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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 1,675 records · Page 93
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DOE OSTI2015

Machine Learning Based Multi-Physical-Model Blending for Enhancing Renewable Energy Forecast -- Improvement via Situation Dependent Error Correction

With increasing penetration of solar and wind energy to the total energy supply mix, the pressing need for accurate energy forecasting has become well-recognized. Here we report the development of a machine-learning based model blending approach for statistically combining multiple meteorological models for improving the accuracy of solar/wind power forecast. Importantly, we demonstrate that in addition to parameters to be predicted (such as solar irradiance and power), including additional atmospheric state parameters which collectively define weather situations as machine learning input provides further enhanced accuracy for the blended result. Functional analysis of variance shows that the error of individual model has substantial dependence on the weather situation. The machine-learning approach effectively reduces such situation dependent error thus produces more accurate results compared to conventional multi-model ensemble approaches based on simplistic equally or unequally weighted model averaging. Validation over an extended period of time results show over 30% improvement in solar irradiance/power forecast accuracy compared to forecasts based on the best individual model.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2019

Learning-Based Inversion-Free Model-Data Integration to Advance Ecosystem Model Prediction

Ecosystem model prediction is important for understanding ecosystem responses to climate change and for management support. Model prediction and quantification of predictive uncertainty of ecosystems have long been investigated. The traditional workflow, which calibrates models to match observations and then uses the calibrated models for predictions, relies heavily on inverse modeling to constrain uncertain parameters in complex forward models. This inversion-based prediction approach is infeasible for complex models with heterogeneous parameter uncertainties and incapable of rapid integration of streaming and multiple sources of data because of the difficulty and computational cost in the model inversion, which is typically ill-posed and can require hundreds of thousands of expensive forward simulations to be performed iteratively. We propose to circumvent inverse modeling by precomputing an ensemble of unconstrained forward simulations and then using machine learning (ML) methods to learn the statistical relationship between simulated observation and prediction quantities. Once the ML model has learned the relationship, it can be used to make predictions of future system behavior with uncertainty quantification based on observations. The proposed learningbased inversion-free model prediction (LIMP) framework is computationally efficient which only requires a few thousands of fully parallelizable forward simulations. Additionally, LIMP can continually update predictions based on streaming observations from multiple locations and sources without necessarily requiring extra model simulations. In this study, we apply LIMP to a regional terrestrial ecosystem model with 47 parameters for testing, refining, and evaluating the approach. We demonstrate that LIMP can be used for efficient model prediction, rapid data assimilation, and cost-effective experimental design for improving robust predictive understanding of ecosystems.

Lu, Dan↗
DOE OSTI2023

Bias Correction in Urban Building Energy Modeling for Chicago Using Machine Learning

Urban-scale building energy modeling (UBEM) holds promise for optimizing energy usage across extensive geographic regions. However, there is a recognized bias between simulated energy consumption and actual measured data. This study, based on building data from Chicago, delved into bias correction techniques for enhancing the accuracy of UBEM energy consumption estimates. Initially, the AutoBEM simulation yielded a normalized mean bias error (NMBE) of 1.1% and 51% of Coefficient of the Variation of the Root Mean Square Error (CVRMSE) after outlier exclusion. To address this, three bias correction methods were deployed: Average Mean Bias Error based bias correction, Quantile mapping bias correction, and Machine learning-based bias correction using Linear Regression and Random Forest models. Post-correction results exhibited marked improvement. The NMBE values were diminished to 0 for Average MBE-based, 0.36 for Quantile Mapping, and 0 for Machine Learning-based corrections. Concurrently, the CVRMSE values registered reductions from an original 51 to 50.8 for Quantile Mapping, and 38.56 for Machine Learning-based corrections, pointing towards the effectiveness of specific bias correction methods in refining the precision of UBEM energy predictions. Such accurate estimations are paramount for informed energy planning and urban policy-making.

Chowdhury, Shovan↗
DOE OSTI2021

Entropy and Boundary Based Adversarial Learning for Large Scale Unsupervised Domain Adaptation

Supervised semantic segmentation methods provide state-of-the-art performance, but their performance is limited by the amount of quality labeled data they need for training. Scarcity of labeled data and non-transferablity of models, due to cross-domain discrepancy makes it a bigger challenge for remote sensing imagery analysis. In this work, we approach this problem through adversarial learning, driven by entropy and boundary of region-of-interest for unsupervised domain adaptation. This concept helps with better boundary prediction and encourages target domain entropy maps (probability/uncertainty maps) to be similar to source domains. In particular, we showed that deriving informative entropy through the adversarial learning is essential to enable the adaptation. We used a large scale cross country building extraction dataset to validate the framework. The experimental results show the usefulness of considering boundary and entropy driven adversarial learning for adaptation.

Makkar, Nikhil↗
DOE OSTI2017

Vertex reconstruction of neutrino interactions using deep learning

Deep learning offers new tools to improve our understanding of many important scientific problems. Neutrinos are the most abundant particles in existence and are hypothesized to explain the matter-antimatter asymmetry that dominates our universe. Definitive tests of this conjecture require a detailed understanding of neutrino interactions with a variety of nuclei. Many measurements of interest depend on vertex reconstruction -- finding the origin of a neutrino interaction using data from the detector, which can be represented as images. Traditionally, this has been accomplished by utilizing methods that identify the tracks coming from the interaction. However, these methods are not ideal for interactions where an abundance of tracks and cascades occlude the vertex region. Manual algorithm engineering to handle these challenges is complicated and error prone. Deep learning extracts rich, semantic features directly from raw data, making it a promising solution to this problem. In this work, deep learning models are presented that classify the vertex location in regions meaningful to the domain scientists improving their ability to explore more complex interactions.

Terwilliger, Adam↗
DOE OSTI2021

A Hybrid System for Learning Classical Data in Quantum States

Deep neural network-powered artificial intelligence has rapidly changed our daily life with various applications. However, as one of the essential steps of deep neural networks, training a heavily-weighted network requires a tremendous amount of computing resources. Especially in the post Moore’s Law era, the limit of semiconductor fabrication technology has restricted the development of learning algorithms to cope with the increasing high intensity training data. Meanwhile, quantum computing has exhibited its significant potential in terms of speeding up the traditionally compute-intensive workloads. For example, Google illustrates quantum supremacy by completing a sampling calculation task in 200 seconds, which is otherwise impracticable on the world’s largest supercomputers. To this end, quantum-based learning becomes an area of interest, with the promising of a quantum speedup. In this paper, we propose GenQu, a hybrid and general-purpose quantum framework for learning classical data through quantum states. We evaluate GenQu with real datasets and conduct experiments on both simulations and real quantum computer IBM-Q. Our evaluation demonstrates that, comparing with classical solutions, the proposed models running on GenQu framework achieve similar accuracy with a much smaller number of qubits, while significantly reducing the parameter size by up to 95.86% and converging speedup by 66.67% faster.

Stein, Samuel A.↗
DOE OSTI2026

Adaptive Reinforcement Learning Control for Power Distribution in Multi-Output Resonant Converters

This paper presents an adaptive reinforcement learning (ARL)-based control framework for efficient power distribution in a multi-output resonant converter for UAV applications. The proposed system is based on a high-frequency isolated resonant architecture, where a single energy source supplies multiple propulsion loads through independently controlled output rectifiers, addressing the need for coordinated multi-motor power management. The ARL framework dynamically allocates output power by learning optimal phase-shift control actions under varying load demands and operating conditions. The agent autonomously determines control parameters that maximize conversion efficiency while ensuring accurate power sharing among multiple outputs. In addition, the proposed approach enables adaptive operation without requiring detailed system modeling or manual tuning. Experimental results demonstrate stable and efficient performance over a wide range of operating conditions, confirming the effectiveness and robustness of the learning-based control strategy for multi-output resonant converter system.

Asa, Erdem [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000190884812)↗
DOE OSTI2025

Electrical Load Forecasting Over Multihop Smart Metering Networks With Federated Learning

Electric load forecasting is essential for power management and stability in smart grids. This is mainly achieved via advanced metering infrastructure, where smart meters (SMs) record household energy data. Traditional machine learning (ML) methods are often employed for load forecasting, but require data sharing, which raises data privacy concerns. Federated learning (FL) can address this issue by running distributed ML models at local SMs without data exchange. However, current FL-based approaches struggle to achieve efficient load forecasting due to imbalanced data distribution across heterogeneous SMs. Here, this article presents a novel personalized FL (PFL) method for high-quality load forecasting in metering networks. A meta-learning-based strategy is developed to address data heterogeneity at local SMs in the collaborative training of local load forecasting models. Moreover, to minimize the load forecasting delays in our PFL model, we study a new latency optimization problem based on optimal resource allocation at SMs. A theoretical convergence analysis is also conducted to provide insights into FL design for federated load forecasting. Extensive simulations from real-world datasets show that our method outperforms existing approaches regarding better load forecasting and reduced operational latency costs.

Rahman, Ratun [Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL (U↗
DOE OSTI2024

LossLens: Diagnostics for Machine Learning Through Loss Landscape Visual Analytics

Modern machine learning often relies on optimizing a neural network's parameters using a loss function to learn complex features. Beyond training, examining the loss function with respect to a network's parameters (i.e., as a loss landscape) can reveal insights into the architecture and learning process. While the local structure of the loss landscape surrounding an individual solution can be characterized using a variety of approaches, the global structure of a loss landscape, which includes potentially many local minima corresponding to different solutions, remains far more difficult to conceptualize and visualize. To address this difficulty, we introduce LossLens, a visual analytics framework that explores loss landscapes at multiple scales. LossLens integrates metrics from global and local scales into a comprehensive visual representation, enhancing model diagnostics. Here we demonstrate LossLens through two case studies: visualizing how residual connections influence a ResNet-20, and visualizing how physical parameters influence a physics-informed neural network (PINN) solving a simple convection problem.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2018

Automated Labeling of Electron Microscopy Images Using Deep Learning

© 2018 IEEE. Searching for scientific data requires metadata providing a relevant context. Today, generating metadata is a time and labor intensive manual process that is often neglected, and important datasets are not accessible through search. We investigate the use of machine learning to generalize metadata from a subset of labeled data, thus increasing the availability of meaningful metadata for search. Specifically, we consider electron microscopy images collected at the National Center for Electron Microscopy (NCEM) at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) and use deep learning to discern characteristics from a small subset of labeled images and transfer labels to the entire image corpus. Relatively small training set sizes and a minimum resolution of 512\times 512 pixels required by the application domain pose unique challenges. We overcome these challenges by using a simple yet powerful convolutional network architecture that limits the number of free parameters to lower the required amount of computational power and reduce the risk of overfitting. We achieve a classification accuracy of approximately 80% in discerning between images recorded in two operating modes of the electron microscope-transmission electron microscopy (TEM) and scanning transmission electron microscopy (STEM). We use transfer learning-i.e., re-using the pre-trained convolution layers from the TEM vs. STEM classification problem-to generalize labels and achieve an accuracy of approximately 70 % despite current experiments being limited to small training data sets. We present these predictions as suggestions to domain scientists through a web-based tool to accelerate the labeling process with the goal of further validating our approach and improving the accuracy of automatically created labels.

Weber, Gunther H↗
DOE OSTI2019

Transmission Line Fault Location Using Deep Learning Techniques

This letter presents a novel single-ended fault location approach for transmission lines that uses modern deep learning methods. A mixed convolutional neural network and long short-term memory structure are proposed to preserve the translation invariance and capture the temporal correlation of the time-series input data. Advanced deep learning techniques such as adaptive moment estimation and dropout are used to efficiently train the neural network and prevent over-fitting. Our extensive studies have demonstrated the accuracy and effectiveness of the deep-learning-based, singled-ended fault location approach.

Fan, Rui↗
DOE OSTI2024

Federated Deep Reinforcement Learning for Decentralized VVO of BTM DERs

The future of grid control requires a hybrid approach combining centralized and decentralized methods to fully utilize the potential of smart edge devices with artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities. This paper aims to develop and evaluate a federated deep reinforcement learning (FDRL) framework for decentralized adaptive volt-var optimization (VVO) of behind-the-meter (BTM) distributed energy resources (DERs). First, this paper models a single deep reinforcement learning (DRL) agent using the Markov Decision Process (MDP) framework for decentralized adaptive VVO of BTM DERs. Two DRL algorithms, soft actor-critic (SAC) and twin-delayed deep deterministic policy gradient (TD3), are compared for their effectiveness in optimizing VVO. Results show that TD3 outperforms SAC, achieving a 71.3% improvement in mean reward. Finally, the DRL agent is deployed within the FDRL framework, using the Flower platform, to enhance learning, provide adaptive control, and ensure data privacy for BTM DERs.

Ravi, Abhijith↗
DOE OSTI2026

NeuroCoreX: An Open-Source FPGA-Based Spiking Neural Network Emulator with On-Chip Learning

Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) are computational models inspired by the event-driven communication and connectivity patterns of biological neural circuits. They enable high energy efficiency and natural support for diverse architectures ranging from layered networks to small-world and graphstructured topologies. In this work, we introduce NeuroCoreX, an open-source, FPGA-based spiking neural network emulator that provides real-time, on-chip learning and flexible network organization. NeuroCoreX supports both feedforward sensory inputs streamed directly from sensors or PCs via UART and recurrent on-chip connectivity, enabling simultaneous processing and learning from external stimuli and internal network dynamics-capabilities rarely available in existing FPGA SNN platforms. The system implements a Leaky Integrate-and-Fire (LIF) neuron model with current-based synapses and supports pair-based STDP learning on both feedforward and recurrent synapses. A lightweight Python interface enables interactive configuration, live monitoring, weight read-back, and experiment control. Importantly, NeuroCoreX is tightly integrated with the SuperNeuroMAT simulator, allowing SNN models to be transferred seamlessly from software to hardware for hardware-in-the-loop development. By combining real-time plasticity, flexible connectivity, and an open-source VHDL implementation, NeuroCoreX provides an extensible and accessible platform for neuromorphic research, algorithm-hardware co-design, and energy-efficient edge intelligence.

Gautam, Ashish [ORNL]↗
DOE OSTI2017

Transfer Learning approach to parking lot classification in aerial imagery

The importance of satellite imagery analysis has increased dramatically over the last several years, keeping pace with the rapid improvements seen in both remote sensing platforms and sensors. As this field expands, so too does the interest in using machine learning methods to automate parts of the imagery analyst’s workflow. In this paper we address one aspect of this challenge: the development of a method for the automatic extraction of parking lots from aerial imagery. To the best of our knowledge, there has been no prior work conducted on the development of an end-to-end pipeline for this particular task. Due to the limited size of our dataset and to accommodate the potentially limited size of future datasets, we propose a deep learning approach using transfer learning. This process hinges upon the use of state of the art Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), trained on general image classification datasets. These networks were then fine-tuned on our custom dataset, to establish a comprehensive benchmark for this task. Our method exhibits promising results for automatic parking lot extraction, and is generalizable enough to work with different input types, including high resolution aerial orthoimagery, satellite imagery, full motion video (FMV), and UAV imagery.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Optimization of Distribution Feeder Topology: A Differential Programming Learning Approach

This paper presents a gradient based method for optimizing distribution feeder network topology under load un- certainty. We recast the optimal network reconfiguration problem as a learning problem where edge weights of a graph are learned to produce an optimized spanning tree for a distribution network. Using recent methods published on differentiable programming, we provide a data driven method for learning these weights. We test our method on 100 variations of an IEEE 15-bus test system. Our results show that our method outperforms more traditional mathematical programming-based approaches.

differentiable programming↗
DOE OSTI2018

Online Anomaly Detection Using Machine Learning and HPC for Power System Synchrophasor Measurements

This paper presents an online early anomaly detection framework for phasor measurement units (PMUs) to monitor the power system dynamics and help prevent blackouts using machine learning approaches. Dynamical machine learning solutions including state space model and Kalman filter are conducted in this study to learn the nonlinear and nonstationary PMU measurements and accurately predict system behaviors in real-time. The anomalies can be detected within seconds by comparing the predicted system behaviors with the real system observations. The method proposed in this framework trains PMU data with a given time window (e.g., 5 seconds) using a dynamic nonlinear model, and then predicts system behaviors during the following time window. High prediction accuracy is achieved by applying the dynamic nonlinear model to the real-world PMU measurements – the anomalies detected are successfully validated given the recorded real-world events. High-performance-computing (HPC) techniques are utilized to further reduce computational time to provide real time power system situational awareness.

Ren, Huiying↗
DOE OSTI2025

Balancing Trade-offs: Adaptive Differential Privacy in Interpretable Machine Learning Models

In the advancing field of machine learning, balancing accuracy, interpretability, and privacy represents a significant challenge. The problem is exacerbated by the widespread deployment of pre-trained models locally in diverse applications, which could lead to various amounts of privacy leakage. Conventional Differential Privacy strategies, in which uniform noises are applied to model gradients, guarantee data privacy at the expense of accuracy and interpretability. This paper introduces a Feature-Sensitive Adaptive Differential Privacy (FADP) framework with a unique noise-adding strategy. Noises are adaptively added based on feature importance clustering, where important features are considered for interpretability. By employing a unique masking technique, FADP selectively preserves crucial features with minimal noise interference, maintaining accuracy while enhancing interpretability. The FADP framework addresses the limitations of traditional DP methods by preserving critical channels and improving interpretability — a vital requirement in machine learning applications that demand transparency in model decisions. Through comprehensive testing, FADP is shown to balance the trade-offs among accuracy, privacy, and interpretability, marking a substantial advancement in the field of privacy-preserving machine learning.

Farhad Riya, Farhin [University of Tennessee, Knox↗
DOE OSTI2025

Active Learning Surrogates for Integrating Electron Microscopy and Computational Insights from Simulations in Autonomous Experiments

Artificial Intelligence (AI) combined with simulations and experiments has great potential to accelerate scientific discovery across technology and pharmaceuticals. However, the gap between simulations and experiments is challenging due to disparities in time and scale, making it difficult to estimate properties like energy and electronic states from experiments, and to provide feedback based on theoretical insights.Our research addresses the challenge by developing unique deep kernel based surrogate models that learns from microscopic images, mapping structural features to energy differences from defect formation. We start with full-training using simulated images to determine optimal settings, establishing a baseline for active learning. Using these settings from the baseline, active learning is trained, and predicts structures along simulation trajectories based on uncertainty and energetic stability, thus reducing data requirements, simulation time and computational costs. The results demonstrate that the model achieves a low average error margin of approximately 0.03 meV, indicating good performance. To enhance feature extraction and reconstruction capabilities, we developed an autoencoder-decoder as additional surrogate to create latent space to capture essential features, enabling precise comparisons between simulations and experiments. The results from this model achieved a reconstruction loss of around 0.2 and accurately reconstructed molecular structures.Overall, this work advances the steering of experiments through computational simulations by employing a surrogate models that actively predicts the trajectories of structural evolution, achieving time-to-solution comparable to experimental measurements.

Saranathan, Gayathri [Hewlett-Packard]↗