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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,711 records · Page 95
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Integrated Transmission-and-Distribution System Modeling of Power Systems: State-of-the-Art and Future Research Directions

Integrated transmission-and-distribution (T&D) modeling is a new and developing method for simulating power systems. Interest in integrated T&D modeling is driven by the changes taking place in power systems worldwide that are resulting in more decentralized power systems with increasingly high levels of distributed energy resources. Additionally, the increasing role of the hitherto passive energy consumer in the management and operation of power systems requires more capable and detailed integrated T&D modeling to understand the interactions between T&D systems. Although integrated T&D modeling has not yet found widespread commercial application, its potential for changing the decades-old power system modeling approaches has led to several research efforts in the last few years that tried to (i) develop algorithms and software for steady-state and dynamic modeling of power systems and (ii) demonstrate the advantages of this modeling approach compared with traditional, separated T&D system modeling. In this paper, we provide a review of integrated T&D modeling research efforts and the methods employed for steady-state and dynamic modeling of power systems. We also discuss our current research in integrated T&D modeling and the potential directions for future research. This paper should be useful for power systems researchers and industry members because it will provide them with a critical summary of current research efforts and the potential topics where research efforts are needed to further advance and demonstrate the utility of integrated T&D modeling.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2024

Equilibrium core modeling of a pebble bed reactor similar to the Xe-100 with SCALE

As the nuclear industry moves towards licensing and constructing advanced reactors, new attention has been focused on the advanced reactor designs that have past operational experience, such as pebble-bed high-temperature gas-cooled reactors (PB-HTGRs). Pebble-bed reactor designs have many advantages, such as their higher operating temperatures and online refueling capabilities. However, high-fidelity computational modeling of pebble-bed reactor designs, from reactor startup to operation at equilibrium, is more challenging compared to conventionally fueled reactors due to the continuous movement of the fuel pebbles through the reactor during operation. In previous work at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), the SCALE Leap-In method for Cores at Equilibrium (SLICE) was developed around tools within the SCALE code system. This iterative method can effectively generate pebble-bed reactor zone-wise fuel inventories at equilibrium core operation within a reasonable computational time. The objective of this work was to further verify the ORNL SLICE method and to investigate the impact of considering temperature profiles during the application of the method. The SLICE method was applied to a modular high-temperature gas-cooled reactor design based upon publicly available design specifications of the Xe-100 pebble-bed reactor. Upon comparing the results from the SLICE method to published literature, the differences in the eigenvalue k effective were on the order of several hundred pcm (percent millirho). To investigate one possible cause of these differences, a study looking at the sensitivity of the full-core equilibrium k effective and discharge nuclide inventory to temperature was performed by developing equilibrium cores of two additional temperature profiles. From this temperature study, differences on the order of hundreds of pcm for the full-core equilibrium k effective , and up to 15% difference for the discharge inventories were found. In conclusion, these results indicated the strong dependence on temperature that needs to be considered for future work in equilibrium modeling of PB-HTGRs.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2025

A critical verification of beam and shell models of wind turbine blades

Ever-increasing wind turbine size has challenged predictive capabilities on several fronts. Here, to address part of the blade structural modeling uncertainty, a systematic model fidelity comparison study was conducted on commonly used finite elements. pyNuMAD was utilized to create beam, shell, and solid models of a 100 m long blade undergoing large static deflections. The solid model avoided the use of layered-solid elements by resolving core and facesheet layers. An unprecedented model with 73.7 million elements revealed insights that have never been possible from prior experimental and numerical studies. As compared to the solid element model, the tip deflection from the shell and beam model was found to be about 2% and 4.3% too low, respectively. The twist from the beam model was found to be about 5.6% too high, while the twist from shell model was 24% too low, though improvement was demonstrated with mesh refinement. The beam model adhesive stresses were more accurate than the shell model. Out-of-plane stresses were of great significance near geometric and material discontinuities, and neither the shell nor beam model captured these effects well. Failure predictions from beam, shell, or layered-solid models are unlikely to be reliable at trailing edges, adhesives, ply-drops, spar-cap boundaries.

17 WIND ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

DECOVALEX 2023 Task D -- Interim Report from SNL

The capability of a 1-D PFLOTRAN model to simulate the S1-3 bentonite saturation experiment has been demonstrated and validated against experimental data. Work remains to be done to refine 1-D PFLOTRAN simulations of the experiment S1-4 which include evaluation of parameter sensitivities on the prediction of material saturation and relative permeabilities. This and further testing of PFLOTRAN capabilities will be done as part of DECOVALEX 2023 Task D contributions by the SNL team in the coming months.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Commercial Building Planning and Retrofitting Strategy for Grid Services

The increasing integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) plays an important role in improving energy consumption efficiency. In September 2020, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) approved Order 2222 which opens wholesale electricity markets to small capacity DERs. The benefit of this new FERC Order 2222 is that DERs, such as rooftop solar panels and batteries, will be able to participate in regional electricity markets and provide grid services. Meanwhile, the planning and operation strategies of DERs are facing new challenges to account for the impact of the wholesale market with numerous uncertainty factors. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a new planning and retrofitting model for long-term commercial buildings that considers both DER investment and market participation. Specifically, we explore the capability of implementing DERs for grid services. The effectiveness of the proposed model is validated using real-world data. Simulation results also validate that participating in grid services can significantly increase revenues through appropriate building energy management and shorten the payback period of DER investments.

building energy management↗
DOE OSTI2022

Improving Seasonal Forecast Using Probabilistic Deep Learning

The path toward realizing the potential of seasonal forecasting and its socioeconomic benefits relies on improving general circulation model (GCM) based dynamical forecast systems. To improve dynamical seasonal forecasts, it is crucial to set up forecast benchmarks, and clarify forecast limitations posed by model initialization errors, formulation deficiencies, and internal climate variability. With huge costs in generating large forecast ensembles, and limited observations for forecast verification, the seasonal forecast benchmarking and diagnosing task proves challenging. Here, we develop a probabilistic deep learning-based statistical forecast methodology, drawing on a wealth of climate simulations to enhance seasonal forecast capability and forecast diagnosis. By explicitly modeling the internal climate variability and GCM formulation differences, the proposed Conditional Generative Forecasting (CGF) methodology enables bypassing crucial barriers in dynamical forecast, and offers a top-down viewpoint to examine how complicated GCMs encode the seasonal predictability information. We apply the CGF methodology for global seasonal forecast of precipitation and 2 m air temperature, based on a unique data set consisting 52,201 years of climate simulation. Results show that the CGF methodology can faithfully represent the seasonal predictability information encoded in GCMs. We successfully apply this learned relationship in real-world seasonal forecast, achieving competitive performance compared to dynamical forecasts. Using this CGF as benchmark, we reveal the impact of insufficient forecast spread sampling that limits the skill of the considered dynamical forecast system. Finally, we introduce different strategies for composing ensembles using the CGF methodology, highlighting the potential for leveraging the strengths of multiple GCMs to achieve advantgeous seasonal forecast.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Multiscale modeling high-order methods and data-driven modeling

Projection-based reduced-order models (ROMs) comprise a promising set of data-driven approaches for accelerating the simulation of high-fidelity numerical simulations. Standard projection-based ROM approaches, however, suffer from several drawbacks when applied to the complex nonlinear dynamical systems commonly encountered in science and engineering. These limitations include a lack of stability, accuracy, and sharp a posteriori error estimators. This work addresses these limitations by leveraging multiscale modeling, least-squares principles, and machine learning to develop novel reduced-order modeling approaches, along with data-driven a posteriori error estimators, for dynamical systems. Theoretical and numerical results demonstrate that the two ROM approaches developed in this work - namely the windowed least-squares method and the Adjoint Petrov - Galerkin method - yield substantial improvements over state-of-the-art approaches. Additionally, numerical results demonstrate the capability of the a posteriori error models developed in this work.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2024

PINN surrogate of Li-ion battery models for parameter inference, Part I: Implementation and multi-fidelity hierarchies for the single-particle model

To plan and optimize energy storage demands that account for Li-ion battery aging dynamics, techniques need to be developed to diagnose battery internal states accurately and rapidly. Here, this study seeks to reduce the computational resources needed to determine a battery's internal states by replacing physics-based Li-ion battery models - such as the single-particle model (SPM) and the pseudo-2D (P2D) model - with a physics-informed neural network (PINN) surrogate. The surrogate model makes high-throughput techniques, such as Bayesian calibration, tractable to determine battery internal parameters from voltage responses. This manuscript is the first of a two-part series that introduces PINN surrogates of Li-ion battery models for parameter inference (i.e., state-of-health diagnostics). In this first part, a method is presented for constructing a PINN surrogate of the SPM. A multi-fidelity hierarchical training, where several neural nets are trained with multiple physics-loss fidelities is shown to significantly improve the surrogate accuracy when only training on the governing equation residuals. The implementation is made available in a companion repository (https://github.com/NREL/PINNSTRIPES). The techniques used to develop a PINN surrogate of the SPM are extended in Part II for the PINN surrogate for the P2D battery model, and explore the Bayesian calibration capabilities of both surrogates.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Deterministic symbolic regression with derivative information: General methodology and application to equations of state

Symbolic regression methods simultaneously determine the model functional form and the regression parameter values by generating expression trees. Symbolic regression can capture the complexity of real–world phenomena but the use of deterministic optimization for symbolic regression has been limited due to the complexity of the search space of existing formulations. Herein we present a novel deterministic mixed–integer nonlinear programming formulation for symbolic regression that incorporates derivative constraints through auxiliary expression trees. By applying the chain rule to mathematical operations, binary expression trees are capable of representing the calculation of first and second derivatives. We apply this formulation to illustrative examples using derivative information to show increased model discrimination capability. In addition, we perform a case study of a thermodynamic equation of state to gain insight on valid functional forms with thermodynamics–based constraints on the first and second derivatives.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

November Mega-AI Newsletter

Mega AI, an internal investment at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, aims to develop next-generation artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities unique to the Department of Energy national lab complex to address research gaps in large-scale multimodal representation learning, multitask inferences, and the need for increased generalizability, rapid adaptivity, and usability of AI technologies. In this newsletter, we highlight recent developments in the research community on next-gen AI technologies focusing on massive-scale model development, deployment and evaluation, data and code availability, model interactions, and new features and capabilities that are relevant to Mega AI’s goals and science and security applications.

Volkova, Svitlana↗
DOE OSTI2024

Uncertainty Propagation from Experiment Measurements to Modeling Approaches: A Case for SMR Steam Entrainment Testing

To license new and advanced reactor designs, regulators must be convinced that their unique safety cases—relative to existing large scale reactors—have been adequately addressed by the designed reactor protection systems. In water cooled small modular reactors (SMRs), droplet entrainment in steam flow has significant implications on the progression of accident scenarios due to its compact design features, which requires representative test data applicable to SMR designs. Computer code, modeling and simulation (M&S) tools and models require adequate verification, assessment, and qualification. This includes M&S results validation against scaled empirical data within allowable uncertainty bands to gain regulatory approvals during the various stages of reactor system design, demonstration, and commercialization. However, measurement uncertainty within the empirical datasets and test data applicability ranges requires careful consideration of M&S inputs (i.e., boundary conditions, and initial conditions), and verification and validation efforts. This study focuses on uncertainty quantification in designing scaled test facilities for SMR applications with appropriate measurements and a standard data-reduction method to estimate thermal hydraulics characteristics parameters that incorporate physics phenomena of interest. In addition, this study supports the evaluation model development and assessment process using M&S that interfaces with advanced computing tools and digital twin capabilities. This will allow synchronization between experiment and modeling approaches for droplet entrainment testing and analysis, improving diagnostics, prognostics, and decision-making to accelerate regulatory approval.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Fixed Bit Rotary Drilling Failure Criteria Effect on Drilling Vibration

Polycrystalline diamond compact (PDC) bit use has been expanded to geothermal drilling applications due to their improved performance in drilling compared to roller cone bits. Multiple vibration models have been developed yet and there are limited use of field data to study the ability of numerical vibration model to predict recorded vibration in the field. The objective of this paper is to evaluate the capabilities of two different rock-bit interaction models with two different ROP formulations for predicting the actual behavior seen in the field. The first model (Model-I) considers the rock-bit interaction, incorporating the effect of subsurface formation characteristics. The second model (Model-II) is a PDC bit model that uses calculated threshold weight-on-cutter (WOCt) to study the interaction of the bit with the rock surface. The models, which couple the drill stem axial and torsional motions, are solved numerically using the fourth-order Runge-Kutta method and compared with recorded downhole drilling data from the Chocolate Mountain Aerial Gunnery Range (CMAGR) geothermal well located in California. An 8–½" PDC bit with 8 blades was modeled and vibration simulation was performed to investigate stick-slip vibrations at 1400 ft. depth. Simulation results using field data indicate that Model-II encounters a low range of stick-slip severity (SSV) as compared to Model-I, which is in the moderate range. Comparison with the field value for SSV shows Model-II is the best representative of the field case for this depth. The sensitivity analysis shows that results are sensitive to model constants making prediction of SSV from models uncertain.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Impact of electron transport models on capillary discharge plasmas

Magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) can be used to model capillary discharge waveguides in laser-wakefield accelerators. However, the predictive capability of MHD can suffer due to poor microscopic closure models. Here, we study the impact of electron heating and thermal conduction on the capillary waveguide performance as part of an effort to understand and quantify uncertainties in modeling and designing next-generation plasma accelerators. To do so, we perform two-dimensional high-resolution MHD simulations using an argon-filled capillary discharge waveguide with three different electron transport coefficients models. The models tested include (i) Davies et al., (ii) Spitzer, and (iii) Epperlein–Haines (EH). We found that the EH model overestimates the electron temperature inside the channel by over 20% while predicting a lower azimuthal magnetic field. Furthermore, the Spitzer model, often used in MHD simulations for plasma-based accelerators, predicts a significantly higher electron temperature than the other models suggest.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Light transport with weak angular dependence in fog

Random scattering and absorption of light by tiny particles in aerosols, like fog, reduce situational awareness and cause unacceptable down-time for critical systems or operations. Computationally efficient light transport models are desired for computational imaging to improve remote sensing capabilities in degraded optical environments. To this end, we have developed a model based on a weak angular dependence approximation to the Boltzmann or radiative transfer equation that appears to be applicable in both the moderate and highly scattering regimes, thereby covering the applicability domain of both the small angle and diffusion approximations. An analytic solution was derived and validated using experimental data acquired at the Sandia National Laboratory Fog Chamber facility. The evolution of the fog particle density and size distribution were measured and used to determine macroscopic absorption and scattering properties using Mie theory. A three-band (0.532, 1.55, and 9.68 µ m) transmissometer with lock-in amplifiers enabled changes in fog density of over an order of magnitude to be measured due to the increased transmission at higher wavelengths, covering both the moderate and highly scattering regimes. The meteorological optical range parameter is shown to be about 0.6 times the transport mean free path length, suggesting an improved physical interpretation of this parameter.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

2D Magnetohydrodynamic Simulations of the Electrothermal Instability in Metallic Liners

The Virginia Tech (VT) Plasma Dynamics Laboratory Computational (PDCL) and Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) are performing two dimensional (2D) simulations of the electrothermal instability (ETI) using the LLNL multi-physics code Ares. Ares is a multi-physics arbitrary–Lagrangian-Eulerian (ALE) code developed by LLNL and is of particular use in studying magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) instabilities like the ETI due to its resistive MHD, magnetic diffusion, and radiative-hydrodynamics packages. Among its capabilities, it has the ability to model material strength, perform adaptive mesh refinement (AMR), and incorporate a wide variety of equations of state models and conductivity models. The 2D Ares simulation model created by VT-LLNL for studying the development and growth of the electrothermal instability has been configured with initial conditions based on the Mykonos Electrothermal Instability II (METI-II) experiments described by this grant and conducted by team members at the University of Nevada (UNR), the University of New Mexico (UNM), and Sandia National Laboratories. Previously, preliminary 2D Ares simulations of the ETI had been run to approximately 80ns. The rods in these simulations were initiated with sinusoidal perturbations at a similar order of magnitude to those measured on the aluminum rods used for the Mykonos experiment. This model has been improved by increasing the spatial resolution of the simulations and running the simulations further in time. In addition to the simulation run-times extending, the preliminary sinusoidal perturbation has been replaced with a perturbation derived from amplitude measurements by the experimental team, thereby correlating the simulation inputs better to the experimental runs. These new runs are capable of reaching 120ns of simulated time for the uncoated cases and to 200ns the 41 μm coated cases.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

The Delicate Balance Redux: The Role of Nuclear Forces, Damage Limitation and Uncertainty in Future U.S.-China Crises

What is the impact of damage limitation capabilities like counterforce and missile defenses on deterrence, when their efficacy in stopping an adversary nuclear attack is uncertain? This is a key unanswered question to understand “how much is enough” for the United States to deter China and Russia in future nuclear crises. In this paper we extend an established, single move game theory model to capture the dynamics of two players in a nuclear crisis having varying damage limitation capabilities with uncertain effectiveness. Our model formalizes the logic of the “delicate balance” school of deterrence, which states that leverage in a crisis is driven by the risk each player can take with their combined strategic forces, and that those risks carry uncertainty as nuclear forces are hard to deliver against technologically advanced adversaries. Our model shows that damage limitation capabilities—even those with significant uncertainty around them like cyber or electronic warfare—can drive bargaining outcomes in an array of nuclear crises. We then apply these bargaining outcomes to the expected U.S.-China strategic balance as China builds out its nuclear force through 2035. We apply published force exchange models to determine the expected damage each side will be able to deliver, and we use these values to determine the likelihood that the U.S. can prevail in crises of varying stakes. Last, we show that U.S. policymakers have an array of options to improve future bargaining outcomes, evaluating how additional nuclear forces trade against improvements in damage limitation.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗
DOE OSTI2025

A GPU‐Accelerated Generative Adversarial Model for Causal Inference

We develop a GPU-accelerated machine learning generative adversarial model designed to facilitate causal inferences from observational data. Our model's theoretical framework is conceptualized in a manner that is amenable to being operable and scalable for high-performance computing platforms. We leverage GPU acceleration to develop a parallel evolutionary algorithm to achieve large-scale parallel computation of the model within a now widely accessible computing platform. This capability both enhances computational speedup and efficiency and also extends the use of the model to a broader range of substantive research domains while maintaining the underlying theoretical properties of the model.

GPU↗
DOE OSTI2021

Anomalous ellipticity dependence of the generation of near-threshold harmonics in noble gases

We measured the ellipticity dependence of the harmonic yield of He, Ne, Ar, Kr, and Xe. It is found that the harmonic yield in general decreases monotonically with increasing laser ellipticity but anomalous dependence does occur for each atom for some harmonic orders. Additionally, we found that the degree of anomaly is weakest in helium but is stronger for the heavier atoms. The anomaly also depends on laser intensity. To explain these features, we developed a quantum trajectory Monte Carlo (QTMC) model based on the quantum path integral theory to study high-order harmonic generation (HHG). The model includes the effect of Coulomb potential from the target ion, thus it is capable of calculating near-threshold harmonics quantitatively. This model reveals that the presence of Coulomb potential would generate orbiting trajectories which are responsible for the anomalous ellipticity dependence near the threshold.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗