio of peripheral blood heterophils (H) to lymphocytes (L) as H/L ratio, and body condition. To evaluate which parameter best indicated Se accumulation in the liver and kidney, principal component and discriminant analyses were performed. The only parameter significantly correlated with liver and kidney Se concentrations was scute CORT. Furthermore, our results suggest that measurement of CORT in tail scutes, when compared to plasma CORT, H/L ratios, and body condition, is the best indicator of Se-exposure and accumulation in crocodilians.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

MR texture analysis: potential imaging biomarker for predicting the chemotherapeutic response of patients with colorectal liver metastases

Purpose: The purpose of the study was to determine whether the pre-treated MR texture features of colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs) are predictive of therapeutic response after chemotherapy. Methods: The study included twenty-six consecutive patients (a total of 193 liver metastasis) with unrespectable CRLMs at our institution from August 2014 to February 2016. Lesions were categorized into either responding group or non-responding group according to changes in size. Texture analysis was quantified on T2-weighted images by two radiologists with consensus on regions of interest which were manually drawn on the largest cross-sectional area of the lesions. Five histogram features (mean, variance, skewness, kurtosis, and entropy{sup 1}) and five gray level co-occurrence matrix features (GLCM; angular second moment (ASM), entropy{sup 2}, contrast, correlation, and inverse difference moment (IDM)) were extracted. The texture parameters were statistically analyzed to identify the differences between the two groups, and the potential predictive parameters to differentiate the responding group from the non-responding group were subsequently tested using multivariable logistic regression analysis. Results: A total of 107 responding and 86 non-responding lesions were evaluated. A higher variance, entropy{sup 1}, contrast, entropy{sup 2} and a lower ASM, correlation, IDM were independently (P < 0.05) associated with a good response to chemotherapy with the areas under the ROC curves (AUCs) of 0.602–0.784. Variance (P < 0.001) and ASM (P = 0.001) remained potential predictive values to discriminate responding lesions from non-responding lesions when tested using multivariable logistic regression analysis. The highest AUC of the predictors from the association of variance and ASM was 0.814. Conclusion: MR texture features on pre-treated T2 images have the potential to predict the therapeutic response of colorectal liver metastases.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Computed tomography-based texture analysis of bladder cancer: differentiating urothelial carcinoma from micropapillary carcinoma

Purpose: The purpose of the study is to determine the feasibility of using computed tomography-based texture analysis (CTTA) in differentiating between urothelial carcinomas (UC) of the bladder from micropapillary carcinomas (MPC) of the bladder. Methods: Regions of interests (ROIs) of computerized tomography (CT) images of 33 MPCs and 33 UCs were manually segmented and saved. Custom MATLAB code was used to extract voxel information corresponding to the ROI. The segmented tumors were input to a pre-existing radiomics platform with a CTTA panel. A total of 58 texture metrics were extracted using four different texture extraction techniques and statistically analyzed using a Wilcoxon rank-sum test to determine the differences between UCs and MPCs. Results: Of the 58 texture metrics extracted using the gray level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM) and gray level difference matrix (GLDM), 28 texture metrics were statistically significant (p < 0.05) for differences in tumor textures and 27 texture metrics were statistically significant (p < 0.05) for peritumoral fat textures. The remaining nine metrics extracted using histogram and fast Fourier transform analyses did not show significant differences between the textures of the tumors and their peritumoral fat. Conclusions: CTTA shows that MPC have a more heterogeneous texture compared to UC. As visual discrimination of MPC from UC from clinical CT scans are difficult, results from this study suggest that tumor heterogeneity extracted using GLCM and GLDM may be a good imaging aid in segregating MPC from UC. This tool can aid clinicians in further sub-classifying bladder cancers on routine imaging, a process which has potential to alter treatment and patient care.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Evaluation of acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) elastography as non-invasive diagnostic tool in living donor liver transplantation

Background and aims: Role of acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) elastography, in transplant setting, is not well established. We aimed to define the normal mean values of the liver stiffness by ARFI Elastography in healthy liver donors and to evaluate ARFI elastography as predictor of graft fibrosis post living donor liver transplant (LDLT) in comparison to other non-invasive methods (transient elastography [TE], APRI and FIB4). Patients and methods: A total of 100 subjects (70 recipients and 30 donors) were recruited. APRI and FIB4 scores were calculated for all recipients. TE and ARFI elastography (Siemens Acuson S2000 Ultrasound System, Germany) were performed to all subjects. All donors and only 30 recipients had liver biopsy. Significant fibrosis was defined as ≥ F2. Results: The mean ARFI velocity among the donors was 1.05 ± 0.09 m/s. Regarding the recipients: mean age was 49.5 ± 8.49 years, 85.7% males, fibrosis stages < F2 were the most frequent stages by liver biopsy (86.7%) and TE (67.1%). ARFI median was significantly correlated with TE median, APRI and FIB-4 (r = 0.888, p = 0.000; r = 0.62, p = 0.000, and r = 0.585, p = 0.000, respectively). ARFI performed well in discriminating patients with ≥ F2 (AUROC = 0.93, 95% CI 0.86–0.99, p < 0.01) with best cutoff median value of 1.34 m/s (sensitivity 90%, specificity 82%). Conclusion: ARFI can be used as a reliable method in assessment of significant fibrosis post-LDLT.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Characterization of renal stone composition by using fast kilovoltage switching dual-energy computed tomography compared to laboratory stone analysis: a pilot study

Purpose: To prospectively examine the diagnostic performance of fast kilovoltage switching dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) in characterization of in vivo renal stone composition compared with postoperative stone analysis. Methods: Consecutive consenting patients scheduled for endoscopic kidney stone surgery in a tertiary referral hospital from June 2015 to January 2016 were enrolled. Patients were preoperatively scanned with single-source, fast kilovoltage switching DECT. Stone compositions were determined regarding the effective atomic number measurements. Results of the stone compositions from DECT were compared to postoperative infrared spectroscopy stone analysis as the standard reference. Results: For the 39 patients enrolled in the study, DECT was able to detect uric acid stone with sensitivity of 88.9% and specificity of 100%. There was 100% positive predictive value, 96.8% negative predictive value, and 97.4% accuracy. For non-contrast CT scan, sensitivity was 88.9%, specificity was 96.7%, positive predictive value was 88.9%, negative predictive value was 96.7%, and accuracy was 94.8%. Of the 39 samples examined, 21 (54%) were single composition, whereas 18 (46%) were combined. Single composition stones were correctly characterized by DECT in 100% (8/8) for uric acid. Whereas the result of uric acid stone containing stone discrimination in mixed composition was not so good with Z{sub eff} alone, iodine imaging can compensated this fault. Conclusions: DECT provides excellent accuracy in characterizing uric acid stone compositions. With the addition of iodine image, all of uric acid-containing stones can be determined by the DECT.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Prenatal planning of placenta previa: diagnostic accuracy of a novel MRI-based prediction model for placenta accreta spectrum (PAS) and clinical outcome

Purpose: To investigate the diagnostic accuracy of MRI for placenta accreta spectrum (PAS) and clinical outcome prediction in women with placenta previa, using a novel MRI-based predictive model. Methods: Thirty-eight placental MRI exams performed on a 1.5T scanner were retrospectively reviewed by two radiologists in consensus. The presence of T2 dark bands, myometrial thinning, abnormal vascularity, uterine bulging, placental heterogeneity, placental protrusion sign, placental recess, and percretism signs was scored using a 5-point scale. Pathology and clinical intrapartum findings were the standard of reference for PAS, while intrapartum/peripartum bleeding and emergency hysterectomy defined the clinical outcome. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and discriminant function analysis were performed to test the predictive power of MRI findings for both PAS and clinical outcome prediction. Results: Abnormal vascularity and percretism signs were the two most predictive MRI features of PAS. The area under the curve (AUC) of the predictive function was 0.833 (cutoff 0.39, 67% sensitivity, 100% specificity, p = 0.001). Percretism signs and myometrial thinning were the two most predictive MRI features of poor outcome. AUC of the predictive function was 0.971 (cutoff − 0.55, 100% sensitivity, 77% specificity, p < 0.001). Conclusion: The diagnostic accuracy of MRI, especially considering the combination of the most predictive MRI findings, is higher when the target of the prediction is the clinical outcome rather than the PAS.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Usefulness of rapid kV-switching dual energy CT in renal tumor characterization

Purpose: To investigate whether iodine content can discriminate between benign or malignant renal tumors, malign tumor subtypes, low-grade and high-grade tumors on rapid kv-switching dual-energy CT (rsDECT). Methods: This prospective study enrolled 95 patients with renal tumors who underwent rsDECT for tumor characterization between 2016 and 2018. Attenuation on true and virtual unenhanced images, absolute enhancement and enhancement ratio and iodine content of each lesion on nephrographic phase iodine density images were measured. Histopathological diagnosis was obtained following either surgery or core biopsy. Results: Eighty-five tumors were renal cell carcinoma (RCC) (56 clear cell, 20 papillary, 9 chromophobe) and 10 were benign (6 angiomyolipoma,4 oncocytoma). 46 tumors were low-grade and 23 high-grade. There was significant difference between iodine content of clear cell and non-clear cell (papillary + chromophobe) RCC (p < 0.001). However, no significant iodine content differences were found between papillary and chromophobe RCC, benign and malignant tumors, low-grade and high-grade tumors. The best cut-off iodine content for differentiating clear cell from non-clear cell RCC was 3.2 mg/ml and clear cell from papillary RCC was 2.9 mg/ml with a high sensitivity and specificity. Also, significant difference was found between attenuation values of true and virtual unenhanced images (p = 0.007). Mean iodine content, absolute enhancement and enhancement ratio were highly correlated. Conclusion: rsDECT contributes to renal tumor characterization by showing higher iodine content in clear cell RCCs compared with non-clear cell RCCs.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Differentiation of aggressive from non-aggressive pancreatic solid pseudopapillary neoplasms using computed tomography

Purposes: Microscopic aggressive behaviors may be related with the prognosis of solid pseudopapillary neoplasms (SPNs). In this study, we investigate computed tomography (CT) features and differential diagnosis of aggressive and non-aggressive SPNs in pancreas. Materials and methods: 122 patients with pathologically proven SPNs in pancreas were included. Patients’ age, tumor site, texture, shape, margins, exophytic growth, capsule, calcification, hemorrhage, pancreatic duct dilatation or pancreatic parenchyma atrophy, peripancreatic infiltration or metastases, vascular encasement, and enhancement pattern were assessed. The diagnostic accuracy was analyzed by using the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). Results: There were 30 aggressive SPNs and 92 non-aggressive SPNs. Aggressive SPNs showed significantly higher frequencies of an ill-defined margin, patient age > 40.5 years, and tumor size < 42.1 mm, but lower frequencies of complete capsule, hemorrhage compared with non-aggressive SPNs (p < 0.05). Lack of complete capsule and age > 40.5 years were independent risk factors of aggressive SPNs (odd ratio 7.08 and 3.1, respectively). When we applied the two predictors in the logistic regression model, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.77 with sensitivity of 86.7% and specificity of 55.4%. Conclusion: Size less than 42.1 mm, lack of complete capsule, ill-defined, and absent bleeding are useful CT imaging features for predicating aggressive SPNs. Patient age > 40.5 years and lack of complete capsule showed acceptable diagnostic performance for discriminating aggressive from non-aggressive SPNs.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Performance of a machine learning-based decision model to help clinicians decide the extent of lymphadenectomy (D1 vs. D2) in gastric cancer before surgical resection

Background: Controversy still exists on the optimal surgical resection for potentially curable gastric cancer (GC). Use of radiologic evaluation and machine learning algorithms might predict extent of lymphadenectomy to limit unnecessary surgical treatment. We purposed to design a machine learning-based clinical decision-support model for predicting extent of lymphadenectomy (D1 vs. D2) in local advanced GC. Methods: Clinicoradiologic features available from routine clinical assignments in 557 patients with GCs were retrospectively interpreted by an expert panel blinded to all histopathologic information. All patients underwent surgery using standard D2 resection. Decision models were developed with a logistic regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM) and auto-encoder (AE) algorithm in 371 training and tested in 186 test data, respectively. The primary end point was to measure diagnostic performance of decision model and a Japanese gastric cancer treatment guideline version 4th (JPN 4th) criteria for discriminate D1 (pT1 + pN0) versus D2 (≥ pT1 + ≥ pN1) lymphadenectomy. Results: The decision model with AE analysis produced highest area under ROC curve (train: 0.965, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.948–0.978; test: 0.946, 95% CI 0.925–0.978), followed by SVM (train: 0.925, 95% CI 0.902–0.944; test: 0.942, 95% CI 0.922–0.973) and LR (train: 0.886, 95% CI 0.858–0.910; test: 0.891, 95% CI 0.891–0.952). By this improvement, overtreatment was reduced from 21.7% (121/557) by treat-all pattern, to 15.1% (84/557) by JPN 4th criteria, and to 0.7–0.9% (4–5/557) by the new approach. Conclusions: The decision model with machine learning analysis demonstrates high accuracy for identifying patients who are candidates for D1 versus D2 resection. Its approximate 14–20% improvements in overtreatment compared to treat-all pattern and JPN 4th criteria potentially increase the number of patients with local advanced GCs who can safely avoid unnecessary lymphadenectomy.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Histogram Analysis of CT Perfusion of Hepatocellular Carcinoma for Predicting Response to Transarterial Radioembolization: Value of Tumor Heterogeneity Assessment

PurposeTo evaluate in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), whether assessment of tumor heterogeneity by histogram analysis of computed tomography (CT) perfusion helps predicting response to transarterial radioembolization (TARE).Materials and MethodsSixteen patients (15 male; mean age 65 years; age range 47–80 years) with HCC underwent CT liver perfusion for treatment planning prior to TARE with Yttrium-90 microspheres. Arterial perfusion (AP) derived from CT perfusion was measured in the entire tumor volume, and heterogeneity was analyzed voxel-wise by histogram analysis. Response to TARE was evaluated on follow-up imaging (median follow-up, 129 days) based on modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST). Results of histogram analysis and mean AP values of the tumor were compared between responders and non-responders. Receiver operating characteristics were calculated to determine the parameters’ ability to discriminate responders from non-responders.ResultsAccording to mRECIST, 8 patients (50 %) were responders and 8 (50 %) non-responders. Comparing responders and non-responders, the 50th and 75th percentile of AP derived from histogram analysis was significantly different [AP 43.8/54.3 vs. 27.6/34.3 mL min{sup −1} 100 mL{sup −1}); p < 0.05], while the mean AP of HCCs (43.5 vs. 27.9 mL min{sup −1} 100 mL{sup −1}; p > 0.05) was not. Further heterogeneity parameters from histogram analysis (skewness, coefficient of variation, and 25th percentile) did not differ between responders and non-responders (p > 0.05). If the cut-off for the 75th percentile was set to an AP of 37.5 mL min{sup −1} 100 mL{sup −1}, therapy response could be predicted with a sensitivity of 88 % (7/8) and specificity of 75 % (6/8).ConclusionVoxel-wise histogram analysis of pretreatment CT perfusion indicating tumor heterogeneity of HCC improves the pretreatment prediction of response to TARE.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

Data-Driven, In Situ, Relative Sensor Calibration Based on Waveform Fitting Moment Tensor Inversion

This article presents a deconvolution-based methodology for the relative calibration of acoustic emission sensors. The method uses the observations from multiple acoustic emission arrivals to estimate correction functions that account for instrument response and site effects. The corrections act on the measurements reshaping the wave arrivals, in many cases allowing visible discrimination between compressional and shear phases. The methodology is illustrated with the application on a dataset obtained during the hydraulic fracturing at triaxial stress conditions of a Colton sandstone block. A workflow for the estimation of full moment tensor solutions, including the generation of quality control attributes complements the presentation. The moment tensor solutions display fracture geometries mostly aligned with the main hydraulic fracture’s plane. The style of activation can be associated with an extensive stress regime before breakdown and to a compressional stress regime after breakdown, when the pumps were reversed to withdraw fluid from the block. In conclusion, the source types commonly deviate from the pure double-couple type; however, the deviations are under 30° in the case of opening fractures, and under 20° in the case of closing fractures. Therefore, the acoustic emissions in this experiment are the result of predominantly shearing dislocations.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Coastal-Fog Microphysics Using In-Situ Observations and GOES-R Retrievals

Here, the objective of this work is to evaluate GOES-R based fog conditions occurred during the C-FOG (Toward Improving Coastal Fog Prediction) field campaign. C-FOG is designed to advance understanding of fog formation, development, and dissipation over coastal environments to improve its predictability. The project took place along coastlines and open water environments of Eastern Canada (Nova Scotia, NS and the Island of Newfoundland, NL) during August-October of 2018 where environmental conditions play an important role for late season’s fog formation. During the C-FOG field campaign, instruments were located at the Ferryland Supersite, NL, with 2 main sites, and five satellite sites, as well as on the Research Vessel (R/V) Hugh R. Sharp. Key measurement instruments included a Gondola carrying a CDP (cloud droplet probe) and a BCP (backscatter cloud probe) was used for measuring droplet spectra from 1-75 µm on the R/V. A LPM (laser precipitation monitor) with 100 µm-1 cm size range and an OPC (optical particle counter) with 0.3-17 µm at 16 spectral channels provided information for fog and drizzle discrimination. Remote sensing platforms (e.g. profiling microwave radiometer, PMWR), Ceilometer, Lidar), meteorological towers, tethered balloons, and GOES-R products (e.g. fog coverage and droplet size and liquid water path) were used to evaluate fog over horizontal and vertical dimensions. Results suggest that effective radius, phase, liquid water path, and liquid water content values obtained from GOES-R and PMWR were comparable to ground based in-situ observations. It is concluded that integration of observations and nowcasting products may help improve short term local fog predictions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Failure prediction using machine learning in a virtualised HPC system and application

Failure is an increasingly important issue in high performance computing and cloud systems. As large-scale systems continue to grow in scale and complexity, mitigating the impact of failure and providing accurate predictions with sufficient lead time remains a challenging research problem. Traditional existing fault-tolerance strategies such as regular check-pointing and replication are not adequate because of the emerging complexities of high performance computing systems. This necessitates the importance of having an effective as well as proactive failure management approach in place aimed at minimizing the effect of failure within the system. With the advent of machine learning techniques, the ability to learn from past information to predict future pattern of behaviours makes it possible to predict potential system failure more accurately. Thus, in this paper, we explore the predictive abilities of machine learning by applying a number of algorithms to improve the accuracy of failure prediction. We have developed a failure prediction model using time series and machine learning, and performed comparison based tests on the prediction accuracy. The primary algorithms we considered are the support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), k-nearest neighbors (KNN), classification and regression trees (CART) and linear discriminant analysis (LDA). Experimental results indicates that the average prediction accuracy of our model using SVM when predicting failure is 90% accurate and effective compared to other algorithms. This finding implies that our method can effectively predict all possible future system and application failures within the system.

Mohammed, Bashir↗

In situ Analysis of Fireworks Using Laser-Induced Breakdown Spectroscopy and Chemometrics

Different types of fireworks are analyzed using the laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS) technique. The system employed for spectral acquisition consists of a Nd:YAG laser (532 nm, FWHM = 4 ns) and an Andor Mechelle ME 5000 echelle spectrometer. The presence of Ba, Ca, Mg, Fe, Na, Sr, Si, and Al is identified in the LIBS spectra of different fireworks. These elements can mix easily into the surroundings and thus pollute the environment. In combination with LIBS, multivariate statistical methods, such as principal component analysis and partial least square discriminant analysis, are employed for qualitative classification, regression, and prediction purposes. These methods show good applicability for the classification and prediction of a large data set.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗