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At least 1,693 records · Page 94

Loss of Control Detection for Commercial Transports Using Conditional Variational Autoencoders

This work describes a detector for the loss of control of a commercial transport in flight. The detector has a belief state defined by the latent variable stochastic modeling of a conditional variational autoencoder (CVAE) constructed with bidirectional recurrent layers. In 2000, the Boeing Company and the NASA Langley Research Center jointly developed a quantitative set of metrics for defining loss-of-control (LOC) for a commercial transport. We use the thresholds for these quantitative metrics to define a condition vector for training the CVAE. We demonstrate through experimentation that reconstruction probability is an accurate indicator that the vehicle has shifted to an LOC state. Second, we introduce a technique for inferring that the vehicle is experiencing a flight state change is approaching by measuring a shift in the sampling Gaussian distributions of the latent space. We provide an analysis of its applicability to flight data from a NASA generic commercial transport-type aircraft.

Newton H Campbell↗

A Coupled Analysis of Atmospheric Mass Loss and Tidal Evolution in XUV Irradiated Exoplanets: The TRAPPIST-1 Case Study

Exoplanets residing close to their stars can experience evolution of both their physical structures and their orbits due to the influence of their host stars. In this work, we present a coupled analysis of dynamical tidal dissipation and atmospheric mass loss for exoplanets in X-ray and ultraviolet (XUV) irradiated environments. As our primary application, we use this model to study the TRAPPIST-1 system and place constraints on the interior structure and orbital evolution of the planets. We start by reporting on an ultraviolet continuum flux measurement (centered around ∼1900 Å) for the star TRAPPIST-1, based on 300 ks of Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory data, and which enables an estimate of the XUV-driven thermal escape arising from XUV photodissociation for each planet. We find that the X-ray flaring luminosity, measured from our X-ray detections, of TRAPPIST-1 is 5.6 × 10(exp −4) L(*), while the full flux including non-flaring periods is 6.1 × 10(exp −5) L*, when L(*) is TRAPPIST-1ʼs bolometric luminosity. We then construct a model that includes both atmospheric mass loss and tidal evolution and requires the planets to attain their present-day orbital elements during this coupled evolution. We use this model to constrain the ratio Q' = 3Q/2k2 for each planet. Finally, we use additional numerical models implemented with the Virtual Planet Simulator VPLanet to study ocean retention for these planets using our derived system parameters.

Juliette Becker↗

Adaptation in U.S. Corn Belt Increases Resistance to Soil Carbon Loss With Climate Change

Increasing the amount of soil organic carbon (SOC) has agronomic benefits and the potential to mitigate climate change. Previous regional predictions of SOC trends under climate change often ignore or do not explicitly consider the effect of crop adaptation (i.e., changing planting dates and varieties). We used the DayCent biogeochemical model to examine the effect of adaptation on SOC for corn and soybean production in the U.S. Corn Belt using climate data from three models. Without adaptation, yields of both corn and soybean tended to decrease and the decomposition of SOC tended to increase leading to a loss of SOC with climate change compared to a baseline scenario with no climate change. With adaptation, the model predicted a substantially higher crop yield. The increase in yields and associated carbon input to the SOC pool counteracted the increased decomposition in the adaptation scenarios, leading to similar SOC stocks under different climate change scenarios. Consequently, we found that crop management adaptation to changing climatic conditions strengthen agroecosystem resistance to SOC loss. However, there are differences spatially in SOC trends. The northern part of the region is likely to gain SOC while the southern part of the region is predicted to lose SOC.

Soil Organic Carbon (SOC)↗

Improved Prediction of Losses with Large Eddy Simulation in a Low-Pressure Turbine

There is a need to improve predictions of losses resulting from large eddy simulations (LES) of low-pressure turbines (LPT) in gas turbines. This may be done by assessing the accuracy of predictions against validation data and understanding the source of any inaccuracies. LES is a promising approach for capturing the laminar/turbulent transition process in a LPT. In previous studies, the authors utilized LES to model the flow field over a Variable Speed Power Turbine (VSPT) blade and successfully captured characteristic features of separation/reattachment and transition on the suction side at both the cruise (positive incidence) and take-off conditions (negative incidence) and as well, simulated the effect of freestream turbulence (FST) on those phenomena. The predicted pressure loading profiles agreed well with the experimental data for both a high and a low FST case at a Reynolds number of Reex=220,000. In this paper, we present wake profiles resulting from computations for a range of FST values. Although the predicted wake profiles for the lowest FST case (Tu=0.5%) matched the experimental data, at higher FST (Tu=10-15%,) the wake was wider than the experimentally measured wake and for both cases were displaced laterally when compared to the experimental measurements. In our investigation of the causes of the said discrepancies we have identified important effects which could strongly influence the predicted wake profile. Predicted losses were improved by assuring the validity of the flow solution. This was done by utilizing spectral analysis to scrutinize the dynamic behavior of the wake and determine solution accuracy resulting from low mesh density and low accuracy of convective modeling.

CFD↗

Estimating Everglades Peat Reserves and Losses on a Landscape-Scale

The Florida Everglades formed from sawgrass and other aquatic plant remains that have accumulated over thousands of years and is a patterned peatland. The region was initially drained for agricultural and urban development in the late 1800s by the lowering of Lake Okeechobee water levels through canal drainage. Over the course of the past century, the Everglades has further been altered by the construction of canals and levees to provide control of Lake Okeechobee and Everglades water levels. The drainage has caused the loss of much of the peat of the Everglades by peat fires and microbial oxidation, much of it occurring between the 1880s and the 1950s. Plans for Everglades restoration are designed to provide additional water to flow through the remaining Everglades. Additional water into the Everglades would prevent further peat loss by reducing oxidation and encouraging the accretion of peat that has been lost. This potentially could result in the sequestration of significant quantities of atmospheric carbon. We used historic records to determine how much peat was there originally and how much has been lost. Over the past century and a half, approximately 50% of the original Everglades has been lost to agricultural and urban development. In addition, much of the peat in the remaining Everglades Protection Area has been lost. We used Geographic Information Systems technologies to determine the volume and mass of peat, the mass of carbon for each of the predrainage landscapes as well as the current Everglades regions. To do this, historical and current surveys within the Everglades were used to create elevation maps. With these maps, along with a bedrock contour map of south Florida, and soils data from the USEPA, we estimated Everglades peat characteristics. These calculations provide rough, quantitative estimates of the historical Everglades, its current condition, and the changes in the peat soil that have taken place since the 19th century. Given the uncertainties in the hindcasting of some of these data sets, this analysis provides rough estimates for the peat volumes and related constituents. Our calculations indicate that the current Everglades roughly contains less than 24% of theoriginal peat volume, 17% of its mass and 19% of its carbon. The work described was fully supported by the South Florida Water Management District, West Palm Beach, FL

Thomas Walter Dreschel↗

Phase transition energetics-based mass loss modeling of chondritic Near Earth Objects

Mitigating potentially hazardous asteroids relies on accurate knowledge of their composition and critical physical characteristics such as shape and mass. Ground-based observatories and sample return missions in recent years have focused on such characterization to track Near Earth Objects. Historically, entry speeds of asteroids or mass change due to break-up/airburst have been considered in risk assessment studies as critical parameters. To this effect, most hydrocode simulations that consider energy deposition techniques rely on gross meteor modeling with simplistic spherical shapes while neglecting heat of ablation considerations. This is the general approach for fragment-cloud, pancake and hybrid fragmentation models. Alternatively, aerothermal fragmentation modeling that accounts for meteoritic shape change have typically focused on environmental modeling to understand break-up points primarily due to radiative heating. A physics-based risk assessment could benefit by modeling the environment and material response of typical meteoroidal materials as precursors to fragmentation. A greater focus on the material response to applied environmental heating will be emphasized here. This work presents a forward analysis of thermal and material response of stony meteorites by ac-counting for mass loss and shape change effects through a boundary layer formalism. This allows for simulations starting from simplistic shapes that could eventually lead to alterations in contours due to ablation. These effects would be characterized through phase transitions of the surface, such as melting and vaporization, in response to aerodynamic heating. Coupled ablation and radiative heating effects have been found to lead to reduced heat transfer coefficients in the computation of meteor mass loss rates. This has the potential to increase ground damage footprints for hazardous impacts. The effort here quantifies the heat transfer coefficient by accounting for ablation assisted by phase transition. The melt and vaporization mediated ablation of chondritic meteors provides essential recession estimates based upon surface environments. The altered mass due to such phenomena would be presented for a H-chondrite meteoritic sample.

Pratibha Raghunandan↗

Test-Derived Effective Emittance for Cassini MLI Blankets and Heat Loss Characteristics in the Vicinity of Seams

Thermal performance of Cassini MLI blankets was characterized in thermal vacuum tests. Effective emittance was derived for the standard and high-temperature layups, with or without micrometeoroid protection standoffs, and for a high-performance duo-layup with staggered seams. The all-Kapton layup wa shown to have a 19% higher effective emittance than the hybrid Kapton-Mylar layup, and the duo-layup exhibited a dramatic capability of reducing heat dissipation by 2.6 fold. Several different definitions of effective emittance are discussed, and their relations to distinct hardware-MLI configurations and corresponding modeling techniques clarified. Large temperature differences (up to 70 C) were observed between the center and seam of a blanket. Heat losses in the vicinity of seams are qualified, and a major MLI heat loss mechanism elucidated.

Cassini↗

Power Loss For Multimode Waveguides and its Application to Beam-Waveguide Systems

The conventional way of expressing poer loss in dB/meter for a multimode waveguiding system with finite wall condcutivity (such as a beam-waveguide system with protective shroud) can be incorrect and misleading. The power loss (indB) for a multimode waveguiding system is, in general, not linearly proportional to the length of the waveguide.

Multimode↗

Preferential Loss of Yukon River Delta Colored Dissolved Organic Matter under Nutrient Replete Conditions

The Yukon River exports a large amount of dissolved organic carbon (DOC), much of which is colored, absorbing visible and ultraviolet light. Yukon River water typically has low total dissolved nitrogen (TDN), with an average DOC : TDN ratio of 21.1 (mol C mol N−1) ~ 200 km upstream from the coast at Pilot Station, Alaska. TDN has been correlated to the bioavailability of DOC, but a direct estimate of the dependence of DOC reactivity on nutrient availability has not been conducted in the Yukon River delta. The biodegradability of DOC and colored dissolved organic matter (CDOM) was assessed along a gradient within the Yukon River delta and into the coastal ocean. Samples were dark incubated at 20􀀀C and half of the incubations were amended with inorganic nutrients. At five time points through 27 d, CDOM absorption and DOC concentration were measured. Initial DOC concentration was 113–830 μmol C L−1 and CDOM absorption at 443 nm (a443) ranged from 0.16 to 7.8 m−1 from the ocean to a high CDOM lake. DOC was relatively unreactive, with 3–6% of DOC degrading in riverine samples and little difference between nutrient amended and control incubations. Control river delta a443 decreased 3–10%, while nutrient amended treatments saw a 6–22% decline over 27 d. In the nutrient amended riverine stations, CDOM absorption loss was greater at blue wavelengths and CDOM degradation was greater than total DOC loss. DOC was resistant to biodegradation in both nutrient amended and ambient conditions, while CDOM was preferentially degraded when nutrients were replete.

J Blake Clark↗

Improved Prediction of Losses with Large Eddy Simulation in a Low-Pressure Turbine

There is a need to improve predictions of losses resulting from large eddy simulations (LES) of low-pressure turbines (LPT) in gas turbines. This may be done by assessing the accuracy of predictions against validation data and understanding the source of any inaccuracies. LES is a promising approach for capturing the laminar/turbulent transition process in a LPT. In previous studies, the authors utilized LES to model the flow field over a Variable Speed Power Turbine (VSPT) blade and successfully captured characteristic features of separation/reattachment and transition on the suction side at both the cruise (positive incidence) and take-off conditions (negative incidence) and as well, simulated the effect of free-stream turbulence (FST) on those phenomena. The predicted pressure loading profiles agreed well with the experimental data for both a high and a low FST case at a Reynolds number of Re(ex)=220,000. In this paper, we present wake profiles resulting from computations for a range of FST values. Although the predicted wake profiles for the lowest FST case (Tu=0.5%) matched the experimental data, at higher FST (Tu=10-15%,) the wake was wider than the experimentally measured wake and for both cases were displaced laterally when compared to the experimental measurements. In our investigation of the causes of the said discrepancies we have identified important effects which could strongly influence the predicted wake profile. Predicted losses were improved by assuring the validity of the flow solution. This was done by utilizing spectral analysis to scrutinize the dynamic behavior of the wake and determine solution accuracy resulting from low mesh density and low accuracy of convective modeling.

LES-LDKM↗

Numerical Investigation of the Effect of Trailing Edge Thickness of Simulated CMC Blades on Loss Profiles

To understand such an aerodynamic characteristic of the CMC blades, we numerically simulated three different CMC blades with varying trailing edge thicknesses. We utilized both Large Eddy simulation (LES) with the dynamic subgrid closure as well a recently implemented Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) coupled with an intermittency function-based transition model. We considered two sets of experimental test points with different Reynolds numbers at a given high-free stream turbulence range (Tu=~10-13%). The LES was previously validated by comparing with experimental data. We validated the RANS transition model against the ERCOFTAC experimental zero-pressure gradient smooth flat plate boundary layer at low- and high freestream turbulence offered by the experimental data of the Stripf’s for a turbine blade. We confirmed that the predicted skin friction and the heat flux agree well with the data. Finally, we computed the predicted pressure loading profiles, total loss distributions, and integrated loss of the three different CMC blades and made comparisons against the experimental data acquired at NASA Glenn Transonic Turbine Blade Cascade Rig. Our paper will present the aforementioned results and discuss the ability of LES and RANS model of our choice to predict salient aerodynamic characteristics of the blades with the various trailing edge thickness effects.

LES↗

Conditions of Loss Cone Filling by Scattering on the Curved Field Lines for 30 keV Protons During Geomagnetic Storm as Inferred From Numerical Trajectory Tracing

The rate of pitch angle scattering on the curved magnetic field lines is well parameterized by the ratio of the minimum field line curvature radius to the maximum effective particle gyroradius (K = RC/rg). The critical value of this ratio (Kcr) corresponding to the loss cone filling is of special interest since it corresponds to the low altitude isotropic boundaries (IBs). The early theoretical estimates gave Kcr = 8, whereas recent estimations of the K parameter on the field lines corresponding to the observed IBs during the geomagnetic storms revealed KIB values in the range of 3–30. We numerically trace the trajectories of the 30 keV protons in the magnetic field of the global magnetohydrodynamic simulation of the intense storm in order to infer statistical distribution of Kcr. The electric field and effects of nonstationarity are neglected in this study. It is found that although the Kcr values do show some variations during the course of the storm, its range is rather narrow 4 < Kcr < 8. The result suggests that higher KIB values found in the observational studies, if not caused by the magnetosphere-ionosphere mapping error, should be attributed to some other mechanism of pitch angle scattering. The Kcr values tend to be lower (4–6) during the main phase because the region of low K values approaches the Earth and the equatorial loss cone size becomes larger due to a larger equatorial magnetic field in the near earth region. The remaining variation of Kcr is explained by the presence of the guide component of the magnetic field.

S Dubyagin↗

A Large Fraction of Hydrogen-rich Supernova Progenitors Experience Elevated Mass Loss Shortly Prior to Explosion

Spectroscopic detection of narrow emission lines traces the presence of circumstellar mass distributions around massive stars exploding as core-collapse supernovae. Transient emission lines disappearing shortly after the supernova explosion suggest that the material spatial extent is compact and implies an increased mass loss shortly prior to explosion. Here, we present a systematic survey for such transient emission lines (Flash Spectroscopy) among Type II supernovae detected in the first year of the Zwicky Transient Facility survey. We find that at least six out of ten events for which a spectrum was obtained within two days of the estimated explosion time show evidence for such transient flash lines. Our measured flash event fraction (>30% at 95% confidence level) indicates that elevated mass loss is a common process occurring in massive stars that are about to explode as supernovae.

Rachel J. Bruch↗

Optimizing Lunar Map Partitioning for Multipath Fade Loss Analyses

A methodology is presented pertaining to the run-time optimization of quasi-optical ray-tracing simulations. These shooting-and-bouncing ray methods are used for assessing multipath fade loss in cislunar communication links. Our approach employs partitioning lunar terrain maps in shapes that approximate two-dimensional projections of Fresnel zone cross-sections. This technique drastically reduces computational run-time without causing significant loss of simulation accuracy.

Digital elevation models↗

Numerical Investigation of the Effect of Trailing Edge Thickness of Simulated CMC Blades on Loss Profiles

To understand such an aerodynamic characteristic of the CMC blades, we numerically simulated three different CMC blades with varying trailing edge thicknesses. We utilized both Large Eddy simulation (LES) with the dynamic subgrid closure as well a recently implemented Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) coupled with an intermittency function-based transition model. We considered two sets of experimental test points with different Reynolds numbers at a given high-free stream turbulence range (Tu=~10-13%). The LES was previously validated by comparing with experimental data. We validated the RANS transition model against the ERCOFTAC experimental zero-pressure gradient smooth flat plate boundary layer at low- and high freestream turbulence offered by the experimental data of the Stripf’s for a turbine blade. We confirmed that the predicted skin friction and the heat flux agree well with the data. Finally, we computed the predicted pressure loading profiles, total loss distributions, and integrated loss of the three different CMC blades and made comparisons against the experimental data acquired at NASA Glenn Transonic Turbine Blade Cascade Rig. Our paper will present the aforementioned results and discuss the ability of LES and RANS model of our choice to predict salient aerodynamic characteristics of the blades with the various trailing edge thickness effects.

LES↗

Numerical Modelling of Sublimation Losses During Sample Handling Within the Light WAVE Lunar Water Prospecting Instrument

NASA’s focus of exploring the Moon’s south pole under the Artemis program has placed new emphasis on characterizing the quantity and distribution of water ice and other volatiles present within the Moon’s permanently shadowed regions (PSRs), first measured during the 2009 LCROSS mission. NASA’s VIPER rover is the first of a series of prospecting missions to characterize this water ice resource. NASA’s Johnson Space Center (JSC) has developed the Light Water Analysis and Volatiles Extraction (Light WAVE) instrument shown in Figure 1 for a follow-on prospecting mission, designed to be a rover payload for water ice prospecting at various depths and locations within PSRs. A key source of error for lunar water prospecting instruments, including Light WAVE, is the loss of water in an icy regolith sample to the lunar vacuum via sublimation due to heating above its ice-stable temperature. This abstract and conference presentation discuss a sublimation model for Light WAVE’s sample crucible using COMSOL Multiphysics to assess the sublimation losses that would occur between sample collection from an external drill and sealing the sample within Light WAVE’s boiler.

Lunar Polar Water↗

Fiber-Detector Subsystem Loss Comparison for A Ground-Based Photon-Counting Optical Receiver

In this paper we present a comparative study of the losses associated with fiber-coupled single-photon detectors in two different configurations, each with the goal of receiving a pulsed-position modulated signal with a maximum data rate of 267 Mbps. First, we consider a 7x1 few-mode-fiber (FMF) photonic lantern coupled to seven individual superconducting nanowire single photon detectors (SNSPDs). In the second configuration we assess a single FMF coupled to a 16-channel monolithic SNSPD array. In each case we measure and compare combined fiber coupling, SNSPD blocking, and system efficiency losses under emulated atmospheric turbulence conditions. We address subsystem impact on link performance and analyze feasibility for future NASA lunar and deep-space optical communications missions.

Fiber optics↗

Fiber-Detector Subsystem Loss Comparison for A Ground-Based Photon-Counting Optical Receiver

A comparative study of the losses associated with fiber-coupled single-photon detectors in two different configurations, each with the goal of receiving a pulsed-position modulated signal with a maximum data rate of 267 Mbps. First, we consider a 7x1 few-mode-fiber (FMF) photonic lantern coupled to seven individual superconducting nanowire single photon detectors (SNSPDs). In the second configuration we assess a single FMF coupled to a 16-channel monolithic SNSPD array. In each case we measure and compare combined fiber coupling, SNSPD blocking, and system efficiency losses under emulated atmospheric turbulence conditions. We address subsystem impact on link performance and analyze feasibility for future NASA lunar and deep-space optical communications missions.

Fiber optics↗