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At least 1,657 records · Page 92

A Time Series Sustainability Assessment of a Partial Energy Portfolio Transition

Energy portfolios are overwhelmingly dependent on fossil fuel resources that perpetuate the consequences associated with climate change. Therefore, it is imperative to transition to more renewable alternatives to limit further harm to the environment. This study presents a univariate time series prediction model that evaluates sustainability outcomes of partial energy transitions. Future electricity generation at the state-level is predicted using exponential smoothing and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). The best prediction results are then used as an input for a sustainability assessment of a proposed transition by calculating carbon, water, land, and cost footprints. Missouri, USA was selected as a model testbed due to its dependence on coal. Of the time series methods, ARIMA exhibited the best performance and was used to predict annual electricity generation over a 10-year period. The proposed transition consisted of a one-percent annual decrease of coal’s portfolio share to be replaced with an equal share of solar and wind supply. The sustainability outcomes of the transition demonstrate decreases in carbon and water footprints but increases in land and cost footprints. Decision makers can use the results presented here to better inform strategic provisioning of critical resources in the context of proposed energy transitions.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Enhancing Multi-Step Reservoir Inflow Forecasting: A Time-Variant Encoder–Decoder Approach

Accurate reservoir inflow forecasting is vital for effective water resource management. Reliable forecasts enable operators to optimize storage and release strategies to meet competing sectoral demands—such as water supply, irrigation, and hydropower scheduling—while also mitigating flood and drought risks. To address this need, in this study, we propose a novel time-variant encoder–decoder (ED) model designed specifically to improve multi-step reservoir inflow forecasting, enabling accurate predictions of reservoir inflows up to seven days ahead. Unlike conventional ED-LSTM and recursive ED-LSTM models, which use fixed encoder parameters or recursively propagate predictions, our model incorporates an adaptive encoder structure that dynamically adjusts to evolving conditions at each forecast horizon. Additionally, we introduce the Expected Baseline Integrated Gradients (EB-IGs) method for variable importance analysis, enhancing interpretability of inflow by incorporating multiple baselines to capture a broader range of hydrometeorological conditions. The proposed methods are demonstrated at several diverse reservoirs across the United States. Our results show that they outperform traditional methods, particularly at longer lead times, while also offering insights into the key drivers of inflow forecasting. These advancements contribute to enhanced reservoir management through improved forecasting accuracy and practical decision-making insights under complex hydroclimatic conditions.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Time-Resolved Structural Measurement of Thermal Resistance across a Buried Semiconductor Heterostructure Interface

The precise control and understanding of heat flow in heterostructures is pivotal for advancements in thermoelectric energy conversion, thermal barrier coatings, and efficient heat management in electronic and optoelectronic devices. In this study, we employ high-angular-resolution time-resolved X-ray diffraction to structurally measure thermal resistance in a laser-excited AlGaAs/GaAs semiconductor heterostructure. Our methodology offers femtometer-scale spatial sensitivity and nanosecond time resolution, enabling us to directly observe heat transport across a buried interface. We corroborate established Thermal Boundary Resistance (TBR) values for AlGaAs/GaAs heterostructures and demonstrate that TBR arises from material property discrepancies on either side of a nearly flawless atomic interface. This work not only sheds light on the fundamental mechanisms governing heat flow across buried interfaces but also presents a robust experimental framework that can be extended to other heterostructure systems, paving the way for optimized thermal management in next-generation devices.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Automating Analysis of Neutron Scattering Time-of-Flight Single Crystal Phonon Data

This article introduces software called Phonon Explorer that implements a data mining workflow for large datasets of the neutron scattering function, S(Q, ω), measured on time-of-flight neutron spectrometers. This systematic approach takes advantage of all useful data contained in the dataset. It includes finding Brillouin zones where specific phonons have the highest scattering intensity, background subtraction, combining statistics in multiple Brillouin zones, and separating closely spaced phonon peaks. Using the software reduces the time needed to determine phonon dispersions, linewidths, and eigenvectors by more than an order of magnitude.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Real-Time Nitrate Ion Monitoring with Poly(3,4-ethylenedioxythiophene) (PEDOT) Materials

Nitrate (NO 3 ) pollution in groundwater, caused by various factors both natural and synthetic, contributes to the decline of human health and well-being. Current techniques used for nitrate detection include spectroscopic, electrochemical, chromatography, and capillary electrophoresis. It is highly desired to develop a simple cost-effective alternative to these complex methods for nitrate detection. Therefore, a real-time poly (3,4-ethylenedioxythiophene) (PEDOT)-based sensor for nitrate ion detection via electrical property change is introduced in this study. Vapor phase polymerization (VPP) is used to create a polymer thin film. Variations in specific parameters during the process are tested and compared to develop new insights into PEDOT sensitivity towards nitrate ions. Through this study, the optimal fabrication parameters that produce a sensor with the highest sensitivity toward nitrate ions are determined. With the optimized parameters, the electrical resistance response of the sensor to 1000 ppm nitrate solution is 41.79%. Furthermore, the sensors can detect nitrate ranging from 1 ppm to 1000 ppm. The proposed sensor demonstrates excellent potential to detect the overabundance of nitrate ions in aqueous solutions in real time.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

On the Generalizability of Time-of-Flight Convolutional Neural Networks for Noninvasive Acoustic Measurements

Bulk wave acoustic time-of-flight (ToF) measurements in pipes and closed containers can be hindered by guided waves with similar arrival times propagating in the container wall, especially when a low excitation frequency is used to mitigate sound attenuation from the material. Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have emerged as a new paradigm for obtaining accurate ToF in non-destructive evaluation (NDE) and have been demonstrated for such complicated conditions. However, the generalizability of ToF-CNNs has not been investigated. In this work, we analyze the generalizability of the ToF-CNN for broader applications, given limited training data. We first investigate the CNN performance with respect to training dataset size and different training data and test data parameters (container dimensions and material properties). Furthermore, we perform a series of tests to understand the distribution of data parameters that need to be incorporated in training for enhanced model generalizability. This is investigated by training the model on a set of small- and large-container datasets regardless of the test data. We observe that the quantity of data partitioned for training must be of a good representation of the entire sets and sufficient to span through the input space. The result of the network also shows that the learning model with the training data on small containers delivers a sufficiently stable result on different feature interactions compared to the learning model with the training data on large containers. To check the robustness of the model, we tested the trained model to predict the ToF of different sound speed mediums, which shows excellent accuracy. Furthermore, to mimic real experimental scenarios, data are augmented by adding noise. We envision that the proposed approach will extend the applications of CNNs for ToF prediction in a broader range.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Time-resolved Rotational Velocities in the Upper Atmosphere of WASP-33 b

While steady empirical progress has been made in understanding the structure and composition of hot-planet atmospheres, direct measurements of velocity signatures, including winds, rotation, and jets, have lagged behind. Quantifying atmospheric dynamics of hot planets is critical for a complete understanding of their atmospheres, and such measurements may even illuminate other planetary properties, such as magnetic field strengths. In this manuscript we present the first detection of the Balmer lines Hα and Hβ in the atmosphere of the ultra-hot Jupiter WASP-33 b. Using atmospheric models that include the effects of atmospheric dynamics, we show that the shape of the average Balmer line transmission spectrum is consistent with rotational velocities in the planet’s thermosphere of v{sub rot}=10.1{sub −1.0}{sup +0.8} km s{sup −1}. We also measure a low-significance day- to nightside velocity shift of −4.6{sub −3.4}{sup +3.4} km s{sup −1} in the transmission spectrum, which is naturally explained by a global wind across the planet’s terminator. In a separate analysis the time-resolved velocity centroids of individual transmission spectra show unambiguous evidence of rotation, with a best-fit velocity of 10.0{sub −2.0}{sup +2.4} km s{sup −1}, consistent with the value of v {sub rot} derived from the shape of the average Balmer line transmission spectrum. Our observations and analysis confirm the power of time-resolved transmission spectra with a high signal-to-noise ratio to measure the velocity structures in exoplanet atmospheres. The high rotational and wind velocities we measure highlight the need for more detailed 3D global climate simulations of the rarefied upper atmospheres of ultra-hot gas giants.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

High Performance Computing Traffic Simulations for Real-Time Traffic Control of Mobility in Chattanooga Region

In 2019, highway congestion wasted over 3 billion gallons of fuel and caused 8.8 billion hours of lost productivity.1 Research has shown that introducing near-real time traffic controls can significantly reduce congestion. Validated and calibrated traffic simulations enable the modeling of transportation systems and the evaluation of different traffic control actions and schemes given a variety of circumstances that represent likely future scenarios. The developed scenarios can inform the deployment of controls in near real-time to improve freight and passenger vehicle congestion and energy use. In this work, we present simulations used to model the traffic in the Chattanooga, Tennessee, metropolitan area. Simulations were constructed and calibrated using a variety of local, data science enhanced, data sources utilizing open source software including the Simulation of Urban Mobility (SUMO) simulator. High-Performance Computing (HPC) provides a scalable platform with enough computing for the high-fidelity simulation of many scenarios and the application of advance data science especially for large-scale systems. Our simulations include microscopic simulations at a corridor level for traffic signal control, and mesoscopic simulations to evaluate regional operational controls and infrastructure.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Capacitively Coupled LAPPDs with 2D Pixelated Readout Planes for Time of Flight and Ring Imaging Cherenkov Applications

Large Area Picosecond Photon Detectors (LAPPDs) are micro-channel plate based photosensors featuring hundreds of square centimeters of sensitive area in a single package and capable of providing timing resolution on the order of 50 ps for single photon detection. However, LAPPDs currently do not exist in finely pixelated 2D readout configurations which, in addition to ighresolution timing, would also provide high spatial resolution required for Ring Imaging CHerenkov (RICH) detectors. One of the recent LAPPD models (Gen II) provides the opportunity to overcome the lack of pixellation by coupling an external readout to the sealed detector itself. The readout plane in this case is a simple printed circuit board (PCB) that can be laid out in a custom application-specific way for 1D or 2D sensitive area pixellation. This allows for a much shorter readout-plane prototyping cycle and provides unprecedented flexibility in choosing an appropriate segmentation that can be optimized for any particular detector need in terms of pad size, orientation, and shape.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Time-Resolved Radioluminescence of the Copper(I) Cluster Cu4I62-. Temporal responses to Photo, X-ray, Beta-ray, and alpha-ray Excitation.

Described are time-resolved radioluminescence (TRRL) properties of the Cu(I) cluster Cu4I62– upon pulsed X-ray, β-ray or α-particle excitation. The longer (>2 μs) TRRL component displayed exponential decay comparable to pulsed UV excitation; however, temporal behavior at shorter times indicates that high local excited state density provides an alternative decay channel.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Association Between Changes in Timing of Spring Onset and Asthma Hospitalization in Maryland

The proposed association between climate change and increased burden of allergic diseases are based on three different thematic observational studies that have linked (i) increased CO 2 concentration with higher pollen production, (ii) warmer air/surface temperatures with early spring onset and longer pollen season, and (iii) higher pollen exposure with increased risk of asthma hospitalizations. Yet empirical evidence collectively linking climate change with pollen season and asthma exacerbation is still lacking. Using satellite observations, in situ pollen monitoring data, and hospitalization records (2001-2012), here we show that changes in the timing of spring onset resulting from ongoing climate variability and change is directly related to a longer tree pollen season and increased risk of asthma hospitalization. More specifically, we observed that very early start of season (SOS) to be associated with 10% increase in risk of asthma hospitalization (Incident Rate Ratio (IRR): 1.10, 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.02- 1.20) while late onset of SOS to be associated with 3% increase in risk of asthma hospitalization in Maryland (IRR: 1.03, 95% CI: 0.97-1.11), however the risk in the latter case was not statistically significant. Our results serve as a wake-up call to public health and medical communities regarding the need to anticipate and adapt to the ongoing changes in the timing and severity of the spring allergy season.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Cost and Time Effective Lithography of Reusable Millimeter Size Bone Tissue Replicas With Sub‐15 nm Feature Size on A Biocompatible Polymer

Abstract The ability to replicate the microenvironment of biological tissues creates unique biomedical possibilities for stem cell applications. Current fabrication methods are limited by either the control on feature size and shape, or by the throughput and size of the replicas. Here, a novel platform is reported that combines thermal scanning probe lithography (tSPL) with innovative methodologies for the low‐cost and high‐throughput nanofabrication of large area quasi‐3D bone tissue replicas with high fidelity, sub‐15 nm lateral precision, and sub‐2 nm vertical resolution. This bio‐tSPL platform features a biocompatible polymer resist that withstands multiple cell culture cycles, allowing the reuse of the replicas, further decreasing costs and fabrication times. The as‐fabricated replicas support the culture and proliferation of human induced mesenchymal stem cells, which display broad therapeutic and biomedical potential. Furthermore, it is demonstrated that bio‐tSPL can be used to nanopattern the bone tissue replicas with amine groups, for subsequent tissue‐mimetic biofunctionalization. The achieved level of time and cost‐effectiveness, as well as the cell compatibility of the replicas, make bio‐tSPL a promising platform for the production of tissue‐mimetic replicas to study stem cell‐tissue microenvironment interactions, test drugs, and ultimately harness the regenerative capacity of stem cells and tissues for biomedical applications.

Liu, Xiangyu↗

Fabrication of Arrays of Topological Solitons in Patterned Chiral Liquid Crystals for Real-Time Observation of Morphogenesis

Topological solitons have knotted continuous field configurations embedded in a uniform background, and occur in cosmology, biology, and electromagnetism. However, real-time observation of their morphogenesis and dynamics is still challenging because their size and timescale are enormously large or tiny. Liquid crystal (LC) structures are promising candidates for a model-system to study the morphogenesis of topological solitons, enabling direct visualization due to the proper size and timescale. We report a new way is found to rationalize the real-time observation of the generation and transformation of topological solitons using cholesteric LCs confined in patterned substrates. The experimental demonstration shows the topologically protected structures arise via the transformation of topological defects. Numerical modeling based on minimization of free energy closely reconstructs the experimental findings. The fundamental insights obtained from the direct observations pose new theoretical challenges in understanding the morphogenesis of different types of topological solitons within a broad range of scales.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Electrical and Spectroscopic Diagnostics as Real‐Time Metallization Indicators During Hydrogen Plasma Smelting Reduction

This study investigates the hydrogen (H 2 ) plasma reduction process of direct-reduced-iron-grade hematite ore at different arc currents (100–200 A) in an Ar–5% H 2 atmosphere at 0.9 bar. Iron ore samples (10 g) were exposed to a plasma arc, and the reduction/metallization kinetics were analyzed over fixed time intervals. Electrical diagnostics revealed that the arc voltage exhibited takeover-mode oscillations which were suppressed at higher currents due to stronger electromagnetic coupling. The voltage dropped significantly as metallization approached ∼95%, linked to increased electrical conductivity of the metallic iron (Fe) in the ore as well as Fe evaporation into the arc, lowering the arc resistance. A simplified Elenbaas–Heller model supported this explanation and confirmed that Fe vapor concentration enhances plasma conductivity. Optical emission spectroscopy focused on the plasma–metal interface revealed the plasma's optically thick nature, as the primary Fe I 526.95 nm line experienced self-absorption. However, weaker Fe I lines (404.58, 438.35 nm) normalized to Ar I 696.5 nm provided a reliable proxy for metallization. These diagnostics, electrical and spectroscopic, effectively track metallization in real-time during H 2 plasma smelting reduction.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Toward Intelligent Multimodal Holography for Real-Time Chemical Imaging of Dynamic Ion Separation

Molecular-level visualization of ion transport and separation dynamics in complex environments is crucial for advancing energy systems, water purification, and critical materials recovery. Achieving this requires imaging platforms that combine structural sensitivity, chemical specificity, and real-time operation. Digital off-axis holography (DOAH) provides high-throughput, label-free quantitative phase imaging but inherently lacks chemical selectivity. Integrating DOAH with complementary spectroscopic channels such as fluorescence or hyperspectral imaging introduces the needed molecular specificity, while also creating challenges in multimodal data fusion, synchronization, and computational throughput. Artificial intelligence offers a powerful route to address these limitations by uniting physics-based reconstruction with data-driven interpretation. In this Perspective, we outline a framework for intelligent multimodal holography and demonstrate its potential using a preliminary AI-driven test case. Raw DOAH holograms of lanthanide solutions subjected to magnetic field gradients were analyzed using multi-agent AI workflows that autonomously selected reconstruction tools, extracted NMF components, and generated scientific claims consistent with true paramagnetic and diamagnetic behavior. This demonstration shows how AI-enabled reasoning can deliver real-time chemical–structural interpretation directly from raw holograms. Together, these advances define a path toward adaptive, intelligent holography platforms capable of supporting in situ chemical separations, dynamic ion transport analysis, and next-generation interfacial science.

Ricchiuti, Giovanna↗

A Palette of Minimally Tagged Sucrose Analogues for Real-Time Raman Imaging of Intracellular Plant Metabolism

Sucrose is the main saccharide used for longdistance transport in plants and plays an essential role in energy metabolism; however, there are no analogues for real-time imaging in live cells. We have optimised a synthetic approach to prepare sucrose analogues including very small ( 50 Da or less) Raman tags in the fructose moiety. Spectroscopic analysis identified the alkyne-tagged compound 6 as a sucrose analogue recognised by endogenous transporters in live cells and with higher Raman intensity than other sucrose derivatives. Herein, we demonstrate the application of compound 6 as the first optical probe to visualise real-time uptake and intracellular localisation of sucrose in live plant cells using Raman microscopy.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Real-time ensemble microalgae growth forecasting with data assimilation

Accurate short-range (e.g., 7-day) microalgae growth forecasts will be beneficial for both production and harvesting of microalgae. This study developed an operational microalgae growth forecasting system with ensemble data assimilation (DA). The forecasting system was validated against observed Monoraphidium minutum 26B-AM growth in two outdoor pond cultures located in Mesa, Arizona, U.S. We first examined the relative roles of uncertainty in the meteorological forecast and initial conditions (i.e., algal concentration at the time of forecast) in the microalgae 7-day forecast and found initial conditions dominated the microalgae forecasting skill, suggesting the importance of implementing DA to improve initial condition characterization. To correct the systematic bias in biomass simulations, we developed a particle filter with bias estimation (PFBE) DA method to estimate biases and correct the model forecast. We found the DA forecasting system could improve the 7-day microalgae forecasting skill by about 85% on average compared to model forecasts without DA. These results suggest the potential accuracy of biomass growth forecasts may be sufficient to inform real-time operational decisions, such as harvesting planning, for commercial-scale microalgae production.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗