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At least 1,693 records · Page 94

Hydrothermal Liquefaction Treatment Hazard Analysis Report

Hazard analyses were performed to evaluate the modular hydrothermal liquefaction treatment system. The hazard assessment process was performed in 2 stages. An initial assessment utilizing Hazard Identification and Preliminary Hazards Analysis (PHA) techniques identified areas with significant or unique hazards (process safety-related hazards) that fall outside of the normal operating envelope of PNNL and warranted additional analysis. The subsequent assessment was based on a qualitative What-If analysis. The analysis was augmented, as necessary, by additional quantitative analysis for scenarios involving a release of hazardous material or energy with the potential for affecting the public. The following selected hazardous scenarios received increased attention: •Scenarios involving a release of hazardous material or energy, controls were identified in the What-If analysis table that prevent the occurrence or mitigate the effects of the release. •Scenarios with significant consequences that could impact personnel outside the immediate operations area, quantitative analyses were performed to determine the potential magnitude of the scenario. The set of “critical controls” were identified for these scenarios (see Section 4) which prevent the occurrence or mitigate the effects of the release of events with significant consequences.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

A Systematic Method for Verification and Validation of Gyrokinetic Microstability Codes

My original proposal for the period Feb. 15, 2014 through Feb. 14, 2017 called for an integrated validation and verification effort carried out by myself with collaborators. The validation component would require experimental profile and power-balance analysis. In addition, it would require running the gyrokinetic codes varying the input profiles within experimental uncertainties to seek agreement with experiment before discounting a code as invalidated. Therefore, validation would require a major increase of effort over my previous grant periods which covered only code verification (code benchmarking). Consequently, I had requested full-time funding. Instead, I am being funded at somewhat less than half time (5 calendar months per year). As a consequence, I decided to forego the validation component and to only continue the verification efforts.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Workshop Summary for Maintaining Innovation and Security in Biotechnology: Lessons Learned from Nuclear, Chemical, and Informational Technologies

In the fast-paced field of biotechnology where innovation has such far-reaching impacts on human health and the environment, dealing with the implications of possible illicit activities, accidents or unintended research consequences with potential detrimental societal impacts tends to remain in the background. While controls may be inevitable for the biotech industry, workshop attendees agreed that the way in which controls are implemented will play a major role in the agility and innovation of the biotechnology industry. There is little desire to slow down the pace of the gains while dealing with the security issues that arise. As was seen from the brief examinations of the Nuclear, Chemical, and Information Technology sectors explored in this workshop, establishing a regulatory regime needs to be a partnership between the public, corporate interests, scientists, and the government. Regulation is often written to combat perceived risk rather than actual risk—the public’s perceptions (occasionally even fictional portrayals) can spur regulatory efforts. This leads to the need for a thorough and continuing assessment of the risks posed by modern biotechnology. Inadequate or minimal risk assessment might expedite development in the short term but has potential negative long-term security and economic consequences. Industry and the technical community also often have a large role in setting regulatory policy, especially when well-crafted incentives are incorporated into the regulations. Such incentives might actually lead to enhanced innovation while poorly designed incentives can actually reduce safety and security. Any regulations should be as agile and flexible as the technology they regulate and when applied to biotechnologies they will need a new framework for thinking and implementing. The new framework should consider biotechnology as a technology and not simply a science since it is an extremely complex and adaptive system. This suggests the need to invest in social and political systems, rather than exclusively in technology, as a part of maintaining not only robust, but agile regulation. Modeling and simulations to illustrate how the biotech ecosystem might respond to new policies may be a promising approach to crafting regulations.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Determining the Impact of Forest Mortality in Semi-Arid Woodlands on Local and Regional Carbon Dynamics

We received funds in July 2012, and with supplemental funds, this funding ended in July 2017. Our overall project goals were to quantify the consequences of pinon mortality for carbon, water and energy exchange in pinon-juniper woodlands. To do this, we have been continuously measuring carbon, water and energy exchange using eddy covariance, over two pinon-juniper woodlands in central New Mexico. In one site, we girdled 1632 trees in the 4 ha surrounding the tower in Sept 2009. The other site, only 5 km away on the same plateau, was left intact, to serve as a control. We used this paired tower approach so we could directly evaluate the differences between how fluxes from disturbed and intact woodlands respond to the exact same climate conditions. In addition to eddy covariance measured fluxes from the two woodlands, we also made sap flux measurements, biomass, gas exchange, and soil respiration fluxes simultaneously in the two sites. The overall objective of this proposal is to measure the carbon and climate forcing consequences of widespread coniferous mortality events in the Southwestern US.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Literature Review on Modeling Cyber Networks and Evaluating Cyber Risks

The National Infrastructure Simulations and Analysis Center (NISAC) conducted a literature review on modeling cyber networks and evaluating cyber risks. The literature review explores where modeling is used in the cyber regime and ways that consequence and risk are evaluated. The relevant literature clusters in three different spaces: network security, cyber-physical, and mission assurance. In all approaches, some form of modeling is utilized at varying levels of detail, while the ability to understand consequence varies, as do interpretations of risk. This document summarizes the different literature viewpoints and explores their applicability to securing enterprise networks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

SecPop Version 4: Sector Population Land Fraction and Economic Estimation Program: Users? Guide Model Manual and Verification Report.

In 1973 the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) developed SecPop to calculate population estimates to support a study on air quality. The Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) adopted this program to support siting reviews for nuclear power plant construction and license applications. Currently SecPop is used to prepare site data input files for offsite consequence calculations with the MELCOR Accident Consequence Code System (MACCS). SecPop enables the use of site-specific population, land use, and economic data for a polar grid defined by the user. Updated versions of SecPop have been released to use U.S. decennial census population data. SECPOP90 was released in 1997 to use 1990 population and economic data. SECPOP2000 was released in 2003 to use 2000 population data and 1997 economic data. This report describes the current code version, SecPop version 4.3, which uses 2010 population data and both 2007 and 2012 economic data. It is also compatible with 2000 census and 2002 economic data. At the time of this writing, the current version of SecPop is 4.3.0, and that version is described herein. This report contains guidance for the installation and use of the code as well as a description of the theory, models, and algorithms involved. This report contains appendices which describe the development of the 2010 census file, 2007 county file, and 2012 county file. Finally, an appendix is included that describes the validation assessments performed.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Generation of Switchgrass Plants with Optimized Biomass Composition for Biofuel Production

Liquid fuel produced from dried plant mass is approaching cost competitiveness with corn ethanol. Lignocellulosic biomass can be used to produce biofuel and is the most abundant, readily available, and renewable material on Earth. However, lignin, a key component of plant structures necessary for growth and protection against pathogens and pests, is a very tough substance that prevents easy accessibility to fermentable sugars present in biomass. Consequently, high lignin content in the biomass makes processing for biofuels very difficult and expensive. Previous efforts to develop low lignin plants have failed due to weakened stalks and stems and poor growth. In the CRADA project, we developed synthetic biology tools for plant transformations to generate low lignin, high sugar switchgrass transgenic lines. This engineering technology enabled healthy switchgrass plants to grow with 25-55% more fermentable sugars and 20-25% less lignin (but reduced only in selected internal fiber structures so that stalks and stems remain strong). Consequently, biorefineries using this low lignin switchgrass can reduce initial investment, lower ongoing operating expenses, and increase annual revenue. The low lignin switchgrass would give cellulosic biofuels an economically competitive advantage compared to corn ethanol.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

LANL Meteorological Program Improvements to Continue Meeting Annual 90 Percent Data Recovery Requirements

Recently, the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) Environmental Protection and Compliance (EPC) and Safety Basis (SB) Divisions have collaborated on the latter’s use of the meteorological data as input into dispersion analysis used to determine receptor dose consequences as a result of an accidental release of radioactive material from a LANL nuclear facility. The dose consequence calculations are part of the Department of Energy (DOE) approved Documented Safety Analysis (DSA), which describes the processes, hazards, and controls of nuclear operations within certain facilities at LANL. The DOE approved DSA is required according to Title 10 of the Code of Federal Regulations Part 830 (10CFR830), “Nuclear Safety Management” and is developed in accordance with the 10CFR830, Subpart B “Safety Basis” safe harbor methodology identified as DOE Standard 3009-94, or successor document (DOE STD 3009-94).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Guidance on Hazard and Safety Analyses of LPG Spills on Water

In 2004, at the request of the Department of Energy, Sandia National Laboratories (Sandia) prepared a report, "Guidance on the Risk and Safety Analysis of Large Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Spills Over Water". That report provided a framework for assessing hazards and identifying approaches to minimize the consequences to people and property from an LNG spill over water. Because of increasing domestic U.S. supplies of natural gas and associated by products, such as liquefied propane gas (LPG), the United states Coast Guard requested that Sandia assess the general scale of possible hazards for a breach and spill of an LPG carrier. Because of the broad range of LPG carriers types -- refrigerated and pressurized, ships and barges, Sandia chose to focus this analysis on the larger LPG refrigerated systems. With cargo capacities ranging up to 100,000 m 3 , these types of ships can be expected to support potential increased LPG exports. Sandia assessed potential accidental and intentional threats, and based on LPG carrier configurations and designs, estimated potential breach sizes, spill rates and volumes, and conducted fire, vapor dispersion, and detonation hazard analyses. This report summarizes the analyses conducted, the expected range of potential hazards from an associated refrigerated LPG carrier spill over water, and risk management approaches to minimize consequences to people and property from such a spill.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Kilopower Space Reactor Launch Safety - Maximum Credible Dose for a Criticality Accident

This note examines potential consequences for the Kilopower small space reactor going critical during a launch accident. The goal of this analysis is to postulate the dose at a distance that could be generated during a criticality accident event (with emphasis on potential public doses.) This note does not examine local consequences to an individual who would be close enough to the reactor (within several 10’s of meters) to receive a lethal dose from the direct shine of neutrons and gamma radiation present when the reactor is critical.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Confronting Models with Regional CO 2 Observations

This research addressed an important DOE science area: the role of natural disturbances in carbon cycling. Our project included both (a) modeling and field measurements and (b) strengthened ties between DOE national laboratories and universities which continue after the project was completed. Our focus was on understanding the consequences of drought and emissions (fire and urban) to atmospheric trace gas composition (carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, and methane), including both concentration and stable isotope composition. Measurements of these atmospheric gases were used to infer the spatial and temporal patterns of both sources and sinks in the carbon cycle. As part of this effort, we maintained two long-term monitoring networks along a geographic gradient in Utah and Colorado that spans montane forests, urban regions, and oil/gas fields. In this research, we expanded on a well-accepted atmospheric model (STILT-WRF) as a tool to evaluate fluxes in CLM/CESM-related models. We used the STILT model to provide a strong linkage between point atmospheric measurements and the surface parameterizations/emissions that are part of the CLM/CESM models. Overall, this project benefited and supported the DOE Long Term Mission and Goals in four distinct ways: (a) testing of carbon cycle models, (b) testing and evaluating model mechanisms whereby factors in CLM influence trace gas composition in CESM, (c) acquiring high-quality, long-term data on concentrations of carbon dioxide in western USA ecosystems, and (d) by reducing uncertainties associated with the representation of climate-carbon feedbacks in Earth System models through the development of new methods for evaluating model performance. One postdoctoral associate (Henrique Duarte) and one Ph.D. student (Darek Malia) were trained with this support. Nine peer-reviewed publications and 14 poster presentations were produced with support from this project. This proposal addresses a specific science area in the RFP: the role of natural disturbances in carbon cycling. In particular, we will focus on the consequences of drought and fire at landscape to regional scales for atmospheric trace gas concentration and stable isotope composition (CO 2 , CO, and CH 4 ). We seek to expand on the well accepted atmospheric Stochastic Time-Inverted Lagrangian Transport (STILT) model coupled to the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model as a tool to evaluate stable isotope fluxes in CLM/CESM-related models through existing, long-term data sets and field campaigns where high-precision trace gas concentration and isotope measurements can be made along gradients and transects. Given the confounding impacts of anthropogenic trace gas emissions on landscape-to-regional atmospheric observations, we will also measure and parameterize isotopic characteristics of CO 2 , CO, and CH 4 from anthropogenic or forest sources in order to allow us the opportunity to partition atmospheric trace gases into natural and anthropogenic sources.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

End-to-end Provenance Traceability and Reproducibility Through "Palletized'' Simulation Data

Trusting simulation output is crucial for Sandia's mission objectives. We rely on these simulations to perform our high-consequence mission tasks given our treaty obligations. Other science and modelling needs, while they may not be high-consequence, still require the strongest levels of trust to enable using the result as the foundation for both practical applications and future research. To this end, the computing community has developed work- flow and provenance systems to aid in both automating simulation and modelling execution, but to also aid in determining exactly how was some output created so that conclusions can be drawn from the data. Current approaches for workflows and provenance systems are all at the user level and have little to no system level support making them fragile, difficult to use, and incomplete solutions. The introduction of container technology is a first step towards encapsulating and tracking artifacts used in creating data and resulting insights, but their current implementation is focused solely on making it easy to deploy an application in an isolated "sandbox" and maintaining a strictly read-only mode to avoid any potential changes to the application. All storage activities are still using the system-level shared storage. This project was an initial exploration into extending the container concept to also include storage and to use writeable containers, auto generated by the system, as a way to link the contained data back to the simulation and input deck used to create it.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

End-to-end Provenance Traceability and Reproducibility Through "Palletized'' Simulation Data

Trusting simulation output is crucial for Sandia's mission objectives. We rely on these simulations to perform our high-consequence mission tasks given our treaty obligations. Other science and modelling needs, while they may not be high-consequence, still require the strongest levels of trust to enable using the result as the foundation for both practical applications and future research. To this end, the computing community has developed work- flow and provenance systems to aid in both automating simulation and modelling execution, but to also aid in determining exactly how was some output created so that conclusions can be drawn from the data. Current approaches for workflows and provenance systems are all at the user level and have little to no system level support making them fragile, difficult to use, and incomplete solutions. The introduction of container technology is a first step towards encapsulating and tracking artifacts used in creating data and resulting insights, but their current implementation is focused solely on making it easy to deploy an application in an isolated "sandbox" and maintaining a strictly read-only mode to avoid any potential changes to the application. All storage activities are still using the system-level shared storage. This project was an initial exploration into extending the container concept to also include storage and to use writable containers, auto generated by the system, as a way to link the contained data back to the simulation and input deck used to create it.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

eSHIVA in IOTA: Experiment on Stochasticity in High Intensity Variable Accelerators

Nonlinear integrable optics, the basis of IOTA, is a very special form of Hamiltonian system, called completely integrable. The consequences are many, most importantly the absence of fixed points that are in one-to-one correspondence with (overlapping) resonances. This, in turn, does not limit the dynamic aperture and allows large amplitude dependent tune shifts without adverse effects. In fact, it helps significantly in alleviating issues with collective instabilities. We developed and tested different numerical methods to give a more complete picture of the dynamics of integrable and near-integrable nonlinear Hamiltonian systems consisting of motion of charged particles in electromagnetic fields. Comparison of the results allowed us to discern real phenomena from numerical artifacts and come up with conclusions that will facilitate pushing the intensity frontier in beam dynamics even further for the benefit of the accelerator community as a whole and society as the consequence of the science and technological advancements it will make possible. We concluded that, while novel structure preserving integrators would be ideal, symplectic methods under mild restrictions offer adequate invariant preservation. We especially highlighted the very good performance of the Stormer-Verlet method at low accuracy and a modified Lobatto method at high accuracy for the Integrable Optics Test Accelerator (IOTA). However, we showed that symplectic integrators are limited by numerically induced resonances, which make interpretation of some simulation results challenging. These limitations and workarounds have been addressed.The nonlinear integrable optics test accelerator IOTA at Fermilab -- a very special experimental accelerator designed to investigate nonlinear optics under severe space-charge conditions – has recently completed its construction and initial commissioning of the ring has begun. We report first, under 2 (a) below: the progress on the nonlinear tune-shift measurements for various values of the nonlinear strength potential and their comparison with theoretical expectations, thus benchmarking the nonlinear characteristics of the ring; then, under 2 (b) below: the progress on simulation and design of a gas-jet monitor to measure beam profile and in particular its diffusive halo, expected to develop during stochastic diffusion of large amplitude particles under nonlinear forces of the magnetic lattice and Coulomb space-charge. Since the development of a proton beam source in IOTA is delayed and to be completed only in the future pending financial support, the gas-jet monitor is planned for testing with real proton beams elsewhere at Fermilab (e.g. in the Main Injector or PIP-II source possibly). Once proton beams are available in IOTA, the understanding of the nonlinear properties of IOTA combined with the developed gas-jet monitor, will enable a thorough experimental analysis of nonlinear stochastic diffusion in IOTA nonlinear ring, and boosted by proper theoretical understanding of the same.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Active Measurement of Plasma Parameters in Over-Dense MFE Reactor Plasma Using High Frequency Beat-Wave Resonantly Generated Thermal Bernstein Waves

UC Davis was funded to explore the combination of beat-wave excitation and laser scattering to make completely non-invasive determination of local plasma conditions. This involves the use of two high frequency mm-wave sources of differing frequencies (the pump waves) to excite plasma waves at the difference of the frequencies, which is known as the beat frequency. The difference frequency or the frequency of the beat wave is chosen so that we produce plasma waves whose fluctuating electron density is a sensitive function of plasma parameters at the location where the source waves overlap. This fluctuation can be detected from outside the plasma, by measuring the deflection of a probe beam directed at the overlap region between the two pump waves (i.e., collective scattering). This work is an extension of mm-wave frequencies of a 10 GHz beat-wave experiment conducted on the DDT toroidal device (see Fig. 1) in a magnetized plasma where the excited Langmuir wave is replaced by the magnetized upper hybrid wave. Here, two high power (> 1 kW) ~94 GHz pump sources will be employed to match the upper hybrid resonance. The primary envisioned experiment is to drive the electron Bernstein wave (EBW) in the interior of a magnetized plasma. The EBW is a hot-plasma electrostatic wave, which cannot propagate in vacuum. Roots of the EBW dispersion relation occur at frequencies slightly higher than harmonics of the electron cyclotron frequency. Use of the EBW has particular advantages for measuring plasma magnetic field in plasmas with relatively high density and low magnetic field, as is the case in spherical tokamaks. This is the “over dense” condition of future efficient high beta magnetic confinement fusion reactors such as the spherical tokamak (STs). The overarching goal of the proposed project is to demonstrate beat wave EBW excitation in low density and temperature parameters that are directly scalable to over-dense spherical tokamaks such as NSTX or MAST, where measurement of magnetic field by electron cyclotron emission (ECE) is experimentally complex, and requires models of plasma profiles in order to interpret results. In such experiments, availability of point measurements of magnetic field strength provided by a beat-wave diagnostic would serve as a powerful independent check on the ECE results, serving to validate the assumed profiles and wave-propagation models used. The first step was to assemble/modify the target chamber in which the beat-wave plasma experiments will take place. Here, the target chamber of the CTIX compact-toroid (spheromak) injector was chosen. At the time that the proposal was submitted, the aim was to conduct the experiments in the CTIX experimental facilities located at the Livermore campus of UC Davis using microwave/mm-wave equipment brought from the main campus., However, by the time DoE funds for this project were awarded, the CTIX experimental facilities located at the Livermore campus of UC Davis were in the process of being shut down due to the closure of the Livermore campus by Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL). Consequently, the equipment needed for this project was crated up and shipped from Livermore to Davis as part of the laboratory shutdown after space on campus was secured and College of Engineering approval secured. Once it arrived in Davis on December 20, 2018, work on the project began in earnest with the initial efforts directed toward developing a new plasma target source. Because of the shutdown of the CTIX facility, the scope of the project thus had to be reduced due to the abbreviated amount of time allocated to the project once the shutdown/move had been completed. Chamber modifications have been completed, including the fabrication and installation of a 38 GHz interferometer, as described in Sec. 3. The thermionic plasma source has been tested and characterized. The magnetic field required for the EBW experiments will be generated by permanent magnets mounted on plates positioned above and below the chamber. Magnetic simulations have been performed, and show that a 3-ring magnet arrangement on each plate, with a plate separation of 50 cm, is required to achieve the ~100 G uniform magnetic field in the interaction region that we feel is necessary to ensure good EBW coupling. We proved unable to successfully revive either of Prof. Luhmann’s two high power (≥20 kW) 94 GHz millimeter-wave sources after their extended time in storage and decided to postpone further efforts and concentrate on slightly lower power sources. Consequently, we were successful in reviving a ~2 kW extended klystron amplifier (EIK), which together with a ~2 kW extended interaction oscillator (EIO) will provide the two pump sources required for the project. Safe operation of the EIO requires extensive modifications to one of Prof. Luhmann’s pulse modulators - these modulator modifications are ongoing, which has unfortunately delayed the planned beat-wave experiments. Details of this work are provided in Sec. 3. Even though project funding has now ended, we still plan to proceed to complete the EIO pulse modulator modifications, install the two ~94 GHz pump wave sources on the target chamber, and conduct unmagnetized tests of the beat-wave concept which involve coupling to unmagnetized electron plasma waves rather than magnetized EBWs. Should these experiments prove successful, we plan to submit a follow-up proposal for additional funding which would allow us to undertake the magnetized EBW experiments.

42 ENGINEERING↗

FGR 13 Dose Conversion Factor Files

The purpose of this document is to discuss the construction of two MELCOR Accident Consequence Code System (MACCS) dose conversion factor (DCF) files in some detail, an older file created in 2007 named FGR13DCF.inp and a newer file created in 2018 called FGR13GyEquiv_RevAinp. Very briefly, the difference between the two files is that the older file follows the standard conventions of assigning a radiation weighting factor of 20 for alpha radiation for all tissues and organs; whereas, the newer file complies with the Federal Guidance Report (FGR) 13 health effects modeling and uses modified radiation weighting factors (referred to as relative biological effectiveness (RBE) factors) for alpha radiation of 10 for breast and of 1 for red bone marrow. During an intermediate period, a file called FGR13GyEquiv.inp was created and used for the State-of-the-Art Reactor Consequence Analysis (SOARCA) calculations. This file was not released to the MACCS user community, but it is also discussed briefly in this document.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

Simplified Approach for Scoping Assessment of Non-LWR Source Terms

This report describes a structure to aid in evaluation of release mitigation strategies across a range of reactor technologies. The assessment performed for example reactor concepts utilizes previous studies of postulated accident sequences for each reactor concept. This simplified approach classifies release mitigation strategies based on a range of barriers, physical attenuation processes, and system performance. It is not, however, intended to develop quantitative estimates of radiological release magnitudes and compositions to the environment. Rather, this approach is intended to identify the characteristics of a reactor design concepts release mitigation strategies that are most important to different classes of accident scenarios. It uses a scoping methodology to provide an approximate, order-of-magnitude, estimate of the radiological release to the environment and associated off-site consequences. This scoping method is applied to different reactor concepts, considering the performance of barriers to fission product release for these concepts under sample accident scenarios. The accident scenarios and sensitivity evaluations are selected in this report to evaluate the role of different fission product barriers in ameliorating the source term to the environment and associated off-site consequences. This report applies this structure to characterize how release mitigation measures are integrated to define overall release mitigation strategies for High Temperature Gas Reactors (HTGRs), Sodium Fast Reactors (SFRs), and liquid fueled Molten Salt Reactors (MSRs). To support this evaluation framework, factors defining a chain of release attenuation stages, and thus an overall mitigation strategy, must be established through mechanistic source term calculations. This has typically required the application of an integral plant analysis code such as MELCOR. At present, there is insufficient evidence to support a priori evaluation of the effectiveness of a release mitigation strategy for advanced reactor concepts across the spectrum of events that could challenge the radiological containment function. While it is clear that these designs have significant margin to radiological release to the environment for the scenarios comprising the design basis, detailed studies have not yet been performed to assess the risk profile for these plants. Such studies would require extensive evaluation across a reasonably complete spectrum of accident scenarios that could lead to radiological release to the environment.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Case Study: Integrate Nuclear Water Desalination - Regional Potable Water in Arizona

The present study analyzes the economic viability of an Integrated Energy System (IES) that couples a Reverse Osmosis (RO) water desalination facility with a Nuclear Power Plant (NPP). The case study is conducted in collaboration with Arizona Public Service (APS), the operating owner of the Palo Verde Generating Station (PVGS) NPP. Cooling water for the reactor steam cycle is derived from treated effluent from municipal wastewater treatment plants. APS has established a long-term water resources program to effect a substantial reduction in plant cooling costs through advanced treatment and cooling technologies, and through the use of alternative water sources to replace the increasingly expensive effluent. One possible option is to replace some amount of the annual volume of effluent with brackish groundwater from a local regional aquifer. Although much less expensive than the municipal effluent, the quantity of brackish groundwater that could be used for plant cooling is limited as a result of the salinity and its impact on plant operation. Consequently, supplemental treatment could be required such that a greater amount of brackish groundwater could be used to reduce the demand on effluent. A study was conducted in 2018 by Idaho National Laboratory (INL) to investigate the economics of a PVGS onsite RO desalination plant that would reduce the salinity of a municipal effluent and brackish water blend to an acceptable level. One of the main findings of that study was that the overall economics of water desalination can be greatly improved if, in addition to cooling water for PVGS, potable water could also be produced and sold for profit. In fact, the study concluded that only producing cooling water for PVGS via RO desalination is not economically viable. The present report investigates the economic impact of a large, regional RO desalination plant that could provide potable water for the region, considering the conclusions from the 2018 scoping study. The study looks in particular at the water-market situation for the developing municipalities in the west valley of Phoenix. In addition to providing potable water for the municipalities, the existing infrastructure that conveys effluent to the Palo Verde plant and onsite water treatment facilities could be used to manage the RO concentrate. The processed concentrate could lead to a cost reduction in plant cooling by replacing some amount of effluent. The analysis reported here considers two cases (for various scenarios). First, the Base Case considers that neither the regional nor the onsite RO is built. The 2018 INL study showed that some brackish water can be blended with the municipal effluent water without having to build the onsite RO. That correspond to the maximum economically profitable option. The Base Case is where APS pumps the maximum volume of less-expensive brackish water (limited by water chemistry in the circulating water system), i.e. the case for which cooling water acquisition and treatment cost are lowest (without RO). Second, the proposed RO Case includes two RO plants, one onsite at PVGS and another larger, regional RO plant close to the brackish water wells. The regional RO produces potable water that is sold to the regional municipalities, while the PVGS onsite RO treats (part of) the regional ROs' concentrate and brackish water blend. The desalinated water from the PVGS RO is used in the circulating water system at PVGS. The analysis evaluates the difference in economics, using the Net Present Value (NPV) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR), between the cases. By comparing the two cases, in addition to evaluating the economics of the regional RO, we can also assess the impact of the regional RO on PVGS operational costs and, consequently, APS economics. The study shows that there exist combinations of regional RO and PVGS RO sizes for which the total blowdown and water chemistry limits at PVGS (including regional RO concentrate treatment at PVGS) are satisfied. However, such combinations only exist if no additional brackish water is directly mixed in the tertiary water system at PVGS. This leads to higher Levelized Costs of Potable Water (LCOPW) compared to cases where additional brackish water is injected (but violate the physical constraints). Additional studies are suggested to investigate the benefit of additional brackish water injection (lowers cooling water cost) versus the cost of lifting the physical constraints, e.g. building additional evaporation ponds. Staying in the case of no additional brackish water and satisfying the existing PVGS constraints, the lowest LCOPW (~0.5 $/m 3 ) can be achieved with a size of the regional RO of ~1.4e7 m 3 /yr (11000 AF/yr) capacity, which leads to ~8.63e6 m 3 /yr (7000 AF/yr) of potable water while no onsite RO at PVGS is built. Considering the vii residential water demand model developed for the Phoenix west valley, the NPV for this regional RO would be ~$100 million if all municipalities in the vicinity participate from the beginning of the project.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗