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At least 1,693 records · Page 94

Diurnal variability of the hydrologic cycle in a general circulation model

In the present Colorado State University GCM simulation-based analysis of the diurnal and semidiurnal variability of precipitation, precipitable water, evaporation, cloudiness, horizontal moisture flux convergence, and cloud radiative forcing, a realistic afternoon precipitation maximum is obtained over land in warm rainy regions, as well as an early morning maximum over the oceans. The model has been further used to investigate the bases for the oceanic diurnal-precipitation cycle; the results thus obtained indicate that such an oceanic cycle occurs even in the absence of neighboring continents, and tends to have a morning maximum, although the observed phenomenon is generally stronger than the results indicate.

Randall, David A.↗

Probabilistic Reasoning for Plan Robustness

A planning system must reason about the uncertainty of continuous variables in order to accurately project the possible system state over time. A method is devised for directly reasoning about the uncertainty in continuous activity duration and resource usage for planning problems. By representing random variables as parametric distributions, computing projected system state can be simplified in some cases. Common approximation and novel methods are compared for over-constrained and lightly constrained domains. The system compares a few common approximation methods for an iterative repair planner. Results show improvements in robustness over the conventional non-probabilistic representation by reducing the number of constraint violations witnessed by execution. The improvement is more significant for larger problems and problems with higher resource subscription levels but diminishes as the system is allowed to accept higher risk levels.

autonomous planning↗

Structural/control system optimization with variable actuator masses

A method is presented to integrate the design space for structural/control system optimization problems in the case of linear state feedback control. Nonstructural lumped masses and control system design variables as well as structural sizing variables are all treated equally as independent design variables in the optimization process. Structural and control design variable linking schemes are used in order to avoid a prohibitively large increase in the total number of independent design variables. When actuator masses are treated as nonstructural lumped mass design variables, special consideration is given to the relation between the transient peak responses and the required actuator masses which is formulated as a behavior constraint form. The original nonlinear mathematical programming problem based on a finite element formulation and linear state feedback is replaced by a sequence of explicit approximate problems exploiting various approximation concepts such as design variable linkings, temporary constraint deletion and first order Taylor series expansion of nonlinear behavior constraints in terms of intermediate design variables. Examples which involve a variety of dynamic behavior constraints (including constraints on closed-loop eigenvalues, peak transient displacements, peak actuator forces, and relations between the peak responses and the actuator masses) are effectively solved by using the method presented.

Jin, Ik M.↗

Southern Rockies Western Slope Agriculture: Identifying Drivers of Rangeland Production for Drought Planning on the Western Slope of the Southern Rockies

Over the last decade, the southern Rocky Mountains of the United States have experienced increasingly severe and variable drought. Local ranchers and landowners have reported strain on their operations, citing decreasing forage production for their cattle and a need to adjust their business models, even considering abandoning their businesses altogether. The study identified Major Land Resource Area-48 (MLRA-48) and northwestern Colorado as the key region for analysis. NASA DEVELOP partnered with the BLM Colorado River Field Office, Colorado State University Extension, USDA Forest Service, and the National Drought Mitigation Center to address stakeholder concerns of the efficacy of existing remotely sensed rangeland production estimation platforms and explore possible early warning climatic indicators of drought. The study identified two key rangeland platforms, the Rangeland Production Monitoring Service (RPMS) and Rangeland Analysis Platform (RAP) and used in-situ data to statistically validate their efficacy. RAP outperformed RPMS in estimating in-situ biomass and was therefore used in our climate modeling. Our study performed a random forest analysis, sampling 1500 points across the study area, comparing monthly RAP biomass estimates to a variety of climatic variables, including mean precipitation, temperature, palmer drought severity index, snow water equivalent, wind speed and direction, and vapor pressure deficit. After analysis, our study determined that vapor pressure deficit is a key indicator in predicting forage production in MLRA-48. Our study recommends the use of RAP in estimating potential forage, with caution for its tendency to overestimate. Our climate analysis provided our partners with greater understanding of the influence of various climatic factors in determining forage production and allows them to assist landowners in planning for future drought.

Addie Gonzalez↗

Method and system to estimate variables in an integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) plant

System and method to estimate variables in an integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) plant are provided. The system includes a sensor suite to measure respective plant input and output variables. An extended Kalman filter (EKF) receives sensed plant input variables and includes a dynamic model to generate a plurality of plant state estimates and a covariance matrix for the state estimates. A preemptive-constraining processor is configured to preemptively constrain the state estimates and covariance matrix to be free of constraint violations. A measurement-correction processor may be configured to correct constrained state estimates and a constrained covariance matrix based on processing of sensed plant output variables. The measurement-correction processor is coupled to update the dynamic model with corrected state estimates and a corrected covariance matrix. The updated dynamic model may be configured to estimate values for at least one plant variable not originally sensed by the sensor suite.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

The materials irradiation experiment for testing plasma facing materials at fusion relevant conditions

The Materials Irradiation Experiment (MITE-E) was constructed at the University of Wisconsin-Madison Inertial Electrostatic Confinement Laboratory to test materials for potential use as plasma-facing materials (PFMs) in fusion reactors. PFMs in fusion reactors will be bombarded with x-rays, neutrons, and ions of hydrogen and helium. More needs to be understood about the interactions between the plasma and the materials to validate their use for fusion reactors. The MITE-E simulates some of the fusion reactor conditions by holding samples at temperatures up to 1000 °C while irradiating them with helium or deuterium ions with energies from 10 to 150 keV. The ion gun can irradiate the samples with ion currents of 20 μA–500 μA; the typical current used is 72 μA, which is an average flux of 9 × 10{sup 14} ions/(cm{sup 2} s). The ion gun uses electrostatic lenses to extract and shape the ion beam. A variable power (1-20 W), steady-state, Nd:YAG laser provides additional heating to maintain a constant sample temperature during irradiations. The ion beam current reaching the sample is directly measured and monitored in real-time during irradiations. The ion beam profile has been investigated using a copper sample sputtering experiment. The MITE-E has successfully been used to irradiate polycrystalline and single crystal tungsten samples with helium ions and will continue to be a source of important data for plasma interactions with materials.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Interrelated structure of high altitude atmospheric profiles

A preliminary development of a mathematical model to compute probabilities of thermodynamic profiles is presented. The model assumes an exponential expression for pressure and utilizes the hydrostatic law and equation of state in the determination of density and temperature. It is shown that each thermodynamic variable can be factored into the produce of steady state and perturbation functions. The steady state functions have profiles similar to those of the 1962 standard atmosphere while the perturbation functions oscillate about 1. Limitations of the model and recommendations for future work are presented.

Engler, N. A.↗

An approximate Riemann solver for thermal and chemical nonequilibrium flows

Among the many methods available for the determination of inviscid fluxes across a surface of discontinuity, the flux-difference-splitting technique that employs Roe-averaged variables has been used extensively by the CFD community because of its simplicity and its ability to capture shocks exactly. This method, originally developed for perfect gas flows, has since been extended to equilibrium as well as nonequilibrium flows. Determination of the Roe-averaged variables for the case of a perfect gas flow is a simple task; however, for thermal and chemical nonequilibrium flows, some of the variables are not uniquely defined. Methods available in the literature to determine these variables seem to lack sound bases. The present paper describes a simple, yet accurate, method to determine all the variables for nonequilibrium flows in the Roe-average state. The basis for this method is the requirement that the Roe-averaged variables form a consistent set of thermodynamic variables. The present method satisfies the requirement that the square of the speed of sound be positive.

Prabhu, Ramadas K.↗

Co-variability of S 6+ , S 4+ , and S 2- in apatite as a function of oxidation state: Implications for a new oxybarometer

In this study, we use micro-X-ray absorption near-edge structures (μ-XANES) spectroscopy at the S K-edge to investigate the oxidation state of S in natural magmatic-hydrothermal apatite (Durango, Mexico, and Mina Carmen, Chile) and experimental apatites crystallized from volatile-saturated lamproitic melts at 1000 °C and 300 MPa over a broad range of oxygen fugacities [( Embedded Image , FMQ+1.2, FMQ+3; FMQ = fayalite-magnetite-quartz solid buffer]. The data are used to test the hypothesis that S oxidation states other than S6+ may substitute into the apatite structure. Peak energies corresponding to sulfate S6+ (~2482 eV), sulfite S4+ (~2478 eV), and sulfide S2- (~2470 eV) were observed in apatite, and the integrated areas of the different sulfur peaks correspond to changes in Embedded Image and bulk S content. Here, multiple tests confirmed that the S oxidation state in apatite remains constant when exposed to the synchrotron beam, at least for up to 1 h exposure (i.e., no irradiation damages). To our knowledge, this observation makes apatite the first mineral to incorporate reduced (S2-), intermediate (S4+), and oxidized (S6+) S in variable proportions as a function of the prevailing Embedded Image of the system. Apatites crystallized under oxidizing conditions (FMQ+1.2 and FMQ+3), where the S6+/STotal peak area ratio in the coexisting glass (i.e., quenched melt) is ~1, are dominated by S6+ with a small contribution of S4+, whereas apatites crystallizing at reduced conditions (FMQ) contain predominantly S2-, lesser amounts of S6+, and possibly traces of S4+. A sulfur oxidation state vs. S concentration analytical line transect across hydrothermally altered apatite from the Mina Carmen iron oxide-apatite (IOA) deposit (Chile) demonstrates that apatite can become enriched in S4+ relative to S6+, indicating metasomatic overprinting via a SO2-bearing fluid or vapor phase. This XANES study demonstrates that as the Embedded Image increases from FQM to FMQ+1.2 to FMQ+3 the oxidation state of S in igneous apatite changes from S2- dominant to S6+ > S4+ to S6+ >> S4+. Furthermore, these results suggest that spectroscopic studies of igneous apatite have potential to trace the oxidation state of S in magmas. The presence of three S oxidations states in apatite may in part explain the non-Henrian partitioning of S between apatite and melt. Our study reveals the potential to use the S signature of apatite to elucidate both oxygen and sulfur fugacity in magmatic and hydrothermal systems.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Wet-chemical synthesis of Li7P3S11 with tailored particle size for solid state electrolytes

The small-size solid-state electrodes (SSEs) with high Li+ conductivity play an important role in reducing the interfacial resistance between electrode materials and SSEs and defects between SSEs. As one of the most conductive sulfide based ionic conductors, scalable synthesis of Li7P3S11 with controllable particle sizes is highly desired but rarely reported. Here, we report a facile wet-chemical synthesis method to prepare Li7P3S11 SSEs with variable sizes for all-solid-state lithium batteries (ASSLBs). By fully dissolving 70Li2S-30P2S5 precursors in ethyl acetate solution, the particle size of Li7P3S11 can be manipulated into as small as ~110 nm and high Li+ conductivity of 1.05 mS cm-1 can be achieved. A systematical mechanistic study of solvent effects suggests that the controlled particle sizes are attributed to the excellent solvability and low binding energy of ethyl acetate solvent toward solutes. Moreover, this generic method can be extended to the facilely synthesis of Li3PS4 nanoparticles with an average size of ~200 nm and high Li+ conductivity of 0.1 mS cm-1.

Zhou, Jianbin↗

EOSPAC User’s Manual (V.6.4)

The EOSPAC utility package is a collection of interface routines, which can be used to access the SESAME data library and perform various data adjustments and interpolations on the SESAME data. The SESAME data library contains both thermodynamic (e.g., equation of state) and transport coefficients (e.g., opacity and conductivity). Note, for simplicity, the term EOS (equation of state) used herein includes both thermodynamic variables and transport coefficients. The EOSPAC utility package is designed to be used by physics codes (henceforth ”host codes”) written in multiple languages and on multiple platforms.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

An improved scaling procedure for analysis and simplification of process models

Systematic scaling analysis of model equations can be valuable as a tool for developing computationally tractable simulations of physical systems. The scaling analysis methods in literature pose difficulties in the calculation of scale and reference values, when nonlinear terms are involved in the model equations. Further, existing methods involve trial and error procedures in the scaling process. Here in this paper, a systematic approach for handling nonlinear terms is suggested, which results in appropriate scale and reference values that render the dimensionless variable variations to be of order one. Further, trial and error procedures are avoided through a new approach wherein a set of nonlinear algebraic equations are solved to identify the scale and reference values. The proposed scaling approach is common to any given model equations with fixed parameters. However, it is to be noted that the proposed procedure may not handle situations when model equations exhibit steady state multiplicity and have dynamic multi-mode regimes. The proposed scaling procedure is illustrated through various examples of different complexities. A 1D model of WGS reactor as a case study shows the effectiveness of the obtained scale and reference values in obtaining simplified model which represents the steady state and dynamic variations of the variables.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Representation of Global Climate Change in Performance Assessment Models for Disposal of Radioactive Waste - 17183

Evolving concepts of global climate change that include impacts of anthropogenic greenhouse gases require reassessment of conventional conservative approaches in performance assessment studies that assume cold and wet future glacial climates. Global paleo-climate data for the Quaternary (past 2 million years) show saw-tooth patterns (temperature/proxy temperature data versus time) of glacial and interglacial intervals accompanied by cyclical changes in the atmospheric content of CO{sub 2} (low contents during glacial cycles and higher contents during interglacial cycles). These cycles are correlated with changes in the earth's orbital configurations (Milankovitch cycles) but require nonlinear linkages with additional climate-forcing components to reproduce past glacial and interglacial transitions. The earth is currently in an interglacial period and the timing of the inception of the next glacial period is critically important for forecasting future climate states. Climate modeling studies coupling Milankovitch cycles with variable atmospheric CO{sub 2} content demonstrate conclusively that the earth is very unlikely to return to a glacial state when CO{sub 2} concentrations remain above pre-industrial levels (∼ 280 parts per million; current levels exceed 400 parts per million). A return to pre-industrial concentrations will likely require > 50,000 years and may require hundreds of thousands of years even if current emissions were to drop dramatically. The most likely scenario for the future global climate is persistence of the current interglacial period with variable but progressively increasing temperatures. Performance assessments need to revise site-specific evaluations of future climate assuming global warming within a prolonged interglacial period with increased probability of extreme weather events. Four radioactive waste disposal sites are illustrated that currently incorporate or will incorporate revised current climate concepts in modeling studies for performance assessments. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Intersection of Hydrologic Change and Hydropower in the United States: Needs for Future Research and Practice

Hydropower is crucial for electric‐grid stability in the context of variable renewables but faces threats from changing hydrology. Here, we summarize the state of the science at the intersection of hydropower operations and planning, hydrologic science, and climate. We focus on the United States, outlining research, development, and training needs. Key knowledge gaps include the risk that intensification of compound extreme events poses to future generation, as well as uncertainties surrounding greenhouse gas emissions from hydropower reservoirs with relevance to hydropower's role in energy decarbonization. Quantifying such impacts and reducing uncertainty are critical where possible, but remaining irreducible or deep uncertainty will require new approaches. Future monitoring and modeling methods must provide a better understanding of the complexity inherent in large watersheds that is critical to managing both hydropower and watersheds in the context of hydrologic change. Yet, research and development will have little impact if they do not inform practice. Standardization and consolidation of platforms are essential for data, modeling, and tool translation to local scales and small operators. An enhanced industry‐academia dialog is pivotal for fostering a robust pipeline of hydropower professionals. Collaboration among researchers, policymakers, authorities, and industry stakeholders emerges as a recurring theme, highlighting the imperative for collective efforts.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

EOSPAC User’s Manual: V.6.5

The EOSPAC utility package is a collection of interface routines, which can be used to access the SESAME data library and perform various data adjustments and interpolations on the SESAME data. The SESAME data library contains both thermodynamic (e.g., equation of state) and transport coefficients (e.g., opacity and conductivity). Note, for simplicity, the term EOS (equation of state) used herein includes both thermodynamic variables and transport coefficients. The EOSPAC utility package is designed to be used by physics codes (henceforth "host codes") written in multiple languages and on multiple platforms. The remainder of this manual is organized into several sections.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

SPECTRAL ANALYSIS IN ORBITAL/SUPERORBITAL PHASE SPACE AND HINTS OF SUPERORBITAL VARIABILITY IN THE HARD X-RAYS OF LS I +61°303

We present an INTEGRAL spectral analysis in the orbital/superorbital phase space of LS I +61°303. A hard X-ray spectrum with no cutoff is observed at all orbital/superorbital phases. The hard X-ray index is found to be uncorrelated with the radio index (non-simultaneously) measured at the same orbital and superorbital phases. In particular, the absence of an X-ray spectrum softening during periods of negative radio index does not favor a simple interpretation of the radio index variations in terms of a microquasar's changes of state. We uncover hints of superorbital variability in the hard X-ray flux, in phase with the superorbital modulation in soft X-rays. An orbital phase drift of the radio peak flux and index along the superorbital period is observed in the radio data. We explore its influence on a previously reported double-peak structure of a radio orbital light curve, and present it as a plausible explanation.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Time variability of the X-ray sources in M33

The results of a variability study of the X-ray sources detected by the Einstein Observatory in the galaxy M33 are reported. Two of the 15 known sources are variable above the 99.73 percent confidence level. The light curve of one of these sources, M33 X-7, exhibits a variability pattern of high and low states, suggesting an eclipsing binary X-ray source. Such a finding would be the first identification of a close accreting binary system with an X-ray source in an external galaxy other than the Magellanic Clouds. The data suggest a binary period of 1.7857 day and an eclipse duration of about 0.4 day. The nuclear source M33 X-8 varies only in the softest part of the spectrum. The observations suggest a rapid variability and show a rapid flare with a rise time shorter than three days together with longer timescale variability.

Peres, G.↗

The Spectral-Timing Analysis of Cygnus X-1 With Insight-HXMT

Cygnus X-1, as the first discovered black hole binary, is a key source for understanding the mechanisms of state transitions, and the scenarios of accretion in extreme gravity fields. We present a spectral-timing analysis of observations taken with the Insight-HXMT mission, focusing on the spectral-state dependent timing properties in the broad energy range of 1–150 keV, thus extending previous RXTE-based studies to both lower and higher energies. Our main results are the following: a) We successfully use a simple empirical model to fit all spectra, confirming that the reflection component is stronger in the soft state than in the hard state; b) The evolution of the total fractional root mean square (rms) depends on the selected energy band and the spectral shape, which is a direct result of the evolution of the power spectral densities (PSDs); c) In the hard/intermediate state, we see clear short-term variability features and a positive correlation between central frequencies of the variability components and the soft photon index Γ(sub 1), also at energies above 15 keV. The power spectrum is dominated by red noise in the soft state instead. These behaviors can be traced to at least 90 keV; d) The coherence and the phase-lag spectra show different behaviors dependent on different spectral shapes.

Binary X-rays↗