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DASSH-F: Subchannel Based Thermal Analysis

The DASSH thermal analysis code is designed to rapidly allow a reactor design engineer to obtain flow rates requirements that satisfy peak temperature constraints in the domain. The advantage of using DASSH over a hand calculation is that it has a more rigorous treatment of the pin power distribution and coolant heat transfer within an assembly and between assemblies. The advantage of using DASSH over a conventional 3D subchannel code or a computational fluid dynamics code (CFD) is that it can obtain the desired solution in a matter of minutes in serial with minor computer memory needs. The DASSH methodology for pin lattice models is virtually identical to SUPERENERGY-2 with additional functionalities taken from follow on work to SUPERENERGY-2 done at ANL in the 1980s. DASSH today is an integral component of the Argonne Fast Reactor analysis suite for reactor design work. DASSH obtains the power distribution from a coupled neutron-gamma heating calculation in GAMSOR (including DIF3D) at each time point of a companion fuel cycle analysis calculation with REBUS. The domain in DASSH assumes a hexagonal grid typical for fast reactors with much of the geometry information taken from the DIF3D model. DASSH assumes the assemblies that are loaded into each grid position are ducted to control the coolant flow. The user can alternatively provide their own geometry and power profile instead of inheriting it from DIF3D. Considerable detail is given on the subchannel formulation of DASSH in this document. Much of the formulation and design of the code builds upon research done by previous authors with little new investigation. Thus the decisions made in developing the subchannel model used in DASSH have their origins over 50 years ago. Much of the heat transfer methodology in DASSH is built upon correlations for both the coolant mixing and heat transfer coefficients for pins and ducts. DASSH is thus not a rigorous treatment of a given problem, but a rapid assessment of the temperature field that has known limitations with respect to an experimental measurement or CFD calculation. The DASSH input and output are detailed along with usage of the software. The DASSH output provides tables of evaluated material properties and key coolant and pin temperature results. DASSH can create Python scripts that generate domain summary pictures. DASSH can also generate assembly temperature maps and VTK output files which allow the DASSH solution to be visualized. As the primary purpose of the DASSH software is to compute the coolant and fuel pin temperature distribution for a given model of a reactor, much of the output focus is giving the user quick summary tables needed to assess the performance of a given orifice flow specification. The present version of DASSH has a crude orifice search capability and a sufficient orifice flow search capability. The flow search tries to meet user specified constraints for 1) peak 2-sigma clad temperature, 2) peak coolant temperature, and 3) desired bulk outlet temperature. This document serves as the manual for the Fortran based DASSH software that was developed to replace the Python version of DASSH developed as part of the VTR program.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Stirling Space Engine Program: Final Report - Volume 1

The objective of this program was to develop the technology necessary for operating Stirling power converters in a space environment and to demonstrate this technology in full-scale engine tests. Hardware development focused on the Component Test Power Converter (CTPC), a single cylinder, 12.5-kWe engine. Design parameters for the CTPC were 150 bar operating pressure, 70 Hz frequency, and hot-and cold-end temperatures of 1050 K and 525 K, respectively. The CTPC was also designed for integration with an annular sodium heat pipe at the hot end, which incorporated a unique "Starfish" heater head that eliminated highly stressed brazed or weld joints exposed to liquid metal and used a shaped-tubed electrochemical milling process to achieve precise positional tolerances. Selection of materials that could withstand high operating temperatures with long life were another focus. Significant progress was made in the heater head (Udimet 700 and Inconel 718 and a sodium-filled heat pipe); the alternator (polyimide-coated wire with polyimide adhesive between turns and a polyimide-impregnated fiberglass overwrap and samarium cobalt magnets); and the hydrostatic gas bearings (carbon graphite and aluminum oxide for wear couple surfaces). Tests on the CTPC were performed in three phases: cold end testing (525 K), engine testing with slot radiant heaters, and integrated heat pipe engine system testing. Each test phase was successful, with the integrated engine system demonstrating a power level of 12.5 kWe and an overall efficiency of 22 percent in its maiden test. A 1500-hour endurance test was then successfully completed. These results indicate the significant achievements made by this program that demonstrate the viability of Stirling engine technology for space applications.

Dhar, Manmohan↗

Stand-Alone Dynamic System Simulation of a Fissile Solution System

Dynamic system simulations (DSS) of fissile solution systems (FSS) have been performed at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) for several years. DSS have been designed and executed using the DESIRE (Direct Executing Simulation in Real Time) system, a platform ideal for expert system modelers, as it allows for direct mathematical specification of a model, and facilities for performing experiments and analyses with the model. Models built in DESIRE have been compared to historical data from several historic aqueous homogeneous reactors (AHR) showing close agreement between experimental data and model estimates. Historical systems modeled include: SUPO (Super Power), an AHR that operated at Los Alamos National Laboratory from 1951 to 1974; SILENE, which was operated by CEA at Valduc, France until 2011; KEWB (Kinetics Experiment Water Boiler) A-2 and B-5 cores, operated by North American Atomics during the 1960’s and 1970’s. SUPO is considered a benchmark for steady-state operations, SILENE for pulse, and KEWB as confirmatory for both modes. However, there are some simulation tasks that are not well-suited to DESIRE model implementation. These tasks include engineering design and analysis and providing a hardware simulator backend. It has been determined that executable simulation models would better suit these purposes, hence a process for converting DESIRE simulation models to executable simulation models was designed and implemented, and several models have been converted. DESIRE simulation models are converted to C++ executable models by an automated process. The conversion process is quick, accurate and repeatable, giving confidence that converted models will perform as well as the original DESIRE models. Extensive testing on the SUPO and accelerator driven subcritical system models has shown that the executable models perform almost identically to the DESIRE models. All major trends and events are simulated with excellent agreement and the steady-state results typically agree within a small fraction of a percent (always better than 0.1% and generally better than 0.01% agreement).

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

High-Luminosity Large Hadron Collider (HL-LHC) : Preliminary Design Report

The Large Hadron Collider (LHC) is one of the largest scientific instruments ever built. Since opening up a new energy frontier for exploration in 2010, it has gathered a global user community of about 7,000 scientists working in fundamental particle physics and the physics of hadronic matter at extreme temperature and density. To sustain and extend its discovery potential, the LHC will need a major upgrade in the 2020s. This will increase its luminosity (rate of collisions) by a factor of five beyond the original design value and the integrated luminosity (total collisions created) by a factor ten. The LHC is already a highly complex and exquisitely optimised machine so this upgrade must be carefully conceived and will require about ten years to implement. The new configuration, known as High Luminosity LHC (HL-LHC), will rely on a number of key innovations that push accelerator technology beyond its present limits. Among these are cutting-edge 11-12 tesla superconducting magnets, compact superconducting cavities for beam rotation with ultra-precise phase control, new technology and physical processes for beam collimation and 300 metre-long high-power superconducting links with negligible energy dissipation. The present document describes the technologies and components that will be used to realise the project and is intended to serve as the basis for the detailed engineering design of HL-LHC.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Collimation System

Chapter 5 in High-Luminosity Large Hadron Collider (HL-LHC) : Preliminary Design Report. The Large Hadron Collider (LHC) is one of the largest scientific instruments ever built. Since opening up a new energy frontier for exploration in 2010, it has gathered a global user community of about 7,000 scientists working in fundamental particle physics and the physics of hadronic matter at extreme temperature and density. To sustain and extend its discovery potential, the LHC will need a major upgrade in the 2020s. This will increase its luminosity (rate of collisions) by a factor of five beyond the original design value and the integrated luminosity (total collisions created) by a factor ten. The LHC is already a highly complex and exquisitely optimised machine so this upgrade must be carefully conceived and will require about ten years to implement. The new configuration, known as High Luminosity LHC (HL-LHC), will rely on a number of key innovations that push accelerator technology beyond its present limits. Among these are cutting-edge 11-12 tesla superconducting magnets, compact superconducting cavities for beam rotation with ultra-precise phase control, new technology and physical processes for beam collimation and 300 metre-long high-power superconducting links with negligible energy dissipation. The present document describes the technologies and components that will be used to realise the project and is intended to serve as the basis for the detailed engineering design of HL-LHC.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Energy Deposition and Radiation to Electronics

Chapter 10 in High-Luminosity Large Hadron Collider (HL-LHC) : Preliminary Design Report. The Large Hadron Collider (LHC) is one of the largest scientific instruments ever built. Since opening up a new energy frontier for exploration in 2010, it has gathered a global user community of about 7,000 scientists working in fundamental particle physics and the physics of hadronic matter at extreme temperature and density. To sustain and extend its discovery potential, the LHC will need a major upgrade in the 2020s. This will increase its luminosity (rate of collisions) by a factor of five beyond the original design value and the integrated luminosity (total collisions created) by a factor ten. The LHC is already a highly complex and exquisitely optimised machine so this upgrade must be carefully conceived and will require about ten years to implement. The new configuration, known as High Luminosity LHC (HL-LHC), will rely on a number of key innovations that push accelerator technology beyond its present limits. Among these are cutting-edge 11-12 tesla superconducting magnets, compact superconducting cavities for beam rotation with ultra-precise phase control, new technology and physical processes for beam collimation and 300 metre-long high-power superconducting links with negligible energy dissipation. The present document describes the technologies and components that will be used to realise the project and is intended to serve as the basis for the detailed engineering design of HL-LHC.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

11 T Dipole for the Dispersion Suppressor Collimators

Chapter 11 in High-Luminosity Large Hadron Collider (HL-LHC) : Preliminary Design Report. The Large Hadron Collider (LHC) is one of the largest scientific instruments ever built. Since opening up a new energy frontier for exploration in 2010, it has gathered a global user community of about 7,000 scientists working in fundamental particle physics and the physics of hadronic matter at extreme temperature and density. To sustain and extend its discovery potential, the LHC will need a major upgrade in the 2020s. This will increase its luminosity (rate of collisions) by a factor of five beyond the original design value and the integrated luminosity (total collisions created) by a factor ten. The LHC is already a highly complex and exquisitely optimised machine so this upgrade must be carefully conceived and will require about ten years to implement. The new configuration, known as High Luminosity LHC (HL-LHC), will rely on a number of key innovations that push accelerator technology beyond its present limits. Among these are cutting-edge 11-12 tesla superconducting magnets, compact superconducting cavities for beam rotation with ultra-precise phase control, new technology and physical processes for beam collimation and 300 metre-long high-power superconducting links with negligible energy dissipation. The present document describes the technologies and components that will be used to realise the project and is intended to serve as the basis for the detailed engineering design of HL-LHC.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Machine Layout and Performance

Chapter 2 in High-Luminosity Large Hadron Collider (HL-LHC) : Preliminary Design Report. The Large Hadron Collider (LHC) is one of the largest scientific instruments ever built. Since opening up a new energy frontier for exploration in 2010, it has gathered a global user community of about 7,000 scientists working in fundamental particle physics and the physics of hadronic matter at extreme temperature and density. To sustain and extend its discovery potential, the LHC will need a major upgrade in the 2020s. This will increase its luminosity (rate of collisions) by a factor of five beyond the original design value and the integrated luminosity (total collisions created) by a factor ten. The LHC is already a highly complex and exquisitely optimised machine so this upgrade must be carefully conceived and will require about ten years to implement. The new configuration, known as High Luminosity LHC (HL-LHC), will rely on a number of key innovations that push accelerator technology beyond its present limits. Among these are cutting-edge 11-12 tesla superconducting magnets, compact superconducting cavities for beam rotation with ultra-precise phase control, new technology and physical processes for beam collimation and 300 metre-long high-power superconducting links with negligible energy dissipation. The present document describes the technologies and components that will be used to realise the project and is intended to serve as the basis for the detailed engineering design of HL-LHC.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

RF Systems

Chapter 4 in High-Luminosity Large Hadron Collider (HL-LHC). The Large Hadron Collider (LHC) is one of the largest scientific instruments ever built. Since opening up a new energy frontier for exploration in 2010, it has gathered a global user community of about 7,000 scientists working in fundamental particle physics and the physics of hadronic matter at extreme temperature and density. To sustain and extend its discovery potential, the LHC will need a major upgrade in the 2020s. This will increase its luminosity (rate of collisions) by a factor of five beyond the original design value and the integrated luminosity (total collisions created) by a factor ten. The LHC is already a highly complex and exquisitely optimised machine so this upgrade must be carefully conceived and will require about ten years to implement. The new configuration, known as High Luminosity LHC (HL-LHC), will rely on a number of key innovations that push accelerator technology beyond its present limits. Among these are cutting-edge 11-12 tesla superconducting magnets, compact superconducting cavities for beam rotation with ultra-precise phase control, new technology and physical processes for beam collimation and 300 metre-long high-power superconducting links with negligible energy dissipation. The present document describes the technologies and components that will be used to realise the project and is intended to serve as the basis for the detailed engineering design of HL-LHC.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

A Strip-Yield Model for Predicting the Growth of Part-Through Cracks Under Cyclic Loading

Flaws exist in aircraft structures due to manufacturing operations and material defects. Under variable amplitude cyclic loading, these flaws grow as part-through cracks reducing the residual strength of structural components. To meet damage tolerant design requirements, accurate flaw growth predictions are needed which account for continual changes in crack shape as well as crack growth retardation and acceleration. Predicting the growth of part-through cracks under cyclic loading using an innovative and computationally efficient model is the focus of the research summarized in this report. In this research effort, a slice synthesis methodology was developed and used to construct a modified strip-yield model for the part-through semi-elliptical surface flaw, enabling prediction of plasticity-induced closure along the crack front and subsequent fatigue crack growth under constant amplitude and variable amplitude loading. While modeling the plasticity-induced closure in a part-through flaw may be performed using three dimensional elastic-plastic finite element analysis, this type of effort is impractical from an engineering perspective. A modified strip-yield model similar to that used in FASTRAN for part-through flaws is a much needed engineering design tool, particularly when computational resources are limited.

Daniewicz, S. R.↗

High-Luminosity Large Hadron Collider (HL-LHC). Technical Design Report V. 0.1

The Large Hadron Collider (LHC) is one of the largest scientific instruments ever built. Since opening up a new energy frontier for exploration in 2010, it has gathered a global user community of about 7,000 scientists working in fundamental particle physics and the physics of hadronic matter at extreme temperature and density. To sustain and extend its discovery potential, the LHC will need a major upgrade in the 2020s. This will increase its instantaneous luminosity (rate of collisions) by a factor of five beyond the original design value and the integrated luminosity (total collisions created) by a factor ten. The LHC is already a highly complex and exquisitely optimised machine so this upgrade must be carefully conceived and will require about ten years to implement. The new configuration, known as High Luminosity LHC (HL-LHC), relies on a number of key innovations that push accelerator technology beyond its present limits. Among these are cutting-edge 11-12 tesla superconducting mag-nets, compact superconducting cavities for beam rotation with ultra-precise phase control, new technology and physical processes for beam collimation and 100 metre-long high-power superconducting links with negligible energy dissipation. The present document describes the technologies and components that will be used to realise the project and is intended to serve as the basis for the detailed engineering design of HL-LHC.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

The Validation of Vapor Phase Hydrogen Peroxide Microbial Reduction for Planetary Protection and a Proposed Vacuum Process Specification

The Jet Propulsion Laboratory, in conjunction with the NASA Planetary Protection Officer, has selected the vapor phase hydrogen peroxide sterilization process for continued development as a NASA approved sterilization technique for spacecraft subsystems and systems. The goal is to include this technique, with an appropriate specification, in NPR 8020.12C as a low temperature complementary technique to the dry heat sterilization process.To meet microbial reduction requirements for all Mars in-situ life detection and sample return missions, various planetary spacecraft subsystems will have to be exposed to a qualified sterilization process. This process could be the elevated temperature dry heat sterilization process (~115 C for 40 hours) which was used to sterilize the Viking lander spacecraft. However, with utilization of such elements as highly sophisticated electronics and sensors in modern spacecraft, this process presents significant materials challenges and is thus an undesirable bioburden reduction method to design engineers. The objective of this work is to introduce vapor hydrogen peroxide (VHP) as an alternative to dry heat microbial reduction to meet planetary protection requirements.The VHP process is widely used by the medical industry to sterilize surgical instruments and biomedical devices, but high doses of VHP may degrade the performance of flight hardware, or compromise material properties. Our goal for this study was to determine the minimum VHP process conditions to achieve microbial reduction levels acceptable for planetary protection.

planetary protection↗

Lightning testing at the subsystem level

Testing at the subsystem or black box level for lightning hardness is required if system hardness is to be assured at the system level. The often applied philosophy of lighting testing only at the system level leads to extensive end of the line design changes which result in excessive costs and time delays. In order to perform testing at the subsystem level two important factors must be defined to make the testing simulation meaningful. The first factor is the definition of the test stimulus appropriate to the subsystem level. Application of system level stimulations to the subsystem level usually leads to significant overdesign of the subsystem which is not necessary and may impair normal subsystem performance. The second factor is the availability of test equipment needed to provide the subsystem level lightning stimulation. Equipment for testing at this level should be portable or at least movable to enable efficient testing in a design laboratory environment. Large fixed test installations for system level tests are not readily available for use by the design engineers at the subsystem level and usually require special operating skills. The two factors, stimulation level and test equipment availability, must be evaluated together in order to produce a practical, workable test standard. The neglect or subordination of either factor will guarantee failure in generating the standard. It is not unusual to hear that test standards or specifications are waived because a specified stimulation level cannot be accomplished by in-house or independent test facilities. Determination of subsystem lightning simulation level requires a knowledge and evaluation of field coupling modes, peak and median levels of voltages and currents, bandwidths, and repetition rates. Practical limitations on test systems may require tradeoffs in lightning stimulation parameters in order to build practical test equipment. Peak power levels that can be generated at specified bandwidths with standard electrical components must be considered in the design and costing of the test system. Stimulation tests equipment and test methods are closely related and must be considered a test system for lightning simulation. A non-perfect specification that can be reliably and repeatedly applied at the subsystem test level is more desirable than a perfect specification that cannot be applied at all.

Luteran, Frank↗

Raising Nuclear Thermal Propulsion (NTP) Technology Readiness Above 3

NTP development is currently supported by the NASA program office "Advanced Exploration Systems". The concept is a main propulsion option being considered for human missions to Mars in the 2030's. Major NTP development took place in the 1960's and 1970's under the Rover/NERVA program. The technology had matured to TRL 6 and was preparing to go to TRL 7 with a prototype flight engine before the program was cancelled. Over the last 40 years, a variety of continuations started, but only lasted a few years each. The Rover/NERVA infrastructure is almost all gone. The only remains are a few pieces of hardware, final reports and a few who worked the Rover/NERVA. Two types of nuclear fuel are being investigated to meet the current engine design specific impulse of 900 seconds compared to approximately 850 seconds demonstrated during Rover/NERVA. One is a continuation of composite fuel with new coatings to better control mid-band corrosion. The other type is a CERMET fuel made of Tungsten and UO2. Both fuels are being made from Rover/NERVA lessons learned, but with slightly different recipes to increase fuel endurance at higher operating temperatures. The technology readiness level (TRL) of these current modified reactor fuels is approximately TRL 3. To keep the development cost low and help mature the TRL level past 4 quickly, a few special non-nuclear test facilities have been made to test surrogate fuel, with depleted uranium, as coupons and full length elements. Both facilities utilize inductive heating and are licensed to handle depleted uranium. TRL 5 requires exposing the fuel to a nuclear environment and TRL 6 requires a prototype ground or flight engine system test. Currently, three different NTP ground test facility options are being investigated: exhaust scrubber, bore hole, and total exhaust containment. In parallel, a prototype flight demonstration test is also being studied. The first human mission to Mars in the 2030's is currently 2033. For an advanced propulsion concept to be seriously considered for use, the engine development plans need to show it is feasible and affordable to reach TRL 8 by 2027 and can be qualified for human mission use.

Gerrish, Harold P., Jr.↗

Enabling Production of Low Carbon Emissions Steel through CO 2 Capture from Blast Furnace Gases at Cleveland Cliffs’ 5 mtpa Steel Plant at Burns Harbor, Indiana

Dastur International Inc. has prepared a DOE-funded Pre-front-end engineering design (Pre-FEED) study to capture up to 2.8 mtpa of CO 2 from the available Blast Furnace (BF) gases at the Burns Harbor steel plant operated by Cleveland Cliffs in Burns Harbor, Indiana. The project consists of an amine solvent based pre-combustion carbon capture system, along with a unique BF gas conditioning process which significantly optimizes the project design and architecture in terms of higher volumes (2.8 mtpa vis-à-vis 1.6 mtpa without conditioning) & concentration (32 vol% in conditioned gas vs. 22% in raw BF gas) of CO 2 , which can be captured using a single train, resulting in reduced size and capital cost of the CO 2 capture island, and improved overall economics on a $\$$/tCO 2 captured basis.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Pilot Test of Novel Electrochemical Membrane System for Carbon Dioxide Capture and Power Generation (Final Report)

The goal of this U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) sponsored project under cooperative agreement DE-FE0026580 is to verify that Fuel Cell Energy’s (FCE) Electrochemical Membrane (ECM)-based Combined Electric Power and Carbon Separation (CEPACS) system can achieve at least 90% carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) capture rate from Pulverized Coal (PC) power plant flue gas with 95% CO2 purity at a cost of electricity (COE) 30% less than baseline CO 2 capture approaches. To progress towards the DOE’s ultimate carbon capture program goals, the specific objectives of Budget Period 1 (BP1) of the project are to perform a preliminary Techno-Economic Analysis (TEA) and Environmental, Health and Safety (EH&S) Risk Assessment study, as well as to complete the detailed design of a pilot-scale ECM-based CEPACS system. This final technical report summarizes the results of the preliminary TEA and EH&S assessment of an ECM-based CEPACS system designed to capture and compress >90% of CO 2 from the flue gas of a reference 550 MW (net AC) Pulverized Coal (PC) Supercritical Steam Cycle Plant. Also included in this report is a summary of the detailed design for a pilot 3 MWe (flue gas equivalent) ECM-based CEPACS system designed to capture ≥90% of CO 2 from a PC plant flue gas slipstream and produce high-purity (≥95%) CO 2 . The pilot system is designed to process a slipstream of flue gas from the Unit 5 coal-fired boiler at the James M. Barry Electric Generating Station (Plant Barry). Plant Barry is located in Bucks, Alabama and is owned and operated by Alabama Power Company, a subsidiary of Southern Company. The TEA shows that the ECM-based CO 2 capture technology has an economic advantage over the existing CO 2 capture technology and meets the DOE’s cost target and performance goals for post-combustion CO 2 capture. The EH&S study includes the identification and quantification of the emissions from the CEPACS system. Properties of the waste including reactivity, flammability, corrosivity and toxicological effects are discussed along with the methods for minimization/elimination where applicable. The study shows that no major EH&S issues are expected to hinder commercialization of the ECM technology for large scale carbon capture applications. The detailed Front End Engineering Design (FEED) package for FCE’s MW-class ECM-based CO 2 capture pilot system is complete. It is designed in accordance with the project objectives and is now at a point where equipment/component procurement, skid final design and fabrication, and site preparation activities can begin in a follow-on project phase.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

DSN 70-meter antenna microwave optics design and performance improvements. Part 1: Design optimization

The design optimizations associated with the microwave and structural upgrade of the DSN 64-m antennas are discussed. Expected area efficiency/gain performances at S- and X-band are given for both the original 64-m systems and the upgraded 70-m systems, and error estimates are developed. The DSN 70-m Upgrade Project specifications, based on predesign estimates, were 1.4-dB gain at S-band and 1.9-dB at X-band, with no degradation to critical receiving system noise temperatures. The measurements show an S-band gain increase of 1.9 dB and an average increase of 2.1 dB at X-band. The Project also delivered small receiving system noise decreases at both frequency bands. The three DSN 70-m antennas, in the initial state of mechanical adjustment as of the end of calendar year 1988, are performing with very high peak microwave area efficiencies at very nearly the engineering design expectations of 76 percent at S-band and 71 percent at X-band.

Bathker, D. A.↗

Assessing and Enabling Trustworthy Predictions for High-Consequence Decisions

Predictions from physics-based computational models provide critical information to inform high consequence decisions, e.g., engineering design decisions. The ability to assess the reliability of such predictions is therefore critical. However, to date, reliability assessment rely heavily on expert judgment and qualitative arguments. This report details the efforts of LDRD 233072 to develop quantitative methods to assess reliability of model predictions, especially in the context of simplifying assumptions that can impact their reliability.

42 ENGINEERING↗