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At least 1,729 records · Page 96

County-Level Climate Uncertainty for Risk Assessments: Volume 23 Appendix V - Forecast Sea Ice Thickness

This report uses the CMIP5 series of climate model simulations to produce country- level uncertainty distributions for use in socioeconomic risk assessments of climate change impacts. It provides appropriate probability distributions, by month, for 169 countries and autonomous-areas on temperature, precipitation, maximum temperature, maximum wind speed, humidity, runoff, soil moisture and evaporation for the historical period (1976-2005), and for decadal time periods to 2100. It also provides historical and future distributions for the Arctic region on ice concentration, ice thickness, age of ice, and ice ridging in 15-degree longitude arc segments from the Arctic Circle to 80 degrees latitude, plus two polar semicircular regions from 80 to 90 degrees latitude. The uncertainty is meant to describe the lack of knowledge rather than imprecision in the physical simulation because the emphasis is on unfalsified risk and its use to determine potential socioeconomic impacts. The full report is contained in 27 volumes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Quarterly Management Document – FY17, 3rd Quarter, Physics-based Creep Simulations of Thick Section Welds in High Temperature and Pressure Applications

Progress on modeling the the creep of thick sections welds in Alloy 740H is reported. Climb of dislocations during creep has been added to the model. Creep testing is continuing and stress drop testing has been initiated to determine the threshold stress of this particle-strengthened alloy. Work has also begun on generating synthetic microstructures, representative of experimental microstructures, from data collected with EBSD. This will enable incorporation of experimental microstructures into the modeling and simulation effort.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

MLEP-Fail calibration for 1/8 inch thick cast plate of 17-4 steel.

The purpose of the work presented in this memo was to calibrate the Sierra material model Multilinear Elastic-Plastic Hardening Model with Failure (MLEP-Fail) for 1/8 inch thick cast plate of 17-4 steel. The calibration approach is essentially the same as that recently used in a previous memo using data from smooth and notched tensile specimens. The notched specimens were manufactured with three notch radii R = 1=8, 1/32 and 1/64 inches. The dimensions of the smooth and notched specimens are given in the prints in Appendix A. Two cast plates, Plate 3 and Plate 4, with nominally identical properties were considered.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Quarterly Management Document – FY18, 1st Quarter, Physics-based Creep Simulations of Thick Section Welds in High Temperature and Pressure Applications

During the 1st quarter of FY18 modeling and simulation of the creep of thick section welds continued although some workscope from FY17 still needs to be completed. Four stress drop tests to determine the threshold stress for creep in Alloy 740H were carried out. One has finished and post-test analysis shows a threshold creep stress of about 67 MPa which is lower than that found in a previous program for Alloy 617 at the same temperature. Alloy 617 is not as creep resistant as Alloy 740H and the reason for the lower than expected threshold stress for Alloy 740H is being investigated further. Also analysis of the gamma prime particle size in an aging study closely follows the aging characteristics of gamma prime in Alloy 617. Further analysis of other aged materials will be carried out during the 2nd quarter of FY18 to confirm that the aging characteristic of Alloy 740H are the same as that for Alloy 617.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Quarterly Management Document – FY19, 3rd Quarter, Physics-based Creep Simulations of Thick Section Welds in High Temperature and Pressure Applications

During the 3rd quarter of FY19, a strategy was developed to incorporate creep damage arising from diffusional processes into a computational model describing creep behavior of thick section welds in Alloy 740H. This approach will be followed in the 4th quarter modify the existing creep model to include diffusional damage processes in its predictions of creep behavior and especially the transition to tertiary creep behavior which will allow the prediction of creep rupture time.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Simultaneous Real-Time Measurement of Composition, Flow, Attenuation, Density, and Pipe-Wall Thickness in Multiphase Fluids

Researchers at Los Alamos National Lab have developed an apparatus and method for making simultaneous measurements of composition, fluid flow, and sound attenuation in a multiphase fluid flowing through a pipe in real-time, using a single device. Additionally, the apparatus provides real-time pipe-wall thickness monitoring for observing pipe corrosion. The use of short-duration frequency chirp excitation enables the apparatus to provided multiple levels of information in a single measurement.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Identification of Material Type and Thickness Using Combined X-ray and Fast Neutron Radiography

Material identification (ID) using radiography is a problem that has implicitly existed since the discovery of the X-ray. Since 9-11, this problem has received renewed attention for homeland security applications of the generic, “what is in the box?” type1. Examples of items potentially in the box include: roadside bombs, nuclear weapons, contraband shipments and the like. In these cases, the “what” can include: explosives, projectiles, fissile material, or drugs. Here we investigate the ability of 60Co gamma-rays, 14MeV neutrons, and their combination to tease apart information about density, thickness and atomic number of items in the box. That information subset can be combined with other types of independent information (e.g. neutron and gammaspectroscopy, intelligence, photographs etc.) to assert a more complete picture of what, exactly, is in the box? That more complete information set can form the basis for actions including: remote detonation, evacuations, disablement, detention, search, arrest etc.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Final Cooling with Thick Wedges for a Muon Collider

A muon collider is a particle accelerator that collides muons rather than protons or electrons. An important component of such a collider is cooling, in which the emittance of the muon beam is reduced to make it suitable for use in a collider. In the last stage of this process, called final 4D cooling, emittance in the transverse axes is reduced while emittance in the longitudinal axis is allowed to grow. In previous studies, Final 4-D cooling used absorbers within very high field solenoids to cool low-momentum muons. Simulations of the systems did not reach the desired cooling design goals. In this study, we develop and optimize a different conceptual design for the final 4D cooling channel, which is based on single thick wedges. We used G4Beamline to simulate the channel and Python to generate and analyze particle distributions. We characterized the effects of various parameters on the performance of this system, including the initial emittances and Twiss parameters, the length and angle of the wedges, the length of the drift channel, and the length, frequency, gradient, and phase of the RF cavities. We optimized the design parameters of the cooling channel and produced two conceptual designs (corresponding to two possible starting points for the input beam) which achieve transverse cooling in both x and y by a factor of ≈ 3.5. These channels achieve a lower transverse and longitudinal emittance than the best design previously published.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

AGR-2 TRISO Layer Thickness Imaging Archive

As a part of fuel quality control characterization, optical microscopy images of particle cross sections near midplane were acquired at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). These particles were produced by the Advanced Gas Reactor Fuel Development and Qualification (AGR) Program’s AGR-2 irradiation campaign. These images may be of use for the development of image processing algorithms with the benchmark values measured at ORNL. This report provides those benchmark values, along with the raw images and data generated by the ORNL particle layer thickness analysis process.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

HEU Metal Delayed Critical Experiments with 10 to 19 Inch Thick Graphite Reflectors

Approximately 100 graphite-reflected highly enriched uranium (HEU, 93.14 wt % 235 U) metal annular and cylindrical critical experiments were performed in the early 1960s at the Oak Ridge Critical Experiments Facility (ORCEF). This report presents details from experiment logbooks, experimental data sheets and the author's memory for 44 HEU metal (93.14 wt % 235 U) critical assemblies with graphite reflectors varying from 10 to 19 in. thick, outside diameters varying from 7 to 15 in., inside diameters varying from 7 to 13 in. and critical HEU metal masses varying from 20.4 to 69.0 kg. The data from the 44 experiments described in this report are acceptable for use as criticality safety benchmark experiments for the International Criticality Safety Evaluation Program (ICSBEP) once the uncertainty analysis on the measured k eff is completed. Based on previous ICSBEP benchmarks with this HEU metal at ORCEF, the uncertainties in the measured k eff are expected to be as low as ±0.0004. Preparation of this report is part of an effort at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) to document more than 15 undocumented series of critical and subcritical experiments enumerated in Critical and Subcritical NEA Benchmark Possibilities for Measurements at ORCEF and Other US DOE Facilities (Mihalzo, ORNL/TM-2019/1188, 2019) and performed by ORNL at ORCEF and other US Department of Energy critical experiments facilities. More than 500 operational days of critical facility time were used, not including setup and dismantlement time. This documentation for a part of one series of graphite reflected highly enriched uranium metal critical experiments, that used 50 operational days of ORCEF time, was performed using funding received from the DOE Office of Nuclear Energy’s Nuclear Energy University Programs at the University of Tennessee Nuclear Engineering Department. This documentation was also supported by the Nuclear Criticality, Radiation Transport, and Safety programs at ORNL.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Cutting Methods for Thick Titanium-Alloy Slabs

Methods of cutting thick titanium-alloy plates and slabs are considered. The surface quality of the cut and the productivity are estimated. Abrasive cutting by means of water jets is the most universal method and yields satisfactory surface quality at moderate cost.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Diagnosing Malaria Patients with Plasmodium falciparum and vivax Using Deep Learning for Thick Smear Images

We propose a new framework, PlasmodiumVF-Net, to analyze thick smear microscopy images for a malaria diagnosis on both image and patient-level. Our framework detects whether a patient is infected, and in case of a malarial infection, reports whether the patient is infected by Plasmodium falciparum or Plasmodium vivax. PlasmodiumVF-Net first detects candidates for Plasmodium parasites using a Mask Regional-Convolutional Neural Network (Mask R-CNN), filters out false positives using a ResNet50 classifier, and then follows a new approach to recognize parasite species based on a score obtained from the number of detected patches and their aggregated probabilities for all of the patient images. Reporting a patient-level decision is highly challenging, and therefore reported less often in the literature, due to the small size of detected parasites, the similarity to staining artifacts, the similarity of species in different development stages, and illumination or color variations on patient-level. We use a manually annotated dataset consisting of 350 patients, with about 6000 images, which we make publicly available together with this manuscript. Our framework achieves an overall accuracy above 90% on image and patient-level.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Fabrication of Black Body Grids by Thick Film Printing for Quantitative Neutron Imaging

Neutron imaging offers deep penetration through many high-Z materials while also having high sensitivity to certain low-Z isotopes such as 1H, 6Li, and 10B. This unique combination of properties has made neutron imaging an attractive tool for a wide range of material science and engineering applications. However, measurements made by neutron imaging or tomography are generally qualitative in nature due to the inability of detectors to discriminate between neutrons which have been transmitted through the sample and neutrons which are scattered by the sample or within the detector. Recent works have demonstrated that deploying a grid of small black bodies (BBs) in front of the sample can allow for the scattered neutrons to be measured at the BB locations and subsequently subtracted from the total measured intensity to yield a quantitative transmission measurement. While this method can be very effective, factors such as the scale and composition of the sample, the beam divergence, and the resolution and construction of the detector may require optimization of the grid design to remove all measurement biases within a given experimental setup. Therefore, it is desirable to have a method by which BB grids may be rapidly and inexpensively produced such that they can easily be tailored to specific applications. In this work, we present a method for fabricating BB patterns by thick film printing of Gd2O3 and evaluate the performance with variation in feature size and number of print layers with cold and thermal neutrons.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Through-Thickness Microstructure Characterization in a Centrifugally Cast Austenitic Stainless Steel Nuclear Reactor Primary Loop Pipe Using Time-of-Flight Neutron Diffraction

The US code of Federal Regulations mandates regular inspection of centrifugally cast austenitic stainless steel pipe, commonly used in primary cooling loops in light-water nuclear power plants. These pipes typically have a wall thickness of ~8 cm. Unfortunately, inspection using conventional ultrasonic techniques is not reliable as the microstructure strongly attenuates ultrasonic waves. Work is ongoing to simulate the behavior of acoustic waves in this microstructure and ultimately develop an acoustic inspection method for reactor inspections. In order to account for elastic anisotropy in the material, the texture in the steel was measured as a function of radial distance though the pipe wall. Experiments were conducted on two 10 × 12.7 × 80 mm radial sections of a cast pipe using neutron diffraction scans of 2 mm slices using the HIPPO time-of-flight neutron diffractometer at the Los Alamos Neutron Science Center (LANSCE, Los Alamos, NM, USA). Strong textures dominated by a small number of austenite grains with their (100) direction aligned in the radial direction of the pipe were observed. ODF analysis indicated that up to 70% of the probed volume was occupied by just three single-grain orientations, consistent with grain sizes of almost 1 cm. Texture and phase fraction of both ferrite and austenite phases were measured along the length of the samples. These results will inform the development of a more robust diagnostic tool for regular inspection of this material.

42 ENGINEERING↗

An optically thick disk wind in GRO J1655-40?

We revisited the unusual wind in GRO J1655−40, detected with Chandra in 2005 April, using long-term Rossi X-ray Timing Explorer X-ray data and simultaneous optical/near-infrared photometric data. This wind is the most convincing case for magnetic driving in black hole binaries, as it has an inferred launch radius that is a factor of 10 smaller than the thermal wind prediction. However, the optical and near-infrared (OIR) fluxes monotonically increase around the Chandra observation, whereas the X-ray flux monotonically decreases from 10 days beforehand. Yet the optical and near-infrared fluxes are from the outer, irradiated disk, so for them to increase implies that the X-rays likewise increased. We applied a new irradiated disk model to the multi-wavelength spectral energy distributions. Fitting the OIR fluxes, we estimated the intrinsic luminosity at the Chandra epoch was ≳0.7L{sub Edd}, which is more than one order of magnitude larger than the observed X-ray luminosity. These results could be explained if a Compton-thick, almost completely ionized gas was present in the wind and strong scattering reduced the apparent X-ray luminosity. The effects of scattering in the wind should then be taken into account for discussion of the wind-driving mechanism. Radiation pressure and Compton heating may also contribute to powering the wind at this high luminosity.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A GROWTH-RATE INDICATOR FOR COMPTON-THICK ACTIVE GALACTIC NUCLEI

Due to their heavily obscured central engines, the growth rate of Compton-thick (CT) active galactic nuclei (AGNs) is difficult to measure. A statistically significant correlation between the Eddington ratio, λ {sub Edd}, and the X-ray power-law index, Γ, observed in unobscured AGNs offers an estimate of their growth rate from X-ray spectroscopy (albeit with large scatter). However, since X-rays undergo reprocessing by Compton scattering and photoelectric absorption when the line of sight to the central engine is heavily obscured, the recovery of the intrinsic Γ is challenging. Here we study a sample of local, predominantly CT megamaser AGNs, where the black hole mass, and thus Eddington luminosity, are well known. We compile results of the X-ray spectral fitting of these sources with sensitive high-energy ( E > 10 keV) NuSTAR data, where X-ray torus models, which take into account the reprocessing effects have been used to recover the intrinsic Γ values and X-ray luminosities, L {sub X}. With a simple bolometric correction to L {sub X} to calculate λ {sub Edd}, we find a statistically significant correlation between Γ and λ {sub Edd} ( p = 0.007). A linear fit to the data yields Γ = (0.41 ± 0.18)log{sub 10} λ {sub Edd} + (2.38 ± 0.20), which is statistically consistent with results for unobscured AGNs. This result implies that torus modeling successfully recovers the intrinsic AGN parameters. Since the megamasers have low-mass black holes ( M {sub BH} ≈ 10{sup 6}–10{sup 7} M {sub ⊙}) and are highly inclined, our results extend the Γ– λ {sub Edd} relationship to lower masses and argue against strong orientation effects in the corona, in support of AGN unification. Finally this result supports the use of Γ as a growth-rate indicator for accreting black holes, even for CT AGNs.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗