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At least 1,729 records · Page 96

Error Analysis of CM Data Products Sources of Uncertainty

This goal of this project is to address the current inability to assess the overall error and uncertainty of data products developed and distributed by DOE’s Consequence Management (CM) Program. This is a widely recognized shortfall, the resolution of which would provide a great deal of value and defensibility to the analysis results, data products, and the decision making process that follows this work. A global approach to this problem is necessary because multiple sources of error and uncertainty contribute to the ultimate production of CM data products. Therefore, this project will require collaboration with subject matter experts across a wide range of FRMAC skill sets in order to quantify the types of uncertainty that each area of the CM process might contain and to understand how variations in these uncertainty sources contribute to the aggregated uncertainty present in CM data products. The ultimate goal of this project is to quantify the confidence level of CM products to ensure that appropriate public and worker protections decisions are supported by defensible analysis.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

The Alignment Error Estimates of Magnet and Girder

The alignment tolerances from physics group are set as ± 30 micron (±1σ) for magnets in common girders and ± 100 micron (±1σ) for girders when they are positioned in tunnel. Though, physics group don’t want any components be misaligned out of that boundary. This article will present all the possible error sources and give an overall error estimate of those two key processes. The measures that ensure no components fall out of the boundary will be illustrated as well.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Addressing Model Form Error for Time-Dependent Conservation Equations

Model form error of the type considered here is error due to an approximate or incorrect representation of physics by a computational model. Typical approaches to adjust a model based on observed differences between experiment and prediction are to calibrate the model parameters utilizing the observed discrepancies and to develop parameterized additive corrections to the model output. These approaches are generally not suitable if significant physics is missing from the model and the desired quantities of interest for an application are different than those used for calibration. The approach developed here is to build a corrected surrogate solver through a multi- step process: 1) Sampled simulation results are used to develop a surrogate computational solver that maintains the overall conservative principles of the unmodified governing equations, 2) the surrogate solver is applied to candidate linear and non-linear corrector terms to develop corrections that are consistent with the original conservative principles, 3) constant multipliers on the these terms are calibrated using the experimental observations, and 4) the resulting surrogate solver is used to predict application response for the quantity of interest. This approach and several other calibration-based approaches were applied to an example problem based on the diffusive Burgers' equation. While all the approaches provided some model correction when the measure/calibration quantity was the same as that for an application, only the present approach was able to adequately correct the CompSim results when the prediction quantity was different from the calibration quantity.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

The alignment error estimates of magnet and girder

The alignment tolerances from physics group are set as ± 30 micron (±1σ) for magnets in common girders and ± 100 micron (±1σ) for girders when they are positioned in tunnel. Though, physics group don’t want any components be misaligned out of that boundary. This article will present all the possible error sources and give an overall error estimate of those two key processes. The measures that ensure no components fall out of the boundary will be illustrated as well.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Beam Dynamics Study of PIP-II Superconducting Linac in the Presece of Misalignment Errors

The Proton Improvement Plan (PIP)-II is a proposed high intensity proton facility being developed at the Fermilab. The PIP-II is primarily based on construction of a new superconducting radio frequency (SRF) linear accelerator (linac) that would deliver an average beam current of 2mA with output energy up to 800 MeV. The linac performance is mainly determined by beam sensitivity against various component errors. These errors trigger not only emittance dilution but also a beam loss in worst cases. This paper discusses effects of component misalignments on the beam and presents alignment budget for the PIP-II SRF linac.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Error Study of FlecSim Using the Method of Manufactured Solutions [Slides]

Error was calculated using exact solution chosen with the method of manufactured solutions. Hydrodynamics match expected order of accuracy for spatial error within 1.5% for all variables tested. Radiation transport matches expected order of temporal accuracy within 0.5% for all variables tested.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

The Single Event Error (SEE) test and analysis of the CMS Endcap Timing Layer readout chip

The ETROC2, the first full size and full functionality prototype chip for the CMS Endcap Timing Layer readout, is strategically designed to meet the SEE immunity requirements of detector operation with the low power constraint. The triplicated periphery and pixel I2C configuration registers are designed with self-correction feature. The pixel readout control is centralized in the global readout and fully triplicated. The pixel readout is not triplicated, instead protected with power-efficient one-bit correction Hamming code. The TMR protection of the on-pixel threshold calibration can be turned off allowing the detection of the beam spot during the beam test by checking the bit-flips of the internal memory cells. In the initial proton beam test in January 2024, the chip readout process did not hang throughout the tests. The Hamming code correction strategy works because the error corrected TDC data were observed in the data frames. The error-injection simulation is performed to analy ze the small number of bit-flips in the configuration registers. We also performed SEE testing with a heavy ion beam in April and the data analysis is ongoing. The detailed design on the SEE immunity and the testing as well as simulation results will be presented, including follow-up SEE testing results in May and June 2024.

Gong, Datao↗

Tough Errors are no Match (TEAM): Optimizing the Quantum Compiler for Noise Resilience

This report summarizes our contributions to the Department of Energy’s Tough Errors are no Match (TEAM) project (DE-SC0020377) under Thrust 2: Quantum Programming and Compilation. The central outcomes of this work included a novel efficient quantum compiling algorithm which works without requiring the quantum computer to exactly invert its operations, answering a longstanding open problem in quantum compiling. Additional results include the implementation of zero-noise extrapolation error mitigation in collaboration with the Unitary Fund, as well as novel quantum algorithms for entanglement detection and pseudorandomness.

Bouland, Adam [Stanford Univ., CA (United States)]↗

Executive summary of error sources in dynamic surface temperature measurements

Obtaining bulk T requires measuring apparent sample interface T surface , knowledge of any window conditions T window , and knowledge of thermal transport from the sample to the window. To obtain bulk T with uncertainties below 5% requires relatively small uncertainties in each of these areas, and large uncertainties in one area require smaller uncertainties in others to maintain the error budget. For example, if T window is known to 10%, a 5% total uncertainty can be obtained if T surface is known to 1% and combined transport uncertainties are known to 20%. If T surface can only be measured to 2%, combined transport uncertainties must be 17% to reach the same overall uncertainty. As the form of transport is unknown at high pressure, and window temperatures are difficult to measure by their very nature, reducing surface T uncertainties is the practical first step. Here we will discuss various error sources in the measurement of apparent T surface , and which ones must be correctly obtained prior to the experiment.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The Perils of AI-Assisted Time Conversion Critical Errors in J2000 Time to UNIX/UTC Conversions Using AI Assistants (Technical Memorandum)

This memo addresses a critical issue encountered when using AI assistants for time system conversions, specifically converting data tagged with J2000 seconds through UNIX time to UTC. Initial AI responses to this common conversion task were fundamentally incorrect, with errors exceeding 37 seconds - enough to cause significant issues in many applications. This document demonstrates the problem, quantifies the error, and provides best practices for using AI tools safely in technical work. Both Claude 4.5 Sonnet and ChatGPT GPT-5.5 Thinking gave the same answer.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

A Cryogenic Muon Tagging System Integrated with a Superconducting Qubit Device for Radiation-Induced Error Mitigation

Superconducting qubits are highly sensitive to ionizing radiation, which can induce correlated errors and limit scalable fault-tolerant quantum computing. In particular, cosmic-ray muons can deposit energy in the substrate, generating phonon bursts that break Cooper pairs and produce quasiparticles, leading to correlated decoherence events across multiple qubits. We present the development of a cryogenic muon tagging system based on Kinetic Inductance Detectors (KIDs) and its integration with superconducting quantum hardware. Originally developed within the ACE-SuperQ project and validated as a standalone detector, the system demonstrated a muon tagging efficiency of approximately 90% and excellent agreement with Monte Carlo simulations. Building on this validation, the tagging system has been integrated with a multi-qubit superconducting chip operated in a dilution refrigerator. The detector configuration consists of a multi-layer KID stack arranged above and below the quantum device, enabling time-coincident identification of muon-induced events within the same cryogenic environment. The integrated setup has been successfully commissioned, enabling simultaneous operation of the qubit chip and the muon tagging system. A first measurement campaign has been carried out, and preliminary data show time-correlated events between the muon tagging detectors and the qubit readout. A quantitative analysis of radiation-induced effects on qubit performance is currently ongoing. This work represents a step toward the implementation of event-level radiation tagging as a tool for characterizing and potentially mitigating correlated errors in superconducting quantum processors, while establishing a modular platform for future studies at the interface between particle physics and quantum information science.

Roy, Tanay [Fermilab] (ORCID:000000019442862X)↗

Characterization of Soft Error Rate Against Memory Elements Spacing and Clock Skew in a Logic with Triple Modular Redundancy in a 65nm Process

Single Event Effects introduce soft errors in ASICs. Design methodologies like Triple ModularRedundancy (TMR) with clock skew insertion, a system level redundancy technique is a commonpractice by designers to mitigate soft errors. However, the optimal spacing between memoryelements in a TMR in 65nm process hasn't been addressed so far. RD53SEU is a mini ASICdevelopment under the framework of the CERN RD53 collaboration to characterize the soft errorrates against the separation spacing and clock skew between memory elements in a TMR. Thisarticle describes the architecture and design aspects of the various test structures on the RD53SEUtest chip.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Characterizing and mitigating coherent errors in a trapped ion quantum processor using hidden inverses

Quantum computing testbeds exhibit high-fidelity quantum control over small collections of qubits, enabling performance of precise, repeatable operations followed by measurements. Currently, these noisy intermediate-scale devices can support a sufficient number of sequential operations prior to decoherence such that near term algorithms can be performed with proximate accuracy (like chemical accuracy for quantum chemistry problems). While the results of these algorithms are imperfect, these imperfections can help bootstrap quantum computer testbed development. Demonstrations of these algorithms over the past few years, coupled with the idea that imperfect algorithm performance can be caused by several dominant noise sources in the quantum processor, which can be measured and calibrated during algorithm execution or in post-processing, has led to the use of noise mitigation to improve typical computational results. Conversely, benchmark algorithms coupled with noise mitigation can help diagnose the nature of the noise, whether systematic or purely random. Here, we outline the use of coherent noise mitigation techniques as a characterization tool in trapped-ion testbeds. We perform model-fitting of the noisy data to determine the noise source based on realistic physics focused noise models and demonstrate that systematic noise amplification coupled with error mitigation schemes provides useful data for noise model deduction. Further, in order to connect lower level noise model details with application specific performance of near term algorithms, we experimentally construct the loss landscape of a variational algorithm under various injected noise sources coupled with error mitigation techniques. This type of connection enables application-aware hardware codesign, in which the most important noise sources in specific applications, like quantum chemistry, become foci of improvement in subsequent hardware generations.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

A Quantized State Integrator With Second Order Errors Over Monotonic Segments

We introduce a novel quantized state integration method that is analogous to the explicit, second order Runge-Kutta technique. A feature of this method is that, for a single differential equation over an interval where the solution is monotonic, it exhibits an error proportional to the square of the integration quantum. We offer a theoretical proof of this behavior and demonstrate it with a numerical example. At the same time, an extension of the method to a system with input causes the errors to become proportional to the integration quantum. The latter observation fits established theory; the former appears to be a new result that might offer new insights into the construction of quantized state integration methods.

Mahawattege, Rasika↗

3D Measurement Simulation and Relative Pointing Error Verification of the Telescope Mount Assembly Subsystem for the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope

An engineering validation of a large optical telescope consists of executing major performing tests at the subsystem level to verify the overall engineering performance of the observatory. Thus, the relative pointing error verification of the telescope mount assembly subsystem is of special interest to guarantee the absolute pointing performance of the large synoptic survey telescope. This paper presents a new verification method for the relative pointing error assessment of the telescope mount assembly, based on laser tracker technology and several fiducial points fixed to the floor. Monte-Carlo-based simulation results show that the presented methodology is fit for purpose, even if floor movement occurs due to temperature variation during the measurement acquisition process. A further research about laser tracker technology integration into the telescope structure may suggest that such laser tracker technology could be permanently installed in the telescope in order to provide an active alignment system that aims to detect and correct possible misalignment between mirrors or to provide the required mirror positioning verification accuracy after maintenance activities. The obtained results show that two on-board laser tracker systems combined with eight measurement targets could result in measurement uncertainties that are better than 1 arcsec, which would provide a reliable built-in metrology tool for large telescopes.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

JWST Noise Floor. I. Random Error Sources in JWST NIRCam Time Series

James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) transmission and emission spectra will provide invaluable glimpses of transiting exoplanet atmospheres, including possible biosignatures. This promising science from JWST, however, will require exquisite precision and understanding of systematic errors that can impact the time series of planets crossing in front of and behind their host stars. Here, we provide estimates of the random noise sources affecting JWST Near-Infrared Camera (NIRCam) time-series data on the integration-to-integration level. We find that 1/f noise can limit the precision of grism time series for two groups (230–1000 ppm depending on the extraction method and extraction parameters), but will average down like the square root of N frames/reads. The current NIRCam grism time-series mode is especially affected by 1/f noise because its GRISMR dispersion direction is parallel to the detector fast-read direction, but could be alleviated in the GRISMC direction. Care should be taken to include as many frames as possible per visit to reduce this 1/f noise source: thus, we recommend the smallest detector subarray sizes one can tolerate, four output channels, and readout modes that minimize the number of skipped frames (RAPID or BRIGHT2). We also describe a covariance-weighting scheme that can significantly lower the contributions from 1/f noise as compared to sum extraction. We evaluate the noise introduced by pre-amplifier offsets, random telegraph noise, and high dark current resistor capacitor (RC) pixels and find that these are correctable below 10 ppm once background subtraction and pixel masking are performed. We explore systematic error sources in a companion paper.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Local Error Analysis and Comparison of the Swept- and Intersection-Based Remapping Methods

Abstract In this paper, the numerical error of two widely used methods for remapping of discrete quantities from one computational mesh to another is investigated. We compare the intuitive, but resource intensive method utilizing intersections of computational cells with the faster and simpler swept-region-based method. Both algorithms are formally second order accurate, however, they are known to produce slightly different quantity profiles in practical applications. The second-order estimate of the error formula is constructed algebraically for both algorithms so that their local accuracy can be evaluated. This general estimate is then used to assess the dependence of the performance of both methods on parameters such as the second derivatives of the remapped distribution, mesh geometry or mesh movement. Due to the complexity of such analysis, it is performed on a set of simplified elementary mesh patterns such as cell corner expansion, rotation or shear. On selected numerical tests it is demonstrated that the swept-based method can distort a symmetric quantity distribution more substantially than the intersection-based approach when the computational mesh moves in an unsuitable direction.

Klima, Matej↗