Laying a Foundation for Performance Assessment (PA) Model Development - 19267
Performance Assessment (PA) models are abstractions of real-world conditions. As abstractions, modelers must make a number of decisions regarding model complexity and which features, events, and processes (FEPs) will be represented. To ensure that such decisions are transparent to stakeholders, modelers should document their approach and how this approach influences conceptual model development. This paper describes one such approach. Examples are used to describe an analysis of the potential FEPs. Through the FEPs analysis, all potentially relevant FEPs can be identified. These potentially relevant FEPs are then used to develop a detailed conceptual model known as the Central Scenario, which includes a description of the assessment context, the key features of the site and the closure system, and the expected processes of the system. From this Central Scenario conceptual model, mathematical models can be developed and implemented within modeling software and used to demonstrate compliance to PA performance objectives. FEPs which are beyond the scope of the Central Scenario are identified and used as the basis for developing alternative conceptual models (ACMs) or sensitivity analyses. Once these models and modeling cases are defined, the necessary inputs can be identified and defined. (author)