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At least 1,657 records · Page 92

M-BAND Analysis of Chromosome Aberration In Human Epithelial Cells exposed to Gamma-ray and Secondary Neutrons of Low Dose Rate

High-energy secondary neutrons, produced by the interaction of galactic cosmic rays with the atmosphere, spacecraft structure and planetary surfaces, contribute to a significant fraction to the dose equivalent in crew members and passengers during commercial aviation travel, and astronauts in space missions. The Los Alamos Nuclear Science Center (LANSCE) neutron facility's "30L" beam line is known to generate neutrons that simulate the secondary neutron spectrum of the Earth's atmosphere at high altitude. The neutron spectrum is also similar to that measured onboard spacecraft like the MIR and the International Space Station (ISS). To evaluate the biological damage, we exposed human epithelial cells in vitro to the LANSCE neutron beams at an entrance dose rate of 2.5 cGy/hr or gamma-ray at 1.7cGy/hr, and assessed the induction of chromosome aberrations that were identified with mBAND. With this technique, individually painted chromosomal bands on one chromosome allowed the identification of inter-chromosomal aberrations (translocation to unpainted chromosomes) and intra-chromosomal aberrations (inversions and deletions within a single painted chromosome). Compared to our previous results for gamma-rays and 600 MeV/nucleon Fe ions of high dose rate, the neutron data showed a higher frequency of chromosome aberrations. However, detailed analysis of the inversion type revealed that all of the three radiation types in the study induced a low incidence of simple inversions. The low dose rate gamma-rays induced a lower frequency of chromosome aberrations than high dose rate gamma-rays, but the inversion spectrum was similar for the same cytotoxic effect. The distribution of damage sites on chromosome 3 for different radiation types will also be discussed.

Hada, M.↗

Validation of Numerical Tools for Calculating Reactivity Feedback in Sodium Fast Reactors Using SEFOR Experimental Data

The Southwest Experimental Fast Oxide Reactor (SEFOR) was an experimental sodium-cooled fast breeder reactor operated from 1969 to 1972 with experiments designed to measure Doppler reactivity feedback in a wide temperature range from around 350 °F to temperatures approaching the melting point of mixed oxide fuel of around 5000 °F, providing valuable data for code validations. Co-supported by the Department of Energy (DOE) Fast Reactor Program (FRP) and the DOE Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program, the SEFOR benchmark project focused on using the experimental data to validate numerical tools that are used in industry and academia to design and license sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs). By the end of FY-25, substantial progress was achieved in the SEFOR benchmark study. A variety of numerical tools commonly used for modeling SFRs were applied to develop models for SEFOR core configurations I-D, I-E, I-I, and I-J. These included Monte Carlo codes such as MCNP, Serpent, and Shift; deterministic codes such as the legacy Argonne Reactor Computation (ARC) suite and the high-fidelity NEAMS code Griffin; and the system analysis code SAS4A/SASSYS-1 (SAS). Using these models, both SEFOR zero-power experiments and power-ascending tests were successfully simulated. Comparisons were performed against experimental measurements of core criticalities, reflector worth, kinetics parameters (Λ/βeff), isothermal reactivity feedback (from 350 °F to 760 °F at zero power), and power-ascending reactivity feedback (as power increased from 0.4 MW to 17 MW). In general, these comparisons demonstrated very good agreement between numerical results and experimental data. In Fiscal Year 26 (FY-26), the SEFOR benchmark project will continue to address the modeling issues identified in FY-25. Effort will focus on the simulation of reactivity insertion transients in SEFOR core II using the ARC/SAS model. Future work will also focus on incorporating BISON into the SEFOR core modeling process to enable the first Multiphysics simulations of the isothermal tests based on the MOOSE framework.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

PySolate : A Python‐Based Thresholding Tool to Denoise or Designal Seismic Waveforms Based on the Continuous Wavelet Transform

PySolate is a Python‐based toolset that implements the continuous wavelet transform and nonlinear thresholding operations to denoise or designal seismic data, following Langston and Mousavi (2019). This filtering approach can remove microseismic noise to isolate intermediate‐period seismic signals that are key to enabling full‐waveform modeling and analysis of smaller‐magnitude regional events. This approach is best for the application to signals with frequency or time separation of signal and noise, in contrast to Fourier analysis, which is effective when signal and noise are separated in frequency. We demonstrate the Python toolset using the six announced Democratic People’s Republic of Korea declared nuclear tests, showing the effectiveness of isolating the seismic signal compared to standard bandpass filtering. In conclusion, we also demonstrate the ease of using the toolset with any Python processing tools.

Asia↗

ROSAT observation program

In this annual progress report (November 1, 1993 to October 31, 1994), the geminga pulsar was observed by the ROSAT PSPC for 37,000 s in September 1993, in order to make a more detailed study than was previously possible of the pulse profile and two-component spectrum, and to do phase-resolved spectroscopy. This exposure was 2.5 times longer than the original discovery observation. In addition, a shorter 4,000 s exposure was made in October 1992, simultaneously with a GRO observation of Geminga, in order to verify the absolute phasing of the X-ray and gamma-ray peaks. We verified that the spectrum can be described as the sum of two black bodies, whose temperatures are 6 x 10(exp 5) K and 3 - 4 x 10(exp 6) K, with the latter covering 3 x 10(exp -5) the area of the former. The pulse profiles indicate that the intensity of the two emitting regions peak is approximately 90 deg out of phase in rotation, but that the temperatures are otherwise independent of phase. An improved estimate of the distance can be made from the cooler (larger) blackbody component, yielding d = 440 +/- 120 pc. Another program of this report was to obtain PSPC spectra of an important class of Seyfert galaxies which have narrow lines and stron permitted Fe II emission. Sometines called I Zw 1 objects, or narrow-line Seyfert 1s, they are crucial to our understanding of Seyfert classification and models of Seyfert unification. We observed four new objects and, in addition, obtained data on 17 more from the ROSAT archive. A third program combined PSPC and HRI observations of selected Seyfert galaxies which have unusual and variable spectra. The purpose was to disentangle diffuse X-ray emission from the nuclear source, in order to properly interpret the soft X-ray spectral shapes in terms of partial covering and/or warm-absorber models. The targets of the program are NGC 3516, NGC 3227, and NGC 7314. So far, we have only performed a dtailed analysis on NGC 3516. The fourth program of this report is the NGC 1672, the second brightest Seyfert galaxy and one or the original 'composite' Seyfert/starburst galaxies which have evidence for both Seyfert activity and H II regions in their optical spectra. It is one of the lowest luminosity Seyfert 2 galaxies that can be studied in detail.

Halpern, Jules P.↗

Fragmentation of 200 and 244 MeV/u Carbon Beams in Thick Tissue-Like Absorbers

Stacks consisting of thin CR-39 sheets sandwiched between thick Lucite and water absorbers were perpendicularly bombarded by C-12 ions at 200 and 244 MeV/u. Track radius distributions representing the charge composition of the fragmented beams were automatically measured by a particle track analysis system. After analysis of the nuclear charge distributions, the total charge removal cross sections and elemental production cross sections of fragments with atomic numbers from 5 to 3, were obtained down to the lower energies (approximately 50 and 100 MeV/u, respectively). It has been found that the measured total charge removal cross section agrees with theoretical predictions within approximately 10% and very well with previous experiments in corresponding energy regions. Two model calculations for production of B fragment are in good agreement with our measured data while a third model overestimates it by approximately 12%. Theoretical cross sections for Be and Li fragments differ strongly among the different models and from measured values.

Golovchenko, A. N.↗

A Measurement of the Eta Meson Radiative Decay Width via the Primakoff Effect

The ? meson is an interesting tool to study fundamental symmetries in Quantum Chromodynamics (QCD). In particular, its radiative decay width, ? p? Ñ ??q, is an important quantity that can be predicted in the framework of Chiral Perturbation Theory. A precision measurement of this quantity would provide critical inputs to understanding the mixing of the ? and ?1 mesons and extracting constants with wide-ranging applications in low-energy QCD. This decay width has been measured in the past using two different experimental techniques. The more popular technique utilized e`e´ collisions to produce ? mesons through electromagnetic interactions. Today, the Particle Data Group (PDG) averages the results of five such experiments to obtain their currently-accepted value of the decay width as: 0.515?0.018 keV. However the first measurement of this quantity was obtained from a fixed-target experiment that measured the cross section for photoproduction of ? mesons on a nuclear target via the Primakoff effect. Their result of 0.324?0.046 keV shows strong tension with the average of the collider measurements, motivating a new, high precision measurement using the Primakoff method. For this purpose, the PrimEx-eta experiment was conducted in Hall D of the Thomas Jefferson National Accelerator Facility (Jefferson Lab or JLab). The data is currently being analyzed to measure the differential cross section for the photoproduction of ? mesons on a liquid, 4He target. Preliminary results obtained from the analysis of the first phase of the PrimEx-eta experiment show reasonable agreement with the currently-accepted PDG value of the radiative decay width. However, as will be discussed, there are many challenges to this precision measurement which must be studied before any results can be finalized and compared with previous measurements. In parallel to the ? decay width measurement, the PrimEx-eta experiment measured the total cross section for the fundamental, Quantum Electrodynamics (QED) process of Compton scattering from the atomic electrons inside the target. The results obtained from this measurement are in strong agreement with the next-to-leading order QED calculations, and the total combined uncertainties are below 3% for incident photon energies between 7-10 GeV. In addition to providing the first precision measurement of the total Compton scattering cross section within this beam energy range, this measurement verifies the capability of the PrimEx-eta experimental setup to perform absolute cross section measurements at forward angles, and serves as a reference process for the calibration of systematic uncertainties.

Smith, Andrew↗

Validating Mixtures of 233 U, 235 U, and 239 Pu for the Sum-of-Fractions Method

The Sum-of-Fractions method is a technique used to assure that homogeneous mixtures of fissile and fissionable isotopes are below a minimum margin of k eff or reactivity. Current work by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory examines different mixtures of 233 U, 235 U, and 239 Pu to determine critical mass limits for mixtures of transuranic actinides lacking a validation basis. To provide a validation basis for these limits, the work presented here describes the results of a sensitivity and uncertainty analysis of various mixtures of these isotopes in various concentrations moderated and reflected by light water and polyethylene. The TSUNAMI-1D sequence in the SCALE code system was used to generate sensitivity coefficients for three different concentrations of mixtures of 233 U, 235 U, and 239 Pu. The TSUNAMI-IP sequence was then used for similarity assessment (c k ) with critical benchmark experiment sensitivity data files (SDFs) from the Oak Ridge National Laboratory Verified, Archived Library of Inputs and Data and the Nuclear Energy Agency SDF database. The VADER sequence in SCALE was used for statistical testing and to generate upper subcritical limits from the data to develop a basis for validating critical mass limits.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Solvent Hold Tank Sample Results for MCU-19-366- 367-368 (April 2019), MCU-19-469-470-471 (May 2019), MCU-19-524-525-526 (June 2019): Quarterly Report

A trend summary of three sets of Solvent Hold Tank (SHT) monthly samples MCU-19-366-367-368 (April), MCU-19-469-470-471 (May), and MCU-19-524-525-526 (June) are reported. Most of the conclusions are based on the June SHT sample (MCU-19-524-525-526). Analyses of the June SHT sample (MCU-19-524- 525-526) indicated that the Modifier (Cs-7SB) and the Extractant (MaxCalix) concentrations were below their nominal recommended concentrations (169,000 mg/L and 46,900 mg/L respectively) by 4% and 2% respectively but consistent with previously observed levels during normal runs. The Suppressor (N,N’,N”– tris(3,7-dimethyloctyl)guanidine or TiDG) concentration has decreased since the March 2019 measurement to 793 mg/L, which is above the minimum recommended concentration (479 mg/L). The Semi-Volatile Organic Analysis (SVOA) did not detect any impurities. However, the Fourier Transform Hydrogen Nuclear Magnetic Resonance (FT-HNMR) analysis detected presence of phthalates at a few ppm. The impurity concentration was highest in the April sample and consistently detected in the May and June samples (but always registered as a few ppm or less). Another impurity observed in the samples was mercury. Based on the June SHT sample, up to 25 ± 5 micrograms of mercury per mL of solvent was detected (as the average of the Direct Mercury Analysis (DMA) and X-Ray Fluorescence (XRF) methods). The higher mercury concentration in the solvent (as determined in the last three-monthly samples) is possibly due to the higher mercury concentration in Salt Batches 9 and 10. The gamma concentration (~2.90E4 dpm/mL) measured in the June 2019 SHT samples was consistent with previous values observed when the Modular Caustic-Side Solvent Extraction Unit (MCU) was operating continuously (for example, between December 2016 and January 2017). Statistical analysis of the different analytical methods detected a bias between the FT-HNMR and the High Performance Liquid Chromatography (HPLC) methods when measuring the MaxCalix and Modifier concentrations; the FT-HNMR gave a higher concentration possibly due to peak overlapping in the measured data. A bias was detected when measuring total mercury by the DMA method versus the XRF method with the XRF method reported higher mercury concentrations. The laboratory will continue to monitor the quality of the solvent for any new impurities or degradation of the solvent components.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Mach Conference, 2022.

There has been considerable interest in chemical vapor infiltration (CVI) manufactured silicon carbide fiber and silicon carbide matrix (SiC/SiC) composite tubes due to their superior mechanical properties. The SiC/SiC tubes are known to remain stable even after prolonged exposure to radiation. However, there are many variables in the manufacturing of SiC/SiC composite tubes such as elastic constants of constituent SiC fiber and SiC matrix, braiding angle, porosity, and others whose values vary over a range. The intention is to identify the distribution of elastic constants of SiC/SiC tubes which would help model the performance of the novel cladding material. To do so, a sensitivity analysis will be carried out to determine the dominant variables that influence the elastic constants of SiC/SiC tubes. A chosen number of combinations of dominant variables will be sampled through the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) method. The elastic constants of composite tube namely Young's moduli in the circumferential and longitudinal direction, Poisson's ratio, and shear modulus will be calculated at sampled points through finite element (FE) analysis. A polynomial response surface (PRS) will be built for each of the elastic constants to be used as a surrogate to FE analysis. Once the predictive accuracy of PRS is verified at the validation set of data points, the PRS will be invoked 105 times in Monte Carlo simulations (MCS). The uncertainty can be quantified by calculating the coefficient of variation (CV) based on MCS-generated data which will be presented at the conference.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Requirements Description of EvaluateFlux

This report presents the modeling and simulation capabilities of Argonne National Laboratory’s EvaluateFlux code [1] that is used in present reactor analysis activities. These capabilities will then be used to establish the set of EvaluateFlux verification tasks necessary to verify EvaluateFlux for usage on commercial projects. A similar approach was taken for the PERSENT, REBUS and DIF3D software packages. The EvaluateFlux program is a post-processing utility program for DIF3D, specifically DIF3D-VARIANT. As covered in [1], the EvaluateFlux program was built to allow users to obtain flux and power traverses through the domain. Its primary purpose was to facilitate foil analysis by evaluating the flux solution from DIF3D-VARIANT and combining it with foil cross section data. The outputs from EvaluateFlux are contained in four possible output files: FluxAndRegionRR.out, IsotopeMicroRR.out, LabeledRegionRR.out, and IsotopeMacroRR.out. Each file is focused on using the flux evaluate and cross section data in a different manner and all are covered in this verification process.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Cytogenetic follow-up studies on humans with internal and external exposure to ionizing radiation

Cells exposed to ionizing radiation have a wide spectrum of DNA lesions that include DNA single-strand breaks, DNA double-strand breaks (DSBs), oxidative base damage and DNA-protein crosslinks. Among them, DSB is the most critical lesion, which when mis-repaired leads to unstable and stable chromosome aberrations. Currently, chromosome aberration analysis is the preferred method for biological monitoring of radiation-exposed humans. Here, stable chromosome aberrations, such as inversions and balanced translocations, persist in the peripheral blood lymphocytes of radiation-exposed humans for several years and, therefore, are potentially useful tools to prognosticate the health risks of radiation exposure, particularly in the hematopoietic system. In this review, we summarize the cytogenetic follow-up studies performed by REAC/TS (Radiation Emergency Assistance Center/Training site, Oak Ridge, USA) on humans exposed to internal and external radiation. In the light of our observations as well as the data existing in the literature, this review attempts to highlight the importance of follow-up studies for predicting the extent of genomic instability and its impact on delayed health risks in radiation-exposed victims.

61 RADIATION PROTECTION AND DOSIMETRY↗

Constraining Hamiltonians from chiral effective field theory with neutron-star data

Multi-messenger observations of neutron stars (NSs) and their mergers have placed strong constraints on the dense-matter equation of state (EOS). The EOS, in turn, depends on microscopic nuclear interactions that are described by nuclear Hamiltonians. These Hamiltonians are commonly derived within chiral effective field theory (EFT). Ideally, multi-messenger observations of NSs could be used to directly inform our understanding of EFT interactions, but such a direct inference necessitates millions of model evaluations. This is computationally prohibitive because each evaluation requires us to calculate the EOS from a Hamiltonian by solving the quantum many-body problem with methods such as auxiliary-field diffusion Monte Carlo (AFDMC), which provides very accurate and precise solutions but at a significant computational cost. Additionally, we need to solve the stellar structure equations for each EOS which further slows down each model evaluation by a few seconds. In this work, we combine emulators for AFDMC calculations of neutron matter, built using parametric matrix models, and for the stellar structure equations, built using multilayer perceptron neural networks, with the PyCBC data-analysis framework to enable a direct inference of coupling constants in an EFT Hamiltonian using multi-messenger observations of NSs. We find that astrophysical data can provide informative constraints on two-nucleon couplings despite the high densities probed in NS interiors.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Analysis of HolosGen Sub-Scale Simulator with Plant Dynamics Code

The Subcritical Power Module Sub-scale Simulator (SPM-SS) has been designed and constructed by HolosGen LLC under the ARPA-E MEITNER program to simulate the thermal-hydraulic and heat transfer behavior of the full-scale Holos-Quad Subcritical Power Modules (SPMs). Four coupled SPMs, each rated at 5.5MW, form the Holos-Quad gas-cooled microreactor design. The SPM-SS represents a substantially scaled-down system with a power rating less than 40 kW, equipped with an electrically heated fuel cartridge heat exchanger, an electrically heated compressor heat exchanger, and a valve actuated turbine heat exchanger, in addition to a recuperator and a cooler heat exchanger. The fuel cartridge represents a portion of the full-scale SPM core, the compressor heat exchanger mimics the temperature changes resulting from the compressor’s turbomachinery inefficiencies, the turbine heat exchanger mimics the expansion process normally occurring through the turbine, while the recuperator and cooler heat exchangers complete the subscale simulator loop. The heaters equipping the fuel cartridge and the compressor heat exchangers are electronically controlled to simulate normal and off-normal SPM operating conditions. The full-scale Holos-Quad SPM design eliminates the traditional balance of plant and executes thermal-to-electric energy conversion by means of an intercooled Brayton cycle with decoupled compressor-turbine turbomachinery. The Holos-Quad full-scale design is equipped with a multi-stage axial Low- and High-Pressure compressor, and a multistage axial turbine. The SPM-SS is designed for testing and validation of selected components which are instead coupled by a traditional balance of plant. The SPMSS is not equipped with turbo-machinery (compressor and turbine) as the development of these components were excluded from the scope of work under the ARPA-E MEITNER funding program. The SPM-SS balance of plant enables modifications, replacement and testing of individual components with different working fluids and is designed to include the turbo-machinery components that will be developed in future research . The SPM-SS can be operated with different gases, variable mass-flow-rates, pressures, and temperatures to obtain test data for selected components, whose performance can be scaled to validate the computer model of the full-scale SPM at various conditions (e.g., start-up, transients conditions). The SPM-SS can operate at the maximum Holos-Quad design pressure of 7 MPa, and a maximum temperature limited to 650 °C by the electrical heaters. Several SPM-SS tests have been conducted and analyzed with the Plant Dynamics Code (PDC) developed at the Argonne National Laboratory (ANL). These tests aimed at validating the PDC modeled predictions of the full-scale Holos-Quad design with data from selected SPM-SS components. In order to address SPM-SS specific characteristics, such as components heat losses and absence of turbomachinery components, some modifications to the PDC have been implemented to factor the design differences from the full-scale Holos-Quad SPM to the SPM-SS. As the PDC offers capabilities to analyze systems with different working fluids, air, nitrogen, and helium were utilized as the SPM-SS working fluids. Air was utilized to fine-tune the SPM-SS Systems Structures and Components (SSCs), nitrogen was utilized to pressure test the SPM-SS loop at the SPMs design maximum pressure of 7MPa. Helium was utilized as the working fluid circulating through the SPM-SS SSCs for specific tests to validate the PDC predictions of the fuel cartridge heat exchanger. SPM-SS tests data were also analyzed with both the steady-state and transient analysis capabilities offered by the PDC. This report describes the PDC analysis of the SPM-SS tests data, including the necessary code modifications and comparison of the code results with the experimental data. Based on the results, a discussion is presented on how the analysis supports design and transient calculations of the full-scale Holos-Quad microreactor. Also based on the results of this work, recommendations are made for future optimizations of the SPM-SS components and PDC model development needs.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Microstructure and in-service degradation of baffle former bolts – in-core components of light water reactors

This report presents a microstructure evaluation of the baffle former bolt, a commercial pressurized water reactor component. Using SEM, EDS, and EBSD analysis the material was identified as AISI 316 steel with an annealed austenite microstructure. Findings include abnormal grain growth in a fraction of the grains and the absence of retained ferrite. Notable observations include an overlapping of pre- and post-irradiation deformation, including defect-free channel formation as an active deformation mechanism in the near-surface layer of BFB. Specimen surfaces, exposed to high-temperature, high-pressure water, exhibited signs of in-service corrosion degradation. EBSD and EDS analyses highlighted intergranular corrosion, possible grain boundary oxidation with depths less than 3 µm, and, unexpectedly, short cracks filled with Cr-rich oxides measuring around 5-6 µm. The presence of defect-free channels from EBSD data suggests episodes of high mechanical stresses during service. The specimens provide a potentially unique insight into the in-service degradation of NPP components, strain localization, and crack initiation processes. An intact corrosion layer reveals a complex component's in-service history. Further research is underway for a detailed analysis.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Joint Inversion of Regional Waveform, First-Motion Polarity, and Synthetic Aperture Radar Surface Displacement for the Fourth and Sixth North Korean Declared Nuclear Explosions

Here, this study analyzed the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea’s (DPRK) fourth (DPRK4, 6 January 2016 M w 4.49) and sixth (DPRK6, 7 September 2017 M w 5.2) declared nuclear tests, employing a joint seismic and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) inversion to improve understanding of these events and enhance moment tensor (MT) inversion capabilities. The recent efforts have focused on employing seismic waveform and InSAR geodetic deformation data separately to analyze these and the previous nuclear tests (e.g., Chiang et al., 2018; Myers et al., 2018; Wang et al., 2018). Building upon our previous work (Chi-Durán et al., 2021), we performed a joint regional waveform, first-motion (FM) polarity, and surface displacement inversion, which demonstrated improved source-type discrimination, a revised MT solution with reduced scalar moment uncertainty, and an independently constrained location. In this article, we build on the previous results for DPRK6 by including an analysis using a four-layered velocity model with free-surface topography to compute the near-source static deformation Green’s functions. The model consists of a 50 m basalt layer (⁠V P = 2.07 km/s, V S = 1.2 km/s⁠), a 250 m stratified volcanic deposit layer (⁠V P = 1.73 km/s, V S = 1.0 km/s⁠), a 700 m weathered granodiorite layer (⁠V P = 2.5 km/s, V S = 1.3 km/s⁠⁠), and a granodiorite half-space (⁠V P = 5.35 km/s, V S = 3.09 km/s⁠⁠). The half-space shares the velocity of the regional MDJ2 velocity model (Ford et al., 2010), which has proven effective for waveform inversion in the region. This model considers the range of reported values for various lithologies and weathering effects. Our findings show that using the layered velocity model enhances the recovery of source location and depth for both the explosions by improving fits and reducing uncertainties. The joint inversion also improves source-type discrimination and better constrains the scalar seismic moment necessary for downstream yield estimation.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Emitted radiation characteristics of plutonium dioxide radioisotope thermoelectric generators

The nuclear and emitted radiation characteristics of the radioisotope elements and impurities in commercial grade plutonium dioxide are presented in detail. The development of the methods of analysis are presented. Radioisotope thermoelectric generators (RTG) of 1575, 3468 and 5679 thermal watts are characterized with respect to neutron and gamma photon source strength as well as spatial and number flux distribution. The results are presented as a function of detector position and light element contamination concentration for fuel age ranging from 'fresh' to 18 years. The data may be used to obtain results for given O-18 and Pu-236 concentrations. The neutron and gamma photon flux and dose calculations compare favorably with reported experimental values for SNAP-27.

Gingo, P. J.↗

Role of the likelihood for elastic scattering uncertainty quantification

In the last decade, uncertainty quantification (UQ) for optical model potentials (OMPs) has become a focal point for nuclear reaction theory, and several competing approaches for OMP UQ have recently been developed. Here, we clarify recent efforts to compare frequentist and Bayesian approaches in the context of OMP UQ [G. B. King et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 122, 232502 (2019)]. We replicate a portion of that OMP UQ study but use independent statistical tools. Specifically, we compare two methods for OMP parameter inference from elastic scattering data: the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm for χ 2 minimization on one hand and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling on the other. Separately, we assess the common practice of using a renormalized likelihood (χ 2 /N), N being the number of data points, instead of the canonical weighted-least-squares likelihood (χ 2 ), as a way of accounting for unknown data correlations. Here, we show that for a generic linear model and for a five-parameter OMP analysis, frequentist and uniform-prior Bayesian approaches recover the same optimum and uncertainty estimates—not systematically larger uncertainties for the Bayesian approach, as was concluded in G. B. King et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 122, 232502 (2019). Further, we show that if an additional, near-degenerate parameter is introduced into the same OMP analysis such that the parameter posterior becomes non-Gaussian, then covariance-based estimates of uncertainty become unreliable. Finally, we show that regardless of optimization approach, if χ 2 /N is used for the likelihood, the resulting parametric uncertainties increase by $\sqrt{N}$, and that this is responsible for the conclusions drawn in the revisited study. Based on our replication results, we find that a fortuitous cancellation of unreported errors and the renormalization factor can lead to improvement in empirical coverages, as was the case in the original comparative study. We emphasize that developing and applying a realistic likelihood function is an essential task in a UQ analysis, and that several recent UQ studies that employed a renormalized likelihood (i.e., including a 1/N factor) may have yielded unrealistically large uncertainties for elastic-scattering observables. If the parameter posterior deviates from multivariate-normal, a sampling-based approach like MCMC has a clear advantage over methods that assume the Laplace approximation holds. We note that empirical coverage can serve as an important internal check for the analyst whose model or data may have additional, unaccounted-for uncertainties.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Evaluating 239 Pu(n,f) cross sections via machine learning using experimental data, covariances, and measurement features

In this paper, the neutron-induced 239 Pu fission cross section, 239 Pu(n,f), is evaluated from 1–20 MeV using experimental data and associated covariances while also considering information on the measurement, termed features here. For instance, methods to determine the background, sample backing material, or impurities in the sample, are explicitly taken into account in the evaluation process. To this end, outliers in the experimental data are identified with a modified version of the Hybrid Robust Support Vector Machine. In a second step, two machine learning methods (logistic regression with elastic net regularization and random forest regression with SHAP feature importance metric) are used to highlight measurement features that are common among many of the outlying data points. Based on this analysis, penalty uncertainties are added to the experimental covariances of outlying data points that have outlier measurement features and are put through the generalized-least-squares evaluation. The resulting evaluated mean values and covariances differ distinctly from those data evaluated without the penalty uncertainties. These results highlight that certain measurement features should be more closely examined.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗