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DOE OSTI2017

Extended Storage Considerations for Dry Cask Storage Systems Using Welded Stainless Steel Canisters - 17436

Dry storage of used nuclear fuel is likely to continue for several decades due to the lack of a permanent repository. The Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) conducted a Failure Modes and Effects Analysis (FMEA) in order to identify degradation mechanisms that are relevant to Dry Cask Storage Systems (DCSSs) which store used fuel within a welded stainless steel canister housed inside a vented concrete cask. Chloride-Induced Stress Corrosion Cracking (CISCC) was identified as the potential degradation mechanism that would be most likely to challenge the confinement function of these canisters. This paper describes research efforts aimed at identifying canisters with CISCC prior to loss of confinement and understanding the consequences should such a loss occur. Key areas of research include development of aging management guidance with recommendations for the scope, frequency, and coverage for canister inspections, demonstration of non-destructive evaluation capabilities, and evaluation of the potential consequences in terms of dose to site personnel and the general public should cracking develop and grow through a canister wall. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2015

Disposing of waste package with respect to physico-chemical characteristics - 15041

The waste inventory to be taken into account for the design of the Cigeo project is defined in the industrial program for waste management established in cooperation between nuclear operators (EDF, AREVA, CEA) and Andra. This waste inventory has been constituted with a list of different families of radioactive waste packages from High Level Waste (HLW) to Intermediate Level Long-lived Waste (IL-LLW). IL-LLW include a large variety of items such as structural elements from fuel assemblies (cladding from the fuel rods called 'hulls', end pieces called 'end caps' and assembly spacer grids, etc.), sludge from effluent treatment or miscellaneous equipment (filters, pumps, etc.). Most ILLW (except solidified sludges) are basically metallic but organic and inorganic components such as plastics (cellulose, PVC...) and salts may also be included. The rules used for designing Cigeo are based on the separation of waste having different physico-chemical characteristics in different cells. However it could be possible to dispose of waste packages with different physico-chemical characteristics in the same cell if we can demonstrate that a type of waste does not generate significant physico-chemical perturbations on other co-stored families. The first step of our analysis has been the identification of categories of materials present in waste likely to interact with each other. The second step consisted in analysing qualitatively the physico-chemical interactions between these materials. In the third step, we defined criteria allowing evaluation of the consequences of these interactions on (i) gas production (mainly H{sub 2}), (ii) radionuclide release and transfer and (iii) degradation of concrete components of the disposal cell. We built then a table allowing qualitative comparison of the consequences of the interactions between the materials types defined in the first step. The conclusion of this study shows that it is necessary to pay a very careful attention before disposing of waste packages containing organic components nearby waste packages containing actinides radionuclides. The geochemical phenomena coupling must also be quantitatively evaluated so as to analyse possible interaction processes between the released organic compounds and the cementitious components of the cells, the near-field clay-stone and the radionuclides migration. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2023

Closed Loop Time and the Topology of Totality

The author suggests a cosmology based on just two principles: (1) no boundaries to spacetime and (2) no physical infinities. On the hypothesis that these are exactly true, and that charge conjugation, parity and time reversal invariance (CPT) is a perfect symmetry at the big bang, answers are provided to many puzzles, such as what happened to the antimatter, what happened before the big bang, and what will happen in the far future? Consequences are that our universe U is closed (with positive curvature) and so the total energy, angular momentum and charge of the universe must be zero. At the big bang a universe-antiuniverse pair, UU¯ is created as a virtual fluctuation in what we may call Outer SpaceTime, along with a vast number of other disconnected universes—the multiverse. The CPT-conjugate U¯ has identical physics (and matter content) to U; other UU¯ pairs in the multiverse have different physics parameters. A consequence is that time at the fundamental particle level à la Feynman must be distinct from thermodynamic time. The UU¯ forms a closed loop.

Albrow, Michael G.↗

DOE OSTI2022

Risk Management and Risk Aversion, from Benefit to Impediment

Risk management is a critical tool for improving the probability of project success by identifying, assessing, prioritizing, and attempting to control threats to project realization. For industries that require high operational reliability due to the potential consequences of off-normal events, such as the nuclear, aerospace, and chemical sectors, a major focus of risk management is the preservation of process safety. Due to the nature of the processes or systems under consideration, the associated process safety analyses (such as risk and safety assessments) and safety features can require significant resources. These costs are typically tolerated either due to the need to satisfy regulatory requirements or based on the assumption that they generally decrease the occurrence of unwanted events and therefore improve the probability of project success. However, as the level of acceptable or tolerable risk from unwanted events decreases, the required resources necessary for ensuring and demonstrating satisfaction of these criteria can grow and in turn can become one of the dominant impediments to project success. This paper outlines a high-level theoretical framework for the consideration of dominant project risks, which includes potential project failure from both the occurrence of high consequence off-normal events and the inability to achieve project completion due to the resource needs and innovation losses associated with extreme risk aversion. Utilizing such an integrated approach permits an attempt to optimize the probability of successful project realization while also providing valuable insight into the proper level of acceptable risk. The work is presented as a first step, in hopes of spurring additional discussion and analysis regarding appropriate levels of risk tolerance and the balance of project benefits.

Grabaskas, David↗

DOE OSTI2016

A Paradigm Shift continued: An Application of Structured Decision Making for Sustainable Waste Management - 16486

Structured decision making presents an opportunity for DOE and others engaged in solving complex environmental and waste management problems to find solutions that are stakeholder engaged and cost effective. This approach represents a paradigm shift that was introduced in a series of papers and a panel session at the WM2015 Symposium. The advantages of structured decision making over less formal approaches to decision making include technical defensibility, traceability and transparency. Structured decision making also overcomes the limitations of misapplication of conservatism in modeling, addresses stakeholder concerns and competing objectives directly, and provides a formal method through which internal and external stakeholders are encouraged to collectively and carefully consider all relevant attributes of solving complex problems. The first requirement of this paradigm shift is a realization and recognition that the problems faced are inherently decision problems, and that there is a formal theory of decision analysis that can, and should, be used to support finding the best solutions. Structured decision making is, very simply, formalized common sense. The formalities include: framing the problem; identification of objectives and measures for valuing those objectives; costs or values associated with those objectives; management options or alternatives for taking action that are tied directly to the objectives; and, science-based models to evaluate the options. Decision analysis is used to evaluate objectives and choose management options by balancing probability and consequence. The science-based models are built probabilistically based on expectation and uncertainty, and costs and value judgments are used to fulfill addressing stakeholder concerns. Consequently, this approach avoids misplaced conservatism in science-based modeling and properly places values in the objectives component of a decision model. This approach honestly addresses uncertainty and value judgments and balances these competing components to find the most effective decision. A software framework program called Guided Interactive Statistical Decision Tools (GiSdT - pronounced 'gist') is used to support an application of this paradigm shift towards structured decision making. In this application objectives and management options for a waste disposal problem at the Los Alamos National Laboratory are identified, and features, events and processes are described and defined to form the basis of a conceptual site model. This establishes the decision model structure. Objectives are addressed through the three pillars of sustainability - economic, environmental, and social - and also address regulatory concerns or constraints. Management options include removal of waste to another location and engineering designs for leaving waste in place. Using structured decision making, the relationship between objectives, management options, and the conceptual site model is made clear, and leads to a comprehensive, defensible, transparent and traceable approach to effective decision making. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2016

Future German R and D on HLW Disposal - 16519

In 2009, after the General elections, the new German Government showed a relatively positive attitude towards a prolonged use of nuclear power. Power plant shutdown was planned for the year 2032. Nuclear power was considered as a sort of transition energy technology until the energy supply would take place by the use of renewable energy sources. This was in line with the legal framework and the political strategy of the energy turnaround. Then, 17 nuclear power plants (NPP) were operational. The Fukushima incident heralded the sound of drastic changes in the German energy policy: Besides an intermediate stop of operation of reactors until a so-called stress test was accomplished, the general political decision was to phase-out nuclear earlier than planned and to implement faster the decisions regarding the energy transition policy. The shut-down of the last German nuclear power plant will occur in 2022. Accordingly, all the necessary legal changes were made. A consensus about the appropriate waste management strategy for heat generating waste (spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and vitrified waste (HLW)) was still pending at this time. Public and political discussions on this subject continued as in the years before. In July 2013, after intensive discussions, most of the parties represented in the German parliament agreed to eventually tackle the challenge of finding a repository by a consensual, transparent and science-based approach. This was to be codified in a law. In July 2013, the Site Selection Act passed the parliament. This law should pave the way for a new holistic process that addresses social, political, and scientific aspects of siting and the site selection process. The basics for this process should be provided by the 'Commission Storage of Radioactive Waste Materials' which was established according this law. Against this background discussions showed that scientific-technical R and D activities should be mirrored accordingly and R and D has to deal both with the future challenges of radioactive waste HLW disposal and related aspects. Considering this the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy (BMWi), which is responsible for non-site specific R and D, created the new Research Concept 'Research for the management of radioactive waste', being fundamental and the frame for non-site specific R and D projects funded by BMWi. Key changes - mirroring the new requirements and different aspects - touch the issues: host rock research, i.e. all potential host rocks available in Germany are equally addressed and there is no prioritization, consideration of consequences of prolonged storage at NPP sites, alternative waste management strategies compared to direct disposal in a mined repository, and involvement of socio-technical aspects.This paper intends to highlight the key changes, its consequences, and will give a brief overview on first initiated R and D activities. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2016

Severe Accident Research Directions after Fukushima

The accidents at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power station in March of 2011 renewed interest globally in the nature, causes, and health and economic consequences of severe accidents involving core damage and containment impairment. As a result of these accidents, research has been conducted into the modeling and phenomenological understanding of the accidents at Fukushima and the response and effectiveness of mitigating measures such as emergency water injection, primary system depressurization and containment venting actions. An important example of this is the jointly conducted OECD-NEA organized Benchmark of the Fukushima Accidents (BSAF project) where accident reconstruction analyses using computer codes such as MELCOR and MAAP are ongoing. Even prior to the Fukushima accidents, the Sandia/NRC sponsored State of Art Reactor Consequence Analyses (SOARCA) foreshadowed the accidents in Japan where long-term and short-term station blackout accidents in boiling water reactors with Mark-1 containment were analyzed showing striking similarities to the accidents at Fukushima. These analyses also highlighted important differences in our prior understanding, in particular the importance of suppression pool thermal stratification and the extraordinary operation of the Fukushima Unit-2 reactor core isolation cooling (RCIC) system, prompting addition research into both of these areas. Additionally, the focus of the world's major computer codes on modeling the Fukushima accidents in the BSAF effort, led to several 'Crosswalk' comparisons between code predictions, highlighting subtle but important modeling differences between the codes and identifying areas where modeling improvements can be made. Collectively, these research areas are aimed at improving our understanding of severe accident progression and real-world response of safety related systems and components, and should lead to improved accident response and mitigation capabilities in the future. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2018

Stakeholder Engaged Structured Decision Making to Improve Performance and Reduce Costs While Protecting Human Health and the Environment - 18645

The objective of the Best Practice is to facilitate a paradigm shift when it comes to approaches to the decision making process for nuclear waste management, disposal, and remediation decisions. The stakeholder-engaged structured decision making (SDM) paradigm shift provides a transparent framework for developing optimal solutions to complex problems (Keeney, 1992, Gregory et al, 2012). This is a deliberative-analytical process. The deliberative side centers on understanding stakeholder concerns and values, and developing objectives while identifying options that may achieve those objectives. SDM is implemented with the aid of computer tools that are aimed specifically at capturing these deliberative aspects of a decision analysis. SDM captures this information in a structured format that allows access to the values, objectives, and options that have been identified to help. Through this approach we achieve transparency, traceability, and reproducibility. The goal of SDM at this stage is to provide a formal structure for capturing and processing deliberative information. The deliberative part sets the stage for the analytical part of SDM. A variety of Subject matter experts (SMEs) are engaged in how to evaluate the options through the objectives. Objectives often include minimizing human health risk and minimizing cost, but in the full scope of a sustainability-based approach to decision making, it can include objectives related to economic, environmental and social issues. Subject matter experts might provide other options for achieving the objectives, but their primary role is to evaluate/model the options to the endpoint defined by the objectives or in other words perform a consequence analysis. The structure of SDM makes it clear exactly what is needed from the SMEs, because the options are identified, and the endpoint (objectives) are defined - evaluations and/or models are needed to connect options to objectives. This consequence analysis completes the evaluation, and directly addresses which of the options is the best option. The same SDM approach to finding the best options can also be used for prioritization and resource allocation. Because all of the information is captured in a formal system with the help of computer tools (a software framework for implementing SDM), the decision models that are developed for an application can be fully evaluated numerically and for the insights gained from using a formal process for managing the multiple factors that need to be considered for complex decisions. This includes uncertainty and sensitivity analysis that can be used to guide the need for further data/information collection if the optimal decision is not adequately supported - that is, if there is insufficient confidence in the decision. Also, this feeds directly into adaptive management therefore if more data/information are collected then the efficacy of the current decision can be evaluated, potentially leading to a change in decisions if warranted. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2023

Cyber-Informed Engineering Principles: What’s in it for me?

CIE is an emerging method to integrate cybersecurity considerations into the conception, design, development, and operation of any physical system that has digital connectivity, monitoring, or control. CIE complements—but does not replace—the application of cybersecurity standards or practices currently in place within an organization. Rather, it expands cybersecurity decisions into the engineering space, not by asking engineers to become cyber experts, but by calling on engineers to apply engineering tools and make engineering decisions that improve cybersecurity outcomes. CIE examines the engineering consequences that a sophisticated cyber attacker could achieve, and drives engineering changes that may provide deterministic mitigations to limit or eliminate those consequences. Engineers and technicians that design critical energy infrastructure installations can integrate the 12 principles of CIE into each phase of the engineering lifecycle, from concept to retirement. These principles are aimed at system or design engineers, operators, and technicians, rather than software engineers or operational cybersecurity practitioners, because the engineers who design, build, operate, and maintain the physical infrastructure are best positioned to leverage a system’s engineering design to diminish the severity of cyber attacks or digital technology failures. This approach creates new opportunities for engineering teams—and not just cybersecurity teams—to secure the system using the physics and mechanics of engineering controls—not just digital monitoring and controls.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

DOE OSTI2016

The DOE Unreviewed Safety Question Process, Addressing New Information For Credible Nuclear Accidents

The Department of Energy (DOE) Unreviewed Safety Question (USQ) process is in use for hazardous nuclear facilities operated within the DOE nuclear complex. DOE, which is the federal nuclear safety regulator for its nuclear facilities, requires that each nuclear facility have a Documented Safety Analysis that defines the controls for each credible accident based on a detailed accident analysis. The DOE USQ process provides key mechanisms for formally identifying to the regulator potential accident analysis issues at operating nuclear facilities including those that stem from emergent or new information on hazards. The DOE USQ process provides for formal evaluation of those emergent issues and for determining the need for formal regulator (DOE) review and approval of any resulting immediate or long-term actions. Regarding the March 2011 accident at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station, lessons learned on the evaluation and disposition of new information have been noted by the Institute of Nuclear Power Operations (INPO) and the National Research Council. These organizations noted that: - when new information indicates the potential for conditions that could significantly reduce safety margins or exceed current design assumptions, a timely, formal, and comprehensive assessment of the potential for substantial consequences should be conducted, and - if the new information analysis results in substantial changes to the risk profile or could impact the function of important safety systems, then compensatory actions or countermeasures need to be established without delay. The objective of this paper is to raise awareness regarding the salient requirements and guidance of the DOE USQ process used at DOE's operating nuclear facilities that bear on handling of emergent or new information on hazards and that address the lessons learned noted above by INPO and the National Research Council. There is no analysis or intent to make any implications regarding how use of the DOE USQ process might have affected events at Fukushima. The DOE USQ process, when applied as intended at DOE nuclear facilities, addresses lessons learned identified by INPO and the National Research Council regarding use of emergent or new information on hazards. The DOE USQ process ensures a timely, formal, and comprehensive assessment of the potential for substantial consequences resulting from new information on hazards. When the new information analysis results in substantial changes to the risk profile or shows an impact to the function of important safety systems, the DOE USQ process calls for compensatory actions or countermeasures to be established in a timely manner. The DOE USQ process ensures a formal evaluation by the regulator and approval of the planned actions addressing the vulnerabilities made know by new information on hazards. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2016

Ab Initio Molecular Dynamics Analysis of Xenon Incorporation in Uranium Dioxide

The fission process in nuclear fuel produces volatile fission product gases, such as xenon, that migrate out of the fuel and into surrounding structures. Consequently, these fission product gases may affect thermal performance and integrity of the fuel. Fission gas release models, used in modern fuel performance codes such as BISON, are currently under investigation to improve their accuracy and ability to simulate the fission gas release phenomenon and its consequences. For uranium dioxide (UO{sub 2}), the most commonly used fuel in commercial power reactors, fission gas release models are known to have significant uncertainties. In the interest of improving such models, several complex diffusional mechanisms have been examined using a variety of techniques such as Nudge Elastic Band (NEB), utilizing both Density Functional Theory (DFT) and semi-empirical inter-atomic potential functions. One proposed diffusion mechanism in UO{sub 2} is through tetra-vacancy (i.e., 2U{sub V} + 2O{sub V}) structures, which is expected to provide a suitable means for the incorporation and diffusion of xenon in the fuel crystal. In this work, a model was developed to study the incorporation of xenon in UO{sub 2} via a tetra-vacancy using ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD). This is a first principles technique that abandons the use empirical force fields as usually is the case of classical MD analysis. Furthermore, in contrast with static transition analysis tools such as NEB, AIMD is able to capture the dynamics of a given process. The translation of xenon within a tetra-vacancy has been investigated using ab-initio molecular dynamics. The transition frequency, barrier energy, and incorporation energy were extracted from the model, demonstrating its ability to capture a variety of parameters and its potential for use in studying fission gas diffusive behavior. Future refinements to the model will seek to develop additional insight into Xe and Kr mobility and will likely involve executing more elaborate AIMD simulations to investigate this phenomenon. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2019

Nuclear Crisis Communication in an Era of Fake News and Media Overload - 19414

Over the past several decades, the nuclear industry has worked diligently to improve the security and safety aspects of their technology, but it has failed to meet the challenge of the public's negative perception. Studies have shown that nuclear energy and nuclear waste evoke fear among the general populace because people see risks as immediate, unknown, uncontrollable, and potentially catastrophic. To some extent, negative public perception challenges for the nuclear industry are primarily a consequence of its own inability to communicate the benefits of nuclear science effectively with the lay public. While effective and trustworthy communication cannot guarantee success, it helps shape public opinion, and for a routinely misperceived project like a nuclear facility, that is paramount. Fukushima was the first nuclear accident to occur in the world where citizens have access to 24/7 news channels and the ability to respond in a real-time manner through social media outlets. Following the Fukushima accident, social media sites were filled with information regarding nuclear energy that were based more on mass rumor and even paranoia than facts. More locally, we have seen this trend following what was a minor external radiation release event at the WIPP in February 14, 2014. Many online news sources were flooded with anti-nuke stories aimed at pushing a fear of radiation, such as inferring an increase in cancer rates among the public from this minor incident; which was exactly the opposite of what was true. Today, when the public gets its news from social media and online sources, people are faced with rapidly changing and contrasting interpretations of the same story, depending on when they accessed the latest news. They are also increasingly vulnerable to fake news, including disinformation deliberately planted and cultivated by the anti-nuclear movement. Public reactions following these nuclear events reinforced the value of effective communication in maintaining the high level of transparency necessary for long-term, local acceptance and support for nuclear facilities. A lack of trustworthy communication leaves a vacuum that can be quickly filled by rumors and fake information. When dealing with a nuclear crisis, failure to recognize the rapidly changing and contrasting media framing, or believing fake news could have very real and catastrophic consequences. Trusted organizations must swiftly take charge and guide the way in which the crisis is framed to keep the public adequately and accurately informed. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2020

Distribution Development for Residual Inventory at the New York West Valley Site - 20400

The New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA) is the owner of the Western New York Nuclear Service Center (WNYNSC), a 1,351 ha site located approximately 48 km south of Buffalo, New York. In 1962, Nuclear Fuel Services, Inc. (NFS) entered into Agreements with the Atomic Energy Commission and New York State to construct the first commercial reprocessing plant of nuclear fuel in the United States. NFS, a private company, built and operated the spent fuel reprocessing plant and waste disposal facilities, processing 640 Mg of spent nuclear fuel from 1966 to 1972 under an Atomic Energy Commission license. Nuclear fuel reprocessing operations ended in 1972 and never reopened, leaving behind radioactive and chemical wastes. Operations led to contamination in a number of facilities and locations. Some of that contamination has migrated from waste disposal zones to other layers, formations, and features on and off the WNYNSC. Phase I decommissioning activities are ongoing and involve the removal of a number of areas and structures that have been associated with contamination. The purpose of this work is to outline the approach for characterizing contamination not associated with disposed wastes, contaminated structures, or specific releases. In this work, the term, residual radiological activity, is used to describe environmental contamination that exists subsequent to the completion of Phase I decommissioning activities, that is not associated with disposed wastes, contaminated structures, or specific releases. Contamination from the Site was quantified relative to data that characterize the concentrations of radionuclides that exist in background. Background concentrations are those present in the area but having no influence from Site related activities. The existence of residual radiological activity that is elevated relative to background has the potential to contribute to future risks to human health and the environment. As a consequence, the residual inventory information is used to inform the West Valley Probabilistic Performance Assessment (PPA) model to characterize potential future risks to human health and the environment. The centralized West Valley Data Management System (DMS) was the source of information for the data assembled in this analysis. The DMS is a fairly large compilation consisting of thousands of records from investigation studies, with sample dates ranging from 1990 to present. Samples from monitoring wells, boreholes, geoprobe studies, surface water, surface soils, storm water outfalls, ventilation stack filters, plant and animal tissues, and more are included in the DMS. Results are typically reported in units of activity per unit volume. For the purpose of the analyses presented here, all results were converted into consistent units of pCi per unit volume. Since 1990, data have been collected from various locations across the WNYNSC at different times with varying frequency over the course of several decades. As a consequence, a number of potential issues can arise with respect to the assembly of a dataset that is deemed adequate for the characterization of residual radiological activity. These issues were assessed and resolved to the extent possible through careful consideration of the properties of the distributions. The intent was to use data which characterize the current state of the Site. Radionuclides can be designated to one of several groups depending on their origin. In this work the groups considered were 1) Naturally Occurring Radioactive Material (NORM), 2) fallout, and 3) Other (including power plant, medical research, etc). This grouping is a useful construct with respect to the interpretation of fixed laboratory results. For example, NORM radionuclides that exist within a decay chain should have approximately equivalent distributions of concentrations if they are representative of background conditions. Insights such as these can be used as a check to identify sample results that need to be further investigated or omitted due to issues associated with reported results from fixed laboratory analyses. This type of analysis provided a foundation for the assessment of the adequacy of sample results for use in subsequent components of an assessment. The general process for the assessment of residual radiological contamination at the Site consists of a sequence of several steps. First, for each analyte, several statistical tests were performed to assess the weight of evidence against the null hypothesis that the mean of the distribution of concentrations was equal to zero. If the mean of the distribution of concentrations for a given radionuclide was not found to be greater than zero, then it was removed from consideration as a component of the residual radiological contamination. If there was significant evidence to reject the hypothesis of the mean being equal to zero, the second step was to compare the distribution of the data from the Site to that of the corresponding background. A suite of tests was used to compare the distributions of the site and background data. The results of these tests were collectively used to determine if site data are elevated relative to background. The third step was to develop distributions using a Bayesian framework to characterize the distribution of mean of the increment present above background for each of the radionuclides. The Bayesian model implemented allowed for the comparison of site-specific records to background concentrations to better approximate contamination attributed to the Site. A final screening step was employed for radionuclides that exceed background. This screening step compared 95% upper confidence limits (UCLs) from the increment distribution developed in the previous step to the risk screening levels. This approach yields a list of analytes that were determined to be elevated relative to background.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2020

Challenges and Practical Solutions for Conducting Structural MARSSIM Surveys in Elevated Radon Environments - 20413

The Multi-Agency Radiation Survey and Site Investigation Manual (MARSSIM) [1] provides comprehensive guidance for the development and implementation of radiological surveys conducted to demonstrate compliance with a dose- or risk-based cleanup goal during final status survey. The MARSSIM methodology follows an integrated strategy combining direct measurements and sampling to assess uniform residual contamination, and scanning surveys to identify localized areas of elevated activity. Building surveys assessing residual surface contamination present unique challenges from reliance on field measurements that may be subject to less than ideal environmental conditions. Additionally, limited characterization and excessive conservatism incorporated into the conceptual site model may result in derived concentration guideline levels (DCGL) and, as a consequence of relatively inefficient field instrumentation, corresponding attributable count rates generally comparable to background. The presence of elevated ambient radon concentrations and associated progeny deposition both exacerbate these intrinsic survey challenges and introduce a series of technical, logistic, and administrative obstacles that can wreak havoc on the statistical legitimacy of each component of the MARSSIM process. Short-lived radon progeny including polonium-218, lead-214, bismuth-214, and polonium-214 produce excessive alpha and beta radiation that may decrease instrument sensitivity through an increase in background count rates, and, at worst, may result in incorrect survey unit failure through the simulation of residual surface activity. Aside from the obvious solution of exhaustive radon mitigation, the primary objectives are to distinguish between radon progeny deposition and actual surface activity, and collect sufficient defensible data. The following is a technical discussion of the consequences of performing building MARSSIM surveys in the presence of elevated ambient radon atmospheres, conceptual examples, and an overview of practical strategies to minimize the effects of radon interference while collecting sufficient defensible data to complete the survey. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2018

Chernobyl, the HBO miniseries: Fact and fiction

Two weeks ago, HBO began screening a five-part series on Monday nights on the Chernobyl nuclear power facility (NPF) accident, which occurred more than 30 years ago on April 26, 1986. The series focuses predominately on events leading to the accident, the scientific, social and political environments in the Soviet Union at that time and, to a lesser degree, on immediate and long-term medical consequences. The series is strong on the former, but weaker on the latter. Although the producer and writers have made considerable effort to present a factual account of the accident and its consequences, much of how the story unfolds is fictionalized.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2017

Computer Security for I and C Systems at Nuclear Facilities - 116

Cyber-attacks on Instrumentation and Control (I and C) systems may jeopardize the safety and security of nuclear facilities by contributing to sabotage or aiding in the unauthorized removal of nuclear material. The effects of cyber-attacks on I and C systems important to safety to safety may result in a wide range of consequences, such as a temporary loss of process control or unacceptable radiological consequences. Public awareness of cyber-attacks that affect I and C systems may also undermine confidence in the safety and security of nuclear facilities. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) recognizes the need for the guidance on the protection of I and C systems that provide safety, security, or auxiliary functions at nuclear facilities from cyber-attacks. To meet this need, The IAEA has developed a new Nuclear Security Series publication with the provisional title Computer Security of Instrumentation and Control Systems at Nuclear Facilities which builds upon and expands the guidance published in Nuclear Security Series No. 17 Computer Security at Nuclear Facilities (2011) . This publication will be formally released in 2017 as Technical Guidance and will be the second international consensus publication dedicated to Computer Security at Nuclear Facilities. It was developed in parallel with the new IAEA Nuclear Safety publications providing recommendations on I and C systems at research reactors (RR) and nuclear power plants (NPP) . The purpose of this paper is to provide an overview of this publication and its application. The paper will also discuss its relation to other IAEA Nuclear Security Series (NSS) publications on computer security. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2017

Integrated emergency control board including design extended conditions for Krsko NPP - 297

In the aim of implementing post-Fukushima safety measures, Krsko Nuclear Power Plant is developing a Safety Upgrade Program. Krsko NPP is upgrading the remote shutdown capabilities and implementing ways to prevent and mitigate the consequences of potential Severe Accidents. This modification enhances remote shutdown capabilities of the plant to prevent potential severe accidents and improve the ways to mitigate their consequences. Within the set of plant design modifications, addressed the design, construction, and commissioning, of a new Emergency Control Room (EMCB. Tecnatom is the responsible of the design modification of the plant together with Idom, that participates with Tecnatom in the project as a joint venture, who provides a new set of field instrumentation, including its design and the corresponding wiring. EMCB integrates Human- System Interface throughout centralizing capabilities to safety shutdown and cooldown the plant as well as to control the new Design Extension Systems. The process relies on a Human Factors Engineering (HFE) analysis applying a specific methodology based on NUREG-0711 . Tecnatom has developed a specific HFE Program Management Plan to proceed with the analysis in a documented, traceable and reliable way. HFE activities ends with an Integrated System Validation in the actual full scope simulator involving MCR crews. This paper describes different phases of the project, the integrated schedule between HFE and I and C activities, benefits of upgrading main and emergency control rooms beyond design bases and addresses Tecnatom lessons learned obtained during the project execution. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2016

Comparison of Surrogate Models with Physical Models for Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Analysis Using the RAVEN Code

Dynamic probabilistic risk analysis (DPRA) has emerged in the nuclear industry as an effective tool to identify points of weakness in nuclear reactors and create a comprehensive approach to quantifying risk. While DPRA allows for detailed analysis, it usually requires thousands of runs due to the necessity of exploring low probability, high consequence events, which can be computationally prohibitively difficult to assess. Risk Analysis Virtual Environment (RAVEN) is a software package being developed under the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation program at the Idaho National Laboratory. It is able to manage complex control logic to drive a RELAP-7 simulation and to handle sampling strategies including Monte Carlo, Latin Hypercube, Grid and Adaptive samplers. By performing a thorough investigation of the possibility space of an accident scenario with RELAP-7, RAVEN is able to identify consequences of accident scenarios that have not been encountered. The most computational resource intensive step of a RAVEN analysis is running the RELAP-7 code modeling the physical system behavior. Using surrogate models to represent the outcomes of more complex simulations rather than the full model can greatly reduce the computation effort required. In situations where the uncertainty distributions of a model are unknown, or when there are multiple sets of uncertainty distributions, DPRA generally requires rerunning the physical model for each set of uncertainty distributions used. By taking an unbiased sample of the physical model and creating a surrogate model from the results, the surrogate model can be sampled under a different set of uncertainty distributions to provide equivalent results. This paper presents an example of this approach. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗