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At least 1,711 records · Page 95

Appalachian Basin Play Fairway Analysis: Thermal Quality Analysis in Low-Temperature Geothermal Play Fairway Analysis (GPFA-AB)

This collection of files are part of a larger dataset uploaded in support of Low Temperature Geothermal Play Fairway Analysis for the Appalachian Basin (GPFA-AB). Phase 1 of the GPFA-AB project identified potential Geothermal Play Fairways within the Appalachian basin of Pennsylvania, West Virginia and New York. This was accomplished through analysis of 4 key criteria: thermal quality, natural reservoir productivity, risk of seismicity, and heat utilization. Each of these analyses represent a distinct project task, with the fifth task encompassing combination of the 4 risks factors. Supporting data for all five tasks has been uploaded into the Geothermal Data Repository node of the National Geothermal Data System (NGDS). This submission comprises the data for Thermal Quality Analysis (project task 1) and includes all of the necessary shapefiles, rasters, datasets, code, and references to code repositories that were used to create the thermal resource and risk factor maps as part of the GPFA-AB project. The identified Geothermal Play Fairways are also provided with the larger dataset. Figures (.png) are provided as examples of the shapefiles and rasters. The regional standardized 1 square km grid used in the project is also provided as points (cell centers), polygons, and as a raster. Two ArcGIS toolboxes are available: 1) RegionalGridModels.tbx for creating resource and risk factor maps on the standardized grid, and 2) ThermalRiskFactorModels.tbx for use in making the thermal resource maps and cross sections. These toolboxes contain item description documentation for each model within the toolbox, and for the toolbox itself. This submission also contains three R scripts: 1) AddNewSeisFields.R to add seismic risk data to attribute tables of seismic risk, 2) StratifiedKrigingInterpolation.R for the interpolations used in the thermal resource analysis, and 3) LeaveOneOutCrossValidation.R for the cross validations used in the thermal interpolations. Some file descriptions make reference to various 'memos'. These are contained within the final report submitted October 16, 2015. Each zipped file in the submission contains an 'about' document describing the full Thermal Quality Analysis content available, along with key sources, authors, citation, use guidelines, and assumptions, with the specific file(s) contained within the .zip file highlighted. UPDATE: Newer version of the Thermal Quality Analysis has been added here: https://gdr.openei.org/submissions/879 (Also linked below) Newer version of the Combined Risk Factor Analysis has been added here: https://gdr.openei.org/submissions/880 (Also linked below)

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Response of Al-Based Micro- and Nanocomposites to Rapid Fluctuations in Thermal Environments

The focus of this work is to highlight the relative response of Al-based micro- and nanocomposites in the form of enhancement in flexural strength via induced thermal stresses at high and cryogenic temperatures in ex situ and in situ atmospheres. In this investigation, we have tried to explore the reliability, matrix-reinforcement interaction and microstructural integrity of these materials in their service period by designing appropriate heat treatment regimes. Al-Al{sub 2}O{sub 3} micro- and nanocomposites had been fabricated by powder processing method. The micro- and nanocomposites were subjected to down-thermal shock (from positive to negative temperature) and up-thermal shock (from negative to positive temperature) with varying thermal gradients. For isothermal conditioning, the composites were exposed to + 80 and − 80 °C for 1 h separately. High-temperature three-point flexural tests were performed at 100 and 250 °C on the composites. All the composites subjected to thermal shock and isothermal conditioning was tested in three-point flexural mode post-treatments. Al-1 vol.% Al{sub 2}O{sub 3} nanocomposite’s flexural strength improved to 118 MPa post-thermal shock treatment of gradient of 160 °C. The Al-5 and 10 vol.% Al{sub 2}O{sub 3} microcomposites possessed flexural strength of 200 and 99.8 MPa after thermal shock treatment of gradient of 160 and 80 °C, respectively. The observed improvement in flexural strength of micro- and nanocomposites post-thermal excursions were compared and have been discussed with the support of fractography. The microcomposites showed a higher positive scale of response to the thermal excursions as compared to that of the nanocomposites.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Dilation Behavior of Thermal Spray Coatings

The thermal expansion of a thermally sprayed coating material is an important design-relevant property from both processing and application service points of view. High thermal stresses and residual strains can arise during deposition, and thermal exposure in service. The linkage to process conditions which can impact both physical and chemical attributes of the microstructure and consequently its expansion behavior is of great importance. The observed dilation response of various coatings is discussed based on the processing effects that induce differences in microstructural features and the impact of residual strain and annealing of defects on the dilation behavior during first thermal exposure. The coefficient of thermal expansion (CTE) of coatings was found to approach the bulk when the material is not sensitive to oxidation in-flight. For those materials sensitive to oxidation, mathematical models used to describe effective properties of composite materials were adopted to describe the CTE property. A large irreversible dilation change was found in the first heating cycle due to defect annealing (referred to as thermal shakedown). Several reasons are hypothesized for the magnitude of such dilation change. Finally, together, the paper presents a comprehensive analysis of thermal expansion behavior of a diversity of thermal spray processed materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Modeling the impact of high thermal conductivity paper on the performance and life of power transformers

Degradation of insulation paper is a key contributor to the failure of power transformers. Insulation degradation accelerates at elevated temperatures, which highlights the potential for better thermal management to prolong life. While several studies have analyzed the benefits of high thermal conductivity oil for reducing temperatures inside a transformer, this study is an initial assessment of the benefits of high thermal conductivity paper on transformer life. Blending particulates with cellulosic fibers offers a pathway for high thermal conductivity paper (with good dielectric properties), which can reduce internal temperatures. Presently, life extensions that can be achieved by the use of such thermally conducting papers were estimated, with the thermal conductivity of the paper being the key parameter under study. The analytical-numerical thermal model used in this study was validated against experimental measurements in a distribution transformer, adding confidence to the utility of the model. This model was then used to provide estimates of hot-spot temperature reduction resulting from the use of papers with higher thermal conductivity than baseline. Transformer life was predicted conventionally by tracking the degree of polymerization of paper over time, based on an Arrhenius model. Results indicate that increasing the thermal conductivity of paper from 0.2 W/mK (baseline) to 1W/mK reduces the hot spot temperature by 10°C. While degradation significantly depends on the moisture and oxygen content, the model shows that such a temperature reduction can increase life for all conditions, by as much as a factor of three.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Bimodal particle distributions with increased thermal conductivity for solid particles as heat transfer media and storage materials

Solid particles are being considered in several high temperature thermal energy storage systems and as heat transfer media in a variety of advanced power generation systems, particularly in concentrated solar power plants. The downside of such an approach is the low overall heat transfer coefficients caused by the inherently low thermal conductivity values of the low-cost solid media when coupled to heat exchanger for the power cycle working fluid. Choosing the right particle size distribution, emittance, and material of the solid media can all make a substantial difference in packed bed thermal conductivity. Current research though exclusively focuses on continuous unimodal distributions of particles. Here, in this work, we propose the use of a binary particle system with a bimodal size distribution to significantly increase packed bed thermal conductivity by reducing packed bed porosity. This is the first study related to ceramic solid particle heat transfer that has considered the thermal conductivity of non-unimodal size distributions at room and elevated temperatures. The following study found that for the binary particle system using Carbo particles CP 16/30 – CP 70/140 where the large particle volume fraction was 50% there was an 17–47% increase in packed bed thermal conductivity when compared with a nearly unimodal particle size distribution of CP 16/30 between 50 and 300 °C. Two different porosity and effective thermal conductivity models were studied, with one providing better prediction of porosity but both effective thermal conductivity models providing less predictive capacity. Importantly this approach can have a substantial impact of thermal performance, with little to no impact on the particle cost.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Solid and gas thermal conductivity models improvement and validation in various porous insulation materials

In the past few decades, significant efforts have been made to improve the theoretical understanding of thermal transport mechanisms in thermal insulation materials and push the thermal conductivity's lower limits. However, most works focused singularly on specific types of materials, and the models used for thermal conductivity predictions are diverse - a model that fits one material might not fit others. Here, we improve and unify the gas and solid thermal conductivity models for porous materials. Through experimental characterization of several different materials as well as literature data for other materials, these models are validated. Further, we have also found that the pressure-dependent gas thermal conductivity of most materials can be well fitted by using one or two pore sizes without using a complex pore size distribution. With the refined models, we decompose the effective thermal conductivity of several thermal insulation materials into gas, solid, and radiation contributions. For cellular (polystyrene and polyurethane) foams, the relative contributions from air, solid, and radiation are 58–75%, 3–11%, 16–38%, respectively. For granular porous materials (polyurethane and silica in this work), the contributions from air, solid, and radiation are 45–66%, 34–46%, and 0–8%, respectively. This work is expected to provide guidance on the design and optimization of the next generation of thermal insulation materials, for example, through the effort of reducing gas conduction and radiation in foams and suppressing gas and solid conduction in aerogels.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Determination of single crystal thermal expansion in Uranium-6wt%Niobium shape memory alloy using in-situ diffraction and modeling of textured polycrystalline samples

In-situ neutron diffraction and ex-situ dilatometry experiments were performed on a chemically banded, quenched uranium-6wt% niobium shape memory alloy to study the impact of deformation-(detwinning-) induced texture on the evolution of thermally induced strains (and associated stresses). Thermal heating and cooling cycles between 5K and 473K were performed in-situ with neutron diffraction, and the lattice strain evolution is reported for the observed monoclinic α" phase. Comparisons between the measured diffraction strains and macroscopic dilatometry experiments reveal relationships between micro- and macro-level thermal expansion. Softening of the texture during heating suggests that twin boundary motion can accommodate the large internal thermal strains which are approximately 2% greater than that typically observed during the 175K heating interval used to age more randomly oriented polycrystalline material. Assuming weak constraint of neighboring grains in randomly textured polycrystals, the single crystal thermal expansion tensor is extracted from measurements of lattice strains over the range 5K to 473K. Predictions of polycrystalline thermal expansion, based upon this single crystal thermal expansion tensor, are shown to compare favorably with bulk thermal expansion observations of the as quenched microstructure. However, such a lower-bound estimate is insufficient to explain all aspects of the behavior of the textured material, where the matrix is not isotropic. In conclusion, it is hypothesized that relaxation processes which occur within the quenched microstructure during heating are responsible for the distinct thermal expansion behavior observed during the initial heating cycle compared to cooling and subsequent cycling.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Preparation and structure of BiCrTeO{sub 6}: A new compound in Bi–Cr–Te–O system. Thermal expansion studies of Cr{sub 2}TeO{sub 6}, Bi{sub 2}TeO{sub 6} and BiCrTeO{sub 6}

Graphical abstract: A new compound BiCrTeO{sub 6} in the Bi–Cr–Te–O system was prepared by solid state route and characterized by X-ray diffraction method. The crystal structure of BiCrTeO{sub 6} shows that there is one distinct site for bismuth (Bi) atom (pink color), one chromium rich (Cr/Te = 68/32) (blue/green color), one tellurium rich (Te/Cr = 68/32) sites (green/blue color), and one distinct site for oxygen (O) atom (red color) in the unit cell. All cations in this structure show an octahedral coordination with oxygen atoms at the corners. The thermogram (TG) of the compound in air shows that it is stable up to 1103 K and decomposes thereafter. The thermal expansion behaviour of BiCrTeO{sub 6} was studied using high temperature X-ray diffraction method from room temperature to 923 K under vacuum of 10{sup −8} atmosphere and showed positive thermal expansion with the average volume thermal expansion coefficients of 16.0 × 10{sup −6}/K. - Highlights: • A new compound BiCrTeO{sub 6} in Bi–Cr–Te–O system was prepared and characterized. • The crystal structure of BiCrTeO{sub 6} was determined by Rietveld refinement method. • The structure of BiCrTeO{sub 6} shows an octahedral coordination for all the metal ions. • The thermal expansion behavior of BiCrTeO{sub 6} from room temperature to 923 K showed a positive thermal expansion. • The average volume thermal expansion coefficient for BiCrTeO{sub 6} is 16.0 × 10{sup −6}/K. - Abstract: A new compound BiCrTeO{sub 6} in Bi–Cr–Te–O system was prepared by solid state reaction of Bi{sub 2}O{sub 3}, Cr{sub 2}O{sub 3} and H{sub 6}TeO{sub 6} in oxygen and characterized by X-ray diffraction (XRD) method. It could be indexed on a trigonal lattice, with the space group P-31c, unit cell parameters a = 5.16268(7) Å and c = 9.91861(17) Å. The crystal structure of BiCrTeO{sub 6} was determined by Rietveld refinement method using the powder XRD data. Structure shows that there is one distinct site for bismuth (Bi) atom, one chromium rich (Cr/Te = 68/32), and one tellurium rich (Te/Cr = 68/32) sites, and one distinct site for oxygen (O) atom in the unit cell. All cations in this structure show an octahedral coordination with oxygen atoms at the corners. The thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) of the compound in air shows that it is stable up to 1103 K and decomposes thereafter. The thermal expansion behavior of Cr{sub 2}TeO{sub 6}, Bi{sub 2}TeO{sub 6} and BiCrTeO{sub 6} was studied using High Temperature X-ray diffraction (HTXRD) method from room temperature to 973, 873 and 923 K respectively under vacuum of 10{sup −8} atmospheres. All the compounds showed positive thermal expansion with the average volume thermal expansion coefficients of 14.38 × 10{sup −6}/K, 22.0 × 10{sup −6}/K and 16.0 × 10{sup −6}/K respectively.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Investigation of the thermal conductivity of molten LiF-NaF-KF with experiments, theory, and equilibrium molecular dynamics

Molten salts are being proposed for numerous advanced energy applications, including advanced nuclear reactors, concentrating solar power plants, thermal energy storage, and fusion reactors. Accurate knowledge of the thermophysical properties of molten salts directly impact the performance of these energy systems and are essential for design and safety analyses. Thermal conductivity data for fluoride molten salts and mixtures are especially lacking. In this work, experimental measurements of thermal conductivity using the steady-state variable gap technique were performed on eutectic LiF-NaF-KF from 834 to 1195 K. The experiment accounts for radiative, convective, and conductive heat losses. In addition, theoretical and molecular dynamics models are used, from 750 K up to 1300 K, to estimate the thermal conductivity for comparison with the experimental results. The results of experiments show a weak negative deviation of thermal conductivity with temperature, unlike previous experimental results in the literature. The measured thermal conductivity magnitudes agree with the theoretical and molecular dynamics predictions, aside from the data above 1100 K, where heat losses and radiative errors are the most significant, having a 16% maximum deviation from theory. These experimental results provide new thermal conductivity data for the LiF-NaF-KF system and further validation of the predictive models. The theoretical model was used to map the composition and temperature dependent thermal conductivity of LiF-NaF-KF and the mapping’s deviation from a linear additivity estimation of thermal conductivity. Additionally, this mapping showed the highest deviations from linearity for KF-LiF rich mixtures and increasing deviation with temperature. Notably, the deviation from linearity near the LiF-NaF-KF eutectic composition was around 25%.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Accelerated thermal property mapping of TRISO advanced nuclear fuel

TRistructural ISOtropic (TRISO) fuel is a leading-edge nuclear fuel form representing a departure from the more traditional nuclear fuel forms utilized in the reactor fleet of today. Rather than a monolithic fuel pellet of uranium dioxide, integral fuel forms containing TRISO fuel are composed of thousands of microencapsulated uranium-bearing fuel kernels and individually coated with multiple layers of pyrolytic carbon and silicon carbide. These multilayered ceramic coatings serve as an environmental barrier to ensure radioactive and chemically reactive fission products are contained within the reactor fuel elements, but also participate in the transfer of heat generated in the nuclear fuel to the coolant – the primary purpose of a nuclear reactor. Since traditional thermal property measurement techniques, such as laser flash analysis, would be unable to resolve the thermal properties of the individual TRISO coating layers, a simplified frequency-domain thermoreflectance technique has been developed to rapidly map the thermal properties of TRISO particles. Using this technique, the thermal properties of TRISO particles have been mapped from room temperature up to 1000 °C to examine the spatial variation and temperature-dependency of the thermal properties within each layer. Additionally, spatial-domain thermoreflectance was used to examine the anisotropy of the thermal properties for each layer at different locations within a single TRISO particle, and across multiple TRISO particles to assess the intra- and inter-particle uniformity of thermal properties, respectively. To elucidate the underlying causes for the measured variations in thermal properties, scanning electron microscopy and Raman spectroscopy were used to examine variations in microstructure and chemical bonding within the different coating layers. Results from this work are then compared with previous examinations of TRISO fuel particles and microstructurally driven mechanisms for the variations in the measured thermal properties of the different carbonaceous layers are discussed.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Anisotropic Tuning of Graphite Thermal Conductivity by Lithium Intercalation

Understanding thermal transport in lithium intercalated layered materials is not only important for managing heat generation and dissipation in lithium ion batteries but also the understanding potentially provides a novel way to design materials with reversibly tunable thermal conductivity. In this work, the thermal conductivity of lithium–graphite intercalation compounds (Li x C 6 ) is calculated using molecular dynamics simulations as a function of the amount of lithium intercalated. We found that intercalation of lithium has an anisotropic effect on tuning the thermal conductivity: the thermal conductivity in the basal plane decreases monotonically from 1232 W/m·K of pristine graphite to 444 W/m·K of the fully lithiated LiC 6 , while the thermal conductivity along the c-axis decreases first from 6.5 W/m·K for graphite to 1.3 W/m·K for LiC 18 and then increases to 5.0 W/m·K for LiC 6 as the lithium composition increases. More importantly, we provide the very first atomic-scale insight into the effect of lithium intercalation on the spectral phonon properties of graphite. The intercalated lithium ions are found to suppress the phonon lifetime and to reduce the group velocity of phonons parallel to the basal plane but significantly to increase the phonon group velocity along the c-axis, which anisotropically tunes the thermal conductivity of lithiated graphite compounds. This work could shed some light on the search for tunable thermal conductivity materials and might have strong impacts on the thermal management of lithium ion batteries.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Thickness-Independent Vibrational Thermal Conductance across Confined Solid-Solution Thin Films

In this study, we experimentally show that the thermal conductance across confined solid-solution crystalline thin films between parent materials does not necessarily lead to an increase in thermal resistances across the thin-film geometries with increasing film thicknesses, which is counterintuitive to the notion that adding a material serves to increase the total thermal resistance. Confined thin epitaxial Ca 0.5 Sr 0.5 TiO 3 solid-solution films with systematically varying thicknesses in between two parent perovskite materials of calcium titanate and (001)-oriented strontium titanate are grown, and thermoreflectance techniques are used to accurately measure the thermal boundary conductance across the confined solid-solution films, showing that the thermal resistance does not substantially increase with the addition of solid-solution films with increasing thicknesses from ~1 to ~10 nm. Contrary to the macroscopic understanding of thermal transport where adding more material along the heat propagation direction leads to larger thermal resistances, our results potentially offer experimental support to the computationally predicted concept of vibrational matching across interfaces. This concept is based on the fact that a better match in the available heat-carrying vibrations due to an interfacial layer can lead to lower thermal boundary resistances, thus leading to an enhancement in thermal boundary conductance across interfaces driven by the addition of a thin “vibrational bridge” layer between two solids.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Ultrafast Switching of Interfacial Thermal Conductance

Dynamical control of thermal transport at the nanoscale provides a time-domain strategy for optimizing thermal management in nanoelectronics, magnetic devices, and thermoelectric devices. However, the rate of change available for thermal switches and regulators is limited to millisecond time scales, calling for a faster modulation speed. Here, in this work, time-resolved X-ray diffraction measurements and thermal transport modeling reveal an ultrafast modulation of the interfacial thermal conductance of an FeRh/MgO heterostructure as a result of a structural phase transition driven by optical excitation. Within 90 ps after optical excitation, the interfacial thermal conductance is reduced by a factor of 5 and lasts for a few nanoseconds, in comparison to the value at the equilibrium FeRh/MgO interface. The experimental results combined with thermal transport calculations suggest that the reduced interfacial thermal conductance results from enhanced phonon scattering at the interface where the lattice experiences transient in-plane biaxial stress due to the structural phase transition of FeRh. Our results suggest that optically driven phase transitions can be utilized for ultrafast nanoscale thermal switches for device application.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Carrier interactions and porosity initiated reversal of temperature dependence of thermal conduction in nanoscale tin films

Recently, tin has been identified as an attractive electrode material for energy storage/conversion technologies. Tin thin films have also been utilized as an important constituent of thermal interface materials in thermal management applications. In this regards, in the present paper, we investigate thermal conductivity of two nanoscale tin films, (i) with thickness 500 ± 50 nm and 0.45% porosity and (ii) with thickness 100 ± 20 nm and 12.21% porosity. Thermal transport in these films is characterized over the temperature range from 40 K–310 K, using a three-omega method for multilayer configurations. The experimental results are compared with analytical predictions obtained by considering both phonon and electron contributions to heat conduction as described by existing frequency-dependent phenomenological models and BvK dispersion for phonons. The thermal conductivity of the thicker tin film (500 nm) is measured to be 46.2 W/m-K at 300 K and is observed to increase with reduced temperatures; the mechanisms for thermal transport are understood to be governed by strong phonon-electron interactions in addition to the normal phonon-phonon interactions within the temperature range 160 K–300 K. In the case of the tin thin film with 100 nm thickness, porosity and electron-boundary scattering supersede carrier interactions, and a reversal in the thermal conductivity trend with reduced temperatures is observed; the thermal conductivity falls to 1.83 W/m-K at 40 K from its room temperature value of 36.1 W/m-K. In order to interpret the experimental results, we utilize the existing analytical models that account for contributions of electron-boundary scattering using the Mayadas-Shatzkes and Fuchs-Sondheimer models for the thin and thick films, respectively. Moreover, the effects of porosity on carrier transport are included using a previous treatment based on phonon radiative transport involving frequency-dependent mean free paths and the morphology of the nanoporous channels. The systematic modeling approach presented in here can, in general, also be utilized to understand thermal transport in semi-metals and semiconductor nano-porous thin films and/or phononic nanocrystals.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Non-diffusive thermal transport in GaAs at micron length scales

In this study, we use a transient thermal grating technique in reflection geometry to measure the effective thermal diffusivity in GaAs as a function of heat transfer distance at three temperatures. Utilizing heterodyne detection, we isolate the “amplitude” grating contribution of the transient grating signal, which encodes the thermal transport dynamics. As the thermal grating period decreases, and thus the heat-transfer distance, we observe a reduction in the effective thermal diffusivity, indicating a departure from diffusive behavior. Non-diffusive behavior is observed at room temperature, as well as low temperature (180 K) and high temperature (425 K). At the shortest thermal grating period measured corresponding to a heat transfer distance of approximately 1 μm, the effective diffusivity drops to a value roughly 50% of the bulk thermal diffusivity. These measurements show the utility of the reflection transient thermal grating technique to measure thermal transport properties of opaque materials.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

One-directional thermal transport in densely aligned single-wall carbon nanotube films

Individual carbon nanotubes (CNTs) possess extremely high thermal conductivities. However, the thermal conductivities and their anisotropy of macroscopic assemblies of CNTs have so far remained small. Here, we report the results of directional thermal transport measurements on a nearly perfectly aligned CNT film fabricated via controlled vacuum filtration. We found the thermal conductivity to be 43 ± 2.2 W m -1 K -1 with a record-high thermal anisotropy of 500. From the temperature dependence of the thermal conductivity and its agreement with the atomistic phonon transport calculation, we conclude that the effect of intertube thermal resistance on heat conduction in the alignment direction is negligible because of the large contact area between CNTs. These observations thus represent ideal unidirectional thermal transport, i.e., the thermal conductivity of the film is determined solely by that of individual CNTs.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Thermalized axion inflation

We analyze the dynamics of inflationary models with a coupling of the inflaton φ to gauge fields of the form φ F F-tilde / f , as in the case of axions. It is known that this leads to an instability, with exponential amplification of gauge fields, controlled by the parameter ξ= φ-dot /(2 fH ), which can strongly affect the generation of cosmological perturbations and even the background. We show that scattering rates involving gauge fields can become larger than the expansion rate H , due to the very large occupation numbers, and create a thermal bath of particles of temperature T during inflation. In the thermal regime, energy is transferred to smaller scales, radically modifying the predictions of this scenario. We thus argue that previous constraints on ξ are alleviated. If the gauge fields have Standard Model interactions, which naturally provides reheating, they thermalize already at ξ∼>2.9, before perturbativity constraints and also before backreaction takes place. In absence of SM interactions (i.e. for a dark photon), we find that gauge fields and inflaton perturbations thermalize if ξ∼>3.4; however, observations require ξ∼>6, which is above the perturbativity and backreaction bounds and so a dedicated study is required. After thermalization, though, the system should evolve non-trivially due to the competition between the instability and the gauge field thermal mass. If the thermal mass and the instabilities equilibrate, we expect an equilibrium temperature of T {sub eq} ≅ ξ H / g-bar where g-bar is the effective gauge coupling. Finally, we estimate the spectrum of perturbations if φ is thermal and find that the tensor to scalar ratio is suppressed by H /(2 T ), if tensors do not thermalize.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Thermal extremes in regulated river systems under climate change: an application to the southeastern U.S. rivers

High river temperatures, or “thermal extremes”, can cause fish mortality and thermoelectric powerplant derating. Under climate change, projected higher air temperature and stronger surface energy fluxes will lead to increased water temperatures, exacerbating thermal extremes. However, cold hypolimnetic releases from thermally stratified reservoirs can depress tailwater temperatures and therefore alleviate thermal extremes. Thermal extremes are more harmful when they coincide with low flows, which we refer to as “hydrologic hot-dry events”. To assess multisectoral impacts of climate change over large regions, we evaluate thermal events according to three impact attributes: duration (D), intensity (I), and severity (S). We apply an established model framework to simulate streamflow and stream temperature over the southeastern US regulated river system. We quantify climate change impacts (by the 2080s under RCP8.5) by comparing historical and future periods and quantify regulation impacts by comparing unregulated and regulated scenarios. We find that climate change will exacerbate thermal extremes (all three metrics) in both unregulated and regulated scenarios, albeit less in the regulated scenario. Thermal mitigation from reservoir regulation will be stronger under climate change, decreasing the three metrics compared to the unregulated case. Even so, thermal extremes in the regulated scenario will still be more severe under climate change, and only 12.2%, 19.7%, and 26.0% of D, I, and S can be mitigated by reservoirs. Despite stronger reservoir stratification, the number of regulated river segments that experience simultaneous high temperature and low flow events (hydrologic hot-dry events) will increase by 21.4% by the 2080s under RCP8.5. These events will have a median annual duration of 10.3 days/year, over 10 times the historical value.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗