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At least 1,693 records · Page 94
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2017

Using MCNP6 to Estimate Fission Neutron Properties of a Reflected Plutonium Sphere

The purpose of this project was to determine the fission multiplicity distribution, p(v), for the Beryllium Reflected Plutonium (BeRP) ball and to determine whether or not it changed appreciably for various High Density Polyethylene (HDPE) reflected configurations. The motivation for this project was to determine whether or not the average number of neutrons emitted per fission, v, changed significantly enough to reduce the discrepancy between MCNP6 and Robba, Dowdy, Atwater (RDA) point kinetic model estimates of multiplication. The energy spectrum of neutrons that induced fissions in the BeRP ball, NIF (E), was also computed in order to determine the average energy of neutrons inducing fissions, NIF . p(v) was computed using the FMULT card, NIF (E) and NIF were computed using an F4 tally with an FM tally modifier (F4/FM) card, and the multiplication factor, k eff , was computed using the KCODE card. Although NIF (E) changed significantly between bare and HDPE reflected configurations of the BeRP ball, the change in p(v), and thus the change in v, was insignificant. This is likely due to a difference between the way that NIF is computed using the FMULT and F4/FM cards. The F4/FM card indicated that NIF (E) was essentially Watt-fission distributed for a bare configuration and highly thermalized for all HDPE reflected configurations, while the FMULT card returned an average energy between 1 and 2 MeV for all configurations, which would indicate that the spectrum is Watt-fission distributed, regardless of the amount of HDPE reflector. The spectrum computed with the F4/FM cards is more physically meaningful and so the discrepancy between it and the FMULT card result is being investigated. It is hoped that resolving the discrepancy between the FMULT and F4/FM card estimates of NIF(E) will provide better v estimates that will lead to RDA multiplication estimates that are in better agreement with MCNP6 simulations.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2017

Improving Estimation of Betweenness Centrality for Scale-Free Graphs

Betweenness centrality is a graph statistic used to nd vertices that are participants in a large number of shortest paths in a graph. This centrality measure is commonly used in path and network interdiction problems and its complete form requires the calculation of all-pairs shortest paths for each vertex. This leads to a time complexity of O(jV jjEj), which is impractical for large graphs. Estimation of betweenness centrality has focused on performing shortest-path calculations on a subset of randomly- selected vertices. This reduces the complexity of the centrality estimation to O(jSjjEj); jSj < jV j, which can be scaled appropriately based on the computing resources available. An estimation strategy that uses random selection of vertices for seed selection is fast and simple to implement, but may not provide optimal estimation of betweenness centrality when the number of samples is constrained. Our experimentation has identi ed a number of alternate seed-selection strategies that provide lower error than random selection in common scale-free graphs. These strategies are discussed and experimental results are presented.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2018

Updated Kd Estimates for Modeling Sorption of Cs, Sr, and Pu Isotopes in Hydrostratigraphic Units of Rainier Mesa and Shoshone Mountain

Linear sorption (Kd) coefficients in bulk porous (matrix) rock were estimated for modeling of radionuclide transport in groundwater at Rainier Mesa (RM) and Shoshone Mountain (SM). These Kd estimates were derived from a “component additivity approach” applied in other areas of the Nevada National Security Site. This approach utilizes two types of variables: 1. average mass percentages of sorbing minerals: smectite, mica/illite, hematite, calcite, and zeolite determined from X-ray diffraction (XRD); and 2. linear coefficients derived from reactive chemistry models of surface complexation/ion exchange processes in representative groundwater. This study estimates Kd for Cs, Pu, and Sr isotopes using the same coefficients for component additivity approach applied to RM and SM in the earlier report, but instead uses an updated XRD mineralogy database that expands on the original XRD database. As transport modeling scope for RM/SM evolved since 2011, new considerations have emerged: Transport modeling or sorbing radionuclides has expanded from RM proper to adjacent areas; Probabilistic modeling approaches require examination of transport parameter uncertainty; and, More XRD data will improve estimates of Kd with consideration of uncertainty in mineralogy. This report addresses the above considerations by expanding the analysis of XRD data from two boreholes on RM to over twenty boreholes on RM, SM, and adjacent areas. This analysis focuses on XRD data relevant to potential radionuclide transport pathways sourced from RM and SM.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗
DOE OSTI2018

The Effects of Stochastic Velocity Variations on Estimating Time Dependent Seismic Moment Tensors: Applications to the Blue Mountain Well Perforation Data

Resolving the time dependent terms in the seismic moment tensor provides important information that can be used to interpret the source process of an explosion, including the separation of isotropic explosion terms from shear forces and potentially isolated force couples. In this report, we detail our method of inverting three component seismic data for the seismic moment tensor. We review possible seismic source models from the simplest isotropic explosion type source to those incorporating the six independent moment tensor terms. The inversion we describe is formulated in the frequency domain, and results in estimates of time dependent moment tensor components. The inversion relies on an accurate estimate of the Green's functions of the Earth. However, given the complexity of the Earth, we explore the effects of inaccuracies in the presumed Earth model used to estimate the Green's functions needed for the inversion. Specifically, we explore the effects of stochastic variations in the Earth models on the inversion results. These tests are synthetic throughout, and show that adding stochastic density/velocity heterogeneity in the presumed Earth model results in reduced amplitude seismic moment tensor estimates, as well as degrading the data misfit. We suggest two mitigation strategies. First, produce a suite of Green's functions using different realizations of the stochastic field within the Earth Model. Secondly, perform the in- version in the power spectral domain, eliminating all phase information. Finally, we analyze actual seismic data collected in winter 2017/2018. The seismic data was collected at in active geothermal well site outside of Winnimucca, NV, and was produced during well stimulation operations. In general, the inversion results were poor, with a high degree of data misfit. We hypothesize that the poor results are a function of a poorly constrained Earth model as well as noisy, high-frequency data being used in the inversion.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2016

Point Spread Function Estimation and Uncertainty Quantification

An important component of analyzing images quantitatively is modeling image blur due to effects from the system for image capture. When the effect of image blur is assumed to be translation invariant and isotropic, it can be generally modeled as convolution with a radially symmetric kernel, called the point spread function (PSF). Standard techniques for estimating the PSF involve imaging a bright point source, but this is not always feasible (e.g. high energy radiography). This work provides a novel non-parametric approach to estimating the PSF from a calibration image of a vertical edge. Moreover, the approach is within a hierarchical Bayesian framework that in addition to providing a method for estimation, also gives a quantification of uncertainty in the estimate by Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2016

Cost estimation inputs for spent nuclear fuel geologic disposal concepts (Revision 1)

A set of 16 geologic disposal concepts is described in sufficient detail for rough-order-of-magnitude repository cost estimates, for disposal of spent nuclear reactor fuel in generic crystalline, argillaceous, and salt host geologic media. The description includes total length, diameter, and volume for all underground shafts, ramps, drifts and large-diameter borings. Basic types of ground support are specified. Total repository capacity is assumed to be approximately 140,000 MT of spent fuel, but concepts are described in terms of modular panels each containing 10,000 MT. Waste packaging is described, and the materials and outer dimensions for disposal overpacks are given. The manner of emplacement is specified, with any additional fixturing, lining, buffer materials, and backfill needed. Thermal limits for waste package emplacement or repository closure are given, as appropriate for enclosed and open emplacement modes, respectively. The 16 disposal concepts are based on disposal concept studies performed for the Used Fuel Disposition R&D program between 2011 and 2014, and the accompanying engineering analyses. Revision 1 results from review and checking of repository spacings, drift length estimates, repository plan area estimates, closure power limits, and estimates of fuel age at closure.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Application of the Recharge Estimation Tool (RET) to Prepare Spatially and Temporally Variable Recharge Boundary Conditions for Hanford Site Composite Analysis Vadose Zone Models

This environmental calculation file (ECF) describes the development of a tool for translating recharge estimates into readable input for STOMP© (Subsurface Transport Over Multiple Phases) vadose zone models primarily supporting the vadose zone (VZ) facets of the updated Hanford Site Composite Analysis (CA) and the Hanford Site Cumulative Impact Evaluation (CIE). The recharge estimates are spatiotemporally variable and are produced by the Recharge Evolution Tool (RET) described in Hanford Site-wide Natural Recharge Boundary Condition for Groundwater Models (ECF-HANFORD-15-0019). Outputs from the RET are given in Esri’s™ feature class format with yearly estimates and associated metadata encapsulated in file geodatabase objects. For STOMP models, the translated output is a text file in the format of an input boundary condition card, consistent with STOMP software requirements. The text file contains assimilated spatiotemporal recharge estimates produced by the RET. The tool discussed in this document will be referred to as the “RET2STOMP” tool.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2021

Assessing the Consistency of Estimated Ground Cover Fractions between the BLM AIM Method and Optical Remote Sensing Method

Since 2012, Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne) has supported the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) in developing remote sensing methodologies for long-term environmental monitoring of Palo Verde Mesa in eastern Riverside County, California, including methods for: detailed mapping of ephemeral streams, estimating fractional cover of desert-land surface components (e.g., trees, shrubs, litters, and bare ground), evaluating erosion risk or land stability, and characterizing vegetation alliances using spatial structure and geostatistical approaches. These studies showed the promise of remote sensing for monitoring changes in desert landscapes by providing information that would be difficult to obtain through field surveys. During this time the BLM has also worked to establish long-term monitoring protocols and compiled field-observation data collected using standardized protocols from the Assessment, Inventory, and Monitoring (AIM) strategy. The AIM data can be compared to data derived from remote sensing methods to evaluate their relative operational utility in monitoring landscape change. If ground cover estimated using remotely sensed imagery is comparable to AIM ground cover estimates, then remote sensing can be used to monitor whether any land cover change in desert landscapes may be related to solar energy development. Therefore, the goal of this study was to determine the consistency in ground cover estimates between AIM data and those derived from publicly- available remotely sensed imagery, such as that available through the U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Imagery Program (NAIP), to examine feasibility of a remote sensing method for complementing AIM monitoring. Based on the image analysis in this study, we also provide recommendations for how small unmanned aerial system (sUAS) data may be used to complement BLM’s AIM data and NAIP imagery for future vegetation monitoring. The ground cover types we originally planned to investigate were trees, shrubs, and bare ground. However, the small sample size and a limited range of cover fraction of trees and shrubs in the AIM dataset (e.g., 33 samples with a maximum shrub cover of 18%, 14 samples with a maximum tree cover of 17%) did not allow for performing a meaningful evaluation for the remote sensing approach. Therefore, we conducted the study focusing on bare ground, foliar, and rock cover, all of which are indicators reported in the AIM remote sensing dataset.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2022

Improving Effective Mass Estimations in Pu-Metal Annuli

Determining the effective mass of 240 Pu in a plutonium metal item can be achieved through a number of destructive and non-destructive assay techniques. However, these techniques have one or more shortcomings. These include the need for large quantities of plutonium, long measurement time, or lack of sufficient accuracy. While efforts have been made to mitigate these issues by estimating 240 Pu quantities through neutron coincidence counting techniques, these estimates are subject to systematic bias, and their estimates are not well characterized when other factors of the annulus’ physical form and composition are accounted for. In this work, we expand upon these non-destructive assay techniques via the implementation of random forest machine learning models, which produce correction functions that augment and improve the effective mass estimates derived from classical leakage multiplication, singles, doubles, and triples multiplicity counting equations.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

High Temperature Steam Electrolysis Process Performance and Cost Estimates

Technology readiness levels (TRLs) of electrolysis systems have dramatically increased in recent years as the interest in clean hydrogen production and decarbonization of transportation, industrial and other sectors increases across the globe. This is especially true of high temperature steam electrolysis (HTSE) / solid oxide electrolysis cell (SOEC) systems which show promise of much higher system efficiencies than other more developed electrolysis technologies. This possibility of higher efficiencies of HTSE / SOEC systems has been previously assumed to be theoretically possible but in recent years it has become less theoretical and more realistic as an increasing amount of suppliers complete lab and pilot tests showing very promising results. Research in the areas of manufacturing techniques, material selection, electrode and electrolyte compositions, and balance of plant size and integration continues at a fast pace as an increasing number of suppliers both internationally and domestically become involved. The advantages of HTSE become more pronounced when HTSE is coupled with nuclear power plants (NPPs). This is because thermal energy produced by the nuclear reactor can be used in a series of heat transfer loops and heat exchangers to vaporize HTSE feedwater, which drastically improves the economics of the process. Idaho National Laboratory (INL) has been very involved in the research and modeling of HTSE systems for a number of years, in collaboration with other national laboratories, academia, and industry stakeholders both on the hydrogen production as well as the hydrogen demand side. The modeling completed over the years on a large variety of projects has led to a wealth of knowledge at INL including in the area of the technoeconomic assessment (TEA) of HTSE systems. TEAs include process modeling of the HTSE systems to calculate system energy requirements and equipment sizing, followed by estimation of capital and operating costs to enable calculation of the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH). The TEA work performed has produced incremental improvements and tuning of the methods, assumptions, models, and results of the analyses as well as providing some opportunities for validating these results. The purpose of this document is to record the current baseline HTSE analyses led by INL to show the current status of assumptions and costs of these systems. Given the rapid development of this technology, the variety of suppliers entering the space, and the increasing attention government and industry are giving to such systems, this document may be updated on a periodic basis with updated analysis and assumptions. This document compiles various analyses results and approaches completed over a period of years into a single document to be used as a baseline going forward. It represents what the INL HTSE analysis group assumes to be the internal best estimate of the current operation, costs, and landscape of the HTSE industry state of the art capability for current SOEC technology in an Nth-of-a-Kind (NOAK) plant, which in this study is defined as existence of the manufacturing capacity to support previous deployment of N = 100 count of 25 MWe modular HTSE blocks (with modular equipment component cost reductions specified as following a 95% learning curve). That said, This is a public document and as such so no proprietary data was used or included in this report. There may be HTSE suppliers that have performance specifications, and cost estimates, and test data that differ from the analysis presented in this document. This document is meant to be a best conservative estimate of the technology and not an absolute reference.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2022

Performance Analysis of the Expected Track Length Estimator

This work investigates whether performance of the MCNP code is improved by the implementation of the expected track length estimator. The expected track length estimator is known to decrease variance when compared to the track length estimator in many classes of Monte Carlo particle transport simulations. However, the computational cost of computing an exponent for every particle collision within a tallied cell has previously been considered prohibitively expensive. Therefore, the goal of this work is to determine whether the variance improvements seen by the expected track length estimator in most cases makes up for the increase in transport time when implemented in the MCNP code.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Evaluation and Suitability of Using SERI QC Software for Estimating Measurement Uncertainty

SERI QC is a robust solar data quality assessment software tool that has been in continuous use for more than three decades. This report (the first of six in the Data Quality and Uncertainty Integration project) reviews and evaluates the software to determine its suitability for determining the estimated expanded measurement uncertainty of solar measurement data by including operational factors. Using redundancy incorporated in three-component (global, direct, diffuse) solar measurements, SERI QC can quantify the standard uncertainty estimates for estimating uncertainty. With minor modifications, SERI QC will provide an operational uncertainty to be used in conjunction with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory method for instrument uncertainty to provide an integrated estimate of solar measurement data sets. These modifications will capitalize on SERI QC's evaluation of data quality, including data input validation and a variety of built-in solar routines, and will further develop the utility of the software.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Estimating Channel Width for the Middle Green River Using Remote Sensing

Channel geometry can affect the abundance and quality of fish habitats along rivers in the Colorado River basin. However, previous analyses of sediment transport and channel narrowing in the middle Green River have focused on very limited reaches of the river and have used techniques with varying degrees of resolution, leading to potential problems with interpretation and generalization to the overall reach. The goal of this study is to develop comprehensive baseline information for channel width estimation along the Green River by combining a high-resolution digital elevation model (DEM) derived from Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) data and Sentinel-2 multispectral satellite imagery. The objectives are to (1) estimate channel width using Sentinel-2 satellite imagery alone, (2) estimate channel width using the high-resolution DEM with ancillary information extracted from the multispectral imagery, and (3) examine the agreement in channel width estimates between the products derived from the two methods to gain insights for cost effective channel-width monitoring.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Time-average holographic estimation of Poisson's ratio by Cornu's method from mode shapes

More than 150 years ago, Marie Alfred Cornu first demonstrated his method of using interferometry to directly measure Poisson’s ratio from a radially bent beam. It is an elegant approach to measuring Poisson’s ratio of a beam requiring only two length measurements. Cornu’s method combines the high precision of interferometry with a four-point bending apparatus. This research simulates an interferometry technique called time-average scanning digital holography to make direct estimates of Poisson’s ratio from the antin odes of a mode shape. We show it is possible to make direct estimates of Poisson’s ratio from the antinode of a mode shape although the estimates diverge from the true value of Poisson’s ratio. We find that the di vergence is proportional to the distance between the nodes of a mode shape. We then develop an expression for converting our direct estimate back to within two percent of the true value of Poisson’s ratio for a thin, homogeneous, and hinged-hinged beam, or plate. The remainder of the research seeks to extend this method to combinations of clamped, free, and hinged boundary conditions.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Trace Element Sampling and Partitioning Modeling to Estimate Wastewater Composition and Treatment Performance at Coal Generators

The coal combusted at coal-fired power plants (CFPPs) contains several trace elements that impact human heath if released to the environment. Effective combinations of air pollution control devices (APCDs) and water pollution control devices (WPCDs) are critical to reducing these impacts. This work sampled pulverized CFPPs owned and operated by Louisville Gas & Electricity – Kentucky Utilities (LGE-KU) during baseload and cycling conditions. Next, an open-source and easy-to-implement trace element partitioning model was developed using publicly available datasets, literature studies of trace element partitioning, and sampling data to estimate trace element partitioning in APCDs to the gas, liquid, and solid phases exiting CFPPs. These estimates of the liquid phase trace element concentration in FGD wastewater were then used to estimate trace element behavior in WPCDs and evaluate treated wastewater effluent concentrations for compliance with the Effluent Limitation Guidelines (ELG) for the Steam Electric Generating Sector. Finally, cost estimates were developed for established and emerging wastewater treatment trains to identify the most cost-effective approaches for ELG compliance.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Generalized Nuclear Code of Accounts for Cost Estimation Standardization

This is a joint INL-EPRI study. Link to corresponding page at the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI): https://www.epri.com/research/products/000000003002028937 Recent Advanced Reactor (AR) designs typically offer features and attributes that depart from traditional water-cooled reactors in terms of fuel forms, coolants, structural materials, size, safety margins, and other important design and operational aspects. These departures, relative to the industry experience, will likely present a challenge for potential owner-operators when evaluating one or more AR designs for commercial deployment on a like-for-like basis. This is further exacerbated with new classes of reactors gaining prominence (e.g., microreactors) and new emerging applications (e.g., floating barge reactors or space propulsion reactors). The differences in design-specific technologies are compounded by the differences in approach to cost estimation. The lack of consistency in build up toward cost estimates creates a challenge when comparing competing concepts and evaluating their associated cost drivers. The outcome of a 2019 Scoping Study conducted by the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) indicated the need for a cost modeling guide (CMG), which would be underpinned by a technology-neutral and inclusive Generalized Nuclear Code of Accounts (GN-COA). A code of accounts (COA) is a tool by which costs are identified in even more specific categories, providing clarity on what specific costs are included in an estimate. A parallel independent effort was meanwhile taking place at Idaho National Laboratory via funding by the Systems Analysis Integration (SA&I) campaign of the Office of Nuclear Energy under the U.S. Department of Energy (U.S. DOE-NE) to also update the COA structure to enable more flexibility and encompass a wider variety of reactor technologies. After being made aware of these synergistic efforts, the two parties decided to combine efforts and develop a joint new standard format for nuclear cost estimation that builds on previous structures. This document describes the development of this joint GN-COA and provides guidance on the implementation of the tool, which is provided as the associated GN-COA Excel document. The main attributes of this novel COA format are that all items are functionally defined (in order to be technology and application agnostic) and grouped into logical arrangements that facilitate the tabulation of costs for reactor constructions under consideration. The intent is for the GN-COA to form a standard that is endorsed by future vendors and customers.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2025

wa-hls4ml and lui-gnn: A benchmark and GNN-based surrogate model for hls4ml resource and latency estimation

As machine learning (ML) increasingly serves as a tool for addressing real-time challenges in scientific applications, the development of advanced tooling has significantly reduced the time required to iterate on various designs. These advancements have solved major obstacles, but also exposed new challenges. For example, processes that were not previously considered bottlenecks, such as model synthesis, are now becoming limiting factors in the rapid iteration of designs. To reduce these emerging constraints, multiple efforts are being launched toward designing an ML-based surrogate model that estimates resource usage of synthesized accelerator architectures. This model would reduce the design iteration time, especially when designing within a set of given hardware constraints. This approach shows considerable potential, but as it stands, the effort is early and would benefit from coordination and standardization to assist future work as it emerges. We introduce wa-hls4ml, a benchmark for ML accelerator resource and latency estimation, and its corresponding initial dataset of more than 100,000 fully connected neural networks, all synthesized using hls4ml and targeting Xilinx FPGAs. In addition to the resource utilization and latency data provided, the dataset includes generated artifacts and log files for many of the synthesized neural networks, in order to support future research in ML-based code generation. The benchmark evaluates the performance of resource and latency predictors against several common ML model architectures, primarily originating from scientific domains, as exemplar models, as well as the average performance across a subset of the dataset. We measure the performance of a given predictor model through multiple metrics, including $R^2$ score and SMAPE on regression tasks, as well as inference time to further characterize the estimator under test. Additionally, we introduce the latency/utilization inference graph neural network (lui-gnn), a surrogate model that uses a graph neural network to represent input architectures in the form of a directed graph. This graph representation allows for a diverse set of model architectures to all be effectively handled by a surrogate model. We present the architecture and performance of the model, as evaluated by the new proposed benchmark, including SMAPE, $R^2$ score, and inference times, and find that lui-gnn generally predicts latency and utilization for the 75\% quantile within several percent of the synthesized resources on the synthetic test dataset, indicating that this approach of estimating resource and latency via a surrogate models has promise and warrants further research.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Dense Image Matching Uncertainty Estimation and Confidence Metrics

Dense stereo matching takes overlapping image pairs as input and outputs a disparity map which encodes pixel-by-pixel matches between the images. Recently, there has been an interest in ranking the quality, or even quantifying the accuracy, of disparity estimates. The proposed methods can be described as either uncertainty estimators or confidence metrics. Uncertainty estimators are a small minority of the research. However, they have the potential to be the most useful because they estimate disparity accuracy (in pixel units) that can be used to threshold matches or carried forward using error propagation. The majority of the research deals with confidence metrics which give an ordinal (or binary) ranking of a match’s quality relative to other matches. Confidence metrics do not have units and thus are useful primarily for thresholding matches from mismatches. The methods could also be described as handcrafted or deep-learning based. The majority of the research focused on outdoor driving scenes. Hence, our interest–application to a satellite semi-global matching pipeline–is a domain shift that may challenge deep-learning based methods. We conclude by recommending five handcrafted and two deep-learning based methods for evaluation in our pipeline.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗