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At least 1,675 records · Page 93

A Global System for Transportation Simulation and Visualization in Emergency Evacuation Scenarios

Simulation-based studies are frequently used for evacuation planning and decision making processes. Given the transportation systems complexity and data availability, most evacuation simulation models focus on certain geographic areas. With routine improvement of OpenStreetMap road networks and LandScanTM global population distribution data, we present WWEE, a uniform system for world-wide emergency evacuation simulations. WWEE uses unified data structure for simulation inputs. It also integrates a super-node trip distribution model as the default simulation parameter to improve the system computational performance. Two levels of visualization tools are implemented for evacuation performance analysis, including link-based macroscopic visualization and vehicle-based microscopic visualization. For left-hand and right-hand traffic patterns in different countries, the authors propose a mirror technique to experiment with both scenarios without significantly changing traffic simulation models. Ten cities in US, Europe, Middle East, and Asia are modeled for demonstration. With default traffic simulation models for fast and easy-to-use evacuation estimation and visualization, WWEE also retains the capability of interactive operation for users to adopt customized traffic simulation models. For the first time, WWEE provides a unified platform for global evacuation researchers to estimate and visualize their strategies performance of transportation systems under evacuation scenarios.

Emergency Evacuation↗

Antarctic ice sheet model comparison with uncurated geological constraints shows that higher spatial resolution improves deglacial reconstructions

Accurately reconstructing past changes to the shape and volume of the Antarctic ice sheet relies on the use of physically based and thus internally consistent ice sheet modeling, benchmarked against spatially limited geologic data. The challenge in model benchmarking against geologic data is diagnosing whether model-data misfits are the result of an inadequate model, inherently noisy or biased geologic data, and/or incorrect association between modeled quantities and geologic observations. In this work we address this challenge by (i) the development and use of a new model-data evaluation framework applied to an uncurated data set of geologic constraints, and (ii) nested high-spatial-resolution modeling designed to test the hypothesis that model resolution is an important limitation in matching geologic data. While previous approaches to model benchmarking employed highly curated datasets, our approach applies an automated screening and quality control algorithm to an uncurated public dataset of geochronological observations (specifically, cosmogenic-nuclide exposure-age measurements from glacial deposits in ice-free areas). This optimizes data utilization by including more geological constraints, reduces potential interpretive bias, and allows unsupervised assimilation of new data as they are collected. We also incorporate a nested model framework in which high-resolution domains are downscaled from a continent-wide ice sheet model. We highlight the application of this framework by applying these methods to a small ensemble of deglacial ice-sheet model simulations, and demonstrate that the nested approach improves the ability of model simulations to match exposure age data collected from areas of complex topography and ice flow. We develop a range of diagnostic model-data comparison metrics to provide more insight into model performance than possible from a single-valued misfit statistic, showing that different metrics capture different aspects of ice sheet deflation.

Geosciences↗

Improved Models for Simulation of Cryogenic Spray Cooling for Propellant Tank Chilldown

This paper presents advances in spray boiling models for cryogenic fluids that exhibit strong variation in thermodynamic properties; it accounts for the interaction of the spray droplets with walls and the complex heat transfer and boiling processes that play a vital role in chilling solid surfaces. The model has been developed by corroborating and validating it with test data in liquid nitrogen obtained at the University of Connecticut. The test data includes detailed visualization and plate temperature measurements for liquid nitrogen sprays impinging on a warm test plate and subsequent transient chilldown of the plate. Simulations of transient plate chilldown in liquid nitrogen were carried out and temperature histories at various locations on the plate were compared with test measurements to demonstrate the validity of the spray boiling models that have been developed for cryogens.

Boiling↗

Improved Models for Simulation of Cryogenic Spray Cooling for Propellant Tank Chilldown

This paper presents advances in spray boiling models for cryogenic fluids that exhibit strong variation in thermodynamic properties; it accounts for the interaction of the spray droplets with walls and the complex heat transfer and boiling processes that play a vital role in chilling solid surfaces. The model has been developed by corroborating and validating it with test data in liquid nitrogen obtained at the University of Connecticut. The test data includes detailed visualization and plate temperature measurements for liquid nitrogen sprays impinging on a warm test plate and subsequent transient chilldown of the plate. Simulations of transient plate chilldown in liquid nitrogen were carried out and temperature histories at various locations on the plate were compared with test measurements to demonstrate the validity of the spray boiling models that have been developed for cryogens.

Boiling↗

Aggregation of Inverter-Based Resources for Modeling and Simulation

In order to conduct system dynamic studies, it is necessary to have dynamic models of both inverter and plant levels. Detailed and aggregated modeling approaches are two essential options. The detailed modeling method involves capturing the dynamic characteristics of each individual device (e.g., wind turbine or PV array), as well as their interconnections. However, as the scale of the IBR plant increases, the complexity and computation time required for detailed modeling also increase. On the other hand, aggregated modeling offers a more efficient way of representing large-scale IBRs in power system dynamic studies. This approach involves aggregating a large number of wind turbines, PV arrays, inverters, and/or plant controllers into one or a smaller number of equivalent models. In order to analyze the impact of a high-level IBR penetration in power systems, it is important to develop accurate and computationally efficient models for both the detailed and aggregated methods.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Effects of a simulated microgravity model on cell structure and function in rat testis and epididymis

The effect of simulated microgravity on the structure and function of the testis and epididymis cells was investigated in rats subjected to 7 days of tail suspension. Results of a histological examination revealed presence of disorganized seminiferous tubules and accumulation of large multinucleated cells and spermatids in the lumen of the epididymis. In addition, decreases in the content of testis protein and in testosterone levels in the testis, the interstitial fluid, and the epididymis were observed.

Hadley, Jill A.↗

Employing a Modified Diffuser Momentum Model to Simulate Ventilation of the Orion CEV (DRAFT)

Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) is used to model the flow field in the Orion CEV cabin. The CFD model employs a momentum model used to account for the effect of supply grilles on the supply flow. The momentum model is modified to account for non-uniform velocity profiles at the approach of the supply grille. The modified momentum model is validated against a detailed vane-resolved model before inclusion into the Orion CEV cabin model. Results for this comparison, as well as that of a single ventilation configuration are presented.

Straus, John↗

Bayesian optimization for inverse calibration of expensive computer models: A case study for Johnson-Cook model in machining

Inverse model calibration for identifying the constitutive model parameters can be computationally demanding for expensive-to-evaluate simulation models. Here, this paper presents a modified Bayesian optimization (BO) method, denoted as BO-bound, that incorporates theoretical bounds on the quantity of interest. A case study for the inverse calibration of the Johnson Cook (J-C) flow stress model parameters is presented using machining (cutting) force data. The results show fast calibration of the five J-C parameters within 25 simulations. In general, the BO-bound method is applicable for inverse calibration of any expensive simulation models as well as optimization problems with known bounds.

Bayesian optimization↗

Overview of modelling and simulation of metal powder bed fusion process at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

The metal laser powder bed fusion additive manufacturing process uses high power lasers to build parts layer upon layer by melting fine metal powders. Qualification of parts produced using this technology is broadly recognised as a significant challenge. Physics based process models have been identified as being foundational to qualification of additively manufactured metal parts. In the present article, a multiscale modelling strategy is described that will serve as the foundation upon which process control and part qualification can be built. This includes a model at the scale of the powder that simulates single track/single multilayer builds and provides powder bed and melt pool thermal data. A second model computationally builds a complete part and predicts manufactured properties (residual stress, dimensional accuracy) in three dimensions. Finally, modelling is tied to experiment through data mining.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Modeling and Simulating Diffused Aeration for Hydrogen Removal from Expansion Tanks of Parabolic Trough Solar Thermal Power Plants

High-temperature decomposition of organic heat transfer fluids (HTFs) can cause hydrogen build-up in the receiver annulus of parabolic trough power plants. This build-up increases the receiver thermal losses and results in a decline in power output. Prior work has shown that removal of hydrogen from the expansion tank can be an effective mitigation strategy. This paper presents a modeling methodology and simulation results for passive and diffused aeration removal of hydrogen from the expansion tank. Focus is on estimating the mass transfer of hydrogen from the HTF into the headspace gas across the surface and bubble liquid/gas interfaces. Simulations for the operation conditions and expansion tank geometry of the Nevada Solar One power plant (located near Las Vegas, Nevada, USA) show that passive removal (surface mass transfer only) may be sufficient to obtain hydrogen removal rates of 1.7 x 10-4 mol/s (minimal removal rate necessary). A diffused aeration system (surface plus bubble mass transfer) with gas injection volume rates up to 100 L/s may be necessary to obtain a hydrogen removal rate of 2.0 x 10-4 mol/s (optimal removal rate).

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

On the modelling and simulation of the dynamics and control of large flexible orbiting systems

This paper attempts to review the steps involved in the development of mathematical models that can be used to simulate the in-orbit dynamics of large flexible systems. The use of graph theoretic techniques can often be used to reduce the computational effort involved for calculating the eigenvalues of large ordered systems. Computer generated graphical techniques may provide additional insight into the understanding of elastic modal shape functions of complex systems. Finally the numerical techniques commonly used to develop shape and attitude control laws will be briefly reviewed.

Bainum, P. M.↗

Modeling and Simulation of Ternary Pumped Storage Hydropower for Power System Studies

As the deployment of wind and solar energy increases in the United States, energy storage (ES) will play an important role in future electric power grids. To help manage the variability from high penetration levels of renewable generation, ES can provide promising power/energy demand to coordinate with renewables generation, as a virtual power plant (VPP). There is an industry need for the capability in power system studies to model ternary pumped storage hydropower (T-PSH) that offers increased system benefits. This paper presents a comprehensive vendor-neutral dynamic model of T-PSH in GE's commercial software positive sequence load flow (PSLF). A new governor model is developed with detailed gate valve modeling and a shared-penstock function. Specifically, this model is designed to simulate the seamless transition among three operation modes: generation mode, pumping mode, and hydraulic short-circuit mode. The developed T-PSH model has been tested and validated on a 10-bus test system. A comparison study of T-PSH to conventional pumped storage hydropower has also been conducted on the Western Interconnection system.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Simulation and modeling of homogeneous compressible turbulence under isotropic mean compression

Compressible homogeneous turbulence subjected to isotropic mean compression is simulated numerically for high and low turbulent Mach numbers, at various compression rates. It is found that at low Mach numbers, the effects of viscosity variations on the development of the turbulent kinetic energy can be significant. A model consistent with the invariance of the Navier-Stokes equations to spherical compression, that takes into account variable viscosity effects is proposed. At high Mach numbers, the distribution of energy between the acoustic and solenoid fields is found to depend upon initial conditions. The simulation results are also used to evaluate two-equation compressible turbulence models.

Coleman, G. N.↗

Development of Macroscale Models of UO 2 Fuel Sintering and Densification using Multiscale Modeling and Simulation

Light water reactor fuel pellets are fabricated using sintering to final densities of 95% or greater. During reactor operation, the porosity remaining in the fuel after fabrication decreases further due to irradiation-assisted densification. While empirical models have been developed to describe this densification process, a mechanistic model is needed as part of the ongoing work by the NEAMS program to develop a more predictive fuel performance code. In this work we will develop a phase field model of sintering of UO 2 in the MARMOT code, and validate it by comparing to published sintering data. We will then add the capability to capture irradiation effects into the model, and use it to develop a mechanistic model of densification that will go into the BISON code and add another essential piece to the microstructure-based materials models. The final step will be to add the effects of applied fields, to model field-assisted sintering of UO 2 . The results of the phase field model will be validated by comparing to data from field-assisted sintering. Tasks over three years: 1. Develop a sintering model for UO 2 in MARMOT 2. Expand model to account for irradiation effects 3. Develop a mechanistic macroscale model of densification for BISON

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

The Robust Dynamical Contribution to Precipitation Extremes in Idealized Warming Simulations across Model Resolutions

The impact of the circulation shift under climate warming on the distribution of precipitation extremes and the associated sensitivity to model resolution are investigated using the aquaplanet Community Atmosphere Model CAM3. The response of the probability density function of the precipitation to a uniform SST warming can be interpreted as superimposition of a dynamically induced poleward shift and a thermodynamically induced upward shift toward higher intensities, which give rise to manyfold increase in the frequency of the most extreme categories of the precipitation events at the poleward side of the midlatitude storm track. Meanwhile, the thermodynamic contribution to the intensification of the precipitation extremes is substantially less than expected from the Clausius-Clapeyron relation, implicative of significant change in the vertical structure of the precipitation processes. While coarser resolutions underestimate the dynamical contribution to the increase of precipitation extremes, a modest increase of the equator-to-pole SST warming gradient can have a significant opposite effect.

dynamical↗

Modeling assessment of storm surge in the Salish Sea

Here we present a modeling assessment of storm surge in the Salish Sea—a large and complex estuarine system in the Pacific Northwest that is exposed to extratropical cyclones. A method was developed to systematically identify storm surge events in the Salish Sea based on water level records at four representative tidal gauges in the Salish Sea. The maximum storm surge distribution in the Salish Sea was calculated based on model simulations of 34 major historical storm events from 1980 to 2016. The model simulations were validated by field observations of water level and velocity using a suite of model performance metrics. Model results suggest that the maximum storm surge in the Salish Sea is generally in the range of 0.8 m–1.03 m and is heterogeneous in space. The model results also show a strong north-south gradient with larger surge magnitudes occurring in the north that is primarily caused by the southerly wind in winter months. The sensitivity analysis of wind forcing suggested that storm surge in the Salish Sea is dominated by the remote surge from the Pacific Ocean, and the local wind contributes up to approximately 20% of the surge variability. This paper systematically elucidates storm surge characteristics and potential risk in the Salish Sea.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Ocean cavity regime shift reversed West Antarctic grounding line retreat in the late Holocene

Recent geologic and modeled evidence suggests that the grounding line of the Siple Coast of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) retreated hundreds of kilometers beyond its present position in the middle to late Holocene and readvanced within the past 1.7 ka. This grounding line reversal has been attributed to both changing rates of isostatic rebound and regional climate change. Here, we test these two hypotheses using a proxy-informed ensemble of ice sheet model simulations with varying ocean thermal forcing, global glacioisostatic adjustment (GIA) model simulations, and coupled ice sheet-GIA simulations that consider the interactions between these processes. Our results indicate that a warm to cold ocean cavity regime shift is the most likely cause of this grounding line reversal, but that GIA influences the rate of ice sheet response to oceanic changes. This implies that the grounding line here is sensitive to future changes in sub-ice shelf ocean circulation.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Hourly temperature and surface water level at the Ikpikpuk delta from 5/2012 to 11/2012

This data package includes the soil temperature and surface water level observations in 2012 at the Ikpikpuk River delta in northern Alaska. The data file consists of the observation table with both the .xlsx and .csv file formats. The files can be accessed through several software tools, like Microsoft Excel, and text editors. This is raw data from the near-surface ground temperature sensors at 15 cm (active layer) and 100 cm (permafrost) soil depth and a surface water sensor at the Ikpikpuk delta site in Alaska, US. The Ikpikpuk River delta is located on the Arctic Coastal Plain of northern Alaska. The Ikpikpuk River drains a land area of 15,330 km2, emptying into Smith Bay, and the delta is fan-shaped with an aerial extent of 106 km2 (Fuchs et al., 2018). This dataset supports the publication entitled "The thermal response of permafrost to coastal floodplain flooding" submitted to Environmental Research Letters (under review), where the observed water level is used as the upper boundary condition for the model simulations and the observed subsurface temperature is compared with the model simulations to answer the question about how coastal flooding affects permafrost thaw.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗