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At least 1,747 records · Page 97

Generalizability analysis of tool condition monitoring ensemble machine learning models

Tool condition monitoring (TCM) is an essential research area for the optimization and automation of metal machining processes, and could help manufacturers reduce costs, production time, machine downtime, energy use, and part scrappage. However, TCM systems developed in prior studies have struggled to reach the high level of generalizability which is necessary for industrial applications. This study addresses TCM system generalizability to new machining conditions, how variations in machining and environmental conditions may be used to improve model generalizability, and ensemble machine learning techniques for TCM. Further, milling tool life experiments were conducted using various machining conditions, and the processes' sound, spindle power, and axial load signals were collected. Different machine learning models were evaluated for the prediction of tool wear levels, including four individual models and five ensemble models. Changes in cutting speed were found to display a large effect on model performance, while the chip load showed some effect, and the feed rate had little effect. A simulated noise data augmentation technique for model improvement is applied within TCM for the first time, and resulted in increased model generalizability and reduced overfitting. Across several performance metrics the extremely randomized trees ensemble machine learning model generally performed the best for this application, achieving a leave-one-group-out cross validation accuracy score of 92.4 %, a 10-fold cross validation score of 98.9 %, and an averaged accuracy across 11 generalizability tests of 87.3 %.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Sensitivity study of a full-scale industrial spray-injected fluidized bed reactor

The industrial fluidized bed reactor (FBR) described here is designed to convert an aqueous solid laden stream into a consistent solid product material. Additionally, the FBR is heated to 650 °C and the aqueous reactant is spray-atomized into the fluidized bed, converting it into a granular solid through a series of heterogeneous chemical reactions. The objective of this study is to use the MFiX two-fluid model as a screening tool to investigate the effects of off-nominal conditions for the purpose of establishing performance guidelines. This information will be helpful to assess whether the identified boundaries of the system are steep or gradual. Initially, 13 independent operating parameters were sampled in a one-at-a-time manner using high, low, and base values and ranked against a set of performance criteria. Five operating parameters were found to have the largest effect (bed particle size, bed particle density, coal particle size, spray feed flow rate, and fluidizing gas flow rate) on three quantities of interest—bed differential temperature, solids velocity, and bed voidage. Latin hypercube sampling was used to generate a minimal number of random values for various combinations of input parameters. The spray feed flow rate was the most significant parameter for the temperature differences, and the coal particle and bed particle size were significant contributors. The bed particle size had the largest effect on the low velocity of the bed particles, with the coal particle size as a contributing second effect. The high solid packing shows the coal particle size with the largest effect, and significant secondary contributions from the feed flow rate and fluidizing gas flow rate. Finally, the fits to the five-dimensional Gaussian Process models were 0.7797, 0.8664, and 0.9440 for the temperature, velocity, and solids packing respectively.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Associations between SARS-CoV-2 Infection or COVID-19 Vaccination and Human Milk Composition: A Multi-Omics Approach

Background: The risk of contracting severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) via human milk-feeding is virtually nonexistent. Adverse effects of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination for lactating individuals are not different from the general population, and no evidence has been found that their infants exhibit adverse effects. Yet, there remains substantial hesitation among this population globally regarding the safety of these vaccines. Objectives: Herein, we aimed to determine if compositional changes in milk occur following SARS-CoV-2 infection or COVID-19 vaccination, including any evidence of vaccine components. Methods: An extensive multiomics approach was taken using a subset of milk samples obtained as part of our broad studies examining the effects on milk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 vaccination. Results: We found that compared with unvaccinated individuals, SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with significant compositional differences in 67 proteins, 385 lipids, and 13 metabolites. In contrast, COVID-19 vaccination was not associated with any changes in lipids or metabolites, although it was associated with changes in 13 or fewer proteins. Compositional changes in milk differed by vaccine. Changes following vaccination were greatest after 1–6 h for the mRNA-based Moderna vaccine (8 changed proteins), 3 d for the mRNA-based Pfizer (4 changed proteins), and adenovirus-based Johnson and Johnson (13 changed proteins) vaccines. Proteins that changed after both natural infection and Johnson and Johnson vaccine were associated mainly with systemic inflammatory responses. In addition, no vaccine components were detected in any milk sample. Conclusions: Together, our data provide evidence of only minimal changes in milk composition because of COVID-19 vaccination, with much greater changes after natural SARS-CoV-2 infection.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Novel Zwitterionic Chromatography to Separate Lithium from Unconventional Resources

Since lithium (Li) is a key element for clean energy technologies, the global lithium demand is anticipated to increase rapidly. As a result, efficient lithium extraction technologies that allow the exploitation of unconventional lithium resources, such as geothermal brines and inland brine streams, are essentially needed to meet the Li demand and keep supply chains stable. However, because of low Li concentration, low ratio of Li/Mg or Li/Ca, and complex feed compositions in these feedstocks, using conventional hydrometallurgy or current Direct Lithium Extraction (DLE) processes are often chemical-intensive, requiring substantial amounts of reagent chemicals to recover Li at scale, resulting in large chemical footprints. Therefore, we developed a novel Zwitterionic Chromatography (ZIC) process to separate Li from these resources. Because Li can be partitioned from divalent salts on ZIC under water elution without using chemicals, exploiting the unconventional resources via a ZIC approach can be environmentally benign and sustainable. In this work, we will present the development of the ZIC process for DLE applications. Simulation studies for the Li separation mechanism in ZIC and the demonstration of a continuous ZIC process to separate Li from domestic inland brine and mining wastewater will be presented. Finally, the chemical and energy footprints of ZIC in comparison to other DLE processes will be discussed.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Photogrammetric Metrology for the James Webb Space Telescope Integrated Science Instrument Module

The James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) is a 6.6m diameter, segmented, deployable telescope for cryogenic IR space astronomy (approximately 40K). The JWST Observatory architecture includes the Optical Telescope Element and the Integrated Science Instrument Module (ISIM) element that contains four science instruments (SI) including a Guider. The ISM optical metering structure is a roughly 2.2x1.7x2.2m, asymmetric frame that is composed of carbon fiber and resin tubes bonded to invar end fittings and composite gussets and clips. The structure supports the SIs, isolates the SIs from the OTE, and supports thermal and electrical subsystems. The structure is attached to the OTE structure via strut-like kinematic mounts. The ISIM structure must meet its requirements at the approximately 40K cryogenic operating temperature. The SIs are aligned to the structure's coordinate system under ambient, clean room conditions using laser tracker and theodolite metrology. The ISIM structure is thermally cycled for stress relief and in order to measure temperature-induced mechanical, structural changes. These ambient-to-cryogenic changes in the alignment of SI and OTE-related interfaces are an important component in the JWST Observatory alignment plan and must be verified. We report on the planning for and preliminary testing of a cryogenic metrology system for ISIM based on photogrammetry. Photogrammetry is the measurement of the location of custom targets via triangulation using images obtained at a suite of digital camera locations and orientations. We describe metrology system requirements, plans, and ambient photogrammetric measurements of a mock-up of the ISIM structure to design targeting and obtain resolution estimates. We compare these measurements with those taken from a well known ambient metrology system, namely, the Leica laser tracker system. We also describe the data reduction algorithm planned to interpret cryogenic data from the Flight structure. Photogrammetry was selected from an informal trade study of cryogenic metrology systems because its resolution meets sub-allocations to ISIM alignment requirements and it is a non-contact method that can in principle measure six degrees of freedom changes in target location. In addition, photogrammetry targets can be readily related to targets used for ambient surveys of the structure. By thermally isolating the photogrammetry camera during testing, metrology can be performed in situ during thermal cycling. Photogrammetry also has a small but significant cryogenic heritage in astronomical instrumentation metrology. It was used to validate the displacement/deformation predictions of the reflectors and the feed horns during thermal/vacuum testing (90K) for the Microwave Anisotropy Probe (MAP). It also was used during thermal vacuum testing (100K) to verify shape and component alignment at operational temperature of the High Gain Antenna for New Horizons. With tighter alignment requirements and lower operating temperatures than the aforementioned observatories, ISIM presents new challenges in the development of this metrology system.

Nowak, Maria↗

Methods of Heat-Exchange Intensification in NPP Equipment

The aims and problems of research on the means for intensifying heat exchange in the equipment of nuclear power plants are examined: nuclear reactors, steam generators, turbine condensers, heat-exchangers of dry water cooling towers, intermediate separators-steam superheaters of turbines, heat-exchange apparatus of safety systems, turbo-electro-generators, oil coolers, feed-water heaters. Methods of identifying heat-exchange are analyzed: different types of finning, turbulence generators and swirlers of one- and two-phase flows, coating on heating surfaces, systems with mixed flow. Computational recommendations are made for determining the intensity of heat emission from promising types of heat-exchange surfaces: bundles of lowfinned tubes and spiral coils.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Single-phase and two-phase anaerobic digestion of fruit and vegetable waste: Comparison of start-up, reactor stability and process performance

Highlights: • Single-phase and two-phase systems were compared for fruit and vegetable waste digestion. • Single-phase digestion produced a methane yield of 0.45 m{sup 3} CH{sub 4}/kg VS and 83% VS removal. • Substrate solubilization was high in acidification conditions at 7.0 kg VS/m{sup 3} d and pH 5.5–6.2. • Energy yield was lower by 33% for two-phase system compared to the single-phase system. • Simple and straight-forward operation favored single phase process over two-phase process. - Abstract: Single-phase and two-phase digestion of fruit and vegetable waste were studied to compare reactor start-up, reactor stability and performance (methane yield, volatile solids reduction and energy yield). The single-phase reactor (SPR) was a conventional reactor operated at a low loading rate (maximum of 3.5 kg VS/m{sup 3} d), while the two-phase system consisted of an acidification reactor (TPAR) and a methanogenic reactor (TPMR). The TPAR was inoculated with methanogenic sludge similar to the SPR, but was operated with step-wise increase in the loading rate and with total recirculation of reactor solids to convert it into acidification sludge. Before each feeding, part of the sludge from TPAR was centrifuged, the centrifuge liquid (solubilized products) was fed to the TPMR and centrifuged solids were recycled back to the reactor. Single-phase digestion produced a methane yield of 0.45 m{sup 3} CH{sub 4}/kg VS fed and VS removal of 83%. The TPAR shifted to acidification mode at an OLR of 10.0 kg VS/m{sup 3} d and then achieved stable performance at 7.0 kg VS/m{sup 3} d and pH 5.5–6.2, with very high substrate solubilization rate and a methane yield of 0.30 m{sup 3} CH{sub 4}/kg COD fed. The two-phase process was capable of high VS reduction, but material and energy balance showed that the single-phase process was superior in terms of volumetric methane production and energy yield by 33%. The lower energy yield of the two-phase system was due to the loss of energy during hydrolysis in the TPAR and the deficit in methane production in the TPMR attributed to COD loss due to biomass synthesis and adsorption of hard COD onto the flocs. These results including the complicated operational procedure of the two-phase process and the economic factors suggested that the single-phase process could be the preferred system for FVW.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Effects of Lower Troposphere Vertical Mixing on Simulated Clouds and Precipitation Over the Amazon During the Wet Season

Planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes parameterize unresolved turbulent mixing within the PBL and free troposphere (FT). Previous studies reported that precipitation simulation over the Amazon in South America is quite sensitive to PBL schemes and the exact relationship between the turbulent mixing and precipitation processes is, however, not disentangled. In this study, regional climate simulations over the Amazon in January–February 2019 are examined at process level to understand the precipitation sensitivity to PBL scheme. The focus is on two PBL schemes, the Yonsei University (YSU) scheme, and the asymmetric convective model v2 (ACM2) scheme, which show the largest difference in the simulated precipitation. During daytime, while the FT clouds simulated by YSU dissipate, clouds simulated by ACM2 maintain because of enhanced moisture supply due to the enhanced vertical moisture relay transport process: (a) vertical mixing within PBL transports surface moisture to the PBL top, and (b) FT mixing feeds the moisture into the FT cloud deck. Due to the thick cloud deck over Amazon simulated by ACM2, surface radiative heating is reduced and consequently the convective available potential energy is reduced. As a result, precipitation is weaker from ACM2. Two key parameters dictating the vertical mixing are identified, p , an exponent determining boundary layer mixing and λ , a scale dictating FT mixing. Sensitivity simulations with altered p , λ , and other treatments within YSU and ACM2 confirm the precipitation sensitivity. The FT mixing in the presence of clouds appears most critical to explain the sensitivity between YSU and ACM2.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Study and design of the ion cyclotron resonance heating system for the stellarator Wendelstein 7-X

The current status of the mechanical and electromagnetic design for the ICRF antenna system for W7-X is presented. Two antenna plugins are discussed: one consisting of a pair of straps with pre-matching to cover the first frequency band, 25–38 MHz, and a second one consisting of two short strap triplets to cover a frequency band around 76 MHz. This paper focusses on the two strap antenna for the lower frequency band. Power coupling of the antenna to a reference plasma profile is studied with the help of the codes TOPICA and Microwave Studio that deliver the scattering matrix needed for the optimization of the geometric parameters of the straps and antenna box. Radiation power spectra for different phasings of the two straps are obtained using the code ANTITER II and different heating scenario are discussed. The potential for heating, fast particle generation, and current drive is discussed. The problem of RF coupling through the plasma edge and of edge power deposition is summarized. Important elements of the complete ion cyclotron resonance heating system are discussed: a resonator circuit with tap feed to limit the maximum voltage in the system, and a decoupler to counterbalance the large mutual coupling between the 2 straps. The mechanical design highlights the challenges encountered with this antenna: adaptation to a large variety of plasma configurations, the limited space within the port to accommodate the necessary matching components and the watercooling needed for long pulse operation.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Glycolate Analysis in Tank 22: Developing and Testing Analytical Methods for the Savannah River Site Liquid Waste System

Researchers developed and tested a range of techniques to support a low mg/L Limit of Quantitation (LOQ) of glycolate in radioactive Tank 22 waste solution by Ion Chromatography (IC) and by proton NMR. For the IC method, Dionex OnGuard II cartridges were tested as a means of removing alkali earth and transition metals that can interfere during ion chromatography applications especially when analyzing for low-concentration, chelating analytes. Additionally, concentrations of nitrate in the raw Tank 22 sample (5,000 to 10,000 mg/L) were managed by using reasonable levels of sample dilution. The resulting IC performance quality was enhanced by improving the baseline, increasing sensitivity [Limit of Quantitation (LOQ) of 12 mg/L and Limit of Detection (LOD) of 4.0 mg/L], and resolving analytes into well-defined Gaussian peaks when using the Dionex OnGuard II H⁺ cartridges to remove matrix interferences. High concentrations of nitrate limited the performance of the IC method. To achieve an acceptable baseline, samples with high nitrate content require more dilution, resulting in higher detection limits. Tests on samples with higher concentrations of nitrate (Tank 30 and 32 supernate with approximately 150000 mg/L nitrate) suggested that IC detection limits for glycolate in these samples would be > 500 mg/L. Thus, an LOQ of 12 mg/L is not feasible by this IC method on evaporator feed samples. An alternative method of glycolate analysis, using proton nuclear magnetic resonance (H NMR), was developed by the research team. In initial tests, the H NMR technique provided reasonable quantitation of glycolate in Tank 22 conditions by direct observation of the liquid. The H NMR method may provide improved detection limits for solutions with higher nitrate concentrations. We recommend further development of this analysis for high nitrate LWS samples such as evaporator feed and evaporator drop tank content. A method for pretreatment of samples using crystalline silicotitanate (CST) was developed and tested. The objective of the pretreatment was to facilitate analysis of samples with higher levels of radioactivity. The pretreatment did not influence the glycolate concentration in solution, and the pretreatment is projected to reduce Cs 137 activity in a sample by a factor of 16,200. The double strike CST pretreatment was demonstrated and would allow milliliters of higher activity samples to be transferred from the Shielded Cells and handled in a containment unit for glycolate analysis. The various studies validated IC and H NMR methods for glycolate analysis, defined the range of applicability, and demonstrated key supporting analytical protocols. Based on the results, high quality glycolate analysis of Tank 22 is feasible down to approximately 12 mg/L, with the potential for broader applicability of the methods to other conditions in the Savannah River Site Liquid Waste System (LWS).

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

High Thermal Conductivity Resin Systems for High Energy Physics Magnets

In Nb3Sn superconducting magnets, the cable and insulation system dominate the behavior of a completed magnet, with contributions to the mechanical behavior from the stiff, brittle components of the superconductor, the soft annealed copper stabilizer, and the properties of the composite insulation system. As these components are closely integrated on a small scale, it is of value to explore the properties of the entire system at a larger scale, to enable practical magnet design. Subscale composite testing (Stack Testing) has been used extensively to study the bulk material properties of the magnet composite structure. Small samples that mimic the fabrication process of magnets are fabricated and tested to qualify and characterize magnet insulation systems for use in future magnet projects as well as to better inform magnet designers about means for assembly and general handling processes. Subscale composite samples will be fabricated and characterized using various novel resins to work to improve magnet performance. New resin systems will be screened to allow for down selection to one or more highly promising resin systems. The work performed under this agreement at Fermilab will feed via CTD into the fabrication of subscale magnets at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) for verification of magnet performance.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Development of Microwave Resonant Cavity Transducer Recalibration Procedures

We are investigating a microwave resonant cavity transducer for flow sensing in the vessel of a high temperature fluid advanced reactor (AR), such as a molten salt cooled reactor (MSCR) or a sodium fast reactor (SFR). This transducer is a hollow metallic cylindrical cavity, with one of the flat walls of the cylinder flexible enough to undergo microscopic deflection due to dynamic fluid pressure. Membrane deflection leads to a shift in the microwave resonant frequency, which can be detected with a spectrum analyzer. We have performed a preliminary proof-of-principle test of flow sensing in high temperature liquid sodium in environment. The liquid sodium setup consists of a cylindrical vessel with a center feed line, where a transducer inserted through the top cap of the vessel measures velocity of the impinging liquid jet. For this test, we have developed a cylindrical resonator, which was machined from stainless steel 316 and electroplated with silver on the interior surfaces. Inner diameter of the cylindrical cavity is 22.2 mm, and the thin wall is approximately 200µm thick. The cavity was excited through a WR-42 waveguide through a subwavelength hole on the side of the wall of the cylinder in the TE 011 mode with resonant frequency f ≈ 17.8GHz. Sodium flow rate sensing study was performed in a liquid sodium vessel at 340°C temperature and ambient pressure. The flow rate was changed by varying sodium pump power, and a frequency shift of several hundred KHz was observed. From the measurements, we observed significant scatter in high temperature liquid sodium at low flow velocity values. Our hypothesis is that this is caused by temperature drift in the liquid, which results in thermal expansion of the cavity and a drift in the resonator frequency. In this report, we investigate temperature dependence of the resonant frequency through development of analytic models and preliminary analysis of experimental data. In addition, we develop a procedure for compensation for temperature drift during flow sensing.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Comparative Genomic Analysis of Ochratoxin A Biosynthetic Cluster in Producing Fungi: New Evidence of a Cyclase Gene Involvement

The widespread use of Next-Generation Sequencing has opened a new era in the study of biological systems by significantly increasing the catalog of fungal genomes sequences and identifying gene clusters for known secondary metabolites as well as novel cryptic ones. However, most of these clusters still need to be examined in detail to completely understand the pathway steps and the regulation of the biosynthesis of metabolites. Genome sequencing approach led to the identification of the biosynthetic genes cluster of ochratoxin A (OTA) in a number of producing fungal species. Ochratoxin A is a potent pentaketide nephrotoxin produced by Aspergillus and Penicillium species and found as widely contaminant in food, beverages and feed. The increasing availability of several new genome sequences of OTA producer species in JGI Mycocosm and/or GenBank databanks led us to analyze and update the gene cluster structure in 19 Aspergillus and 2 Penicillium OTA producing species, resulting in a well conserved organization of OTA core genes among the species. Furthermore, our comparative genome analyses evidenced the presence of an additional gene, previously undescribed, located between the polyketide and non-ribosomal synthase genes in the cluster of all the species analyzed. The presence of a SnoaL cyclase domain in the sequence of this gene supports its putative role in the polyketide cyclization reaction during the initial steps of the OTA biosynthesis pathway. The phylogenetic analysis showed a clustering of OTA SnoaL domains in accordance with the phylogeny of OTA producing species at species and section levels. The characterization of this new OTA gene, its putative role and its expression evidence in three important representative producing species, are reported here for the first time.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Multibeam antenna for 30/20 GHz advanced communications satellite using offset shaped, dual reflector surfaces

Progress in the Antenna Technology Study being performed by NASA to characterize an antenna system with a scaning beam with a half-power beam diameter of around 0.3 deg and a minimum width over which the sidelobes stay below the -30 dB level is reported. Continuous U.S. (CONUS) coverage is desired by the satellite antenna system, with 10-20 fixed beams for trunk coverage and a rapidly scanned narrow beam for customer premises. The design specifies 24 beamwidths from east to west and 10 beamwidths from south to north. Reflector parameters have been identified to optimally focus all beams from a planar feed array. An example of coverage expected with the design demonstrates optimized beams for Seattle, Oklahoma City, and Miami, with -3 dB contours in circles 0,25 deg in diameter and a peak directivity of 55 dB. Experimental work was scheduled for 1983.

Smoll, A. E.↗

Decays of the Three Top Contributors to the Reactor ν ¯ e High-Energy Spectrum, Rb 92 , Y 96 gs , and Cs 142 , Studied with Total Absorption Spectroscopy

Here, we report total absorption spectroscopy measurements of 92 Rb, 96 gs Y, and 142 Cs β decays, which are the most important contributors to the high energy ν¯ e spectral shape in nuclear reactors. These three β decays contribute 43% of the ¯νe flux near 5.5 MeV emitted by nuclear reactors. This ν¯ e energy is particularly interesting due to spectral features recently observed in several experiments including the Daya Bay, Double Chooz, and RENO Collaborations. Measurements were conducted at Oak Ridge National Laboratory by means of proton-induced fission of 238 U with on-line mass separation of fission fragments and the Modular Total Absorption Spectrometer. We observe a β-decay pattern that is similar to recent measurements of 92 Rb, with a ground-state to ground-state β feeding of 91(3)%. We verify the 96gs Y ground-state to ground-state β feeding of 95.5(20)%. Our measurements substantially modify the β-decay feedings of 142 Cs, reducing the β feeding to 142 Ba states below 2 MeV by 32% when compared with the latest evaluations. Our results increase the discrepancy between the observed and the expected reactor ν¯ e flux between 5 and 7 MeV, the maximum excess increases from ~10% to ~12%.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Selective Catalytic Behavior Induced by Crystal–Phase Transformation in Well–Defined Bimetallic Pt–Sn Nanocrystals

The Pt-Sn bimetallic system is a much studied and commercially used catalyst for propane dehydrogenation. The traditionally prepared catalyst, however, suffers from inhomogeneity and phase separation of the active Pt–Sn phase. Colloidal chemistry offers a route for the synthesis of Pt–Sn bimetallic nanoparticles (NPs) in a systematic, well-defined, tailored fashion over conventional methods. Here, the successful synthesis of well-defined ≈2 nm Pt, PtSn, and Pt 3 Sn nanocrystals with distinct crystallographic phases is reported; hexagonal close packing (hcp) PtSn and fcc Pt 3 Sn show different activity and stability depending on the hydrogen-rich or poor environment in the feed. Moreover, face centred cubic (fcc) Pt 3 Sn/Al 2 O 3 , which exhibited the highest stability compared to hcp PtSn, shows a unique phase transformation from an fcc phase to an L1 2 -ordered superlattice. Contrary to PtSn, H 2 cofeeding has no effect on the Pt 3 Sn deactivation rate. Finally, the results reveal structural dependency of the probe reaction, propane dehydrogenation, and provide a fundamental understanding of the structure–performance relationship on emerging bimetallic systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

SU-F-BRD-11: Prediction of Dosimetric Endpoints From Patient Geometry Using Neural Nets

Purpose: The previously-published overlap volume histogram (OVH) technique lends itself naturally to prediction of the dose received by a given volume of tissue (e.g. D90) in intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) treatment plans. Here we extend the OVH technique using artificial neural networks in order to predict the volume of tissue receiving a given dose (e.g. V90) in both prostate IMRT and conventional breast radiotherapy. Methods: Twenty-nine prostate treatment plans and forty-three breast treatment plans were analyzed. The spatial relationships between the prostate and rectum and between the breast and ipsilateral lung were characterized using OVHs. The OVH is a cumulative histogram representing the fractional volume of the risk organ overlapped by a series of isotropic expansions of the planning target volume (PTV). Seven cases were identified as outliers and replanned. OVH points were used as inputs to a one hidden layer feed forward artificial neural network with quality parameters of the corresponding plan, such as the rectum V50, as targets. A 3-fold cross-validation was used to estimate the prediction error. Results: The root mean square (RMS) error between the predicted rectum V50s and the planned values was 2.3, which was 35% of the standard deviation of V50 for the twenty-nine plans. The RMS error of prediction of V20 of the ipsilateral lung in breast cases was 3.9, which was 90% of the standard deviation of the V20 values in the breast plan database. Conclusion: This study demonstrates that artificial neural nets can be used to extend the OVH technique to predict dosimetric endpoints taking the form of a volume receiving a given dose, rather than the minimum dose received by a given volume. Prediction of ipsilateral lung dose in breast radiotherapy using the OVH technique remains a work in progress.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Simulation of PV Variability as a Function of PV Generation and Plant Size: Preprint

The deployment of photovoltaic (PV) systems continues to show significant expansion; however, this growth has brought added attention to issues around the variability of the solar resource. Both spatial and temporal variability exist. Temporal scales can range from the sub-second to multiyear, whereas spatial scales can range from a few meters to tens of kilometers. There are multiple methods described in the literature to quantify PV variability at various spatial and temporal scales. This study focuses on short-term temporal variability and uses similar approaches with the addition of PV plant size a parameter to quantify variability. The method employed here incorporates the normalization of clear- and cloudy-sky conditions and PV plant size to quantify nominal variability metrics. The distribution and fluctuations of these metrics provide relevant information that is useful for system operations. The National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) is used to simulate PV variability as a function of PV generation and plant size. Hypothetical but realistic system information at 33 locations is used to model PV generation by feeding NSRDB solar irradiance data to the National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s System Advisor Model (SAM). Over the selected region, it is found that the aggregated ramp rates for the 1-minute data are associated with standard deviations ranging from 0.002–0.055 on a daily basis; however, hourly intervals induce higher aggregated ramp rates than the other timescales. Even though minute-to-minute variations are significant for the 1-minute timescale, the standard deviation aggregated into a daily metric is smaller because of the cancellation of values.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗