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At least 1,639 records · Page 91

A Bayesian and HRA-Aided Method for the Novel Reliability Analysis of Software

Technological advancements and nuclear power plant modernization has inspired considerable research in the areas of safety and reliability, yet there remains a lack of consensus for the reliability assessment of digital instrumentation and control (I&C) systems. Motivated by the lack of consensus for reliability analysis methods, this work employs a novel framework that incorporates Bayesian, human reliability, and common-cause failure (CCF) modeling techniques. The novel framework allows the use of state-of-the-art or classical modeling techniques when accounting for human and CCF effects on system reliability. The Bayesian and HRA-Aided Method for the Reliability Analysis of Software (BAHAMAS) is demonstrated by a case study for the quantification of software hazards found in a previous analysis of a digital reactor trip system. The results demonstrate the ability of BAHAMAS to account for human activities during the software development life cycle and their influence on software reliability. BAHAMAS is a flexible tool for extending the coverage of conventional probabilistic risk assessments to include modernized digital I&C systems.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Outage Analysis for Cooperative mmWave UAV Communications With Beam Training Overhead

In this letter, we investigate the tradeoff between reliability and beam training overhead in cooperative millimeter wave (mmWave) unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) communications. In particular, we analyze how outage probability varies with the number of neighboring UAVs being probed as potential relays for relay selection. Unlike existing work, the limited number of UAV beams as well as UAV orientations are explicitly considered in our analysis. Here we derive the outage probability in closed form and verify our analysis via simulations. The results facilitate us to understand the fundamental limits of cooperative mmWave UAV communications.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Module Degradation Mechanisms Studied by a Multi-Scale Approach

A key pathway to meeting the Department of Energy SunShot 2020 goals is to reduce financing costs by improving investor confidence through improved photovoltaic (PV) module reliability. A comprehensive approach to further understand and improve PV reliability includes characterization techniques and modeling from module to atomic scale. Imaging techniques, which include photoluminescence, electroluminescence, and lock-in thermography, are used to locate localized defects responsible for module degradation. Small area samples containing such defects are prepared using coring techniques and are then suitable and available for microscopic study and specific defect modeling and analysis.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Mass loss from red giants - Results from ultraviolet spectroscopy

New instrumentation in space, primarily the IUE spacecraft, has enabled the application of ultraviolet spectroscopic techniques to the determination of physical properties and reliable mass loss rates for red giant winds. One important result is the determination of where in the H-R diagram are found stars with hot outer atmospheres and with cool winds. So far it appears that single cool stars, except perhaps the so-called hybrid stars, have either hot outer atmospheres or cool winds but not both. The C II resonance (1335 A) and intersystem (2325 A) multiplets have been used to derive temperatures, densities, and geometrical extents for the chromospheric portions of red giant winds, with the result that the red giants and the earlier giants with hot coronae have qualitatively different chromospheres. Mass loss rates can now be derived accurately from the analysis of asymmetric emission lines, such as the Mg II resonance lines, and from P Cygni profile lines of atoms in the dominant ionization stage when a hot star is available to probe the wind of a red giant. The Zeta Aur systems, consisting of a K-M supergiant and a main sequence B star are important systems for reliable mass loss rates for the red supergiant components are becoming available.

Linsky, J. L.↗

Reliability Issues in Stirling Radioisotope Power Systems

Stirling power conversion is a potential candidate for use in a Radioisotope Power System (RPS) for space science missions because it offers a multifold increase in the conversion efficiency of heat to electric power and reduced requirement of radioactive material. Reliability of an RPS that utilizes Stirling power conversion technology is important in order to ascertain long term successful performance. Owing to long life time requirement (14 years), it is difficult to perform long-term tests that encompass all the uncertainties involved in the design variables of components and subsystems comprising the RPS. The requirement for uninterrupted performance reliability and related issues are discussed, and some of the critical areas of concern are identified. An overview of the current on-going efforts to understand component life, design variables at the component and system levels, and related sources and nature of uncertainties are also discussed. Current status of the 110 watt Stirling Radioisotope Generator (SRG110) reliability efforts is described. Additionally, an approach showing the use of past experience on other successfully used power systems to develop a reliability plan for the SRG110 design is outlined.

Shah, Ashwin R.↗

Reliability Issues in Stirling Radioisotope Power Systems

Stirling power conversion is a potential candidate for use in a Radioisotope Power System (RPS) for space science missions because it offers a multifold increase in the conversion efficiency of heat to electric power and reduced requirement of radioactive material. Reliability of an RPS that utilizes Stirling power conversion technology is important in order to ascertain long term successful performance. Owing to long life time requirement (14 years), it is difficult to perform long-term tests that encompass all the uncertainties involved in the design variables of components and subsystems comprising the RPS. The requirement for uninterrupted performance reliability and related issues are discussed, and some of the critical areas of concern are identified. An overview of the current on-going efforts to understand component life, design variables at the component and system levels, and related sources and nature of uncertainties are also discussed. Current status of the 110 watt Stirling Radioisotope Generator (SRG110) reliability efforts is described. Additionally, an approach showing the use of past experience on other successfully used power systems to develop a reliability plan for the SRG110 design is outlined.

Schreiber, Jeffrey↗

Bias correcting regional scale Earth system model projections: novel approach using empirical mode decomposition

Bias correction is a crucial step in using Earth system model outputs for assessments, as it adjusts systematic errors by comparing the model to observations. However, standard methods – ranging from mean-based linear scaling to distribution-based quantile mapping typically treat bias correction as a single-scale process, overlooking the fact that biases can manifest differently across daily, seasonal, and annual timescales. In this study, we propose a novel, timescale-aware bias-correction approach built on Empirical Mode Decomposition. By decomposing the meteorological signal into multiple oscillatory components and aggregating them to represent distinct timescales, we apply targeted corrections to each component, thereby preserving both short- and long-term structure in the data. Experimental illustrations show that the timescale-aware EMDBC framework matches the performance of conventional quantile-delta mapping (QDM) at the native daily scale and achieves progressively larger bias reductions at bi-weekly, seasonal, and annual scales. As a result, the proposed approach offers a more robust path to accurate and reliable Earth system projections, strengthening their utility for resilience and adaptation planning.

Ganguli, Arkaprabha [Argonne National Laboratory (↗

Long Term Per-Component Power and Thermal Measurements of the OLCF Summit System

As we move into the exascale era, the power and energy footprints of high-performance computing (HPC) systems have grown significantly larger. Due to the harsh power and thermal conditions the system, components are exposed to extreme operating conditions. Operation of such modern HPC systems requires deep insights into long term system behavior to maintain its efficiency as well as its longevity. To help the HPC community to gain such insights, we provide a dataset that records the long-term power and thermal behavior of the 200PF pre-exascale supercomputer at the Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility (OLCF), Summit. This system is an IBM AC922 based system that has 9,252 IBM Power9 CPUs and 27,756 Nvidia V100 GPUs and can consume up to 13MW power at peak. Heat removal is performed using medium temperature direct liquid cooling and rear-door heat exchanger based secondary cooling loop. Originally extracted from a high-resolution (1Hz) per-component (GPUs, CPUs) measurements from the system, we primarily provide a dataset that has 10-second and 1-minute mean power and thermal measurements selected from five month-long segments over the course of 2020 (January and August), 2021 (February and August), and 2022 (January). For convenience, we also provide various sub datasets randomly sampled from the time and space (hosts) of the cluster. Further details and example code for analysis can be found in the following GitHub repository: https://github.com/at-aaims/summit_power_and_thermal_data

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Distributed Engine Control Empirical/Analytical Verification Tools

NASA's vision for an intelligent engine will be realized with the development of a truly distributed control system featuring highly reliable, modular, and dependable components capable of both surviving the harsh engine operating environment and decentralized functionality. A set of control system verification tools was developed and applied to a C-MAPSS40K engine model, and metrics were established to assess the stability and performance of these control systems on the same platform. A software tool was developed that allows designers to assemble easily a distributed control system in software and immediately assess the overall impacts of the system on the target (simulated) platform, allowing control system designers to converge rapidly on acceptable architectures with consideration to all required hardware elements. The software developed in this program will be installed on a distributed hardware-in-the-loop (DHIL) simulation tool to assist NASA and the Distributed Engine Control Working Group (DECWG) in integrating DCS (distributed engine control systems) components onto existing and next-generation engines.The distributed engine control simulator blockset for MATLAB/Simulink and hardware simulator provides the capability to simulate virtual subcomponents, as well as swap actual subcomponents for hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) analysis. Subcomponents can be the communication network, smart sensor or actuator nodes, or a centralized control system. The distributed engine control blockset for MATLAB/Simulink is a software development tool. The software includes an engine simulation, a communication network simulation, control algorithms, and analysis algorithms set up in a modular environment for rapid simulation of different network architectures; the hardware consists of an embedded device running parts of the CMAPSS engine simulator and controlled through Simulink. The distributed engine control simulation, evaluation, and analysis technology provides unique capabilities to study the effects of a given change to the control system in the context of the distributed paradigm. The simulation tool can support treatment of all components within the control system, both virtual and real; these include communication data network, smart sensor and actuator nodes, centralized control system (FADEC full authority digital engine control), and the aircraft engine itself. The DECsim tool can allow simulation-based prototyping of control laws, control architectures, and decentralization strategies before hardware is integrated into the system. With the configuration specified, the simulator allows a variety of key factors to be systematically assessed. Such factors include control system performance, reliability, weight, and bandwidth utilization.

DeCastro, Jonathan↗

Maximising the investment returns of a grid‐connected battery considering degradation cost

Energy storage systems (ESSs) are being deployed widely due to numerous benefits including operational flexibility, high ramping capability, and decreasing costs. This study investigates the economic benefits provided by battery ESSs when they are deployed for market‐related applications, considering the battery degradation cost. A comprehensive investment planning framework is presented, which estimates the maximum revenue that the ESS can generate over its lifetime and provides the necessary tools to investors for aiding the decision making process regarding an ESS project. The applications chosen for this study are energy arbitrage and frequency regulation. Lithium‐ion batteries are considered due to their wide popularity arising from high efficiency, high energy density, and declining costs. A new degradation cost model based on energy throughput and cycle count is developed for Lithium‐ion batteries participating in electricity markets. The lifetime revenue of ESS is calculated considering battery degradation and a cost–benefit analysis is performed to provide investors with an estimate of the net present value, return on investment and payback period. The effect of considering the degradation cost on the estimated revenue is also studied. The proposed approach is demonstrated on the IEEE Reliability Test System and historical data from PJM Interconnection.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Elevated temperature transmission Kikuchi diffraction in the SEM

Highlights: • The potential of high temperature in-situ TKD characterization is demonstrated. • High quality Kikuchi patterns can be obtained at high temperature. • The very local heat of the MEMS-based heating system minimises infrared radiation. • TKD is a suitable technique for in-situ studies of solid state dewetting. - Abstract: Transmission Kikuchi diffraction (TKD) facilitates automated orientation mapping of thin films in scanning electron microscopes (SEM). In this study TKD is applied for the first time to perform in-situ annealing experiments on gold thin films deposited on a MEMS-based heating system. The very local heating associated with this system enables reliable TKD measurements at elevated temperatures without notable disturbance from infrared radiation. The dewetting of an Au thin film into Au nanoparticles upon heating is followed with orientation mapping in a temperature range between 20 °C and 900 °C. The local thickness variation associated with the dewetting is observed qualitatively by observing the intensity of the transmitted beam, which decreases as the film thickness increases locally. The results of this study reveal that TKD is a well suited technique to study thin-film stability and solid state dewetting. Moreover, the outcome of this methodological study provides a baseline for further in-situ crystallographic studies of electron transparent samples in the SEM.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

Accelerated Stress Testing Results on Single-Channel and Multichannel Drivers (Final Report)

Drivers used to operate light-emitting diode (LED) loads form an integral part of the solid-state lighting (SSL) system. While understanding of LED failure modes such as luminous flux depreciation and chromaticity shifts has increased greatly over the past five years, there is still much uncertainty about general failure modes in SSL drivers due to the almost infinite variety of driver typologies. This report, which is the third in a series of three reports on driver robustness, summarizes overall findings from up to 7,500 hours of accelerated stress testing (AST) on two-stage SSL drivers that could be used to operate troffers and similar fixtures. The earlier reports in this series provided initial AST results for both single-channel and multichannel drivers and an interim update on the performance of multichannel drivers in AST.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Passivation Mechanisms in Locally Etched P-Type Poly-Si on Silicon Nitride/Silicon Oxide Stack

Tunneling oxide passivated contacts are quickly becoming the industry standard for high-efficiency c-Si based photovoltaic cells. Further development of these structures is essential to enable higher efficiencies and better reliability of cells. By utilizing poly-Si/SixNy/SiOx stacks, very high efficiencies have been demonstrated on small area cells. In this work we investigate the cause of the excellent passivation seen by these structures and show that the primary reason of the excellent passivation seen is the blocking B diffusion to the SiOx/c -Si interface. We also show that the interface between the silicon nitride and polysilicon affects B diffusion through to the c-Si interface. Finally, we demonstrate that the composition of the nitride used is of great importance, and that an incorrect nitride composition leads to B diffusion, and is directly correlated to poor passivation performance.

industries↗

Optimum design of spacecraft radiators for large capacity or long duration mission applications

Results of trade studies comparing optimum pumped fluid and hybrid heat pipe/pumped fluid radiator designs are presented. Design variables considered in the system optimization analyses include transport fluid properties and Reynolds number, pump loop component reliabilities, micrometeoroid protection, heat pipe spacing, manifolding and flow routing in pumped fluid designs, transport tubing spacing and diameters, and radiator fin parameters. Criteria for evaluating candidate radiator system designs include mass, radiator area, and overall system reliability. The studies show advantages in constructing large systems from small independent subsystems with oversizing to account for subsystem failures. The optimum size and survivability of the subsystems are identified as a function of the radiator construction, the system heat rejection requirements, the mission duration, and the system reliability requirements.

Leach, J. W.↗

Achieving extraordinary thermal stability of salt hydrate eutectic composites by amending crystallization behaviour with thickener

Commercial thermal energy storage (TES) systems necessitate reliable thermal performance throughout their operational lifetime. Repeated volume changes of the phase change materials (PCMs) during thermal cycling disengages thermal contacts between the conductive fillers like expanded graphite (EG) in TES composites, causing unstable thermal conductivity (k) that fades with cycling. Our in-operando crystallization studies on eutectic PCM made of zinc nitrate hexahydrate (ZNH) and KNO 3 revealed that the thermal stability of PCM composites can be considerably degraded by the formation of large and sharp-cornered PCM crystals during the freezing cycle. While the crystals can push EG particles, disengaging thermal contacts between them, we have newly discovered that carboxymethyl cellulose (CMC) can be used to retain the thermal contacts by forming networks of smaller PCM crystals. Furthermore, the scalable synthesis methodology of EG/ZNH eutectic composites was introduced. Here, in this study, EG particles were strongly connected into a matrix via a stable, corrosion resistant polydimethylsiloxane (PDMS) binder, stabilizing thermal networks and thereby maintaining k up to 1000 melt/freeze cycles. The thermal conductivity of our 25 vol% EG sample (13.3 W m -1 K -1 ) is more than 48% higher than other salt hydrate eutectic composites reported in the literature. We expect this study to provide insights on cooperative interaction between different components of TES systems (PCM, filler, thickener, binder) for exceptionally robust thermal properties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

OLCF Summit Supercomputer GPU Snapshots During Double-Bit Errors and Normal Operations

As we move into the exascale era, the power and energy footprints of high-performance computing (HPC) systems have grown significantly larger. Due to the harsh power and thermal conditions the system, components are exposed to extreme operating conditions. Operation of such modern HPC systems requires deep insights into long term system behavior to maintain its efficiency as well as its longevity. To help the HPC community to gain such insights, we provide double-bit errors using system telemetry data and logs collected from the Summit supercomputer, equipped with 27,648 Tesla V100 GPUs with 2nd-generation high-bandwidth memory (HBM2). The dataset relies on Nvidia XID records internally collected by GPU firmware at the time of failure occurrence, on the reboot-time logs of each Summit node, on node-level job scheduler records collected after each job termination, and on a 1Hz data rate from the baseboard management controllers (BMCs) of each Summit compute node using the OpenBMC event subscription protocol. Technical details can be found in the paper Oles et. al “Understanding GPU Memory Corruption at Extreme Scale: The Summit Case Study” ICS’24 (https://doi.org/10.1145/3650200.3656615).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Assessment of Thin Plastic Scintillation Detectors for Beta-Particle Measurements at the Advanced Test Reactor Critical Facility

The Fission Wire Measurement System is a custom measurement system designed in the 1960s to measure the beta-particle activity of irradiated uranium-aluminum fission wires. This measurement is conducted to determine the fission rate profile of the Advanced Reactor Test Critical facility. The Advanced Test Reactor Critical facility is an open-pool, low-power test reactor used to qualify experiment configurations and verify core models prior to full-power experiment irradiations in the Advanced Test Reactor. Power distribution measurements in ATR-C use uranium-aluminum wires that are distributed throughout the core to validate simulation and modeling results. These measurements require from 340 to 1500 wires to be irradiated and measured within a 12-hour window. The system consists of 4 measurement channels and one reference channel, each with a 2-pi proportional gas flow detector and the measurement channels each have an automated sample changer. The gas flow detectors are of a custom design for this detector system that use methane gas with a large anode wire compared to modern proportional counters. These detectors, which are nearly 60 years old are irreplaceable. The measurements from these gas detectors are affected by the gas flow rate, atmospheric and line pressure, and are very sensitive to the applied high voltage. Recent improvements have been made to the control and data acquisition system, but the detectors have remained the same. The nature of the measurement of the fission product decay activity is such that the energy spectrum of the signal is changing with time. Thin, 250-um thick, plastic scintillators were commercially obtained as a potential replacement for the gas flow detectors. The original calibration of the uranium-aluminum fission wires was conducted in 1965 using a series of irradiations of gold foils and the wires in a well-characterized thermal neutron field. These measurements provided a time-dependent fission rate conversion factor from the gold foil data to calibrate the fission wires based on the response from the 2-pi proportional gas detectors. Transitioning to the new detectors requires qualification and testing. The sensitivity of the scintillators to changes in the energy spectrum of the fission wires and translation of the calibration factor have been completed. These measurements indicated that the sensitivity of the scintillators over time changes at a different rate than the sensitivity of the gas flow detectors. However, the inverse activity of measurements of both detector types is linear with time. Initial results indicate that the scintillator detectors will be a sufficient replacement for the gas detectors with minor adjustments to the fission rate conversion factor. Replacement of the detectors will improve the fission wire measurements and provide a more stable and reliable measurement system.

46 - INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AN↗

Developing Reliable Life Support for Mars

A human mission to Mars will require highly reliable life support systems. Mars life support systems may recycle water and oxygen using systems similar to those on the International Space Station (ISS). However, achieving sufficient reliability is less difficult for ISS than it will be for Mars. If an ISS system has a serious failure, it is possible to provide spare parts, or directly supply water or oxygen, or if necessary bring the crew back to Earth. Life support for Mars must be designed, tested, and improved as needed to achieve high demonstrated reliability. A quantitative reliability goal should be established and used to guide development t. The designers should select reliable components and minimize interface and integration problems. In theory a system can achieve the component-limited reliability, but testing often reveal unexpected failures due to design mistakes or flawed components. Testing should extend long enough to detect any unexpected failure modes and to verify the expected reliability. Iterated redesign and retest may be required to achieve the reliability goal. If the reliability is less than required, it may be improved by providing spare components or redundant systems. The number of spares required to achieve a given reliability goal depends on the component failure rate. If the failure rate is under estimated, the number of spares will be insufficient and the system may fail. If the design is likely to have undiscovered design or component problems, it is advisable to use dissimilar redundancy, even though this multiplies the design and development cost. In the ideal case, a human tended closed system operational test should be conducted to gain confidence in operations, maintenance, and repair. The difficulty in achieving high reliability in unproven complex systems may require the use of simpler, more mature, intrinsically higher reliability systems. The limitations of budget, schedule, and technology may suggest accepting lower and less certain expected reliability. A plan to develop reliable life support is needed to achieve the best possible reliability.

life support↗