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At least 1,639 records · Page 91

Decentralised Reinforcement Learning for Dynamic Cyberattack Response in Microgrid Networks

Microgrids rely on communication networks for reliable operation, which makes them inherently vulnerable to cyberattacks. Such attacks can destabilise system dynamics and drive states away from their nominal operating trajectories. Although several physics-informed and machine learning-based strategies have been developed to counter these threats, the rapidly evolving cyber landscape enables adversaries to bypass static defences or rules-based mitigation approaches. This paper proposes a dynamic, online-trained and fully decentralised reinforcement learning (RL)-based cyberattack response framework to protect microgrids from evolving cyberattacks. The proposed framework deploys multiple deep Q-networks (DQNs), each associated with a distributed energy resource (DER), to enable localised and adaptive attack mitigation. In this framework, each DQN processes local voltage and frequency measurements—combined with intrusion detection system (IDS) alerts—as observations and rewards to guide decision-making. Extensive simulation studies demonstrate the robustness of the proposed framework under diverse attack scenarios and varying IDS-induced detection delays. Comparative analysis highlights its superiority over existing static or preexisting rules-based mitigation approaches. Finally, we present an analysis that shows the framework's scalability to real-life microgrids with more interacting agents.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Excitation of long electrostatic solitary waves in ion beam neutralization process

Unusually long electrostatic solitary waves (ESWs) are discovered in a particle-in-cell simulation study of the process of ion beam neutralization by electron emission from a filament. These ESWs are long because the density perturbation responses to the potential wells created by the ESWs are very small. Notably, the density perturbation is small because the trapped (positive) and untrapped (negative) electron density perturbations nearly compensate each other because of a non-Maxwellian electron velocity distribution in the beam.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Modeling of carbon and tungsten transient dust influx in tokamak edge plasma

The paper presents computer simulation studies of burst injection of carbon and tungsten dust particles in DIII-D-like edge plasmas. The injection causes a large transient influx of the low- and high-Z impurities associated with the dust ablation in the plasmas. The dust transport and the effects of the ablated impurities on the edge plasma dynamics in a modern mid-size tokamak geometry are investigated for low- and high-power plasma discharge conditions. The core plasma contamination with dust-ablated impurities and the factors affecting it are evaluated.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Perspective: Are glasses really frozen?

A glass is obtained by cooling a liquid fast enough to avoid crystallization. It is a solid with elastic constants and density similar to those of a crystal with the same composition. It is customarily assumed that the structure of a glass is frozen, and atoms are largely locked into a random, but specific, structure; while a small number of loosely bound atoms may be mobile, most atoms are frozen at room temperature and below. However, recent simulation studies on metallic glasses present a rather different picture. A very significant fraction (~20%) of atoms are not frozen and locally mobile, even down to T = 0 partly because of quantum effect. Here, we describe these observations and discuss their implications on the nature of the glass structure and the origin of the glass transition.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Development of a high charge 10 GeV laser electron accelerator

Low-density meter-scale plasma waveguides produced in meter-scale supersonic gas jets have paved the way for recent demonstrations of all-optical multi-gigaelectronvolt laser wakefield acceleration (LWFA). This paper reviews recent advances by the University of Maryland, which have enabled these results, focusing on the development of elongated supersonic gas jets up to ∼1 m in length, experimental and simulation studies of plasma waveguide formation, and a new three-stage model for relativistic pulse propagation dynamics in these waveguides. We also present results from recent LWFA experiments conducted at the Laboratory for Advanced Lasers and Extreme Photonics at Colorado State University demonstrating high charge, low divergence electron bunches to ∼10 GeV, with laser-to-electron beam efficiency of at least ∼30%.

Rockafellow, E. [Univ. of Maryland, College Park, ↗

Numerical demonstration of Biermann-generated magnetic fields in a laser-driven cylindrical implosion platform

We present two-dimensional radiation-magnetohydrodynamics FLASH simulations studying Biermann battery generated magnetic fields in a convergent geometry based on modifying an existing laser direct drive cylindrical implosion platform at Los Alamos National Laboratory. During the laser driven implosion, instabilities can arise as the target converges, and in a plasma, such instabilities can generate magnetic fields via the Biermann battery. After significant redesign (lowering the inner foam fill density, deceasing the ablator mass, and modifying the laser pulse), we demonstrate that magnetic fields reach strengths of many hundred kilogauss and persist over a nanosecond time scale. Such results pave the way for an experimental campaign for further code verification and validation.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Thermal exchange-correlation functionals: Capturing quantum electron behavior in warm, dense plasmas

We summarize and give perspective upon recent progress in developing non-empirical constraint-based thermal (i.e., free energy) exchange-correlation (XC) density functionals essential for accurate description of the quantum behavior of electrons in warm, dense plasmas. After delineating the critical role of ground-state functionals for zero-temperature, time-dependent DFT, we outline the underpinnings of local density approximation, generalized gradient approximation (GGA), and meta-GGA XC free-energy functionals. Two basic thermalization principles for upgrading ground-state XC functionals to successful thermal ones are emphasized. Then, we turn to a long-standing challenge, assessment of the accuracy of well-founded functionals. Unlike the ground state, there are a few exact results for large T and P. An exception is path integral Monte Carlo (PIMC) data for dense H/D and He plasmas. For those, we did ab initio molecular dynamics simulations under selected thermodynamic conditions employing five thermal XC functionals: two approximate thermal GGAs, fully thermal GGA, an approximate meta-GGA, and fully thermal meta-GGA. Comparisons with the PIMC data show that functionals thermalized by augmenting a non-thermal functional with a lower-level thermal contribution are inferior to functionals with thermal XC and spatial inhomogeneity effects taken into account at the same level of refinement. We believe this and similar evidence should be convincing to the high-energy density physics community of the necessity of use of proper thermal XC functionals in simulation studies of finite-temperature quantum effects in warm, dense plasmas.

Ab-initio molecular dynamics↗

Spatial Signal Detection Using Continuous Shrinkage Priors

Motivated by the problem of detecting changes in two-dimensional X-ray diffraction data, we propose a Bayesian spatial model for sparse signal detection in image data. Our model places considerable mass near zero and has heavy tails to reflect the prior belief that the image signal is zero for most pixels and large for an important subset. We show that the spatial prior places mass on nearby locations simultaneously being zero, and also allows for nearby locations to simultaneously be large signals. The form of the prior also facilitates efficient computing for large images. We conduct a simulation study to evaluate the properties of the proposed prior and show that it outperforms other spatial models. As a result, we apply our method in the analysis of X-ray diffraction data from a two-dimensional area detector to detect changes in the pattern when the material is exposed to an electric field.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Constructing a Simulation Surrogate with Partially Observed Output

Gaussian process surrogates are a popular alternative to directly using computationally expensive simulation models. When the simulation output consists of many responses, dimension-reduction techniques are often employed to construct these surrogates. However, surrogate methods with dimension reduction generally rely on complete output training data. This article proposes a new Gaussian process surrogate method that permits the use of partially observed output while remaining computationally efficient. The new method involves the imputation of missing values and the adjustment of the covariance matrix used for Gaussian process inference. The resulting surrogate represents the available responses, disregards the missing responses, and provides meaningful uncertainty quantification. In conclusion, the proposed approach is shown to offer sharper inference than alternatives in a simulation study and a case study where an energy density functional model that frequently returns incomplete output is calibrated.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Personalized Tucker Decomposition: Modeling Commonality and Peculiarity on Tensor Data

In this paper, we propose a personalized Tucker decomposition (perTucker) to address the limitations of traditional tensor decomposition methods in capturing heterogeneity across different datasets. perTucker decomposes tensor data into shared global components and personalized local components. We introduce an order orthogonality assumption and develop a proximal gradient regularized block coordinate descent algorithm guaranteed to converge to a stationary point. The unique and common representations learned by perTucker reveal intrinsic statistical patterns in data and provide valuable information for a wide range of downstream analytics, including anomaly detection, source classification, and clustering. We demonstrate perTucker’s effectiveness through a simulation study and two case studies on solar flare detection and tonnage signal classification.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Spatially Dependent Multiple Testing Under Model Misspecification, With Application to Detection of Anthropogenic Influence on Extreme Climate Events

The Weather Risk Attribution Forecast (WRAF) is a forecasting tool that uses output from global climate models to make simultaneous attribution statements about whether and how greenhouse gas emissions have contributed to extreme weather across the globe. However, in conducting a large number of simultaneous hypothesis tests, the WRAF is prone to identifying false “discoveries.” A common technique for addressing this multiple testing problem is to adjust the procedure in a way that controls the proportion of true null hypotheses that are incorrectly rejected, or the false discovery rate (FDR). Unfortunately, generic FDR procedures suffer from low power when the hypotheses are dependent, and techniques designed to account for dependence are sensitive to misspecification of the underlying statistical model. In this paper, we develop a Bayesian decision-theoretical approach for dependent multiple testing and a nonparametric hierarchical statistical model that flexibly controls false discovery and is robust to model misspecification. We illustrate the robustness of our procedure to model error with a simulation study, using a framework that accounts for generic spatial dependence and allows the practitioner to flexibly specify the decision criteria. Finally, we apply our procedure to several seasonal forecasts and discuss implementation for the WRAF workflow. Lastly, supplementary materials for this article, including a standardized description of the materials available for reproducing the work, are available as an online supplement.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Statistician’s Overview of Physics-Informed Neural Networks for Spatio-Temporal Data

The recent success of deep neural network models with physical constraints (so-called, Physics-Informed Neural Networks, PINNs) has led to renewed interest in the incorporation of mechanistic information in predictive models. Statisticians and others have long been interested in this problem, which has led to several practical and innovative solutions dating back decades. In this overview, we focus on the problem of data-driven prediction and inference of dynamic spatio-temporal processes that include mechanistic information, such as would be available from partial differential equations, with a strong focus on the quantification of uncertainty associated with data, process, and parameters. Here, we give a brief review of several paradigms and focus our attention on Bayesian implementations given they naturally accommodate uncertainty quantification. We then show that it is straight-forward to include the Bayesian PINN (B-PINN) within the Bayesian hierarchical model (BHM) framework that has long been considered for modeling dynamic spatio-temporal processes. Such a BHM-PINN is illustrated via a simulation study in which a latent nonlinear Burgers’ equation PDE governs the dynamics of Poisson distributed spatio-temporal data. Supplementary materials for this article are available online, including a standardized description of the materials available for reproducing the work.

Bayesian↗

Analysis of overlapping count data

Counts of a specific characteristic were obtained within regions defined on an object that was manufactured in a proprietary setting. The count regions were altered during production and resulted in misaligned or overlapping count data. A closed-formula maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the new region means is derived using all of the available count data and an independent Poisson model. The MLE is shown to be preferable to estimators constructed using generalized linear models for the overlapping data setting. This closed-form estimator extends to over-dispersed overlapping count data as the quasi-MLE and also performs well with correlated overlapping count data. Standard errors for the estimator are approximated and are validated with a simulation study. Additionally, the methods are extended to overlapping multinomial data. Illustrative examples of the methods are provided throughout the paper and are reproducible with the supplemental R code. Additionally, proofs of the paper’s results are also included in the supplemental material.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

The Forward Physics Facility at the High-Luminosity LHC

High energy collisions at the High-Luminosity Large Hadron Collider (LHC) produce a large number of particles along the beam collision axis, outside of the acceptance of existing LHC experiments. The proposed Forward Physics Facility (FPF), to be located several hundred meters from the ATLAS interaction point and shielded by concrete and rock, will host a suite of experiments to probe standard model (SM) processes and search for physics beyond the standard model (BSM). In this report, we review the status of the civil engineering plans and the experiments to explore the diverse physics signals that can be uniquely probed in the forward region. FPF experiments will be sensitive to a broad range of BSM physics through searches for new particle scattering or decay signatures and deviations from SM expectations in high statistics analyses with TeV neutrinos in this low-background environment. High statistics neutrino detection will also provide valuable data for fundamental topics in perturbative and non-perturbative QCD and in weak interactions. Experiments at the FPF will enable synergies between forward particle production at the LHC and astroparticle physics to be exploited. We report here on these physics topics, on infrastructure, detector, and simulation studies, and on future directions to realize the FPF’s physics potential.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Neutrino vertex reconstruction with in-ice radio detectors using surface reflections and implications for the neutrino energy resolution

Ultra high energy neutrinos (E ν > 10 16.5 eV) are efficiently measured via radio signals following a neutrino interaction in ice. An antenna placed1Script O(15 m) below the ice surface will measure two signals for the vast majority of events (90% at E ν =10 18 eV): a direct pulse and a second delayed pulse from a reflection off the ice surface. This allows for a unique identification of neutrinos against backgrounds arriving from above. Furthermore, the time delay between the direct and reflected signal (D'n'R) correlates with the distance to the neutrino interaction vertex, a crucial quantity to determine the neutrino energy. In a simulation study, we derive the relation between time delay and distance and study the corresponding experimental uncertainties in estimating neutrino energies. We find that the resulting contribution to the energy resolution is well below the natural limit set by the unknown inelasticity in the initial neutrino interaction. We present an in-situ measurement that proves the experimental feasibility of this technique. Continuous monitoring of the local snow accumulation in the vicinity of the transmit and receive antennas using this technique provide a precision of Script O(1 mm) in surface elevation, which is much better than that needed to apply the D'n'R technique to neutrinos.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Observables for recoil identification in high-definition Gas Time Projection Chambers

Directional detection of nuclear recoils is broadly desirable in nuclear and particle physics. At low recoil energies, this capability may be used to confirm the cosmological origin of a dark matter signal, to penetrate the so-called neutrino floor, or to distinguish between different neutrino sources. Gas Time Projection Chambers (TPCs) can enable directional recoil detection if the readout granularity is sufficiently high, as is the case when micro-pattern gaseous detectors (MPGDs) are utilized. A key challenge in such detectors is identifying and rejecting background electron recoil events caused by gamma rays from radioactive contaminants in the detector materials and the environment. We define new observables that can distinguish electron and nuclear recoils, even at keV-scale energies, based on the simulated ionization's topology. Here we perform a simulation study that shows these observables outperform the traditionally used discriminant, dE/dx, by up to three orders of magnitude. Furthermore, these new observables work well even at ionization energies well below 10keV and remain robust even in the regime where directionality fails.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Nonlinear burn control in ITER using adaptive allocation of actuators with uncertain dynamics

Abstract ITER will be the first tokamak to sustain a fusion-producing, or burning, plasma. If the plasma temperature were to inadvertently rise in this burning regime, the positive correlation between temperature and the fusion reaction rate would establish a destabilizing positive feedback loop. Careful regulation of the plasma’s temperature and density, or burn control, is required to prevent these potentially reactor-damaging thermal excursions, neutralize disturbances and improve performance. In this work, a Lyapunov-based burn controller is designed using a full zero-dimensional nonlinear model. An adaptive estimator manages destabilizing uncertainties in the plasma confinement properties and the particle recycling conditions (caused by plasma–wall interactions). The controller regulates the plasma density with requests for deuterium and tritium particle injections. In ITER-like plasmas, the fusion-born alpha particles will primarily heat the plasma electrons, resulting in different electron and ion temperatures in the core. By considering separate response models for the electron and ion energies, the proposed controller can independently regulate the electron and ion temperatures by requesting that different amounts of auxiliary power be delivered to the electrons and ions. These two commands for a specific control effort (electron and ion heating) are sent to an actuator allocation module that optimally maps them to the heating actuators available to ITER: an electron cyclotron heating system (20 MW), an ion cyclotron heating system (20 MW), and two neutral beam injectors (16.5 MW each). Two different actuator allocators are presented in this work. The first actuator allocator finds the optimal mapping by solving a convex quadratic program that includes actuator saturation and rate limits. It is nonadaptive and assumes that the mapping between the commanded control efforts and the allocated actuators (i.e. the effector model) contains no uncertainties. The second actuator allocation module has an adaptive estimator to handle uncertainties in the effector model. This uncertainty includes actuator efficiencies, the fractions of neutral beam heating that are deposited into the plasma electrons and ions, and the tritium concentration of the fueling pellets. Furthermore, the adaptive allocator considers actuator dynamics (actuation lag) that contain uncertainty. This adaptive allocation algorithm is more computationally efficient than the aforementioned nonadaptive allocator because it is computed using dynamic update laws so that finding the solution to a static optimization problem is not required at every time step. A simulation study assesses the performance of the proposed adaptive burn controller augmented with each of the actuator allocation modules.

Physics↗

Divertor-safe nonlinear burn control based on a SOLPS parameterized core-edge model for ITER

Abstract For ITER operations, the range of desirable burning-plasma regimes with high fusion power output will be restricted by various operational constraints. These constraints include the saturation of ITER’s various heating and fueling actuators such as the neutral beam injectors, the ion and electron cyclotron heating systems, the gas puffing system, and the deuterium–tritium pellet injectors. In addition to these actuator constraints, the H-mode power threshold, divertor detachment, and the heat load on the divertor targets may apply limitations to ITER’s operational space. In this work, Plasma Operation Contour (POPCON) plots that map the aforementioned constraints to the temperature-density space are used to investigate which constraints are most limiting towards accessing regimes with high fusion power output. The presented POPCON plots are based on a control-oriented core-edge model that couples the nonlinear density and energy response models for the core-plasma region with SOLPS4.3 parameterizations for conditions in the edge-plasma regions (scrape-off-layer and divertor). Using this control-oriented core-edge model, a nonlinear burn controller, which aims to regulate the plasma temperature and density in the core-plasma region, is constructed in this work. This controller is augmented with an online optimization scheme that governs the control references such that the plasma can be guided towards regimes with high fusion powers while protecting the divertor targets from dangerously high heat loads. A closed-loop simulation study illustrates the capability of this burn control scheme.

Physics↗