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Combining Machine Learning and Numerical Simulation for High-Resolution PM2.5 Concentration Forecast
Forecasting ambient PM2.5 concentrations with spatiotemporal coverage is key to alerting decision-makers of pollution episodes and preventing detrimental public exposure, especially in regions with limited ground air monitoring stations. The existing methods either rely on chemical transport models (CTMs) to forecast spatial distribution of PM2.5 with nontrivial uncertainty or statistical algorithms to forecast PM2.5 concentration time-series at air monitoring locations without continuous spatial coverage. In this study, we developed a PM2.5 forecast framework by combining the robust Random Forest algorithm with a publicly accessible global CTM forecast product – NASA’s Goddard Earth Observing System “Composition Forecasting” (GEOS-CF), providing spatiotemporally continuous PM2.5 concentration forecasts for the next five days at a 1-km spatial resolution. Our forecast experiment was conducted for a region in Central China including the populous and polluted Fenwei Plain. The forecast for the next two days had overall validation R2 of 0.76 and 0.64, respectively; the R2 was around 0.5 for the following three forecast days. Spatial cross-validation showed similar validation metrics. Our forecast model, with validation normalized mean bias close to zero, substantially reduced the large biases in GEOS-CF. The proposed framework requires minimal computational resources compared to running CTMs at urban scales, enabling near-real-time PM2.5 forecast in resource-restricted environments.
Numerical Simulations of A Conceptual MSR-EES Shoulder Recession
The present study demonstrates our in-house material response solver, Icarus's capability to simulate the ablative conditions, including pyrolysis effects due to the interaction between hypersonic boundary layers and the thermal protection system (TPS). A conceptual aeroshell shoulder design, which undergoes mission-relevant flow and material conditions, is selected for the demonstration purpose. LAURA, a structured flow solver, is used to solve flow around the shoulder at several trajectory points of a flight path. The aerothermal dataset obtained from LAURA is used to enforce boundary conditions on the aeroshell wall to simulate ablation processes. The two-layered material system is stacked with HEEET (TPS) and Aluminum (actual material). A set of base parameters, such as the angle of material orientation with respect to the flow direction, convective heat-transfer co-efficient, and aerothermal boundary conditions on the rear end of the HEEET material layer, is selected to conduct a base-case simulation. A small amount of recession was observed, indicating that the design should be fine to go through the selected flow and material conditions. Furthermore, the parameters mentioned above are individually altered and are observed to affect the shoulder design's recession compared to the base case. Verification of our Icarus setup was also carried out using a one-dimensional grid and FIAT, a one-dimensional material-response solver, to build credibility for our results. As the current work is an uncoupled fluid-material-response simulation, a local sharp mesh deformation in the recessed surface near the shoulder corner is observed.
Numerical Simulation of An Aspect Ratio 13.5 Common Research Model with Trailing Edge Mini-Flaps
This paper presents an aeroelastic modeling study of an aspect ratio 13.5 wind tunnel scale Common Research Model (CRM) with trailing edge mini-flaps. FUN3D is used for the aeroelastic steady and unsteady simulations at Mach 0.85 and dynamic pressure 230 psf. The aeroelastic simulation results are compared with the in-house developed VSPAERO aeroelastic model results. The incremental aerodynamic coefficients predicted by FUN3D and VSPAERO are close except when the mini-flap deflection angle is 10˚. The control reversal behavior is observed for the wing tip mini-flap. A series of dynamic pressure sweep simulations are performed to determine the control reversal onset point. Unsteady simulation results show that there is no buffet phenomenon observed at angle of attacks 0˚ and 2˚ when the mini-flap is deflected 10˚. The mini-flap oscillation simulations show the nonlinear behavior appears when the deflection angle is about 4˚.
Using numerical simulation to assess reliability and survivability of long-duration habitation modules at Lunar Gateway
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Numerical Simulations of an Axisymmetric Shock-Wave/Boundary-Layer Interaction
A series of Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) simulations were performed of two Mach 2.5 axisymmetric shock-wave/boundary-layer interactions (SWBLIs) based off of the NASA Turbulent Computational Fluid Dynamics Validation Experiment (TCFDVE). The goals of the simulations were to (1) determine how well RANS can predict the flow physics of an axisymmetric SWBLI and (2) generate a new validation case for the NASA Turbulence Modeling Resource (TMR). The simulations were run with two different turbulence models and three different computational fluid dynamics (CFD) codes while looking at two different conical shock generator angles, one of which was shown to cause flow separation in the experiment. The results in this paper show that, as expected, the CFD simulations agreed well with each other and the experiment when SWBLI-induced separation was not present. When separation was present, differences in the predicted separation characteristics were noted. These included a stronger interaction and subsequently longer separation extent for the Menter Shear-Stress Transport k-ω (SST) turbulence model simulations compared to both the Spalart-Allmaras (SA) turbulence model simulations and the experiment.
Eddy properties in the Western Mediterranean Sea from satellite altimetry and a numerical simulation
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Precision matrix expansion – efficient use of numerical simulations in estimating errors on cosmological parameters
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Mesoscale and submesoscale turbulence in the Northwest Pacific Ocean revealed by numerical simulations
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Airborne Lidar Measurements of XCO 2 in Synoptically Active Environment and Associated Comparisons With Numerical Simulations
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Modeling inner boundary values at 18 solar radii during solar quiet time for global three-dimensional time-dependent magnetohydrodynamic numerical simulation
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Numerical simulations of the Cosmic Battery in accretion flows around astrophysical black holes
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Experiments and numerical simulation of a new compact hohlraum configuration with parallel planar wire array X-ray sources at the 1.7 MA Zebra Generator.
Abstract not provided.
Numerical Simulation of Decomposition and Combustion of an Epoxy-Carbon-Fiber Composite.
Abstract not provided.
Numerical Simulation of Radiation-Induced Chemical Segregation and Phase Transformation in a Binary System.
Abstract not provided.
Numerical simulations for low energy nuclear reactions including direct channels to validate statistical models
Abstract Not Provided
Direct numerical simulation of laminar ame-wall interaction for a novel H2-selective membrane / injector conguration.
Abstract not provided.