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DOE OSTI2020

Optimal Operation of a Hybrid Hydraulic Electric Architecture (HHEA) for Off-Road Vehicles Over Discrete Operating Decisions

Many off-highway machines including construction and agriculture equipment use hydraulics for power transmission and throttling as a means for control. Trends towards better efficiency and electrification have led to the creation of a novel Hybrid Hydraulic-Electric Architecture (HHEA) which could significantly reduce energy consumption and maintain control performance, even in machines that are too large to be directly electrified. This is achieved by using a set of common pressure rails to transmit the majority of power via power dense hydraulics and modulating the power with small electric motor-drives to achieve precise control. This paper proposes a computationally efficient method for computing the optimal sequence of pressure rail selections for the HHEA over finite drive cycles. This is useful for fairly comparing the novel architecture’s energy performance to existing architectures and for use in iterative optimal design of the architecture. The optimal control technique makes use of a static model of the architecture and losses. Constraints are enforced such that the drive cycle is repeatable. The constrained optimal operation is solved using a Lagrange multiplier technique that transforms the optimization into a small set of sub-problems by considering combinations of active constraints. Each of these sub-problems can be solved efficiently because loss calculations for all time steps can be computed in parallel. A case study of an off-road construction machine demon-strates that the HHEA reduces energy consumption by 2/3 compared to the baseline load sensing architecture.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2020

OPTIMAL CONTROL AND ENERGY-SAVING ANALYSIS OF COMMON PRESSURE RAIL ARCHITECTURES: HHEA & STEAM

In recent years several novel hydraulic architectures have been proposed with the intention of significantly increasing system efficiency. Two of these architectures, Steigerung der Energieeffizienz in der Arbeitshydraulik mobiler Arbeitsmaschinen (STEAM), and the Hybrid Hydraulic-Electric Architecture (HHEA), use a system of multiple common pressure rails (CPRs) to serve the multiple degrees-of-freedom of the machine. The key difference is that STEAM throttles hydraulic power from these rails while HHEA combines electric and hydraulic power to meet actuator demands. As a throttle-less architecture, HHEA is expected to save more energy than STEAM at the expense of added complexity. Therefore, it is useful to quantify this additional energy saving. Both systems have discrete operational choices corresponding to how the CPRs are utilized for each actuator. It is necessary to determine optimal operation for each of these architectures for analysis and fair comparison. Techniques for optimal operation of the HHEA have been developed previously from the Langrange multiplier method. Applying the same optimal control method to STEAM encountered some technical challenge leading to the optimal control algorithm not being able to satisfy certain constraints. The issue is analyzed and solved by adding noise to the optimization. Using this proposed algorithm, case studies are performed to compare the energy-saving potentials of STEAM and HHEA for two sizes of excavators and a wheel-loader performing representative duty cycles. The baseline is a standard load-sensing architecture. Results show that STEAM and HHEA can reduce energy consumption between 35-65% and 50-80% respectively

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2020

Total variation vs L1 regularization: a comparison of compressive sensing optimization methods for chemical detection

One of the fundamental assumptions of compressive sensing (CS) is that a signal can be reconstructed from a small number of samples by solving an optimization problem with the appropriate regularization term. Two standard regularization terms are the L1 norm and the total variation (TV) norm. We present a comparison of CS reconstruction results based on these two approaches in the context of chemical detection, and we demonstrate that optimization based on the L1 norm outperforms optimization based on the TV norm. Our comparison is driven by CS sampling, reconstruction, and chemical detection in two real-world datasets: the Physical Sciences Inc. Fabry-Perot interferometer sensor multispectral dataset and the Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Lab FTIR-based longwave infrared sensor hyperspectral dataset. Both datasets contain the release of a chemical simulant such as glacial acetic acid, triethyl phosphate, and sulfur hexafluoride. For chemical detection we use the adaptive coherence estimator (ACE) and bulk coherence, and we propose algorithmic ACE thresholds to define the presence or absence of a chemical of interest in both un-compressed data cubes and reconstructed data cubes. The un-compressed data cubes provide an approximate ground truth. We demonstrate that optimization based on either the L1 norm or TV norm results in successful chemical detection at a compression rate of 90%, but we show that L1 optimization is preferable. We present quantitative comparisons of chemical detection on reconstructions from the two methods, with an emphasis on the number of pixels with an ACE value above the threshold.

Hyperspectral imagery, L1-norm, total variation, A↗

DOE OSTI2020

Real-Time Distributed Control of Smart Inverters for Network-level Optimization

The limitations of centralized optimization methods in managing electric power distribution systems operations have led to the distributed paradigm of computing and decision-making. Unfortunately, the existing distributed optimization algorithms are limited in their applicability to managing fast varying phenomena such as those resulting from highly variable Distributed Energy Resource (DER) generation patterns. They require a large number of communication rounds (in the order of 10 2 to 10 3 ) among the computing agents to solve one instance of the optimization problem. Related real-time distributed control methods are equally limited in their applications to power distribution systems with fast-changing DER generation; they require hundreds of rounds of communication and thus are slow in tracking the network-level optimal solutions. In this paper, we propose a novel distributed voltage controller that provides a fast-tracking of rapidly varying DER generation profiles while simultaneously converging to network-level optimal solutions within a few communication rounds. The proposed control algorithm leverages the radial topology of the system, which reduces the required communication rounds to reach the network-level optimum solution by order of magnitude. The novelty lies in carefully reducing the electrical network model from the perspective of each distributed controller and enabling appropriate data sharing among upstream and downstream nodes to achieve fast convergence. The simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach in minimizing the feeder losses while maintaining the node voltage within the pre-specified limits.

voltage control, optimization, reactive power, inv↗

DOE OSTI2023

Optimization of Energy Storage System Economics and Controls by Incorporating Battery Degradation Costs in REopt

The use of stationary electrochemical energy storage systems utilizing lithium-ion batteries has increased rapidly as the production scale and price for lithium-ion batteries has decreased. These energy storage systems are crucial for maintaining grid resiliency, especially for grids operating with high penetration of renewable energy generation assets or for with a variety of distributed energy generation and storage systems. One challenging factor for the development of battery energy storage systems is estimating the proper sizing, in terms of both power and energy, that minimizes total costs over the lifetime of the systems; this calculation is difficult in simple cases, where a battery is costed independently, but is extremely challenging when building loads and electrical generation by photovoltaic resources are also considered. REopt is a techoeconomic optimization tool developed by NREL to address these challenges. Previously, battery degradation has been priced by simply assuming a 10-year replacement schedule for battery systems. However, this does not account for varying degradation trends observed across real-world batteries, or allow for batteries to be operated in a degradation-aware manner that optimizes battery dispatch based on operating costs. This work incorporates a battery life model into REopt. This battery life model is simple, so that it may be solvable within the constrains of a mixed-integer linear optimization problem, but is fit to accelerated aging data recorded in the lab. To achieve the best possible accuracy for lifetime estimates given these constraints, parameters for the battery life model in REopt are estimated by fitting 20-year simulations of battery life after identifying state-space battery degradation model from accelerated aging data. Comparisons of battery life predicted in REopt and from the state-space battery degradation model to ensure validity of lifetime estimates made by REopt. Battery life and cost is optimized by controlling three decision to minimize system life cost: battery sizing, daily state-of-charge, and daily energy-throughput. The cost of battery degradation as a function of these control variables is then estimated assuming two possible maintenance strategies: replacement, where the entire battery system is replaced if cell reach an end-of-life capacity threshold; and augmentation, which establishes a fund to pay for continual purchase of new batteries to maintain the initial energy capacity of the system. These two strategies offer conservative (for replacement) and optimistic (for augmentation) bounds for total system cost. The degradation cost incurred by these strategies is then used to control battery dispatch decisions, operating the battery in a degradation-aware manner that maximizes battery lifetime while also providing energy when favorable. Because the mixed-integer linear program has perfect foresight of future energy needs, batteries with degradation costs are always operated using 'just-in-time' charging, which is unrealistic, as no energy is left in the storage system to perform other energy services or to serve as emergency back-up power. To combat this, an inequality constraint on the average annual state-of-charge is imposed, and the sensitivity of system cost to average stored energy, e.g., the cost of system resiliency, can be quantified. Analysis of results has several conclusions, for instance, oversizing of battery storage systems is not a cost burden when battery storage is an optimal solution, as any additional battery capacity can simply be utilized to avoid costs of purchasing energy from a utility.

battery↗

DOE OSTI2013

Waste Characterization Using Gamma Ray Spectrometry with Automated Efficiency Optimization - 13404

Gamma ray spectrometry using High Purity Germanium (HPGe) detectors is commonly employed in assaying radioactive waste streams from a variety of sources: nuclear power plants, Department of Energy (DOE) laboratories, medical facilities, decontamination and decommissioning activities etc. The radioactive material is typically packaged in boxes or drums (for e.g. B-25 boxes or 208 liter drums) and assayed to identify and quantify radionuclides. Depending on the origin of the waste stream, the radionuclides could be special nuclear materials (SNM), fission products, or activation products. Efficiency calibration of the measurement geometry is a critical step in the achieving accurate quantification of radionuclide content. Due to the large size of the waste items, it is impractical and expensive to manufacture gamma ray standard sources for performing a measurement based calibration. For well over a decade, mathematical efficiency methods such as those in Canberra's In Situ Object Counting System (ISOCS) have been successfully employed in the efficiency calibration of gamma based waste assay systems. In the traditional ISOCS based calibrations, the user provides input data such as the dimensions of the waste item, the average density and fill height of the matrix, and matrix composition. As in measurement based calibrations, the user typically defines a homogeneous matrix with a uniform distribution of radioactivity. Actual waste containers can be quite nonuniform, however. Such simplifying assumptions in the efficiency calibration could lead to a large Total Measurement Uncertainty (TMU), thus limiting the amount of waste that can be disposed of as intermediate or low activity level waste. To improve the accuracy of radionuclide quantification, and reduce the TMU, Canberra has developed the capability to optimize the efficiency calibration using the ISOCS method. The optimization is based on benchmarking the efficiency shape and magnitude to the data available in the analyzed gamma ray spectra. Data from measurements of a given item in multiple counting geometries are among the powerful benchmarks that could be used in the optimization. Also, while assaying a waste stream with fission products and activation products emitting gamma lines of multiple energies, optimizing the efficiency on the basis of line activity consistency is very effective. In the present paper, the ISOCS- based optimization methodology is applied to measurement scenarios involving multiple counting geometries, and multi-gamma-line radionuclides. Results will be presented along with accuracy and precision estimates for each measurement. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2015

Achieving groundwater monitoring optimization at SRS: a core team process based on rigorous technical assessment - 15273

The optimization of groundwater monitoring at Savannah River Site (SRS) was achieved through a core team process based on the application of a comprehensive, technical evaluation of individual regulated groundwater units. Groundwater monitoring at SRS is required at dozens of waste sites and includes about 4,000 samples annually. The expected longevity of groundwater contamination and associated groundwater monitoring and reporting constitutes a significant long-term cost to the environmental management budget. The core team, consisting of representatives from the Department of Energy (DOE); U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA); and the South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control (SCDHEC), recognized that monitoring needs for individual plumes evolve as remediation work progresses. The technical evaluation plan was generally based on the availability of many years of monitoring data. In addition, it was recognized that the well network, sampling frequency, and analytical suite had been the same for years and warranted evaluation to determine if the existing monitoring was meeting the current objectives. In order to systematically evaluate monitoring at eighteen different groundwater units, SRS developed a decision-logic analysis using flow sheets to address five areas of optimization identified with core team agreement, including: (1) current monitoring vs regulatory requirements, (2) spatial optimization, (3) temporal assessment, (4) analyte assessment, and (5) reporting assessment. The evaluation resulted in SRS proposing changes in the spatial, temporal, analyte, and reporting aspects of groundwater monitoring for fifteen of the eighteen individual groundwater units evaluated. Overall, these changes have resulted in annual savings of $370 K to date, with an additional $200 K in annual savings pending. Early and frequent core team deliberations helped ensure the success of this optimization effort. The technical evaluation was conducted after receiving core team buy-in for the goals and methods of the project. Technical evaluations for each unit were proposed to the regulators in unit-specific regulatory submittals. The technical justifications and core team decisions were all documented and implemented in accordance within the framework of the SRS Federal Facility Agreement or Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) Permit process. This optimization approach can be expected to be highly successful for sites with rich historical data sets and where the requirements in regulatory monitoring plans can be negotiated. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2016

Optimization of Material Recycling During the Decommissioning Process of Nuclear Power Plants - 16123

The German Government decided in 2011 to phase out nuclear power. Therefore, in the near future there will be several nuclear power plants queued up, in parallel, for dismantling. In nuclear decommissioning there is no standardized procedure available, so that a high level of optimization potential can be assumed. We present the results of a preliminary study, in which the optimization potential of metal recycling during the dismantling process should be estimated. The project can be roughly divided into four sections: - Determination of the metal inventory of an exemplarily selected plant; - Analysis of the recycling routes of scrap metal fractions and assessment of the potential for optimization of each process step during the dismantling; - Conduction of activation calculations to uncover the potential of interim storage allowing for radioactive decay; - In collaboration with the Institute of Process Metallurgy and Metal Recycling at the RWTH Aachen, appropriate process steps and process chains of an optimized metal recycling for each of the resulting scrap metal fractions are identified. The paper and the presentation summarize the status and the results of the project implementation and will address for the optimization potentials for decommissioning projects. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2016

Comparison of Fuel Loading Pattern Optimization Results using Exhaustive Search for Fresh Fuels and Local Search for Burned Fuels

Fuel loading pattern optimization is a combinatorial optimization problem from the mathematical point of view. However, exhaustive search is impractical because enormous computational cost is necessary due to huge search space. For this reason, various optimization methods have been developed so far, but no methods are able to guarantee to reach the optimum solution. In the present study, search space is divided into subspaces using key parameters that well represent characteristics of a loading pattern and then promising subspaces are extensively searched. In the present method, balance between division of a search space into subspaces and a search method used in a subspace is essential. For example, when the number of division is set to be one, it is equivalent to the exhaustive search thus is impractical. Similarly, when the division to subspaces is too coarse, an optimum (or near optimum) solution cannot be found through local search in each subspace since design space of a subspace is still too large. Contrary, if division to subspaces is too fine, number of subspaces becomes to large thus promising subspaces cannot be found. In the present study, search space is divided focusing on the location of fresh fuel assemblies with gadolinia since it has significant impact on core characteristics. Number of possible loading patterns of gadolinia bearing fresh fuel assemblies is not very large thus exhaustive search is possible. Local fine search is executed by considering location of burned fuels for each loading pattern of gadolinia bearing fresh fuel assembly. If the same solution is obtained by multiple local searches starting from different initial burnt fuel locations (but the same loading patterns for gadolinia bearing fresh fuel assemblies), the obtained solution is highly likely the optimum in the subspace. In more general, the present method is based on the 'divide and conquer' approach, which is familiar in the optimization field. Namely, after division of search space into subspaces and then promising subspace is searched. Once the promising subspace is found, the subspace is further subdivided into subspaces and repeat the above procedures. This method would be efficient when appropriate balance between search space division method and performance of local search is achieved. The previous works utilizes the similar approach. In reference [1], exhaustive search in small region in a core is carried out focusing on loading patterns of gadolinia bearing fresh fuel assemblies. In reference [2], rough exhaustive search based on the 'batch-wise' loading pattern is performed with the assist of the linear programming. By contrast, in the present study, exhaustive search is carried out for loading patterns of gadolinia bearing fresh fuel assemblies. The random Multi-start Local Search (MSLS) with the direct search or the exhaustive binary swap is used to find out optimal solutions in a subspace, which consists of loading patterns having the same arrangement of gadolinia bearing fresh fuel assemblies. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2014

Optimization of the Shielding of a Canister Loading Machine with the deterministic Code Attila{sup R} - Paper 61

In general shielding components are designed with very conservative assumptions and boundary conditions to cover all possibly occurring situations. This often results in an overestimated shielding design in a lot of different fields of application; the shielding of components will be heavier and more expensive than needed. In most cases an initial shielding calculation in the design process shows an unbalanced shielding effect of the shielded radiation source. Sometimes the dose rate limits are slightly exceeded in several areas. From this arises a need for an optimization of the shielding structure. The goal is to decrease the radiation level in the accessible areas to keep the dose rate limits and to reduce the amount of the used shielding material if possible. Shielding material is moved from areas with higher shielding factors to which with lower ones. The optimization process is shown in an example of a loading machine for vitrified waste in canisters. The design review with an optimization of the shielding geometry was done with the deterministic code Attila{sup R} of the company Transpire, Inc. Attila{sup R} is a powerful tool to calculate and optimize the shielding effect of handling facilities for radioactive materials. It is easy to handle with its CAD integration module and an easy setup of the calculation cases. Areas with a low shielding effect which results in an exceeding of the dose rate limits can be found quickly with the illustration due to an Iso-Dose-Rate-Surface in the 3D Model. In these areas the shielding effect has to be improved. Otherwise there is material, which has no significant influence on the shielding effect and makes the handling facilities heavier and more expensive as needed. The optimization of the shielding design of the canister loading machine in the current case results in lower dose rates outside the facility to keep the dose rate limits. The demand of shielding material could be reduced and resulted in a cost reduction on the facility itself and furthermore in the caring facilities to transport this facility (cranes, etc.). (authors)

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Integrating Crack Detection and Pipe Shape Optimization for Enhanced Sewage System Durability

Crack detection in underground reinforced concrete pipes has been essential in determining the state of stormwater infrastructure. Detection models have been implemented for detecting cracks and other defects in pipes using CCTV footage for stormwater drainage systems. In addition, Finite element models have been used to determine optimum shapes and pipe thickness for different boundary conditions such as header pipes in power plants. The concept of shape optimization emerges as a crucial factor in power plant design and operation, with the potential to maximize performance while minimizing the use of materials. Shape optimization not only enhances efficiency but also contributes to reducing the environmental footprint. This paper discusses the integration of both topics by using the cracks detected in underground pipes as boundary conditions for shape optimization of the pipes. A machine learning model has been developed which uses limited data for training and outlines the location of detected cracks. A shape optimization methodology is proposed in which ANSYS modules are used to analyze fluid flow and then optimize the shape of the pipe. The crack detection model developed has been applied to a crack detected in lab setting and machine learning model used has an accuracy of 98% using a random forest algorithm.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Integrated Transmission-Distribution Multi-Period Switching for Wildfire Risk Mitigation: Improving Speed and Scalability with Distributed Optimization: Preprint

With increasingly severe wildfire conditions driven by climate change, utilities must manage the risk of wildfire ignitions from electric power lines. During "public safety power shutoff'" events, utilities de-energize power lines to reduce wildfire ignition risk, which may result in load shedding. Distributed energy resources provide flexibility that can help support the system to reduce load shedding when lines are de-energized. We investigate a coordinated transmission-distribution optimization problem that balances wildfire risk mitigation and load shedding. We model distribution systems that include battery energy storage systems which may support loads when transmission lines are de-energized. This multi-period integrated transmission-distribution optimal switching problem jointly optimizes line switching decisions, the generators' setpoints, load shedding, and the batteries' states of charge, resulting in significant computational challenges. To improve scalability, we decompose the problem over both space and time and apply a distributed optimization algorithm. Using a large-scale synthetic California test case with realistic distribution models and real wildfire risk data, we show that distributed optimization can solve large-scale multi-period switching problems that are otherwise intractable for centralized solvers. We also discuss challenges and future directions for improving the distributed algorithm's convergence performance as the number of time periods increases.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2021

Machine learning framework for quantum sampling of highly constrained, continuous optimization problems

In recent years, there is growing interest in using quantum computers for solving combinatorial optimization problems. In this work, we developed a generic, machine learning-based framework for mapping continuous-space inverse design problems into surrogate quadratic unconstrained binary optimization (QUBO) problems by employing a binary variational autoencoder and a factorization machine. The factorization machine is trained as a low-dimensional, binary surrogate model for the continuous design space and sampled using various QUBO samplers. Using the D-Wave Advantage hybrid sampler and simulated annealing, we demonstrate that by repeated resampling and retraining of the factorization machine, our framework finds designs that exhibit figures of merit exceeding those of its training set. We showcase the framework’s performance on two inverse design problems by optimizing (i) thermal emitter topologies for thermophotovoltaic applications and (ii) diffractive meta-gratings for highly efficient beam steering. This technique can be further scaled to leverage future developments in quantum optimization to solve advanced inverse design problems for science and engineering applications.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2026

Efficient Optimization of Plasma Radiation Detector Configurations using Imperfect Inference Models

The configurations of instruments fielded on an experiment affect the amount of information captured and the quality of subsequent inference. Here, we investigate the problem of optimizing plasma x-ray radiation detectors in a magneto-inertial fusion experiment at Sandia National Laboratories. It is impossible to directly measure properties such as the temperature of the thermonuclear fusion plasma produced in these experiments because of the extreme environment and destructive nature of the experiment. Among other diagnostics, several detectors are placed with significant standoff from the fusion target to capture the x-rays emitted by the fusion plasma, which can be used to infer some of its properties. To optimize the configuration of these detectors, a high-fidelity model (HFM) is used for simulating outputs and a low-fidelity model (LFM) is used for inference. We develop methods based on A- and L-optimality criteria that are efficient to compute while explicitly accounting for the discrepancy between the HFM and the LFM. The method allows us to find detector configurations that perform similarly to or better than the configuration obtained using an existing sampling-based optimization method while decreasing computational time by a factor of 50. Supplementary materials for this article are available online, including a standardized description of the materials available for reproducing the work.

Bayesian optimization↗

DOE OSTI2018

Speed Trajectory Optimization for a Heavy-Duty Truck Traversing Multiple Signalized Intersections: A Dynamic Programming Study

This paper explores the fuel savings that can be achieved by optimizing the speed trajectory of a heavy-duty truck traversing a sequence of intersections, under the assumptions that the behavior of the leading traffic and the timing of the traffic lights is known. Specifically, we look at the impact of corridor topology (i.e. green cycle lengths, phase offsets) on the expected fuel savings of the optimized trajectories. This is an important area of research because vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) and vehicle-to-infrastructure (V2I) technology has the potential to allow autonomous vehicles to reduce fuel consumption, especially in urban and sub-urban driving scenarios. The literature tackles the problem of arterial corridor trajectory optimization, and shows the potential fuel saving benefits. However, previous research focuses primarily on passenger vehicles, and often limits its findings to specific case studies. The main contribution of this paper is to offer an estimate of the fuel saving potential - for heavy-duty trucks and under different corridor characteristics - of optimizing trajectories in an urban arterial with V2V and V21 capabilities.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Optimal Stopping Ages for Colorectal Cancer Screening

Importance Prior studies have shown that the benefits, harms, and costs of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening at older ages are associated with a patient’s sex, health, and screening history. However, these studies were hypothetical exercises and not directly informed by data on CRC risk. Objective To identify the optimal stopping ages for CRC screening by sex, comorbidity, and screening history from a cost-effectiveness perspective. Design, Setting, and Participants This economic evaluation first validated the MISCAN-Colon (Microsimulation Screening Analysis–Colon) model against community-based CRC incidence and mortality rates for 2 subcohorts of the PRECISE (Optimizing Colorectal Cancer Screening Precision and Outcomes in Community-Based Populations) cohort. Subsequently, different CRC screening scenarios were simulated in older individuals. Cohorts of US adults aged 76 to 90 years varied by sex and comorbidity status (none, low, moderate, or severe). Statistical and sensitivity analyses were performed from March 2023 to May 2024. Exposures CRC screening histories including fecal immunochemical test (FIT) or colonoscopy, such as a negative colonoscopy result from 10, 15, 20, 25, or 30 years before the index age; 1 to 5 negative FIT results within 5 years of the index age, with different patterns of recency; or a combination of negative colonoscopy and negative FIT results. Main Outcomes and Measures The main outcomes included estimated lifetime clinical outcomes, incremental costs, and quality-adjusted life-years gained (QALYG) associated with 1 additional FIT or colonoscopy. Optimal stopping age for screening, defined as the oldest age for which the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was still below the willingness-to-pay threshold of $\$$100 000 per QALYG, was evaluated. Results The first of the 2 PRECISE subcohorts used in validating the simulation model included 25 974 adults (15 060 females [58.0%]; 54.7% aged 76 to 80 years) with a negative colonoscopy result 10 years before the index date. The second subcohort consisted of 118 269 adults (67 058 females [56.7%]; 90.5% aged 76 to 80 years) with a negative FIT result 1 year before the index date. Older age, male sex, higher comorbidity levels, and recent CRC screenings were associated with reduced incremental benefit and cost-effectiveness of additional screening. For the reference cohort of 76-year-old females without comorbidities and a negative colonoscopy result 10 years before the index age, 1 additional colonoscopy cost $\$$38 226 per QALYG. For cohorts with otherwise equivalent characteristics, associated costs increased to $\$$1 689 945 per QALYG for females at age 90 years without comorbidities and a negative colonoscopy results 10 years before the index age, $\$$51 604 per QALYG for males at age 76 years without comorbidities and a negative colonoscopy result 10 years before the index age, and $\$$108 480 per QALYG for females at age 76 years with severe comorbidities and a negative colonoscopy result 10 years before the index age and decreased to $\$$16 870 per QALYG for females without comorbidities and a negative colonoscopy result 30 years before the index age. The optimal stopping ages across different cohorts ranged from younger than 76 to 86 years for colonoscopy and younger than 76 to 88 years for FIT. Conclusions and Relevance In this economic evaluation, age, sex, screening history, comorbidity, and future screening modality were associated with the clinical outcomes, cost-effectiveness, and optimal stopping age for CRC screening. These results can inform guideline development and patient-directed informed decision-making.

Harlass, Matthias [Erasmus Erasmus University Medi↗

DOE OSTI2019

Dynamic real‐time optimization for a CO 2 capture process

Growing awareness of climate change has led to increased focus on new energy processes that mitigate generation of CO 2 , or provide for its efficient capture. To enable the development of these processes, advanced modeling and optimization platforms have been created. New capabilities among platforms include efficient solution strategies for online optimization problems. For real time, dynamic optimization of CO 2 capture processes, we demonstrate the application of the Python‐based Pyomo platform to facilitate realization of Moving Horizon Estimation and Nonlinear Model Predictive Control, through novel nonlinear optimization and sensitivity strategies. This capability allows large scale, first principle models to be applied for online optimization. Here, we introduce the Control and Adaptation with Predictive Sensitivity Enhancements (CAPRESE) framework to demonstrate this framework for advanced energy processes. Moreover, we present two case studies: profile tracking with detailed tray‐by‐tray distillation models and Bubbling Fluidized Bed reactors for CO 2 capture. © 2018 American Institute of Chemical Engineers AIChE J , 65: e16511 2019

Thierry, David↗

DOE OSTI2023

Holistic fleet optimization incorporating system design considerations

The methodology described in this article enables a type of holistic fleet optimization that simultaneously considers the composition and activity of a fleet through time as well as the design of individual systems within the fleet. Often, real-world system design optimization and fleet-level acquisition optimization are treated separately due to the prohibitive scale and complexity of each problem. Importantly, this means that fleet-level schedules are typically limited to the inclusion of predefined system configurations and are blind to a rich spectrum of system design alternatives. Similarly, system design optimization often considers a system in isolation from the fleet and is blind to numerous, complex portfolio-level considerations. In reality, these two problems are highly interconnected. To properly address this system-fleet design interdependence, we present a general method for efficiently incorporating multi-objective system design trade-off information into a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) fleet-level optimization. This work is motivated by the authors' experience with large-scale DOD acquisition portfolios. However, the methodology is general to any application where the fleet-level problem is a MILP and there exists at least one system having a design trade space in which two or more design objectives are parameters in the fleet-level MILP.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗