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At least 1,639 records · Page 91

Reinforcement Learning for Anomaly Detection in Nuclear Power Plant Operation and Maintenance

In nuclear power plants (NPPs), timely identification of sensor and human errors is critical to ensure safe and efficient plant operations. Anomaly detection models can be employed for this task. However, traditional anomaly detection approaches may have high dependency on labeled datasets and struggle with adaptability in complex, dynamic environments. Reinforcement learning (RL) has demonstrated significant potential in fault diagnosis and anomaly detection; however, its application to anomaly detection in NPPs remains a relatively underexplored research direction. Hence, to address this gap, in this study, we present a novel physics-informed reinforcement learning model, PIRL-AD: Physics-Informed Reinforcement Learning for Anomaly Detection, that integrates domain knowledge from calorimetric equations into the RL framework for enhanced sensor and human error anomaly detection. We evaluate the performance of PIRL-AD against a non-physics informed RL benchmark and a support vector machine (SVM) on data collected from a forced flow loop testbed. Experimental results suggest that PIRL-AD outperforms other baselines on a range of anomalous datasets that include both sensor and human-induced anomalies across key performance metrics, statistically outperforming the RL and SVM benchmarks with respect to geometric mean (respectively, 92.96% vs. 91.06% vs. 83.01%) and F1-score (respectively, 89.23% vs. 86.98% vs. 77.01%). Furthermore, the findings suggest the potential of physics-integrated reinforcement learning models for enhanced anomaly detection performance in NPPs.

Reinforcement learning↗

Acoustic sensing and autoencoder approach for abnormal gas detection in a spent nuclear fuel canister mock-up

Currently, spent nuclear fuel (SNF) from commercial nuclear power plants is stored in stainless-steel canisters for interim dry storage. To provide an inert environment, these canisters are backfilled with helium after vacuum drying. However, the helium environment may be contaminated during extended storage because of the material degradation. For example, the heavier fission gas xenon may be released from the fuel rods into the canister cavity should the fuel cladding be breached. Other gases such as air and water vapor may also be present as a result of leakage caused by chloride-induced stress corrosion cracking on the canister walls or by insufficient vacuum drying. Therefore, monitoring the gas composition can provide critical information about the health of SNF canisters. In this study, noninvasive testing was conducted on a 2/3-scaled SNF canister mock-up using acoustic sensing. Ultrasonic transducers were placed on the exterior surface of the canister to probe the gas composition. A dataset was collected by sealing the canister mock-up and introducing up to 1.53% argon or 1.29% air into the helium background gas. Three methods were used to detect changes in the gas composition: the time-of-flight (TOF) method, the differential method, and the autoencoder method. Results showed that the TOF method had sufficient resolution to detect abnormal gas concentrations of less than 1.0%. The differential method demonstrated a periodic in-phase and out-of-phase behavior between the benchmark (i.e., pure helium) and abnormal (i.e., with argon or air) state signals. The variational autoencoder (VAE) and the Wasserstein autoencoder (WAE) were trained on the benchmark data and were applied directly to the abnormal state data. It was found that both the unsupervised VAE and the WAE were able to distinguish the benchmark and abnormal states of the canister mock-up based on the reconstruction error.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Understanding the many-body expansion for large systems. III. Critical role of four-body terms, counterpoise corrections, and cutoffs

Papers I and II in this series [R. M. Richard et al., J. Chem. Phys. 141, 014108 (2014); K. U. Lao et al., ibid. 144, 164105 (2016)] have attempted to shed light on precision and accuracy issues affecting the many-body expansion (MBE), which only manifest in larger systems and thus have received scant attention in the literature. Many-body counterpoise (CP) corrections are shown to accelerate convergence of the MBE, which otherwise suffers from a mismatch between how basis-set superposition error affects subsystem versus supersystem calculations. In water clusters ranging in size up to (H2O)37, four-body terms prove necessary to achieve accurate results for both total interaction energies and relative isomer energies, but the sheer number of tetramers makes the use of cutoff schemes essential. To predict relative energies of (H2O)20 isomers, two approximations based on a lower level of theory are introduced and an ONIOM-type procedure is found to be very well converged with respect to the appropriate MBE benchmark, namely, a CP-corrected supersystem calculation at the same level of theory. Results using an energy-based cutoff scheme suggest that if reasonable approximations to the subsystem energies are available (based on classical multipoles, say), then the number of requisite subsystem calculations can be reduced even more dramatically than when distance-based thresholds are employed. The end result is several accurate four-body methods that do not require charge embedding, and which are stable in large basis sets such as aug-cc-pVTZ that have sometimes proven problematic for fragment-based quantum chemistry methods. Even with aggressive thresholding, however, the four-body approach at the self-consistent field level still requires roughly ten times more processors to outmatch the performance of the corresponding supersystem calculation, in test cases involving 1500–1800 basis functions.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Multiscale dendritic needle network model of alloy solidification with fluid flow

We present a mathematical formulation of a multiscale model for solidification with convective flow in the liquid phase. The model is an extension of the dendritic needle network approach for crystal growth in a binary alloy. We propose a simple numerical implementation based on finite differences and step-wise approximations of parabolic dendritic branches of arbitrary orientation. Results of the two-dimensional model are verified against reference benchmark solutions for steady, unsteady, and buoyant flow, as well as steady-state dendritic growth in the diffusive regime. Simulations of equiaxed growth under forced flow yield dendrite tip velocities within 10% of quantitative phase-field results from the literature. Finally, we perform illustrative simulations of polycrystalline solidification using physical parameters for an aluminum-10wt% copper alloy. Resulting microstructures show notable differences when taking into account natural buoyancy in comparison to a purely diffusive transport regime. The resulting model opens new avenues for computationally and quantitatively investigating the influence of fluid flow and gravity-induced buoyancy upon the selection of dendritic microstructures. Further ongoing developments include an equivalent formulation for directional solidification conditions and the implementation of the model in three dimensions, which is critical for quantitative comparison to experimental measurements.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Uncertainty-Guided Prediction Horizon of Phase-Resolved Ocean Wave Forecasting Under Data Sparsity: Experimental and Numerical Evaluation

Accurate short-term wave forecasting is critical for the safe and efficient operation of marine structures that rely on real-time, phase-resolved ocean wave information for control and monitoring purposes (e.g., digital twins). These systems often depend on environmental sensors (e.g., waverider buoys, wave-sensing LIDAR). Challenges arise when upstream sensor data are missing, sparse, or phase-shifted due to drift. This study investigates the performance of two machine learning models, time-series dense encoder (TiDE) and long short-term memory (LSTM), for forecasting phase-resolved ocean surface elevations under varying degrees of data degradation. We introduce the τ-trimming algorithm, which adapts the prediction horizon based on uncertainty thresholds derived from historical forecasts. Numerical wave tank (NWT) and wave basin experiments are used to benchmark model performance under short- and long-term data masking, spatially coarse sensor grids, and upstream phase shifts. Results show under a 50% probability of upstream data loss, the τ-trimmed TiDE model achieves a 46% reduction in error at the most upstream target, compared to 22% for LSTM. Furthermore, phase misalignment in upstream data introduces a near-linear increase in forecast error. Under moderate model settings, a ±3 s misalignment increases the mean absolute error by approximately 0.5 m, while the same error is accumulated at ±4 s using the more conservative approach. These findings inform the design of resilient, uncertainty-aware wave forecasting systems suited for realistic offshore sensing environments.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Using a surrogate-assisted Bayesian framework to calibrate the runoff-generation scheme in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) v1

Abstract. Runoff is a critical component of the terrestrial water cycle, and Earth system models (ESMs) are essential tools to study its spatiotemporal variability. Runoff schemes in ESMs typically include many parameters so that model calibration is necessary to improve the accuracy of simulated runoff. However, runoff calibration at a global scale is challenging because of the high computational cost and the lack of reliable observational datasets. In this study, we calibrated 11 runoff relevant parameters in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) Land Model (ELM) using a surrogate-assisted Bayesian framework. First, the polynomial chaos expansion machinery with Bayesian compressed sensing is used to construct computationally inexpensive surrogate models for ELM-simulated runoff at 0.5∘ × 0.5∘ for 1991–2010. The error metric between the ELM simulations and the benchmark data is selected to construct the surrogates, which facilitates efficient calibration and avoids the more conventional, but challenging, construction of high-dimensional surrogates for the ELM simulated runoff. Second, the Sobol' index sensitivity analysis is performed using the surrogate models to identify the most sensitive parameters, and our results show that, in most regions, ELM-simulated runoff is strongly sensitive to 3 of the 11 uncertain parameters. Third, a Bayesian method is used to infer the optimal values of the most sensitive parameters using an observation-based global runoff dataset as the benchmark. Our results show that model performance is significantly improved with the inferred parameter values. Although the parametric uncertainty of simulated runoff is reduced after the parameter inference, it remains comparable to the multimodel ensemble uncertainty represented by the global hydrological models in ISMIP2a. Additionally, the annual global runoff trend during the simulation period is not well constrained by the inferred parameter values, suggesting the importance of including parametric uncertainty in future runoff projections.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Questionable Benchmarks [Slides]

An investigation and initial review of ‘questionable benchmarks’ was performed at LANL. Multiple methods were used, including machine learning techniques, to identify 'questionable benchmarks' and/or benchmarks with low uncertainties. Those benchmarks were then reviewed for obvious errors. This is not a recommendation to ICSBEP, but can be used as a starting point for a more comprehensive review. A journal paper is being written on this work.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

An interface capturing scheme for modeling atomization in compressible flows

The study of atomization in supersonic flow is critical to ensuring reliable ignition of scramjet combustors under startup conditions. Numerical methods incorporating surface tension effects have largely focused on the incompressible regime as most atomization applications occur at low Mach numbers. Simulating surface tension effects in compressible flow requires robust numerical methods that can handle discontinuities caused by both shocks and material interfaces with high density ratios. In this work, a shock and interface capturing scheme is developed that uses the Harten–Lax–van Leer–Contact (HLLC) Riemann solver while a Tangent of Hyperbola for INterface Capturing (THINC) interface reconstruction scheme retains the fluid immiscibility condition in the volume fraction and phasic densities in the context of the five equation model. The approach includes the effects of compressibility, surface tension, and molecular viscosity. One and two-dimensional benchmark problems demonstrate the desirable interface sharpening and conservation properties of the approach. Simulations of secondary atomization of a cylindrical water column after its interaction with a shockwave show good qualitative agreement with experimentally observed behavior. Three-dimensional examples of primary atomization of a liquid jet in a Mach 2 crossflow demonstrate the robustness of the method.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Impact of microkinetic modeling assumptions on predicted kinetics and mechanisms over undercoordinated sites

Accurate modeling of catalytic reactions on undercoordinated sites requires accounting for the structural and ensemble-specific nature of the active sites. This study examines how common microkinetic modeling (MKM) assumptions affect predicted kinetics and mechanisms on the stepped Pt(211) facet for the ethane dehydrogenation (EDH) and the ethane hydrogenolysis (EH). Six (211) MKMs were developed, differing in (i) the number of active sites represented, (ii) adsorbate site occupancy treatment, and (iii) inclusion of cross-facet interactions. These models are benchmarked against a particle-based microkinetic model (PB-MKM), which best represents step-edge behavior. MKM assumptions caused deviations in turnover frequencies exceeding ten orders of magnitude and led to contrasting mechanistic and selectivity predictions. Multi-site MKMs overestimate activity by inflating free site availability, single-site models underestimate activity, and uniform occupancy models overpredict coverage of multi-dentate intermediates, leading to reaction-specific artifacts. Overall, the Combined Site Edge Model (CSEM), a single-site MKM accounting for site occupancy and cross-facet interactions, most closely approximates PB-MKM predictions. All models predict similar kinetics when surfaces are clean or primarily occupied by monodentate species. This work provides practical guidance for selecting MKM frameworks for undercoordinated catalytic surfaces and highlights the critical role of modeling assumptions in catalytic predictions.

(211) facet↗

User defined elements in ANSYS for 2D multiphysics modeling of superconducting magnets

Dynamic simulation of superconducting magnets is critical for the design of quench protection systems to prevent potentially damaging temperatures and high voltage from developing after magnet quench. Modeling these scenarios is challenging due to the many multiscale phenomena which impact magnet behavior. These range from conductor scale effects of quench and interfilament coupling currents up to the behavior of the magnet in its powering and protection circuit. In addition, a strong coupling between electromagnetic and thermal domains is required to capture temperature and field dependent material properties and quench behavior. We present a finite element approach which integrates the various effects into the commercial software ANSYS by means of programming new element types. This is shown capable of simulating the strongly coupled transient electromagnetic, thermal, and circuit behavior of superconducting magnets required for quench protection studies. A benchmarking study is presented which shows close agreement between the new ANSYS elements and a COMSOL Multiphysics implementation developed at CERN for dump resistor and coupling loss induced quench based magnet protection of a Nb 3 Sn block dipole. Following this, the ANSYS implementation is shown reproducing strongly coupled quench back behavior observed during the test of a Nb 3 Sn superconducting undulator prototype at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Development and Validation of a Scoring System for Abnormalities in the Gopher Frog (Rana capito)

Headstarting efforts are thought to be critical in supplementing populations of the at-risk Gopher Frog (Rana capito); however, recent efforts have occasionally resulted in juveniles with developmental abnormalities. In response, we developed a scoring system to collect quantitative data on the presence and severity of these developmental abnormalities. Our objective was to describe and validate the abnormality scoring system so that it can be used by all Gopher Frog headstarting facilities. The scoring system covers five primary conditions encompassing commonly observed abnormalities. Two groups of participants with different levels of prior experience working with Gopher Frogs assigned scores to a set of images presented to them for each condition. We used intra-class correlation coefficients (ICC) to test the scoring system for inter- and intra-rater agreement as well as agreement with the benchmark standard (established by the authors). We found high ICC values for inter-rater agreement, intra-rater agreement, and agreement to the benchmark standard indicating either excellent or good reliability for all five conditions and for all raters when grouped together. These findings support the reliability and validity of the proposed developmental abnormality scoring system. Gopher Frog headstarting facilities can implement this scoring system to assist in tracking the frequency and severity of abnormalities observed in future headstarting efforts. We hope that by creating a reliable scoring system for Gopher Frogs, it can provide an overall framework and serve as a valuable resource to evaluate abnormalities across any amphibian species.

abnormality↗

Benchmarking Cu/BEA and HBEA catalysts for high-octane gasoline synthesis

We distinguish rates at which carbon deposition occurs during initiation, rates at which catalytic centers are lost during deactivation, and paraffin-to-olefin ratio during propagation as benchmarks that distinguish 5 wt% Cu/H-BEA and H-BEA (Si/Al = 13.5) catalysts during dimethyl ether (DME) homologation in the presence of hydrogen. Studies that systematically vary initial DME contact time (210, 94, and 45 mol H+, initial s (mol C ) -1 ), DME pressure (4 and 22 kPa), and H 2 pressure (1, 24, and 48 kPa) reveal that Cu enables lower carbon deposition rates (on a per proton basis) in the induction period, increases the effluent paraffin-to-olefin ratio during propagation, and decreases the instantaneous site-loss yields by a factor of ~ 1.5-2x (moles of active sites lost per mole of DME) during termination sequences thus affecting the degree of product saturation and catalyst stability during DME homologation. Furthermore, these results provide mechanistic insights revealing the critical role of Cu in facilitating DME homologation to high value, high-octane gasoline-range hydrocarbons with higher cumulative turnovers than proton form H-BEA.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Water vapor oxidation behaviors of nuclear graphite IG-110 for a postulated accident scenario in high temperature gas-cooled reactors

Water leakage in accidental conditions of high temperature gas-cooled reactors is one of the most critical problems that can compromise the integrity of different nuclear components. In this study, oxidation behaviors of nuclear graphite IG-110 in water ingress accidental conditions were investigated. Mass loss and oxidation rates were evaluated after oxidation tests at temperatures up to 1400 °C in an Ar-20 vol% H 2 O mixed atmosphere. The activation energy decreased from 318.6 to 148.9 kJ/mol with temperature, indicating two different oxidation regimes. The cross-sections of the oxidized samples were systematically characterized. The corresponding logarithmic porosity profiles showed a temperature dependency. Pore formation moved toward near-surface regions with increasing temperature and preferential binder oxidation, with filler particle degradation. Furthermore, oxidant concentration profiles and oxidation depths were estimated using a theoretical model and compared with the experimental results. This work provides important benchmark data and safety analysis guidance for the accident scenario in high temperature gas-cooled reactors.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

SU-E-T-290: Dosimetric Accuracy of Acuros XB and Analytical Anisotropic Algorithm in Stereotactic Ablative Radiotherapy of Small Lung Lesions

Purpose: The accuracy of dose calculation for lung stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) of small lesions critically depends on the proper modeling of the lateral scatter in heterogeneous media. In recent years, grid-based Boltzman solvers such as Acuros XB (AXB) have been introduced for enhanced modeling of radiation transport in heterogeneous media. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the dosimetric impact of dose calculation between AXB and convolution-superposition algorithms such as analytical anisotropic algorithm (AAA) for small lesion sizes and different beam energies. Methods: Five lung SABR VMAT cases with GTV ranged from 0.8cm to 2.5cm in diameter were studied. For each case, doses were calculated by AAA, AXB (V11031) and Monte Carlo simulation (MC) with the same plan parameters for 10MV and 6MV. The dose calculation accuracy were evaluated by comparing DVHs and dose distributions with MC as the benchmark. The accuracy of calculated dose was also validated by EBT3 film measurement with a field size of 3cmx3cm in a thorax phantom. Results: For 10MV and GTV less than 1cm, dose calculated by AXB agrees well with MC compared to AAA. Dose difference calculated with AXB and AAA could be up to 30%. For GTV greater than 2cm, calculation results of AXB and AAA agree within 5% in GTV. For 6MV, the difference between calculated doses by AXB and AAA is less 10% for GTV less than 1cm. Based on film measurements, lung dose was overestimated 10% and 20% by AAA for 6MV and 10MV. Conclusion: Lateral scatter and transport is modeled more accurately by AXB than AAA in heterogeneous media, especially for small field size and high energy beams. The accuracy depends on the assigned material in calculation. If grid-based Boltzman solvers or MC are not available for calculation, lower energy beams should be used for treatment.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Imaging CF 3 I conical intersection and photodissociation dynamics with ultrafast electron diffraction

Conical intersections play a critical role in excited-state dynamics of polyatomic molecules because they govern the reaction pathways of many nonadiabatic processes. However, ultrafast probes have lacked sufficient spatial resolution to image wave-packet trajectories through these intersections directly. Here, we present the simultaneous experimental characterization of one-photon and two-photon excitation channels in isolated CF 3 I molecules using ultrafast gas-phase electron diffraction. In the two-photon channel, we have mapped out the real-space trajectories of a coherent nuclear wave packet, which bifurcates onto two potential energy surfaces when passing through a conical intersection. In the one-photon channel, we have resolved excitation of both the umbrella and the breathing vibrational modes in the CF 3 fragment in multiple nuclear dimensions. These findings benchmark and validate ab initio nonadiabatic dynamics calculations.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Anthropometry and Biomechanics Facility Presentation to Open EVA Research Forum

NASA is required to accommodate individuals who fall within a 1st to 99th percentile range on a variety of critical dimensions. The hardware the crew interacts with must therefore be designed and verified to allow these selected individuals to complete critical mission tasks safely and at an optimal performance level. Until now, designers have been provided simpler univariate critical dimensional analyses. The multivariate characteristics of intra-individual and inter-individual size variation must be accounted for, since an individual who is 1st percentile in one body dimension will not be 1st percentile in all other dimensions. A more simplistic approach, assuming every measurement of an individual will fall within the same percentile range, can lead to a model that does not represent realistic members of the population. In other words, there is no '1st percentile female' or '99th percentile male', and designing for these unrealistic body types can lead to hardware issues down the road. Furthermore, due to budget considerations, designers are normally limited to providing only 1 size of a prototype suit, thus requiring other possible means to ensure that a given suit architecture would yield the necessary suit sizes to accommodate the entire user population. Fortunately, modeling tools can be used to more accurately model the types of human body sizes and shapes that will be encountered in a population. Anthropometry toolkits have been designed with a variety of capabilities, including grouping the population into clusters based on critical dimensions, providing percentile information given test subject measurements, and listing measurement ranges for critical dimensions in the 1st-99th percentile range. These toolkits can be combined with full body laser scans to allow designers to build human models that better represent the astronaut population. More recently, some rescaling and reposing capabilities have been developed, to allow reshaping of these static laser scans in more representative postures, such as an abducted shoulder. All of the hardware designed for use with the crew must be sized to accommodate the user population, but the interaction between subject size and hardware fit is complicated with multi-component, complex systems like a space suit. Again, prototype suits are normally only provided in a limited size range, and suited testing is an expensive endeavor; both of these factors limit the number and size of people who can be used to benchmark a spacesuit. However, modeling tools for assessing suit-human interaction can allow potential issues to be modeled and visualized. These types of modeling tools can be used for analysis of a larger combination of anthropometries and hardware types than could feasibly be done with actual human subjects and physical mockups.

Rajulu, Sudhakar↗

MONK10: Burnup credit capability - 14596

MONK{sup R} is a Monte Carlo code for nuclear criticality and reactor physics analyses. It has a proven track record of application to the whole of the nuclear fuel cycle and is well established in the UK criticality community. Furthermore it is increasingly being used for reactor physics analysis (as described at ICNC 2011), which makes it an ideal tool for burn-up credit (BUC) calculations. Throughout the paper, example calculations based on a PWR are presented to illustrate the capabilities of the MONK10 code. In order to account for the spatial dependence of material burn-up it has in the past been necessary to design models with multiple regions and materials specifically to allow material burn-up to vary spatially. This is very labour intensive and difficult to change at a later stage. A new code version, MONK10, was released last year which includes the facility to allow a burn-up (BU) mesh to be superimposed on an existing model in order to account for the spatial dependence of the burn-up. This facility is used to consider the effect of radial position of a fuel element in a PWR core on BUC. Additionally, a thermal hydraulics (TH) mesh can be used to specify region dependent temperature. This, coupled with the fact that MONK10 also incorporates an on-the-fly Doppler broadening methodology facilitates the modelling of spatially dependent temperatures for the different components. A TH mesh is used to superimpose a temperature profile on a PWR based model and the effect of this on BUC is considered. The burn-up modelling in MONK has been benchmarked against the ANSWERS WIMS deterministic reactor physics code. Once the burn-up calculation has been completed and the depleted fuel compositions determined the spent fuel compositions can be transferred into a model of a storage facility or transport flask in order to perform burn-up credit analysis. The initial model is usually described as the donor model and the latter model as the receiver model. This transfer is carried out using the COWL option which allows the specification of a material in the receiver model based on the material's composition in a given BU mesh cell from the donor model. This allows compositions and densities to be transferred and also allows user specified adjustments to be made. For example, this could include omitting the fission products in order to estimate their contribution to burn-up credit and provide an actinide-only analysis. The effect of excluding appropriate nuclides is presented. An example of how the ANSWERS SPRUCE code can be used to quantify uncertainty in a BUC calculation is also presented. (authors)

42 ENGINEERING↗

Sensor network based solar forecasting using a local vector autoregressive ridge framework

The significant improvements and falling costs of photovoltaic (PV) technology make solar energy a promising resource, yet the cloud induced variability of surface solar irradiance inhibits its effective use in grid-tied PV generation. Short-term irradiance forecasting, especially on the minute scale, is critically important for grid system stability and auxiliary power source management. Compared to the trending sky imaging devices, irradiance sensors are inexpensive and easy to deploy but related forecasting methods have not been well researched. The prominent challenge of applying classic time series models on a network of irradiance sensors is to address their varying spatio-temporal correlations due to local changes in cloud conditions. We propose a local vector autoregressive framework with ridge regularization to forecast irradiance without explicitly determining the wind field or cloud movement. By using local training data, our learned forecast model is adaptive to local cloud conditions and by using regularization, we overcome the risk of overfitting from the limited training data. Our systematic experimental results showed an average of 19.7% RMSE and 20.2% MAE improvement over the benchmark Persistent Model for 1-5 minute forecasts on a comprehensive 25-day dataset.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗