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At least 163 records · Page 9

Explicit modeling of pebble temperature in the porous-media model for pebble-bed reactors

In this study, we developed a multiscale model to include an explicit pebble-temperature model nested in the porous-media model for pebble-bed reactor applications. The multiscale solid-phase energy balance model, including the pebble surface energy balance equation and an explicit modeling of pebble temperature, can predict the macroscopic (pebble bed) and microscopic (pebble) temperature distributions under both steady-state and transient conditions. The proposed multiscale model is solved in a fully coupled manner using the Newton- Krylov method, and therefore iterations between the macroscopic (pebble-bed-scale) and microscopic (pebble- scale) model are avoided. Extensive code verifications, validation, and demonstrations have been performed for this newly developed model. By explicitly modeling pebble temperatures, this new model addresses a major deficiency of the basic porous-media model, which assumes homogeneous solid-phase temperature and is not appropriate for pebble-bed reactor design and safety analyses.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Machine learning enhanced predictions of ICRF heating: Overcoming numerical limitations via data curation

In this work, we present the development of robust surrogate models for Ion Cyclotron Range of Frequencies (ICRF) and High-Harmonic Fast Wave (HHFW) heating predictions in fusion plasmas. Building upon our previous efforts to achieve real-time capable models, we identify the cause of the outliers found using TORIC in certain HHFW heating scenarios. The outliers are observed to be spurious ion Bernstein wave (IBW)-like modes caused by a wavelength control algorithm designed to address challenging scenarios with high perpendicular wavenumbers. The effect arises from the modulation in the perpendicular susceptibility, which can induce sign reversal and IBW-like propagation for scenarios featuring normalized ion Larmor radius λ i ≫ 1. We use TORIC with this algorithm disabled to generate a novel HHFW-NSTX database that is free of outliers. Surrogate models trained on this database, including Random Forest Regressor (RFR), Multi-Layer Perceptrons, and Gaussian Process Regressors (GPR), demonstrate the ability to accurately predict HHFW heating profiles, with regression scores of R 2 ∈[0.93−0.99]. Additionally we demonstrate that it is possible to generalize predictions beyond training data by the use of both RFR and GPR models, enabling the prediction of scenarios previously limited to the original model. GPR models also provide uncertainty quantification, offering insights into model confidence. This work introduces a comprehensive Verification, Validation, and Uncertainty Quantification methodology for surrogate modeling, applicable not only to ICRF heating but also to other RF heating challenges and fusion physics problems. Beyond accelerated inference, these models show effective extrapolation capabilities, providing an alternative for addressing numerical challenges.

Artificial neural networks↗

Uncertainty Quantification for Data-Driven Machine Learning Models in Nuclear Engineering Applications: Where We Are and What Do We Need?

Machine learning (ML) has been leveraged to tackle a diverse range of tasks in almost all branches of nuclear engineering. Many of the successes in ML applications can be attributed to the recent performance breakthroughs in deep learning, the growing availability of computational power, data, and easy-to-use ML libraries. However, these empirical successes have often outpaced our formal understanding of the ML algorithms. An important but under-rated area is uncertainty quantification (UQ) of ML. ML-based models are subject to approximation uncertainty when they are used to make predictions, due to sources including but not limited to, data noise, data coverage, extrapolation, imperfect model architecture and the stochastic training process. The goal of this paper is to clearly explain and illustrate the importance of UQ of ML. We will elucidate the differences in the basic concepts of UQ of physics-based models and data-driven ML models. Various sources of uncertainties in physical modeling and data-driven modeling will be discussed, demonstrated, and compared. We will also present and demonstrate a few techniques to quantify the ML prediction uncertainties, including Monte Carlo dropout, deep ensemble, Bayesian neural networks, Gaussian Processes and conformal prediction. Lastly, we will discuss the need for building a verification, validation and UQ framework to establish ML credibility.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

A critical review on additive manufacturing of refractory alloys from a data analytics perspective- beyond nickel-based superalloys

Refractory alloys (RAs) are promising materials due to their exceptional physicochemical properties, but most research remains at the laboratory scale. For broader adoption, advancements in manufacturing are essential. Because their high stability makes conventional methods like machining and casting difficult, additive manufacturing (AM) is emerging as an effective approach for fabricating refractory alloy components. However, AM's repeated non-equilibrium thermal cycles introduce undesired features (e.g. defects, anisotropic microstructures, and residual stresses), which are magnified due to RAs’ unique properties. This paper comprehensively reviews the state-of-the-art methods of AM for refractory alloys. It explores data analytics techniques to establish design rules based on multi-fidelity experimental and computational methods. Furthermore, it investigates integrated, collaborative efforts to harmonise standalone databases, information, knowledge, and predictive models at multi-physics, multi-stage, and multi-scale. Unlike the existing literature that focuses primarily on material systems or process fundamentals, this work provides an integrated perspective on AM of refractory alloys from a data analytics standpoint, highlighting the roles of integrated computational materials engineering (ICME), verification, validation, and uncertainty quantification (VV&UQ), and digital twin-driven qualification in overcoming data scarcity and accelerating rapid qualification.

Additive manufacturing↗

Multiple Degradation Mechanisms in Reinforced Concrete Structures, Modeling and Risk Analysis

The overarching goal of this project is to complement ongoing Department of Energy (DOE) Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS)-funded Grizzly concrete modeling development efforts by providing improved multi-physics models for incorporation into the Grizzly and BlackBear codes. Objectives of this work identified at the outset of this project include: 1. Coupling between mechanical damage and transport processes. The mechanical damage will be characterized by nonlinear mechanical constitutive models appropriate for concrete used in nuclear power plants (NPPs). 2. Improved representation of the coupling among the transport process, building on the current moisture and thermal transport models in Grizzly. The parameters for coupling among heat and mass transport in the multi-physics model will be experimentally determined. 3. Coupling among different scale levels of concrete constituents, fine and coarse aggregates, cement paste, hydration products, and pore structure. 4. Probabilistic analysis of the random nature of the heterogeneous concrete structure and the environmental factors (ambient temperature and humidity) and their multiple effects on concrete deterioration. 5. Benchmark verification, validation and uncertainty quantification of the thermo-hygro- chemo-mechanical (THCM) concrete formulation. The end goal of this work was to provide a comprehensive and robust simulation capability that can be applied at the engineering scale for analysis of realistic deterioration scenarios in NPP concrete structures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Initial Atmospheric Transport of Particles

A new version of the Initial Atmospheric Transport (IAT) model has been developed. This report fully characterizes the new model. IAT is designed to model heat release into the atmosphere that contains contaminated particles. The heat release forms a buoyant puff or plume. Buoyancy is quickly dissipated in 10's to 100's of seconds through drag and entrainment of ambient air. The final location of contaminant particles in the atmosphere after dissipation of abnormal heat is an important input to long term transportation codes such as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) code. Ultimately the settling of contaminants after long term transport provides a basis for estimating health consequences. In comparison to the old version, the new model includes explicit simulation of particles, newly formulated equations of motion for a rising puff, and a new plume model. The plume model releases many instances of a single puff along a single trajectory in a way that balances energy released over a longer period than would be appropriate for a single puff. The puff model has additions for vorticity, turbulence, virtual mass, drag, and entrainment. The particle model leads to direct interfacing between IAT and the long-term transport code HYSPLIT. Previously, particle locations were given a pattern based on IAT's puff trajectory with no particle simulation. Now, particles are explicitly simulated, and 3-D spatial distributions of particles are output based on final positions. Ballistic particles are thrown outward at high velocity from explosive events and tend to hit the ground before the end of the simulation. Non-ballistic particles tend to get pulled into the rising puff s ring of vorticity with some escaping to ambient conditions as buoyant energy dissipates. A new model verification and validation effort was made for the new plume model. The Wallops Island Solid Rocket Propellant (SRP) fire plume was extracted to a 3-D transient dataset. After calibration, the model performs better than previous single puff attempts. Even so, error levels in the process used to estimate location and ambient weather conditions approach 30%. This leads to the conclusion that unplanned photogrammetry evaluations of the IAT model are useful but not sufficiently accurate to quantify model parameters. Like previous attempts, the vertical motion entrainment parameters come out much too high in comparison to values for other studies in the literature. It is suspected that a new model of shear entrainment would alleviate this problem. Unfortunately, IAT already has more calibration parameters than the data comparisons thus far can resolve with statistical certainty. This underscores the need to verify and validate the IAT model using detailed CFD studies that allow ideal statistical comparison with the IAT model for hundreds of cases. Even so, validation by comparison to carefully planned experiments (i.e. with acceptable error levels) is also necessary because the dynamics of entrainment are at a sub-grid level for CFD. Though better validation and verification are most important, many new enhancements are still envisioned for future IAT development. These include particle rain out due to condensation and agglomeration of water, direct connection to the North American Mesoscale (NAM) weather dataset, dynamic weather conditions, including ambient particle entrainment into the puff, and detrainment at the puff to ambient mixing interface. In general, including detailed aerosol dynamics is the greatest coming challenge which will require an entire new sub-model in IAT. This is very important if contaminant particles change in such a way that they increase or decrease in their potential harm to the environment.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Data Evaluation of Actinide Cross Sections: 230 Th and 231 Th

A new evaluation of the ENDL cross section set for Thorium (Z=90) is developed using the TALYS statistical model cross section code. The primary goal of this effort is to produce an evaluation that attempts to match as closely as possible fission cross sections developed through surrogate reaction techniques on actinide targets 230 Th and 231 Th. This evaluation effort and the processing needed to render its results into data libraries is a necessary step in making the efforts of nuclear experimentalists useful to the broad community of researchers engaged in simulations of nuclear fusion for basic and applied science. Another aspect, verification and validation against various AGEX experiments, is also presented. The end-product is an updated library that includes the latest measurements of fission cross sections for comparison against those measured via traditional techniques. All the steps in the evaluation, processing, validation and verification, and library release are described in the following sections. For completeness, the appendix contains all the parameters used in the TALYS cross section evaluation for neutrons incident on 230 Th and 231 Th.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Calculation of the First Moment of Energy Using D-T Reactivity Formalisms Under the Maxwell-Boltzmann Distribution (Pt. 1)

Nuclear fusion science is an example of a scientific field with a rich history of expert involvement and scientific publications, which together, form an expert-knowledge base. One example of this history is the utilization of published reaction rates from a variety of authors. Investigators for Deuterium-Tritium (D-T) ion fusion can choose from using frequently cited methods: the Bosch and Hale reactivity, thermonuclear reaction rates from Caughlan and Fowler, and the reactivity evaluation from Miley, Towner & Ivich which forms the basis of the Naval Research Lab (NRL) formulary. There are other choices available. Each of the reactivity formulations considered here, are based upon the Maxwell- Boltzmann velocity distribution for D-T fusion ion reactants. Numerical methods for computer codes simulating hot, energetic plasmas, include tabulations of the reactivity, and the first moment of energy. The purpose of this study is to answer the question: what is the first moment of energy, and how has it been formulated? This report is part of a series of reports by the authors on D-T fusion-reaction formalism. The present focus is on defining the mathematical relationship of the first moment of D-T fusion ion kinetic energy, $\langle$E$\rangle$, with the fusion crosssection, fusion reactivity and its derivative with respect to ion-temperature. Three variants of the first moment $\langle$E$\rangle$ are analytically developed and explored: 1) constant cross-section, 2) a normalized first moment, and 3) a particular function of the first moment. Much of the mathematical development is relegated to the Appendices, for a concise presentation of topics and results. A research component of this discussion is our comparison of some of the reactivity and its derivative results between evaluations (1) versus (2) and (3), which the authors have not found in any other publication to date. This investigation is useful for validation, verification (V&V) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) as it compares the work of several authors.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Dakota-NAERM Integration

This report presents the results of a collaborative effort under the Verification, Validation, and Uncertainty Quantification (VVUQ) thrust area of the North American Energy Resilience Model (NAERM) program. The goal of the effort described in this report was to integrate the Dakota software with the NAERM software framework to demonstrate sensitivity analysis of a co-simulation for NAERM.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Deterministic Calibration of MFiX-PIC, Part 1: Settling Bed

The Particle-in-cell (PIC) numerical approach for modeling granular solids in fluid flow has gained significant interest in recent years. Valued for its often shorter time-to-solution, the PIC formulation relies on modeling statistical groupings of particles called parcels in cooperation with a solids stress model to affect local solids velocity. This is in contrast to the discrete element model (DEM) where every particle in a system is modelled individually and directly coupled to local solids velocity through Newtonian mechanics. The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) develops and maintains Multiphase Flow with Interphase eXchanges (MFiX), a collection of open-source computational fluid dynamics (CFD) solvers. Included in the MFiX suite are traditional two-fluid model (TFM) and DEM solvers, and a recently added PIC solver (NETL, 2021). In general, PIC methodologies offer an accuracy trade-off in lieu of computational speed; and therefore, it is important to assess the credibility of MFiX-PIC simulations. For this purpose, a systematic verification, validation and uncertainty quantification (VVUQ) effort was initiated at NETL to assess the new PIC solver

42 ENGINEERING↗

Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis of Generator Failures under Extreme Temperature Scenarios in Power Systems

This report summarizes work done under the Verification, Validation, and Uncertainty Quantification (VVUQ) thrust area of the North American Energy Resilience Model (NAERM) Program. The specific task of interest described in this report is focused on sensitivity analysis of scenarios involving failures of both wind turbines and thermal generators under extreme cold-weather temperature conditions as would be observed in a Polar Vortex event.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

FY2021 Progress Report on BISON Metallic Fuel Model Development and V&V Using EBR-II Legacy Data

In this report, the activities and achievements made by Argonne National Laboratory for the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) BISON code metallic fuel validation and verification project in FY2021 are summarized. The cladding degradation model based on the FCCI/CCCI wastage calculations has been developed and implemented into BISON. A comprehensive evaluation of the cladding degradation model was performed based on FIPD data of the IFR experiment X447. BISON objects were also developed to enable direct use of time-varying cladding outer surface temperature profile as temperature boundary conditions, which proved to provide more accurate temperature predictions for the metallic fuel pins irradiated in EBR-II. Additionally, a new BISON object was implemented to enable direct comparison between BISON predicted data and FIPD-based post-irradiation examination (PIE) results, which would significantly facilitate BISON metallic fuel verification and validation (V&V) activities. These new BISON-FIPD integration features were used in the establishment of a low-burnup fuel swelling evaluation framework as demonstration. The framework was successfully used to evaluate current fuel swelling models based on the IFR experiment X423.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Gemma V&V/UQ/Credibility Activities: FY2020 Progress

This report describes the credibility activities undertaken in support of Gemma code development in FY20, which include Verification & Validation (V&V), Uncertainty Quantification (UQ), and Credibility process application. The main goal of these activities is to establish capabilities and process frameworks that can be more broadly applied to new and more advanced problems as the Gemma code development effort matures. This will provide Gemma developers and analysts with the tools needed to generate credibility evidence in support of Gemma predictions for future use cases. The FY20 Gemma V&V/UQ/Credibility activities described in this report include experimental uncertainty analysis, the development and use of methods for optimal design of computer experiments, and the development of a framework for validation. These initial activities supported the development of broader credibility planning for Gemma that continued into FY21.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Comparative Critical Mass Calculations for NNL and ENDF/B-VIII.0 Zirconium Hydride Thermal Scattering Laws [Slides]

Zirconium Hydride (ZrH x ) is a moderator material for TRIGA reactors and SNAP-10A.The thermal scattering has the behavior of quantum oscillator favorable for moderator feedback. ZrH x occurs as a corrosion product in LWR. Previously new phase specific TSL evaluations were generated and submitted to ENDF/B- VIII.1. These include the effects of crystal structure on elastic scattering of Zr(ZrH x ), permit flexibility in stoichiometry for use in reactor physics calculations and fuel characterization, and expand the TSL material sub-library. ENDF/B-VIII.0 ZrH TSLs do not distinguish between material phase. Current work involves preliminary validation & verification testing on the effect of TSLs on critical mass and associated thermal flux.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Update of CEA DES Criticality-Safety Activities and Perspectives [Slides]

Neutronics staff at CEA DES are in charge of a whole set of modeling and simulation tools for neutronics: nuclear data evaluation and processing, transport codes development, calculation sequences edition, verification, validation and uncertainty analysis. Advanced user groups are in charge of specific nuclear analysis in reactor physics, fuel cycle, criticality-safety, radiation shielding and nuclear instrumentation for CEA and its partners, at all stages of nuclear facilities life cycle. CEA is willing to participate/collaborate on the following issues: detector design, experiments, analysis and evaluation, DH validation by combining TAGS measurements with Fission Yield variance-covariance matrices.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Implementation of low-burnup swelling focused assessment case and enhancement of FIPD-BISON integration framework

This report summarizes the activities and achievements made by Argonne National Laboratory for the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) BISON code metallic fuel validation and verification (V&V) project in FY2023, with a focus on the capability development and assessment case development for steady state irradiation experiments. The X423 IFR experiment assessment case, which is focused on the evaluation of low burnup swelling behavior of both binary and ternary metallic fuel, has been developed. It covers 58 fuel pins with various fuel compositions and 158 sets of post-irradiation examination (PIE) data with burnup ranging from ~0.5 at.% to ~5.0 at.%, providing a powerful tool within BISON for the calibration, evaluation, verification and validation of both existing and future metallic fuel swelling models at low burnup. Meanwhile, the X447 IFR experiment assessment case established in FY2022 was enhanced to utilize the latest advanced features in BISON, such as automatic differentiation and Mortar contact models. With such enhancements, especially the Mortar mechanical contact model with friction, BISON is now capable of predicting axial fuel growth that is consistent with experimental measurements. Additionally, during the development, gaps and potential scopes were identified and explorative efforts were made, providing insight for future works.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

S4PST: Sustainability for Programming Systems and Tools: May Workshop Report

The US Department of Energy (DOE) Exascale Computing Project (ECP) has fostered and strengthened the use of modern software engineering practices for developing applications and libraries, and this effort has resulted in the coordinated and interoperable E4S1 and xSDK2 ecosystems. Although this approach is cost-effective, it relies on robust programming systems and tools (PST) as the underlying foundation for our HPC software. At present, our primary PST stack consists of traditional high-performance computing (HPC) languages, namely Fortran, C, C++, and the popular Python language for data analysis and AI workflows. These languages support various programming frameworks and run-time abstractions that enable parallelism and concurrency across multiple node architectures and thousands of nodes through a variety of interconnect systems. However, to accommodate users’ diverse needs, certain aspects of the HPC ecosystem are delegated to vendor-specific or third-party implementations that extend beyond a particular scientific domain. This broader scope results in a multitude of specifications and variations, which leads to a complex orchestration of many-ecosystems. Unfortunately, this complexity in the ecosystem imposes additional overhead costs on consumers during the latter stages of the development cycle. In addition to the software ecosystem challenge, the upcoming conclusion of the ECP by December 2023 has raised significant concerns within the HPC programming systems community, from both the economic and social perspectives. The ECP has implemented a management structure for software development and funding decisions across all ECP participants by following a conventional hierarchical and centralized approach. However, this structure has prompted certain considerations within the community, particularly in anticipation of the Software Sustainability initiative by the DOE’s Advanced Scientific Computing Research Program (ASCR). For the success of this new initiative, it is of utmost importance to secure consistent funding and foster close engagement with researchers and core developers of existing programming-system products. This collaboration is vital to maintaining the critical capabilities of the current software during the transition phase while proactively adapting to future technology and workforce trends. The community recognizes the significance of adapting to emerging trends and is aware of the inherent fragility of the HPC software ecosystem, particularly in relation to programming systems that cater to all users. The ability to adapt and evolve is essential to staying relevant and effectively addressing these technical, economic, and social challenges. The S4PST team, which represents one of the six ASCR Software Sustainability seedling projects, is dedicated to tackling these challenges through community-based approaches that go beyond the scope of the DOE. This involves collaboration between national laboratories with academia, non-DOE institutions, hardware and system vendors, and international partners. By fostering these partnerships, we aim to create a robust and sustainable HPC software ecosystem that can effectively meet the needs of the community. This new community effort, driven by the eight DOE labs, will take on the responsibility of guiding funding decisions for programming-systems development and maintenance with transparency and consistency across all decisions. Additionally, the team will offer common technical services to the programming systems community, irrespective of their funding situations, and facilitate community-wide incubation to proactively nurture the software ecosystem. By actively engaging with stakeholders and employing a collaborative approach, we can collectively shape the future of programming systems and ensure a robust and thriving HPC software landscape. On May 11–12, 2023, the S4PST team conducted its inaugural kick-off workshop at the Innovative Computing Laboratory (ICL) in the University of Tennessee, Knoxville, hosted by Hartwig Anzt. The workshop encompassed various sessions dedicated to presentations and discussions, with the aim of comprehending the team members’ perspectives on the vision of software sustainability. Additionally, the workshop aimed to identify the technical, economic, and social requirements for sustaining the programming-systems community in the field of HPC. This report provides a summary of the S4PST effort by highlighting five major thrust areas discussed during the workshop: (i) community, (ii) technical support, (iii) training and diversity, (iv) verification, validation and correctness, and (v) emerging technologies. It also encompasses an overview of the presentations and discussions held throughout the event, our views and potential synergies with other seedling efforts, along with the outcomes and key takeaways from our initial discussions.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗