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At least 1,675 records · Page 93

Low-thrust mission risk analysis, with application to a 1980 rendezvous with the comet Encke

A computerized failure process simulation procedure is used to evaluate the risk in a solar electric space mission. The procedure uses currently available thrust-subsystem reliability data and performs approximate simulations of the thrust sybsystem burn operation, the system failure processes, and the retargeting operations. The method is applied to assess the risks in carrying out a 1980 rendezvous mission to the comet Encke. Analysis of the results and evaluation of the effects of various risk factors on the mission show that system component failure rates are the limiting factors in attaining a high mission relability. It is also shown that a well-designed trajectory and system operation mode can be used effectively to partially compensate for unreliable thruster performance.

Yen, C. L.↗

In-situ Detection of Glovebox Glove Degradation Prior to Glove Failure; Effects on Safety, Waste, and Operational Costs - 20402

Glovebox glove pressure decay leak testing and analysis of the data can greatly improve glovebox safety, minimize Transuranic (TRU) glove waste, and minimize operational cost. It is well known, the weakest point of containment on a glovebox is the glove. Mitigating unplanned openings in gloves is critical to minimizing operational and safety costs in glovebox operations. Mitigating unplanned glove openings due to glove failures will be discussed in this paper. The lack of an engineered solution to determine a gloves operational life in nuclear operations, has lead to use of theoretical and manual subjective methods to determine the life and safety of a glovebox glove. Whether the glove is inspected visually prior to use, or gloves are changed regularly to theoretically avoid failure, both the operators PPE and the room are being exposed to contamination, or un-necessary amounts of TRU glove waste are being generated. Millions of dollars yearly in operational costs are spent on glove failures due to loss of production, incident analysis, regulatory audits, clean up, and paperwork. In a nuclear application, a glove failure could contaminate an operator and laboratory, shut down the operation for weeks, potentially create a regulatory audit, and potentially create a media frenzy; the damages to the organization can be astronomical. Elimination of glove failures is possible by tracking glove material degradation and setting limits to allow glove change when it becomes necessary, prior to glove failure. Analytical pressure decay leak testing allows the detection of material degradation, and in turn the ability to limit operational glove failures. A German based company called MK Versuchsanlagen, e.K., has developed an advanced Glove Integrity Testing System. The system, with its use of proprietary RFID and special software technology, is unique in its capabilities. The system is capable to perform highly accurate regular glove testing on any size glovebox line in minimal time. The system records and can analyze a tremendous amount of system data that in turn can determine, for example, a safe glove change time prior to a glove material failure. This paper will show how an advanced Glove Integrity Testing System can detect glove material degradation and help determine a safe change point prior to glove failure. Pressure decay curves of new gloves and recorded effects of accelerated aging on the glove over time will be shown. The use of this technology in nuclear facilities can greatly improve glovebox operational safety, minimize glovebox glove TRU waste, and save organizations tremendous costs in downtime, clean up, documentation, and potential regulatory review. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

A Survey of Logic Formalisms to Support Mishap Analysis

Mishap investigations provide important information about adverse events and near miss incidents. They are intended to help avoid any recurrence of previous failures. Over time, they can also yield statistical information about incident frequencies that helps to detect patterns of failure and can validate risk assessments. However, the increasing complexity of many safety critical systems is posing new challenges for mishap analysis. Similarly, the recognition that many failures have complex, systemic causes has helped to widen the scope of many mishap investigations. These two factors have combined to pose new challenges for the analysis of adverse events. A new generation of formal and semi-formal techniques have been proposed to help investigators address these problems. We introduce the term mishap logics to collectively describe these notations that might be applied to support the analysis of mishaps. The proponents of these notations have argued that they can be used to formally prove that certain events created the necessary and sufficient causes for a mishap to occur. These proofs can be used to reduce the bias that is often perceived to effect the interpretation of adverse events. Others have argued that one cannot use logic formalisms to prove causes in the same way that one might prove propositions or theorems. Such mechanisms cannot accurately capture the wealth of inductive, deductive and statistical forms of inference that investigators must use in their analysis of adverse events. This paper provides an overview of these mishap logics. It also identifies several additional classes of logic that might also be used to support mishap analysis.

Johnson, Chris↗

Rotordynamic Characteristics of the HPOTP (High Pressure Oxygen Turbopump) of the SSME (Space Shuttle Main Engine)

Rotational stability of turbopump components in the space shuttle main engine was studied via analysis of component and structural dynamic models. Subsynchronous vibration caused unacceptable migration of the rotor/housing unit with unequal load sharing of the synchronous bearings that resulted in the failure of the High Pressure Oxygen Turbopump. Linear analysis shows that a shrouded inducer eliminates the second critical speed and the stability problem, a stiffened rotor improves the rotordynamic characteristics of the turbopump, and installing damper boost/impeller seals reduces bearing loads. Nonlinear analysis shows that by increasing the "dead band' clearances, a marked reduction in peak bearing loads occurs.

Childs, D. W.↗

Utilizing 3D-DIC on Mars 2020 Rover Wheel Assembly: Test-Analysis Correlation

Following the successful implementation of full-field photogrammetry, more specifically three-dimensional Digital Image Correlation (3D-DIC), on the Mars 2020 Heat Shield Structural Failure Review assessment, 3D-DIC was selected as one of the primary measurement techniques for the Mars 2020 Rover wheel assembly qualification test at the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL). To validate the Rover wheel landing loads simulations, it was extremely important to have high confidence in the wheel models. Due to the large deformations and strains that the wheel would be subject to during landing, traditional instrumentation such as linear variable displacement transducers (LVDTs), electrical-resistance strain gages and string potentiometers, would not be sufficient on their own to provide all the necessary validation data. Therefore, the NASA Engineering and Safety Center (NESC) provided the 3D-DIC expertise and support to measure the high deformation and strain in the wheel flexures and qualify the overall structural response of the Mars 2020 rover wheel assembly. There were two key objectives for the photogrammetry technique: (1) monitor the wheel response in real-time, guarding against anomalous behavior and failure, and (2) provide test data for test-analysis correlation to validate and/or improve the high-fidelity computational model. The contents of this paper will focus on the challenges of applying 3D-DIC to the Mars 2020 Rover wheel assembly and how these challenges were overcome. Examples of test-analysis correlation during the stiffness characterization and structural qualification will be presented and discussed in detail. Experimental results were compared with the analysis and showed excellent agreement between the predicted behavior and helped validate the high-fidelity models.

Mars 2020 Rover Wheel↗

JPL Test Effectiveness Analysis

1) The pilot study provided meaningful conclusions that are generally consistent with the earlier Test Effectiveness work done between 1992 and 1994: a) Analysis of pre-launch problem/failure reports is consistent with earlier work. b) Analysis of post-launch early mission anomaly reports indicates that there are more software issues in newer missions, and the no-test category for identification of post-launch failures is more significant than in the earlier analysis. 2) Future work includes understanding how differences in Missions effect these analyses: a) There are large variations in the number of problem reports and issues that are documented by the different Projects/Missions. b) Some missions do not have any reported environmental test anomalies, even though environmental tests were performed. 3) Each project/mission has different standards and conventions for filling out the PFR forms, the industry may wish to address this issue: a) Existing problem reporting forms are to document and track problems, failures, and issues (etc.) for the projects, to ensure high quality. b) Existing problem reporting forms are not intended for data mining.

failure cause↗

Full-field quantitative visualization of shock-driven pore collapse and failure modes in PMMA

The dynamic collapse of pores under shock loading is thought to be directly related to hot spot generation and material failure, which is critical to the performance of porous energetic and structural materials. However, the shock compression response of porous materials at the local, individual pore scale is not well understood. This study examines, quantitatively, the collapse phenomenon of a single spherical void in PMMA at shock stresses ranging from 0.4 to 1.0 GPa. Using a newly developed internal digital image correlation technique in conjunction with plate impact experiments, full-field quantitative deformation measurements are conducted in the material surrounding the collapsing pore for the first time. The experimental results reveal two failure mode transitions as shock stress is increased: (i) the first in situ evidence of shear localization via adiabatic shear banding and (ii) dynamic fracture initiation at the pore surface. Numerical simulations using thermo-viscoplastic dynamic finite element analysis provide insights into the formation of adiabatic shear bands (ASBs) and stresses at which failure mode transitions occur. Further numerical and theoretical modeling indicates the dynamic fracture to occur along the weakened material inside an adiabatic shear band. Finally, analysis of the evolution of pore asymmetry and models for ASB spacing elucidate the mechanisms for the shear band initiation sites, and elastostatic theory explains the experimentally observed ASB and fracture paths based on the directions of maximum shear.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Reliability analysis of Skylab ATM solar cell modules

A detailed reliability analysis was performed on both types of Skylab Apollo telescope mount solar cell modules. Failure rates used were based on testing of several modules of each type for over 4000 thermal cycles. The analysis delineated several important differences between the failure modes of the two differently designed solar cell modules, and, more importantly, showed that the modules can be expected to meet all mission requirements.

Jones, G. M.↗

Analysis of 7- X 10-foot high speed wind tunnel shaft loads in support of fan blade failure investigation

This is a report of the investigation of the High-Speed 7- X 10-Foot Wind Tunnel at NASA Langley Research Center, which experienced a catastrophic failure of all 18 Sitka spruce fan blades during operation at 0.8 Mach number on 2 July 1985. The High-Speed Tunnel, a closed-circuit/single-return atmospheric wind tunnel, had been operated since 1945 to support a wide range of subsonic aerodynamic tests and studies. The failed blade set had been in use since 1975. In addition to blade loss, the most significant damage was a bent main drive shaft for a total estimated damage loss of 1.7 million dollars. An analysis of the natural frequency characteristics as well as loads, reactions, stresses, and deflections of the fan drive system resulting from steady-state and dynamic loads due to unbalance was performed. Transient load cases were simulated by step input and ramp input loading functions intended to simulate the loss of one to nine blades (maximum unbalance forces).

Faison, Richard W.↗

Effect of Substrate Surface Finish on the Lubrication and Failure Mechanisms of Molybdenum Disulfide Films

An optical microscope was used to study the lubrication and failure mechanisms of rubbed (burnished) MoS2 films applied to three substrate surface finishes - polished, sanded, and sandblasted - as a function of sliding distance. The lubrication mechanism was the plastic flow of thin films of MoS2 between flat plateaus on the rider and on the metallic substrate. If the substrates were rough, flat plateaus were created during 'run in' and the MoS2 flowed across them. Wear life was extended by increasing surface roughness since valleys in the roughened substrate served as reservoirs for MoS2 and a deposit site for wear debris. In moist air, the failure mechanism was the transformation of metallic colored MoS2 films to a black, powdery material that was found by X ray diffraction to consist primarily of alpha iron and MoO3 powders. In dry argon, the failure mechanism was the gradual depletion of the MoS2 film from the contact region by transverse flow. Analysis of the wear debris on the wear track at failure showed it consisted mainly of alpha iron and some residual MoS2. No molybdenum oxides were found.

Fusaro, R. L.↗

Effect of substrate surface finish on the lubrication and failure mechanisms of molybdenum disulfide films

An optical microscope was used to study the lubrication and failure mechanisms of rubbed (burnished) MoS2 films applied to three substrate surface finishes - polished, sanded, and sandblasted - as a function of sliding distance. The lubrication mechanism was the plastic flow of thin films of MoS2 between flat plateaus on the rider and on the metallic substrate. If the substrate was rough, flat plateaus were created during 'run-in' and the MoS2 flowed across them. Wear life was extended by increasing surface roughness since valleys in the roughened substrate served as reservoirs for MoS2 and a deposit site for wear debris. In moist air, the failure mechanism was the transformation of metallic-colored MoS2 films to a black, powdery material that was found by X-ray diffraction to consist primarily of alpha-iron and MoO3 powders. In dry argon, the failure mechanism was the gradual depletion of the MoS2 film from the contact region by transverse flow. Analysis of the wear debris on the wear track at failure showed it consisted mainly of alpha-iron and some residual MoS2. No molybdenum oxides were found.

Fusaro, R. L.↗

An evaluation of fracture analysis methods

The results of an experimental and predictive round robin on the applications of fracture analysis methods are presented. The objective of the round robin was to verify whether fracture analysis methods currently in use can or cannot predict failure loads on complex structural components containing cracks. Fracture results from tests on a number of compact specimens were used to make the predictions. The accuracy of the prediction methods was evaluated in terms of the variation in the ratio of predicted to experimental failure loads, and the predictions methods are ranked in order of minimum standard error. A range of applicability of the different methods was also considered in assessing their usefulness. For 7075-T651 aluminum alloy, the best methods were: the effective K sub R curve; the critical crack-tip opening displacement (CTOD) criterion using a finite element analysis; and the K sub R curve with the Dugdale model. For the 2024-T351 aluminum alloy, the best methods included: the two-parameter fracture criterion (TPFC); the CTOD parameter using finite element analysis; the K-curve with the Dugdale model; the deformation plasticity failure assessment diagram (DPFAD); and the effective K sub R curve with a limit load condition. For 304 stainless steel, the best methods were the limit load analysis; the CTOD criterion using finite-element analysis TPFC and DPFAD. Some sample experimental results are given in an appendix.

Newman, J. C., Jr.↗

On the robustness of a Bayes estimate

This paper examines the robustness of a Bayes estimator with respect to the assigned prior distribution. A Bayesian analysis for a stochastic scale parameter of a Weibull failure model is summarized in which the natural conjugate is assigned as the prior distribution of the random parameter. The sensitivity analysis is carried out by the Monte Carlo method in which, although an inverted gamma is the assigned prior, realizations are generated using distribution functions of varying shape. For several distributional forms and even for some fixed values of the parameter, simulated mean squared errors of Bayes and minimum variance unbiased estimators are determined and compared. Results indicate that the Bayes estimator remains squared-error superior and appears to be largely robust to the form of the assigned prior distribution.

Canavos, G. C.↗

A new ply model for interlaminar stress analysis

An accurate estimate of interlaminar stresses is crucial to understanding, as well as predicting, many delamination-related failures in composite materials. A new model for ply-level sublaminate analysis is presented and applied. The homogeneous plate theory developed earlier by the authors (Valisetty and Rehfield, 1983) is further refined, and the equations are reduced appropriately for the classical finite-width free-edge laminate elasticity problem and a related delamination crack growth problem. It is applied to the laminate on a ply-by-ply basis. This theory incorporates all the essential physical effects and appears to be an adequate model for predicting the behavior of individual layers in equilibrium. On the basis of the number of equations and boundary conditions required for the implementation of layer equilibrium, this theory also appears to be the simplest of its kind presented so far. The stress induced in the free-edge region of a (0,90,90,0) laminate in uniform extension and the energy release rates for the delamination between the -30 deg and 90 deg plies of a (+, -30,+, -30, 90,90)s laminate are computed using the new analysis. The results are in excellent agreement with the existing numerical solutions. The new ply behavioral model appears to be very promising; it yields stresses and displacements that are statically and kinematically compatible at interlaminar surfaces.

Rao Valisetty, R.↗

A Study of Failure Criteria of Fibrous Composite Materials

The research described in this paper is focused on two areas: (1) evaluation of existing composite failure criteria in the nonlinear, explicit transient dynamic finite element code, MSC.Dytran, and (2) exploration of the possibilities for modification of material and failure models to account for large deformations, progressive failure, and interaction of damage accumulation with stress/strain response of laminated composites. Following a review of the MSC.Dytran user manual, a bibliographical review of existing failure criteria of composites was performed. The papers considered most interesting for the objective of this report are discussed in section 2. The failure criteria included in the code under consideration are discussed in section 3. A critical summary of the present procedures to perform analysis and design of composites is presented in section 4. A study of the most important historical failure criteria for fibrous composite materials and some of the more recent modifications proposed were studied. The result of this analysis highlighted inadequacies in the existing failure criteria and the need to perform some numerical analyses to elucidate the answer to questions on which some of the proposed criteria are based. A summary of these ideas, which is a proposal of studies to be developed, is presented in section 5. Finally, some ideas for future developments are summarized in section 6.

Paris, Federico↗

Application of advanced reliability methods to local strain fatigue analysis

When design factors are considered as random variables and the failure condition cannot be expressed by a closed form algebraic inequality, computations of risk (or probability of failure) might become extremely difficult or very inefficient. This study suggests using a simple, and easily constructed, second degree polynomial to approximate the complicated limit state in the neighborhood of the design point; a computer analysis relates the design variables at selected points. Then a fast probability integration technique (i.e., the Rackwitz-Fiessler algorithm) can be used to estimate risk. The capability of the proposed method is demonstrated in an example of a low cycle fatigue problem for which a computer analysis is required to perform local strain analysis to relate the design variables. A comparison of the performance of this method is made with a far more costly Monte Carlo solution. Agreement of the proposed method with Monte Carlo is considered to be good.

Wu, T. T.↗

Advanced reliability method for fatigue analysis

When design factors are considered as random variables and the failure condition cannot be expressed by a closed form algebraic inequality, computations of risk (or probability of failure) may become extremely difficult or very inefficient. This study suggests using a simple and easily constructed second degree polynomial to approximate the complicated limit state in the neighborhood of the design point; a computer analysis relates the design variables at selected points. Then a fast probability integration technique (i.e., the Rackwitz-Fiessler algorithm) can be used to estimate risk. The capability of the proposed method is demonstrated in an example of a low cycle fatigue problem for which a computer analysis is required to perform local strain analysis to relate the design variables. A comparison of the performance of this method is made with a far more costly Monte Carlo solution. Agreement of the proposed method with Monte Carlo is considered to be good.

Wu, Y.-T.↗

Exploring the Performance Boundaries of a Small Reconfigurable Multi-Mission UAV through Multidisciplinary Analysis

The performance of a small reconfigurable unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) is evaluated, combining a multidisciplinary approach in the computational analysis of additive manufactured structures, fluid dynamics, and experiments. Reconfigurable UAVs promise cost savings and efficiency, without sacrificing performance, while demonstrating versatility to fulfill different mission profiles. The use of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) in UAV design produces higher accuracy aerodynamic data, which is particularly important for complex aircraft concepts such as blended wing bodies. To address challenges relating to anisotropic materials, the Tsai–Wu failure criterion is applied to the structural analysis, using CFD solutions as load inputs. Aerodynamic performance results show the low-speed variant attains an endurance of 1 h, 48 min, whereas its high-speed counterpart is 29 min at a 66.7% higher cruise speed. Each variant serves different aspects of small UAS deployment, with low speed envisioned for high-endurance surveying, and high speed for long-range or time-critical missions such as delivery. The experimental and simulation results suggest room for design iteration, in wing area and geometry adjustments. Structural simulations demonstrated the need for airframe improvements to the low-speed configuration. This paper highlights the potential of reconfigurable UAVs to be useful across multiple industries, advocating for further research and design improvements.

42 ENGINEERING↗