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Manufacturing and Reliability Science for CIGS Photovoltaics

The purpose of this program was to overcome the largest challenges to investor confidence and long product lifetime in CuIn x Ga 1-x Se 2 (CIGS)-based photovoltaic products: metastability, shading-induced hot spots, and potential-induced degradation. Key findings were made in each of these areas by studying CIGS reliability at the cell level, which very few groups are currently doing. Metastability was thought to be a function of the CIGS absorber. We have challenged the state-of-the-art by showing that the metastability seen in commercial products is likely to be caused by the buffer layer. SCAPS device modeling confirmed that the buffer layer has a significant influence on metastability in CIGS devices, and also led to a processing change - the introduction of CdS islands to Zn(O,S) buffer layers - that dramatically reduced metastability in CIGS solar cells. In the reverse-bias shading task, modeling showed us that 19% solar cells are possible with thin CIGS layers of 0.5 µm. We were able to fabricate 15.2% solar cells in this project, which is the highest reported efficiency of devices in the ultra-thin class. We also discovered that the best way to dissipate less power in reverse bias was to eliminate the intrinsic ZnO layer that is often used in CIGS devices. Lower power dissipation led to devices that allowed two times the maximum power point current density in reverse without damage. Potential-induced degradation (PID) is caused by the drift of Na+ ions from the back glass to the CIGS/Mo interface, followed by diffusion into the solar cells and to the CdS region. We found that PID can be slowed by using low-conductivity borosilicate glass that contains higher K and lower Na than soda-lime glass. Based on significant progress in each of the three reliability challenges, the CIGS cell-level reliability project was very successful. We have also proved that module-level degradation mechanisms can be tested and solved at the cell level.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Compositionally Graded Alloy Quantum Dot Phosphors for Solid State Lighting. Final Report

To push the boundaries of efficiency and cost in solid state lighting (SSL), narrow band red emitting down conversion phosphors must be improved. These materials are critical to both the color rendering ability and optical output of phosphor converted light emitting diodes (LEDs). Improvements in these performance parameters will have a significant impact on the adoption of SSL in retail, office, and home lighting applications. Quantum Dots (QDs) are widely acknowledged as a cost-effective front-runner among developing downconverting technologies because they emit narrow band luminescence that is tunable across the visible spectrum. Current syntheses of quantum dots, however, utilize expensive and toxic reagents and often involve several time-intensive purification steps. To address this, we have introduced a novel, cost-effective synthetic scheme, whereby the final quantum dot structures can be accessed with fewer synthetic steps using a library of inexpensive, easily-synthesized precursors. With the help of automated high throughput synthesis robotics, Columbia, LBNL, and OSRAM have optimized red and amber CdS/CdSe/CdS QD architectures for SSL. QDs with improved shelling layers have been identified that meet the industry state of the art performance on chip under high humidity accelerated aging tests. This is remarkable considering the time frame of this project compared to the time and resources allocated for the development of the industrial standard. Furthermore, although particle stability to optical charging is often stressed in improving QLED performance, we have identified effective ZnS particle over-coating as the most important factor determining particle survivability and device performance in down-converting LEDs.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Transient Reactor Physics Experiment with High-Fidelity, 3-D Flux Measurements for Validation and Verification

This project led to the design and construction of a system of novel micro-pocket fission detectors (MPFDs) and their deployment as part of a series of steady-state and transient experiments at the University of Wisconsin Nuclear Reactor (UWNR). The data acquired during these experiments is intended for use in validation of reactor-physics models, including those developed as part of the NEAMS Toolkit (e.g., PROTEUS) and others. Part of the work led to a completely new computational model of UWNR based on Python-automated input generation for both MCNP and Serpent, and preliminary efforts have been made to develop a mesh for models in PROTEUS and other deterministic tools.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Exploring New Frontiers in Kinetic Physics in Inertial Confinement Fusion

The original objective of this Truman LDRD project was to explore the use of novel wave-particle plasma interactions in inertial confinement fusion (ICF) research. However, the emergence of many exciting developments in the national ICF program, including the Sandia- led "MagLIF" effort, led to extensive reformulation of the LDRD objectives. In the spirit of the original proposal, the research purview was broadened to encompass all "kinetic" (i.e., non-hydrodynamic) phenomena relevant to ICF. Significant research accomplishments include: developing theory and modeling strategies describing nonlocal ion losses and fusion reactivity reduction in unique burning plasma assemblies, including magnetized and spatially-deformed plasmas; developing numerical and conceptual tools describing the relationship between fuel magnetization and nuclear reaction histories in magneto-inertial fusion and applying these tools to groundbreaking MagLIF experiments on Sandia's Z Facility; and developing detailed analytic theories of the stability of imploding targets and applying them to uncover increasingly stable platforms for magnetically-driven implosions.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Stable Perovskite Core-Shell Nanocrystals as Down-Converting Phosphors for Solid State Lighting

Colloidal perovskite quantum dots (QDs) or nanocrystals (NCs) with structure of CsPbX 3 (X = Cl, Br, I) are promising materials as down-converting phosphors due to their high quantum yield up to >90%, extremely narrow emission band ~15-30 nm, and tunable emission wavelengths of ~410-700 nm via size or composition control. Compared to other QD materials, the optical and electronic properties of perovskite NCs are much more tolerant to defects so highly efficient light-emitting NCs can be easily prepared without carefully removing surface defects. Also, precision size control is not required for obtaining perovskite NCs with narrow emission <30 nm and can greatly enhance the reproducibility and yield rate during mass production. The challenges in using perovskite NCs as LED phosphors are their hygroscopic nature and self-absorption as observed from other QDs. We propose to synthesize core-shell structure perovskite NCs to improve their stability by over-coating a SiO 2 layer, followed by further sol-gel processing into stable micro-sized glass beads. To increase Stokes shift and avoid self-absorption, core/graded-shell/shell structure such as CsSnBr 3 /CsSn 1-x Pb x Br 3 /CsPbBr 3 NCs will be prepared, similar to a concept we demonstrated before in CdSe/Cd 1-x ZnxSe 1-y S y /ZnS structure with significantly separated absorption and emission bands. These NC materials will be integrated into films and used as remote or on-chip downconverters for high efficiency, high CRI and warm white LED. To achieve this goal, PhosphorTech Corporation (PTC) has teamed with Georgia Tech (GT) to develop this unique perovskite system for pcLEDs that offers the promise of high luminous efficacy over a broad temperature and optical flux range.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Solar Bankability Data to Advance Transactions and Access (SB-DATA) Final Technical Report

The DOE project “Solar Bankability Data to Advance Transactions and Access”, known in the solar industry and referred to in this report as “Orange Button”, had project objectives of convening key stakeholder participants in the solar project lifecycle to develop a data taxonomy that meets to the solar industry’s needs for standardized data types for use in solar projects. Additional Orange Button deliverables included the development of an online data exchange to act as a clearinghouse of data that conformed to the data standard and additional solar industry data, and a Solar Data Translation Platform that could transform legacy solar project data to conform to the Orange Button data standard. All of these objectives were achieved. The Smart Electric Power Alliance (SEPA) provided program management, industry participant recruiting and convening, worked with the solar industry to define the scope of the Orange Button data taxonomy, and documented and delivered the taxonomy data requirements to funded project partners to develop both the taxonomy and the data conversion tools. Further efforts included performing extensive industry outreach and awareness to encourage adoption of the Orange Button taxonomy by the solar industry by enumerating the cost saving benefits of using the taxonomy and the public benefit of the increased use of solar energy due to increased bankability and viability of solar development projects. Solar PV panel and component prices have fallen in the last decade, while soft costs have remained stubbornly high and can account for as much as 64% of the total cost of a new solar system. Part of the U.S. Department of Energy SunShot Initiative, Orange Button enabled the creation and adoption of industry-led open data standards for rapid and seamless information exchange across the solar value chain, from origination to decommissioning. Standardizing data will reduce soft costs by making it easier to share solar data and speeding up processes. The taxonomy is a product of solar industry participants convening to identify the pain points caused by incompatible data, and to agree on and standardize data types to be used by the actors in the solar project lifecycle. This report focuses on the SEPA led first phase of Orange Button project that included industry outreach and recruiting participants for five industry working groups, widespread industry outreach to increase awareness and encourage eventual adoption of the taxonomy, and the definition of the scope, use cases, and supporting data types of the Orange Button taxonomy. The solar industry has been receptive of the completed Orange Button taxonomy. In SEPA’s work, 401 solar industry participants facilitated by SEPA defined the scope, use cases, and requirements for the taxonomy leading to over 150 taxonomy early adopters incorporating the taxonomy into their software products serving the solar industry, and several large investors and banks have started projects to enable them to utilize the taxonomy to gain back-office efficiencies. Moving forward, as the solar industry more widely embraces the Orange Button taxonomy and begins realizing the tangible benefits of adoption at scale, we expect further pressure on solar soft costs and increases in the bankability of solar projects.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Accelerate Performance (Final Technical Report)

Encouraging commercial building owners to set measurable energy goals before design begins can drive design and contractor teams to develop innovative energy efficiency solutions within conventional building budgets. A federal building owner piloted this technique and created a large-scale zero-energy office building on a budget comparable to local market construction rates. The successes and lessons learned from this performance-based project formed the basis of Accelerate Performance, an expanded program using utilities as the primary outreach channel to replicate the approach. Four utilities partnered with Slipstream, a not-for-profit program implementer, to develop pilot incentive offerings to focus building owners on the whole building rather than on individual building components and systems. The original performance-based procurement process and its successful implementation in a federal building project informed all these efforts. The experiences and lessons learned in different new construction markets led to further process adaptations as well as the development of templates and tools to streamline outreach and technical support efforts. The approach can be adapted to utility new construction programs and is a powerful tool for engaging many building owners early in the project planning process as they make critical energy decisions that impact the performance of the building. The approach has led to real energy savings in building projects by encouraging cost-effective, low-risk, and creative design solutions. The performance-based approach was tested in a variety of applications including different building types and owner types, with many owners adopting performance-based procurement techniques, some with variations, but all maintaining the same core principles. Over the course of the project, nearly 100 building projects were impacted and additional projects will continue to be supported through ongoing program offerings with three leading utilities.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Narrow emitting red phosphors for improving pcLED efficacy

The objective of this Solid-State Lighting Advanced Technology R&D project was the development of a narrow-band red Eu 3+ -activated phosphor for blue-pumped, on-chip LED applications to improve pcLED efficacy up to 28%. We set out to develop novel and proprietary phosphor chemistry using standard inorganic chemistry methods to create phosphor materials with an efficient absorption of blue light (445-460 nm) and emission in a narrow bandwidth (less than 10 nm full-width-at-half-maximum observed) at target wavelengths in the red spectra. Furthermore, we intended that the narrow-band phosphors developed would be drop-in replacements for existing phosphor materials and will require no additional configuration of existing customer infrastructure, thereby enabling rapid adoption of these phosphors into LED lighting applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The LLNL Program in Nuclear Structure and Nuclear Astrophysics (NSNA) (FY19 Annual Report)

Our major efforts in FY18-19 were devoted to carrying out the second GRETINA/CHICO2 campaign at ANL and the JANUS campaign at MSU/NSCL. Among a total of 13 fielded experiments, three were for Ph.D. thesis projects; two students at MSU and one at UNC at Chapel Hill. Two experiments in the JANUS campaign were led by LLNL; namely, the study of nuclear structure in 72 Se and 76 Se using the sub-barrier Coulomb excitation method. The data analysis was completed for both selenium isotopes and the results were published. The 72 Se results have been submitted to DOE/SC/NP as a science highlight and the article won a prestigious LLNL S&T Excellence in Publication Award in FY19. For experiments fielded in FY17 at TRIUMF/ISAC2 using TIGRESS/Bambino, the data analysis was completed recently and the 21 Mg results were published in FY19. For the results on the mirror nuclei 23 Mg and 23 Na, the manuscript was written and is in circulation among the coauthors. We intend to submit it for publication later this calendar year. These efforts address the isospin symmetry in the sd shell nuclei in terms of the electromagnetic properties measured with the sub-barrier Coulomb excitation method. The proposal to upgrade CHICO2 to CHICOX by resizing the detector chamber to be compatible to GRETA was approved in FY17 with a budget spread over three fiscal years starting FY18. The preliminary design was completed but cannot be finalized until the design for the GRETA holding frame is completed by the LBNL GRETA team in FY19. The fabrication will proceed once the physical compatibility of CHICOX to GRETA holding frame is confirmed. The narrative below focuses on the research efforts for which LLNL led or played a key role. This report includes two sections: 1) Evolution of shell structure and collectivity in neutron-rich nuclei, and 2) Investigating nucleosynthesis and the Standard Model with β decay.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Probabalistic Modeling of Minibangs and Megabands (Final Report)

This project was original proposed as a fundamental advance in the treatment of probabilistic modeling as it applies to nuclear fission calculations of nuclear database inputs and produced particle distributions in heavy-ion collisions. However, funding decisions made within LLNL and the DOE Office of Science led to the project proceeding through three distinct stages. The first two, probabilistic calculations of the fission and jet energy loss relate follow directly from the proposed research. The fission task led to the development of a proof-of-principle Gaussian Process Emulator for time-dependent generator coordinate method (TDGCM) calculation for the fission of Pu-240. To study energy loss in heavy-ion collisions with a probabilistic model, we generated a training data set using the Pythia event generator superimposed on a heavy-ion background with a single quench-factor parameter. We then used kernel density estimation (KDE) to recover the distribution of quench-factors for a calibration data set. In the third stage, we proceeded to work through collaborations, collecting new data within the ATLAS experiment at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC), and further developing bayesian methodology within the Jet Energy-loss Tomography with a Statistically and Computationally Advanced Program Envelope (JETSCAPE) Collaboration.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

LLNL-Stanford collaboration (subcontract B612106) (Final Report)

Chlamydomonas reinhardtii CC-1690 wild type mt+ [Sager 21 gr] and the bacterial strain P2b were obtained from Oana Marcu (NASA Ames Research Center/SETI Institute, USA). Axenic C. reinhardtii stock cultures were cultivated on Tris-minimal medium agar plates (Gorman and Levine, 1965) containing 15 g/L agar (Research Products International Corp, USA). Algal cultures were cultivated at 25°C and light intensities between 80-100 µmol photons m -2 s -1 with a light:dark cycle of 16:8 hours in either a New Brunswick Scientific Excella E24 incubator shaker (Eppendorf, USA), equipped with the AIBC High Power ChloroBa120 LED Grow Light (AIB LED, USA) or in a SANYO Versatile Environmental Test Chamber MLR-351 (SANYO Electric Co., Ltd., Japan). Liquid cultures were agitated in the New Brunswick incubator shaker at 150 rpm or in the SANYO Test Chamber by using the VWR 3500 orbital shaker at speed level 5 (VWR, USA). Strain P2b stock cultures were grown on agar plates containing Luria Broth medium (Miller 1972) and 15g/L agar at 30°C for 3 days and stored at 4°C.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Predictive Capabilities, Analysis and Experiments for Fusion Nuclear Science and Plasma Chamber Research

UCLA led the efforts of the US on Fusion Nuclear Science and Technology (FNST) for the past 35 years and is the recognized leader of FNST research. UCLA research focuses on identifying and characterizing the key FNST issues with high scientific content, performing pioneering experiments and advancing modelling capabilities, and has led many pioneering domestic and international studies on FNST that greatly advanced the FNST field. Examples of major achievements include our leadership and research work in: FINESSE: Seminal contribution to defining the FNST issues and research approach APEX: High power density concepts including free surface liquid walls and divertors FNSF/VNS: Need for and definition of FSNF conceived and pioneered by UCLA US ITER Test Blanket Program: Defined the test program with international community and options for US participation US-JA JUPITER and TITAN research collaborations: First of a kind research on Molten salt MHD and other advanced functional materials UCLA-EUROfusion collaboration: construction of a first-of-a-kind multiple effect LM-MHD-Thermofluid test facility The achievements and the associated publications during the current grant period of 2/1/2017 to 01/31/2019 are summarized in this final report for the following research areas: First experiments on a First-of-a-Kind Multiple-effect Facility in Liquid Metal MHD Research Self-Generated Stress Evolutions in Ceramic Breeder Material System Thermomechanics Integrated Model for Tritium Transport and Permeation Predictions FESS Liquid Wall Study The people working on the project during this period are listed in Section III. There is no unexpended funds at the final budget period.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Dissipative and fast-timescale phenomena in superconductors

This project explored new effects and regimes that unfold in superconductors as they are pushed to ex treme and unprecedented conditions of electric field, power densities, vortex velocities, etc. Besides their own novelty, these phenomena yield fundamental in formation about the superconducting state and its parameters, as well as its practical limits for techno logical applications. Furthermore some of these ef fects (such as formation of phase slip processes and the acceleration of superfluid) are time dependent on time scales such as quasiparticle-phonon energy re laxation and gap relaxation. This project used fast low-duty-cycle pulsed signals to first of all access these regimes without excessive heating and secondly to observe directly in the time domain the temporal unfolding of these phenomena on nanosecond time scales. This project led to the discovery of new effects in the transport behavior in superconductors, provided new information on fundamental parameters, and helped establish intrinsic strengths and limitations of different superconducting materials for ap plications. The primary tools developed for extending the range of measurable dissipation densities and observation of short time-scale phenomena were fast pulsed-current and pulsed-voltage sources, and fast high-CM-rejection detection circuitry. This allowed conducting measurements at power densities in the 10 10 W/cm 3 range, and at E ~ 1 kV/cm and v Φ ~10 km/s. Also developed was the ability to simultaneously track current I(t) and voltage V (t) and cross correlate them with sub-nanosecond temporal resolution. A recent angle of this project was the exploration of subtle phenomena at low current densities, especially for the magnetic field orientation parallel to the plane of the films. Through modifications of the pulsed tube closed cycle cryostat, we developed methods for attaining low-noise and high temperature-stability conditions. This led to the observation of novel dimensional effects related to the mixed state and vortex matter, and to a new type of magnetoresistance oscillation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Assimilation of Multiscale Data into Multifidelity Biogeochemical Models (Final Report)

Quantitative predictions of subsurface processes rely on computational models that capture, with different degrees of fidelity, complex interactions between hydrologic and biogeochemical processes. Molecular- and pore-scale models provide a high-fidelity representation of these processes but are impractical at the field scale. Reduced complexity (e.g., field-scale or data-driven) models sacrifice some degree of fidelity in favor of computational efficiency. Uncertainty and assimilation of data into model predictions, pose a question of model selection: Given a significant difference in computational cost, can a lower-fidelity model be preferable to its higher-fidelity counterpart? Since a predictive model must be computable in reasonable time it has to operate at the field scale, with molecular- and pore-scale data (obtained either from simulations or measurements) determining both the model's structure and parameters. Availability of such multi-resolution data raises a question hitherto undressed in hydrogeology: Can a coarse model dynamically ``learn'' its own structure (e.g., adjust the reaction pathways in its transport module) as more fine-scale data become available during simulations? Our results in multifidelity simulations, data assimilation, and machine learning led us to hypothesize that the answer to these questions is ``yes''. The overarching goal of this project was to confirm this hypothesis by developing scalable, computationally efficient tools for assimilation of data into multiscale models, in which fine-scale data and simulations dynamically inform and autonomously modify coarse-scale models. Our research led to nine manuscripts, three of which have been published and the other six are currently under review.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

Collaborative Research: Improved Efficiency and Coupling of the Radiation Code in the ACME Earth System Model (Final Report)

The complexity of radiative transfer, its importance to the exchange of energy in the climate system, and its high computational cost establishes importance of an accurate and efficient radiative transfer parameterization for climate simulation. Previous work by the proposing team at AER led to the development of the radiation code, RRTMG, which has been widely accepted by the global modeling community as a fast and accurate advancement over the previous generation of radiation codes. It has been in use in the NCAR CESM for many years, and it has been implemented in the initial version the DOE E3SM model. However, its computational cost remains high relative to other components in part due to its complexity and to its inefficient use of modern optimization strategies, and this project helped address this limitation for the code’s application in E3SM. Under other funding, the Investigators of this project led an effort to develop a high-performance broadband radiation code, called RTE+RRTMGP, which is a completely restructured code that will take advantage of modern computational capabilities to enhance its performance while retaining the strengths and accuracy of the original code. Designed to perform over a range of computer architectures, RTE+RRTMGP makes extensive use of Fortran 2003 features to improve both its efficiency and its use of memory. RTE+RRTMGP is expected to be adopted in the next generation of RTE+RRTMGP. This project allowed for advancements to the code’s computational capabilities and adding new and enhanced features. This included revising RTE+RRTMGP to run on GPU processors, analysis of and improvements to the code’s timing, modifying the gas optics in RRTMGP to increase the code’s accuracy, extensive validation of computed fluxes, heating rates and forcings, generating a cloud optical property and vertical sampling capabilities for RTE+RRTMGP, implementing a fast and accurate longwave scattering capability, and groundwork for the inclusion of a capability to specify solar variability. Many of the accomplishment in this project necessitated significant collaboration with the E3SM development team. The result of this project was optimization of a key physical component (radiative transfer calculations) of E3SM, directly supporting E3SM’s overarching global modeling objectives. More broadly, this project provided overall advancements in the use of radiative transfer calculations in atmospheric modeling and simulation, particularly for climate.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Grid-Interactve Efficient Buildings Technical Report Series: Lighting and Electronics

Through its grid-interactive efficient building (GEB) research, the DOE Building Technologies Office seeks to build on existing energy-efficiency efforts and develop technological capabilities to optimize the interplay between building loads and the electric grid. This report analyzes connected lighting systems and consumer electronics/IT equipment technologies. All lighting technologies are assumed to be lighting-emitting diode (LED) or organic LED (OLED) technologies. These technologies are analyzed in two separate sections and the evaluations are not meant to be comparable to each other or other building technologies.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Coupling between interfacial charge and mechanical deformation at high temperatures in ceramics. Final report

Basic research, under this project, has led to new fundamental discoveries in the effect of electric field (and temperature) on diffusion kinetics, electroluminescence and electronic conductivity in ceramic materials. For example, yttria stabilized zirconia sinters in just seconds well below 1000°C, while, at the same time, exhibiting a highly non-linear rise in conductivity, and intense electroluminescence. The phenomenon has been shown to occur in nearly all ceramics whether they are ionic or electronic conductors, or insulators. The rise in conductivity leads to Joule heating but in-situ measurements with a platinum standard at APS and Brookhaven (NSLS-II) have shown that the temperatures are much below what would have been needed to sinter in a few seconds. We have explored the hypothesis that huge concentrations of Frenkel pairs of vacancies and interstitials are produced. While these point defects accelerate sintering (by the interstitials being transported to the pores and the vacancies to the grain boundaries), they may also produce electron-hole pairs which can impart high electrical conductivity or recombine to emit photons. Many measurements, including in-situ measurements of lattice expansion are consistent with this hypothesis. However, the energy barrier for generating Frenkels in zirconia for example is much larger than can be expected at temperature and electrical fields in these experiments. Most recent work suggests that short wavelength phonons play a critical role in the genesis of the “flash” phenomenon. For example, the Debye temperature has been shown to be the lower bound for initiating flash. Molecular dynamics simulations have shown that large concentrations of Frenkel pairs can form under the proliferation of “optical” phonons at the edge of the Brillouin zone, that is with a wavelength at or below the lattice parameter. This project has led to the development of new experimental techniques as well as a software hardware interface for process and control and data analysis in real time, with a time scale of less than one second. This approach spells a new paradigm in materials science research. It potential impact on high rate manufacturing is self evident.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Wind Forecasting Improvement Project In Complex Terrain Near the Columbia River Gorge

In 2014 a multi-institution team led by Vaisala, Inc. was selected by the Department of Energy (DOE) to partner with multiple DOE and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) laboratories on a project designed to improve the quality of wind power forecasts in areas of complex terrain. This was the second Wind Forecast Improvement Project (WFIP2) funded by DOE and it extended from late 2014 through the middle of 2018. It encompassed an 18-month observational field campaign, numerical weather prediction (NWP) model development, extensive analysis of data and NWP output, and the creation of decision support tool algorithms to convey forecast information to end users in the wind industry. WFIP2 focused on improvements to the representation of near-surface and boundary-layer physics in NOAA’s High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model. Improvements to HRRR, which is run operationally over the continental United States, benefit the wind industry in multiple ways. Forecasts from the operational HRRR are used directly by wind power forecast vendors and the operators of wind plants. In addition, because HRRR is built using the widely-used Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, improvements to its parameterizations become available to commercial and research institutions using WRF for a myriad of purposes. The geographic area studied by WFIP2 was a region of the Columbia River basin located to the east of the Cascade Mountains between Oregon and Washington. Home to over 6 GW of installed capacity for wind energy production, this area also hosts a variety of atmospheric phenomena either unique to or augmented by complex topography. This makes it an attractive test-bed for the analysis of wind forecast in complex terrain, though results found are should be applicable in any area of topographic complexity. WFIP2 succeeded as a collaborative effort, and while this report focuses on the activities of the team led by Vaisala, the work described here is part of a larger whole. The Vaisala team accomplished a number of specific tasks as described in this report, while also contributing to this larger effort.

17 WIND ENERGY↗