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At least 1,675 records · Page 93

Dark Energy Survey Year 3 Results: Cosmological constraints from second- and third-order shear statistics

Here, we present a cosmological analysis of the third-order aperture mass statistic using Dark Energy Survey Year 3 (DES Y3) data. We perform a complete tomographic measurement of the three-point correlation function of the Y3 weak lensing shape catalog with the four fiducial source redshift bins. Building upon our companion methodology paper, we apply a pipeline that combines the two-point function ξ ± with the mass aperture skewness statistic ⟨ M ap 3 ⟩ , which is an efficient compression of the full shear three-point function. We use a suite of simulated shear maps to obtain a joint covariance matrix. By jointly analyzing ξ ± and ⟨ M ap 3 ⟩ measured from DES Y3 data with a Λ CDM model, we find S 8 = 0.780 ± 0.015 and Ω m = 0.26 6 - 0.040 + 0.039 , yielding 111% of figure-of-merit improvement in the Ω m - S 8 plane relative to ξ ± alone, consistent with expectations from simulated likelihood analyses. With a w CDM model, we find S 8 = 0.74 9 - 0.026 + 0.027 and w 0 = - 1.39 ± 0.31 , which gives an improvement of 22% on the joint S 8 - w 0 constraint. Our results are consistent with w 0 = - 1 . Our new constraints are compared to CMB data from the Planck satellite, and we find that with the inclusion of ⟨ M ap 3 ⟩ the existing tension between the datasets is at the level of 2.3 σ . We show that the third-order statistic enables us to self-calibrate the mean photometric redshift uncertainty parameter of the highest redshift bin with little degradation in the figure of merit. Our results demonstrate the constraining power of higher-order lensing statistics and establish ⟨ M ap 3 ⟩ as a practical observable for joint analyses in current and future surveys.

Gomes, R. C. H. [University of Pennsylvania] (ORCI↗

A Priority-Based Control Strategy and Performance Bound for Aggregated HVAC-Based Load Shaping

Air conditioning systems have been recognized as a potential, cost-effective resource for shaping electrical load in a power system. This work presents a new priority-based control strategy that explicitly addresses three requirements for using a collection of air conditioning units in this capacity. These are 1) tracking a regulation signal, 2) maintaining the building temperature near its set point, and 3) satisfying a cycling constraint of the air conditioners. After introducing the control strategy, we derive a bound for the regulation signal within which tracking is guaranteed while also satisfying the temperature requirement. These results are illustrated with simulations.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Heat Pumps with Phase Change Thermal Storage: Flexible, Efficient, and Electrification Friendly

As we continue to electrify space- and water-heating, the electricity demand profile of many buildings will change significantly, and periods of high electricity demand will likely not align with renewable energy generation. We expect electricity demands will increase substantially in the winter, annual maximum electricity demands will increase, and more regions will experience annual peak electrical demands – and higher wholesale electricity prices – in the winter. This is especially important for cold climates where 60% of site energy use in buildings is for heating, and where heat pumps perform least efficiently. This paper focuses on one promising solution among the many paths to electrification: the use of phase change materials (PCM) for compact low-cost thermal energy storage (TES). We present the design and simulation of a combi heat pump and phase change thermal storage system used for space- and water-heating in a multifamily residence in a cold climate. To assess the benefits of this technology, we compare its annual performance to that of a current state-of-the-art air-to-air heat pump and separate heat pump water heater. Simulation results for IECC Climate Zone 6A reveal that the combi heat pump with phase change thermal storage can reduce the design size for heat pumps by 40-60%, reduce maximum electric demand by 30-50%, reduce electricity use during 4-12-hour load shed periods by 50%, and avoid the need for auxiliary electric resistance for both space- and water-heating. Tariff structures are highly varied between different utilities and currently reflect higher wholesale market prices for electricity during summer days. Consequently, although this system design provides large electric demand reductions during hypothetical 4-12-hour load shed periods, it does not provide energy cost reductions with current winter residential time-of-use tariffs.

Helmns, Dre↗

Beam-Based Target Alignment for Mu2e

The Mu2e Experiment is a precision experiment at Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory, searching for charged lepton flavor violation (CLFV) in the conversion of a muon to an electron in the presence of an atomic nucleus. In order to achieve the expected single-event sensitivity of $3\times 10^{-17}$ , Mu2e will require an intense muon beam, generated via pion decay. These pions are the product of a proton beam striking a radiatively-cooled tungsten target. In order to maximize pion production and prevent target failure, the beam will have to be aligned with the target center to within 0.5 mm. The production target monitor (PTM) will ensure this alignment. The PTM consists of a series of proportional wire chambers (PWC’s) upstream and downstream of the production target. In this dissertation, I explain the requirements of this detector system and derive the decisions about which detector model to use and how they should be arranged from these requirements. After this, I describe my e xperience building the detectors and show an early use for them in the Mu2e proton beam. I also performed a study of the sensitivity and time resolution of this model of PWC and its electronics, and give the results here. I then describe a series of simulation campaigns which shed light on the interactions between the beam and the target, and how these interactions manifest on the downstream detectors. Finally, I give the target scanning procedure to be used to align the beam and target during experiment start up.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Statistical Downscaling of Climate Models for Solar Resource Assessment

This study presents the development of statistical models to efficiently downscale future projections of solar irradiance for solar energy applications. A climate data set simulated from a Regional Climate Model (RCM) obtained from the North American Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (NA-CORDEX) is selected as input to the statistical models to create high-resolution global horizontal irradiance (GHI) over the contiguous United States (CONUS). Our approach builds statistical downscaling models that (1) regrid RCM data (0.22 degree and daily spatiotemporal resolution), (2) correct bias of GHI projections, (3) downscale the future GHI project from daily-scale to hourly-scale, and (4) spatially downscale to generate GHI at 8-km resolution. To calibrate and validate the statistical models, we adapt and use the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB). Preliminary results show that the statistical downscaling approach downscales future projections of GHI under two climate scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) with a nBIAS of 3%, nMAE of 34% and nRMSE of 46% estimated against NSRDB for the contiguous United State. This presentation will summarize the implemented methodology and validation results as well as future extension of this research.

climate data↗

A stress-sensitive precipitate nucleation model beyond classical nucleation theory

The dynamic evolution of precipitates and second phases dictates the strength and stability of most engineering alloys. By design, or as a consequence of thermo-mechanical aging, engineering metals and alloys often form precipitates of second phases when subjecting to diverse thermal and mechanical loads. Precipitation is governed by several factors, including the alloy’s composition, processing/operating temperature, and stresses — either as a result of external loads or from residual stresses. However, state-of-the-art models for precipitate nucleation (i.e., classical nucleation theory) typically lacks consistent method to capture the effects of externally applied and/or internal stresses on nucleation; thereby severely limiting the applicability of these models to complex materials systems and to representative loading scenarios. Here, in this work, we extend upon classical nucleation theory to account for the effect of stresses on precipitation kinetics and thermodynamics. This is achieved via the use of an Eshelbian micromechanics framework keeping track of (i) the stress build up resulting from second phase formation as a function of mechanical load and, (ii) the effects of dislocations on precipitate formation. This new model is applied to σ precipitate in Fe–Cr binary alloys and M 23 C 6 precipitate in 316H stainless steel (SS). Simulations demonstrate the important role of both the remotely applied loads and dislocation pile ups on precipitate nucleation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The Role of Dimer Formation in the Nucleation of Superlattice Transformations and Its Impact on Disorder

The formation of defect-free two-dimensional nanocrystal (NC) superstructures remains a challenge as persistent defects hinder charge delocalization and related device performance. Understanding defect formation is an important step toward developing strategies to mitigate their formation. However, specific mechanisms of defect formation are difficult to determine, as superlattice phase transformations that occur during fabrication are quite complex and there are a variety of factors influencing the disorder in the final structure. Here, we use Molecular Dynamics (MD) and electron microscopy in concert to investigate the nucleation of the epitaxial attachment of lead chalcogenide (PbX, where X = S, Se) NC assemblies. We use an updated implementation of an existing reactive force field in an MD framework to investigate how initial orientational (mis)alignment of the constituent building blocks impacts the final structure of the epitaxially connected superlattice. This Simple Molecular Reactive Force Field (SMRFF) captures both short-range covalent forces and long-range electrostatic forces and allows us to follow orientational and translational changes of NCs during superlattice transformation. Our simulations reveal how robust the oriented attachment is with regard to the initial configuration of the NCs, measuring its sensitivity to both in-plane and out-of-plane misorientation. We show that oriented attachment nucleates through the initial formation of dimers, which corroborate experimentally observed structures. We present high-resolution structural analysis of dimers at early stages of the superlattice transformation and rationalize their contribution to the formation of defects in the final superlattice. Collectively, the simulations and experiments presented in this paper provide insights into the nucleation of NC oriented attachment, the impact of the initial configuration of NCs on the structural fidelity of the final epitaxially connected superlattice, and the propensity to form commonly observed defects, such as missing bridges and atomic misalignment in the superlattice due to the formation of dimers. Here, we present potential strategies to mitigate the formation of superlattice defects.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Generative deep-learning reveals collective variables of Fermionic systems

Complex processes of fermionic systems ranging from protein folding to nuclear fission often follow a low-dimensional reaction path parametrized in terms of a few collective variables. In nuclear theory, variables related to the shape of the nuclear density in a mean-field picture are key to describing the large amplitude collective motion of the neutrons and protons. Exploring the adiabatic energy landscape spanned by these degrees of freedom reveals the possible reaction channels while simulating the dynamics in this reduced space yields their respective probabilities. Unfortunately, this theoretical framework breaks down whenever the systems encounters a quantum phase transition with respect to the collective variables. Here, in this study, we introduce a novel generative deep-learning algorithm designed to build reaction paths that ensure that the many-fermion wave function stays differentiable with respect to the collective variables. This approach is applicable to any fermionic system described by a coherent state. We use the case of potential energy curves in the 16 O nucleus within the Hartree-Fock theory to illustrate its main features.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

A Machine Learning-based Approach to Predict the Aggregate Flexibility of HVAC Systems

Use of renewable energy resources can play a significant role in mitigation of climate change since they reduce the dependency on fossil fuels. However, high penetration of renewable energy resources into the power grid may cause some reliability problems. Ancillary services are key to realize the potential of renewable resources without disturbing the grid reliability. In recent years, many control approaches focused on exploiting the aggregate flexible heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) loads of buildings. However, there are still research gaps in assessing in advance the resulting indoor temperature responses for given total power and weather profiles before implementing the controls in the buildings. Such an assessment is critical to guarantee satisfying both the grid related objective (reliability) and the building related objective (occupants' comfort). Towards addressing this research gap, this paper presents a machine-learning approach for predicting the ratings of indoor temperature responses. In this approach, a prediction model was developed using a dataset generated by a set of model-free control simulations. The developed model achieved high prediction accuracy and showed the potential of the proposed approach.

Amasyali, Kadir↗

Embracing fine-root system complexity in terrestrial ecosystem modeling

Projecting the dynamics and functioning of the biosphere requires a holistic consideration of whole-ecosystem processes. However, biases toward leaf, canopy, and soil modeling since the 1970s have constantly left fine-root systems being rudimentarily treated. As accelerated empirical advances in the last two decades establish clearly functional differentiation conferred by the hierarchical structure of fine-root orders and associations with mycorrhizal fungi, a need emerges to embrace this complexity to bridge the data-model gap in still extremely uncertain models. In this work, we propose a three-pool structure comprising transport and absorptive fine roots with mycorrhizal fungi (TAM) to model vertically resolved fine-root systems across organizational and spatial–temporal scales. Emerging from a conceptual shift away from arbitrary homogenization, TAM builds upon theoretical and empirical foundations as an effective and efficient approximation that balances realism and simplicity. A proof-of-concept demonstration of TAM in a big-leaf model both conservatively and radically shows robust impacts of differentiation within fine-root systems on simulating carbon cycling in temperate forests. Theoretical and quantitative support warrants exploiting its rich potentials across ecosystems and models to confront uncertainties and challenges for a predictive understanding of the biosphere. Echoing a broad trend of embracing ecological complexity in integrative ecosystem modeling, TAM may offer a consistent framework where modelers and empiricists can work together toward this grand goal.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Status of Modifications to the AGR-3/4 Fission Product Transport Model

A one-dimensional (1D) finite-element model of the AGR 3/4 experiment fission product distributions based on the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework has been revised and implemented within BISON, with improvements which allow for detailed temperature histories to be used for analyses. Empirically determined concentration profiles and ring inventories from the AGR-3/4 experiment have been compiled for comparison purposes. Ongoing efforts to build fission product diffusion models which can describe the applicable physics for isotopic concentration profiles in each AGR-3/4 capsule are discussed, as well as the suitability of each isotopic concentration profile in each capsule for obtaining transport parameters.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Simulation-Based Design and Optimization of Waste Heat Recovery Systems

This fact sheet features an R&D project that will develop a modeling platform that can quantify the value of a district energy system and its potential for waste heat recovery. The new software analysis platform will evaluate and optimize district energy systems to better utilize low-temperature waste heat from nearby commercial and industrial buildings. The platform will help project developers and engineers easily quantify the potential value and cost savings of community energy systems for both producers and consumers of waste heat.

Combined heat and power, CHP, District energy, Was↗

Cladding Profilometry Analysis of Experimental Breeder Reactor-II Metallic Fuel Pins with HT9, D9, and SS316 Cladding

BISON finite element method fuel performance simulations were conducted using an existing automated process that couples the Fuels Irradiation & Physics Database (FIPD) and the Integral Fast Reactor Materials Information System database by writing input files and comparing the BISON output to post-irradiation fuel pin profilometry measurements contained within the databases. The importance of this work is to demonstrate the ability to benchmark fuel performance metallic fuel models within BISON using Experimental Breeder Reactor-II fuel pin data for a number of similar pins, while building off previous modeling efforts. Changes to the generic BISON input file include implementing pin specific axial power and flux profiles, pin specific fluences, frictional contact, and irradiation-induced volumetric swelling models for cladding. A statistical analysis of irradiation-induced volumetric swelling models for HT9, D9, and SS316 was performed for experiments X421/X421A, X441/X441A, and X486. Between these three experiments, there were 174 post-irradiation examination (PIE) profilometries used for validating the swelling models presented using a standard error of the estimate (SEE) method. Implementation of the volumetric swelling models for D9 and SS316 claddings was found to have a significant impact on the BISON profilometry simulated, where HT9 clad pins had an insignificant change due to low fluence values. BISON profilometry simulated for HT9, D9, and SS316 fuel pins agreed with PIE profilometry measurements, with assembly SEE values being 4.4 × 10−3 for X421A, 2.0 × 10−3 for X441A, and 2.8 × 10−3 for X486. D9 clad pins in X421/X421A had the highest SEE values, which is due to the BISON simulated profilometry being shifted axially. While this work accomplished its purpose to demonstrate the modeling of multiple fuel pins from the databases to help validate models, the results suggest that the continued development of metallic fuel models is necessary for qualifying new metallic fuel systems to better capture some physical performance phenomena, such as the hot pressing of U-Pu-Zr and the fuel cladding chemical interaction.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Respiration Signal Pattern Analysis for Doppler Radar Sensor with Passive Node and Its Application in Occupancy Sensing of a Stationary Subject

Doppler radar node occupancy sensors are promising for applications in smart buildings due to their simple circuits and price advantage compared to quadrature radar sensors. However, single-channel sensitivity limitations may result in low sensitivity and misinterpreted motion rates if the detected subject is at or close to “null” points. We designed and tested a novel method to eliminate such limits, demonstrating that passive nodes can be used to detect a sedentary person regardless of position. This method is based on characteristics of chest motion due to respiration, found via both simulations and experiments based on a sinusoidal model and a more realistic model of cardiorespiratory motion. In addition, respiratory rate variability is considered to distinguish a true human presence from a mechanical target. Sensor node data were collected simultaneously with an infrared camera system, which provided a respiration signal reference, to test the algorithm with 19 human subjects and a mechanical target. The results indicate that a human presence was detected with 100% accuracy and successfully differentiated from a mechanical target in a controlled environment. The developed method can greatly improve the occupancy detection accuracy of single-channel radar-based occupancy sensors and facilitate their adoption in smart building applications.

Song, Chenyan↗

Primary Velocity and Orbital Phase Effects on Planetary Detectability from Small Epoch Number Data Sets

Cross-correlation analyses of high-resolution spectroscopic data have recently shown great success in directly detecting planetary signals and enabling the characterization of their atmospheres. One such technique aims to observe a system at multiple epochs and combine the measured planetary radial velocities from each epoch into a measurement of the planetary Keplerian orbital velocity K {sub p}, constituting a direct detection of the planetary signal. Recent work has shown that in few-epoch (∼5) data sets, unintended structure can arise at a high level, obscuring the planetary detection. In this work, we look to simulations to examine whether there are ways to reduce this structured noise in few-epoch data sets by careful planning of observations. The choice of observation date allows observers to select the primary (stellar) velocity through a set systemic velocity and chosen barycentric velocity and the planetary orbital phase so we focus on the effects of these two parameters. We find that epochs taken when the primary velocity is near zero and the stellar lines remain relatively fixed to the telluric rest-frame greatly reduce the level of structured noise and allow for much stronger planetary detections, on average more than twice the significance of detections made with epochs using randomly selected primary velocities. Following these results, we recommend that observers looking to build up high-resolution multi-epoch data sets target nights when their system has a near-zero primary velocity.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Azo(xy) vs Aniline Selectivity in Catalytic Nitroarene Reduction by Intermetallics: Experiments and Simulations

Intermetallic nanoparticles are promising catalysts in hydrogenation and fuel cell technologies. Much is known about the ability of intermetallic nanoparticles to selectively reduce nitro vs alkene, alcohol, or halide functional groups; less is known about their selectivity toward aniline vs azo or azoxy condensation products that result from the reduction of a nitro group alone. Because azo(xy)arenes bear promise as dyes, chemical stabilizers, and building blocks to functional materials but can be difficult to isolate, developing high surface area nanoparticle catalysts that display azo(xy) selectivity is desirable. To address this question, we studied a family of nanocrystalline group 10 metal (Pd, Pt)- and group 14 metal (Ge, Sn, Pb)-containing intermetallics-Pd 2 Ge, Pd 2 Sn, Pd 3 Sn 2 , Pd 3 Pb, and PtSn-in the catalytic reduction of nitroarenes. In contrast to monometallic Au, Pt, and Pd nanoparticles and "random" PdxSn1 – x nanoalloys, which are selective for aniline, nanoparticles of atomically precise intermetallic Pd 2 Ge, Pd 2 Sn, Pd 3 Sn 2 , and PtSn prefer an indirect condensation pathway and have a high selectivity for the azo(xy) products. The only exception is Pd 3 Pb, the most active among the intermetallic nanoparticles studied here, which is instead selective for aniline. Employing a novel application of molecular dynamics-based on machine learned potentials within a DeePMD framework-to heterogeneous catalysis, we are able to identify key reaction species on the different types of catalysts employed, furthering our understanding of the unique selectivity of these materials. By demonstrating how intermetallic nanoparticles can be as active yet more selective than other more traditional catalysts, this work provides new physical insights and opens new opportunities in the use of these materials in other important chemical transformations and applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Simulation, Challenge Testing & Validation of Occupancy Recognition & CO 2 Technologies (Final Project Report)

This final report covers the results of the development of testing methods of occupancy sensor systems connected to HVAC controls. This project focused on the development of test methods to evaluate the performance of HVAC-connected occupancy sensor systems, including occupancy presence, occupancy counting, and CO 2 sensor systems in commercial and residential buildings. This included evaluation of the reliability, ease of commissioning, and energy savings potential of these sensor systems. The results of this work help to standardize the methods used to evaluate performance, to enable the ability to compare sensor system performance following the same methods, to understand which sensor systems perform better or worse compared to others. The U.S. building stock’s energy usage can benefit substantially from having building system operations informed by reliable occupancy recognition and CO 2 measurements, however to date, standard methods have not been in place to ensure that sensor systems’ reported performance is uniformly evaluated. The results of this work support the development of a standard or guideline that outlines the developed methods of testing. This project also included the testing of both off-the-shelf and novel SENSOR team-developed low-cost occupancy sensor systems, using the developed methods of testing. The results of this testing helped to inform further development and improvement of new low-cost sensor systems that will benefit from being used in residential and commercial buildings throughout the country.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Assessing thermal resilience of an assisted living facility during heat waves and cold snaps with power outages

Extreme hot and cold weather events are becoming more frequent, intense, and longer due to climate change. When these events occur coincidentally with power outages, the resulting extreme indoor temperatures pose a severe health hazard for occupants. This study conducted a holistic modeling and analysis of an assisted living facility, where senior residents live, to assess its thermal resilience performance under a six-day heat wave in 2015 and a three-day cold snap in 2021 with power outages. Impacts of 13 energy efficiency measures on thermal resilience and backup power capacity of the facility were evaluated. Three thermal resilience metrics: the SET (standard effective temperature) degree-hours, the Heat Index, and the Hours of Safety, were used and calculated from the EnergyPlus simulation models. Furthermore, major findings are: (1) the facility would suffer from extreme temperatures during the cold and hot events without a power supply, not meeting the passive survivability requirements; (2) most passive envelope measures improve thermal resilience for both hot and cold events, but making the building envelope airtight results in conflicting performance between the hot and cold events; (3) natural ventilation is an effective measure to mitigate summer indoor overheating; and (4) the energy efficiency package can reduce backup power capacity by 19% for the three-day cold snap. It is recommended that building technologies and design strategies be evaluated to consider co-benefits of energy use, thermal resilience, and backup power needs through building energy codes or policies for existing and new buildings, which are transitioning for decarbonization and climate resilience.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗