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At least 1,639 records · Page 91

Inverse sequential detection of parameter changes in developing time series

Progressive values of two probabilities are obtained for parameter estimates derived from an existing set of values and from the same set enlarged by one or more new values, respectively. One probability is that of erroneously preferring the second of these estimates for the existing data ('type 1 error'), while the second probability is that of erroneously accepting their estimates for the enlarged test ('type 2 error'). A more stable combined 'no change' probability which always falls between 0.5 and 0 is derived from the (logarithmic) width of the uncertainty region of an equivalent 'inverted' sequential probability ratio test (SPRT, Wald 1945) in which the error probabilities are calculated rather than prescribed. A parameter change is indicated when the compound probability undergoes a progressive decrease. The test is explicitly formulated and exemplified for Gaussian samples.

Radok, Uwe↗

An RR Lyrae period shift in terms of the Fourier parameter Phi sub 31

The Fourier phase parameter Phi sub 31 has been determined for RRc stars in five globular clusters, NGC 6171, M5, M3, M53, and M15. The results indicate that the RRc stars in a given cluster show a sequence of Phi sub 31 increasing with period, and that the higher the cluster metallicity, the higher the sequence lies in a plot of Phi sub 31 with period. The Phi sub 31 values for the stars in NGC 6171 and M5 presented here are based on observations made with the University of Toronto 0.61 m telescope at Las Campanas, Chile, while those for M3, M53, and M15 are based on published data. A bootstrap procedure has been used to establish the uncertainties in the Fourier parameters. The physical significance of the relationship among Phi sub 31, period, and metallicity is not yet understood. It will need to be tested with hydrodynamic pulsation models computed with new opacities.

Clement, Christine M.↗

Improved spectroscopic line parameters for the ozone molecule

Recently available spectral O3 line parameters are summarized and progress in remote sensing based on these parameters is discussed. Particular attention is given to covering line positions, line intensities and linewidths for both the main isotopic species (O-16)3 and the isotopic variants (O-16)(O-18)(O-16) and (O-16)(O-16)(O-18).

Flaud, J.-M.↗

Inversion of snow parameters from passive microwave remote sensing measurements by a neural network trained with a multiple scattering model

Simultaneous inversion of the three parameters was performed which included mean-grain size of ice particles in snow, snow density, and snow temperatures from five brightness temperatures. Good results for the inversion of parameters were obtained using the neural network based on the simulated data computed from the dense media radiative transfer equation that takes into account the effects of multiple scattering.

Tsang, Leung↗

Variability of geophysical parameters from aircraft radiance measurements for FIFE

Airborne multispectral images were gathered on two days during the First ISLCP Field Experiment (FIFE) to study the time and space variability of remotely sensed geophysical parameters over the study region. The data sets comprised multiple overflights covering approximately a 60-min period during late morning on 04 June 1987 and shortly after dark on the subsequent day. Image data from each overpass were calibrated and earth-located, with regard to each other, utilizing aircraft INS parameters and ground control points.

Jedlovec, Gary J.↗

Fracture mechanics parameters for small fatigue cracks

This paper presents a review of some common small-crack test specimens, the underlying causes of the small-crack effect, and the fracture-mechanics parameters that have been used to correlate or predict their growth behavior. This review concentrates on continuum mechanics concepts and on the nonlinear behavior of small cracks. The paper reviews some stress-intensity factor solutions for small-crack test specimens and develops some simple elastic-plastic J integral and cyclic J integral expressions that include the influence of crack-closure. These parameters were applied to small-crack growth data on two aluminum alloys, and a fatigue life prediction methodology is demonstrated. For these materials, the crack-closure transient from the plastic wake was found to be the major factor in causing the small-crack effect.

Newman, J. C., Jr.↗

Remote radio observations of solar wind parameters upstream of planetary bow shocks

Radio emission is frequently produced at twice the electron plasma frequency 2fp in the foreshock region upstream of the terrestrial bow shock. Observations of this emission provide a remote diagnostic of solar wind parameters in the foreshock. Using ISEE-3 radio data, we present the first evidence that the radio intensity is proportional to the kinetic energy flux and to other parameters correlated with solar wind density. We provide a qualitative explanation of this intensity behavior and predict the detection of similar emission at Jupiter by the Ulysses spacecraft.

Macdowall, R. J.↗

The sensitivity of identified modal parameters to sensor placement errors and construction tolerances

This paper examines the sensitivity of experimentally measured modal frequencies and mode shapes to structural reassembly and sensor placement errors on a suspended three-bay truss. The statistical variations of identified mode shapes and frequencies are measured by repeated experiments. Both parameters are shown to vary measurably more with reassembly than sensor placement errors. Also, a directional stiffness in the truss joints was found to cause a parameter dependence on member orientation during reconstruction.

Hinkle, Jason↗

Sensitivity derivatives for advanced CFD algorithm and viscous modelling parameters via automatic differentiation

The computational technique of automatic differentiation (AD) is applied to a three-dimensional thin-layer Navier-Stokes multigrid flow solver to assess the feasibility and computational impact of obtaining exact sensitivity derivatives typical of those needed for sensitivity analyses. Calculations are performed for an ONERA M6 wing in transonic flow with both the Baldwin-Lomax and Johnson-King turbulence models. The wing lift, drag, and pitching moment coefficients are differentiated with respect to two different groups of input parameters. The first group consists of the second- and fourth-order damping coefficients of the computational algorithm, whereas the second group consists of two parameters in the viscous turbulent flow physics modelling. Results obtained via AD are compared, for both accuracy and computational efficiency with the results obtained with divided differences (DD). The AD results are accurate, extremely simple to obtain, and show significant computational advantage over those obtained by DD for some cases.

Green, Lawrence L.↗

The distribution of flare parameters and implications for coronal heating

Assuming that solar hard X-ray flares are caused by bremsstrahlung from a distribution of accelerated electrons impinging on a thick target, we determine the relationship between the total flare energy released in the corona and observable flare parameters. It is shown that for the more numerous smaller flares to be energetically more important than larger ones, there must be an anticorrelation between observed flux and one or more of the photon spectral index, the total flare duration, the ratio of the total energy that goes into heating the corona to the energy that goes into acceleration of electrons, and the reciprocal of the low-energy cutoff of the accelerated electron spectrum. Using a new statistical test which properly takes account of data truncation due to observational selection effects, we find that neither spectral index nor duration show an anticorrelation with flux in ISEE 3/ICE hard X-ray data. Using a nonparametric method, we obtain single distributions of peak flux, spectral index, duration, and fluence, corrected for selection biases. The functional forms of these distributions do not support coronal heating by numerous small flares without very specific behavior by yet unobserved parameters.

Lee, Theodore T.↗

Effects of model deficiencies on parameter estimation

Reliable structural dynamic models will be required as a basis for deriving the reduced-order plant models used in control systems for large space structures. Ground vibration testing and model verification will play an important role in the development of these models; however, fundamental differences between the space environment and earth environment, as well as variations in structural properties due to as-built conditions, will make on-orbit identification essential. The efficiency, and perhaps even the success, of on-orbit identification will depend on having a valid model of the structure. It is envisioned that the identification process will primarily involve parametric methods. Given a correct model, a variety of estimation algorithms may be used to estimate parameter values. This paper explores the effects of modeling errors and model deficiencies on parameter estimation by reviewing previous case histories. The effects depend at least to some extent on the estimation algorithm being used. Bayesian estimation was used in the case histories presented here. It is therefore conceivable that the behavior of an estimation algorithm might be useful in detecting and possibly even diagnosing deficiencies. In practice, the task is complicated by the presence of systematic errors in experimental procedures and data processing and in the use of the estimation procedures themselves.

Hasselman, T. K.↗

Parameter identification of material constants in a composite shell structure

One of the basic requirements in engineering analysis is the development of a mathematical model describing the system. Frequently comparisons with test data are used as a measurement of the adequacy of the model. An attempt is typically made to update or improve the model to provide a test verified analysis tool. System identification provides a systematic procedure for accomplishing this task. The terms system identification, parameter estimation, and model correlation all refer to techniques that use test information to update or verify mathematical models. The goal of system identification is to improve the correlation of model predictions with measured test data, and produce accurate, predictive models. For nonmetallic structures the modeling task is often difficult due to uncertainties in the elastic constants. A finite element model of the shell was created, which included uncertain orthotropic elastic constants. A modal survey test was then performed on the shell. The resulting modal data, along with the finite element model of the shell, were used in a Bayes estimation algorithm. This permitted the use of covariance matrices to weight the confidence in the initial parameter values as well as confidence in the measured test data. The estimation procedure also employed the concept of successive linearization to obtain an approximate solution to the original nonlinear estimation problem.

Martinez, David R.↗

Lifting-surface-theory aspect-ratio corrections to the lift and hinge-moment parameters for full-span elevators on horizontal tail surfaces

A limited number of lifting-surface-theory solutions for wings with chordwise loadings resulting from angle of attack, parabolic-ac camber, and flap deflection are now available. These solutions were studied with the purpose of determining methods of extrapolating the results in such a way that they could be used to determine lifting-surface-theory values of the aspect-ratio corrections to the lift and hinge-moment parameters for both angle-of-attack and flap-deflection-type loading that could be used to predict the characteristics of horizontal tail surfaces from section data with sufficient accuracy for engineering purposes. Such a method was devised for horizontal tail surfaces with full-span elevators. In spite of the fact that the theory involved is rather complex, the method is simple to apply and may be applied without any knowledge of lifting-surface theory. A comparison of experimental finite-span and section value and of the estimated values of the lift and hinge-moment parameters for three horizontal tail surfaces was made to provide an experimental verification of the method suggested. (author)

Swanson, Robert S↗

Applications of computer algebra to distributed parameter systems

In the analysis of vibrations of continuous elastic systems, one often encounters complicated transcendental equations with roots directly related to the system's natural frequencies. Typically, these equations contain system parameters whose values must be specified before a numerical solution can be obtained. The present paper presents a method whereby the fundamental frequency can be obtained in analytical form to any desired degree of accuracy. The method is based upon truncation of rapidly converging series involving inverse powers of the system natural frequencies. A straightforward method to developing these series and summing them in closed form is presented. It is demonstrated how Computer Algebra can be exploited to perform the intricate analytical procedures which otherwise would render the technique difficult to apply in practice. We illustrate the method by developing two analytical approximations to the fundamental frequency of a vibrating cantilever carrying a rigid tip body. The results are compared to the numerical solution of the exact (transcendental) frequency equation over a range of system parameters.

Storch, Joel A.↗

Evaluation of polarimetric SAR parameters for soil moisture retrieval

Results of ongoing efforts to develop an algorithm for soil moisture retrieval from Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery are reported. Estimates of soil moisture are of great importance in numerous environmental studies, including hydrology, meteorology, and agriculture. Previous studies using extensive scatterometer measurements have established the optimum parameters for moisture retrieval as C-band HH radar operating at incidence angles between 10 to 15 deg. However, these parameters were not tested or verified with imaging radar systems. The results from different investigators showed considerable variability in the relationship between soil moisture and radar backscattering. This variability suggests that those algorithms are site-specific. Furthermore, the small incidence angle requirement limits the spatial application, especially for airborne radar systems.

Shi, Jian-Cheng↗

Comparison of radiation and cloud parameters derived from satellite and aircraft measurements during FIRE 2 cirrus IFO

Meteorological satellite instrument pixel sizes are often much greater than the individual cloud elements in a given scene. Partially cloud-filled pixels can be misinterpreted in many analysis schemes because the techniques usually assume that all of the cloudy pixels are cloud filled. Coincident Landsat and Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) data and degraded-resolution Landsat data were used to study the effects of both sensor resolution and analysis techniques on satellite-derived cloud parameters. While extremely valuable for advancing the understanding of these effects, these previous studies were relatively limited in the number of cloud conditions that were observed and by the limited viewing and illumination conditions. During the First ISCCP Regional Experiment (FIRE) Phase 2 (13 Nov. - 7 Dec. 1991), the NASA ER-2 made several flights over a wide range of cloud fields and backgrounds with several high resolution sensors useful for a variety of purposes including serving as ground truth for satellite-based cloud retrievals. This paper takes a first look at utilizing the ER-2 for validating cloud parameters derived from GOES and NOAA-11 Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) data.

Heck, Patrick W.↗